Brewer Hicklen

OF Gwinnett Stripers
Age 31 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 0.297 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAA40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202428AAAMIL499.246/.366/.470224484—.204/.296/.368
202529AAAPHI387.224/.323/.409162552—.174/.247/.300
202630AAAATL402.302/.378/.520183093—.246/.305/.399
202630MLBATL47.256/.383/.38500124-0.0
2027PROJ30% MLB31MLBATL46.229/.299/.37613900.0
2028PROJ39% MLB32MLBATL97.224/.294/.3653486-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.297First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.4M2031Ext$0.8M2032Ext$1M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed98
Max EV88
K%50
Chase%44
BB%36
Whiff%27
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.5, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsDylan Moore (age 30) · Dairon Blanco (age 30) · George Lombard (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†90
AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .299 / .376
PA46
HR1
K%30
BB%7
BABIP309
ISO95
MLB%30%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT35
xAVG
100.174
POWER55
Barrel%
437.3
Avg EV
1075.5
Bat Spd
5571.9
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.2
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.297 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201721 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars — 181156 501154 18466 164 321411532943 212430 2510 412 65 — — — — — —
201822 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 7871 15401 4261 60 211263310573 99318 335 254 14 — — — — — —
201822 ALexington Legends — 347306 9418317 249813 296 307382552934 245395 287 404 80 — — — — — —
201923 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 494419 11013714 5514013 3914 263366427793 165358 2811 352 68 — — — — — —
201923 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 5947 7101 8264 43 149322234556 85300 4414 278 74 — — — — — —
202125 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 424362 8815316 521326 404 243348434781 191333 3112 347 75 — — — — — —
202226 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers — 559480 11930428 5820217 352 248350502852 254360 3610 372 66 — — — — — —
202327 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 286242 5717310 36707 213 236351455805 219288 2413 357 68 — — — — — —
202428 AAANashville Sounds — 499415 10217522 6113918 445 246366470836 224309 2812 369 84 — — — — — —
202529 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 387335 7510216 401199 252 224323409732 185291 3110 327 52 — — — — — —
202630 MLBAtlanta Braves — 4739 10500 8160 00 256383385768 128435 3417 352 124 +1 +0 +0 -3 +1 -0.0
202630 AAAGwinnett Stripers — 402354 10715418 37936 306 302378520898 218359 239 390 93 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 4739 10500 8160 00 256383385768 128435 3417 352 124 +1 +0 +0 -3 +1 -0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201721 ROK MLEIdaho Falls Chukars — 181164 34733 10666 164 207278341619 134313 366 264 65 — — — — — —
201822 A+ MLEWilmington Blue Rocks — 7873 12301 2371 60 164197247444 82289 473 189 14 — — — — — —
201822 A MLELexington Legends — 347315 6912212 1513113 296 219283384667 165313 384 286 80 — — — — — —
201923 A+ MLEWilmington Blue Rocks — 494444 9110513 3019413 3914 205275338613 133313 396 268 68 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 424378 7812213 361566 404 206286352638 146302 378 279 75 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 559498 8821318 4025317 352 177261339601 163300 457 266 66 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 286253 461237 25847 213 182274336610 154237 299 268 68 — — — — — —
202428 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 499437 8913417 3917018 445 204296368664 165276 348 293 84 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 387350 617211 251449 252 174247300547 126247 376 245 52 — — — — — —
202630 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 4739 10500 8160 00 256383385768 128435 3417 352 124 +1 +0 +0 -3 +1 -0.0
202630 AAA MLEGwinnett Stripers — 402366 9012412 251126 306 246305399704 153309 286 305 93 — — — — — —
201721 ROK MLEIdaho Falls Chukars — 181164 34733 10666 164 207278341619 134323 366 264 65 — — — — — —
201721 ROK RAWIdaho Falls Chukars — 181156 501154 18466 164 321411532943 212430 2510 412 65 — — — — — —
201822 A MLE2 teams — 425388 8115213 1716814 356 209267358626 149322 404 268 68 — — — — — —
201822 A RAW2 teams — 425377 10922318 2812414 356 289360507867 218381 297 377 68 — — — — — —
201923 A+ MLE2 teams — 553495 10211615 3421717 4317 206280343624 137327 396 268 68 — — — — — —
201923 A+ RAW2 teams — 553466 11714715 6316617 4317 251361408769 157354 3011 344 68 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 424378 7812213 361566 404 206286352638 146308 378 279 75 — — — — — —
202125 AA RAWNorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 424362 8815316 521326 404 243348434781 191333 3112 347 75 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 559498 8821318 4025317 352 177261339601 163304 457 266 66 — — — — — —
202226 AAA RAWOmaha Storm Chasers — 559480 11930428 5820217 352 248350502852 254360 3610 372 66 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 286253 461237 25847 213 182274336610 154239 299 268 68 — — — — — —
202327 AAA RAWLehigh Valley IronPigs — 286242 5717310 36707 213 236351455805 219288 2413 357 68 — — — — — —
202428 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 499437 8913417 3917018 445 204296368664 165282 348 293 84 — — — — — —
202428 AAA RAWNashville Sounds — 499415 10217522 6113918 445 246366470836 224309 2812 369 84 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 387350 617211 251449 252 174247300547 126253 376 245 52 — — — — — —
202529 AAA RAWLehigh Valley IronPigs — 387335 7510216 401199 252 224323409732 185291 3110 327 52 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 449405 10017412 331286 306 247313398711 151326 297 310 96 — — — — — —
202630 AAA RAW2 teams — 449393 11720418 451096 306 298378506885 209365 2410 386 96 — — — — — —
201721 ROK MLEIdaho Falls Chukars — 181163 34733 10666 164 209278344621 135313 366 264 65 — — — — — —
201822 A MLE2 teams — 425391 8115213 1716814 356 207267355623 148309 404 268 68 — — — — — —
201923 A+ MLE2 teams — 553497 10211615 3421717 4317 205280342622 137313 396 268 68 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 424379 7812213 361566 404 206286351637 145302 378 279 75 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 559497 8821318 4025317 352 177261340601 163300 457 266 66 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 286252 461237 25847 213 183274337611 155237 299 268 68 — — — — — —
202428 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 499439 8913417 3917018 445 203296367662 164276 348 293 84 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 387350 617211 251449 252 174247300547 126247 376 245 52 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 449407 10017412 331286 306 246313396709 150322 297 310 96 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202428 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 499439 8913417 3917018 445 203296367662 164276 348 293 84 — — — — — —
202529 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 387350 617211 251449 252 174247300547 126247 376 245 52 — — — — — —
202630 AAA MLE2 teams — 449407 10017412 331286 306 246313396709 150322 297 310 96 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202731 MLB MLEATL 30% 380343 7812311 271177 244 229299376675 147309 317 302 90 -4 +3 +0 -2 +8 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202731 MLB CTXATL 30% 4642 8101 3141 31 229299376675 147309 307 302 90 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202832 MLB MLEATL 39% 250226 51827 18774 122 224294365659 141304 317 295 86 -4 +2 -4 -2 +5 -0.2
202832 MLB CTXATL 39% 9788 20313 7302 41 224294365659 141304 317 295 86 -2 +0 -1 -1 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 144127 30813 15462 41 236326386712 150346 3210 314 74 -0 +0 -1 -3 +3 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650573 13636514 682089 185 237328391719 154348 3210 314 74 -1 +2 -6 -15 +14 -0.6
Career— MLE — 41683734 76212832121 2881511107 31153 204280353633 149301 367 277 74 -5 +3 -4 -5 +10 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 11920519 4523617 498 204281354635 149301 367 277 74 -7 +4 -5 -7 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 402 PAwOBA .384 → .305 (−79)K% 23.1% → 27.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.13%÷1.000×1.200——27.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.20%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9726.17%
HBP% /PA1.49%—×0.940—×0.9721.36%
Singles /BIP26.82%÷1.000×0.930×0.989×0.97223.99%
Doubles /BIP5.75%÷1.000×0.830×0.989×0.9724.59%
Triples /BIP1.53%÷1.000×0.970×0.989×0.9721.43%
Home runs /BIP6.90%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9724.69%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .384 → .305; ISO .218 → .158; BABIP .359 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 387 PAwOBA .321 → .245 (−76)K% 30.7% → 37.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.75%÷0.996×1.200——37.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.34%÷1.075×0.690—×0.9826.52%
HBP% /PA2.33%—×0.940—×0.9822.15%
Singles /BIP21.76%÷0.986×0.930×0.956×0.98219.28%
Doubles /BIP4.63%÷1.018×0.830×0.956×0.9823.55%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷0.900×0.970×0.956×0.9820.94%
Home runs /BIP7.41%÷0.947×0.700—×0.9825.38%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 99, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .321 → .245; ISO .185 → .135; BABIP .291 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAANashville Sounds · 499 PAwOBA .361 → .293 (−68)K% 27.9% → 34.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.86%÷0.983×1.200——34.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.62%÷1.014×0.690—×0.9927.84%
HBP% /PA3.61%—×0.940—×0.9923.36%
Singles /BIP21.01%÷0.951×0.930×0.983×0.99220.04%
Doubles /BIP6.16%÷1.010×0.830×0.983×0.9924.94%
Triples /BIP1.81%÷1.150×0.970×0.983×0.9921.49%
Home runs /BIP7.97%÷0.909×0.700—×0.9926.09%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 90, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .361 → .293; ISO .224 → .172; BABIP .309 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 286 PAwOBA .348 → .268 (−81)K% 24.5% → 29.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.48%÷0.996×1.200——29.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.24%÷0.982×0.690—×1.0038.62%
HBP% /PA2.45%—×0.940—×1.0032.31%
Singles /BIP15.70%÷1.016×0.930×0.984×1.00314.18%
Doubles /BIP9.88%÷1.117×0.830×0.984×1.0037.25%
Triples /BIP1.74%÷1.105×0.970×0.984×1.0031.51%
Home runs /BIP5.81%÷1.028×0.700—×1.0033.97%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 123, 3B 121, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .348 → .268; ISO .219 → .156; BABIP .288 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 559 PAwOBA .363 → .266 (−97)K% 36.1% → 45.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.14%÷0.957×1.200——45.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.20%÷1.001×0.690—×1.0187.15%
HBP% /PA3.04%—×0.940—×1.0182.91%
Singles /BIP20.50%÷1.016×0.930×0.968×1.01818.50%
Doubles /BIP10.79%÷1.041×0.830×0.968×1.0188.48%
Triples /BIP1.44%÷1.150×0.970×0.968×1.0181.20%
Home runs /BIP10.07%÷0.984×0.700—×1.0187.30%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .363 → .266; ISO .254 → .170; BABIP .360 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 424 PAwOBA .339 → .279 (−60)K% 31.1% → 36.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.13%÷1.035×1.220——36.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.26%÷0.988×0.690—×0.9988.55%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.850—×0.9981.20%
Singles /BIP23.48%÷0.980×0.940×1.008×0.99822.64%
Doubles /BIP6.52%÷1.117×0.870×1.008×0.9985.11%
Triples /BIP1.30%÷1.150×0.920×1.008×0.9981.05%
Home runs /BIP6.96%÷0.957×0.780—×0.9985.66%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 107, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .339 → .279; ISO .191 → .152; BABIP .333 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 494 PAwOBA .344 → .268 (−76)K% 28.3% → 39.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.34%÷1.024×1.420——39.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.73%÷1.102×0.630—×0.9986.12%
HBP% /PA2.63%—×0.860—×0.9982.26%
Singles /BIP27.24%÷0.999×0.940×0.950×0.99824.29%
Doubles /BIP4.66%÷0.994×0.830×0.950×0.9983.69%
Triples /BIP2.51%÷0.921×0.800×0.950×0.9982.07%
Home runs /BIP5.02%÷0.884×0.900—×0.9985.10%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 100, 2B 99, 3B 84, K 105, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .344 → .268; ISO .165 → .143; BABIP .358 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ALexington Legends · 347 PAwOBA .397 → .286 (−111)K% 28.2% → 37.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.24%÷1.000×1.340——37.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.63%÷1.016×0.660——4.30%
HBP% /PA3.75%—×0.770——2.88%
Singles /BIP26.92%÷1.047×0.920×0.959—22.70%
Doubles /BIP8.65%÷1.112×0.820×0.959—6.12%
Triples /BIP1.44%÷1.150×0.940×0.959—1.13%
Home runs /BIP8.17%÷1.051×0.820——6.37%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 109, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .397 → .286; ISO .245 → .171; BABIP .395 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .