Brantley Bell
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 26 | AAACIN | 264 | .199/.279/.267 | 1 | 8 | 27 | — | .178/.225/.239 |
| 2023 | 28 | AASD | 108 | .232/.290/.354 | 1 | 6 | 24 | — | .168/.215/.257 |
| 2024 | 29 | INTLSenadores de … | 142 | .206/.262/.321 | 3 | 10 | 64 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 261 | 229 | 63 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 58 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 275 | 354 | 362 | 717 | 87 | 366 | 22 | 10 | 322 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 458 | 412 | 102 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 103 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 248 | 313 | 308 | 621 | 61 | 326 | 22 | 7 | 282 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | — | 241 | 215 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 51 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 223 | 283 | 265 | 548 | 42 | 278 | 21 | 4 | 248 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 256 | 229 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 72 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 240 | 312 | 332 | 644 | 92 | 335 | 28 | 8 | 291 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 67 | 65 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 239 | 262 | 500 | 46 | 350 | 37 | 3 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | — | 448 | 407 | 102 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 75 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 251 | 312 | 369 | 680 | 118 | 290 | 17 | 7 | 303 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 398 | 358 | 87 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 63 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 243 | 314 | 346 | 660 | 103 | 278 | 16 | 8 | 299 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 264 | 236 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 59 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 199 | 279 | 267 | 546 | 68 | 260 | 22 | 9 | 253 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 108 | 99 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 232 | 290 | 354 | 643 | 121 | 349 | 33 | 6 | 287 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 142 | 131 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 206 | 262 | 321 | 583 | 115 | 233 | 18 | 6 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 261 | 239 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 84 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 201 | 257 | 255 | 512 | 54 | 300 | 32 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 458 | 423 | 86 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 142 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 203 | 253 | 251 | 503 | 47 | 294 | 31 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 241 | 217 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 73 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 207 | 262 | 249 | 511 | 41 | 273 | 30 | 3 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 256 | 238 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 100 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 189 | 237 | 252 | 489 | 63 | 303 | 39 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 448 | 416 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 103 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 207 | 255 | 300 | 556 | 94 | 255 | 23 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 398 | 367 | 74 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 80 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 202 | 258 | 281 | 539 | 79 | 238 | 20 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 264 | 247 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 75 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 178 | 225 | 239 | 464 | 61 | 247 | 28 | 5 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 108 | 101 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 168 | 215 | 257 | 472 | 89 | 273 | 41 | 5 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 261 | 239 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 84 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 201 | 257 | 255 | 512 | 54 | 308 | 32 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK RAW | Billings Mustangs | — | 261 | 229 | 63 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 58 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 275 | 354 | 362 | 717 | 87 | 366 | 22 | 10 | 322 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 458 | 423 | 86 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 142 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 203 | 253 | 251 | 503 | 47 | 301 | 31 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 458 | 412 | 102 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 103 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 248 | 313 | 308 | 621 | 61 | 326 | 22 | 7 | 282 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 564 | 519 | 101 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 196 | 12 | 32 | 8 | 195 | 244 | 245 | 489 | 50 | 300 | 35 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 564 | 509 | 117 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 148 | 12 | 32 | 8 | 230 | 291 | 295 | 586 | 65 | 311 | 26 | 6 | 265 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 448 | 416 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 103 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 207 | 255 | 300 | 556 | 94 | 258 | 23 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ RAW | Daytona Tortugas | — | 448 | 407 | 102 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 75 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 251 | 312 | 369 | 680 | 118 | 290 | 17 | 7 | 303 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 398 | 367 | 74 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 80 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 202 | 258 | 281 | 539 | 79 | 243 | 20 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 398 | 358 | 87 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 63 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 243 | 314 | 346 | 660 | 103 | 278 | 16 | 8 | 299 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 264 | 247 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 75 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 178 | 225 | 239 | 464 | 61 | 250 | 28 | 5 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 264 | 236 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 59 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 199 | 279 | 267 | 546 | 68 | 260 | 22 | 9 | 253 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 108 | 101 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 168 | 215 | 257 | 472 | 89 | 281 | 41 | 5 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 108 | 99 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 232 | 290 | 354 | 643 | 121 | 349 | 33 | 6 | 287 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL MLE | Senadores de San Juan | — | 142 | 131 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 206 | 262 | 321 | 583 | 115 | 233 | 18 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL RAW | Senadores de San Juan | — | 142 | 131 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 206 | 262 | 321 | 583 | 115 | 233 | 18 | 6 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 261 | 241 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 84 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 199 | 257 | 253 | 510 | 54 | 300 | 32 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 458 | 427 | 86 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 142 | 6 | 23 | 9 | 201 | 253 | 248 | 501 | 47 | 294 | 31 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 564 | 525 | 101 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 196 | 12 | 32 | 8 | 192 | 244 | 242 | 486 | 50 | 288 | 35 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 448 | 418 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 103 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 206 | 255 | 299 | 554 | 93 | 255 | 23 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 398 | 367 | 74 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 80 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 202 | 258 | 281 | 539 | 79 | 238 | 20 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 264 | 247 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 75 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 178 | 225 | 239 | 464 | 61 | 247 | 28 | 5 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 108 | 101 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 168 | 215 | 257 | 472 | 89 | 273 | 41 | 5 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2643 | 2443 | 483 | 91 | 9 | 19 | 128 | 749 | 38 | 124 | 40 | 198 | 249 | 266 | 514 | 68 | 274 | 28 | 5 | 215 | 32 | -215 | +9 | +0 | +9 | +57 | -14.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 119 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 184 | 9 | 30 | 10 | 198 | 248 | 266 | 514 | 68 | 273 | 28 | 5 | 215 | 32 | -53 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AASan Antonio Missions · 108 PAwOBA .282 → .203 (−79)K% 33.3% → 41.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.48% | ÷0.927 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.958 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.63% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×0.958 | 17.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.116 | ×0.840 | ×0.953 | ×0.958 | 9.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.940 | ×0.953 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 1.48% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 97, 2B 123, 3B 102, K 97, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .282 → .203; ISO .121 → .083; BABIP .349 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALouisville Bats · 264 PAwOBA .243 → .208 (−35)K% 22.3% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.35% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷1.099 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.77% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×1.003 | 18.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.003 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.003 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.088 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.36% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 90, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .243 → .208; ISO .068 → .059; BABIP .260 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 398 PAwOBA .292 → .238 (−54)K% 15.8% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.83% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.29% | ÷0.949 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 5.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.76% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.02% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 18.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.44% | ÷1.160 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.03% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.66% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 95, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 93, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .292 → .238; ISO .103 → .080; BABIP .278 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Daytona Tortugas · 448 PAwOBA .297 → .245 (−52)K% 16.7% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.74% | ÷1.035 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.70% | ÷0.994 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 4.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.39% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 19.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.33% | ÷1.088 | ×0.960 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 5.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.047 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.73% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 118, 3B 109, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .297 → .245; ISO .118 → .094; BABIP .290 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ADayton Dragons · 256 PAwOBA .284 → .219 (−65)K% 28.1% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.12% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.42% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 4.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.84% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.990 | 23.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.28% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×0.990 | 7.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×0.990 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.168 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.86% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 97, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .284 → .219; ISO .092 → .066; BABIP .335 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Daytona Tortugas · 241 PAwOBA .248 → .224 (−24)K% 21.2% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.16% | ÷0.996 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.73% | ÷0.964 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 2.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.73% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 3.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 24.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.66% | ÷1.009 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 3.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.932 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.57% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 90, K 99, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .248 → .224; ISO .042 → .038; BABIP .278 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ADayton Dragons · 458 PAwOBA .276 → .222 (−54)K% 22.5% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.49% | ÷0.986 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.21% | ÷1.052 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.54% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | — | 24.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.18% | ÷0.966 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | — | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.015 | — | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.153 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.22% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .276 → .222; ISO .061 → .047; BABIP .326 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKBillings Mustangs · 261 PAwOBA .316 → .229 (−87)K% 22.2% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 22.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .316 → .229; ISO .087 → .061; BABIP .366 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .