Phillip Evans3B Aguilas de Mexicali
Age 33 R/R 5'9" / 210 lbs INTL Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA
wRC+†89
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .310 / .353
PA350
HR7
K%21
BB%8
ISO116
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.50.22627
Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2018-2021
CONTACT47
Whiff%
4911.1%
xwOBA
500.308
POWER41
Barrel%
163.8
Avg EV
3287.8
EYE56
Chase%
6329.3%
SPEED56
Sprint
5227.6
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2017
Service   9.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$2M
Totals $2M $0.0M -$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201118 ROKKingsport Mets 2927 7300 270 01 259310370681 111350 247 288 79
201118 ROKKingsport Mets 2926 9400 350 01 346414500914 154429 1710 405 168
201320 ASavannah Sand Gnats 389359 621113 21833 42 173225234459 61212 215 205 15
201320 ASavannah Sand Gnats 389350 711312 30603 42 203272263534 60235 158 245 46
201421 A+St. Lucie Mets 437404 902003 24872 01 223270295564 72272 205 250 50
201421 A+St. Lucie Mets 437389 961604 39592 01 247319319637 72277 149 289 79
201522 A+St. Lucie Mets 280259 481230 17641 22 185238255493 69242 236 220 27
201522 A+St. Lucie Mets 280252 591430 24441 22 234303313617 79280 169 280 72
201623 AA3 teams 502475 1232608 20885 11 259296364660 105303 184 284 76
201623 AA3 teams 502463 1483519 32735 11 320370458828 138364 156 368 139
201724 AAA2 teams 548512 1152226 331223 23 225276311586 86284 226 258 55
201724 AAA2 teams 548499 14028311 46873 23 281345415760 134322 168 341 119
201825 AAA2 teams 268247 518110 16643 53 206263368632 162234 246 275 68
201825 AAA2 teams 268240 598114 23503 53 246320463782 217253 199 343 120
201926 AAA2 teams 600533 12025213 4810112 25 225304353656 128252 178 293 82
201926 AAA2 teams 600518 14332317 638012 25 276368448815 172295 1310 361 134
202027 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 4539 14201 571 01 359444487932 128419 1611 417 177 +4 -0 -1 +0 +1 0.4
202027 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 4539 14201 571 01 359444487932 128419 1611 418 178 +4 -0 -1 +0 +1 0.4
202128 MLB2 teams 391347 741405 37916 10 213300297597 84274 239 270 64 -16 +0 -5 -7 +11 -1.6
202128 MLB2 teams 391341 761505 43826 10 223321311631 88278 2111 293 83 -8 +0 -5 -7 +11 -0.8
202229 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 400373 741408 19685 22 198247300547 102220 175 241 43
202229 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 400361 881709 31575 22 244312366678 122265 148 305 92
202330 AAAReno Aces 590520 1291819 531078 22 248327338665 90291 189 300 88
202330 AAAReno Aces 590481 15024211 92758 22 312430439869 127344 1316 389 156
202431 AAA2 teams 278255 51406 19662 15 200261286547 86243 247 247 47
202431 AAA2 teams 278249 59807 25512 15 237312353665 116269 189 301 88
202532 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 121108 24604 10221 00 222294389683 167241 188
202532 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 121108 24604 10221 00 222294389683 167241 188 301 88
▸ 2026 Season
202633 MLBATL 350314 751217 29754 31 239311350662 111291 218 301 89 -4 +0 +0 +1 +10 0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734 MLBATL 0% 317285 661016 26703 21 232303337639 105285 228 292 82 -6 +0 -5 +1 +9 -0.1
