Brewer Hicklen — OGILVIE

Brewer HicklenOF Gwinnett Stripers

Age 30 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION432 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP320

ISO150

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

Whiff%

905.4%

xAVG

100.186

POWER55

Barrel%

295.5

Avg EV

1070.8

Bat Spd

5571.9

EYE50

Chase%

908.7%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.3M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	181	156	50	11	5	4	18	46	6	16	4	321	411	532	943	212	430	25	10	412	165	+14	+2	—	—	+4	2.0
2018	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	78	71	15	4	0	1	4	26	1	6	0	211	263	310	573	99	318	33	5	254	58	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2018	22	A	Lexington Legends	—	347	306	94	18	3	17	24	98	13	29	6	307	382	552	934	245	395	28	7	404	160	+25	+3	—	—	+8	3.6
2019	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	494	419	110	13	7	14	55	140	13	39	14	263	366	427	793	165	358	28	11	352	124	+14	+2	—	—	+11	2.8
2019	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	59	47	7	1	0	1	8	26	4	4	3	149	322	234	556	85	300	44	14	278	74	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	424	362	88	15	3	16	52	132	6	40	4	243	348	434	781	191	333	31	12	347	121	+10	+6	—	—	+9	2.7
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	559	480	119	30	4	28	58	202	17	35	2	248	350	502	852	254	360	36	10	372	138	+25	+6	—	—	+12	4.4
2023	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	286	242	57	17	3	10	36	70	7	21	3	236	351	455	805	219	288	24	13	357	128	+10	+3	—	—	+6	1.9
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	499	415	102	17	5	22	61	139	18	44	5	246	366	470	836	224	309	28	12	369	136	+21	+7	—	—	+11	4.0
2025	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	387	335	75	10	2	16	40	119	9	25	2	224	323	409	732	185	291	31	10	327	107	+3	+4	—	—	+8	1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	181	164	34	7	3	3	10	66	6	16	4	207	278	341	619	134	317	36	6	267	67	-7	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2018	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	78	73	12	3	0	1	2	37	1	6	0	164	197	247	444	82	285	47	3	187	13	-8	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2018	22	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	347	315	69	12	2	12	15	131	13	29	6	219	283	384	667	165	313	38	4	286	80	-8	+3	—	—	+8	0.3
2019	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	494	444	91	10	5	13	30	194	13	39	14	205	275	338	613	133	313	39	6	268	68	-19	+2	—	—	+11	-0.6
2021	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	424	378	79	12	2	13	36	156	6	40	4	209	288	354	643	146	303	37	8	280	76	-12	+6	—	—	+9	0.3
2022	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	559	499	88	21	3	18	39	253	17	35	2	176	259	339	598	162	294	45	7	261	63	-25	+6	—	—	+12	-0.7
2023	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	286	253	45	12	2	7	25	84	7	21	3	178	270	324	594	146	236	29	9	266	66	-12	+3	—	—	+6	-0.2
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	499	437	90	14	4	17	39	170	18	44	5	206	298	373	671	167	278	34	8	294	85	-9	+7	—	—	+11	0.9
2025	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	387	349	62	8	2	11	26	144	9	25	2	178	253	307	559	129	252	37	7	248	54	-21	+4	—	—	+8	-0.9
2017	21	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	181	164	34	7	3	3	10	66	6	16	4	207	278	341	619	134	323	36	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	181	156	50	11	5	4	18	46	6	16	4	321	411	532	943	212	430	25	10	412	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	425	388	80	14	2	13	17	168	14	35	6	206	265	353	618	147	318	40	4	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	425	377	109	22	3	18	28	124	14	35	6	289	360	507	867	218	381	29	7	377	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	553	495	102	11	6	15	34	217	17	43	17	206	280	343	624	137	327	39	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	553	466	117	14	7	15	63	166	17	43	17	251	361	408	769	157	354	30	11	344	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	424	378	79	12	2	13	36	156	6	40	4	209	288	354	643	146	313	37	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	424	362	88	15	3	16	52	132	6	40	4	243	348	434	781	191	333	31	12	347	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	559	499	88	21	3	18	39	253	17	35	2	176	259	339	598	162	303	45	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	559	480	119	30	4	28	58	202	17	35	2	248	350	502	852	254	360	36	10	372	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	286	253	45	12	2	7	25	84	7	21	3	178	270	324	594	146	233	29	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	286	242	57	17	3	10	36	70	7	21	3	236	351	455	805	219	288	24	13	357	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	499	437	90	14	4	17	39	170	18	44	5	206	298	373	671	167	286	34	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	499	415	102	17	5	22	61	139	18	44	5	246	366	470	836	224	309	28	12	369	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	387	349	62	8	2	11	26	144	9	25	2	178	253	307	559	129	259	37	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	387	335	75	10	2	16	40	119	9	25	2	224	323	409	732	185	291	31	10	327	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	181	163	34	7	3	3	10	66	6	16	4	209	278	344	621	135	317	36	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	425	391	80	14	2	13	17	168	14	35	6	205	265	350	615	146	308	40	4	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	553	497	102	11	6	15	34	217	17	43	17	205	280	342	622	137	313	39	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	424	379	79	12	2	13	36	156	6	40	4	208	288	354	642	145	303	37	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	559	498	88	21	3	18	39	253	17	35	2	177	259	339	599	163	294	45	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	286	252	45	12	2	7	25	84	7	21	3	179	270	325	596	147	236	29	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	499	439	90	14	4	17	39	170	18	44	5	205	298	371	669	166	278	34	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	387	349	62	8	2	11	26	144	9	25	2	178	253	307	559	129	252	37	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	286	252	45	12	2	7	25	84	7	21	3	179	270	325	596	147	236	29	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	499	439	90	14	4	17	39	170	18	44	5	205	298	371	669	166	278	34	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	387	349	62	8	2	11	26	144	9	25	2	178	253	307	559	129	252	37	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	ATL	—	432	389	101	16	4	13	32	122	6	30	6	260	326	422	747	162	340	28	7	320	103	+1	+4	+0	-3	+9	1.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	ATL	—	30	24	8	4	0	0	6	10	0	0	0	333	467	500	967	167	571	33	20	431	103	+0	+0	+0	-3	+1	-0.2
YTD	30	AAA RAW	ATL	—	402	354	107	15	4	18	37	93	6	30	6	302	378	520	898	218	359	23	9	390	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB RAW	ATL	—	30	24	8	4	0	0	6	10	0	0	0	333	467	500	967	167	571	33	20	431	178	+3	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.3
ROS	30	AAA MLE	ATL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		320	33	11	313	98	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	ATL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		320	33	11	300	98	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	ATL	—	39	32	9	4	0	0	7	13	0	1	0	281	410	406	817	125	474	33	18	401	103	+0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
TOT	30	AAA MLE	ATL	—	441	397	102	16	4	13	33	125	6	31	6	257	323	416	739	159	337	28	7	320	103	+1	+4	+0	-3	+10	1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	ATL	82%	365	329	78	12	3	11	27	108	6	20	4	237	307	392	699	155	313	30	7	308	94	-2	+2	-3	-2	+8	0.3
2028	32	MLB MLE	ATL	82%	346	311	72	11	2	10	26	102	6	16	3	232	303	376	679	145	308	29	8	303	92	-3	+2	-4	-2	+7	0.0
2029	33	MLB MLE	ATL	82%	316	284	65	10	2	9	24	93	5	11	2	229	300	373	674	144	303	29	8	298	88	-5	+1	-4	-2	+7	-0.3
2027	31	MLB CTX	ATL	82%	299	270	64	10	2	9	22	88	5	16	3	237	306	389	695	152	313	29	7	295	94	-2	+2	-2	-2	+6	0.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	ATL	82%	284	256	59	9	2	8	21	83	5	13	2	230	301	375	676	145	308	29	7	291	92	-3	+2	-3	-2	+6	0.1
2029	33	MLB CTX	ATL	82%	259	234	53	8	2	7	19	77	4	9	2	226	296	368	663	141	303	30	7	286	88	-4	+1	-3	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	851	768	177	27	6	24	63	251	14	39	7	230	301	375	676	145	308	29	7	291	74	-9	+5	-9	-5	+18	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	136	21	5	18	48	192	11	30	5	232	302	376	678	145	311	30	7	291	74	-7	+4	-7	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4350	3895	796	132	31	127	304	1564	111	307	52	204	281	352	633	148	300	36	7	278	74	-11	+6	-10	-6	+22	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	120	20	5	19	45	234	17	46	8	206	283	356	638	149	303	36	7	278	74	-7	+4	-7	-4	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	2.7	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
/162	664	16	25	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,092	31	55	230	297	376	-7	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	19	34	-4.0	-0.4	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brewer Hicklen (OGILVIE)	30	35	55	60	50	237/307/392	154	320	8	17	30%	7%	98	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→48	51→50	57→65	52	219/330/388	169	289	18	35	29%	11%	106	+1.8	214/317/385	171	289	18	32	30%	11%	101	+1.4	199/301/370	171	267	19	37	31%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	49→51	46→45	62→70	41	241/295/369	129	313	14	42	27%	6%	88	+0.4	253/315/381	128	326	13	71	25%	6%	97	+1.1	252/319/375	122	321	12	95	24%	7%	95	+0.4
✕Keon Broxton 2019 · MLB	29	42→50	50→55	60	41	205/279/361	156	329	18	34	41%	9%	80	-0.1	188/261/313	125	340	15	24	45%	8%	63	-1.4	149/230/245	96	290	14	23	50%	9%	35	-1.5
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	49→43	48→50	61→65	46	240/311/390	149	307	15	32	26%	8%	99	+1.2	248/323/377	129	314	11	35	23%	9%	100	+1.3	240/317/351	111	309	8	38	23%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44	50→60	55→60	45	214/296/366	152	320	18	27	36%	10%	88	+0.4	224/295/404	180	318	22	15	34%	8%	96	+1.0	216/286/387	172	309	20	12	35%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	47→46	46→45	61→60	40	230/282/359	129	316	14	34	31%	6%	80	-0.1	196/260/318	122	311	13	23	38%	7%	63	-1.3	160/232/270	110	264	11	20	41%	7%	40	-1.5
✕Michael A. Taylor 2020 · MLB	29	46→53	48→55	55→60	41	227/281/378	151	319	14	25	32%	7%	84	+0.2	234/290/371	137	311	15	15	28%	7%	86	+0.3	240/298/383	143	310	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.5
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	49→50	58→55	44	224/297/374	150	307	16	25	31%	8%	90	+0.6	226/293/360	134	323	14	23	32%	8%	85	+0.2	217/284/314	98	312	10	32	32%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	43→45	44→45	57→55	47	208/299/326	119	302	12	28	33%	10%	80	-0.1	215/294/327	112	353	11	21	38%	9%	78	-0.3	184/262/253	69	352	8	20	46%	8%	45	-0.9
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	43→53	47→50	55→60	46	217/292/345	128	296	15	24	31%	9%	81	-0.1	231/301/365	134	317	16	28	30%	8%	89	+0.5	242/297/385	142	309	16	27	26%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	44→48	48→50	60→65	40	224/272/373	149	288	14	32	27%	5%	80	-0.2	221/269/360	139	279	14	40	25%	6%	76	-0.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Matt Lipka 2022 · AAA	30	50→53	44→45	58→60	39	242/290/359	117	333	11	31	30%	5%	83	+0.1	224/284/331	107	326	9	34	32%	7%	74	-0.5	192/261/268	76	298	4	59	34%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Brent Lillibridge 2013 · MLB	29	44→54	48→50	55→60	41	225/287/363	139	302	17	29	31%	6%	84	+0.1	211/262/330	119	289	14	22	31%	5%	66	-1.1	199/246/308	109	273	12	23	31%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	47→51	50	56→55	44	237/302/395	158	312	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.1	227/275/348	121	329	11	14	33%	5%	75	-0.5	224/267/325	102	336	8	10	34%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Drew Stubbs 2015 · MLB	30	50→57	48→50	57→60	44	245/306/392	146	335	16	24	30%	8%	97	+1.1	226/303/360	134	333	14	22	33%	9%	88	+0.5	205/292/316	111	312	12	23	35%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Roman Quinn 2022 · MLB	29	47→55	45	61→65	44	224/301/353	129	315	11	31	31%	8%	86	+0.3	208/302/330	122	342	11	25	38%	10%	82	+0.0	172/280/277	105	314	8	34	42%	11%	61	-0.4
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2009 · MLB	28	46→48	49→55	59→60	32	228/263/379	150	324	17	34	35%	3%	78	-0.3	214/251/329	115	325	11	23	36%	4%	61	-1.5	219/263/350	130	325	15	25	36%	3%	70	-0.6
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	51→55	59→55	43	244/292/415	171	288	17	25	22%	5%	97	+1.1	239/280/394	155	290	14	20	22%	4%	88	+0.4	243/279/400	158	299	15	27	24%	4%	86	+0.1
✕Charlton Jimerson 2010 · AAA	30	43→45	52→55	54→60	30	215/252/377	162	337	21	27	42%	4%	74	-0.6	220/261/378	158	286	18	18	29%	4%	77	-0.3	201/229/384	183	243	21	23	27%	2%	63	-0.4
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	51→57	43→45	60→65	45	241/330/358	117	319	10	34	26%	7%	99	+1.3	221/310/338	117	292	9	35	26%	7%	87	+0.4	210/302/322	111	283	8	40	26%	7%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps