Kyle Isbel
CF Kansas City Royals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | MLBKC | 426 | .229/.288/.367 | 8 | 11 | 82 | 0.9 | |
| 2025 | 28 | MLBKC | 409 | .255/.303/.353 | 4 | 4 | 80 | 0.8 | |
| 2026 | 29 | AAAKC | 34 | .333/.412/.467 | 0 | 0 | 108 | — | .290/.353/.419 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLBKC | 323 | .224/.269/.323 | 6 | 6 | 64 | -0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ | 30 | MLBKC | 289 | .227/.278/.332 | 5 | 5 | 73 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ | 31 | MLBKC | 271 | .223/.273/.322 | 4 | 3 | 69 | -0.4 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 174 | 159 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 289 | 347 | 434 | 781 | 145 | 377 | 25 | 7 | 346 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 119 | 105 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 381 | 454 | 610 | 1.063 | 229 | 429 | 14 | 12 | 464 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 214 | 194 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 44 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 216 | 283 | 361 | 644 | 144 | 253 | 21 | 7 | 287 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 27 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 360 | 407 | 680 | 1.087 | 320 | 389 | 19 | 7 | 469 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 91 | 73 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 315 | 438 | 438 | 877 | 123 | 407 | 22 | 15 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 83 | 76 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 337 | 434 | 772 | 158 | 385 | 28 | 8 | 342 | 118 | +2 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 451 | 394 | 106 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 45 | 91 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 269 | 359 | 444 | 803 | 175 | 314 | 20 | 10 | 358 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 278 | 256 | 54 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 75 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 211 | 265 | 340 | 605 | 129 | 275 | 27 | 6 | 269 | 70 | -10 | -1 | +8 | -3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 23 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 348 | 500 | 848 | 250 | 250 | 13 | 9 | 373 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 313 | 292 | 70 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 59 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 240 | 284 | 380 | 664 | 140 | 283 | 19 | 5 | 293 | 86 | -5 | +1 | +8 | +1 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 37 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 405 | 548 | 954 | 258 | 304 | 16 | 16 | 417 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 426 | 384 | 88 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 88 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 229 | 288 | 367 | 656 | 138 | 276 | 21 | 6 | 287 | 82 | -9 | +1 | +6 | +2 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 409 | 368 | 94 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 74 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 255 | 303 | 353 | 656 | 98 | 307 | 18 | 6 | 284 | 80 | -10 | -1 | +8 | +1 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 323 | 294 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 74 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 224 | 269 | 323 | 592 | 99 | 278 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 64 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 34 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 412 | 467 | 878 | 133 | 417 | 18 | 9 | 393 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1832 | 1670 | 393 | 75 | 21 | 29 | 105 | 393 | 14 | 39 | 14 | 235 | 286 | 357 | 644 | 122 | 289 | 21 | 6 | 282 | 77 | -50 | +2 | +30 | -3 | +40 | 1.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 174 | 163 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 58 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 215 | 260 | 313 | 573 | 98 | 306 | 33 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 119 | 111 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 279 | 328 | 441 | 769 | 162 | 326 | 21 | 7 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 214 | 200 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 61 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 175 | 222 | 295 | 517 | 120 | 223 | 29 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 27 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 231 | 259 | 385 | 644 | 154 | 292 | 26 | 4 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 83 | 76 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 337 | 434 | 772 | 158 | 385 | 28 | 8 | 343 | 118 | +2 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 451 | 407 | 95 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 111 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 233 | 305 | 369 | 674 | 135 | 291 | 25 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 278 | 256 | 54 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 75 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 211 | 265 | 340 | 605 | 129 | 275 | 27 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -10 | -1 | +8 | -3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 23 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 304 | 476 | 781 | 238 | 218 | 17 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 313 | 292 | 70 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 59 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 240 | 284 | 380 | 664 | 140 | 283 | 19 | 5 | 296 | 86 | -5 | +1 | +8 | +1 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 37 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 351 | 515 | 867 | 242 | 278 | 19 | 11 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 426 | 384 | 89 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 88 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 232 | 291 | 378 | 668 | 146 | 276 | 21 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -9 | +1 | +6 | +2 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 409 | 368 | 95 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 74 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 258 | 305 | 356 | 661 | 98 | 307 | 18 | 6 | 286 | 80 | -10 | -1 | +8 | +1 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 323 | 294 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 74 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 224 | 269 | 323 | 592 | 99 | 278 | 23 | 5 | 263 | 64 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 34 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 353 | 419 | 772 | 129 | 374 | 21 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 293 | 274 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 82 | 2 | 24 | 6 | 234 | 281 | 350 | 631 | 117 | 314 | 28 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 293 | 264 | 86 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 60 | 2 | 24 | 6 | 326 | 390 | 504 | 894 | 178 | 399 | 20 | 9 | 394 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 332 | 309 | 58 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 94 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 188 | 235 | 324 | 558 | 136 | 234 | 28 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 332 | 292 | 74 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 69 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 253 | 335 | 408 | 743 | 154 | 303 | 21 | 9 | 330 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 483 | 116 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 39 | 134 | 10 | 24 | 5 | 240 | 310 | 379 | 689 | 139 | 307 | 25 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 534 | 470 | 127 | 23 | 5 | 16 | 52 | 114 | 10 | 24 | 5 | 270 | 355 | 443 | 798 | 172 | 325 | 21 | 10 | 355 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 277 | 59 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 79 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 213 | 268 | 350 | 619 | 137 | 273 | 26 | 6 | 274 | 71 | -10 | -1 | +8 | -3 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 301 | 276 | 59 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 78 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 214 | 272 | 351 | 623 | 138 | 273 | 26 | 6 | 277 | 71 | -10 | -1 | +8 | -3 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 350 | 325 | 79 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 66 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 243 | 291 | 394 | 685 | 151 | 283 | 19 | 6 | 300 | 89 | -4 | +1 | +8 | +1 | +8 | 1.3 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 350 | 323 | 79 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 65 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 245 | 297 | 396 | 693 | 152 | 285 | 19 | 7 | 306 | 89 | -4 | +1 | +8 | +1 | +8 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 426 | 384 | 89 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 88 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 232 | 291 | 378 | 668 | 146 | 277 | 21 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -9 | +1 | +6 | +2 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 426 | 384 | 88 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 88 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 229 | 288 | 367 | 656 | 138 | 276 | 21 | 6 | 287 | 82 | -9 | +1 | +6 | +2 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 409 | 368 | 95 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 74 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 