Jimmy Herron
LF Nashville Sounds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 631 | .275/.382/.448 | 19 | 40 | 85 | — | .239/.320/.379 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAACOL | 413 | .280/.359/.453 | 14 | 16 | 77 | — | .231/.291/.345 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAAMIL | 270 | .219/.302/.287 | 3 | 18 | 34 | — | .184/.249/.234 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 31 | MLBMIL | 16 | .220/.280/.317 | 0 | 0 | 71 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 32 | MLBMIL | 43 | .215/.276/.308 | 1 | 1 | 67 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 130 | 110 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 245 | 341 | 345 | 687 | 100 | 279 | 18 | 9 | 308 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | — | 37 | 29 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 459 | 517 | 977 | 207 | 308 | 5 | 22 | 433 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 450 | 386 | 93 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 50 | 79 | 7 | 21 | 10 | 241 | 339 | 373 | 712 | 132 | 279 | 18 | 11 | 319 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 286 | 33 | 20 | 260 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 163 | 143 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 266 | 352 | 434 | 785 | 168 | 315 | 20 | 10 | 349 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 221 | 185 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 259 | 374 | 465 | 839 | 205 | 279 | 17 | 13 | 371 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 539 | 456 | 135 | 27 | 4 | 19 | 69 | 103 | 9 | 33 | 5 | 296 | 399 | 498 | 897 | 202 | 342 | 19 | 13 | 394 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 92 | 78 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 154 | 283 | 154 | 436 | 188 | 15 | 10 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 413 | 364 | 102 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 40 | 58 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 280 | 359 | 453 | 813 | 173 | 298 | 14 | 10 | 359 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 270 | 237 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 59 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 219 | 302 | 287 | 589 | 68 | 274 | 22 | 9 | 270 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 130 | 116 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 207 | 270 | 293 | 563 | 86 | 247 | 25 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs 1 | — | 37 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 324 | 375 | 699 | 156 | 233 | 8 | 14 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 450 | 398 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 112 | 7 | 21 | 10 | 176 | 260 | 269 | 528 | 93 | 218 | 25 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 267 | 154 | 421 | 256 | 40 | 13 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 163 | 147 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 231 | 302 | 367 | 670 | 136 | 278 | 24 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 221 | 194 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 211 | 301 | 366 | 667 | 155 | 235 | 20 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 539 | 477 | 114 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 130 | 9 | 33 | 5 | 239 | 320 | 379 | 700 | 140 | 293 | 24 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 413 | 377 | 87 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 71 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 231 | 291 | 345 | 636 | 114 | 259 | 17 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 270 | 244 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 70 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 184 | 249 | 234 | 483 | 49 | 239 | 26 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 148 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 223 | 294 | 331 | 626 | 108 | 259 | 21 | 7 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 167 | 139 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 259 | 368 | 381 | 749 | 122 | 286 | 16 | 12 | 336 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 450 | 398 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 112 | 7 | 21 | 10 | 176 | 260 | 269 | 528 | 93 | 224 | 25 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 450 | 386 | 93 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 50 | 79 | 7 | 21 | 10 | 241 | 339 | 373 | 712 | 132 | 279 | 18 | 11 | 319 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 267 | 154 | 421 | 286 | 40 | 13 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 286 | 33 | 20 | 260 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 384 | 341 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 83 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 220 | 302 | 367 | 668 | 147 | 260 | 22 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 384 | 328 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 45 | 69 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 262 | 365 | 451 | 816 | 189 | 294 | 18 | 12 | 362 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 631 | 556 | 134 | 26 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 153 | 14 | 40 | 6 | 241 | 326 | 383 | 709 | 142 | 303 | 24 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 631 | 534 | 147 | 27 | 4 | 19 | 78 | 117 | 14 | 40 | 6 | 275 | 382 | 448 | 829 | 172 | 318 | 19 | 12 | 370 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 413 | 377 | 87 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 71 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 231 | 291 | 345 | 636 | 114 | 260 | 17 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 413 | 364 | 102 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 40 | 58 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 280 | 359 | 453 | 813 | 173 | 298 | 14 | 10 | 359 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 270 | 244 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 70 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 184 | 249 | 234 | 483 | 49 | 244 | 26 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 270 | 237 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 59 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 219 | 302 | 287 | 589 | 68 | 274 | 22 | 9 | 270 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 150 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 220 | 294 | 327 | 621 | 107 | 244 | 21 | 7 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 450 | 402 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 112 | 7 | 21 | 10 | 174 | 260 | 266 | 526 | 92 | 218 | 25 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 267 | 154 | 421 | 256 | 40 | 13 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 384 | 341 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 83 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 220 | 302 | 367 | 668 | 147 | 253 | 22 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 631 | 556 | 134 | 26 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 153 | 14 | 40 | 6 | 241 | 326 | 383 | 709 | 142 | 293 | 24 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 413 | 378 | 87 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 71 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 230 | 291 | 344 | 635 | 114 | 259 | 17 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 270 | 247 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 70 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 182 | 249 | 231 | 480 | 49 | 239 | 26 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 413 | 378 | 87 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 71 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 230 | 291 | 344 | 635 | 114 | 259 | 17 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 270 | 247 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 70 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 182 | 249 | 231 | 480 | 49 | 239 | 26 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIL | 10% | 320 | 293 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 73 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 222 | 283 | 320 | 603 | 98 | 277 | 23 | 6 | 273 | 71 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIL | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 280 | 317 | 597 | 97 | 273 | 25 | 6 | 270 | 71 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIL | 27% | 159 | 146 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 278 | 311 | 589 | 93 | 274 | 23 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIL | 27% | 43 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 276 | 308 | 584 | 93 | 269 | 23 | 7 | 265 | 67 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 43 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 279 | 308 | 587 | 103 | 250 | 23 | 7 | 265 | 70 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 121 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 45 | 151 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 205 | 278 | 307 | 585 | 102 | 250 | 23 | 7 | 265 | 70 | -26 | +3 | -14 | -7 | +14 | -3.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2644 | 2365 | 510 | 85 | 15 | 50 | 202 | 602 | 47 | 119 | 29 | 216 | 290 | 328 | 618 | 112 | 265 | 23 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -12 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +7 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 126 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 148 | 12 | 29 | 7 | 217 | 292 | 329 | 621 | 112 | 267 | 23 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -24 | +2 | -7 | -7 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAANashville Sounds · 270 PAwOBA .267 → .219 (−48)K% 21.9% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.85% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.16% | ÷0.983 | ×0.930 | ×0.954 | ×0.982 | 21.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.81% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×0.954 | ×0.982 | 2.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.954 | ×0.982 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.04% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .267 → .219; ISO .068 → .049; BABIP .274 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 413 PAwOBA .352 → .282 (−70)K% 14.0% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.04% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.69% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.88% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×0.967 | ×0.992 | 20.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | ×0.992 | 3.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.967 | ×0.992 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.58% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.90% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .352 → .282; ISO .173 → .121; BABIP .298 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 539 PAwOBA .387 → .306 (−80)K% 19.1% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.11% | ÷0.947 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.62% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.08% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 21.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.65% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.56% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .387 → .306; ISO .202 → .145; BABIP .342 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAHartford Yard Goats · 221 PAwOBA .364 → .294 (−70)K% 16.7% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.74% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.67% | ÷1.002 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.71% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.59% | ÷1.032 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 17.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.08% | ÷1.035 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.08% | ÷0.992 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.72% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .364 → .294; ISO .205 → .164; BABIP .279 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 163 PAwOBA .342 → .281 (−61)K% 19.6% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.63% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.43% | ÷0.945 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.21% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.80% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.42% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 109, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .342 → .281; ISO .168 → .126; BABIP .315 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAHartford Yard Goats · 15 PAwOBA .255 → .198 (−57)K% 33.3% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 13.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.047 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 25.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 102, 3B 91, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .255 → .198; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .286 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 450 PAwOBA .315 → .236 (−79)K% 17.6% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.56% | ÷0.950 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.935 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.52% | ÷1.079 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 16.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.54% | ÷1.001 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷1.065 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.61% | ÷1.278 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.87% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 116, 2B 100, 3B 113, K 90, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .315 → .236; ISO .132 → .093; BABIP .279 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ASouth Bend Cubs · 130 PAwOBA .298 → .258 (−40)K% 18.5% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.46% | ÷1.005 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.92% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.58% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | — | 23.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | — | 1.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.961 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷0.881 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.17% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 100, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .298 → .258; ISO .100 → .090; BABIP .279 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .