Kevin Padlo — OGILVIE

Kevin Padlo3B Iowa Cubs

Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%10

BABIP267

ISO56

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT26

Whiff%

1016.1%

xAVG

100.115

POWER42

Avg EV

1077.8

EYE59

Chase%

3534.7%

SPEED53

Sprint

1023.3

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2014	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	198	160	48	15	4	8	31	38	4	6	1	300	426	594	1.019	294	345	19	16	434	180	+19	+1	—	—	+4	2.4
2015	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	99	83	12	5	0	2	14	26	1	2	1	145	276	277	553	133	179	26	14	259	61	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2016	20	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	509	414	95	22	3	16	79	134	7	14	9	229	361	413	774	184	293	26	16	345	120	+12	-1	—	—	+11	2.2
2016	20	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	139	119	33	12	3	2	15	17	3	1	1	277	372	479	851	202	304	12	11	371	137	+6	-0	—	—	+3	0.9
2017	21	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	259	220	49	13	3	6	35	60	0	4	5	223	329	391	720	168	272	23	14	320	103	+1	-1	—	—	+6	0.5
2017	21	ROK	GCL Rays	—	21	17	2	0	1	0	3	1	1	1	0	118	286	235	521	118	125	5	14	255	58	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2017	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	96	85	22	3	2	0	8	22	1	1	0	259	330	341	671	82	338	23	8	300	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2018	22	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	449	385	86	26	0	8	47	119	9	5	0	223	321	353	674	130	295	27	10	304	92	-4	+1	—	—	+10	0.7
2019	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	155	131	38	11	1	9	21	46	3	1	0	290	400	595	995	305	382	30	14	430	177	+14	+0	—	—	+3	1.8
2019	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	277	220	55	20	0	12	47	70	4	11	4	250	391	505	896	255	299	25	17	387	148	+16	+1	—	—	+6	2.3
2021	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	15	13	1	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	77	200	154	354	77	250	60	13	179	7	-2	+0	+1	+1	+0	0.1
2021	25	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	403	357	80	14	2	20	41	114	2	6	2	224	307	443	750	218	265	28	10	329	109	+4	+0	—	—	+9	1.4
2022	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	34	33	4	1	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	121	147	152	299	30	174	29	3	138	-20	-5	+0	-2	+1	+1	-0.5
2022	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	344	306	78	16	2	12	32	90	4	13	2	255	333	438	771	183	320	26	9	341	117	+7	+2	—	—	+7	1.7
2023	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	406	333	87	24	0	13	67	98	2	9	4	261	388	450	839	189	327	24	17	373	138	+19	+0	—	—	+9	2.8
2023	27	ROK	ACL Angels	—	15	14	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	214	267	357	624	143	273	20	7	278	74	-0	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	28	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	276	227	43	12	0	9	41	79	2	9	1	189	319	361	680	172	234	29	15	305	92	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.5
2024	28	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	30	28	4	0	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	143	200	250	450	107	176	33	7	206	26	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	28	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	63	54	5	2	0	2	6	31	2	1	0	93	210	241	450	148	143	49	10	211	29	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	49	46	5	2	0	0	3	19	0	0	0	109	163	152	315	43	185	39	6	151	-12	-7	+0	-1	+3	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2014	18	ROK MLE	Grand Junction Rockies	—	198	172	37	11	3	6	19	55	4	6	1	215	308	419	726	203	266	28	10	309	95	-1	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2015	19	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	99	88	8	3	0	1	9	34	1	2	1	91	184	159	343	68	132	34	9	173	3	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2016	20	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	509	440	78	18	3	12	54	179	7	14	9	177	277	314	591	136	248	35	11	262	63	-22	-1	—	—	+11	-1.2
2017	21	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	259	229	39	11	2	5	26	84	0	4	5	170	255	301	556	131	233	32	10	255	59	-13	-1	—	—	+6	-0.8
2017	21	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	—	21	18	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	111	238	222	460	111	96	5	10	179	7	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2018	22	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	449	399	67	21	0	7	35	172	9	5	0	168	251	273	524	105	255	38	8	235	45	-29	+1	—	—	+10	-1.9
2019	23	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	155	137	29	8	1	5	15	54	3	1	0	212	303	394	697	182	311	35	10	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2019	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	277	235	50	17	0	11	32	87	4	11	4	213	317	426	743	213	255	31	12	318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+6	0.7
2021	25	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	15	13	1	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	77	200	154	354	77	250	60	13	178	7	-2	+0	+1	+1	+0	0.1
2021	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	403	371	67	11	2	14	27	138	2	6	2	181	240	334	574	154	232	34	7	248	54	-22	+0	—	—	+9	-1.3
2022	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	34	33	4	1	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	121	147	152	299	30	174	29	3	137	-21	-5	+0	-2	+1	+1	-0.5
2022	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	344	317	62	13	2	8	21	110	4	13	2	196	254	325	579	129	265	32	6	253	57	-17	+2	—	—	+7	-0.8
2023	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	406	353	69	19	0	10	47	125	2	9	4	195	294	334	628	139	260	31	12	280	76	-12	+0	—	—	+9	-0.3
2023	27	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	15	14	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	208	33	7	180	8	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	28	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	276	238	36	10	0	6	30	95	2	9	1	151	252	269	521	118	199	34	11	235	45	-18	+1	—	—	+6	-1.1
2024	28	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	30	29	3	0	0	1	1	12	0	0	0	103	133	207	340	103	153	40	3	152	-11	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2014	18	ROK MLE	Grand Junction Rockies	—	198	172	37	11	3	6	19	55	4	6	1	215	308	419	726	203	274	28	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK RAW	Grand Junction Rockies	—	198	160	48	15	4	8	31	38	4	6	1	300	426	594	1.019	294	345	19	16	434	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	99	88	8	3	0	1	9	34	1	2	1	91	184	159	343	68	130	34	9	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	99	83	12	5	0	2	14	26	1	2	1	145	276	277	553	133	179	26	14	259	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	648	559	99	23	3	15	69	228	10	15	10	177	279	309	588	132	259	35	11	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	648	533	128	34	6	18	94	151	10	15	10	240	364	428	791	188	296	23	15	350	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	376	330	55	15	4	7	38	114	2	6	5	167	257	300	557	133	223	30	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	376	322	73	16	6	6	46	83	2	6	5	227	327	370	697	143	280	22	12	311	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	449	399	67	21	0	7	35	172	9	5	0	168	251	273	524	105	265	38	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	449	385	86	26	0	8	47	119	9	5	0	223	321	353	674	130	295	27	10	304	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	432	373	79	25	1	16	46	141	7	12	4	212	310	413	723	201	284	33	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	432	351	93	31	1	21	68	116	7	12	4	265	394	538	933	274	327	27	16	403	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	418	384	68	12	2	14	29	147	2	6	2	177	239	328	567	151	239	35	7	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	418	370	81	15	2	20	43	123	2	6	2	219	304	432	736	214	265	29	10	324	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	378	350	66	14	2	8	22	120	4	13	2	189	245	309	553	120	259	32	6	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	378	339	82	17	2	12	33	100	4	13	2	242	316	410	727	168	306	26	9	323	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	421	368	71	20	0	10	47	130	2	9	4	193	288	329	617	136	263	31	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	421	347	90	26	0	13	68	101	2	9	4	259	384	447	830	187	325	24	16	369	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	369	320	47	12	0	8	38	129	4	10	1	147	246	259	505	113	206	35	10	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	369	309	52	14	0	12	49	120	4	10	1	168	290	330	620	162	219	33	13	281	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK MLE	Grand Junction Rockies	—	198	173	37	11	3	6	19	55	4	6	1	214	308	416	724	202	266	28	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	99	89	8	3	0	1	9	34	1	2	1	90	184	157	341	67	132	34	9	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	648	564	99	23	3	15	69	228	10	15	10	176	279	307	586	131	248	35	11	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	376	333	55	15	4	7	38	114	2	6	5	165	257	297	554	132	223	30	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	449	402	67	21	0	7	35	172	9	5	0	167	251	271	522	104	255	38	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	432	376	79	25	1	16	46	141	7	12	4	210	310	410	719	199	275	33	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	418	384	68	12	2	14	29	147	2	6	2	177	239	328	567	151	233	35	7	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	378	349	66	14	2	8	22	120	4	13	2	189	245	309	554	120	257	32	6	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	421	369	71	20	0	10	47	130	2	9	4	192	288	328	616	136	258	31	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	369	324	47	12	0	8	38	129	4	10	1	145	246	256	502	111	194	35	10	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	421	369	71	20	0	10	47	130	2	9	4	192	288	328	616	136	258	31	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	369	324	47	12	0	8	38	129	4	10	1	145	246	256	502	111	194	35	10	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	30	MLB MLE	CHC	10%	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	167	250	222	472	56	266	30	10	278	74	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	30	MLB CTX	CHC	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						267	50	0	272	74	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	341	301	60	14	1	8	35	102	2	6	1	199	287	332	619	133	266	30	10	278	74	-10	+1	-3	+1	+7	-0.4
2027	31	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	93	82	16	4	0	2	10	28	1	2	0	195	290	317	607	122	267	30	11	273	74	-3	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	142	128	21	6	0	2	13	47	1	2	0	164	246	258	504	94	241	33	9	231	62	-9	+0	-2	+3	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	96	27	0	9	60	215	5	9	0	164	248	256	504	92	240	33	9	231	62	-43	+2	-9	+15	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4149	3662	660	171	16	100	389	1378	47	90	31	180	267	318	585	137	251	33	9	260	62	-18	+1	-4	+4	+9	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	104	27	3	16	61	216	7	14	5	181	268	322	590	141	252	33	9	260	62	-28	+1	-7	+7	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Padlo (OGILVIE)	30	26	42	53	59	193/283/322	129	266	6	5	31%	11%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Matranga 2007 · AAA	30	38	44→45	47→50	42	193/261/309	116	251	13	9	28%	6%	61	-1.5	213/285/338	125	283	14	11	28%	7%	78	-0.3	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	78	-0.1
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→39	44→50	46→45	50	188/283/306	118	262	12	9	31%	11%	70	-0.8	187/282/307	120	260	13	10	31%	11%	70	-0.9	168/270/286	118	229	14	8	31%	11%	59	-1.0
✕Justin Leone 2008 · AAA	31	42→41	49→50	53→55	49	214/293/360	147	273	17	15	28%	9%	85	+0.2	197/274/337	140	265	16	15	30%	9%	73	-0.6	169/251/300	130	226	15	14	31%	10%	56	-1.1
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	42→45	54→50	42	185/250/290	106	250	10	13	30%	7%	53	-2.1	190/262/302	112	274	11	13	33%	7%	61	-1.5	142/221/231	89	212	10	16	36%	6%	28	-1.5
✕D.J. Peterson 2022 · AAA	30	43→44	47→50	50→40	41	215/274/348	133	292	15	11	31%	6%	75	-0.5	209/283/372	163	294	20	7	34%	8%	84	+0.2	174/256/339	165	233	22	1	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Seth Bynum 2011 · AAA	30	40→43	48→50	50	38	210/254/349	140	285	16	11	32%	6%	68	-1.0	203/254/320	117	291	13	11	33%	6%	61	-1.5	191/243/296	105	275	11	8	34%	5%	49	-1.5
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB	30	33	49→50	45→40	46	184/256/324	140	225	19	4	28%	8%	63	-1.3	195/269/322	127	258	16	4	30%	8%	68	-1.0	173/252/285	112	231	14	0	31%	8%	52	-0.9
✕Brandon Hicks 2016 · MLB	30	37→40	46→50	46→50	41	187/263/312	125	288	14	5	38%	8%	63	-1.3	198/267/312	114	334	13	10	41%	8%	64	-1.3	168/238/260	91	301	11	12	45%	8%	39	-1.6
✕Deven Marrero 2021 · MLB	30	39→48	45	53→50	41	201/255/317	116	274	13	12	31%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/319	109	294	12	10	31%	8%	68	-1.0	194/260/282	88	272	11	8	31%	8%	51	-0.7
✕Adam Fox 2011 · AAA	29	39→44	46→45	49→45	41	202/251/325	124	250	14	9	26%	5%	61	-1.5	201/247/324	123	254	12	9	25%	5%	59	-1.7	178/216/303	125	218	11	6	24%	4%	38	-1.3
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	267	15	9	26%	10%	84	+0.2	229/285/383	154	292	19	6	28%	6%	88	+0.4	222/268/373	152	278	20	4	28%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Jonathan Davis 2022 · MLB	30	40→50	43→45	52→55	48	196/301/308	112	267	11	19	28%	9%	78	-0.3	223/307/334	111	306	10	22	28%	9%	84	+0.2	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Niko Vasquez 2019 · AAA	30	46→41	48→50	47→45	42	234/288/376	142	298	16	10	27%	6%	87	+0.4	217/280/334	117	303	13	9	31%	7%	74	-0.5	189/254/277	88	267	12	4	32%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Jake Hager 2022 · MLB	29	37→47	48→50	52→50	42	197/253/337	140	262	16	10	31%	7%	65	-1.2	204/263/315	111	281	10	9	29%	7%	63	-1.4	194/252/287	94	273	6	7	30%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2013 · AAA	31	42	44→45	47→40	43	212/268/327	114	262	13	8	24%	6%	68	-1.0	222/274/335	113	294	12	7	28%	6%	72	-0.7	217/269/316	99	294	10	3	29%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Nick Tanielu 2023 · AAA	30	39→49	44→50	48→40	45	199/260/316	117	249	12	5	25%	7%	62	-1.4	217/282/360	143	283	15	8	28%	7%	81	-0.1	203/273/375	172	263	18	2	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Josh Prince 2018 · AA	30	44→48	43→40	50→60	44	218/277/329	111	286	10	15	27%	7%	72	-0.7	234/302/344	110	326	10	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	237/313/333	96	333	8	15	29%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Chris Owings 2023 · MLB	31	39→49	46→50	50→55	45	199/269/328	128	272	13	12	31%	8%	69	-0.9	202/278/328	126	295	14	11	34%	9%	72	-0.7	191/273/310	119	282	14	11	35%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Tyler Saladino 2019 · MLB	30	45→47	43→45	51→55	46	222/287/329	107	284	11	16	25%	8%	75	-0.5	220/290/381	161	284	20	14	29%	8%	89	+0.5	199/274/379	180	248	24	14	30%	9%	80	-0.1