Jake Slaughter — OGILVIE

Jake SlaughterSS Tacoma Rainiers

Age 29 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .290 / .359

PA250

HR6

SB8

K%31

BB%6

ISO135

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT28

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	South Bend Cubs	—	121	110	26	4	1	1	6	32	2	0	0	236	288	318	606	82	312	26	5	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	South Bend Cubs	—	121	108	30	5	1	1	8	22	2	0	0	278	339	370	709	93	330	18	7	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	2 teams	—	399	366	73	8	2	3	17	148	13	16	7	199	260	257	517	57	323	37	4	228	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	2 teams	—	399	360	87	12	3	3	23	112	13	16	7	242	311	317	627	75	340	28	6	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	470	412	100	19	1	19	36	147	18	36	8	243	330	432	763	189	324	31	8	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	470	401	114	21	1	23	47	105	18	36	8	284	384	514	898	229	329	22	10	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	432	386	79	16	1	20	31	137	11	16	6	205	283	407	689	202	253	32	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	432	371	90	21	1	22	46	119	11	16	6	243	343	482	826	240	291	28	11	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	498	455	98	20	0	9	30	166	10	21	8	215	279	319	597	103	314	33	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	498	441	124	27	0	15	44	130	10	21	8	281	360	444	804	163	365	26	9	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	SEA	—	250	227	52	11	1	6	16	76	5	8	3	229	294	366	660	137	308	30	6	293	82	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	SEA	33%	323	292	67	14	1	8	22	97	6	9	3	229	297	366	663	137	305	30	7	294	83	-6	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.5
2028	31	MLB	SEA	46%	329	298	67	14	1	8	22	98	6	8	3	225	291	359	650	134	302	30	7	292	82	-7	+0	-3	+4	+9	0.4
2027	30	MLB	SEA	33%	106	96	21	4	0	3	7	32	2	3	1	219	286	354	640	135	302	30	7	277	70	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.0
2028	31	MLB	SEA	46%	151	137	30	6	0	4	10	45	3	4	1	219	287	350	637	131	300	30	7	276	69	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	257	233	51	10	0	7	17	77	5	7	2	219	286	352	638	133	291	30	7	276	69	-9	+1	-2	+3	+7	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	129	25	0	18	43	195	13	18	5	219	287	353	640	134	291	30	7	276	69	-22	+2	-5	+7	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2822	2546	562	106	8	74	180	901	71	114	38	221	291	356	647	135	307	32	6	283	75	-79	+8	-5	+30	+80	3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	129	24	2	17	41	208	16	26	9	220	289	355	644	135	306	32	6	283	75	-18	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	South Bend Cubs	—	121	108	30	5	1	1	8	22	2	0	0	278	339	370	709	93	330	18	7	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	24	19	1	1	0	0	2	11	3	0	0	53	250	105	355	53	125	46	8	204	14	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	375	341	86	11	3	3	21	101	10	16	7	252	315	328	643	76	347	27	6	292	82	-8	+0	—	—	+11	0.3
2022	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	386	328	96	17	1	20	37	83	17	28	8	293	393	534	926	241	332	22	10	404	167	+29	+2	—	—	+11	4.3
2022	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	84	73	18	4	0	3	10	22	1	8	0	247	345	425	770	178	312	26	12	346	123	+2	+2	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	432	371	90	21	1	22	46	119	11	16	6	243	343	482	826	240	291	28	11	361	135	+17	+1	—	—	+12	3.1
2024	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	498	441	124	27	0	15	44	130	10	21	8	281	360	444	804	163	365	26	9	358	132	+18	+1	—	—	+14	3.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	282	7	7	227	290	362	+3	+3	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	17	17	227	290	362	+7.1	+7.1	1.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Slaughter (OGILVIE)	29	28	39	57	43	224/290/359	134	308	6	8	31%	6%	82	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Tim Lopes 2023 · MLB	29	40→50	47→45	50→55	42	206/265/339	133	269	14	15	29%	6%	66	-0.6	229/300/340	111	321	11	28	30%	9%	80	+0.4	237/316/331	94	338	9	39	30%	10%	80	+0.3
✕Chris Owings 2021 · MLB	29	43→53	47→50	48→55	41	218/274/352	134	295	15	15	31%	7%	73	-0.1	206/272/349	143	291	16	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	184/261/307	123	264	15	11	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB	29	43→41	46→50	48→55	46	212/287/341	129	296	13	8	31%	9%	76	+0.0	211/288/355	144	273	17	13	28%	9%	80	+0.4	202/286/351	149	254	18	16	27%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	42	45→50	49→50	41	213/268/337	124	286	13	11	30%	6%	66	-0.6	208/271/377	169	328	22	14	41%	7%	79	+0.3	153/218/323	171	234	27	18	47%	6%	41	-0.9
✕Christian Lopes 2022 · AAA	29	43→50	49→45	48→50	46	218/300/366	148	293	16	11	30%	8%	88	+0.9	213/285/328	115	309	11	11	32%	8%	72	-0.2	186/263/260	74	284	4	9	33%	8%	43	-0.8
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	46	50	51→50	42	228/293/393	165	308	16	14	30%	7%	92	+1.2	219/280/368	149	328	16	9	36%	6%	79	+0.3	192/246/312	120	316	14	5	42%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	41	218/283/355	137	263	16	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	206/269/342	136	270	17	5	30%	5%	69	-0.4	174/240/294	120	233	17	0	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	43	45	57→55	47	207/296/332	126	302	13	28	33%	10%	78	+0.2	215/291/329	114	357	12	21	39%	9%	74	-0.1	187/265/256	69	364	8	20	46%	9%	41	-0.8
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	42	220/270/377	157	256	20	12	24%	5%	79	+0.3	219/286/373	154	263	20	9	24%	7%	84	+0.6	177/272/313	136	213	19	8	27%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	47→48	47→50	57→50	46	230/294/372	142	295	13	11	26%	8%	86	+0.8	221/302/378	157	287	19	8	28%	10%	92	+1.2	209/296/361	152	272	19	4	29%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕Scott Kingery 2022 · MLB	28	41→51	48→55	53→55	42	207/270/353	146	286	14	12	32%	7%	72	-0.2	199/262/324	125	297	13	22	35%	8%	60	-1.0	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA	29	42	44→45	47→30	43	212/272/328	116	281	12	3	28%	7%	66	-0.6	219/288/371	152	273	16	5	25%	8%	84	+0.6	214/294/383	169	256	18	1	23%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	40	47→50	48→40	48	204/290/339	135	259	14	5	26%	9%	78	+0.2	218/297/342	124	289	13	7	27%	9%	81	+0.4	195/295/265	70	263	10	0	27%	12%	58	-0.2
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	43→45	48→50	49	213/288/334	121	268	10	13	24%	8%	74	-0.1	204/270/325	121	268	14	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	41→40	50	56→55	43	212/287/361	149	289	18	23	32%	8%	82	+0.5	205/283/343	138	285	17	21	32%	8%	76	+0.0	187/271/314	127	259	16	21	33%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Skye Bolt 2023 · MLB	29	46→39	51→50	54→50	43	236/295/396	160	293	20	14	26%	6%	93	+1.3	232/300/353	121	326	12	10	30%	8%	84	+0.6	229/307/327	97	339	8	5	32%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→53	50	56→55	43	238/303/396	159	315	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.5	224/272/345	121	325	12	14	33%	5%	70	-0.3	219/262/322	103	328	9	10	35%	4%	57	-0.9