202734 MLBATL 0% 01 0000 000 00 285 284 76 -0 +0
▸ Career Totals
Career 353308 71906 39767 21 231331318650 88288 2211 303 90 -4 +0 -5 -4 +10 -0.3
/ 162G 650567 13117011 7214013 42 231332319652 88288 2211 303 90 -7 +0 -9 -7 +18 -0.5
Career 55455057 11232071289 379112259 2730 222284321605 98266 207 263 59 -255 -7 -10 +11 +157 -10.5
/ 162G 650593 13124110 441327 34 221283315598 94265 207 263 59 -30 -1 -1 +1 +18 -1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201118 ROKKingsport Mets 2926 9400 350 01 346414500914 154429 1710 405 168 +2 -0 +1 0.3
201320 ASavannah Sand Gnats 389350 711312 30603 42 203272263534 60235 158 245 46 -24 +0 +11 -1.3
201421 A+St. Lucie Mets 437389 961604 39592 01 247319319637 72277 149 289 79 -10 -0 +12 0.2
201522 A+St. Lucie Mets 280252 591430 24441 22 234303313617 79280 169 280 72 -9 -0 +8 -0.1
201623 AABinghamton Mets 386361 1213008 19604 11 335375485860 150384 165 379 149 +21 -0 +11 3.3
201623 A+St. Lucie Mets 3328 4000 530 00 143273143416 160 915 215 23 -3 +0 +1 -0.2
201623 INTLCriollos de Caguas 8374 23511 8101 00 311386446831 135349 1210 372 143 +4 +0 +2 0.7
201724 MLBNew York Mets 3833 10200 481 00 303395364758 61400 2111 351 127 +1 +0 +1 +2 +1 0.5
201724 AAALas Vegas 51s 510466 13026311 42792 23 279341418760 139316 158 340 118 +11 -1 +14 2.5
201825 MLBNew York Mets 2321 3000 280 10 143217143360 231 359 179 -5 -3 +0 -0 +1 +1 -0.1
201825 AAALas Vegas 51s 245219 568114 21423 43 256329493822 237255 179 358 132 +9 -0 +7 1.6
201926 AAAIowa Cubs 539466 13230317 577411 14 283375470844 187303 1411 373 143 +26 -1 +15 4.1
201926 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 6152 11200 661 11 212305250555 38234 1010 256 54 -3 -0 +2 -0.2
202027 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 4539 14201 571 01 359444487932 128419 1611 418 178 +4 -0 -1 +0 +1 0.4
202128 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 247214 44505 28535 10 206312299611 93250 2111 287 78 -6 +0 -5 -7 +7 -1.1
202128 AAAIndianapolis Indians 144127 321000 15291 00 252336331666 79323 2010 305 92 -1 +0 +4 0.3
202229 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 400361 881709 31575 22 244312366678 122265 148 305 92 -4 -0 +11 0.7
202330 AAAReno Aces 590481 15024211 92758 22 312430439869 127344 1316 389 156 +37 -0 +17 5.4
202431 AAAGwinnett Stripers 200176 39305 20362 10 222308324632 102248 1810 289 79 -5 +0 +6 0.1
202431 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 7873 20502 5150 05 274321425745 151321 196 331 112 +1 -2 +2 0.1
202532 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 121108 24604 10221 00 222294389683 167241 188 301 88 -2 +0 +3 0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 353307 71906 39767 21 231331319651 88289 2211 303 90 -4 +0 -5 -4 +10 -0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Jason Phillipslast yr '07
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA
51,508290248314368+11-102.72.7
/162664130+4.7-4.41.2pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA
61,7631610248297342+5+122.42.4
/16266464+1.9+4.70.9pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
3914187230308338+3-50.90.9
/162664135+2.4-3.50.6pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Phillip Evans (OGILVIE) 33 47 41 56 56 238/310/353 115291 73 21% 8% 89 +0.6
Gerald Laird
2013 · MLB
33 52→47 43→50 46→50 51 250/310/364 114282 105 15% 7% 90 +1.0 244/315/343 99291 76 17% 8% 87 +0.8 235/315/304692922218%9%72-0.0
Kevan Smith
2021 · MLB
33 51→55 47→50 49→40 50 251/319/388 137288 147 18% 8% 102 +1.8 223/297/340 117295 118 26% 9% 79 +0.3 167/245/198312460029%9%4-0.9
Mark Little
2005 · MLB
33 48 43→55 49→55 47 230/317/345 115295 1010 24% 8% 90 +1.0 232/314/378 146311 1516 29% 7% 98 +1.6 224/312/363139309141830%6%90+0.6
Matt Treanor
2010 · MLB
34 50 43→40 48→40 51 242/318/352 109293 116 20% 9% 92 +1.2 214/306/314 100256 106 19% 10% 77 +0.1 196/300/280842369419%11%64-0.3
Kevin Plawecki
2023 · MLB
32 51→56 41→45 47→30 50 244/309/343 99283 84 17% 7% 85 +0.7 223/286/334 111272 113 21% 7% 72 -0.2 211/272/31310225911022%7%59-0.5
Israel Nunez
2019 · AAA
33 47 46→40 49→40 44 233/276/359 126274 149 21% 5% 75 -0.0 238/277/338 100281 108 19% 4% 69 -0.4 259/286/315573006016%1%63-0.2
Issmael Salas
2015 · AAA
33 49→50 42→50 49→50 44 238/282/344 106275 105 18% 5% 73 -0.1 246/288/365 119277 137 16% 5% 82 +0.5 248/293/37412627314515%5%86+0.5
Anthony Recker
2017 · MLB
33 42→48 48→55 48→45 48 212/293/354 143279 165 29% 9% 82 +0.5 207/271/347 140282 155 31% 7% 70 -0.3 185/243/32313825216133%5%50-0.8
Andy Green
2010 · AAA
33 46→56 44→50 49→45 49 225/291/343 118264 129 20% 8% 78 +0.2 219/276/335 116269 129 22% 6% 69 -0.4 197/257/29910224210622%6%50-0.7
Erick Almonte
2010 · AAA
32 50→48 41→40 47→45 48 242/301/338 97301 87 22% 8% 80 +0.4 246/298/336 90314 77 22% 7% 77 +0.1 259/311/346873276522%7%81+0.2
Bryan Holaday
2021 · MLB
33 47 44→45 43→40 50 232/301/350 118268 126 18% 8% 84 +0.6 230/290/403 173279 218 25% 7% 93 +1.3 199/253/41021122528427%5%82+0.1
Chris Gimenez
2016 · MLB
33 44→54 43→50 46→45 47 219/282/329 109273 115 24% 8% 70 -0.3 213/287/336 123281 145 28% 8% 75 -0.0 189/272/29911025913231%9%58-0.5
Trinidad Robles
2006 · AAA
33 48 47→40 49→45 44 241/290/372 131290 1511 23% 6% 84 +0.6 240/294/348 108296 1010 21% 6% 79 +0.3 237/294/328902938721%6%73-0.1
Austin Nola
2023 · MLB
33 53→54 42→45 43→45 53 256/330/365 108290 104 15% 8% 99 +1.7 207/278/297 90256 84 21% 8% 61 -1.0 171/241/239682196024%7%28-0.9
Ramon Martinez
2006 · MLB
33 55→52 40→45 46→40 52 260/317/352 92289 74 13% 7% 90 +1.0 248/308/332 84273 75 11% 8% 81 +0.4 244/306/308632704210%8%72-0.1
Mike Lansing
2001 · MLB
33 48→49 46→50 52→45 51 239/292/368 129259 139 14% 7% 84 +0.6 243/294/379 136266 148 14% 7% 88 +0.9 245/290/37613126613513%6%82+0.3
Charlie Culberson
2023 · MLB
34 48→49 45 47→50 44 238/287/366 127298 1213 24% 6% 81 +0.4 226/275/342 116315 1212 30% 6% 70 -0.3 182/208/2254329551439%3%11-0.8
Jesus Alberto Vega
2015 · AAA
33 46 46→50 46→40 42 231/280/354 123290 146 26% 6% 76 +0.0 216/263/315 99304 95 31% 5% 58 -1.2 200/248/285842898132%5%40-0.7
Keith Osik
2003 · MLB
34 44 45→40 50 51 217/291/337 120248 137 18% 8% 76 +0.1 226/302/322 96271 85 18% 9% 77 +0.1 249/342/324752974016%11%92+0.6
Cliff Pennington
2017 · MLB
33 45→55 41→45 53→55 50 221/292/320 99279 98 23% 9% 72 -0.2 213/282/307 94283 99 26% 8% 64 -0.8 196/269/275792627926%9%50-0.6