Kyle Isbel — OGILVIE

Kyle IsbelCF Kansas City Royals

Age 29 L/R 5'10" / 190 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 4.250 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION183 act + 204 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 4079vR 94

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .297 / .372

PA204

HR3

K%21

BB%6

BABIP299

ISO128

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

906.1%

xwOBA

160.269

POWER35

Barrel%

102.8

Avg EV

3688.1

Bat Spd

5071.4

EYE50

Chase%

7826.2%

SPEED55

Sprint

4727.4

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 893 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

143

750

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

232

308

▶▶R

ISO

047

141

▶▶R

BABIP

289

296

—

30.1%

17.6%

▶▶R

BB%

5.6%

6.0%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2021

Service 4.250 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.2M
2027	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$1M		$5M	+$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	2 teams	—	293	274	62	14	1	5	16	82	2	24	6	226	274	339	613	113	303	28	5	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	2 teams	—	293	264	86	22	2	7	26	60	2	24	6	326	390	504	894	178	399	20	9	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	3 teams	—	332	310	60	9	4	10	13	92	5	17	5	194	238	345	583	152	237	28	4	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	3 teams	—	332	292	74	13	4	8	31	69	5	17	5	253	335	408	743	154	303	21	9	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	—	534	485	111	21	5	13	37	136	10	24	5	229	297	373	670	144	290	25	7	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	—	534	470	127	23	5	16	52	114	10	24	5	270	355	443	798	172	325	21	10	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	301	277	59	12	4	6	17	79	4	9	7	213	268	350	619	137	273	26	6	274	68	-11	-1	+8	-3	+9	0.1
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	301	276	59	12	4	6	18	78	4	9	7	214	272	351	623	138	273	26	6	277	70	-10	-1	+8	-3	+9	0.2
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	350	325	81	25	2	7	21	66	1	7	1	249	297	403	700	154	291	19	6	305	91	-3	+1	+8	+1	+10	1.7
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	350	323	79	24	2	7	23	65	1	7	1	245	297	396	693	152	285	19	7	306	92	-3	+1	+8	+1	+10	1.7
2024	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	426	384	91	14	8	9	27	88	5	11	2	237	296	385	681	148	284	21	6	290	80	-10	+1	+6	+2	+12	1.1
2024	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	426	384	88	13	8	8	27	88	5	11	2	229	288	367	656	138	276	21	6	287	78	-11	+1	+6	+2	+12	1.0
2025	28	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	409	368	96	17	4	4	23	74	2	4	5	261	308	361	669	101	314	18	6	287	78	-10	-1	+8	+1	+12	1.0
2025	28	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	409	368	94	16	4	4	23	74	2	4	5	255	303	353	656	98	307	18	6	284	76	-11	-1	+8	+1	+12	0.9
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	KC	—	183	164	40	7	1	3	10	41	3	5	0	244	299	354	653	110	306	22	5	282	74	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
YTD	29	MLB	KC	—	183	164	40	7	1	3	10	41	3	5	0	244	299	354	653	110	306	22	5	286	77	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
ROS	29	MLB	KC	100%	204	188	46	9	3	3	12	42	2	4	1	245	297	372	669	128	293	21	6	298	86	-3	+0	+2	+1	+6	0.6
ROS	29	MLB	KC	100%	204	188	45	9	3	3	12	42	2	4	1	239	292	367	659	128	289	21	6	286	77	-5	+0	+2	+1	+6	0.4
FULL	29	MLB	KC	—	387	352	85	16	4	6	22	83	5	9	1	241	296	361	656	119	298	21	6	285	76	-11	+1	+2	+1	+11	0.6
TOT	29	MLB	KC	—	387	352	86	16	4	6	22	83	5	9	1	244	298	364	662	119	302	21	6	291	81	-9	+1	+2	+1	+11	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	KC	100%	403	372	90	18	5	7	24	84	4	8	1	242	295	374	669	132	291	21	6	294	83	-8	+1	+2	+1	+11	0.9
2028	31	MLB	KC	100%	388	358	85	17	5	6	23	82	4	7	1	237	291	363	654	126	288	21	6	290	80	-9	+1	+1	+1	+11	0.6
2027	30	MLB	KC	100%	403	372	87	17	5	6	24	84	4	8	1	234	287	355	642	121	287	21	6	283	75	-11	+1	+2	+1	+11	0.5
2028	31	MLB	KC	100%	388	358	84	16	5	6	23	82	4	7	1	235	288	358	646	123	285	21	6	279	72	-12	+1	+1	+1	+11	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2504	2294	543	108	33	38	149	527	21	52	17	237	289	362	652	126	290	21	6	285	76	-67	+4	+35	-1	+71	4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	141	28	9	10	39	137	5	13	4	237	290	365	654	128	290	21	6	285	76	-17	+1	+9	-0	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	3640	3341	781	156	41	70	213	825	39	115	34	234	288	368	655	134	288	23	6	286	77	-95	+9	+35	+1	+103	5.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	139	28	7	12	38	147	7	21	6	233	287	363	651	131	287	23	6	286	77	-17	+2	+6	+0	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	Lexington Legends	—	174	159	46	12	1	3	12	43	2	12	3	289	347	434	781	145	377	25	7	346	123	+5	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2018	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	119	105	40	10	1	4	14	17	0	12	3	381	454	610	1.063	229	429	14	12	464	213	+15	+1	—	—	+3	2.0
2019	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	214	194	42	7	3	5	15	44	3	8	3	216	283	361	644	144	253	21	7	287	78	-5	+0	—	—	+6	0.1
2019	22	ROK	AZL Royals	—	27	25	9	2	0	2	2	5	0	3	1	360	407	680	1.087	320	389	19	7	469	217	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2019	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	91	73	23	4	1	1	14	20	2	6	1	315	438	438	877	123	407	22	15	390	156	+6	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	83	76	21	5	2	1	7	23	0	2	0	276	337	434	772	158	385	28	8	342	120	+2	+0	+0	-6	+2	-0.1
2021	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	451	394	106	18	3	15	45	91	10	22	5	269	359	444	803	175	314	20	10	358	132	+16	+2	—	—	+13	3.2
2022	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	278	256	54	10	4	5	16	75	3	9	6	211	265	340	605	129	275	27	6	269	64	-11	-1	+8	-3	+8	0.0
2022	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	23	20	5	2	0	1	2	3	1	0	1	250	348	500	848	250	250	13	9	373	144	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	313	292	70	22	2	5	17	59	1	7	1	240	284	380	664	140	283	19	5	293	82	-6	+1	+8	+1	+9	1.3
2023	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	37	31	9	2	0	2	6	6	0	0	0	290	405	548	954	258	304	16	16	417	177	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	426	384	88	13	8	8	27	88	5	11	2	229	288	367	656	138	276	21	6	287	78	-11	+1	+6	+2	+12	1.0
2025	28	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	409	368	94	16	4	4	23	74	2	4	5	255	303	353	656	98	307	18	6	284	76	-11	-1	+8	+1	+12	0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1509	1376	327	66	20	23	90	319	11	33	14	238	290	365	655	127	291	21	6	287	78	-38	+1	+30	-5	+43	3.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	10	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.2
	/162	664	19	24	227	280	381	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#2Juan Lagareslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,508 PA	9	2,508	31	45	250	291	360	+8	+49	7.4	7.7
	/162	664	8	12	250	291	360	+2.1	+13.0	1.9	pk7: 8
#3Peter Bourjoslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,241 PA	8	2,241	42	66	241	298	382	-0	+38	7.4	7.5
	/162	664	12	20	241	298	382	-0.1	+11.3	2.2	pk7: 8
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	2,870	45	60	237	286	362	+10	+40	3.1	3.1
	/162	664	10	14	237	286	362	+2.4	+9.3	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Isbel (OGILVIE)	29	45	35	55	50	244/298/364	119	302	6	9	21%	6%	81	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Garrett Stubbs 2022 · MLB	29	45	43→45	53→50	53	220/304/331	110	272	10	15	22%	10%	80	+0.4	227/306/347	120	292	12	12	25%	9%	85	+0.7	217/300/315	98	284	9	12	25%	9%	73	-0.0
●Jason Pridie 2013 · MLB	29	48→54	44→50	55	44	237/284/354	117	297	11	14	24%	6%	76	+0.1	238/284/375	137	303	15	16	26%	6%	82	+0.5	243/290/391	148	303	17	19	25%	6%	86	+0.7
✕Ronald Calloway 2006 · MLB	29	47→56	44→45	48→50	45	231/280/349	119	280	12	15	22%	6%	74	-0.1	239/287/337	98	295	7	11	20%	6%	73	-0.1	264/311/358	94	330	4	10	20%	6%	87	+0.6
✕Logan Schafer 2015 · MLB	28	45→55	43→45	53→50	48	217/279/340	123	261	8	12	20%	7%	71	-0.3	218/274/307	89	265	6	8	19%	7%	60	-1.0	220/274/294	74	265	5	6	18%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Russ Adams 2010 · MLB	29	46→53	44→45	47→45	47	227/279/343	116	265	11	8	19%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/349	130	253	14	8	20%	6%	71	-0.3	215/269/363	148	242	18	5	20%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Tyler Saladino 2018 · MLB	29	47	41→45	51→55	46	226/282/321	95	280	8	18	22%	6%	68	-0.5	217/285/357	140	282	17	15	28%	8%	79	+0.3	205/278/359	154	264	20	17	30%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Nate Orf 2019 · MLB	29	46→53	40→45	53→50	47	220/295/315	95	274	7	15	22%	7%	72	-0.2	222/308/332	110	272	11	14	21%	8%	83	+0.6	213/311/314	102	255	11	11	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Andy Fox 2001 · MLB	30	48→53	43→40	51→60	50	236/304/349	114	280	11	18	20%	8%	85	+0.7	234/320/340	106	283	9	22	19%	10%	89	+1.0	236/322/314	78	297	4	31	20%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Bubba Crosby 2006 · MLB	29	45	43→40	51→50	44	221/271/329	108	253	12	13	18%	5%	66	-0.6	215/278/333	118	260	11	17	21%	6%	69	-0.4	205/272/313	108	250	8	28	21%	6%	59	-0.3
✕Fernando Rios 2008 · AAA	29	53	42→40	51→50	48	257/308/360	103	290	9	15	15%	6%	89	+0.9	242/298/325	83	277	6	9	14%	7%	76	+0.0	249/306/318	70	281	4	6	12%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Kevin Reese 2007 · AAA	29	50→51	45	48→50	46	247/305/378	131	284	12	12	18%	6%	92	+1.2	233/294/346	113	272	11	11	18%	6%	79	+0.3	226/292/323	97	262	10	9	17%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Taylor Kohlwey 2023 · AAA	29	48→55	40→45	48→50	48	228/297/323	95	294	8	10	24%	8%	75	-0.0	227/307/336	109	294	9	12	24%	9%	82	+0.5	237/332/353	115	300	10	15	22%	11%	95	+1.2
✕Val Majewski 2010 · AAA	29	47→53	46→45	47→50	46	235/290/365	130	277	13	10	20%	6%	83	+0.6	231/285/369	138	287	16	9	24%	7%	82	+0.5	227/280/352	124	283	13	8	24%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA	28	48	43→45	47→50	43	236/289/345	109	300	11	10	25%	6%	76	+0.1	236/300/346	110	323	12	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	237/305/328	92	327	11	5	29%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Wilmer Difo 2021 · MLB	29	47→54	41→45	49→55	49	228/293/328	100	286	9	14	23%	8%	74	-0.1	229/284/334	105	285	10	11	22%	7%	72	-0.2	218/274/313	95	269	9	15	22%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	43→40	51→50	51	198/284/313	115	267	10	12	28%	10%	68	-0.5	202/287/326	124	291	12	10	32%	10%	72	-0.2	124/238/209	86	192	10	0	38%	12%	22	-0.8
✕Adrián Sanchez 2021 · MLB	30	50→45	42→45	49→50	42	241/277/349	109	283	9	14	19%	4%	72	-0.2	243/284/351	108	298	8	11	21%	5%	76	+0.0	249/287/352	103	306	6	9	20%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Steve Tolleson 2013 · MLB	29	47→53	42→45	51→50	47	228/287/329	100	283	9	15	22%	7%	72	-0.2	235/302/343	108	300	9	15	23%	8%	82	+0.5	242/315/351	109	308	9	16	23%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Carlos Asuaje 2021 · MLB	29	43→53	43→45	46→45	49	211/283/320	110	258	10	6	22%	8%	69	-0.4	235/299/341	106	279	8	12	18%	7%	80	+0.4	247/313/338	91	292	3	12	15%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Wilton Guerrero 2004 · MLB	29	50	40→30	54→50	45	240/282/326	86	284	7	18	18%	5%	68	-0.5	236/281/356	120	267	11	12	16%	6%	76	+0.1	250/286/374	124	274	9	6	12%	4%	78	+0.1