Jackson Williams

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1986-05-14

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	30	AAA/AACOL	262	.199/.267/.263	1	17	—	.172/.213/.225
2017	31	AAA/AAPIT	211	.201/.278/.249	2	24	—	.180/.234/.226
2018	32	AAA/AAPIT	94	.221/.280/.314	2	33	—	.182/.226/.261

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	178	156	36	5	0	3	15	40	3	2	3	231	310	321	631	90	289	22	8	285	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	180	156	28	7	0	2	15	37	6	0	0	179	277	263	540	83	220	21	8	251	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA	Connecticut Defenders	—	348	300	67	20	0	2	35	60	6	1	5	223	317	310	627	87	272	17	10	286	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	148	125	28	7	0	3	15	33	5	1	1	224	329	352	681	128	275	22	10	309	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	236	193	37	9	1	2	29	54	7	0	1	192	319	280	599	88	254	23	12	277	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	147	125	23	3	0	1	17	36	2	0	2	184	292	232	524	48	244	24	12	248	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	59	53	11	2	0	3	5	9	1	0	0	208	288	415	703	208	195	15	8	313	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	314	295	73	15	1	11	13	62	2	0	0	247	284	417	701	169	276	20	4	306	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	49	44	12	3	1	0	2	11	0	0	0	273	304	386	691	114	364	22	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	289	261	60	14	2	5	21	48	2	0	0	230	292	356	649	126	261	17	7	287	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	46	40	8	2	0	0	4	14	0	0	1	200	273	250	523	50	308	30	9	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	16	14	3	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	214	312	429	741	214	222	25	12	330	99	-0	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.6
2014	28	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	286	242	62	15	0	4	37	57	1	3	3	256	357	368	725	112	315	20	13	325	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	312	276	63	9	1	1	29	50	5	1	2	228	313	279	592	51	274	16	9	276	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	21	21	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	95	95	143	238	48	111	14	0	104	-63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	241	215	45	9	1	1	22	41	0	0	1	209	283	274	557	65	251	17	9	255	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	114	104	20	2	0	1	8	26	1	0	0	192	257	240	497	48	247	23	7	231	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AA	Altoona Curve	—	97	85	18	1	0	1	9	18	2	0	0	212	302	259	561	47	254	19	9	264	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	60	54	12	2	0	1	5	11	0	0	0	222	288	315	603	93	256	18	8	271	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AA	Altoona Curve	—	34	32	7	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	219	265	312	577	94	222	12	6	262	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	16	14	3	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	214	312	429	741	214	222	25	12	330	110	+0	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	178	160	32	4	0	3	11	54	3	2	3	200	264	281	546	81	262	30	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	180	161	25	6	0	2	10	50	6	0	0	155	232	230	461	75	196	28	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Connecticut Defenders	—	348	311	66	18	0	2	24	73	6	1	5	212	282	289	571	77	260	21	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	148	130	25	6	0	2	11	44	5	1	1	192	281	285	565	92	271	30	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	236	202	36	8	1	2	20	67	7	0	1	178	275	257	533	79	240	28	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	147	131	21	2	0	1	11	45	2	0	2	160	236	198	435	38	226	31	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	59	55	9	2	0	2	3	11	1	0	0	164	220	309	529	145	163	19	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	314	300	62	12	1	10	8	85	2	0	0	207	232	353	586	147	242	27	3	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	289	266	52	11	2	4	16	63	2	0	0	195	246	297	543	102	231	22	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	16	14	3	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	214	312	429	741	214	222	25	12	314	99	-0	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.6
2014	28	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	286	255	53	12	0	3	24	79	1	3	3	208	279	290	569	82	271	28	8	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	312	286	56	7	1	1	19	61	5	1	2	196	258	238	496	42	242	20	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	21	21	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	95	95	143	238	48	89	19	0	75	-63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	241	224	40	7	1	1	13	49	0	0	1	179	224	232	456	54	217	20	5	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	114	107	19	2	0	1	5	30	1	0	0	178	221	224	446	47	230	26	4	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	97	88	16	1	0	1	6	23	2	0	0	182	250	227	477	45	226	24	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	60	55	10	1	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	182	237	255	492	73	211	20	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	34	33	6	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	182	206	273	479	91	195	15	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	358	321	56	10	0	4	21	103	9	2	3	174	245	243	488	69	241	29	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	358	312	64	12	0	5	30	77	9	2	3	205	293	292	585	87	254	22	8	268	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Connecticut Defenders	—	348	311	66	18	0	2	24	73	6	1	5	212	282	289	571	77	270	21	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA RAW	Connecticut Defenders	—	348	300	67	20	0	2	35	60	6	1	5	223	317	310	627	87	272	17	10	286	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	384	333	62	15	1	4	30	111	12	1	2	186	277	273	551	87	262	29	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	384	318	65	16	1	5	44	87	12	1	2	204	323	308	631	104	262	23	11	289	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	206	185	30	4	0	3	15	57	3	0	2	162	236	232	469	70	213	28	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	206	178	34	5	0	4	22	45	3	0	2	191	291	287	577	96	229	22	11	267	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	363	345	71	14	1	11	9	98	2	0	0	206	230	348	578	142	251	27	2	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	363	339	85	18	2	11	15	73	2	0	0	251	287	413	699	162	287	20	4	303	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	335	307	59	13	2	4	19	73	2	0	1	192	244	287	531	94	236	22	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	335	301	68	16	2	5	25	62	2	0	1	226	290	342	632	116	266	19	7	280	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	302	269	56	12	0	4	26	83	1	3	3	208	280	297	578	89	281	27	9	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	302	256	65	15	0	5	39	61	1	3	3	254	355	371	726	117	311	20	13	326	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	312	286	56	7	1	1	19	61	5	1	2	196	258	238	496	42	244	20	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	312	276	63	9	1	1	29	50	5	1	2	228	313	279	592	51	274	16	9	276	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AA MLE	2 teams	—	262	245	42	8	1	1	13	53	0	0	1	171	213	224	438	53	212	20	5	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AA RAW	2 teams	—	262	236	47	10	1	1	22	44	0	0	1	199	267	263	530	64	238	17	8	243	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	211	195	34	2	0	2	11	53	3	0	0	174	230	215	445	41	227	25	5	203	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	211	189	38	3	0	2	17	44	3	0	0	201	278	249	526	48	250	21	8	246	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	94	88	16	1	0	2	5	17	0	0	0	182	226	261	487	80	200	18	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	94	86	19	2	0	2	7	15	0	0	0	221	280	314	594	93	243	16	7	268	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	358	325	56	10	0	4	21	103	9	2	3	172	245	240	485	68	229	29	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Connecticut Defenders	—	348	315	66	18	0	2	24	73	6	1	5	210	282	286	567	76	260	21	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	384	339	62	15	1	4	30	111	12	1	2	183	277	268	546	86	252	29	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	206	186	30	4	0	3	15	57	3	0	2	161	236	231	468	70	208	28	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	363	349	71	14	1	11	9	98	2	0	0	203	230	344	574	140	242	27	2	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	335	311	59	13	2	4	19	73	2	0	1	190	244	283	527	93	231	22	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	302	272	56	12	0	4	26	83	1	3	3	206	280	294	575	88	268	27	9	256	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	312	285	56	7	1	1	19	61	5	1	2	196	258	239	497	42	242	20	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AA MLE	2 teams	—	262	247	42	8	1	1	13	53	0	0	1	170	213	223	436	53	207	20	5	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	211	195	34	2	0	2	11	53	3	0	0	174	230	215	445	41	228	25	5	203	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	94	89	16	1	0	2	5	17	0	0	0	180	226	258	484	79	205	18	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	16	14	3	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	214	312	429	741	214	222	25	12	330	43	+0	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	122	0	0	41	81	162	0	0	0	214	312	431	743	216	221	25	12	330	43	+8	+0	-3	+219	+14	24.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3175	2885	548	104	6	38	192	782	43	8	19	190	251	270	521	80	244	25	6	231	43	+0	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	112	21	1	8	39	160	9	2	4	190	251	269	520	80	243	25	6	231	43	+8	+0	-3	+219	+14	24.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 60 PAwOBA .269 → .218 (−51)K% 18.3% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.33%	÷1.063	×1.200	—	—	20.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷0.890	×0.690	—	×0.952	6.15%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.93%	÷0.984	×0.930	×0.950	×0.952	17.89%
Doubles /BIP	4.65%	÷1.040	×0.830	×0.950	×0.952	3.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.950	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.33%	÷1.041	×0.840	—	×0.952	1.79%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 113, BB 78 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .269 → .218; ISO .093 → .071; BABIP .256 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAltoona Curve · 34 PAwOBA .255 → .214 (−41)K% 11.8% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.76%	÷0.993	×1.220	—	—	14.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷0.929	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.17%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.035	×0.970	—	×0.940	18.89%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.936	×0.860	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.57%	÷0.857	×0.780	—	×0.940	3.06%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .255 → .214; ISO .094 → .079; BABIP .222 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 114 PAwOBA .221 → .195 (−26)K% 22.8% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.81%	÷1.030	×1.200	—	—	26.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.14%	÷0.952	×0.690	—	×0.962	4.28%
HBP% /PA	0.88%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.79%
Singles /BIP	21.79%	÷0.950	×0.930	×1.010	×0.962	20.75%
Doubles /BIP	2.56%	÷1.046	×0.830	×1.010	×0.962	1.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.010	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.28%	÷0.850	×0.840	—	×0.962	1.22%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 90, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 106, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .221 → .195; ISO .048 → .042; BABIP .247 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAltoona Curve · 97 PAwOBA .260 → .212 (−48)K% 18.6% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.56%	÷0.974	×1.220	—	—	23.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.28%	÷1.008	×0.700	—	×0.940	6.05%
HBP% /PA	2.06%	—	×0.850	—	×0.940	1.65%
Singles /BIP	23.88%	÷1.060	×0.970	×1.037	×0.940	21.30%
Doubles /BIP	1.49%	÷0.909	×0.860	×1.037	×0.940	1.38%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.037	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.49%	÷1.035	×0.780	—	×0.940	1.06%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 112, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .260 → .212; ISO .047 → .036; BABIP .254 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAHartford Yard Goats · 241 PAwOBA .247 → .203 (−44)K% 17.0% → 20.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.01%	÷1.022	×1.220	—	—	20.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.30%	÷1.007	×0.700	—	×0.948	5.47%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.948	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.54%	÷0.981	×0.970	×0.950	×0.948	17.41%
Doubles /BIP	5.17%	÷1.021	×0.860	×0.950	×0.948	3.92%
Triples /BIP	0.57%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.950	×0.948	0.55%
Home runs /BIP	0.57%	÷1.094	×0.780	—	×0.948	0.39%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 96, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 104, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .247 → .203; ISO .065 → .051; BABIP .251 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 21 PAwOBA .101 → .075 (−26)K% 14.3% → 19.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷0.948	×1.290	—	—	19.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.083	×0.710	—	×0.972	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.032	×0.900	—	×0.972	4.71%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.050	×0.810	—	×0.972	4.16%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	—	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.202	×0.780	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .101 → .075; ISO .048 → .034; BABIP .111 → .089. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 312 PAwOBA .269 → .225 (−45)K% 16.0% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.03%	÷1.003	×1.220	—	—	19.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.97%	÷0.992	×0.700	—	×0.958	6.07%
HBP% /PA	1.60%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	1.30%
Singles /BIP	23.01%	÷1.013	×0.970	×0.976	×0.958	20.61%
Doubles /BIP	3.98%	÷0.998	×0.860	×0.976	×0.958	3.21%
Triples /BIP	0.44%	÷1.025	×0.950	×0.976	×0.958	0.38%
Home runs /BIP	0.44%	÷0.860	×0.780	—	×0.958	0.38%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .269 → .225; ISO .051 → .042; BABIP .274 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 286 PAwOBA .319 → .253 (−67)K% 19.9% → 27.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.93%	÷0.934	×1.290	—	—	27.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.59%	÷1.055	×0.710	—	×0.992	8.41%
HBP% /PA	0.35%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.34%
Singles /BIP	23.24%	÷1.005	×0.900	×1.004	×0.992	20.74%
Doubles /BIP	8.11%	÷1.028	×0.810	×1.004	×0.992	6.37%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.004	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.16%	÷0.964	×0.780	—	×0.992	1.74%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 87, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .319 → .253; ISO .112 → .087; BABIP .315 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).