Luke Williams — OGILVIE

Luke WilliamsSS Gwinnett Stripers

Age 29 R/R 6'1" / 186 lbs AAA BB -5% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .250 / .299

PA200

HR4

SB16

K%30

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

28→28

PWR

41→41

SPD

66→66

EYE

42→42

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.3peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-2M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	GCL Phillies	141	126	27	4	0	0	13	33	1	9	2	.214	.293	.246	.539	.032	.290	23	9	.243	44	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
2017	20	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	442	413	71	13	0	1	17	109	2	29	2	.172	.208	.211	.419	.039	.229	25	4	.183	-2	-51	+5	+0	+2	+13	-3.2
2018	21	A+	2 teams	473	430	88	12	1	7	27	117	11	14	8	.205	.269	.286	.555	.081	.261	25	6	.245	46	-29	-0	+0	+2	+13	-1.5
2019	22	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	504	456	88	24	3	8	34	146	6	30	9	.193	.258	.311	.569	.118	.261	29	7	.251	50	-28	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.0
2020	23	INTL	Adelaide Giants	77	72	21	2	0	1	2	16	0	3	0	.292	.311	.361	.672	.069	.345	21	3	—	—	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	251	228	53	8	2	1	18	58	1	9	5	.232	.291	.298	.590	.066	.301	23	7	.265	61	-11	-0	+1	+1	+7	-0.2
2022	25	MLB	3 teams	242	221	55	11	1	2	18	83	1	22	6	.249	.308	.335	.643	.086	.387	34	7	.283	74	-7	+2	+1	-3	+7	0.1
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	433	390	88	13	4	10	34	113	4	32	6	.226	.294	.356	.651	.131	.287	26	8	.286	77	-11	+4	-1	+5	+12	0.9
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	293	269	60	18	0	7	18	90	2	21	4	.223	.277	.368	.645	.145	.303	31	6	.283	75	-8	+3	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	130	122	13	3	0	0	5	48	2	8	0	.107	.155	.131	.286	.025	.173	37	4	.129	-43	-21	+2	-3	+1	+4	-1.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	29	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	50	47	8	2	0	1	3	17	0	6	1	.170	.220	.277	.497	.106	.241	34	6	.234	37	-4	+1	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
ROS	29	MLB	ATL	150	138	26	5	1	3	10	45	1	10	2	.188	.248	.304	.553	.116	.252	30	7	.247	48	-9	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.4
TOT	29	MLB	ATL	200	185	34	7	1	4	13	62	1	16	3	.184	.241	.297	.539	.114	.250	31	6	.244	45	-12	+2	-1	-0	+6	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	30	MLB 20%	ATL	286	262	50	10	1	6	20	76	2	18	4	.191	.254	.305	.559	.115	.243	27	7	.252	51	-16	+2	-3	+1	+8	-0.8
2028	31	MLB 33%	ATL	271	248	47	10	1	5	19	73	2	16	3	.190	.253	.298	.551	.109	.242	27	7	.248	48	-16	+2	-4	+1	+8	-1.0
2029	32	MLB 43%	ATL	252	230	42	9	1	4	18	70	2	14	2	.183	.248	.283	.531	.100	.240	28	7	.243	44	-16	+2	-5	+1	+7	-1.1
2030	33	MLB 52%	ATL	222	203	37	7	1	4	15	63	2	11	2	.182	.245	.286	.531	.103	.237	28	7	.236	39	-15	+1	-5	+1	+6	-1.2
2031	34	MLB 70%	ATL	180	165	30	6	1	3	12	52	1	9	1	.182	.242	.285	.526	.103	.235	29	7	.230	34	-13	+1	-6	+1	+5	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4347	3973	796	155	17	62	280	1192	40	255	56	.200	.260	.295	.555	.094	.267	27	6	.241	43	-282	+29	-24	+16	+123	-14.1
/ 162G	—			650	594	119	23	3	9	42	178	6	38	8	.200	.260	.295	.555	.094	.267	27	6	.241	43	-42	+4	-4	+2	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	GCL Phillies	141	118	34	5	0	0	21	23	1	9	2	.288	.400	.331	.731	.042	.358	16	15	.341	119	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
