Nate Eaton — OGILVIE

Nate Eaton3B Worcester Red Sox

Age 29 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs MLB H +3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION244 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 90100vR 126

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .291 / .370

PA162

HR4

SB9

K%26

BB%7

BABIP289

ISO141

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

738.5%

xwOBA

120.264

POWER55

Barrel%

275.2

Avg EV

2787.4

Bat Spd

6873.3

EYE45

Chase%

6928.0%

SPEED55

Sprint

9029.5

Platoon Splits2025 · 90 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

127

▶▶R

wOBA

304

351

▶R

ISO

047

132

▶▶R

BABIP

353

393

▶R

20.4%

21.9%

◀L

BB%

8.2%

4.9%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-3	$1M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	303	273	69	14	8	4	20	86	4	19	5	253	313	407	720	154	346	28	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	303	260	92	20	12	5	33	60	4	19	5	354	434	581	1.015	227	435	20	11	433	189	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Lexington Legends	—	557	516	95	24	2	3	27	137	8	18	1	184	236	256	492	72	241	25	5	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Lexington Legends	—	557	497	116	32	2	5	46	116	8	18	1	233	309	336	645	103	291	21	8	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	3 teams	—	410	362	66	14	1	6	36	126	6	27	3	182	267	276	544	94	260	31	9	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	3 teams	—	410	354	92	19	3	7	44	91	6	27	3	260	351	390	741	130	331	22	11	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	—	510	456	112	15	6	13	32	131	11	34	6	246	311	390	701	145	309	26	6	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	—	510	446	125	18	7	14	42	107	11	34	6	280	357	446	803	166	333	21	8	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	3 teams	—	474	445	90	14	1	16	23	139	2	26	3	202	245	346	591	144	253	29	5	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	3 teams	—	474	437	97	18	1	15	31	120	2	26	3	222	277	371	647	149	270	25	7	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	464	438	89	25	1	11	17	136	2	27	4	203	236	340	577	137	266	29	4	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	464	428	108	30	1	16	27	108	2	27	4	252	300	439	739	187	301	23	6	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	490	443	109	25	3	12	29	122	12	24	8	246	310	397	707	151	309	25	6	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	490	429	125	29	3	13	43	107	12	24	8	291	372	464	836	172	357	22	9	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	BOS	—	244	217	49	11	2	5	18	66	4	10	2	226	297	364	661	138	293	27	7	285	77	-6	+1	+0	-3	+7	-0.1
YTD	29	AAA	BOS	—	244	212	55	13	2	6	23	57	4	10	2	259	343	425	768	165	320	23	9	337	116	+4	+1	+0	-3	+7	1.0
ROS	29	AAA	BOS	100%	162	148	34	7	1	4	11	42	2	9	2	229	291	370	661	141	290	26	7	295	84	-3	+1	+1	-2	+5	0.2
ROS	29	MLB	BOS	100%	163	149	35	8	1	4	11	42	2	9	2	235	296	383	679	148	297	26	7	289	79	-4	+1	+1	-2	+5	0.1
FULL	29	AAA	BOS	—	407	366	84	19	3	9	29	108	6	19	4	230	297	372	668	142	295	27	7	287	78	-10	+2	+1	-4	+12	-0.0
TOT	29	AAA	BOS	—	406	365	83	18	3	9	29	108	6	19	4	227	295	366	661	139	292	27	7	289	80	-9	+2	+1	-4	+12	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	BOS	82%	380	347	79	17	2	9	25	98	5	18	3	228	289	366	655	138	286	26	7	290	80	-8	+2	-0	-4	+11	0.0
2028	31	MLB	BOS	82%	365	333	74	16	2	8	24	96	5	15	3	222	285	354	639	132	284	26	7	286	77	-9	+2	-1	-4	+10	-0.2
2029	32	MLB	BOS	82%	346	315	69	15	2	7	23	92	5	12	2	219	283	346	629	127	280	27	7	280	73	-11	+2	-2	-4	+10	-0.5
2027	30	MLB	BOS	82%	312	285	66	15	2	7	20	81	4	15	3	232	291	372	663	140	293	26	6	285	76	-8	+2	-0	-3	+9	-0.1
2028	31	MLB	BOS	82%	299	273	62	14	1	7	20	78	4	12	2	227	290	363	652	136	291	26	7	281	73	-9	+2	-1	-3	+8	-0.3
2029	32	MLB	BOS	82%	284	259	58	13	1	6	19	76	4	10	2	224	287	351	639	127	287	27	7	275	69	-10	+1	-1	-3	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1326	1206	277	58	8	26	88	347	18	69	12	230	292	356	648	126	298	26	7	280	73	-41	+9	-4	-27	+38	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	136	28	4	13	43	170	9	34	6	230	292	357	649	127	299	26	7	280	73	-20	+4	-2	-13	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	4461	4076	886	186	29	93	267	1205	62	229	40	217	276	346	621	128	282	27	6	272	66	-171	+30	-4	-48	+126	-6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	129	27	4	14	39	176	9	33	6	217	276	347	623	130	281	27	6	272	66	-25	+4	-1	-7	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	303	260	92	20	12	5	33	60	4	19	5	354	434	581	1.015	227	435	20	11	433	189	+31	+2	—	—	+9	4.2
2019	22	A	Lexington Legends	—	557	497	116	32	2	5	46	116	8	18	1	233	309	336	645	103	291	21	8	292	81	-12	+3	—	—	+16	0.7
2021	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	304	259	63	13	1	6	35	71	5	23	3	243	344	371	715	127	313	23	12	322	104	+2	+3	—	—	+9	1.4
2021	24	ROK	ACL Royals Gold	—	18	13	3	1	0	0	4	4	1	0	0	231	444	308	752	77	333	22	22	368	140	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	88	82	26	5	2	1	5	16	0	4	0	317	356	463	820	146	379	18	6	358	132	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	122	106	28	4	3	1	10	30	2	11	1	264	339	387	726	123	346	25	8	316	100	+0	+2	-1	-5	+3	-0.1
2022	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	229	200	59	10	3	9	21	48	6	11	4	295	379	510	889	215	345	21	9	388	155	+14	+1	—	—	+6	2.2
2022	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	159	140	38	4	1	4	11	29	3	12	1	271	338	400	738	129	309	18	7	322	105	+1	+2	—	—	+5	0.7
2023	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	56	53	4	0	0	0	2	21	1	3	0	75	125	75	200		125	38	4	103	-63	-10	+1	-0	-5	+2	-1.4
2023	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	367	333	84	16	1	15	29	85	1	22	3	252	314	441	755	189	294	23	8	331	111	+5	+3	—	—	+10	1.9
2023	26	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	51	51	9	2	0	0	0	14	0	1	0	176	176	216	392	39	243	27	0	175	-8	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	464	428	108	30	1	16	27	108	2	27	4	252	300	439	739	187	301	23	6	321	104	+2	+4	—	—	+13	1.9
2025	28	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	90	81	24	4	0	1	6	19	1	9	2	296	352	383	735	86	371	21	7	326	108	+1	+1	-1	-5	+3	-0.2
2025	28	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	400	348	101	25	3	12	37	88	11	15	6	290	376	483	859	193	353	22	9	378	147	+21	+1	—	—	+11	3.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	268	240	56	8	3	2	18	70	4	23	3	233	298	317	614	83	314	26	7	275	69	-10	+3	-2	-16	+8	-1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,418	28	76	227	285	351	-2	-2	1.1	1.1
	/162	664	13	35	227	285	351	-1.1	-0.8	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nate Eaton (OGILVIE)	29	55	55	55	45	227/295/366	139	292	9	19	27%	7%	80	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Dairon Blanco 2022 · AAA	29	45→49	46→50	58→70	40	224/279/355	131	294	14	32	28%	6%	76	+0.0	255/314/393	138	332	15	63	26%	6%	100	+1.7	267/329/405	137	352	15	90	26%	6%	106	+1.1
✕Brent Lillibridge 2013 · MLB	29	44→54	48→50	55→60	41	225/287/363	138	301	17	29	31%	6%	82	+0.5	215/265/340	125	292	15	22	30%	5%	66	-0.6	205/251/321	116	277	14	23	31%	5%	51	-1.0
✕Drew Stubbs 2013 · MLB	28	46→51	47→50	57→60	46	227/297/355	128	307	15	31	30%	9%	83	+0.6	230/297/362	132	323	14	24	31%	8%	85	+0.7	227/297/360	133	323	13	24	32%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Jon Berti 2019 · MLB	29	50→60	44→45	62→60	45	244/305/368	124	304	10	34	22%	6%	89	+1.0	255/337/382	127	325	12	28	23%	10%	107	+2.2	270/339/373	102	338	9	39	21%	9%	102	+1.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	44→46	47→50	60→65	40	221/269/365	144	285	13	32	27%	5%	74	-0.1	218/266/352	134	276	13	40	25%	6%	69	-0.4	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Pokey Reese 2002 · MLB	29	48→55	45	59→55	51	236/299/363	127	265	12	28	16%	8%	85	+0.7	238/300/337	99	288	8	19	19%	8%	79	+0.3	237/299/315	78	294	6	17	20%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	47→46	48→50	61→60	40	231/282/370	139	319	16	34	32%	6%	81	+0.4	198/264/334	136	314	15	23	39%	7%	64	-0.8	161/237/290	129	263	15	20	42%	8%	39	-1.2
✕Matt Lipka 2022 · AAA	30	51→56	46→45	58→60	39	249/298/381	131	340	14	31	30%	5%	90	+1.0	227/285/340	113	331	11	34	32%	7%	74	-0.1	191/259/268	78	299	5	59	35%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Roman Quinn 2022 · MLB	29	46→53	45	61→65	44	223/300/352	129	313	12	31	31%	8%	84	+0.6	206/300/330	124	345	11	25	39%	10%	79	+0.3	167/275/272	105	312	9	34	44%	11%	53	-0.4
✕Michael A. Taylor 2019 · MLB	28	48→53	49→55	56→60	42	235/289/392	156	322	16	28	31%	7%	89	+1.0	228/282/375	147	315	16	20	31%	7%	82	+0.5	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕John Andreoli 2018 · AAA	28	44→54	47→45	58→60	48	218/296/357	139	298	14	29	30%	9%	83	+0.6	218/297/340	122	317	11	19	32%	10%	79	+0.3	201/291/312	111	310	9	17	35%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Elliot Johnson 2013 · MLB	29	47→53	45	54→60	44	231/288/351	120	297	12	26	26%	7%	78	+0.2	208/265/313	105	274	9	24	26%	7%	58	-1.2	192/248/289	96	256	7	24	26%	7%	42	-1.1
✕Jonathan Villar 2021 · MLB	30	51→60	47→50	58→65	48	252/319/387	135	321	15	34	25%	9%	100	+1.7	242/303/389	147	311	16	21	26%	8%	95	+1.4	238/299/388	150	305	17	20	26%	8%	89	+0.7
✕Tim Locastro 2021 · MLB	29	50→53	44→45	61→60	47	240/335/368	128	288	10	27	19%	6%	105	+2.1	210/291/332	122	257	12	24	23%	5%	76	+0.1	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Eugenio Velez 2011 · MLB	29	53→58	43→50	56→65	45	258/299/380	122	305	9	30	19%	5%	89	+1.0	246/292/364	118	308	9	27	22%	6%	82	+0.5	265/316/392	127	329	10	34	22%	6%	96	+1.1
✕Andrew Velazquez 2023 · MLB	29	43→51	46→50	60	39	214/267/340	126	306	13	31	34%	6%	66	-0.6	207/258/322	115	316	13	33	37%	6%	58	-1.2	211/254/305	94	318	10	30	35%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→53	50	56→55	43	238/303/396	159	315	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.5	224/272/345	121	325	12	14	33%	5%	70	-0.3	219/262/322	103	328	9	10	35%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→47	54→50	55→65	49	214/305/392	178	271	21	29	29%	10%	98	+1.6	219/328/394	175	294	18	33	30%	11%	108	+2.3	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2008 · MLB	27	45→48	50→55	61→60	35	230/273/390	160	308	18	34	31%	4%	82	+0.5	220/253/349	129	328	14	28	36%	3%	63	-0.9	219/262/360	141	323	17	25	37%	3%	68	-0.3