Brewer Hicklen — OGILVIE

Brewer HicklenOF Gwinnett Stripers

Age 30 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.5 · 2026

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .291 / .379

PA250

HR9

SB20

K%34

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

47↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-2M		$-2M	+$0.4M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	181	164	34	7	3	3	10	66	6	16	4	.207	.278	.341	.619	.134	.323	36	6	.267	63	-8	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2018	22	A	2 teams	425	389	80	14	2	14	16	165	14	35	6	.206	.263	.360	.622	.154	.308	39	4	.269	64	-17	+5	+0	-3	+12	-0.3
2019	23	A+	2 teams	553	496	103	11	6	15	33	216	17	43	17	.208	.280	.345	.625	.137	.328	39	6	.270	65	-22	+2	+0	-3	+16	-0.8
2021	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	424	377	75	11	2	14	37	167	6	40	4	.199	.281	.350	.631	.151	.308	39	9	.276	69	-15	+6	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	559	499	92	21	3	22	39	250	17	35	2	.184	.267	.371	.637	.186	.304	45	7	.278	71	-18	+6	-0	+2	+16	0.6
2023	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	286	253	48	13	3	8	25	84	7	21	3	.190	.281	.360	.640	.170	.247	29	9	.279	72	-9	+3	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	499	437	92	14	4	20	39	169	18	44	5	.211	.302	.398	.700	.188	.285	34	8	.306	92	-4	+7	-0	-5	+14	1.1
2025	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	387	349	65	8	2	14	26	144	9	25	2	.186	.260	.341	.601	.155	.263	37	7	.262	59	-18	+4	+0	+1	+11	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	30	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	56	50	12	1	0	2	4	11	2	7	2	.240	.321	.380	.701	.140	.270	20	7	.301	89	-1	+1	+0	-0	+2	0.1
ROS	30	MLB	ATL	194	172	37	6	1	7	15	62	5	13	2	.215	.297	.384	.681	.169	.290	32	8	.304	91	-2	+2	+0	-1	+5	0.4
TOT	30	MLB	ATL	250	222	49	7	1	9	19	73	7	20	4	.221	.302	.383	.685	.162	.284	29	8	.304	91	-3	+2	+0	-2	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	31	MLB 20%	ATL	310	274	61	10	2	11	25	91	8	19	3	.223	.306	.394	.700	.172	.284	29	8	.307	93	-2	+3	-3	-2	+9	0.4
2028	32	MLB 33%	ATL	312	276	61	10	2	10	25	92	8	18	2	.221	.304	.380	.685	.159	.283	29	8	.304	91	-3	+3	-4	-2	+9	0.3
2029	33	MLB 43%	ATL	296	263	57	9	2	9	24	88	7	16	2	.217	.299	.369	.668	.152	.282	30	8	.299	87	-4	+2	-4	-2	+8	0.1
2030	34	MLB 52%	ATL	262	233	49	8	1	8	21	80	6	13	1	.210	.292	.356	.649	.146	.280	31	8	.293	83	-5	+2	-5	-2	+7	-0.2
2031	35	MLB 64%	ATL	215	191	39	6	1	6	17	68	5	10	1	.204	.286	.340	.627	.136	.278	32	8	.285	77	-6	+2	-6	-1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4903	4373	893	148	34	161	352	1742	133	348	54	.204	.284	.364	.648	.160	.293	36	7	.284	76	-134	+48	-21	-23	+139	0.9
/ 162G	—			650	580	119	20	5	21	47	231	18	46	7	.205	.286	.366	.651	.160	.295	36	7	.284	76	-18	+6	-3	-3	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	181	156	50	11	5	4	18	46	6	16	4	.321	.411	.532	.943	.212	.430	25	10	.412	174	+15	+2	—	—	+5	2.2
2018	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	78	71	15	4	0	1	4	26	1	6	0	.211	.263	.310	.573	.099	.318	33	5	.254	52	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2018	22	A	Lexington Legends	347	306	94	18	3	17	24	98	13	29	6	.307	.382	.552	.934	.245	.395	28	7	.404	168	+26	+3	—	—	+10	4.1
2019	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	494	419	110	13	7	14	55	140	13	39	14	.263	.366	.427	.793	.165	.358	28	11	.352	127	+15	+2	—	—	+14	3.2
2019	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	59	47	7	1	0	1	8	26	4	4	3	.149	.322	.234	.556	.085	.300	44	14	.278	71	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2021	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	424	362	88	15	3	16	52	132	6	40	4	.243	.348	.434	.781	.191	.333	31	12	.347	123	+11	+6	—	—	+12	3.0
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	559	480	119	30	4	28	58	202	17	35	2	.248	.350	.502	.852	.254	.360	36	10	.372	143	+27	+6	—	—	+16	5.0
2023	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	286	242	57	17	3	10	36	70	7	21	3	.236	.351	.455	.805	.219	.288	24	13	.357	132	+10	+3	—	—	+8	2.2
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	499	415	102	17	5	22	61	139	18	44	5	.246	.366	.470	.836	.224	.309	28	12	.369	140	+23	+7	—	—	+14	4.5
2025	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	387	335	75	10	2	16	40	119	9	25	2	.224	.323	.409	.732	.185	.291	31	10	.327	108	+4	+4	—	—	+11	1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brewer Hicklen (OGILVIE)	30	35	55	60	50	.211/.291/.379	.169	.293	9	14	34%	8%	89	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→48	52→50	57→65	52	.221/.329/.392	.171	.290	19	34	29%	11%	108	+2.3	.214/.318/.385	.171	.289	18	32	30%	11%	101	+1.8	.199/.301/.374	.174	.267	20	37	31%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Keon Broxton 2019 · MLB	29	43→50	51→55	60	42	.208/.283/.367	.158	.329	19	35	40%	9%	81	+0.4	.188/.260/.318	.130	.333	16	25	45%	8%	59	-1.1	.147/.228/.250	.103	.283	16	23	50%	9%	27	-1.5
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44→45	51→60	56→60	45	.219/.299/.380	.161	.322	19	28	36%	10%	91	+1.1	.223/.295/.404	.181	.317	22	16	34%	8%	95	+1.4	.213/.284/.379	.166	.309	19	12	35%	8%	80	+0.2
●Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	49→52	48→50	62→70	41	.242/.296/.383	.141	.312	16	41	27%	6%	90	+1.0	.254/.315/.388	.134	.326	14	69	25%	6%	99	+1.7	.253/.319/.379	.126	.320	13	95	24%	6%	96	+0.6
✕Michael A. Taylor 2020 · MLB	29	46→51	49→55	55→60	41	.229/.283/.385	.156	.320	16	26	33%	7%	85	+0.7	.229/.285/.364	.135	.306	15	16	29%	7%	81	+0.4	.236/.294/.379	.143	.303	19	14	28%	7%	86	+0.6
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	50	58→55	43	.227/.298/.386	.160	.309	18	24	31%	8%	92	+1.2	.227/.292/.366	.139	.321	15	23	32%	8%	84	+0.6	.220/.287/.329	.109	.314	12	32	32%	8%	69	-0.1
✕Charlton Jimerson 2010 · AAA	30	43→44	54→55	55→60	29	.217/.255/.393	.177	.340	23	28	43%	4%	76	+0.1	.217/.254/.379	.162	.289	19	18	31%	4%	72	-0.2	.198/.227/.389	.191	.241	23	23	29%	3%	59	-0.3
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	48→43	48→50	61→65	46	.239/.309/.386	.147	.307	15	32	26%	8%	96	+1.5	.248/.324/.382	.134	.313	12	36	23%	9%	102	+1.8	.258/.338/.390	.132	.319	9	43	21%	10%	106	+1.1
✕Jose Siri 2023 · MLB	28	47→52	53→60	58→55	37	.235/.284/.411	.176	.335	21	24	36%	6%	92	+1.2	.212/.267/.412	.200	.293	27	20	36%	6%	86	+0.8	.196/.255/.410	.214	.257	31	19	37%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Tyler Greene 2014 · MLB	30	46→51	48→50	56→55	41	.229/.286/.372	.143	.313	15	22	31%	6%	83	+0.6	.228/.273/.343	.115	.336	11	11	34%	5%	69	-0.4	.232/.275/.336	.104	.353	9	7	35%	4%	66	-0.6
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	43→50	47→50	53→60	46	.217/.291/.346	.129	.296	15	22	31%	9%	79	+0.3	.232/.302/.374	.142	.316	17	28	30%	8%	91	+1.1	.234/.299/.378	.144	.310	18	31	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	46→45	47→50	60	40	.228/.280/.362	.134	.313	15	33	32%	6%	78	+0.2	.200/.262/.329	.129	.313	14	24	38%	7%	62	-0.9	.164/.235/.285	.121	.268	13	20	41%	7%	37	-1.3
✕Brent Lillibridge 2013 · MLB	29	45→53	47→50	55→60	41	.225/.285/.356	.131	.303	16	29	30%	6%	79	+0.3	.215/.266/.340	.125	.292	15	22	31%	5%	66	-0.6	.203/.250/.320	.117	.276	14	23	31%	5%	51	-1.0
✕Drew Stubbs 2015 · MLB	30	49→57	48→50	57→60	44	.241/.302/.382	.141	.329	15	25	30%	8%	92	+1.2	.229/.304/.365	.136	.336	15	22	33%	9%	89	+0.9	.204/.291/.315	.111	.311	12	23	35%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Mario Lisson 2013 · AA	29	45→49	50→55	54→55	44	.229/.292/.386	.157	.295	17	19	28%	7%	89	+1.0	.231/.295/.384	.153	.291	18	12	26%	7%	91	+1.1	.233/.305/.376	.142	.304	18	8	28%	8%	91	+0.8
●Adolis García 2023 · MLB	30	47→48	57→60	53→50	41	.247/.296/.449	.201	.311	25	18	29%	6%	108	+2.3	.234/.298/.428	.194	.289	25	13	28%	8%	103	+1.9	.224/.290/.409	.185	.270	25	11	27%	8%	91	+1.2
✕Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	44→50	54→60	54→50	40	.233/.279/.412	.179	.277	22	17	25%	5%	91	+1.1	.237/.284/.406	.169	.296	20	13	26%	5%	92	+1.2	.235/.282/.385	.151	.300	17	11	27%	5%	81	+0.4
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	52→60	59→55	42	.246/.291/.425	.180	.289	18	23	22%	5%	99	+1.7	.241/.281/.401	.160	.291	15	20	22%	4%	89	+0.9	.241/.277/.398	.157	.296	15	27	24%	4%	82	+0.2
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2009 · MLB	28	45→48	49→55	58→60	32	.228/.264/.378	.150	.320	16	33	34%	3%	76	+0.0	.215/.250/.333	.118	.326	12	24	36%	4%	56	-1.3	.223/.266/.365	.142	.327	17	25	36%	3%	71	-0.2
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	42→45	45	56→55	45	.205/.290/.325	.121	.298	12	25	33%	9%	73	-0.1	.214/.291/.328	.114	.349	12	22	38%	9%	74	-0.1	.184/.261/.252	.069	.349	8	20	45%	8%	38	-0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)