2017	20	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	442	402	87	16	0	1	28	83	2	29	2	.216	.271	.264	.535	.047	.268	19	6	.242	43	-28	+5	—	—	+13	-1.1
2018	21	A+	Clearwater Threshers	437	388	95	13	1	9	35	76	9	14	7	.245	.322	.353	.675	.108	.280	17	8	.305	91	-4	+0	—	—	+12	0.8
2018	21	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	36	31	3	0	1	0	3	10	2	0	1	.097	.222	.161	.384	.065	.143	28	8	.194	7	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2019	22	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	504	441	105	30	3	11	49	113	6	30	9	.238	.323	.395	.717	.156	.292	22	10	.318	101	+1	+2	—	—	+14	1.8
2020	23	INTL	Adelaide Giants	77	72	21	2	0	1	2	16	0	3	0	.292	.311	.361	.672	.069	.345	21	3	.290	80	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	108	98	24	4	0	1	10	23	0	2	2	.245	.315	.316	.631	.071	.311	21	9	.291	81	-2	-0	+1	+1	+3	0.3
2021	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	143	126	34	5	2	0	12	29	1	7	3	.270	.338	.341	.679	.071	.337	20	8	.302	89	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2022	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	136	127	30	5	1	1	9	44	0	11	4	.236	.287	.315	.602	.079	.354	32	7	.274	68	-5	+1	+1	-3	+4	-0.2
2022	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	58	49	16	4	0	1	8	18	0	9	2	.327	.421	.469	.890	.143	.484	31	14	.392	158	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	25	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	48	41	12	2	1	0	5	11	1	2	0	.293	.383	.390	.773	.098	.400	23	10	.345	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	19	19	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	4	0	.053	.053	.053	.105	.000	.083	37	0	.048	-105	-4	+1	-1	+5	+1	0.1
2023	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	414	355	92	14	4	12	50	89	4	28	6	.259	.357	.423	.780	.163	.309	21	12	.346	123	+11	+3	—	—	+12	2.6
2024	27	MLB	Atlanta Braves	52	46	9	3	0	0	4	13	1	3	0	.196	.275	.261	.535	.065	.273	25	8	.246	47	-3	+1	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2024	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	241	216	61	19	0	9	21	62	1	18	4	.282	.349	.495	.844	.213	.351	26	9	.367	139	+11	+2	—	—	+7	2.0
2025	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	34	31	4	2	0	0	1	9	1	5	0	.129	.182	.194	.375	.065	.174	26	3	.171	-11	-4	+1	-3	+1	+1	-0.4
2025	28	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	96	88	10	1	0	0	7	32	1	3	0	.114	.188	.125	.312	.011	.179	33	7	.157	-22	-13	+1	—	—	+3	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			349	321	68	14	1	2	24	96	2	25	6	.212	.271	.280	.551	.069	.295	28	7	.252	51	-19	+3	-0	+5	+10	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Williams (OGILVIE)	29	28	41	66	42	.188/.250/.299	.111	.253	4	12	30%	7%	50	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Hannemann 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	42→45	56→60	40	.200/.250/.306	.106	.261	10	27	27%	5%	50	-1.7	.210/.264/.328	.118	.266	12	22	25%	6%	62	-0.9	.196/.267/.344	.148	.222	17	30	20%	8%	66	-0.1
✕Ryan Strausborger 2017 · MLB	29	44→45	42→45	57→55	41	.218/.262/.321	.103	.274	10	27	24%	5%	59	-1.1	.210/.272/.314	.104	.304	10	18	32%	7%	62	-0.9	.174/.266/.247	.073	.297	4	15	38%	10%	41	-0.6
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	42→45	45	56→55	45	.205/.290/.325	.121	.298	12	25	33%	9%	73	-0.1	.214/.291/.328	.114	.349	12	22	38%	9%	74	-0.1	.184/.261/.252	.069	.349	8	20	45%	8%	38	-0.9
✕Isaac Galloway 2019 · MLB	29	43→42	47→45	54→55	41	.221/.271/.356	.135	.283	15	26	28%	6%	72	-0.2	.207/.250/.340	.133	.297	16	19	35%	4%	59	-1.1	.149/.173/.252	.103	.237	15	18	44%	2%	1	-1.6
✕Andrew Velazquez 2023 · MLB	29	42→52	45→50	60	40	.209/.264/.329	.120	.299	12	32	33%	6%	63	-0.9	.206/.258/.320	.114	.309	13	33	36%	6%	57	-1.2	.200/.249/.300	.101	.301	12	38	36%	6%	45	-1.3
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	43	43→40	59→60	45	.210/.290/.313	.104	.303	12	32	33%	9%	70	-0.3	.205/.276/.302	.097	.296	10	29	32%	7%	61	-1.0	.172/.244/.246	.074	.244	9	46	32%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	46→50	43→45	59→60	41	.223/.280/.338	.115	.304	9	28	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.210/.270/.321	.111	.305	10	21	33%	6%	63	-0.8	.154/.224/.233	.079	.248	9	18	39%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2022 · MLB	27	44→49	43→45	59→65	39	.216/.266/.324	.108	.289	10	36	28%	5%	62	-0.9	.211/.271/.334	.123	.287	14	31	30%	5%	67	-0.5	.184/.255/.288	.104	.249	14	44	31%	5%	48	-0.9
✕Jack López 2023 · MLB	30	38→44	41→45	54→55	33	.191/.233/.290	.099	.290	9	19	36%	4%	39	-2.5	.207/.250/.324	.117	.300	12	16	34%	5%	55	-1.4	.207/.250/.317	.110	.296	12	15	33%	4%	50	-1.2
✕Lane Adams 2019 · MLB	29	43→45	45→50	60	39	.210/.268/.331	.122	.310	13	33	35%	7%	65	-0.7	.200/.264/.338	.138	.318	15	18	39%	7%	66	-0.6	.178/.247/.326	.148	.282	18	14	41%	7%	51	-1.0
✕Darren Ford 2016 · AAA	30	45→53	40→45	58→65	43	.221/.273/.310	.089	.287	9	40	26%	6%	60	-1.0	.221/.273/.300	.079	.289	6	25	24%	6%	58	-1.2	.219/.271/.264	.046	.292	1	23	24%	6%	44	-1.5
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2015 · AAA	28	43→49	40→45	60	41	.208/.256/.304	.096	.267	6	33	24%	5%	51	-1.7	.224/.272/.312	.088	.272	6	26	19%	5%	60	-1.0	.229/.293/.350	.121	.292	11	26	24%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Ryan Knox 2006 · AAA	29	41	40	51→55	40	.202/.254/.290	.088	.264	9	24	26%	5%	48	-1.9	.189/.241/.286	.097	.260	9	17	30%	5%	41	-2.3	.134/.187/.213	.079	.189	8	11	33%	5%	-2	-1.9
✕Eric Stamets 2021 · MLB	29	40→50	42→45	56→50	39	.198/.251/.306	.107	.276	9	15	31%	6%	50	-1.7	.184/.252/.297	.113	.258	12	13	32%	7%	50	-1.8	.134/.215/.232	.098	.183	12	13	33%	7%	16	-1.2
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	39	43→40	53→60	39	.192/.276/.299	.108	.280	11	20	33%	6%	62	-0.9	.204/.287/.299	.095	.295	9	27	32%	7%	66	-0.6	.192/.283/.264	.072	.280	6	39	31%	7%	53	-0.9
✕Pedro Florimón 2016 · MLB	29	43→52	42→45	57→55	42	.208/.262/.315	.107	.285	8	22	29%	7%	57	-1.2	.221/.274/.334	.113	.321	9	15	32%	6%	67	-0.5	.224/.280/.339	.115	.329	10	11	33%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2023 · AAA	28	42→46	43→45	53→60	39	.207/.274/.314	.107	.294	11	21	32%	6%	63	-0.8	.188/.283/.307	.119	.270	13	28	33%	9%	67	-0.5	.158/.273/.275	.117	.225	14	34	34%	10%	52	-1.1
✕Trent Durrington 2007 · MLB	31	48→45	39→40	59→60	44	.230/.283/.316	.086	.295	6	35	24%	6%	66	-0.6	.221/.280/.304	.083	.284	6	28	23%	7%	62	-0.9	.211/.282/.265	.054	.271	2	33	21%	8%	50	-0.7
✕Matthew Batten 2023 · MLB	28	46→49	41→45	55	45	.219/.285/.311	.092	.306	9	23	30%	8%	66	-0.6	.201/.270/.305	.104	.274	11	22	29%	8%	59	-1.1	.182/.250/.282	.099	.246	11	22	29%	7%	42	-1.9
✕Nick Heath 2021 · MLB	27	45→38	40	63→65	40	.205/.271/.299	.095	.337	7	43	39%	8%	58	-1.2	.198/.266/.309	.111	.336	10	29	41%	8%	58	-1.2	.172/.253/.274	.102	.308	8	36	43%	8%	41	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)