Tommy Field
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | AAATEX | 435 | .247/.352/.439 | 14 | 5 | 63 | — | .187/.268/.316 | |
| 2015 | 28 | MLBTEX | 45 | .195/.250/.366 | 2 | 1 | 62 | 0.0 | ||
| 2016 | 29 | AAAWSH | 362 | .226/.313/.387 | 11 | 2 | 58 | — | .193/.263/.324 | |
| 2017 | 30 | AAAWSH | 447 | .231/.298/.348 | 6 | 4 | 36 | — | .184/.232/.271 | |
| 2018 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 350 | 304 | 78 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 58 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 257 | 335 | 332 | 668 | 76 | 309 | 17 | 7 | 302 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 544 | 440 | 125 | 21 | 7 | 15 | 66 | 114 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 284 | 402 | 466 | 867 | 182 | 346 | 21 | 12 | 377 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 74 | 67 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 260 | 299 | 559 | 90 | 289 | 30 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 51 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 314 | 271 | 585 | 382 | 27 | 6 | 272 | 66 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +6 | +1 | 0.6 | |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 544 | 472 | 128 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 53 | 108 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 271 | 359 | 439 | 798 | 167 | 316 | 20 | 10 | 353 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 494 | 435 | 107 | 31 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 76 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 246 | 317 | 400 | 717 | 154 | 279 | 15 | 8 | 313 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 27 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 154 | 339 | 211 | 26 | 4 | 160 | -6 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.3 | |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 372 | 314 | 95 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 68 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 303 | 397 | 484 | 881 | 182 | 350 | 18 | 12 | 382 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 387 | 339 | 97 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 69 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 286 | 361 | 428 | 789 | 142 | 336 | 18 | 9 | 347 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 45 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 250 | 366 | 616 | 171 | 261 | 36 | 4 | 269 | 62 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 435 | 369 | 91 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 82 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 247 | 352 | 439 | 791 | 192 | 276 | 19 | 12 | 349 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 362 | 318 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 71 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 226 | 313 | 387 | 700 | 160 | 256 | 20 | 9 | 312 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 447 | 402 | 93 | 29 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 89 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 231 | 298 | 348 | 646 | 117 | 281 | 20 | 7 | 289 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 123 | 115 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 262 | 278 | 541 | 61 | 303 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 53 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +10 | +3 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 350 | 316 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 78 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 222 | 283 | 285 | 568 | 63 | 274 | 22 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 544 | 465 | 112 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 42 | 153 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 241 | 331 | 398 | 729 | 157 | 299 | 28 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 51 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 271 | 314 | 271 | 585 | 382 | 27 | 6 | 266 | 66 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +6 | +1 | 0.6 | |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 544 | 488 | 121 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 133 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 248 | 317 | 381 | 698 | 133 | 304 | 24 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 494 | 444 | 88 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 198 | 261 | 309 | 570 | 110 | 238 | 22 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 27 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 154 | 339 | 211 | 26 | 4 | 160 | -6 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.3 | |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 372 | 327 | 85 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 91 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 260 | 333 | 401 | 734 | 141 | 318 | 24 | 8 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 387 | 348 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 86 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 247 | 309 | 374 | 682 | 126 | 298 | 22 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 45 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 250 | 366 | 616 | 171 | 261 | 36 | 4 | 261 | 62 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 435 | 386 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 103 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 187 | 268 | 316 | 584 | 130 | 221 | 24 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 362 | 327 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 85 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 193 | 263 | 324 | 587 | 131 | 221 | 23 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 447 | 414 | 76 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 107 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 184 | 232 | 271 | 502 | 87 | 226 | 24 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 350 | 316 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 78 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 222 | 283 | 285 | 568 | 63 | 286 | 22 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 350 | 304 | 78 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 58 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 257 | 335 | 332 | 668 | 76 | 309 | 17 | 7 | 302 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 618 | 532 | 127 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 174 | 21 | 18 | 5 | 239 | 326 | 395 | 721 | 156 | 315 | 28 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 618 | 507 | 139 | 24 | 7 | 16 | 71 | 136 | 21 | 18 | 5 | 274 | 384 | 444 | 828 | 170 | 339 | 22 | 11 | 362 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 595 | 536 | 134 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 147 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 250 | 316 | 371 | 688 | 121 | 318 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 595 | 520 | 141 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 56 | 122 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 271 | 355 | 423 | 779 | 152 | 322 | 21 | 9 | 346 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 494 | 444 | 88 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 198 | 261 | 309 | 570 | 110 | 246 | 22 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 494 | 435 | 107 | 31 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 76 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 246 | 317 | 400 | 717 | 154 | 279 | 15 | 8 | 313 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 353 | 89 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 98 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 252 | 323 | 382 | 706 | 130 | 319 | 25 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 399 | 340 | 99 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 75 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 291 | 382 | 459 | 841 | 168 | 340 | 19 | 11 | 367 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 387 | 348 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 86 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 247 | 309 | 374 | 682 | 126 | 304 | 22 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | — | 387 | 339 | 97 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 69 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 286 | 361 | 428 | 789 | 142 | 336 | 18 | 9 | 347 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 427 | 80 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 119 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 187 | 266 | 321 | 587 | 133 | 228 | 25 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 480 | 410 | 99 | 24 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 98 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 241 | 342 | 432 | 774 | 190 | 275 | 20 | 11 | 341 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 362 | 327 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 85 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 193 | 263 | 324 | 587 | 131 | 226 | 23 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 362 | 318 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 71 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 226 | 313 | 387 | 700 | 160 | 256 | 20 | 9 | 312 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 447 | 414 | 76 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 107 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 184 | 232 | 271 | 502 | 87 | 233 | 24 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 447 | 402 | 93 | 29 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 89 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 231 | 298 | 348 | 646 | 117 | 281 | 20 | 7 | 289 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 350 | 320 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 78 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 219 | 283 | 281 | 564 | 62 | 274 | 22 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 618 | 544 | 127 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 174 | 21 | 18 | 5 | 233 | 326 | 386 | 712 | 153 | 299 | 28 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 595 | 538 | 134 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 147 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 249 | 316 | 370 | 686 | 121 | 311 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 494 | 453 | 88 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 194 | 261 | 302 | 564 | 108 | 238 | 22 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 359 | 89 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 98 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 248 | 323 | 376 | 699 | 128 | 311 | 25 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 387 | 353 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 86 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 244 | 309 | 368 | 677 | 125 | 298 | 22 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 431 | 80 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 119 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 186 | 266 | 318 | 584 | 132 | 225 | 25 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 362 | 328 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 85 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 192 | 263 | 323 | 586 | 131 | 221 | 23 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 447 | 418 | 76 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 107 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 182 | 232 | 268 | 500 | 86 | 226 | 24 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 123 | 115 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 262 | 278 | 541 | 61 | 303 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 72 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +10 | +3 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 608 | 132 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 196 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 217 | 262 | 280 | 542 | 62 | 302 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 72 | -37 | +1 | -6 | +50 | +14 | 2.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4132 | 3697 | 813 | 159 | 22 | 80 | 272 | 1003 | 85 | 62 | 18 | 220 | 289 | 340 | 628 | 120 | 276 | 24 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +10 | +3 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 128 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 158 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 220 | 288 | 340 | 629 | 120 | 276 | 24 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -37 | +1 | -6 | +50 | +14 | 2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAARochester Red Wings · 447 PAwOBA .282 → .221 (−61)K% 19.9% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.91% | ÷0.997 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.49% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.53% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.963 | ×0.972 | 15.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.27% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | ×0.972 | 6.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.085 | ×0.970 | ×0.963 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷0.956 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 1.64% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 117, 3B 117, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .282 → .221; ISO .117 → .090; BABIP .281 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAARochester Red Wings · 362 PAwOBA .306 → .254 (−52)K% 19.6% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.61% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.56% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.22% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×0.971 | ×0.982 | 16.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.224 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | ×0.982 | 3.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×0.971 | ×0.982 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.45% | ÷0.951 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 3.86% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 145, 3B 94, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .306 → .254; ISO .160 → .131; BABIP .256 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARound Rock Express · 435 PAwOBA .344 → .261 (−82)K% 18.9% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.85% | ÷1.031 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.95% | ÷1.014 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 8.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.77% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 14.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.01% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 5.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.184 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.19% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .344 → .261; ISO .192 → .136; BABIP .276 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 387 PAwOBA .342 → .299 (−43)K% 17.8% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.83% | ÷0.968 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷0.944 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.81% | ÷1.068 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×1.003 | 21.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷0.932 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.003 | 6.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.011 | ×1.003 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.59% | ÷0.854 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 2.56% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 114, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 94, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .342 → .299; ISO .142 → .132; BABIP .336 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASalt Lake Bees · 372 PAwOBA .377 → .321 (−56)K% 18.3% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.28% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.56% | ÷1.016 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 8.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.20% | ÷0.997 | ×0.900 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 23.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.13% | ÷0.977 | ×0.810 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 7.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.47% | ÷0.973 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.65% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .377 → .321; ISO .182 → .150; BABIP .350 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 494 PAwOBA .307 → .249 (−58)K% 15.4% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.898 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.30% | ÷0.927 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.27% | ÷1.006 | ×0.900 | ×0.986 | ×1.033 | 15.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.64% | ÷1.068 | ×0.810 | ×0.986 | ×1.033 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.986 | ×1.033 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.23% | ÷0.996 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 80, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .307 → .249; ISO .154 → .116; BABIP .279 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AATulsa Drillers · 544 PAwOBA .346 → .302 (−44)K% 19.9% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.85% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.56% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.21% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.63% | ÷0.935 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 23.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷0.949 | ×0.840 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 5.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.029 | ×0.940 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.67% | ÷1.071 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.53% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 87, 2B 90, 3B 106, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .346 → .302; ISO .167 → .135; BABIP .316 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Modesto Nuts · 544 PAwOBA .371 → .312 (−59)K% 21.0% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.96% | ÷1.001 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.072 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.86% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 3.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.15% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 22.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.44% | ÷0.990 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 5.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.046 | ×0.760 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.60% | ÷0.923 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 4.58% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 100, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .371 → .312; ISO .182 → .167; BABIP .346 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).