Max Burt
2B Toledo Mud Hens| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AA/A/INTL2 orgs | 334 | .163/.234/.239 | 5 | 24 | 7 | — | .112/.173/.177 |
| 2025 | 28 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 244 | .209/.286/.270 | 0 | 11 | 35 | — | .201/.262/.258 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA/AADET | 401 | .220/.307/.347 | 8 | 28 | 40 | — | .178/.244/.273 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBDET | 16 | .178/.239/.259 | 0 | 1 | 43 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 31 | MLBDET | 52 | .177/.238/.257 | 1 | 2 | 42 | -0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | — | 213 | 186 | 51 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 31 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 354 | 366 | 720 | 91 | 321 | 15 | 8 | 322 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 78 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 299 | 292 | 590 | 42 | 333 | 24 | 5 | 269 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | — | 37 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 243 | 265 | 508 | 88 | 250 | 35 | 5 | 236 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 279 | 255 | 56 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 72 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 220 | 274 | 325 | 599 | 106 | 272 | 26 | 3 | 268 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 120 | 107 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 187 | 263 | 290 | 552 | 103 | 257 | 28 | 9 | 250 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 178 | 162 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 241 | 309 | 383 | 692 | 142 | 293 | 23 | 8 | 311 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 27 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 423 | 444 | 654 | 1.098 | 231 | 526 | 22 | 4 | 480 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 297 | 268 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 86 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 205 | 273 | 373 | 646 | 168 | 251 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 20 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 300 | 125 | 425 | 154 | 15 | 20 | 230 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 347 | 307 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 95 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 241 | 323 | 407 | 730 | 166 | 305 | 27 | 9 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 237 | 213 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 80 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 146 | 222 | 239 | 462 | 94 | 198 | 34 | 7 | 214 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 429 | 695 | 214 | 250 | 13 | 7 | 303 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 82 | 74 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 203 | 263 | 203 | 465 | 263 | 22 | 6 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 215 | 190 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 221 | 295 | 289 | 585 | 68 | 309 | 26 | 6 | 266 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 29 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 214 | 120 | 334 | 200 | 34 | 3 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 249 | 219 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 68 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 210 | 300 | 333 | 633 | 123 | 282 | 27 | 9 | 288 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 152 | 135 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 36 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 237 | 318 | 370 | 688 | 133 | 292 | 24 | 11 | 310 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 213 | 193 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 268 | 269 | 537 | 62 | 253 | 21 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 78 | 73 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 260 | 247 | 506 | 27 | 328 | 31 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 37 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 162 | 200 | 362 | 86 | 213 | 51 | 3 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 279 | 258 | 44 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 99 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 171 | 219 | 260 | 479 | 89 | 227 | 35 | 2 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 120 | 110 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 164 | 220 | 255 | 475 | 91 | 244 | 33 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 178 | 167 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 216 | 264 | 335 | 599 | 120 | 280 | 28 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 27 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 346 | 370 | 538 | 909 | 192 | 451 | 30 | 4 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 297 | 273 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 105 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 176 | 232 | 300 | 532 | 125 | 237 | 35 | 4 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 250 | 118 | 368 | 139 | 20 | 15 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 347 | 316 | 64 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 115 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 203 | 267 | 329 | 597 | 127 | 275 | 33 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 237 | 218 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 96 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 110 | 171 | 170 | 341 | 60 | 170 | 41 | 5 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 15 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 286 | 486 | 143 | 190 | 20 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 215 | 194 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 70 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 201 | 262 | 258 | 520 | 57 | 293 | 33 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 249 | 226 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 82 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 168 | 239 | 261 | 500 | 93 | 241 | 33 | 6 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 152 | 140 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 44 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 193 | 252 | 293 | 545 | 100 | 251 | 29 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 213 | 193 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 207 | 268 | 269 | 537 | 62 | 261 | 21 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Yankees | — | 213 | 186 | 51 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 31 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 354 | 366 | 720 | 91 | 321 | 15 | 8 | 322 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 394 | 366 | 63 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 142 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 172 | 219 | 240 | 460 | 68 | 256 | 36 | 3 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 394 | 361 | 80 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 104 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 222 | 276 | 313 | 589 | 91 | 283 | 26 | 4 | 265 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 325 | 303 | 62 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 97 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 205 | 254 | 310 | 564 | 106 | 282 | 30 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 325 | 295 | 70 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 80 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 237 | 303 | 373 | 676 | 136 | 301 | 25 | 8 | 303 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 297 | 273 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 105 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 176 | 232 | 300 | 532 | 125 | 244 | 35 | 4 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | Somerset Patriots | — | 297 | 268 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 86 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 205 | 273 | 373 | 646 | 168 | 251 | 29 | 6 | 286 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 333 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 119 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 198 | 266 | 318 | 585 | 120 | 274 | 32 | 7 | 253 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 367 | 323 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 98 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 235 | 321 | 393 | 715 | 158 | 296 | 27 | 9 | 320 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 334 | 307 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 131 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 117 | 176 | 192 | 368 | 75 | 177 | 39 | 5 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 334 | 301 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 100 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 163 | 234 | 239 | 473 | 76 | 220 | 30 | 7 | 218 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 219 | 44 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 80 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 201 | 265 | 260 | 525 | 59 | 312 | 33 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 244 | 215 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 66 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 209 | 286 | 270 | 555 | 60 | 298 | 27 | 6 | 254 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 367 | 66 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 126 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 180 | 244 | 275 | 519 | 95 | 252 | 31 | 6 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 401 | 354 | 78 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 104 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 220 | 307 | 347 | 654 | 127 | 286 | 26 | 9 | 296 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 213 | 195 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 205 | 268 | 267 | 535 | 62 | 253 | 21 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 394 | 369 | 63 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 142 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 171 | 219 | 238 | 458 | 68 | 246 | 36 | 3 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 325 | 302 | 62 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 97 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 205 | 254 | 311 | 565 | 106 | 281 | 30 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 297 | 275 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 105 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 175 | 232 | 298 | 530 | 124 | 237 | 35 | 4 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 333 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 119 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 198 | 266 | 318 | 585 | 120 | 268 | 32 | 7 | 253 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 334 | 309 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 131 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 117 | 176 | 191 | 367 | 74 | 171 | 39 | 5 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 223 | 44 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 80 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 197 | 265 | 256 | 520 | 58 | 293 | 33 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 367 | 66 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 126 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 180 | 244 | 275 | 519 | 95 | 245 | 31 | 6 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 334 | 309 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 131 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 117 | 176 | 191 | 367 | 74 | 171 | 39 | 5 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 223 | 44 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 80 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 197 | 265 | 256 | 520 | 58 | 293 | 33 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 367 | 66 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 126 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 180 | 244 | 275 | 519 | 95 | 245 | 31 | 6 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | DET | 10% | 368 | 338 | 61 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 114 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 181 | 242 | 265 | 506 | 84 | 256 | 31 | 6 | 232 | 43 | -25 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | DET | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 239 | 259 | 498 | 81 | 252 | 31 | 6 | 228 | 43 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | DET | 27% | 191 | 175 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 59 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 180 | 241 | 262 | 503 | 82 | 254 | 31 | 6 | 230 | 42 | -13 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +4 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | DET | 27% | 52 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 238 | 257 | 494 | 80 | 250 | 31 | 6 | 227 | 42 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 52 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 250 | 292 | 542 | 104 | 258 | 31 | 6 | 227 | 38 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 112 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 38 | 200 | 12 | 25 | 0 | 187 | 249 | 288 | 538 | 102 | 258 | 31 | 6 | 227 | 38 | -45 | +5 | -10 | +2 | +14 | -3.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2921 | 2678 | 482 | 98 | 6 | 43 | 148 | 951 | 59 | 132 | 24 | 180 | 239 | 269 | 508 | 89 | 256 | 33 | 5 | 224 | 38 | -24 | +2 | -3 | +1 | +7 | -1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 108 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 212 | 13 | 29 | 5 | 181 | 240 | 272 | 512 | 91 | 258 | 33 | 5 | 224 | 38 | -45 | +3 | -5 | +2 | +14 | -3.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 249 PAwOBA .283 → .222 (−61)K% 27.3% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.31% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 2.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.985 | ×0.972 | 16.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×0.972 | 6.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×0.972 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .283 → .222; ISO .123 → .091; BABIP .282 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAErie SeaWolves · 152 PAwOBA .304 → .238 (−66)K% 23.7% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.969 | ×0.948 | 19.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.969 | ×0.948 | 4.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.969 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 2.99% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .304 → .238; ISO .133 → .099; BABIP .292 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AASomerset Patriots · 215 PAwOBA .262 → .227 (−34)K% 26.0% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.05% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.05% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 4.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.26% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 2.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.64% | ÷0.969 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×0.958 | 21.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.70% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | ×1.022 | ×0.958 | 8.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 111, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .262 → .227; ISO .068 → .059; BABIP .309 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AASomerset Patriots · 237 PAwOBA .211 → .162 (−49)K% 33.8% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.76% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.17% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.050 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×0.968 | 13.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.76% | ÷0.902 | ×0.860 | ×0.962 | ×0.968 | 3.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.76% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 80, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .211 → .162; ISO .094 → .069; BABIP .198 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ATampa Tarpons · 15 PAwOBA .295 → .210 (−85)K% 13.3% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.959 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 18.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 94, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .295 → .210; ISO .214 → .157; BABIP .250 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AASomerset Patriots · 347 PAwOBA .319 → .258 (−61)K% 27.4% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.38% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.65% | ÷0.973 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 6.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.11% | ÷0.987 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×0.978 | 21.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.958 | ×0.860 | ×0.966 | ×0.978 | 4.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.966 | ×0.978 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 4.18% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .319 → .258; ISO .166 → .126; BABIP .305 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 20 PAwOBA .226 → .175 (−51)K% 15.0% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.00% | ÷0.998 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 13.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.029 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 13.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 81, 3B 110, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .226 → .175; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .154 → .139. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AASomerset Patriots · 297 PAwOBA .282 → .231 (−51)K% 29.0% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.96% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.06% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.36% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.58% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 17.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.59% | ÷0.972 | ×0.860 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.950 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.04% | ÷1.032 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .282 → .231; ISO .168 → .125; BABIP .251 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .