Ryan Kreidler — OGILVIE

Ryan KreidlerCF Minnesota Twins

Age 28 R/R 6'3" / 208 lbs MLB Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION351 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP265

ISO137

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

904.8%

xAVG

100.205

POWER45

Barrel%

406.9

Avg EV

2487.1

Bat Spd

8474.9

EYE60

Chase%

908.7%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%28%▲▲26% over 96 PA (60d) · proj 30%

BB%7%▼▼5% over 96 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.129·.112 over 89 AB (60d) · proj .138

HR/BB3.3%▼1.6% over 64 BBE (60d) · proj 4.2%

BABIP.251·.222 over 63 BIP (60d) · proj .253

SLASH.193/.262/.322▼proj .191/.273/.329

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.0M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	162	135	41	8	0	7	24	39	1	5	2	304	412	519	931	215	374	24	15	406	161	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
2021	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	388	347	89	15	0	15	32	119	5	10	4	256	328	429	758	173	341	31	8	335	113	+6	+0	—	—	+8	1.5
2022	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	84	73	13	1	0	1	6	22	1	0	1	178	250	233	483	55	231	26	7	217	33	-7	-0	+5	+1	+2	0.1
2022	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	250	202	43	12	2	8	36	72	9	15	1	213	356	411	767	198	280	29	14	344	119	+6	+3	—	—	+5	1.4
2022	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	17	13	3	2	0	0	4	3	0	2	0	231	412	385	796	154	300	18	24	368	135	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	18	18	2	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		182	39	0	101	-46	-3	+0	+1	+1	+0	-0.1
2023	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	209	176	42	6	0	11	28	53	3	11	4	239	353	460	813	222	272	25	13	359	129	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.3
2023	25	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	19	17	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	176	263	235	498	59	300	37	11	236	46	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	25	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	25	19	4	1	0	1	6	9	0	1	0	211	400	421	821	211	333	36	24	374	140	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	65	59	7	0	0	1	6	19	0	5	3	119	200	169	369	51	154	29	9	180	8	-7	-0	-1	+3	+1	-0.3
2024	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	201	170	34	4	2	5	25	59	5	7	0	200	320	335	655	135	274	29	12	302	91	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	26	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	22	20	2	0	0	0	1	11	1	0	0	100	182	100	282		222	50	5	147	-14	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	44	38	4	0	0	0	4	19	0	2	0	105	190	105	296		211	43	9	146	-15	-6	+0	-0	+2	+1	-0.3
2025	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	401	332	79	27	4	5	58	109	8	18	9	238	364	389	753	151	336	27	14	341	117	+8	+0	—	—	+9	1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	211	188	26	1	0	2	16	67	1	7	4	138	210	176	385	37	198	32	8	181	9	-23	-0	+5	+7	+5	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	162	144	38	7	0	5	15	47	1	5	2	264	338	417	754	153	343	29	9	330	109	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2021	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	388	356	74	13	0	11	23	142	5	10	4	208	266	337	603	129	295	37	6	261	63	-17	+0	—	—	+8	-0.9
2022	24	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	84	73	13	1	0	1	6	22	1	0	1	178	250	233	483	55	231	26	7	218	34	-7	-0	+5	+1	+2	0.1
2022	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	250	212	36	10	2	5	26	86	9	15	1	170	287	307	594	137	241	34	10	270	69	-9	+3	—	—	+5	-0.1
2022	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	17	14	3	2	0	0	3	4	0	2	0	214	353	357	710	143	278	24	18	297	87	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	18	18	2	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		182	39	0	101	-46	-3	+0	+1	+1	+0	-0.1
2023	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	209	185	36	4	0	9	19	64	3	11	4	195	280	362	642	168	235	31	9	281	76	-6	+1	—	—	+5	-0.1
2023	25	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	167	211	222	433	56	268	47	5	167	-1	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	25	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	25	21	3	1	0	1	4	13	0	1	0	143	280	333	613	190	305	52	16	247	53	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	65	59	7	0	0	1	6	19	0	5	3	119	200	169	369	51	154	29	9	180	8	-7	-0	-1	+3	+1	-0.3
2024	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	201	178	28	3	2	4	17	69	5	7	0	157	250	264	514	107	223	34	8	233	44	-13	+1	—	—	+4	-0.8
2024	26	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	22	20	1	0	0	0	1	15	1	0	0	50	136	50	186		209	68	5	96	-49	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	44	38	4	0	0	0	4	19	0	2	0	105	190	105	296		211	43	9	145	-16	-6	+0	-0	+2	+1	-0.3
2025	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	401	354	68	22	3	4	36	136	8	18	9	192	281	305	586	113	289	34	9	261	63	-18	+0	—	—	+9	-0.9
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	550	499	111	20	0	15	39	188	6	15	6	222	287	353	639	130	318	34	7	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	550	482	130	23	0	22	56	158	6	15	6	270	353	454	807	185	351	29	10	356	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	351	299	53	13	2	7	35	112	10	17	2	177	285	304	589	127	249	32	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	351	288	59	15	2	9	46	97	10	17	2	205	334	365	699	160	267	28	13	315	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	271	241	43	6	0	9	25	93	3	12	4	178	264	315	579	137	241	34	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	271	230	51	8	0	12	36	76	3	12	4	222	335	413	748	191	271	28	13	334	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	288	257	36	3	2	5	24	104	6	12	3	140	230	226	456	86	209	36	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	288	249	43	4	2	6	32	89	6	12	3	173	282	277	559	104	240	31	11	263	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	445	392	72	22	3	4	40	155	8	20	9	184	273	286	558	102	289	35	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	445	370	83	27	4	5	62	128	8	20	9	224	348	359	707	135	326	29	14	322	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	550	500	111	20	0	15	39	188	6	15	6	222	287	352	639	130	309	34	7	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	351	303	53	13	2	7	35	112	10	17	2	175	285	300	585	125	240	32	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	271	241	43	6	0	9	25	93	3	12	4	178	264	315	579	137	240	34	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	288	256	36	3	2	5	24	104	6	12	3	141	230	227	457	86	206	36	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	445	394	72	22	3	4	40	155	8	20	9	183	273	284	557	102	281	35	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	271	241	43	6	0	9	25	93	3	12	4	178	264	315	579	137	240	34	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	288	256	36	3	2	5	24	104	6	12	3	141	230	227	457	86	206	36	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	445	394	72	22	3	4	40	155	8	20	9	183	273	284	557	102	281	35	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB MLE	MIN	—	351	318	69	15	3	9	30	94	2	7	6	217	289	368	656	151	279	27	9	292	84	-7	-1	-1	+1	+8	0.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	MIN	—	238	218	48	9	3	6	17	53	2	4	3	220	283	372	654	151	264	22	7	291	84	-5	-0	-1	+1	+5	0.1
YTD	28	AAA RAW	MIN	—	113	94	25	7	0	5	19	34	0	3	3	266	389	500	889	234	364	30	17	393	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB RAW	MIN	—	238	218	48	9	3	6	17	53	2	4	3	220	283	372	654	151	264	22	7	291	83	-5	-0	-1	+1	+5	0.0
ROS	28	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		265	30	10	283	78	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		265	30	10	276	78	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	MIN	—	248	227	49	9	3	6	18	56	2	4	3	216	279	361	641	145	261	23	7	291	84	-5	-0	-1	+1	+5	0.1
TOT	28	MLB MLE	MIN	—	361	327	70	15	3	9	31	97	2	7	6	214	286	361	647	147	276	27	9	292	84	-7	-1	-1	+1	+8	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	380	340	69	14	3	10	33	109	4	10	4	203	281	350	631	147	264	29	9	282	77	-10	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	380	340	68	14	3	9	33	110	4	9	4	200	279	338	617	138	263	29	9	279	75	-11	+0	-3	+1	+8	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	247	220	45	9	2	6	22	71	3	6	3	205	286	345	631	141	264	29	9	275	77	-7	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	247	221	44	9	2	6	22	71	2	6	2	199	278	339	617	140	263	29	9	272	75	-7	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	715	638	116	19	4	14	61	212	6	19	9	182	260	290	550	108	245	30	9	246	64	-37	+0	+1	+9	+15	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	106	17	4	13	55	193	5	17	8	183	259	293	552	110	246	30	8	246	64	-34	+0	+1	+8	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2675	2377	453	92	13	59	230	874	41	95	32	191	273	315	588	124	269	33	9	263	64	-45	+0	-0	+10	+21	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	109	22	3	14	56	212	10	23	8	189	272	310	582	121	266	33	9	263	64	-30	+0	-0	+6	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.9	1,231	29	33	197	271	329	+4	+4	-0.7	-0.7
/162	664	16	18	+2.4	+2.3	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Kreidler (OGILVIE)	28	40	45	55	60	202/280/345	143	265	9	10	28%	9%	78	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→44	47→50	52→50	48	191/275/320	128	248	15	12	29%	9%	70	-0.8	201/294/345	144	266	17	13	29%	11%	82	+0.0	187/289/332	145	245	18	12	30%	12%	76	-0.3
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	47→45	53→55	49	218/294/356	138	264	15	16	23%	8%	84	+0.2	221/293/346	125	274	14	24	24%	8%	82	-0.0	215/286/326	111	267	12	28	23%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Brandon Larson 2004 · MLB	28	39→42	47→50	45	52	202/289/335	133	250	16	11	26%	10%	78	-0.3	224/295/372	148	288	17	7	27%	8%	88	+0.5	224/283/376	152	290	20	4	29%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	41	49→50	57→55	46	214/274/360	146	257	18	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	219/277/367	148	268	17	22	24%	6%	80	-0.1	209/267/365	156	250	18	20	24%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Tim Lopes 2022 · MLB	28	44→54	45	52→55	44	217/276/344	127	279	12	17	26%	7%	75	-0.5	218/284/336	118	299	12	24	29%	8%	76	-0.4	218/289/324	106	303	11	31	30%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Chip Ambres 2008 · MLB	28	43→49	47→50	48→50	49	217/291/352	136	271	16	10	26%	9%	82	+0.0	218/282/358	140	266	15	7	23%	8%	80	-0.1	213/275/350	137	254	15	6	22%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB	27	37→40	48→50	52→50	40	195/252/330	135	268	16	13	33%	6%	63	-1.4	192/272/322	130	271	14	13	32%	9%	69	-0.9	170/264/294	124	238	14	13	33%	11%	59	-1.0
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	44→51	42→40	54→55	52	215/312/321	106	274	10	21	24%	10%	84	+0.2	203/304/283	80	278	6	21	27%	10%	73	-0.6	177/289/221	44	253	3	23	27%	11%	53	-1.8
✕Taylor Motter 2018 · MLB	28	43→50	47→55	53→55	48	217/275/352	135	248	15	22	20%	7%	76	-0.4	187/252/313	126	230	15	13	25%	8%	59	-1.6	208/287/374	165	259	20	5	27%	10%	85	+0.1
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→39	44→50	46→45	50	188/283/306	118	262	12	9	31%	11%	70	-0.8	187/282/307	120	260	13	10	31%	11%	70	-0.9	168/270/286	118	229	14	8	31%	11%	59	-1.0
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	45→47	49→50	52→50	42	225/290/384	159	305	15	14	30%	7%	89	+0.5	217/278/360	143	326	15	9	36%	7%	80	-0.2	190/245/303	113	313	13	5	41%	6%	51	-0.8
✕Danny Mendick 2021 · MLB	27	45→48	45	47→50	47	224/284/347	122	269	13	13	22%	7%	78	-0.3	235/296/345	110	292	11	9	22%	7%	82	+0.0	235/300/335	100	287	10	11	21%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB	28	39→47	44→50	52→50	39	200/255/314	114	276	12	12	31%	6%	60	-1.6	184/242/301	117	304	13	10	42%	5%	53	-2.1	161/218/272	111	281	13	8	45%	4%	35	-2.3
✕Garrett Hampson 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	44→45	56→60	46	216/280/333	117	279	11	22	26%	8%	73	-0.6	243/307/339	96	327	6	18	25%	8%	84	+0.2	243/297/329	86	328	4	17	26%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→36	49→50	51→50	37	207/247/351	144	269	17	13	30%	4%	65	-1.2	231/288/355	124	292	12	10	24%	6%	82	-0.0	243/308/345	102	303	9	6	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Adam Fox 2010 · AAA	28	43→44	47→45	49→45	41	220/268/351	131	269	16	9	25%	5%	73	-0.6	197/244/320	123	248	13	9	25%	5%	57	-1.8	161/205/270	109	202	9	7	25%	5%	29	-1.4
✕Christian Lopes 2021 · AAA	28	45→51	44→45	47→50	49	222/297/340	118	275	11	13	23%	8%	82	+0.0	213/291/335	122	306	12	11	32%	8%	79	-0.2	194/280/309	115	286	11	9	33%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Hoy Park 2023 · MLB	27	42→49	45	53→55	49	212/291/333	122	280	14	16	28%	10%	78	-0.3	220/305/328	108	302	10	17	28%	10%	82	-0.0	220/312/315	96	303	8	19	28%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Chris Basak 2007 · AAA	28	46	43→45	56→55	46	227/283/343	116	276	10	21	22%	6%	76	-0.4	217/262/321	104	268	9	17	22%	5%	63	-1.3	209/248/303	94	257	8	18	21%	4%	52	-1.3
✕Ryan Cordell 2019 · MLB	27	40→43	45→50	51→50	38	203/247/328	125	267	13	14	29%	5%	60	-1.6	205/262/334	129	292	15	12	33%	6%	68	-1.0	183/249/317	134	267	18	12	37%	7%	58	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps