Rosario Irazoqui
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 28 | AAABroncos de Re… | 160 | .257/.281/.318 | 2 | 0 | 40 | — | .235/.255/.295 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAABroncos de Ta… | 283 | .217/.288/.273 | 2 | 4 | 32 | — | .202/.252/.253 |
| 2016 | 30 | AAABroncos de Re… | 161 | .233/.291/.315 | 2 | 0 | 41 | — | .208/.253/.282 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | AAA | Potros de Tijuana | — | 66 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 354 | 291 | 645 | 55 | 310 | 20 | 12 | 302 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 17 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 294 | 294 | 529 | 824 | 235 | 500 | 47 | 0 | 358 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 63 | 61 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 164 | 190 | 230 | 420 | 66 | 238 | 30 | 3 | 190 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 65 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 217 | 467 | 17 | 273 | 25 | 5 | 216 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 181 | 158 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 314 | 310 | 624 | 70 | 298 | 19 | 7 | 279 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 58 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 263 | 283 | 546 | 75 | 297 | 29 | 7 | 245 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 160 | 148 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 257 | 281 | 318 | 599 | 61 | 324 | 23 | 1 | 259 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Broncos de Tamaulipas | — | 283 | 249 | 54 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 54 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 217 | 288 | 273 | 561 | 56 | 269 | 19 | 7 | 254 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 161 | 146 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 315 | 606 | 82 | 296 | 22 | 5 | 273 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 66 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 323 | 281 | 604 | 53 | 314 | 24 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 17 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 235 | 471 | 706 | 235 | 460 | 59 | 0 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 63 | 62 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 145 | 159 | 194 | 352 | 48 | 228 | 35 | 2 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 65 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 234 | 213 | 447 | 16 | 270 | 31 | 3 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 181 | 164 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 286 | 299 | 584 | 61 | 289 | 22 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 58 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 211 | 222 | 433 | 56 | 263 | 34 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 160 | 149 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 255 | 295 | 550 | 60 | 292 | 28 | 1 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Tamaulipas | — | 283 | 257 | 52 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 66 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 202 | 252 | 253 | 505 | 51 | 253 | 23 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 161 | 149 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 253 | 282 | 535 | 74 | 269 | 26 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 66 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 323 | 281 | 604 | 53 | 317 | 24 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AAA RAW | Potros de Tijuana | — | 66 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 354 | 291 | 645 | 55 | 310 | 20 | 12 | 302 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 17 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 235 | 471 | 706 | 235 | 500 | 59 | 0 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 17 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 294 | 294 | 529 | 824 | 235 | 500 | 47 | 0 | 358 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 63 | 62 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 145 | 159 | 194 | 352 | 48 | 225 | 35 | 2 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 63 | 61 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 164 | 190 | 230 | 420 | 66 | 238 | 30 | 3 | 190 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 65 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 234 | 213 | 447 | 16 | 293 | 31 | 3 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 65 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 217 | 467 | 17 | 273 | 25 | 5 | 216 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 181 | 164 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 286 | 299 | 584 | 61 | 304 | 22 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 181 | 158 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 314 | 310 | 624 | 70 | 298 | 19 | 7 | 279 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 58 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 211 | 222 | 433 | 56 | 257 | 34 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 58 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 263 | 283 | 546 | 75 | 297 | 29 | 7 | 245 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 160 | 149 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 255 | 295 | 550 | 60 | 314 | 28 | 1 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 160 | 148 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 257 | 281 | 318 | 599 | 61 | 324 | 23 | 1 | 259 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Tamaulipas | — | 283 | 257 | 52 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 66 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 202 | 252 | 253 | 505 | 51 | 265 | 23 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Tamaulipas | — | 283 | 249 | 54 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 54 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 217 | 288 | 273 | 561 | 56 | 269 | 19 | 7 | 254 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 161 | 149 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 253 | 282 | 535 | 74 | 276 | 26 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 161 | 146 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 315 | 606 | 82 | 296 | 22 | 5 | 273 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 66 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 323 | 276 | 599 | 52 | 314 | 24 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 17 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 235 | 471 | 706 | 235 | 460 | 59 | 0 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 63 | 62 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 145 | 159 | 194 | 352 | 48 | 228 | 35 | 2 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 65 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 234 | 210 | 444 | 16 | 270 | 31 | 3 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 181 | 168 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 232 | 286 | 292 | 577 | 60 | 289 | 22 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 58 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 164 | 211 | 218 | 429 | 55 | 263 | 34 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 160 | 155 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 255 | 284 | 539 | 58 | 292 | 28 | 1 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Tamaulipas | — | 283 | 264 | 52 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 66 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 197 | 252 | 246 | 498 | 49 | 253 | 23 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 161 | 151 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 253 | 278 | 531 | 73 | 269 | 26 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1054 | 970 | 204 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 279 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 210 | 253 | 269 | 522 | 59 | 285 | 26 | 4 | 225 | 38 | -78 | -1 | +0 | +4 | +23 | -5.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 126 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 172 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 211 | 253 | 271 | 524 | 60 | 286 | 26 | 4 | 225 | 38 | -48 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 161 PAwOBA .266 → .229 (−36)K% 22.4% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.36% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.97% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 2.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.64% | ÷1.014 | ×0.930 | ×1.046 | ×0.972 | 22.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×1.046 | ×0.972 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.046 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.874 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.42% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .266 → .229; ISO .082 → .065; BABIP .296 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAABroncos de Tamaulipas · 283 PAwOBA .247 → .216 (−31)K% 19.1% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.08% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.42% | ÷1.122 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 22.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.05% | ÷1.108 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 1.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.03% | ÷0.851 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.83% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 96, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .247 → .216; ISO .056 → .046; BABIP .269 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 160 PAwOBA .255 → .227 (−28)K% 23.1% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.12% | ÷1.016 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.25% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 0.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.63% | ÷1.065 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 27.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.061 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷0.912 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.37% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 113, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .255 → .227; ISO .061 → .048; BABIP .324 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 58 PAwOBA .243 → .198 (−45)K% 29.3% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.31% | ÷1.012 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷1.031 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 20.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.155 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.003 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.932 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 131, 3B 130, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .243 → .198; ISO .075 → .056; BABIP .297 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 181 PAwOBA .272 → .253 (−18)K% 18.8% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.78% | ÷1.052 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.63% | ÷1.125 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.21% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.19% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 24.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.106 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 3.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.941 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.61% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 98, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 110, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .272 → .253; ISO .070 → .059; BABIP .298 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 65 PAwOBA .211 → .193 (−18)K% 24.6% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.62% | ÷0.981 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.62% | ÷1.016 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×1.046 | ×1.033 | 24.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.001 | ×0.830 | ×1.046 | ×1.033 | 2.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.046 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .211 → .193; ISO .017 → .014; BABIP .273 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 63 PAwOBA .185 → .161 (−24)K% 30.2% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.16% | ÷1.035 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.17% | ÷1.042 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.015 | ×0.930 | ×1.040 | ×1.048 | 14.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×1.048 | 8.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.915 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 107, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .185 → .161; ISO .066 → .055; BABIP .238 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 17 PAwOBA .346 → .248 (−98)K% 47.1% → 56.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 47.06% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 56.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 32.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 9.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 8.17% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .346 → .248; ISO .235 → .149; BABIP .500 → .460. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).