Michael Helman — OGILVIE

Michael HelmanCF Round Rock Express

Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs MLB Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION187 act + 124 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5875vR 119

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .251 / .340

PA124

HR4

SB6

K%25

BB%6

BABIP223

ISO148

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

609.9%

xwOBA

100.230

POWER50

Barrel%

346.1

Avg EV

1083.0

Bat Spd

3970.1

EYE35

Chase%

6129.6%

SPEED55

Sprint

9029.7

Platoon Splits2025 · 110 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

136

▶▶R

wOBA

278

364

▶▶R

ISO

239

208

◀L

BABIP

156

317

▶▶R

22.0%

16.7%

▶▶R

BB%

4.0%

8.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	2 teams	—	164	150	46	4	2	3	6	25	5	10	6	307	354	420	774	113	344	15	4	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	2 teams	—	164	147	53	6	2	4	9	18	5	10	6	361	416	510	926	150	383	11	5	404	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	306	289	50	14	1	1	12	65	1	3	3	173	209	239	447	66	217	21	4	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	306	284	56	13	1	3	17	40	1	3	3	197	245	282	527	85	217	13	6	237	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	A+	2 teams	—	515	471	94	19	4	20	38	135	5	28	5	200	267	384	651	185	233	26	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	A+	2 teams	—	515	449	109	23	4	19	60	93	5	28	5	243	339	439	777	196	266	18	12	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	581	531	116	17	2	21	42	145	3	40	5	218	280	377	656	158	257	25	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	581	512	132	23	3	20	61	112	3	40	5	258	340	432	772	174	291	19	10	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	4 teams	—	227	211	52	9	3	8	10	42	5	10	3	246	296	431	728	185	272	19	4	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	4 teams	—	227	204	58	13	3	7	17	37	5	10	3	284	354	480	834	196	317	16	7	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	314	285	61	14	0	11	21	92	6	12	1	214	282	379	661	165	272	29	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	314	277	75	18	0	14	29	76	6	12	1	271	353	487	840	217	323	24	9	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	—	421	386	82	26	2	14	22	88	6	16	3	212	266	399	665	187	237	21	5	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	—	421	380	88	25	2	14	28	82	6	16	3	232	295	418	713	187	258	19	7	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	TEX	—	187	165	26	4	0	5	12	56	4	5	0	158	232	273	505	115	200	30	6	219	26	-16	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.9
YTD	30	AAA	TEX	—	187	161	31	5	0	6	16	45	4	5	0	193	282	335	617	143	225	24	9	273	67	-7	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.0
ROS	30	AAA	TEX	100%	124	114	22	5	0	4	7	31	2	6	1	192	251	340	591	148	224	25	6	267	62	-5	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.0
ROS	30	MLB	TEX	100%	125	115	22	5	0	4	7	32	2	6	1	191	250	339	589	148	225	26	6	255	54	-7	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
FULL	30	AAA	TEX	—	312	280	48	9	0	9	19	88	6	11	1	171	239	300	539	129	211	28	6	234	37	-22	+2	+0	+1	+9	-1.1
TOT	30	AAA	TEX	—	311	279	48	9	0	9	19	87	6	11	1	172	240	300	540	129	210	28	6	238	40	-21	+2	+0	+1	+9	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	TEX	82%	363	332	65	14	1	11	22	92	6	15	2	196	258	343	602	148	232	25	6	270	65	-15	+2	-2	+1	+10	-0.3
2028	32	MLB	TEX	82%	344	315	61	13	1	10	21	88	5	12	2	194	255	337	592	143	233	26	6	268	63	-14	+2	-3	+1	+10	-0.5
2027	31	MLB	TEX	82%	298	273	54	12	1	9	18	75	5	12	2	198	260	348	608	150	233	25	6	259	57	-15	+2	-2	+1	+8	-0.6
2028	32	MLB	TEX	82%	282	258	52	11	1	9	18	72	4	10	1	202	264	357	621	155	235	26	6	258	56	-14	+2	-3	+1	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	815	745	151	33	3	27	50	200	12	32	4	203	264	364	628	161	238	25	6	266	62	-35	+5	-4	+4	+23	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	120	26	2	22	40	160	10	26	3	202	264	364	628	162	237	25	6	266	62	-28	+4	-3	+3	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3359	3084	649	135	16	103	201	803	44	152	31	210	268	365	633	154	248	24	6	276	69	-117	+18	-5	+12	+95	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	125	26	3	20	39	155	9	29	6	209	268	363	632	154	246	24	6	276	69	-23	+3	-1	+2	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	118	107	38	6	1	2	6	14	3	4	5	355	405	486	891	131	387	12	5	391	157	+8	-1	—	—	+3	1.0
2018	22	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	46	40	15	0	1	2	3	4	2	6	1	375	444	575	1.019	200	371	9	7	439	194	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2019	23	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	306	284	56	13	1	3	17	40	1	3	3	197	245	282	527	85	217	13	6	237	39	-21	-1	—	—	+9	-1.3
2021	25	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	453	398	98	21	4	19	51	87	3	21	5	246	336	462	799	216	270	19	11	352	128	+14	+2	—	—	+13	3.0
2021	25	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	62	51	11	2	0	0	9	6	2	7	0	216	355	255	610	39	244	10	15	298	86	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	415	368	92	17	1	14	40	80	3	30	5	250	328	416	744	166	281	19	10	330	111	+5	+4	—	—	+12	2.1
2022	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	166	144	40	6	2	6	21	32	0	10	0	278	370	472	842	194	318	19	13	371	142	+8	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2023	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	118	108	32	7	1	6	7	16	3	5	1	296	356	546	902	250	302	14	6	394	159	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2023	27	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	24	22	5	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	227	261	409	670	182	235	21	4	282	74	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	27	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	24	19	8	3	1	0	3	3	2	3	0	421	542	684	1.226	263	500	12	12	527	261	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	27	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	61	55	13	2	1	0	6	13	0	2	2	236	311	309	621	73	310	21	10	286	77	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	314	277	75	18	0	14	29	76	6	12	1	271	353	487	840	217	323	24	9	369	140	+14	+2	—	—	+9	2.6
2025	29	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	110	99	23	5	1	5	7	21	1	4	0	232	290	455	744	222	247	19	6	317	101	+0	+1	+1	+2	+3	0.6
2025	29	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	311	281	65	20	1	9	21	61	5	12	3	231	296	406	702	174	262	20	7	309	94	-2	+1	—	—	+9	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	110	99	23	5	1	5	7	21	1	4	0	232	290	455	744	222	247	19	6	317	101	+0	+1	+1	+2	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	940	31	40	204	261	366	+3	+0	0.3	0.5
	/162	664	22	28	204	261	366	+2.4	+0.2	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Helman (OGILVIE)	30	45	50	55	35	172/240/300	129	210	9	11	28%	6%	40	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brent Lillibridge 2014 · MLB	30	43→53	47→50	53→60	39	222/272/352	130	290	16	24	29%	5%	72	-0.2	212/262/335	123	295	14	19	32%	5%	63	-0.8	186/237/297	111	267	12	22	34%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Isaac Galloway 2019 · MLB	29	44→43	49→45	53→55	41	225/276/372	147	282	16	25	27%	6%	79	+0.3	207/250/339	132	302	15	18	35%	5%	59	-1.1	146/169/240	95	242	14	18	46%	2%	-4	-1.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	44→46	47→50	60→65	40	221/269/365	144	285	13	32	27%	5%	74	-0.1	218/266/352	134	276	13	40	25%	6%	69	-0.4	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Adam Engel 2022 · MLB	30	46→48	51→50	55→60	42	236/299/401	164	296	18	20	26%	6%	96	+1.5	216/283/342	126	308	12	24	32%	7%	74	-0.1	198/270/306	108	299	9	29	34%	8%	55	-0.7
●Dairon Blanco 2022 · AAA	29	45→49	46→50	58→70	40	224/279/355	131	294	14	32	28%	6%	76	+0.0	255/314/393	138	332	15	63	26%	6%	100	+1.7	267/329/405	137	352	15	90	26%	6%	106	+1.1
✕Christian Zazueta 2017 · AAA	32	48→55	46→50	58→60	37	242/265/372	130	284	14	29	21%	2%	73	-0.1	229/254/333	104	270	10	27	19%	2%	58	-1.2	227/252/314	87	264	8	27	17%	2%	49	-1.1
✕Jason Repko 2010 · MLB	29	45→48	46→50	55	42	225/281/358	133	282	14	22	25%	6%	77	+0.1	224/283/344	120	285	13	19	25%	6%	74	-0.1	216/280/326	110	277	12	18	25%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→47	54→50	55→65	49	214/305/392	178	271	21	29	29%	10%	98	+1.6	219/328/394	175	294	18	33	30%	11%	108	+2.3	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Wynton Bernard 2023 · MLB	32	47→57	47→45	61→60	44	233/280/372	139	279	14	30	22%	6%	80	+0.4	234/283/346	112	296	10	33	23%	6%	75	-0.0	231/283/327	95	299	8	39	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Taylor Motter 2018 · MLB	28	42→50	48→55	53→55	47	218/273/356	139	247	16	22	20%	7%	73	-0.1	187/252/325	138	230	17	13	26%	8%	57	-1.2	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→49	48→50	55→60	46	219/294/353	134	297	16	24	30%	9%	82	+0.5	236/305/381	145	323	17	28	30%	8%	94	+1.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Tim Locastro 2023 · MLB	31	42→52	44→45	55→60	42	207/280/329	122	250	11	25	22%	5%	71	-0.3	213/297/336	123	268	12	27	25%	5%	80	+0.4	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Matt Lipka 2022 · AAA	30	51→56	46→45	58→60	39	249/298/381	131	340	14	31	30%	5%	90	+1.0	227/285/340	113	331	11	34	32%	7%	74	-0.1	191/259/268	78	299	5	59	35%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Juan Ciriaco 2015 · AAA	31	46→47	44→45	57→50	45	228/272/343	116	259	12	22	18%	6%	69	-0.4	222/254/319	97	270	8	18	20%	4%	54	-1.4	217/247/306	89	268	7	16	21%	4%	46	-0.8
✕Andrew Velazquez 2023 · MLB	29	43→51	46→50	60	39	214/267/340	126	306	13	31	34%	6%	66	-0.6	207/258/322	115	316	13	33	37%	6%	58	-1.2	211/254/305	94	318	10	30	35%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Michael A. Taylor 2021 · MLB	30	43→53	49→55	52→60	41	217/272/372	154	298	16	19	32%	7%	77	+0.1	242/298/381	139	316	17	13	28%	7%	90	+1.0	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
●Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	44→50	55→60	54→50	40	235/281/421	186	278	23	18	25%	5%	95	+1.4	242/288/413	171	301	20	13	26%	5%	95	+1.4	240/287/394	155	303	17	11	26%	5%	86	+0.6
✕Pokey Reese 2002 · MLB	29	48→55	45	59→55	51	236/299/363	127	265	12	28	16%	8%	85	+0.7	238/300/337	99	288	8	19	19%	8%	79	+0.3	237/299/315	78	294	6	17	20%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Juan Carlos Perez 2017 · MLB	30	47→53	45→50	53→55	39	232/264/367	136	284	12	18	23%	4%	72	-0.2	225/267/345	120	286	10	19	24%	5%	67	-0.5	231/285/335	104	291	8	18	22%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Kristopher Negrón 2017 · MLB	31	44→51	44→45	54→55	39	218/268/336	118	279	11	19	26%	4%	66	-0.6	221/277/342	121	311	13	15	31%	6%	72	-0.2	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4