Brenton DoyleCF Colorado Rockies
Age 28 R/R 6'3" / 223 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 2.936S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)
2026 ROS PROJECTION146 act + 363 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 123114vR 92
AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .289 / .371
PA363
HR9
SB22
K%27
BB%7
BABIP301
ISO138
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -13.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +6.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+6RUNFLD: +3.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+4FLDPOS: +1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +14.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +1.10+1.1WAR
0.01.22.50.42.01.71.3+$27M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
3712.5%
xwOBA
510.309
POWER55
Barrel%
6310.2
Avg EV
5389.4
Bat Spd
5571.9
EYE45
Chase%
5830.1%
SPEED60
Sprint
8128.7
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1221 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
321
900
wRC+
116
85
◀◀L
wOBA
337
297
L
ISO
163
159
BABIP
329
297
L
K%
21.2%
27.9%
◀◀L
BB%
6.9%
6.7%
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2023
Service   2.936 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$1M+0.4$2M+$0.5M
2027Arb-2$4M+2.0$15M+$12M
2028Arb-3$5M+1.7$12M+$7M
2029Arb-4$6M+1.3$8M+$4M
Totals $16M $37M +$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202123 A+Spokane Indians 424401 831228 191943 216 207248307555 100377 464 239 41
202123 A+Spokane Indians 424390 10916216 301343 216 279336454790 174388 327 349 125
202224 AA2 teams 548515 10317321 202196 233 200238367605 167292 404 259 56
202224 AA2 teams 548507 13022526 281716 233 256303473777 217329 315 336 115
202325 MLB2 teams 488450 7914410 281784 235 176230291521 116260 366 232 36 -36 +3 +14 +2 +14 -0.4
202325 MLB2 teams 488448 9617515 301704 235 214270375645 161305 356 284 75 -14 +3 +14 +2 +14 1.9
202426 MLBColorado Rockies 603542 12119318 461533 305 223288369657 146272 258 285 76 -16 +4 +11 +2 +17 1.9
202426 MLBColorado Rockies 603542 14124423 461533 305 260321446768 186316 258 333 113 +9 +4 +11 +2 +17 4.4
202527 MLBColorado Rockies 538502 10119211 301380 182 201246313559 112252 266 246 47 -32 +3 +7 +2 +15 -0.6
202527 MLBColorado Rockies 538502 11723215 301380 182 233276376653 143289 266 287 78 -13 +3 +7 +2 +15 1.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD28 MLBCOL 146134 29602 12460 102 216281306587 90314 328 262 59 -7 +1 -0 +1 +4 -0.1
YTD28 MLBCOL 146133 30602 13450 102 226295316610 90326 319 280 72 -5 +1 -0 +1 +4 0.1
ROS28 MLBCOL 100% 363334 781529 25981 224 234289371660 138302 277 296 85 -6 +3 +4 +1 +10 1.3
ROS28 MLBCOL 100% 363334 8617311 25981 224 257311425736 168325 277 317 101 +0 +3 +4 +1 +10 1.9
FULL28 MLBCOL 509468 11523313 371441 326 246302391693 145326 287 301 89 -6 +4 +4 +2 +14 1.8
TOT28 MLBCOL 509468 10721211 371441 326 229287353639 124305 287 286 77 -13 +4 +4 +2 +14 1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729 MLBCOL 100% 591544 12724415 411621 346 233288375663 142300 277 293 82 -12 +4 +6 +2 +17 1.7
202830 MLBCOL 100% 579532 12323414 411601 305 231287368656 137299 287 290 80 -13 +4 +5 +2 +16 1.5
202931 MLBCOL 100% 568522 11722313 401591 265 224281352633 128297 287 286 77 -15 +3 +4 +2 +16 1.1
203032 MLBCOL 100% 556511 11421313 391581 214 223279352632 129293 287 280 73 -17 +3 +3 +2 +16 0.6
202729 MLBCOL 100% 591544 13727417 411621 346 252305410715 158323 277 314 98 -1 +4 +6 +2 +17 2.8
202830 MLBCOL 100% 579532 13226416 411601 305 248303402705 154322 287 311 96 -2 +4 +5 +2 +16 2.5
202931 MLBCOL 100% 568522 12825415 401591 265 245300395695 149320 287 307 93 -5 +3 +4 +2 +16 2.1
203032 MLBCOL 100% 556511 12324414 391581 214 241296386681 145316 287 300 88 -8 +3 +3 +2 +16 1.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 42293886 94518230121 284117912 20336 243297399696 156315 287 305 92 -40 +26 +53 +15 +120 17.8
/ 162G 650597 14628519 441812 316 245299404702 159317 287 305 92 -6 +4 +8 +2 +18 2.7
Career 52584853 104618630132 329161921 24845 216268348616 132291 316 271 66 -202 +32 +53 +19 +149 5.1
/ 162G 650600 12923416 412003 316 215269347615 132291 316 271 66 -25 +4 +7 +2 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202123 A+Spokane Indians 424390 10916216 301343 216 279336454790 174388 327 349 125 +12 +2 +12 2.7
202224 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 4136 14123 5130 00 3894637781.241 389550 3212 524 259 +7 +0 +1 0.9
202224 AAHartford Yard Goats 507471 11621323 231586 233 246290450740 204314 315 321 104 +2 +3 +14 2.0
202325 MLBColorado Rockies 431399 8116510 221514 225 203252343595 140295 355 262 59 -20 +2 +14 +2 +12 1.0
202325 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 5749 15105 8190 10 3064046331.036 327400 3314 446 199 +6 +0 +2 0.8
202426 MLBColorado Rockies 603542 14124423 461533 305 260321446768 186316 258 333 113 +9 +4 +11 +2 +17 4.4
202527 MLBColorado Rockies 538502 11723215 301380 182 233276376653 143289 266 287 78 -13 +3 +7 +2 +15 1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 15721443 339631148 984427 7012 235287394680 159301 286 298 86 -24 +9 +31 +6 +45 6.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jackie Bradley Jr.last yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,192 PA
114,19210969225303381+6+7817.218.6
/1626641711+1.0+12.32.7pk7: 20
#2Corey Pattersonlast yr '11
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA
104,422116215254292403-2+5615.816.6
/1626641732-0.3+8.42.4pk7: 17
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA
83,14392161244314394+3+1612.212.3
/1626641934+0.6+3.32.6pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#5Leonys Martinlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA
82,78458126243301366+10+5310.710.8
/1626641430+2.4+12.62.6pk7: 11
#6Jake Marisnicklast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA
102,2136381227280381+5+548.38.2
/1626641924+1.4+16.22.5pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,497119219231282373+16+806.66.7
/1626641832+2.4+11.71.0pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Brenton Doyle (OGILVIE) 28 50 55 60 45 229/287/353 124305 1132 28% 7% 77 +1.1
Jorge Mateo
2023 · MLB
28 44→46 47→50 60→65 40 221/269/365 144285 1332 27% 5% 74 -0.1 218/266/352 134276 1340 25% 6% 69 -0.4 222/263/355133288134927%5%66-0.2
Drew Stubbs
2013 · MLB
28 46→51 47→50 57→60 46 227/297/355 128307 1531 30% 9% 83 +0.6 230/297/362 132323 1424 31% 8% 85 +0.7 227/297/360133323132432%9%81+0.3
Roman Quinn
2021 · MLB
28 48→53 46→45 65 43 236/295/371 135320 1336 30% 7% 85 +0.7 213/300/339 126330 1127 35% 9% 81 +0.4 167/275/27210531293444%11%53-0.4
Lane Adams
2018 · MLB
28 47→46 48→50 61→60 40 231/282/370 139319 1634 32% 6% 81 +0.4 198/264/334 136314 1523 39% 7% 64 -0.8 161/237/290129263152042%8%39-1.2
Dairon Blanco
2022 · AAA
29 45→49 46→50 58→70 40 224/279/355 131294 1432 28% 6% 76 +0.0 255/314/393 138332 1563 26% 6% 100 +1.7 267/329/405137352159026%6%106+1.1
Reggie Abercrombie
2009 · MLB
28 45→48 49→55 59→60 31 228/262/378 150324 1734 35% 3% 75 -0.0 214/250/329 115325 1123 36% 4% 56 -1.3 219/262/360141323172537%3%68-0.3
John Andreoli
2018 · AAA
28 44→54 47→45 58→60 48 218/296/357 139298 1429 30% 9% 83 +0.6 218/297/340 122317 1119 32% 10% 79 +0.3 201/291/31211131091735%10%67-0.3
Ben DeLuzio
2023 · MLB
28 45→49 42→45 59→60 40 217/273/330 112295 929 29% 6% 66 -0.6 207/268/318 111304 1120 33% 6% 62 -0.9 148/223/2267924481840%7%18-1.1
Michael A. Taylor
2019 · MLB
28 48→53 49→55 56→60 42 235/289/392 156322 1628 31% 7% 89 +1.0 228/282/375 147315 1620 31% 7% 82 +0.5 242/299/384143312191428%7%90+0.8
Keon Broxton
2017 · MLB
27 47→48 51→55 61→60 43 227/296/395 169337 1836 36% 9% 93 +1.3 205/279/363 158337 1932 41% 9% 78 +0.2 188/264/338150315193343%9%64-0.5
Eric Patterson
2011 · MLB
28 48→55 47→50 66→60 46 236/292/382 146298 1233 25% 7% 87 +0.8 206/270/315 109268 922 25% 8% 61 -1.0 186/255/2678024462025%8%40-0.9
Delino DeShields
2020 · MLB
27 49→55 40→45 58→65 52 233/312/327 94301 732 24% 10% 82 +0.5 224/309/310 86306 628 26% 10% 76 +0.1 207/307/2676130733130%12%63-0.5
Corey Patterson
2008 · MLB
28 51→54 47→55 61→60 44 255/294/391 136287 1439 17% 5% 91 +1.1 235/271/365 130277 1328 20% 4% 74 -0.1 236/273/356120296112823%4%68-0.3
Tim Raines Jr.
2008 · AAA
28 52→56 44→50 58→60 40 253/288/370 117316 1229 24% 4% 82 +0.5 241/273/377 136296 1424 23% 4% 78 +0.2 237/267/377141288142623%4%72-0.1
Darren Ford
2013 · MLB
27 48→53 41→45 57→65 40 232/274/332 100304 836 26% 5% 66 -0.6 224/272/307 83302 741 27% 6% 59 -1.1 217/270/2947728874726%6%52-0.9
Brent Lillibridge
2012 · MLB
28 46→55 49→50 55→60 44 234/299/381 147298 1829 27% 7% 91 +1.1 218/272/347 129294 1625 30% 5% 71 -0.3 201/250/309108278132631%5%49-1.0
Jon Berti
2019 · MLB
29 50→60 44→45 62→60 45 244/305/368 124304 1034 22% 6% 89 +1.0 255/337/382 127325 1228 23% 10% 107 +2.2 270/339/37310233893921%9%102+1.0
Max Schuemann
2023 · AAA
26 46→47 46→45 59→60 46 223/313/356 133303 1429 29% 9% 92 +1.2 222/312/331 109296 1121 26% 10% 85 +0.7 215/311/3109528392025%10%77+0.1
Bryce Johnson
2023 · MLB
27 51→53 42→45 63→60 42 238/304/346 108347 935 32% 8% 83 +0.6 232/305/340 108323 929 28% 8% 82 +0.5 231/309/33310231982927%8%79+0.2
Tim Locastro
2020 · MLB
28 49→53 42→45 60 44 236/324/349 114285 829 19% 5% 95 +1.4 222/308/343 121268 1025 21% 6% 86 +0.8 207/296/319112263113624%5%73-0.1