258 | 305 | 356 | 661 | 98 | 311 | 18 | 6 | 286 | 80 | -10 | -1 | +8 | +1 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 409 | 368 | 94 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 74 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 255 | 303 | 353 | 656 | 98 | 307 | 18 | 6 | 284 | 80 | -10 | -1 | +8 | +1 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 325 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 81 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 234 | 280 | 335 | 616 | 102 | 292 | 23 | 5 | 269 | 68 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 357 | 324 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 80 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 235 | 283 | 336 | 620 | 102 | 292 | 22 | 5 | 271 | 68 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 293 | 273 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 82 | 2 | 24 | 6 | 234 | 281 | 352 | 632 | 117 | 314 | 28 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 332 | 310 | 58 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 94 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 187 | 235 | 323 | 557 | 135 | 231 | 28 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 480 | 116 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 39 | 134 | 10 | 24 | 5 | 242 | 310 | 381 | 691 | 140 | 306 | 25 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 277 | 59 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 79 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 213 | 268 | 350 | 619 | 137 | 271 | 26 | 6 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 350 | 325 | 79 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 66 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 243 | 291 | 394 | 685 | 151 | 282 | 19 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 426 | 391 | 89 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 88 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 228 | 291 | 371 | 662 | 143 | 276 | 21 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 409 | 381 | 95 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 74 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 249 | 305 | 344 | 649 | 94 | 307 | 18 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 333 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 81 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 228 | 280 | 327 | 608 | 99 | 287 | 23 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 426 | 391 | 89 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 88 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 228 | 291 | 371 | 662 | 143 | 276 | 21 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 409 | 381 | 95 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 74 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 249 | 305 | 344 | 649 | 94 | 307 | 18 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 333 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 81 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 228 | 280 | 327 | 608 | 99 | 287 | 23 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 394 | 365 | 83 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 82 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 230 | 280 | 337 | 617 | 108 | 275 | 21 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -13 | +1 | +3 | +1 | +9 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 289 | 268 | 61 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 60 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 227 | 278 | 332 | 609 | 104 | 274 | 21 | 6 | 273 | 73 | -9 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 271 | 252 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 58 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 275 | 328 | 602 | 102 | 272 | 21 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 271 | 252 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 58 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 273 | 322 | 595 | 99 | 271 | 21 | 6 | 267 | 69 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2103 | 1922 | 449 | 83 | 23 | 33 | 120 | 451 | 16 | 42 | 15 | 234 | 284 | 352 | 636 | 119 | 287 | 21 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -60 | +2 | +29 | -2 | +46 | 1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 594 | 139 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 139 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 234 | 285 | 352 | 636 | 118 | 287 | 21 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -19 | +1 | +9 | -1 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3562 | 3265 | 753 | 138 | 33 | 67 | 205 | 816 | 38 | 110 | 33 | 231 | 284 | 355 | 639 | 124 | 286 | 23 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -69 | +3 | +32 | -1 | +52 | 1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 137 | 25 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 149 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 230 | 282 | 352 | 635 | 122 | 285 | 23 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -19 | +1 | +9 | -0 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 34 PAwOBA .383 → .328 (−54)K% 17.6% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 26.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 3.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .383 → .328; ISO .133 → .117; BABIP .417 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 37 PAwOBA .406 → .337 (−69)K% 16.2% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.22% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.22% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 11.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 19.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 6.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 6.05% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .406 → .337; ISO .258 → .206; BABIP .304 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 23 PAwOBA .363 → .297 (−67)K% 13.0% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.957 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.35% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 4.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 11.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 9.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.32% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .363 → .297; ISO .250 → .191; BABIP .250 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 451 PAwOBA .348 → .296 (−52)K% 20.2% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.18% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.53% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.10% | ÷1.056 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×1.048 | 21.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.94% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.048 | 5.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.936 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.048 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.027 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.54% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .348 → .296; ISO .175 → .137; BABIP .314 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 214 PAwOBA .280 → .227 (−54)K% 20.6% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.56% | ÷1.024 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.01% | ÷1.102 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 4.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 16.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.67% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 3.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.884 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 3.44% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 100, 2B 99, 3B 84, K 105, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .280 → .227; ISO .144 → .127; BABIP .253 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Royals · 27 PAwOBA .455 → .317 (−138)K% 18.5% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.52% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 4.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 19.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 7.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 7.61% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .455 → .317; ISO .320 → .222; BABIP .389 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ALexington Legends · 174 PAwOBA .339 → .247 (−92)K% 24.7% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷1.016 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 4.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.86% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 22.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.112 | ×0.820 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 7.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.59% | ÷1.051 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 2.05% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 109, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .339 → .247; ISO .145 → .100; BABIP .377 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 119 PAwOBA .451 → .323 (−128)K% 14.3% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×0.985 | 22.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.985 | 7.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.985 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .451 → .323; ISO .229 → .161; BABIP .429 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .