J.P. Martínez — OGILVIE

J.P. MartínezRF Tomateros de Culiacan

Age 30 L/L 5'8" / 174 lbs INTL Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .292 / .327

PA20

HR0

K%30

BB%9

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2024

CONTACT27

Whiff%

2114.3%

xAVG

100.162

POWER34

Barrel%

103.1

Avg EV

1085.7

Bat Spd

3770.0

EYE50

Chase%

5331.2%

SPEED71

Sprint

2226.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	33	22	9	1	1	1	9	7	2	2	3	409	606	682	1.288	273	571	21	27	550	259	+6	-1	—	—	+1	0.6
2018	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	58	52	17	5	1	1	6	13	0	4	2	327	397	519	916	192	421	22	10	403	159	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2019	23	A+	Down East Wood Ducks	—	456	407	101	21	4	14	39	144	5	28	12	248	322	423	744	174	344	32	9	328	108	+4	+1	—	—	+10	1.5
2019	23	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	44	40	10	1	1	1	3	12	0	4	1	250	302	400	702	150	321	27	7	305	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	341	285	69	13	4	5	42	112	8	20	0	242	355	368	724	126	381	33	12	326	107	+3	+4	—	—	+7	1.5
2022	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	167	141	28	7	2	6	24	53	1	14	0	199	319	404	724	206	268	32	14	323	105	+1	+3	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	301	254	68	7	6	9	43	76	4	25	9	268	382	449	831	181	349	25	14	372	138	+14	+1	—	—	+7	2.2
2023	27	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	44	40	9	1	0	1	2	16	0	0	0	225	262	325	587	100	320	36	5	252	57	-2	+0	-1	-4	+1	-0.7
2023	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	353	289	86	21	4	14	55	81	6	38	4	298	420	543	963	246	367	23	16	419	170	+29	+6	—	—	+8	4.4
2023	27	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	15	11	2	1	0	0	4	4	0	0	0	182	400	273	673	91	286	27	27	332	111	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	28	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	438	377	88	22	2	6	53	118	5	37	8	233	336	350	686	117	322	27	12	313	98	-1	+4	—	—	+9	1.3
2025	29	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	324	262	66	9	2	13	50	66	3	25	6	252	378	450	828	198	286	20	15	361	130	+12	+3	—	—	+7	2.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	44	40	9	1	0	1	2	16	0	0	0	225	262	325	587	100	320	36	5	252	57	-2	+0	-1	-4	+1	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	33	25	8	1	1	1	6	10	2	2	3	320	485	560	1.045	240	447	30	18	403	159	+2	-1	—	—	+1	0.2
2019	23	A+ MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	456	421	72	15	3	9	25	204	5	28	12	171	226	285	511	114	290	45	5	225	38	-33	+1	—	—	+10	-2.3
2019	23	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	44	41	9	1	1	1	2	16	0	4	1	220	256	366	622	146	282	36	5	235	45	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	341	301	65	12	4	4	26	131	8	20	0	216	296	322	618	106	354	38	8	268	68	-13	+4	—	—	+7	-0.2
2022	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	167	148	22	5	2	5	17	67	1	14	0	149	241	311	552	162	225	40	10	239	48	-10	+3	—	—	+4	-0.4
2022	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	301	268	62	6	6	8	29	92	4	25	9	231	316	388	704	157	319	31	10	304	92	-3	+1	—	—	+7	0.5
2023	27	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	44	40	9	1	0	1	2	16	0	0	0	225	262	325	587	100	320	36	5	244	52	-3	+0	-1	-4	+1	-0.8
2023	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	353	304	68	15	3	10	40	108	6	38	4	224	326	391	717	168	304	31	11	316	100	+0	+6	—	—	+8	1.4
2023	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	15	13	2	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	154	267	231	497	77	272	33	13	271	70	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	438	394	76	18	2	4	36	148	5	37	8	193	269	279	548	86	291	34	8	247	53	-24	+4	—	—	+9	-1.1
2018	22	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	91	74	20	2	2	2	15	28	2	6	5	270	407	432	839	162	409	31	16	403	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	91	74	26	6	2	2	15	20	2	6	5	351	473	568	1.040	216	462	22	16	456	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	500	462	81	16	4	10	27	220	5	32	13	175	229	292	521	117	300	44	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	500	447	111	22	5	15	42	156	5	32	13	248	320	421	740	172	342	31	8	326	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	341	301	65	12	4	4	26	131	8	20	0	216	296	322	618	106	367	38	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	341	285	69	13	4	5	42	112	8	20	0	242	355	368	724	126	381	33	12	326	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	468	416	84	11	8	12	46	159	5	39	9	202	289	353	642	151	294	34	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	468	395	96	14	8	15	67	129	5	39	9	243	360	433	793	190	323	28	14	355	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	412	357	79	17	3	11	44	129	6	38	4	221	317	378	695	157	308	31	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	412	340	97	23	4	15	61	101	6	38	4	285	403	509	912	224	360	25	15	398	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	438	394	76	18	2	4	36	148	5	37	8	193	269	279	548	86	295	34	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	—	438	377	88	22	2	6	53	118	5	37	8	233	336	350	686	117	322	27	12	313	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	324	262	66	9	2	13	50	66	3	25	6	252	378	450	828	198	286	20	15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	324	262	66	9	2	13	50	66	3	25	6	252	378	450	828	198	286	20	15	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	91	74	20	2	2	2	15	28	2	6	5	270	407	432	839	162	447	31	16	403	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	500	464	81	16	4	10	27	220	5	32	13	175	229	291	520	116	289	44	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	341	304	65	12	4	4	26	131	8	20	0	214	296	319	615	105	354	38	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	468	414	84	11	8	12	46	159	5	39	9	203	289	355	644	152	285	34	10	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	412	359	79	17	3	11	44	129	6	38	4	220	317	376	693	156	305	31	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	438	394	76	18	2	4	36	148	5	37	8	193	269	279	548	86	291	34	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	412	359	79	17	3	11	44	129	6	38	4	220	317	376	693	156	305	31	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	438	394	76	18	2	4	36	148	5	37	8	193	269	279	548	86	291	34	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	30	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	20	18	4	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	222	300	278	578	56	300	30	10	283	78	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	ATL	22%	365	325	71	15	2	7	33	109	4	20	4	218	298	342	640	123	296	30	9	283	78	-10	+2	-3	-4	+8	-0.7
2027	31	MLB CTX	ATL	22%	78	70	14	3	0	1	7	23	1	4	1	200	282	286	568	86	296	29	9	274	78	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	122	110	23	4	0	2	9	39	1	4	1	209	275	300	575	91	296	32	7	266	50	-4	+0	-2	-5	+3	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	123	21	0	11	48	208	5	21	5	210	275	302	577	92	296	32	7	266	50	-23	+2	-12	-28	+14	-4.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2959	2609	546	101	27	63	279	996	38	218	49	209	295	341	636	132	309	34	9	242	50	-13	+3	-5	-9	+9	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	120	22	6	14	61	219	8	48	11	209	294	342	636	133	309	34	9	242	50	-19	+4	-7	-13	+14	-2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	328	6	20	215	292	331	-4	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	12	41	-7.1	-1.8	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.P. Martínez (OGILVIE)	30	27	34	71	50	212/292/327	114	300	4	16	30%	9%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Billy Hamilton 2022 · MLB	31	44→54	42→40	61→70	41	212/263/324	112	292	8	32	30%	6%	64	-1.3	192/252/287	95	295	8	32	35%	7%	53	-2.1	136/205/175	39	227	2	52	38%	8%	7	-1.1
✕Quintin Berry 2014 · MLB	29	47→57	37→40	63→65	47	219/292/293	73	297	5	38	26%	8%	69	-0.9	225/294/290	65	305	4	33	25%	8%	69	-0.9	229/297/280	52	311	3	37	25%	8%	65	-0.9
✕Lane Adams 2019 · MLB	29	42→46	44→45	59→60	39	205/265/319	114	308	11	32	36%	7%	65	-1.2	199/265/330	131	318	14	17	39%	7%	68	-1.0	172/243/306	134	275	15	14	41%	7%	51	-1.3
✕Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	49→51	46→45	62→70	41	241/295/369	129	313	14	42	27%	6%	88	+0.4	253/315/381	128	326	13	71	25%	6%	97	+1.1	252/319/375	122	321	12	95	24%	7%	95	+0.4
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	49→50	58→55	44	224/297/374	150	307	16	25	31%	8%	90	+0.6	226/293/360	134	323	14	23	32%	8%	85	+0.2	217/284/314	98	312	10	32	32%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Tyler Graham 2014 · AAA	30	48→54	39→40	60→65	45	226/292/312	86	288	6	33	23%	6%	73	-0.6	232/279/308	76	287	6	28	21%	5%	67	-1.1	236/277/285	48	291	3	38	19%	4%	57	-1.4
✕Darren Ford 2016 · AAA	30	46→53	41→45	57→65	44	222/275/314	92	285	9	39	25%	6%	67	-1.1	223/276/304	81	290	6	24	24%	6%	65	-1.2	220/270/268	48	290	1	23	23%	6%	51	-1.6
✕Trent Durrington 2006 · MLB	30	52→45	41→40	58→60	47	248/309/350	103	311	8	36	22%	7%	88	+0.4	222/280/299	77	288	5	32	23%	6%	65	-1.2	210/266/266	57	274	3	36	23%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	47→50	42→45	60	41	225/283/336	111	304	8	29	28%	6%	75	-0.5	210/274/318	108	307	10	20	33%	7%	68	-1.0	149/221/220	71	245	7	18	39%	7%	26	-1.2
✕Elliot Johnson 2014 · MLB	30	45→55	42→45	59→60	45	220/275/325	104	283	10	33	25%	7%	70	-0.9	207/267/315	108	275	9	17	26%	7%	64	-1.3	188/250/289	102	254	7	12	27%	7%	51	-1.1
✕Esix Snead 2006 · AAA	30	47	37→30	63→65	50	219/296/291	72	268	3	44	19%	8%	70	-0.8	220/287/304	84	268	7	33	19%	8%	70	-0.9	203/264/238	35	242	3	46	16%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Ian Miller 2021 · MLB	29	46→56	41→40	58→60	45	222/277/327	105	274	8	29	22%	6%	71	-0.8	229/282/320	91	289	6	21	22%	6%	71	-0.8	233/282/301	69	296	3	25	21%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Jonathan Davis 2023 · MLB	31	47→52	40→45	57→55	51	222/318/314	93	301	8	27	27%	10%	84	+0.2	222/299/341	119	310	10	17	29%	8%	83	+0.1	210/286/332	123	299	10	14	31%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Andrew Velazquez 2023 · MLB	29	43→51	45	60	39	211/264/332	121	302	13	31	34%	6%	68	-1.0	204/256/312	108	310	12	33	36%	6%	59	-1.6	207/249/292	86	309	9	34	35%	5%	49	-1.4
✕Jarrod Dyson 2015 · MLB	30	53→58	38→45	71→70	50	250/310/330	80	304	4	58	18%	8%	83	+0.1	253/316/356	103	296	6	50	16%	7%	92	+0.7	256/324/360	104	294	5	53	14%	7%	92	+0.4
✕Roman Quinn 2022 · MLB	29	47→55	45	61→65	44	224/301/353	129	315	11	31	31%	8%	86	+0.3	208/302/330	122	342	11	25	38%	10%	82	+0.0	172/280/277	105	314	8	34	42%	11%	61	-0.4
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	45→55	40	57→60	50	216/290/307	92	275	8	35	23%	9%	72	-0.7	227/296/306	79	302	6	35	25%	8%	73	-0.6	227/298/287	61	307	4	40	25%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	43→45	44→45	57→55	47	208/299/326	119	302	12	28	33%	10%	80	-0.1	215/294/327	112	353	11	21	38%	9%	78	-0.3	184/262/253	69	352	8	20	46%	8%	45	-0.9
✕Todd Donovan 2009 · AAA	30	52→54	36→40	61→65	49	242/301/313	71	304	3	38	21%	8%	76	-0.4	231/310/316	85	298	5	31	22%	10%	81	-0.1	223/317/298	75	287	3	38	21%	12%	78	-0.2
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2013 · MLB	30	51→57	38→40	59→60	49	242/298/329	88	293	4	28	18%	7%	78	-0.3	232/297/305	73	281	4	17	17%	8%	73	-0.6	224/294/281	57	267	2	15	15%	8%	63	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps