Darin Mastroianni
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 28 | AAATOR | 413 | .277/.355/.379 | 5 | 20 | 67 | — | .235/.292/.315 | |
| 2014 | 28 | MLBTOR | 44 | .116/.136/.186 | 1 | 1 | -16 | -0.8 | ||
| 2015 | 29 | AAASyracuse Chie… | 484 | .257/.310/.345 | 3 | 25 | 46 | — | .215/.256/.279 | |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 305 | .247/.315/.309 | 1 | 13 | 44 | — | .212/.262/.258 | |
| 2017 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 369 | 325 | 74 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 77 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 228 | 303 | 311 | 614 | 83 | 289 | 21 | 8 | 276 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 292 | 247 | 67 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 45 | 1 | 38 | 8 | 271 | 373 | 340 | 713 | 69 | 327 | 15 | 13 | 325 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 274 | 231 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 38 | 4 | 32 | 7 | 325 | 426 | 390 | 816 | 65 | 389 | 14 | 14 | 373 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 617 | 525 | 158 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 77 | 96 | 3 | 46 | 10 | 301 | 393 | 398 | 791 | 97 | 358 | 16 | 12 | 353 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 147 | 126 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 365 | 452 | 460 | 912 | 95 | 425 | 14 | 14 | 409 | 163 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 365 | 319 | 88 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 40 | 54 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 276 | 357 | 389 | 746 | 113 | 327 | 15 | 11 | 333 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 198 | 169 | 43 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 254 | 347 | 355 | 702 | 101 | 286 | 12 | 11 | 313 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 126 | 102 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 255 | 372 | 363 | 735 | 108 | 308 | 18 | 13 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 186 | 163 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 45 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 252 | 330 | 350 | 679 | 98 | 328 | 24 | 10 | 304 | 92 | -2 | +3 | +4 | -4 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 85 | 78 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 346 | 393 | 423 | 816 | 77 | 422 | 16 | 6 | 363 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 40 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 143 | 231 | 171 | 402 | 29 | 208 | 28 | 10 | 192 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 108 | 86 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 256 | 385 | 337 | 722 | 81 | 296 | 14 | 17 | 326 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 73 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 185 | 232 | 215 | 447 | 31 | 279 | 32 | 4 | 198 | 20 | -7 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +2 | -0.9 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 63 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 240 | 397 | 260 | 657 | 20 | 308 | 17 | 16 | 324 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 44 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 116 | 136 | 186 | 322 | 70 | 125 | 23 | 2 | 145 | -16 | -6 | +0 | +2 | -5 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 413 | 364 | 101 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 71 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 277 | 355 | 379 | 735 | 102 | 331 | 17 | 10 | 330 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 484 | 443 | 114 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 85 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 257 | 310 | 345 | 656 | 88 | 310 | 18 | 6 | 293 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 203 | 180 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 39 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 256 | 330 | 300 | 630 | 44 | 322 | 19 | 9 | 289 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 102 | 95 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 232 | 284 | 326 | 611 | 95 | 266 | 15 | 5 | 278 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 303 | 271 | 58 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 78 | 2 | 24 | 4 | 214 | 278 | 292 | 569 | 77 | 283 | 26 | 7 | 255 | 59 | -15 | +3 | +5 | -11 | +7 | -1.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 369 | 335 | 65 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 105 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 194 | 250 | 260 | 510 | 66 | 261 | 28 | 6 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 292 | 258 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 55 | 1 | 38 | 8 | 260 | 334 | 322 | 656 | 62 | 315 | 19 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 274 | 241 | 69 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 54 | 4 | 32 | 7 | 286 | 368 | 344 | 712 | 58 | 363 | 20 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 617 | 549 | 156 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 53 | 118 | 3 | 46 | 10 | 284 | 350 | 368 | 718 | 84 | 344 | 19 | 9 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 365 | 331 | 80 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 70 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 242 | 305 | 323 | 628 | 82 | 298 | 19 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 198 | 178 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 236 | 295 | 326 | 621 | 90 | 264 | 15 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 186 | 163 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 45 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 252 | 330 | 350 | 679 | 98 | 328 | 24 | 10 | 304 | 92 | -2 | +3 | +4 | -4 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 85 | 80 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 300 | 333 | 375 | 708 | 75 | 367 | 19 | 4 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 40 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 135 | 179 | 162 | 342 | 27 | 189 | 35 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 73 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 185 | 232 | 215 | 447 | 31 | 279 | 32 | 4 | 198 | 20 | -7 | +0 | -2 | -1 | +2 | -0.9 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 63 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 208 | 333 | 226 | 560 | 19 | 272 | 21 | 11 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 44 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 116 | 136 | 186 | 322 | 70 | 125 | 23 | 2 | 145 | -16 | -6 | +0 | +2 | -5 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 413 | 378 | 89 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 90 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 235 | 292 | 315 | 606 | 79 | 291 | 22 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 484 | 452 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 98 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 215 | 256 | 279 | 535 | 64 | 262 | 20 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 203 | 186 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 46 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 226 | 280 | 258 | 538 | 32 | 289 | 23 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 102 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 186 | 225 | 258 | 483 | 72 | 225 | 18 | 3 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 369 | 335 | 65 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 105 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 194 | 250 | 260 | 510 | 66 | 275 | 28 | 6 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 369 | 325 | 74 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 77 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 228 | 303 | 311 | 614 | 83 | 289 | 21 | 8 | 276 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 566 | 499 | 135 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 55 | 109 | 5 | 70 | 15 | 271 | 349 | 331 | 679 | 60 | 344 | 19 | 10 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 566 | 478 | 142 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 76 | 83 | 5 | 70 | 15 | 297 | 399 | 364 | 763 | 67 | 357 | 15 | 13 | 348 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 764 | 682 | 194 | 31 | 8 | 4 | 66 | 146 | 3 | 57 | 14 | 284 | 350 | 371 | 721 | 87 | 353 | 19 | 9 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 764 | 651 | 204 | 30 | 9 | 5 | 97 | 116 | 3 | 57 | 14 | 313 | 405 | 410 | 815 | 97 | 371 | 15 | 13 | 364 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 689 | 619 | 149 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 51 | 121 | 5 | 40 | 12 | 241 | 304 | 326 | 630 | 86 | 293 | 18 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 689 | 590 | 157 | 29 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 101 | 5 | 40 | 12 | 266 | 357 | 375 | 732 | 108 | 311 | 15 | 11 | 326 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 419 | 375 | 94 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 101 | 2 | 43 | 8 | 251 | 313 | 336 | 649 | 85 | 331 | 24 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -11 | +5 | +4 | -4 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB RAW | 4 teams | — | 419 | 362 | 95 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 85 | 2 | 43 | 8 | 262 | 347 | 345 | 692 | 83 | 331 | 20 | 11 | 311 | 78 | -11 | +5 | +4 | -4 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 136 | 118 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 195 | 280 | 220 | 501 | 25 | 277 | 26 | 7 | 228 | 40 | -10 | +1 | -2 | -1 | +3 | -0.9 |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 136 | 115 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 34 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 209 | 311 | 235 | 545 | 26 | 293 | 25 | 10 | 256 | 40 | -10 | +1 | -2 | -1 | +3 | -0.9 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 421 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 100 | 4 | 21 | 6 | 223 | 277 | 302 | 578 | 78 | 280 | 22 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 457 | 407 | 106 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 81 | 4 | 21 | 6 | 260 | 334 | 359 | 693 | 98 | 311 | 18 | 9 | 313 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 484 | 452 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 98 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 215 | 256 | 279 | 535 | 64 | 268 | 20 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 484 | 443 | 114 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 85 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 257 | 310 | 345 | 656 | 88 | 310 | 18 | 6 | 293 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 305 | 282 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 64 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 213 | 265 | 259 | 524 | 46 | 269 | 21 | 5 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 305 | 275 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 54 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 247 | 315 | 309 | 624 | 62 | 302 | 18 | 8 | 285 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 369 | 341 | 65 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 105 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 191 | 250 | 255 | 505 | 65 | 261 | 28 | 6 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 566 | 501 | 135 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 55 | 109 | 5 | 70 | 15 | 269 | 349 | 329 | 678 | 60 | 338 | 19 | 10 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 764 | 689 | 194 | 31 | 8 | 4 | 66 | 146 | 3 | 57 | 14 | 282 | 350 | 367 | 717 | 86 | 344 | 19 | 9 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 689 | 628 | 149 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 51 | 121 | 5 | 40 | 12 | 237 | 304 | 322 | 625 | 84 | 286 | 18 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 419 | 382 | 94 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 101 | 2 | 43 | 8 | 246 | 313 | 330 | 643 | 84 | 321 | 24 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 136 | 121 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 190 | 280 | 215 | 495 | 25 | 276 | 26 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 423 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 100 | 4 | 21 | 6 | 222 | 277 | 300 | 577 | 78 | 275 | 22 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 484 | 456 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 98 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 213 | 256 | 276 | 532 | 64 | 262 | 20 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 305 | 282 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 64 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 213 | 265 | 259 | 524 | 46 | 268 | 21 | 5 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 303 | 271 | 58 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 78 | 2 | 24 | 4 | 214 | 278 | 292 | 569 | 77 | 283 | 26 | 7 | 255 | 70 | -15 | +3 | +5 | -11 | +7 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 581 | 125 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 167 | 4 | 51 | 9 | 215 | 278 | 294 | 572 | 79 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 255 | 70 | -32 | +7 | +10 | -23 | +14 | -2.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4189 | 3783 | 911 | 138 | 35 | 22 | 300 | 880 | 34 | 305 | 66 | 241 | 302 | 313 | 616 | 72 | 306 | 21 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -15 | +3 | +5 | -11 | +7 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 140 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 137 | 5 | 47 | 10 | 239 | 300 | 307 | 607 | 68 | 304 | 21 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -32 | +7 | +10 | -23 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAARochester Red Wings · 203 PAwOBA .285 → .242 (−43)K% 19.2% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.21% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.87% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.66% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×0.995 | ×0.962 | 25.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷1.224 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.962 | 2.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×0.962 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 145, 3B 94, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .285 → .242; ISO .044 → .033; BABIP .322 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 102 PAwOBA .270 → .217 (−54)K% 14.7% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.90% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.940 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×0.940 | 16.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.50% | ÷1.062 | ×0.840 | ×1.009 | ×0.940 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.009 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.065 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 0.88% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .270 → .217; ISO .095 → .069; BABIP .266 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 484 PAwOBA .287 → .236 (−51)K% 17.6% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.56% | ÷1.043 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.40% | ÷0.938 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.18% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×0.972 | 20.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.972 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷0.947 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×0.972 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.183 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 0.58% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 102, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 109, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .287 → .236; ISO .088 → .066; BABIP .310 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAABuffalo Bisons · 413 PAwOBA .324 → .267 (−57)K% 17.2% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.19% | ÷0.942 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.69% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.60% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | 23.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.83% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 1.40% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .324 → .267; ISO .102 → .082; BABIP .331 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARochester Red Wings · 63 PAwOBA .317 → .263 (−55)K% 17.5% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷0.987 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.87% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 10.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 4.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.21% | ÷1.040 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 25.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 2.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 108, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .317 → .263; ISO .020 → .017; BABIP .308 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAARochester Red Wings · 85 PAwOBA .353 → .306 (−47)K% 16.5% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.47% | ÷1.051 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.94% | ÷1.052 | ×0.930 | ×0.964 | ×1.003 | 30.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.913 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×1.003 | 2.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.964 | ×1.003 | 3.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 110, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 110, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .353 → .306; ISO .077 → .077; BABIP .422 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 40 PAwOBA .175 → .146 (−29)K% 27.5% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.50% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.50% | ÷1.036 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.015 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.978 | 15.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.067 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 3.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.811 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 103, 2B 113, 3B 96, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .175 → .146; ISO .029 → .023; BABIP .208 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAALas Vegas 51s · 365 PAwOBA .325 → .276 (−49)K% 14.8% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.79% | ÷0.992 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.96% | ÷0.998 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 7.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.27% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷0.974 | ×0.900 | ×1.027 | ×1.018 | 22.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.79% | ÷1.082 | ×0.810 | ×1.027 | ×1.018 | 5.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.26% | ÷1.123 | ×0.810 | ×1.027 | ×1.018 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.200 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.50% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 95, 2B 116, 3B 125, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .325 → .276; ISO .113 → .085; BABIP .327 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .