Rico Noel
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 28 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 280 | .262/.324/.341 | 3 | 22 | 62 | — | .198/.235/.308 |
| 2018 | 29 | INTLTomateros de … | 179 | .268/.349/.314 | 0 | 20 | 87 | — | |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 345 | .272/.352/.365 | 3 | 36 | 101 | — | .105/.128/.105 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 52 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 136 | 269 | 182 | 451 | 45 | 167 | 15 | 10 | 228 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 116 | 100 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 210 | 313 | 270 | 583 | 60 | 259 | 16 | 11 | 273 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 441 | 375 | 95 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 75 | 16 | 50 | 4 | 253 | 343 | 347 | 690 | 93 | 309 | 17 | 8 | 310 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 597 | 514 | 139 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 62 | 151 | 8 | 90 | 23 | 270 | 355 | 305 | 661 | 35 | 382 | 25 | 10 | 304 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 576 | 496 | 132 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 52 | 119 | 13 | 59 | 19 | 266 | 351 | 333 | 684 | 67 | 346 | 21 | 9 | 308 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 81 | 70 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 243 | 338 | 386 | 723 | 143 | 281 | 16 | 11 | 323 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 385 | 333 | 86 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 81 | 3 | 32 | 6 | 258 | 345 | 315 | 660 | 57 | 333 | 21 | 11 | 301 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL | Mexico | — | 253 | 200 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 55 | 4 | 31 | 3 | 235 | 373 | 270 | 643 | 35 | 315 | 22 | 16 | 300 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 103 | 83 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 205 | 327 | 241 | 567 | 36 | 279 | 23 | 13 | 262 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 40 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 121 | 256 | 121 | 378 | 174 | 25 | 12 | 196 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 223 | 194 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 43 | 5 | 26 | 5 | 237 | 330 | 278 | 609 | 41 | 303 | 19 | 10 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 136 | 126 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 230 | 276 | 302 | 578 | 71 | 305 | 23 | 4 | 259 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 130 | 113 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 221 | 312 | 319 | 631 | 97 | 255 | 15 | 8 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 124 | 116 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 250 | 293 | 371 | 663 | 121 | 321 | 24 | 4 | 295 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 30 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 267 | 296 | 563 | 111 | 250 | 33 | 10 | 260 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL | Mexico | — | 126 | 109 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 294 | 369 | 321 | 690 | 28 | 381 | 21 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 179 | 153 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 36 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 268 | 349 | 314 | 663 | 46 | 347 | 20 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 39 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 135 | 179 | 135 | 315 | 217 | 36 | 5 | 152 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 30 | INTL | Mexico | — | 306 | 264 | 77 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 56 | 5 | 34 | 5 | 292 | 375 | 398 | 772 | 106 | 354 | 18 | 10 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 52 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 130 | 231 | 174 | 405 | 43 | 160 | 21 | 6 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 116 | 104 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 183 | 261 | 240 | 501 | 58 | 235 | 24 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 441 | 390 | 84 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 102 | 16 | 50 | 4 | 215 | 290 | 295 | 585 | 79 | 266 | 23 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 597 | 536 | 127 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 204 | 8 | 90 | 23 | 237 | 304 | 265 | 569 | 28 | 367 | 34 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 576 | 513 | 130 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 145 | 13 | 59 | 19 | 253 | 317 | 312 | 629 | 58 | 334 | 25 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 385 | 344 | 80 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 104 | 3 | 32 | 6 | 233 | 300 | 282 | 582 | 49 | 312 | 27 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 103 | 88 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 193 | 276 | 227 | 503 | 34 | 264 | 28 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 40 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 114 | 205 | 114 | 319 | 171 | 32 | 8 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 136 | 128 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 41 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 180 | 216 | 227 | 443 | 47 | 256 | 30 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 124 | 118 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 212 | 244 | 322 | 566 | 110 | 277 | 31 | 2 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 30 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 250 | 450 | 107 | 216 | 40 | 7 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 39 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 105 | 128 | 105 | 233 | 198 | 41 | 3 | 119 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 52 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 130 | 231 | 174 | 405 | 43 | 171 | 21 | 6 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 52 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 136 | 269 | 182 | 451 | 45 | 167 | 15 | 10 | 228 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 494 | 101 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 130 | 18 | 62 | 5 | 204 | 280 | 273 | 553 | 69 | 271 | 23 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 557 | 475 | 116 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 94 | 18 | 62 | 5 | 244 | 337 | 331 | 668 | 86 | 298 | 17 | 9 | 303 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 597 | 536 | 127 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 204 | 8 | 90 | 23 | 237 | 304 | 265 | 569 | 28 | 381 | 34 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 597 | 514 | 139 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 62 | 151 | 8 | 90 | 23 | 270 | 355 | 305 | 661 | 35 | 382 | 25 | 10 | 304 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 657 | 587 | 148 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 40 | 166 | 14 | 61 | 22 | 252 | 315 | 308 | 623 | 56 | 347 | 25 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 657 | 566 | 149 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 61 | 132 | 14 | 61 | 22 | 263 | 349 | 339 | 689 | 76 | 337 | 20 | 9 | 310 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 638 | 565 | 132 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 173 | 7 | 63 | 9 | 234 | 303 | 280 | 582 | 46 | 328 | 27 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 638 | 533 | 133 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 81 | 136 | 7 | 63 | 9 | 250 | 356 | 298 | 654 | 49 | 327 | 21 | 13 | 301 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 366 | 323 | 55 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 107 | 8 | 49 | 10 | 170 | 251 | 192 | 443 | 22 | 251 | 29 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 366 | 310 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 77 | 8 | 49 | 10 | 216 | 321 | 252 | 573 | 35 | 284 | 21 | 11 | 269 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 266 | 248 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 80 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 181 | 225 | 234 | 459 | 52 | 266 | 30 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 266 | 239 | 54 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 50 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 226 | 294 | 310 | 604 | 84 | 280 | 19 | 6 | 273 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 280 | 263 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 94 | 4 | 22 | 5 | 190 | 225 | 278 | 503 | 87 | 277 | 34 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 280 | 252 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 66 | 4 | 22 | 5 | 262 | 324 | 341 | 665 | 79 | 342 | 24 | 7 | 298 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 179 | 153 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 36 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 268 | 349 | 314 | 663 | 46 | 347 | 20 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 179 | 153 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 36 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 268 | 349 | 314 | 663 | 46 | 347 | 20 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 345 | 321 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 146 | 5 | 36 | 6 | 115 | 160 | 115 | 275 | 207 | 42 | 3 | 119 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 30 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 345 | 301 | 82 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 70 | 5 | 36 | 6 | 272 | 352 | 365 | 718 | 93 | 341 | 20 | 9 | 321 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 52 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 130 | 231 | 174 | 405 | 43 | 160 | 21 | 6 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 500 | 101 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 130 | 18 | 62 | 5 | 202 | 280 | 270 | 550 | 68 | 260 | 23 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 597 | 540 | 127 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 204 | 8 | 90 | 23 | 235 | 304 | 263 | 567 | 28 | 367 | 34 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 657 | 598 | 148 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 40 | 166 | 14 | 61 | 22 | 247 | 315 | 303 | 618 | 55 | 334 | 25 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 638 | 577 | 132 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 49 | 173 | 7 | 63 | 9 | 229 | 303 | 274 | 577 | 45 | 312 | 27 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 366 | 328 | 55 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 107 | 8 | 49 | 10 | 168 | 251 | 189 | 440 | 21 | 238 | 29 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 266 | 250 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 80 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 180 | 225 | 232 | 457 | 52 | 256 | 30 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 280 | 266 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 94 | 4 | 22 | 5 | 188 | 225 | 274 | 500 | 86 | 265 | 34 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 345 | 325 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 146 | 5 | 36 | 6 | 114 | 160 | 114 | 274 | 198 | 42 | 3 | 119 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3937 | 3536 | 742 | 88 | 21 | 10 | 236 | 1147 | 81 | 423 | 90 | 210 | 275 | 255 | 530 | 45 | 305 | 29 | 6 | 221 | 36 | -300 | +49 | -1 | -93 | +85 | -26.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 123 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 189 | 13 | 70 | 15 | 211 | 275 | 257 | 532 | 46 | 305 | 29 | 6 | 221 | 36 | -50 | +8 | -0 | -15 | +14 | -4.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAALeones de Yucatan · 39 PAwOBA .148 → .119 (−30)K% 35.9% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.90% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷0.992 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 19.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.792 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 58, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .148 → .119; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .217 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 124 PAwOBA .283 → .225 (−58)K% 24.2% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.19% | ÷0.992 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.23% | ÷1.028 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 2.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | ×0.969 | ×0.992 | 20.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷0.926 | ×0.810 | ×0.969 | ×0.992 | 5.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.969 | ×0.992 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 1.87% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .283 → .225; ISO .121 → .090; BABIP .321 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 30 PAwOBA .253 → .185 (−68)K% 33.3% → 41.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 6.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 20.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.964 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.035 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 4.40% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .253 → .185; ISO .111 → .076; BABIP .250 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 136 PAwOBA .252 → .195 (−57)K% 22.8% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.79% | ÷0.972 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.41% | ÷1.059 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 2.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.16% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 19.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 4.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.104 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .252 → .195; ISO .071 → .051; BABIP .305 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 103 PAwOBA .262 → .230 (−31)K% 23.3% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.30% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.62% | ÷1.139 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.42% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.013 | ×1.018 | 24.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.69% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×1.018 | 1.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.018 | 1.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.878 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .262 → .230; ISO .036 → .035; BABIP .279 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATrenton Thunder · 40 PAwOBA .180 → .153 (−27)K% 25.0% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.950 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 17.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.153 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 90, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .180 → .153; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .174 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 385 PAwOBA .293 → .257 (−36)K% 21.0% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.04% | ÷1.002 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.13% | ÷0.970 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 27.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.068 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 3.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.958 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.67% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .293 → .257; ISO .057 → .046; BABIP .333 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AASan Antonio Missions · 576 PAwOBA .303 → .276 (−27)K% 20.7% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.03% | ÷1.047 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.59% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 27.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.10% | ÷1.053 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 5.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.056 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.872 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .303 → .276; ISO .067 → .060; BABIP .346 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .