Errol Robinson — OGILVIE

Errol RobinsonSS Norfolk Tides

Age 31 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 188 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .270 / .291

PA188

HR2

SB6

K%28

BB%8

ISO90

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	243	227	49	12	1	1	10	61	2	18	2	216	255	291	546	75	287	25	4	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	243	220	62	17	1	2	17	42	2	18	2	282	339	395	734	114	337	17	7	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	3 teams	—	420	389	89	14	4	5	25	123	2	22	5	229	279	324	603	95	317	29	6	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	3 teams	—	420	374	101	17	6	7	40	88	2	22	5	270	344	404	747	134	332	21	10	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	530	498	105	13	1	7	26	162	4	21	9	211	256	283	539	72	296	31	5	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	530	480	116	15	2	10	44	120	4	21	9	242	311	344	654	102	301	23	8	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	391	362	75	11	0	5	25	106	3	9	6	207	264	279	543	72	278	27	6	242	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	391	346	90	14	0	5	41	80	3	9	6	260	344	344	688	84	324	20	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	2 teams	—	223	201	32	6	1	1	21	85	1	7	4	159	242	214	456	55	270	38	9	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	2 teams	—	223	191	37	8	1	1	31	67	1	7	4	194	309	262	571	68	293	30	14	272	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	145	128	31	4	0	1	16	52	1	12	3	242	331	297	628	55	400	36	11	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	145	119	32	4	0	1	25	42	1	12	3	269	400	328	728	59	408	29	17	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	2 teams	—	291	265	50	7	1	1	21	101	4	9	2	189	259	234	493	45	299	35	7	228	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	2 teams	—	291	255	58	8	1	2	31	79	4	9	2	227	321	290	611	63	320	27	11	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	171	155	31	6	0	1	14	50	0	12	3	200	266	258	524	58	286	29	8	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	171	149	31	7	0	1	20	48	0	12	3	208	302	275	577	67	297	28	12	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	BAL	—	188	170	35	7	1	2	15	52	1	6	1	206	274	294	568	88	274	28	8	258	55	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	BAL	27%	172	155	32	6	1	2	14	47	1	4	1	206	276	297	573	90	273	27	8	259	57	-8	+0	-4	+2	+5	-0.5
2028	33	MLB	BAL	37%	155	141	28	5	1	2	12	43	1	3	1	199	266	291	557	92	271	28	8	258	55	-8	+0	-4	+2	+4	-0.6
2027	32	MLB	BAL	27%	47	43	9	2	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	209	277	326	602	116	277	28	9	258	55	-2	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	33	MLB	BAL	37%	58	53	11	2	0	1	5	16	0	1	0	208	276	302	578	94	275	28	9	256	54	-3	+0	-2	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	105	96	20	4	0	2	9	29	0	2	0	208	276	312	589	104	277	28	9	257	55	-5	+0	-3	+1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	124	25	0	12	56	180	0	12	0	209	277	311	588	103	279	28	9	257	55	-33	+2	-16	+7	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	2929	2691	557	91	11	28	199	882	20	123	37	207	267	280	547	73	295	30	7	245	46	-179	+10	-8	+31	+83	-6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	123	20	2	6	44	196	4	27	8	206	265	276	541	70	294	30	7	245	46	-40	+2	-2	+7	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	243	220	62	17	1	2	17	42	2	18	2	282	339	395	734	114	337	17	7	325	107	+2	+3	—	—	+7	1.2
2017	22	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	258	227	62	8	2	2	29	50	1	11	3	273	358	352	710	79	341	19	11	325	107	+2	+1	—	—	+7	1.1
2017	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	76	70	20	4	3	2	5	17	1	5	1	286	342	514	856	229	353	22	7	373	143	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2017	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	86	77	19	5	1	3	6	21	0	6	1	247	301	455	756	208	286	24	7	320	103	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2018	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	475	433	107	14	1	10	37	104	3	18	9	247	311	353	664	106	302	22	8	300	88	-6	+0	—	—	+13	0.7
2018	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	55	47	9	1	1	0	7	16	1	3	0	191	309	255	564	64	290	29	13	270	65	-2	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2019	24	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	214	191	42	9	0	2	21	45	2	3	2	220	304	298	602	79	278	21	10	280	72	-7	-0	—	—	+6	-0.1
2019	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	177	155	48	5	0	3	20	35	1	6	4	310	392	400	792	90	381	20	11	359	133	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2021	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	119	102	18	4	1	1	17	33	0	2	1	176	294	265	559	88	250	28	14	265	61	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2021	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	104	89	19	4	0	0	14	34	1	5	3	213	327	258	585	45	345	33	13	281	73	-3	-0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2022	27	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	145	119	32	4	0	1	25	42	1	12	3	269	400	328	728	59	408	29	17	344	121	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	28	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	148	126	28	6	1	0	21	39	1	5	2	222	338	286	624	63	322	26	14	295	84	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2023	28	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	143	129	30	2	0	2	10	40	3	4	0	233	303	295	597	62	318	28	7	276	69	-5	+1	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	171	149	31	7	0	1	20	48	0	12	3	208	302	275	577	67	297	28	12	268	63	-7	+1	—	—	+5	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Errol Robinson (OGILVIE)	31	—	—	—	—	201/270/291	89	274	2	6	28%	8%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	43→45	54→50	41	184/246/294	109	250	11	13	30%	6%	46	-2.0	193/261/313	120	273	13	13	33%	6%	58	-1.2	153/230/258	105	221	12	16	35%	6%	28	-1.2
✕Drew Butera 2015 · MLB	31	39	42→40	47→40	46	196/259/300	104	242	10	4	23%	7%	53	-1.5	227/284/350	123	284	12	4	24%	7%	76	+0.1	238/290/357	119	300	12	0	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Pete Kozma 2019 · MLB	31	39→47	38→45	48→50	41	188/233/268	80	237	5	10	23%	5%	33	-2.9	208/259/320	112	249	10	7	20%	6%	58	-1.2	196/247/299	102	237	9	5	21%	5%	45	-1.4
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	38	40	47→55	43	190/255/276	86	266	8	13	31%	7%	45	-2.1	197/261/293	96	305	9	10	36%	6%	53	-1.5	152/225/219	67	257	5	5	40%	6%	15	-1.2
✕Yamid Haad 2009 · AAA	31	42	41→45	48→40	41	206/252/295	89	263	9	7	25%	5%	48	-1.9	228/267/335	107	292	11	5	25%	5%	65	-0.7	237/274/342	105	300	10	2	24%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Jack Reinheimer 2023 · AAA	31	46→51	40	55	41	222/271/314	93	299	8	20	28%	6%	61	-1.0	188/232/271	83	274	7	16	32%	5%	33	-2.9	144/183/194	50	198	3	12	28%	5%	-9	-1.3
✕Gookie Dawkins 2010 · AAA	31	41→48	40→45	45→50	38	202/247/289	87	277	8	10	29%	5%	44	-2.1	205/260/330	125	288	13	9	32%	6%	61	-1.0	194/255/332	138	269	16	8	33%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	39	42→45	44→45	43	195/253/296	100	257	10	4	28%	7%	49	-1.8	210/278/339	129	269	14	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Horacio Vasquez 2016 · AAA	30	43	39→40	48→40	39	211/250/292	81	273	7	9	25%	4%	46	-2.0	226/257/306	80	289	6	10	23%	4%	52	-1.6	245/256/275	30	311	0	6	21%	2%	41	-0.7
✕Alex Prieto 2007 · MLB	31	43	41→40	44→45	45	213/263/304	91	266	8	8	23%	6%	55	-1.4	220/272/329	109	270	10	9	21%	6%	66	-0.6	219/273/330	111	262	8	5	19%	6%	61	-0.3
✕Paul Hoover 2006 · AAA	30	43	43→45	50→45	43	212/268/326	114	264	10	10	24%	6%	63	-0.8	225/275/340	115	296	11	7	26%	6%	69	-0.4	223/273/333	109	299	10	3	28%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Deven Marrero 2021 · MLB	30	39→48	44→45	53→50	39	199/249/310	111	279	12	12	32%	6%	50	-1.7	215/274/333	118	302	14	10	32%	7%	68	-0.5	204/269/307	103	286	13	8	32%	8%	55	-0.4
✕David Matranga 2008 · AAA	31	40	46→45	51→50	43	206/273/329	123	265	14	13	28%	7%	67	-0.5	218/294/343	125	294	13	9	29%	8%	79	+0.3	211/297/329	119	288	12	5	29%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Jack López 2023 · MLB	30	38→46	41→45	54→55	32	188/229/286	98	288	8	19	37%	4%	36	-2.7	205/248/324	119	296	13	15	34%	5%	54	-1.4	203/247/314	111	289	12	15	33%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Ali Solis 2019 · AAA	31	40	42→45	47→30	34	202/236/305	103	287	10	7	33%	4%	43	-2.2	208/245/354	146	286	19	7	34%	4%	61	-1.0	188/222/339	151	246	22	3	34%	4%	44	-1.3
✕Dusty Coleman 2018 · MLB	31	38→42	48→50	51→50	35	194/248/337	142	295	15	14	38%	6%	58	-1.2	170/225/296	126	336	14	12	51%	6%	38	-2.6	106/161/203	97	243	12	11	59%	5%	-16	-3.5
✕Mike Nickeas 2014 · MLB	31	40	39→40	44→40	44	194/251/281	86	240	7	4	22%	6%	44	-2.1	207/262/306	99	261	10	7	24%	6%	56	-1.3	190/243/248	58	236	9	3	23%	6%	31	-0.9
✕Joe Hudson 2022 · MLB	31	36	43→45	47→40	38	185/235/289	104	266	11	5	34%	6%	40	-2.4	203/284/350	147	292	19	8	35%	9%	78	+0.2	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Ryan Budde 2011 · AAA	31	39	39→45	45→40	40	190/247/275	85	282	7	6	34%	7%	41	-2.3	186/250/268	82	294	7	7	36%	7%	40	-2.4	158/228/219	61	255	6	4	38%	8%	18	-1.5
✕Chris Truby 2005 · MLB	31	47→43	43→50	47→45	42	228/275/341	113	289	9	7	24%	6%	69	-0.4	206/255/344	138	255	16	6	26%	6%	63	-0.9	186/235/317	131	228	16	6	26%	6%	44	-1.4