J.C. Escarra — OGILVIE

J.C. EscarraC Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 31 L/R 6'2" / 220 lbs MLB HR +14% Svc 0.808 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION355 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP270

ISO130

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

903.9%

xAVG

120.220

POWER43

Barrel%

265.1

Avg EV

6290.0

Bat Spd

3970.2

EYE80

Chase%

9012.0%

SPEED42

Sprint

2326.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.808 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	22	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	243	192	43	18	0	2	40	40	9	0	1	224	382	349	731	125	270	16	16	340	116	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2018	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	37	35	8	0	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	229	270	314	585	86	250	16	5	265	66	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	24	A+	Frederick Keys	—	507	442	104	16	1	13	52	76	9	2	0	235	328	364	692	129	255	15	10	314	98	-1	+0	—	—	+11	1.1
2021	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	214	182	41	10	1	4	21	41	5	4	0	225	322	357	679	132	262	19	10	302	91	-2	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2021	26	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	158	128	28	4	1	4	22	35	6	2	0	219	359	359	718	141	264	22	14	329	109	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	27	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	179	159	44	14	1	2	13	32	3	0	0	277	343	415	758	138	328	18	7	332	111	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	28	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	245	207	50	11	1	2	28	33	7	4	0	242	351	333	685	92	276	13	11	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	201	169	51	14	0	8	27	30	3	2	0	302	407	527	934	225	323	15	13	408	162	+15	+0	—	—	+4	2.0
2024	29	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	292	257	60	18	3	4	28	38	6	1	2	233	323	374	697	140	259	13	10	315	99	-0	-1	—	—	+6	0.6
2024	29	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	137	113	41	13	0	3	18	16	5	1	0	363	471	558	1.028	195	400	12	13	451	191	+15	+0	—	—	+3	1.8
2025	30	MLB	New York Yankees	—	98	84	17	5	0	2	11	14	1	1	0	202	302	333	635	131	214	14	11	286	80	-2	+0	+4	+5	+2	0.9
2025	30	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	133	110	33	3	1	2	18	23	1	2	1	300	403	400	803	100	348	17	14	356	127	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	30	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	71	55	15	2	2	1	11	6	3	0	0	273	420	436	857	164	280	8	15	378	142	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	98	84	17	5	0	2	11	14	1	1	0	202	302	333	635	131	214	14	11	286	80	-2	+0	+4	+5	+2	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	22	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	243	208	33	13	0	2	24	58	9	0	1	159	274	250	524	91	198	24	10	234	45	-16	-0	—	—	+5	-1.1
2018	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	37	36	7	0	0	1	1	9	0	1	0	194	216	278	494	83	227	24	3	201	22	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	24	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	507	465	89	13	1	10	29	108	9	2	0	191	252	288	541	97	221	21	6	240	49	-31	+0	—	—	+11	-2.0
2021	26	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	214	189	38	9	1	3	14	50	5	4	0	201	274	307	581	106	233	23	7	250	55	-11	+1	—	—	+5	-0.6
2021	26	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	158	137	25	3	1	3	13	43	6	2	0	182	282	285	567	102	235	27	8	257	60	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	29	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	201	178	45	11	0	6	18	36	3	2	0	253	332	416	747	163	276	18	9	321	103	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	29	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	292	265	54	17	3	3	20	46	6	1	2	204	275	325	599	121	234	16	7	265	65	-12	-1	—	—	+6	-0.6
2025	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	98	84	17	5	0	2	11	14	1	1	0	202	302	333	635	131	214	14	11	279	75	-3	+0	+4	+5	+2	0.8
2025	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	133	116	29	2	1	1	12	28	1	2	1	250	326	310	636	60	301	21	9	295	86	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2017	22	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	243	208	33	13	0	2	24	58	9	0	1	159	274	250	524	91	207	24	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	—	243	192	43	18	0	2	40	40	9	0	1	224	382	349	731	125	270	16	16	340	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	37	36	7	0	0	1	1	9	0	1	0	194	216	278	494	83	231	24	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	—	37	35	8	0	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	229	270	314	585	86	250	16	5	265	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	507	465	89	13	1	10	29	108	9	2	0	191	252	288	541	97	225	21	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	—	507	442	104	16	1	13	52	76	9	2	0	235	328	364	692	129	255	15	10	314	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	372	326	62	12	2	5	27	94	11	6	0	190	275	285	560	95	245	25	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	372	310	69	14	2	8	43	76	11	6	0	223	338	358	696	135	263	20	12	314	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	INTL MLE	Leones de Ponce	—	179	159	44	14	1	2	13	32	3	0	0	277	343	415	758	138	328	18	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	INTL RAW	Leones de Ponce	—	179	159	44	14	1	2	13	32	3	0	0	277	343	415	758	138	328	18	7	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	INTL MLE	Puerto Rico	—	245	207	50	11	1	2	28	33	7	4	0	242	351	333	685	92	276	13	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	INTL RAW	Puerto Rico	—	245	207	50	11	1	2	28	33	7	4	0	242	351	333	685	92	276	13	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA MLE	3 teams	—	630	563	126	36	4	11	49	105	14	4	2	224	302	361	662	137	255	17	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA RAW	3 teams	—	630	539	152	45	3	15	73	84	14	4	2	282	382	460	842	178	309	13	12	374	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	302	259	61	10	1	4	30	55	5	3	1	236	327	328	655	93	274	18	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	302	249	65	10	3	5	40	43	5	3	1	261	374	386	760	124	287	14	13	338	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	243	208	33	13	0	2	24	58	9	0	1	159	274	250	524	91	198	24	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	37	36	7	0	0	1	1	9	0	1	0	194	216	278	494	83	227	24	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	507	464	89	13	1	10	29	108	9	2	0	192	252	289	541	97	221	21	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	372	331	62	12	2	5	27	94	11	6	0	187	275	281	556	94	234	25	7	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA MLE	3 teams	—	630	562	126	36	4	11	49	105	14	4	2	224	302	361	663	137	251	17	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	302	264	61	10	1	4	30	55	5	3	1	231	327	322	649	91	264	18	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	29	AA MLE	3 teams	—	630	562	126	36	4	11	49	105	14	4	2	224	302	361	663	137	251	17	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	302	264	61	10	1	4	30	55	5	3	1	231	327	322	649	91	264	18	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	31	AAA MLE	NYY	—	355	323	74	16	1	7	22	60	6	1	0	229	291	350	640	121	258	17	6	283	78	-9	+0	-0	+6	+8	0.5
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	NYY	—	92	85	16	5	1	0	6	18	0	0	0	188	242	271	512	82	235	20	7	231	78	-2	+0	-0	+6	+2	0.6
YTD	31	AAA RAW	NYY	—	263	231	69	14	0	10	23	35	6	1	0	299	377	489	866	190	312	13	9	380	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	31	MLB RAW	NYY	—	92	85	16	5	1	0	6	18	0	0	0	188	242	271	512	82	235	20	7	231	43	-6	+0	-0	+2	+2	-0.3
ROS	31	AAA MLE	NYY	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		268	20	10	299	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	31	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		270	20	10	292	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	31	MLB A+C	NYY	—	102	94	17	5	1	0	7	20	0	0	0	181	238	255	493	74	227	20	7	237	78	-3	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.1
TOT	31	AAA MLE	NYY	—	365	332	75	16	1	7	23	62	6	1	0	226	288	343	631	117	255	17	6	284	78	-9	+0	-0	+7	+8	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	NYY	92%	246	222	52	11	1	5	19	45	3	1	0	234	303	360	664	126	268	18	8	296	86	-4	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.4
2027	32	MLB CTX	NYY	92%	226	204	48	10	1	5	17	41	3	1	0	235	304	368	671	132	270	18	8	290	86	-4	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	334	297	66	15	1	7	29	57	4	2	0	222	300	350	650	128	250	17	9	289	39	-6	+0	+2	+10	+7	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	129	29	2	14	56	111	8	4	0	223	301	353	654	130	251	17	9	289	39	-12	+1	+3	+19	+14	2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2771	2454	525	120	11	42	221	541	61	21	4	214	295	323	618	109	254	20	8	225	39	-6	+0	+2	+10	+8	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	124	28	3	10	52	127	14	5	1	215	296	326	622	111	256	20	8	225	39	-12	+1	+3	+18	+14	2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.0	673	12	5	226	296	348	+12	+7	1.5	1.5
/162	664	12	5	+11.9	+6.4	1.5	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.C. Escarra (OGILVIE)	31	60	43	42	80	233/302/357	124	268	5	2	17%	7%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Schneider 2008 · MLB	31	51→54	42→50	43→30	57	245/321/347	102	270	9	3	13%	10%	92	+0.7	240/322/357	117	264	12	3	14%	11%	95	+0.9	237/324/353	115	259	13	0	14%	11%	85	+0.1
✕Brock Holt 2019 · MLB	31	51→61	44→45	42→50	53	247/329/366	119	298	11	10	20%	10%	100	+1.3	249/328/358	109	312	8	8	21%	9%	97	+1.1	241/320/333	92	305	5	7	21%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Craig Counsell 2002 · MLB	31	57→60	40→45	41→55	60	269/352/367	97	307	6	8	14%	11%	107	+1.9	257/336/338	81	292	5	12	12%	10%	95	+1.0	255/346/351	95	292	4	4	13%	11%	100	+0.7
✕Mark Johnson 2008 · AAA	32	51	40	40	57	245/325/333	88	277	8	4	14%	10%	91	+0.6	231/306/306	75	274	6	7	17%	9%	77	-0.3	238/314/282	44	282	2	2	15%	9%	72	-0.3
✕Ramón Vázquez 2009 · MLB	32	51→59	45	46→50	54	247/322/378	131	298	11	4	21%	10%	99	+1.3	238/312/329	91	296	6	4	20%	9%	84	+0.2	228/302/284	55	288	2	2	20%	9%	65	-0.5
✕John Baker 2012 · MLB	31	51→59	44→45	49→45	55	244/332/368	125	306	10	4	22%	11%	101	+1.4	214/291/287	73	284	5	5	24%	9%	68	-1.0	196/273/239	43	268	3	2	26%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Howie Clark 2005 · MLB	31	51→58	45→40	44→40	54	248/314/372	124	265	12	5	12%	8%	95	+1.0	259/319/356	97	277	8	6	10%	8%	93	+0.8	263/305/361	98	280	7	4	9%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Daniel Descalso 2017 · MLB	30	48→55	45→50	44→45	56	236/319/362	126	279	13	6	20%	11%	95	+1.0	227/327/383	156	284	16	5	24%	12%	103	+1.5	212/322/367	154	270	16	3	25%	13%	95	+0.6
✕Josh Bard 2009 · MLB	31	53→60	43→50	44→30	58	256/332/375	119	286	9	3	14%	10%	102	+1.5	226/287/345	119	267	11	3	19%	8%	78	-0.3	234/277/350	116	282	11	0	21%	6%	73	-0.2
✕Jordy Mercer 2018 · MLB	31	52→59	47→50	37→45	53	255/322/391	136	283	14	2	16%	9%	102	+1.5	252/313/396	144	295	14	3	19%	7%	100	+1.3	252/309/388	136	307	12	1	21%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Luis Antonio Rodriguez 2011 · MLB	31	50→51	44→45	41→45	57	241/308/354	114	250	11	5	10%	9%	88	+0.5	234/300/360	126	252	13	6	13%	8%	88	+0.4	237/295/349	112	258	11	4	13%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Skip Schumaker 2011 · MLB	31	59→64	40→45	44→50	55	281/343/373	91	311	7	6	12%	8%	105	+1.7	270/330/355	85	312	5	4	14%	8%	97	+1.1	272/333/347	75	319	3	2	15%	8%	93	+0.5
✕Kevin Plawecki 2022 · MLB	31	54→56	45	47→30	50	266/328/388	122	303	12	5	16%	7%	104	+1.6	234/297/338	104	281	10	3	19%	7%	81	-0.1	217/280/315	98	263	9	0	20%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Jose Munoz 2010 · AAA	31	53→49	43→45	46→50	54	252/323/370	118	295	9	11	17%	9%	97	+1.1	229/308/332	103	283	8	8	20%	10%	84	+0.1	195/284/275	80	250	6	5	23%	10%	60	-0.6
✕Tucker Barnhart 2020 · MLB	29	49→55	46→45	41→40	56	241/325/373	132	284	14	3	20%	11%	99	+1.3	234/311/358	124	296	13	3	24%	9%	91	+0.7	229/300/325	96	300	9	0	25%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Conor Gillaspie 2017 · MLB	30	52→59	47→50	42→40	47	257/303/403	146	287	13	4	16%	6%	98	+1.2	235/283/366	131	260	13	9	15%	6%	82	-0.0	215/251/306	91	238	7	8	12%	4%	53	-0.7
✕A.J. Ellis 2012 · MLB	31	53→55	38→45	41→40	61	249/353/334	85	292	5	4	15%	12%	101	+1.4	244/343/363	119	291	12	2	19%	12%	105	+1.7	234/339/347	113	278	12	0	19%	13%	94	+0.6
✕Ramon Martinez 2004 · MLB	31	54→52	42→45	44→40	52	261/323/371	110	293	9	4	14%	8%	98	+1.2	258/317/356	98	289	8	4	13%	8%	92	+0.7	264/323/345	81	293	6	1	11%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Ehire Adrianza 2021 · MLB	31	50	44→50	46→50	51	240/313/366	126	290	10	6	20%	8%	93	+0.8	232/311/355	123	282	11	6	21%	9%	91	+0.6	229/313/342	113	282	11	3	21%	10%	86	+0.1
✕Mike Fontenot 2011 · MLB	31	54→59	45→50	43→45	51	261/324/394	132	306	11	6	18%	8%	103	+1.6	242/303/355	113	295	8	7	20%	7%	87	+0.4	230/289/327	98	288	6	7	21%	7%	70	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps