Brewer Hicklen — OGILVIE

Brewer HicklenOF Gwinnett Stripers

Age 30 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION322 act + 214 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .301 / .401

PA214

HR8

SB14

K%31

BB%7

BABIP312

ISO164

MLB%30%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

1025.2%

POWER55

Bat Spd

5571.9

EYE50

Chase%

1040.1%

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	181	164	34	7	3	3	10	66	6	16	4	207	278	341	619	134	323	36	6	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	181	156	50	11	5	4	18	46	6	16	4	321	411	532	943	212	430	25	10	412	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	2 teams	—	425	388	77	13	2	13	17	167	14	35	6	198	258	343	601	144	302	39	4	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	2 teams	—	425	377	109	22	3	18	28	124	14	35	6	289	360	507	867	218	381	29	7	377	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	553	498	107	11	7	17	31	212	17	43	17	215	284	367	651	153	331	38	6	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	553	466	117	14	7	15	63	166	17	43	17	251	361	408	769	157	354	30	11	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	424	377	80	10	2	16	37	159	6	40	4	212	293	377	670	164	314	38	9	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	424	362	88	15	3	16	52	132	6	40	4	243	348	434	781	191	333	31	12	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	559	499	85	19	2	21	39	265	17	35	2	170	254	343	597	172	296	47	7	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	559	480	119	30	4	28	58	202	17	35	2	248	350	502	852	254	360	36	10	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	286	253	45	11	2	8	25	85	7	21	3	178	270	332	602	154	230	30	9	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	286	242	57	17	3	10	36	70	7	21	3	236	351	455	805	219	288	24	13	357	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	499	437	96	13	3	22	39	173	18	44	5	220	310	414	724	195	300	35	8	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	499	415	102	17	5	22	61	139	18	44	5	246	366	470	836	224	309	28	12	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	387	351	66	7	2	15	24	144	9	25	2	188	258	348	605	160	262	37	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	387	335	75	10	2	16	40	119	9	25	2	224	323	409	732	185	291	31	10	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	ATL	—	322	296	77	8	2	13	19	92	4	25	5	260	313	432	746	172	330	29	6	323	105	+2	+3	+0	-2	+9	1.2
YTD	30	AAA	ATL	—	322	287	86	10	2	16	28	77	4	25	5	300	370	516	886	216	355	24	9	386	154	+20	+3	+0	-2	+9	3.0
ROS	30	AAA	ATL	30%	214	194	46	6	1	8	14	66	4	14	2	236	301	401	702	164	311	31	7	316	100	-0	+2	+0	-1	+6	0.7
ROS	30	MLB	ATL	30%	64	59	14	2	0	3	4	20	1	4	1	237	297	424	721	186	311	31	6	302	89	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.1
FULL	30	AAA	ATL	—	386	355	91	10	2	16	23	112	5	29	6	256	311	431	742	175	326	29	6	320	103	+1	+3	+0	-2	+11	1.3
TOT	30	AAA	ATL	—	536	490	123	14	3	21	33	158	8	39	7	251	308	420	728	169	323	29	6	320	103	+2	+5	+0	-3	+15	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	ATL	44%	483	439	104	14	3	18	33	147	8	26	4	237	302	405	708	169	307	30	7	313	98	-1	+4	-3	-3	+14	1.1
2028	32	MLB	ATL	53%	502	455	106	14	3	18	34	152	8	22	4	233	298	396	693	163	303	30	7	308	94	-3	+3	-4	-3	+14	0.7
2027	31	MLB	ATL	44%	214	194	45	6	1	8	14	65	4	11	2	232	297	397	694	165	307	30	7	300	88	-3	+1	-1	-1	+6	0.2
2028	32	MLB	ATL	53%	264	240	55	7	1	10	18	80	4	12	2	229	294	392	686	163	303	30	7	296	85	-5	+2	-2	-2	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	542	493	114	15	2	21	36	165	9	27	5	231	296	398	693	166	301	30	7	298	87	-8	+3	-3	-3	+15	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	136	18	2	25	43	198	11	32	6	230	294	394	688	164	300	30	7	298	87	-10	+4	-4	-4	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	4513	4055	846	125	30	159	303	1636	114	321	53	209	282	372	654	163	300	36	7	287	78	-115	+43	-7	-20	+128	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	122	18	4	23	44	236	16	46	8	209	283	372	654	163	301	36	7	287	78	-17	+6	-1	-3	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	181	156	50	11	5	4	18	46	6	16	4	321	411	532	943	212	430	25	10	412	174	+15	+2	—	—	+5	2.2
2018	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	78	71	15	4	0	1	4	26	1	6	0	211	263	310	573	99	318	33	5	254	52	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2018	22	A	Lexington Legends	—	347	306	94	18	3	17	24	98	13	29	6	307	382	552	934	245	395	28	7	404	168	+26	+3	—	—	+10	4.1
2019	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	494	419	110	13	7	14	55	140	13	39	14	263	366	427	793	165	358	28	11	352	127	+15	+2	—	—	+14	3.2
2019	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	59	47	7	1	0	1	8	26	4	4	3	149	322	234	556	85	300	44	14	278	71	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2021	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	424	362	88	15	3	16	52	132	6	40	4	243	348	434	781	191	333	31	12	347	123	+11	+6	—	—	+12	3.0
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	559	480	119	30	4	28	58	202	17	35	2	248	350	502	852	254	360	36	10	372	143	+27	+6	—	—	+16	5.0
2023	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	286	242	57	17	3	10	36	70	7	21	3	236	351	455	805	219	288	24	13	357	132	+10	+3	—	—	+8	2.2
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	499	415	102	17	5	22	61	139	18	44	5	246	366	470	836	224	309	28	12	369	140	+23	+7	—	—	+14	4.5
2025	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	387	335	75	10	2	16	40	119	9	25	2	224	323	409	732	185	291	31	10	327	108	+4	+4	—	—	+11	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Raul Mondesilast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,604 PA	6	2,604	108	89	251	326	456	-20	-6	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	28	23	251	326	456	-5.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	553	21	28	233	297	402	-3	-0	1.1	1.1
	/162	664	25	33	233	297	402	-4.0	-0.2	1.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brewer Hicklen (OGILVIE)	30	35	55	60	50	251/308/420	169	323	21	39	29%	6%	103	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→47	52→50	57→65	52	222/331/394	172	292	19	35	29%	11%	109	+2.4	216/319/391	175	291	18	32	30%	11%	103	+1.9	201/303/378	176	270	20	37	31%	10%	91	+0.5
●Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	48→49	48→50	62→70	41	239/294/378	139	312	16	42	28%	6%	88	+0.9	253/315/388	135	325	14	71	25%	6%	99	+1.7	253/321/383	130	320	13	95	24%	7%	98	+0.7
✕Keon Broxton 2019 · MLB	29	41→48	50→55	60	40	199/273/355	156	329	19	34	43%	9%	74	-0.1	188/261/317	129	343	16	24	46%	8%	59	-1.1	158/241/269	111	299	17	23	49%	9%	37	-1.1
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44	52→60	55→60	45	219/299/387	168	324	21	27	37%	10%	93	+1.3	222/292/401	179	318	21	15	35%	8%	94	+1.3	212/281/377	165	309	19	12	36%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Trevor Story 2023 · MLB	30	43→49	53→60	55	48	226/300/405	179	279	21	20	27%	9%	98	+1.6	233/294/394	161	303	19	24	28%	7%	92	+1.2	241/292/393	153	309	20	30	28%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→49	48→50	55→60	46	219/294/353	134	297	16	24	30%	9%	82	+0.5	236/305/381	145	323	17	28	30%	8%	94	+1.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Charlton Jimerson 2010 · AAA	30	43→44	53→55	54→60	29	215/251/382	168	339	22	27	43%	4%	72	-0.2	226/263/407	181	288	22	18	30%	4%	83	+0.6	213/240/446	233	245	29	23	28%	2%	79	+0.1
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	53→60	59→55	42	247/294/428	181	289	19	25	22%	5%	101	+1.8	242/282/405	163	292	15	20	22%	4%	89	+1.0	248/283/416	169	302	17	27	24%	4%	90	+0.5
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	45→44	50	58→55	44	226/298/385	159	307	18	25	31%	8%	92	+1.2	227/291/365	138	323	15	23	32%	7%	83	+0.6	220/287/329	109	314	12	32	32%	8%	69	-0.1
✕Drew Stubbs 2015 · MLB	30	48→51	47→50	57→60	44	235/297/374	138	322	15	24	30%	8%	88	+0.9	222/299/354	132	324	14	22	33%	9%	84	+0.6	204/290/316	112	307	12	23	34%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→53	50	56→55	43	238/303/396	159	315	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.5	224/272/345	121	325	12	14	33%	5%	70	-0.3	219/262/322	103	328	9	10	35%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Brent Lillibridge 2013 · MLB	29	44→54	48→50	55→60	41	225/287/363	138	301	17	29	31%	6%	82	+0.5	215/265/340	125	292	15	22	30%	5%	66	-0.6	205/251/321	116	277	14	23	31%	5%	51	-1.0
✕B.J. Upton 2014 · MLB	29	42→52	52→60	53→60	47	220/292/385	165	282	20	23	29%	9%	89	+1.0	223/292/366	143	301	16	22	29%	9%	84	+0.6	226/293/371	145	300	16	25	29%	8%	81	+0.3
●Adolis García 2023 · MLB	30	46→48	57→65	53→50	41	244/294/445	201	305	25	19	29%	6%	106	+2.2	234/298/437	203	284	27	13	27%	8%	106	+2.2	226/292/422	196	270	27	11	27%	8%	97	+1.6
●Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	44→50	55→60	54→50	40	235/281/421	186	278	23	18	25%	5%	95	+1.4	242/288/413	171	301	20	13	26%	5%	95	+1.4	240/287/394	155	303	17	11	26%	5%	86	+0.6
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	47→46	48→50	61→60	40	231/282/370	139	319	16	34	32%	6%	81	+0.4	198/264/334	136	314	15	23	39%	7%	64	-0.8	161/237/290	129	263	15	20	42%	8%	39	-1.2
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Michael A. Taylor 2020 · MLB	29	46→53	48→55	55→60	41	226/279/375	149	319	14	25	33%	7%	80	+0.4	235/290/372	137	314	15	15	29%	7%	85	+0.7	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Mario Lisson 2013 · AA	29	46→49	50→55	54→55	44	230/296/392	162	298	17	19	28%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/387	155	289	19	11	26%	6%	92	+1.2	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Adam Engel 2022 · MLB	30	46→48	51→50	55→60	42	236/299/401	164	296	18	20	26%	6%	96	+1.5	216/283/342	126	308	12	24	32%	7%	74	-0.1	198/270/306	108	299	9	29	34%	8%	55	-0.7