Zach Remillard
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 28 | AAACWS | 491 | .280/.377/.400 | 9 | 19 | 72 | — | .231/.304/.302 | |
| 2023 | 29 | AAACWS | 276 | .235/.344/.355 | 5 | 16 | 57 | — | .198/.275/.279 | |
| 2023 | 29 | MLBCWS | 160 | .252/.295/.320 | 1 | 4 | 67 | -0.1 | ||
| 2024 | 30 | AAACWS | 176 | .146/.215/.234 | 3 | 2 | -10 | — | .111/.163/.173 | |
| 2024 | 30 | MLBCWS | 39 | .242/.342/.333 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 0.2 | ||
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 116 | 110 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 227 | 261 | 373 | 634 | 145 | 275 | 23 | 4 | 278 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 46 | 42 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 310 | 370 | 619 | 989 | 310 | 355 | 20 | 4 | 425 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 529 | 484 | 119 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 124 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 246 | 284 | 353 | 638 | 107 | 312 | 23 | 4 | 276 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 419 | 380 | 95 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 103 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 250 | 317 | 395 | 711 | 145 | 315 | 25 | 7 | 318 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 109 | 95 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 232 | 324 | 326 | 650 | 95 | 345 | 33 | 12 | 298 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 401 | 357 | 103 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 89 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 289 | 358 | 378 | 736 | 90 | 371 | 22 | 8 | 331 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 306 | 269 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 85 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 193 | 284 | 357 | 641 | 164 | 231 | 28 | 9 | 288 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 59 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 295 | 466 | 455 | 920 | 159 | 324 | 12 | 15 | 413 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 491 | 418 | 117 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 57 | 109 | 8 | 19 | 7 | 280 | 377 | 400 | 776 | 120 | 354 | 22 | 12 | 348 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 160 | 147 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 48 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 252 | 295 | 320 | 615 | 68 | 367 | 30 | 5 | 273 | 67 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 276 | 234 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 50 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 235 | 344 | 355 | 699 | 120 | 276 | 18 | 12 | 319 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 39 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 342 | 333 | 675 | 91 | 348 | 26 | 13 | 303 | 91 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 176 | 158 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 146 | 215 | 234 | 449 | 89 | 175 | 24 | 6 | 205 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 199 | 180 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 58 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 250 | 304 | 322 | 626 | 72 | 364 | 29 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -6 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 116 | 112 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 188 | 209 | 295 | 503 | 107 | 252 | 30 | 3 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 46 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 239 | 349 | 588 | 163 | 264 | 28 | 2 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 529 | 490 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 170 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 202 | 233 | 292 | 525 | 90 | 268 | 32 | 2 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 419 | 392 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 158 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 186 | 235 | 288 | 523 | 102 | 279 | 38 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 109 | 99 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 269 | 293 | 561 | 91 | 314 | 40 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 401 | 371 | 81 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 130 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 218 | 270 | 283 | 553 | 65 | 316 | 32 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 306 | 278 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 101 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 151 | 221 | 248 | 469 | 97 | 201 | 33 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 59 | 48 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 271 | 397 | 417 | 813 | 146 | 277 | 15 | 8 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 491 | 437 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 134 | 8 | 19 | 7 | 231 | 304 | 302 | 606 | 71 | 313 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 160 | 148 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 48 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 250 | 288 | 318 | 606 | 68 | 367 | 30 | 4 | 268 | 67 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 276 | 247 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 61 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 198 | 275 | 279 | 554 | 81 | 248 | 22 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 39 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 342 | 333 | 675 | 91 | 348 | 26 | 13 | 303 | 91 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 176 | 162 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 52 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 111 | 163 | 173 | 336 | 62 | 143 | 30 | 4 | 154 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 162 | 155 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 230 | 342 | 572 | 142 | 262 | 30 | 2 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 162 | 152 | 38 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 250 | 292 | 441 | 733 | 191 | 297 | 22 | 4 | 320 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 529 | 490 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 170 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 202 | 233 | 292 | 525 | 90 | 288 | 32 | 2 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A RAW | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 529 | 484 | 119 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 124 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 246 | 284 | 353 | 638 | 107 | 312 | 23 | 4 | 276 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 419 | 392 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 158 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 186 | 235 | 288 | 523 | 102 | 286 | 38 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 419 | 380 | 95 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 103 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 250 | 317 | 395 | 711 | 145 | 315 | 25 | 7 | 318 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 470 | 100 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 174 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 213 | 267 | 277 | 544 | 64 | 324 | 34 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 510 | 452 | 125 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 46 | 125 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 277 | 350 | 367 | 718 | 91 | 366 | 25 | 9 | 324 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 326 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 110 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 169 | 249 | 273 | 522 | 104 | 224 | 30 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 365 | 313 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 92 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 208 | 313 | 371 | 684 | 163 | 248 | 25 | 10 | 308 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 491 | 437 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 134 | 8 | 19 | 7 | 231 | 304 | 302 | 606 | 71 | 319 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 491 | 418 | 117 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 57 | 109 | 8 | 19 | 7 | 280 | 377 | 400 | 776 | 120 | 354 | 22 | 12 | 348 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 436 | 395 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 109 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 218 | 280 | 294 | 573 | 76 | 289 | 25 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 436 | 381 | 92 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 98 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 241 | 326 | 341 | 668 | 100 | 308 | 22 | 10 | 302 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 215 | 195 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 62 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 133 | 195 | 200 | 395 | 67 | 180 | 29 | 6 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 215 | 191 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 162 | 238 | 251 | 489 | 89 | 204 | 25 | 7 | 223 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 162 | 155 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 230 | 342 | 572 | 142 | 255 | 30 | 2 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 529 | 504 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 170 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 196 | 233 | 284 | 517 | 87 | 268 | 32 | 2 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 419 | 391 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 158 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 187 | 235 | 289 | 524 | 102 | 279 | 38 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 470 | 100 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 174 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 213 | 267 | 277 | 544 | 64 | 316 | 34 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 327 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 110 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 168 | 249 | 272 | 521 | 104 | 213 | 30 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 491 | 442 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 134 | 8 | 19 | 7 | 229 | 304 | 299 | 603 | 70 | 313 | 27 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 436 | 399 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 109 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 216 | 280 | 291 | 570 | 75 | 292 | 25 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 215 | 198 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 62 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 131 | 195 | 197 | 392 | 66 | 180 | 29 | 6 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 215 | 198 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 62 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 131 | 195 | 197 | 392 | 66 | 180 | 29 | 6 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 199 | 180 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 58 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 250 | 304 | 322 | 626 | 72 | 364 | 29 | 7 | 279 | 47 | -6 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 146 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 189 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 248 | 301 | 318 | 619 | 70 | 361 | 29 | 6 | 279 | 47 | -20 | -1 | +4 | +8 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3127 | 2860 | 571 | 94 | 12 | 42 | 165 | 965 | 51 | 81 | 32 | 200 | 256 | 285 | 541 | 85 | 282 | 31 | 5 | 238 | 47 | -6 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 119 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 201 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 200 | 256 | 286 | 542 | 86 | 284 | 31 | 5 | 238 | 47 | -20 | -1 | +4 | +8 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAACharlotte Knights · 176 PAwOBA .202 → .154 (−48)K% 24.4% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.43% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.91% | ÷1.033 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 11.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.61% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 2.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.049 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.61% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 110, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .202 → .154; ISO .089 → .063; BABIP .175 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAACharlotte Knights · 276 PAwOBA .312 → .253 (−59)K% 18.1% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.12% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.96% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.81% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.65% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×0.982 | 19.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.98% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.982 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×0.982 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.72% | ÷1.152 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.62% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 93, 2B 94, 3B 99, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .312 → .253; ISO .120 → .088; BABIP .276 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAACharlotte Knights · 491 PAwOBA .343 → .275 (−68)K% 22.2% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.20% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.61% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.16% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 25.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 4.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×0.992 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.91% | ÷1.421 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.42% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .343 → .275; ISO .120 → .079; BABIP .354 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAACharlotte Knights · 306 PAwOBA .281 → .210 (−72)K% 27.8% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.011 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.29% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 16.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.128 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 3.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.190 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.85% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .281 → .210; ISO .164 → .099; BABIP .231 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABirmingham Barons · 59 PAwOBA .410 → .339 (−71)K% 11.9% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.25% | ÷1.119 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.978 | 9.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.47% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 7.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.075 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.978 | 20.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.928 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.087 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.90% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 115, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 100, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .410 → .339; ISO .159 → .138; BABIP .324 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 401 PAwOBA .323 → .242 (−81)K% 22.2% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.19% | ÷0.972 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.98% | ÷0.997 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 4.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.60% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 26.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.60% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷1.113 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 1.48% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 98, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .323 → .242; ISO .090 → .062; BABIP .371 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AABirmingham Barons · 109 PAwOBA .293 → .239 (−54)K% 33.0% → 40.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.03% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.93% | ÷0.929 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 8.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.81% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 26.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.009 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.73% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .293 → .239; ISO .095 → .075; BABIP .345 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 419 PAwOBA .310 → .228 (−83)K% 24.6% → 37.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.58% | ÷0.928 | ×1.420 | — | — | 37.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.16% | ÷1.049 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 4.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.47% | ÷0.984 | ×0.940 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 21.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.78% | ÷0.939 | ×0.830 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 4.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.97% | ÷1.014 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 3.48% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 86, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .310 → .228; ISO .145 → .105; BABIP .315 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).