Buck Britton
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 28 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 611 | .286/.346/.452 | 19 | 4 | 94 | — | .263/.304/.399 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAAOklahoma City… | 415 | .262/.312/.374 | 7 | 11 | 52 | — | .215/.247/.303 |
| 2016 | 30 | AAAWSH | 271 | .194/.242/.289 | 3 | 0 | 15 | — | .166/.197/.243 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | ROK | Bluefield Orioles | — | 175 | 149 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 289 | 376 | 322 | 699 | 34 | 328 | 11 | 11 | 317 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 40 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 282 | 270 | 552 | 27 | 300 | 18 | 5 | 248 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 19 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 158 | 111 | 269 | 133 | 16 | 5 | 132 | -40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 366 | 334 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 260 | 316 | 365 | 681 | 105 | 296 | 15 | 6 | 304 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 294 | 262 | 74 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 282 | 343 | 412 | 755 | 130 | 318 | 14 | 6 | 329 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 100 | 91 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 341 | 400 | 538 | 938 | 198 | 346 | 7 | 8 | 413 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 421 | 377 | 111 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 60 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 294 | 359 | 432 | 791 | 138 | 329 | 14 | 9 | 349 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 20 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 294 | 610 | 59 | 267 | 10 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 243 | 220 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 255 | 317 | 368 | 685 | 114 | 274 | 13 | 7 | 306 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 270 | 247 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 34 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 291 | 342 | 462 | 804 | 170 | 309 | 13 | 7 | 350 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 34 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 294 | 226 | 520 | 269 | 15 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 226 | 205 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 311 | 439 | 750 | 185 | 262 | 15 | 7 | 326 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 279 | 252 | 80 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 317 | 379 | 464 | 843 | 147 | 327 | 8 | 8 | 373 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 106 | 96 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 333 | 448 | 781 | 177 | 265 | 9 | 8 | 343 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 415 | 385 | 101 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 52 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 262 | 312 | 374 | 686 | 112 | 287 | 13 | 7 | 307 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 271 | 253 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 194 | 242 | 289 | 530 | 95 | 224 | 17 | 6 | 239 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Orioles | — | 175 | 157 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 294 | 261 | 555 | 25 | 274 | 16 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 40 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 231 | 237 | 468 | 26 | 278 | 25 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 19 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 158 | 111 | 269 | 123 | 21 | 5 | 109 | -40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 366 | 342 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 75 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 228 | 269 | 316 | 584 | 88 | 270 | 20 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 294 | 269 | 74 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 275 | 318 | 383 | 701 | 108 | 314 | 16 | 4 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 100 | 95 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 295 | 330 | 442 | 772 | 147 | 321 | 10 | 4 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 421 | 389 | 103 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 73 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 265 | 311 | 378 | 689 | 113 | 303 | 17 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 243 | 226 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 275 | 323 | 598 | 93 | 256 | 16 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 270 | 255 | 66 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 259 | 289 | 388 | 678 | 129 | 285 | 16 | 4 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 226 | 210 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 261 | 367 | 628 | 148 | 227 | 17 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 279 | 261 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 299 | 339 | 425 | 765 | 126 | 313 | 10 | 5 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 415 | 396 | 85 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 215 | 247 | 303 | 550 | 88 | 245 | 16 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 271 | 259 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 166 | 197 | 243 | 440 | 77 | 195 | 21 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Orioles | — | 175 | 157 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 294 | 261 | 555 | 25 | 282 | 16 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK RAW | Bluefield Orioles | — | 175 | 149 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 289 | 376 | 322 | 699 | 34 | 328 | 11 | 11 | 317 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 40 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 231 | 237 | 468 | 26 | 286 | 25 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ RAW | Frederick Keys | — | 40 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 282 | 270 | 552 | 27 | 300 | 18 | 5 | 248 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 361 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 79 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 222 | 261 | 305 | 565 | 83 | 271 | 21 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 385 | 352 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 57 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 253 | 308 | 352 | 660 | 99 | 288 | 15 | 6 | 295 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 364 | 104 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 57 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 286 | 326 | 407 | 733 | 121 | 326 | 14 | 4 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 394 | 353 | 105 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 47 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 297 | 358 | 445 | 802 | 147 | 326 | 12 | 7 | 350 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 406 | 107 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 77 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 264 | 311 | 374 | 685 | 111 | 309 | 17 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 441 | 394 | 115 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 62 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 292 | 357 | 426 | 784 | 135 | 326 | 14 | 9 | 346 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 547 | 512 | 126 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 87 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 246 | 285 | 359 | 645 | 113 | 276 | 16 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 547 | 498 | 135 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 71 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 271 | 328 | 406 | 733 | 135 | 291 | 13 | 7 | 324 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 611 | 570 | 148 | 28 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 82 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 301 | 389 | 691 | 130 | 279 | 13 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 611 | 553 | 158 | 29 | 3 | 19 | 45 | 66 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 286 | 346 | 452 | 798 | 166 | 293 | 11 | 7 | 351 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 415 | 396 | 85 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 215 | 247 | 303 | 550 | 88 | 244 | 16 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 415 | 385 | 101 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 52 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 262 | 312 | 374 | 686 | 112 | 287 | 13 | 7 | 307 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 271 | 259 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 166 | 197 | 243 | 440 | 77 | 198 | 21 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 271 | 253 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 194 | 242 | 289 | 530 | 95 | 224 | 17 | 6 | 239 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Orioles | — | 175 | 160 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 231 | 294 | 256 | 550 | 25 | 274 | 16 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 40 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 231 | 231 | 462 | 26 | 278 | 25 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 363 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 79 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 220 | 261 | 303 | 564 | 83 | 263 | 21 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 369 | 104 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 57 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 282 | 326 | 401 | 728 | 119 | 316 | 14 | 4 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 410 | 107 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 77 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 261 | 311 | 371 | 682 | 110 | 303 | 17 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 547 | 514 | 126 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 87 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 245 | 285 | 358 | 643 | 113 | 271 | 16 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 611 | 572 | 148 | 28 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 82 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 259 | 301 | 388 | 689 | 129 | 275 | 13 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 415 | 395 | 85 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 215 | 247 | 304 | 551 | 89 | 245 | 16 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 271 | 259 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 166 | 197 | 243 | 440 | 77 | 195 | 21 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3279 | 3063 | 738 | 137 | 15 | 48 | 147 | 544 | 25 | 41 | 23 | 241 | 281 | 342 | 624 | 102 | 276 | 17 | 4 | 272 | 70 | -116 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +71 | -3.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 147 | 27 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 108 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 242 | 282 | 346 | 628 | 104 | 277 | 17 | 4 | 272 | 70 | -23 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAARochester Red Wings · 271 PAwOBA .232 → .191 (−42)K% 17.3% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.34% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.54% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.53% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×1.003 | ×0.972 | 14.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.31% | ÷1.224 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×0.972 | 4.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | ×0.972 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.46% | ÷0.951 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 1.25% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 145, 3B 94, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .232 → .191; ISO .095 → .072; BABIP .224 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 415 PAwOBA .298 → .245 (−53)K% 12.5% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.53% | ÷0.984 | ×1.290 | — | — | 16.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.02% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.82% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | ×1.005 | ×0.982 | 19.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.20% | ÷0.965 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.982 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.982 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.10% | ÷0.866 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 1.86% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .298 → .245; ISO .112 → .095; BABIP .287 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABowie Baysox · 279 PAwOBA .364 → .329 (−34)K% 8.2% → 10.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.24% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.53% | ÷1.082 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 4.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.33% | ÷0.972 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×0.968 | 24.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.11% | ÷0.969 | ×0.860 | ×1.015 | ×0.968 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | ×0.968 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.06% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 2.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .364 → .329; ISO .147 → .128; BABIP .327 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANorfolk Tides · 226 PAwOBA .323 → .264 (−58)K% 14.6% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.60% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.64% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.02% | ÷1.027 | ×0.930 | ×0.971 | ×0.992 | 15.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷0.899 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | ×0.992 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.007 | ×0.970 | ×0.971 | ×0.992 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.223 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 3.17% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 101, K 105, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .323 → .264; ISO .185 → .144; BABIP .262 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AABowie Baysox · 270 PAwOBA .343 → .293 (−50)K% 12.6% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.59% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.04% | ÷1.189 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | ×0.978 | 21.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.63% | ÷0.890 | ×0.860 | ×1.003 | ×0.978 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | ×0.978 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.76% | ÷1.140 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 2.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 106, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 138 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .343 → .293; ISO .170 → .139; BABIP .309 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAANorfolk Tides · 243 PAwOBA .300 → .267 (−34)K% 13.2% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.17% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.58% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.81% | ÷0.970 | ×0.930 | ×0.994 | ×1.003 | 20.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.32% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×1.003 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.66% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .300 → .267; ISO .114 → .097; BABIP .274 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AABowie Baysox · 421 PAwOBA .340 → .299 (−41)K% 14.3% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.25% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.31% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.61% | ÷1.027 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 22.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷0.932 | ×0.860 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 6.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | ×0.988 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.84% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.15% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 105, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .340 → .299; ISO .138 → .117; BABIP .329 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AABowie Baysox · 294 PAwOBA .325 → .306 (−19)K% 13.6% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.61% | ÷1.037 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.46% | ÷1.068 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.07% | ÷0.979 | ×0.970 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 22.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.56% | ÷1.020 | ×0.860 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 7.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.975 | ×0.950 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.109 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 96, 2B 104, 3B 95, K 107, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .325 → .306; ISO .130 → .115; BABIP .318 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .