Rylan Bannon — OGILVIE

Rylan Bannon3B St. Paul Saints

Age 30 R/R 5'8" / 180 lbs AAA Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .303 / .354

PA250

HR8

SB5

K%29

BB%12

ISO154

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2023

CONTACT33

Whiff%

3612.6%

xwOBA

100.133

POWER46

Avg EV

1063.4

EYE64

Chase%

5331.1%

SPEED49

Sprint

3726.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.5M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	175	156	37	5	0	7	12	42	5	5	0	237	312	404	716	167	278	24	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	175	149	50	8	0	10	19	29	5	5	0	336	428	591	1.018	255	360	17	11	440	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	525	465	90	16	3	17	52	185	3	4	4	194	279	351	629	157	272	35	10	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	525	436	120	23	6	22	81	127	3	4	4	275	392	507	899	232	336	24	15	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	3 teams	—	627	573	121	31	3	12	38	145	10	11	6	211	272	339	611	127	259	23	6	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	3 teams	—	627	555	142	33	4	12	56	104	10	11	6	256	335	395	730	139	293	17	9	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	363	326	46	9	0	13	33	102	3	9	1	141	227	288	515	147	156	28	9	229	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	363	309	52	11	0	16	50	81	3	9	1	168	290	359	649	191	169	22	14	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	426	374	77	16	1	11	41	125	8	10	1	206	298	342	640	136	274	29	10	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	426	356	87	18	1	13	59	105	8	10	1	244	364	410	774	166	307	25	14	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	408	357	78	13	1	18	42	116	3	12	9	218	306	412	718	193	262	28	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	408	336	81	12	2	18	63	90	3	12	9	241	366	449	815	208	269	22	15	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	539	463	83	18	2	14	67	165	7	11	4	179	292	317	610	138	241	31	12	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	539	434	96	22	2	18	96	136	7	11	4	221	371	406	776	184	277	25	18	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	MIN	—	250	216	45	9	1	8	29	72	3	5	2	208	310	370	681	162	262	29	12	300	88	-4	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	MIN	33%	365	317	65	13	1	11	41	104	4	6	3	205	304	356	660	151	263	28	11	298	86	-6	+0	-3	+1	+10	0.3
2028	32	MLB	MIN	46%	346	301	61	12	1	10	38	98	4	5	2	203	300	349	649	146	261	28	11	294	83	-6	+0	-4	+1	+10	0.1
2027	31	MLB	MIN	33%	119	104	21	4	0	4	13	34	1	2	1	202	297	356	652	154	263	29	11	291	81	-3	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
2028	32	MLB	MIN	46%	159	138	29	5	1	5	18	45	2	2	1	210	310	370	680	159	262	28	11	287	78	-4	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	293	256	52	9	1	9	31	84	4	4	2	203	299	352	651	148	261	29	11	283	74	-8	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	115	20	2	20	69	186	9	9	4	202	299	350	649	148	260	29	11	283	74	-19	+0	-8	+6	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	4024	3548	703	142	13	121	393	1154	50	78	32	198	287	348	635	150	253	29	10	282	74	-118	+3	-8	+14	+114	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	114	23	2	20	63	186	8	13	5	199	287	351	638	152	253	29	10	282	74	-19	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	175	149	50	8	0	10	19	29	5	5	0	336	428	591	1.018	255	360	17	11	440	195	+19	+1	—	—	+5	2.5
2018	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	122	98	20	6	0	2	22	24	0	0	0	204	350	327	677	122	243	20	18	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2018	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	403	338	100	17	6	20	59	103	3	4	4	296	405	559	964	263	367	26	15	417	177	+35	-1	—	—	+11	4.7
2019	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	90	82	26	10	0	3	3	14	2	0	1	317	356	549	905	232	338	16	3	382	151	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2019	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	444	388	99	22	4	8	47	72	7	8	4	255	346	394	740	139	294	16	11	334	113	+7	+0	—	—	+13	2.0
2019	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	93	85	17	1	0	1	6	18	1	3	1	200	261	247	508	47	239	19	6	235	38	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2021	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	340	289	51	11	0	15	47	71	3	9	1	176	298	370	668	194	176	21	14	303	90	-4	+1	—	—	+10	0.7
2021	25	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	23	20	1	0	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	50	174	200	374	150		43	13	181	-3	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	15	14	2	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	143	200	143	343		222	33	0	170	-12	-2	+0	-1	+2	+0	-0.1
2022	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	411	342	85	18	1	13	59	100	7	10	1	249	370	421	791	173	310	24	14	355	130	+14	+2	—	—	+12	2.8
2023	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	408	336	81	12	2	18	63	90	3	12	9	241	366	449	815	208	269	22	15	359	133	+15	-1	—	—	+12	2.6
2024	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	539	434	96	22	2	18	96	136	7	11	4	221	371	406	776	184	277	25	18	352	128	+17	+1	—	—	+15	3.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	15	14	2	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	143	200	143	343		222	33	0	170	-12	-2	+0	-1	+2	+0	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	6	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	24	7	230	317	416	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	303	9	5	205	300	354	+1	-0	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	19	10	205	300	354	+2.4	-0.9	0.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rylan Bannon (OGILVIE)	30	33	46	49	64	201/303/354	153	262	8	5	29%	12%	88	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Chris Herrmann 2018 · MLB	30	40→48	51→50	55→50	51	212/293/370	157	261	19	11	26%	10%	85	+0.7	229/309/385	156	308	18	6	29%	10%	96	+1.5	215/297/359	143	306	15	0	32%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→48	52→55	43→45	47	220/295/386	166	285	21	6	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/278/363	155	281	19	6	32%	8%	78	+0.2	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Justin Leone 2008 · AAA	31	42→41	49→50	53→55	49	213/292/360	147	273	17	15	28%	9%	82	+0.5	196/273/336	140	263	16	15	30%	9%	69	-0.4	169/251/300	130	226	15	14	31%	10%	50	-1.0
✕Chris Owings 2023 · MLB	31	38→48	47→50	50→55	44	198/265/333	135	266	15	12	31%	8%	64	-0.8	203/276/336	133	297	16	11	35%	8%	70	-0.3	193/272/319	126	285	16	11	36%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Garrett Stubbs 2023 · MLB	30	48	48→45	53→50	55	239/325/383	144	296	16	11	24%	11%	102	+1.9	225/298/335	110	290	11	12	25%	8%	79	+0.3	217/287/307	90	281	9	11	25%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Michael McKenry 2016 · MLB	31	46→47	49→55	43→40	53	230/316/381	151	281	16	8	24%	10%	98	+1.6	203/297/330	127	279	12	6	29%	11%	78	+0.2	175/277/284	109	247	10	2	31%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Pedro Severino 2023 · MLB	30	50→48	47→50	49→45	46	249/307/386	138	316	15	5	26%	7%	95	+1.4	225/282/357	132	285	15	11	26%	7%	77	+0.1	192/248/303	111	240	13	13	25%	6%	44	-0.9
✕Brooks Conrad 2011 · MLB	31	43→44	52→55	53→50	44	222/284/389	167	280	19	12	28%	7%	87	+0.8	231/298/418	187	310	23	9	31%	8%	101	+1.8	210/276/405	195	273	27	2	33%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	36→43	49→50	46→40	50	190/284/340	150	262	16	6	32%	11%	75	-0.0	214/291/357	143	326	16	7	36%	10%	82	+0.5	207/287/340	133	326	15	4	38%	10%	73	-0.1
✕David Bote 2022 · MLB	29	42→48	49→55	47→45	51	215/300/363	148	259	17	5	24%	10%	88	+0.9	225/293/375	150	288	16	8	27%	7%	87	+0.8	225/292/380	155	289	17	8	27%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→43	53→55	49→40	45	223/288/393	170	274	22	6	27%	7%	90	+1.0	215/275/384	169	275	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	205/266/377	172	258	22	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	47→45	42→30	44	215/272/352	137	271	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/379	161	275	18	6	26%	9%	88	+0.9	197/307/365	169	234	18	0	24%	13%	90	+0.3
✕Nick Dini 2023 · AAA	30	42	52→50	49→50	44	224/282/384	160	260	22	7	24%	6%	85	+0.7	207/292/345	138	268	16	11	28%	9%	79	+0.3	157/276/271	115	204	15	12	29%	12%	54	-0.6
✕Adam Heether 2012 · AAA	30	39→49	46→50	48→45	48	202/288/330	128	243	15	8	24%	8%	75	-0.0	202/274/322	120	252	14	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	174/240/271	98	212	13	10	25%	6%	34	-1.2
✕Devin Mesoraco 2018 · MLB	30	41→49	46→60	47→40	51	207/298/337	130	248	14	6	22%	9%	80	+0.4	229/309/396	167	260	21	5	21%	9%	99	+1.7	221/303/397	176	237	24	0	19%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Dixon Machado 2022 · AAA	30	44→54	49→45	46→55	48	225/297/375	150	279	17	7	25%	8%	89	+0.9	237/310/334	97	284	9	8	19%	9%	83	+0.6	231/311/319	88	276	8	6	18%	9%	76	+0.1
✕Tommy Field 2017 · MLB	30	40→50	47→45	48→45	46	207/275/338	131	249	15	6	24%	7%	70	-0.3	201/253/310	109	252	11	7	24%	5%	53	-1.5	180/226/266	87	227	7	5	24%	4%	27	-2.5