J.C. Escarra — OGILVIE

J.C. EscarraC New York Yankees

Age 31 L/R 6'2" / 220 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 0.808 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION142 act + 94 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .317 / .397

PA94

HR2

K%18

BB%8

BABIP285

ISO152

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

903.9%

xwOBA

250.280

POWER43

Barrel%

265.1

Avg EV

6290.0

Bat Spd

3970.2

EYE80

Chase%

9012.0%

SPEED42

Sprint

2326.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.808 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.6M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	243	208	33	13	0	2	24	58	9	0	1	159	274	250	524	91	207	24	10	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	243	192	43	18	0	2	40	40	9	0	1	224	382	349	731	125	270	16	16	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	37	36	6	0	0	0	1	9	0	1	0	167	189	167	356		222	24	3	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	37	35	8	0	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	229	270	314	585	86	250	16	5	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+	Frederick Keys	—	507	468	88	13	1	9	26	107	9	2	0	188	245	278	522	90	222	21	5	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+	Frederick Keys	—	507	442	104	16	1	13	52	76	9	2	0	235	328	364	692	129	255	15	10	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	2 teams	—	372	327	63	12	2	6	26	98	11	6	0	193	275	297	571	104	249	26	7	254	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	2 teams	—	372	310	69	14	2	8	43	76	11	6	0	223	338	358	696	135	263	20	12	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	179	159	44	14	1	2	13	32	3	0	0	277	343	415	758	138	328	18	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	179	159	44	14	1	2	13	32	3	0	0	277	343	415	758	138	328	18	7	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	245	207	50	11	1	2	28	33	7	4	0	242	351	333	685	92	276	13	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	245	207	50	11	1	2	28	33	7	4	0	242	351	333	685	92	276	13	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA	3 teams	—	630	563	128	37	4	13	49	107	14	4	2	227	305	377	682	149	257	17	8	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA	3 teams	—	630	539	152	45	3	15	73	84	14	4	2	282	382	460	842	178	309	13	12	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	3 teams	—	302	261	60	9	1	4	28	56	5	3	1	230	316	318	634	88	268	19	9	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	3 teams	—	302	249	65	10	3	5	40	43	5	3	1	261	374	386	760	124	287	14	13	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	NYY	—	142	129	29	8	1	3	9	23	1	0	0	225	281	372	653	147	245	16	6	275	69	-5	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.1
YTD	31	MLB	NYY	—	142	128	29	8	1	3	10	22	1	0	0	227	288	375	663	148	245	15	7	290	80	-3	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.3
ROS	31	MLB	NYY	100%	94	85	21	5	1	2	8	17	1	1	0	245	317	397	714	152	268	18	8	302	89	-1	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.4
ROS	31	MLB	NYY	100%	95	86	21	5	1	2	8	17	1	1	0	244	316	395	711	151	269	18	8	297	86	-2	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.4
FULL	31	MLB	NYY	—	237	215	50	13	2	5	17	40	2	1	0	233	295	381	676	149	260	17	7	284	76	-7	+0	+1	+4	+7	0.5
TOT	31	MLB	NYY	—	236	214	50	13	2	5	17	40	2	1	0	233	295	382	677	149	261	17	7	286	77	-6	+0	+1	+4	+7	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	NYY	82%	246	222	50	11	1	5	20	46	2	2	1	225	295	351	646	126	265	19	8	296	85	-4	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2028	33	MLB	NYY	82%	211	190	42	9	1	4	17	41	2	1	0	221	292	342	634	121	263	19	8	291	81	-5	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.3
2027	32	MLB	NYY	82%	202	181	41	9	1	4	17	38	2	1	0	227	300	354	654	127	267	19	8	291	81	-4	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.4
2028	33	MLB	NYY	82%	173	155	36	8	1	4	14	34	2	1	0	232	304	374	678	142	264	20	8	286	77	-4	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	568	506	115	27	3	12	50	103	6	4	0	227	304	364	668	136	261	18	9	290	80	-13	+1	+1	+14	+16	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	132	31	3	14	57	118	7	5	0	228	305	364	669	136	261	18	9	290	80	-15	+1	+2	+16	+18	2.3
Career	—			—	3066	2726	585	134	13	49	240	604	63	24	5	215	293	327	620	113	255	20	8	232	36	-222	+3	+1	+55	+87	-7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	123	28	3	10	51	128	13	5	1	213	291	324	615	111	253	20	8	232	36	-47	+1	+0	+12	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	243	192	43	18	0	2	40	40	9	0	1	224	382	349	731	125	270	16	16	340	118	+5	-0	—	—	+7	1.2
2018	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	37	35	8	0	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	229	270	314	585	86	250	16	5	265	61	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2019	24	A+	Frederick Keys	—	507	442	104	16	1	13	52	76	9	2	0	235	328	364	692	129	255	15	10	314	98	-1	+0	—	—	+14	1.4
2021	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	214	182	41	10	1	4	21	41	5	4	0	225	322	357	679	132	262	19	10	302	89	-3	+1	—	—	+6	0.4
2021	26	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	158	128	28	4	1	4	22	35	6	2	0	219	359	359	718	141	264	22	14	329	110	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	27	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	179	159	44	14	1	2	13	32	3	0	0	277	343	415	758	138	328	18	7	332	112	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	28	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	245	207	50	11	1	2	28	33	7	4	0	242	351	333	685	92	276	13	11	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+7	0.8
2024	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	201	169	51	14	0	8	27	30	3	2	0	302	407	527	934	225	323	15	13	408	170	+16	+0	—	—	+6	2.2
2024	29	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	292	257	60	18	3	4	28	38	6	1	2	233	323	374	697	140	259	13	10	315	99	-0	-1	—	—	+8	0.8
2024	29	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	137	113	41	13	0	3	18	16	5	1	0	363	471	558	1.028	195	400	12	13	451	203	+16	+0	—	—	+4	2.0
2025	30	MLB	New York Yankees	—	98	84	17	5	0	2	11	14	1	1	0	202	302	333	635	131	214	14	11	286	77	-3	+0	+4	+5	+3	1.0
2025	30	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	133	110	33	3	1	2	18	23	1	2	1	300	403	400	803	100	348	17	14	356	131	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	30	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	71	55	15	2	2	1	11	6	3	0	0	273	420	436	857	164	280	8	15	378	147	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	98	84	17	5	0	2	11	14	1	1	0	202	302	333	635	131	214	14	11	286	77	-3	+0	+4	+5	+3	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	9	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
	/162	664	9	8	240	310	353	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	677	12	4	220	291	343	+12	+8	1.2	1.2
	/162	664	12	4	220	291	343	+11.9	+8.0	1.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.C. Escarra (OGILVIE)	31	60	43	42	80	233/295/382	149	261	5	1	17%	7%	77	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Plawecki 2022 · MLB	31	54→56	44→45	47→30	50	263/325/383	120	299	12	5	16%	7%	102	+1.8	231/294/333	102	280	9	3	20%	7%	76	+0.1	212/275/305	93	259	9	0	21%	7%	58	-0.5
●A.J. Ellis 2012 · MLB	31	52→56	38→45	41→40	61	243/346/326	84	287	5	4	16%	12%	97	+1.5	246/344/370	124	292	13	2	19%	12%	108	+2.3	239/343/359	120	282	13	0	19%	13%	95	+1.0
✕Brock Holt 2019 · MLB	31	50→60	44→45	42→50	53	244/326/360	116	293	11	10	20%	10%	97	+1.5	247/326/355	108	309	8	8	21%	10%	95	+1.4	239/319/331	92	303	5	7	21%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Howie Clark 2005 · MLB	31	51→58	45→40	44→40	54	248/314/372	124	265	12	5	12%	8%	95	+1.4	260/320/361	101	277	9	6	10%	8%	94	+1.3	265/306/366	102	280	8	4	9%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Elias Díaz 2021 · MLB	30	51→56	43→50	44→45	49	248/304/357	109	287	11	3	18%	7%	85	+0.7	219/278/353	134	251	16	2	19%	7%	75	-0.0	242/293/380	138	290	16	0	22%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Luis Antonio Rodriguez 2011 · MLB	31	50→53	44→45	41→45	57	244/311/362	118	252	12	5	10%	9%	91	+1.1	238/303/369	131	256	14	6	13%	8%	89	+1.0	239/294/353	114	260	12	4	13%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Brian Schneider 2008 · MLB	31	51→54	42→50	43→30	57	245/321/347	102	270	9	3	13%	10%	91	+1.1	240/322/357	117	264	12	3	14%	11%	95	+1.4	237/324/353	116	259	13	0	14%	11%	84	+0.2
✕Skip Schumaker 2011 · MLB	31	59→64	39→45	44→50	55	281/342/371	90	311	6	6	12%	8%	105	+2.1	271/331/356	85	314	5	4	14%	8%	96	+1.5	273/335/349	76	320	3	2	15%	8%	92	+0.7
✕Ramón Vázquez 2009 · MLB	32	51→59	45	46→50	54	247/322/378	131	298	11	4	21%	10%	99	+1.7	237/312/328	91	296	6	4	20%	9%	82	+0.5	229/303/283	55	290	2	2	20%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Will Rhymes 2014 · MLB	31	53→60	38→40	45→55	55	248/309/326	78	267	5	8	10%	8%	79	+0.3	227/279/324	97	258	7	8	15%	6%	66	-0.6	216/262/310	94	250	6	6	16%	5%	54	-1.0
✕Mark Johnson 2008 · AAA	32	51	40	40	57	244/323/332	88	276	8	4	14%	10%	88	+0.9	230/303/305	75	273	6	7	17%	8%	72	-0.2	238/314/282	44	282	2	2	15%	9%	69	-0.2
✕John Baker 2011 · MLB	30	54→59	45	44→45	53	261/339/393	131	319	12	3	21%	10%	110	+2.4	229/309/323	94	297	7	6	23%	10%	80	+0.4	194/271/237	43	268	3	2	26%	9%	36	-1.0
✕Conor Gillaspie 2017 · MLB	30	52→59	47→50	42→40	47	259/305/406	147	290	13	4	16%	6%	99	+1.7	236/283/367	131	262	13	9	15%	6%	80	+0.4	215/251/307	93	237	7	8	13%	4%	47	-0.6
●Craig Counsell 2002 · MLB	31	57→60	40→45	41→55	60	269/352/367	97	307	6	8	14%	11%	108	+2.3	257/336/338	81	292	5	12	12%	10%	95	+1.4	256/347/352	96	292	4	4	13%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Daniel Descalso 2017 · MLB	30	46→55	44→50	44→45	56	224/308/339	116	265	11	6	20%	11%	84	+0.6	225/324/377	152	283	15	5	24%	12%	101	+1.8	213/322/365	153	272	14	3	25%	13%	94	+0.8
✕Jesus Rivera 2010 · AAA	32	54	42→40	41→40	52	257/312/361	104	278	9	5	12%	7%	90	+1.0	246/292/338	92	268	8	4	11%	6%	76	+0.0	268/314/326	58	312	2	4	14%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Omar Quintanilla 2014 · MLB	32	49→58	42→45	44→45	51	235/303/340	105	288	9	5	21%	9%	81	+0.4	224/282/337	113	273	10	7	21%	7%	72	-0.2	199/230/308	109	230	8	3	18%	3%	40	-0.8
✕Terrence Long 2006 · MLB	30	56→58	43→50	44→45	50	271/317/388	117	299	10	5	13%	6%	98	+1.6	244/289/367	123	288	13	5	20%	6%	82	+0.5	225/263/340	115	272	13	0	23%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Felipe Lopez 2011 · MLB	31	55→65	43→55	44→55	56	267/339/382	115	309	10	9	16%	10%	108	+2.3	243/303/361	118	295	13	7	21%	8%	87	+0.8	240/289/338	97	299	11	3	23%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Tucker Barnhart 2020 · MLB	29	49→54	46→45	41→40	56	240/324/372	133	283	14	3	20%	11%	99	+1.7	234/310/358	124	296	13	3	24%	9%	90	+1.0	229/301/326	97	300	9	0	25%	8%	75	+0.0