Brett Wisely2B Gwinnett Stripers
Age 27 L/R 5'9" / 185 lbs AAA Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION332 act + 221 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 14685vR 62
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .305 / .334
PA221
HR3
SB7
K%24
BB%9
BABIP297
ISO106
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +2.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +1.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +15.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +1.30+1.3WAR
0.00.81.60.11.10.9+$7M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT40
Whiff%
5010.9%
xwOBA
100.259
POWER40
Barrel%
336.0
Avg EV
1786.6
Bat Spd
1767.8
EYE50
Chase%
4033.7%
SPEED50
Sprint
5027.5
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 326 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
60
266
wRC+
134
52
◀◀L
wOBA
360
254
◀◀L
ISO
210
088
◀◀L
BABIP
441
258
◀◀L
K%
35.0%
21.0%
▶▶R
BB%
1.7%
6.8%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-1$0.2M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2027Arb-2$4M+1.1$8M+$4M
2028Arb-3$5M+0.9$3M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $4M $11M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 A2 teams 440400 10117114 341381 318 253313405718 153345 318 310 95
202122 A2 teams 440386 11619119 48981 318 301379503882 202355 2211 385 153
202223 AA2 teams 523470 10918615 441335 3211 232304391696 160289 258 299 87
202223 AA2 teams 523451 12325615 631105 3211 273368455823 182328 2112 364 137
202324 AAA2 teams 411353 782217 441105 94 221316348664 127296 2711 292 82
202324 AAA2 teams 411341 842518 561045 94 246361396757 150326 2514 337 116
202425 MLB2 teams 453416 1042029 28962 77 250300373673 123302 216 295 84 -8 -1 +5 +2 +13 1.0
202425 MLB2 teams 453408 10722210 36932 77 262325400725 137314 218 320 103 +2 -1 +5 +2 +13 2.0
202526 AAA2 teams 414379 801517 24994 131 211265311577 100264 246 257 55
202526 AAA2 teams 414362 892218 41814 131 246329378708 133293 2010 315 99
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD27 AAAATL 332289 691723 33856 144 239329343672 104322 2610 304 91 -3 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.9
YTD27 AAAATL 332274 782124 48716 144 285402420822 135365 2114 369 141 +15 +1 +0 +1 +9 2.8
ROS27 AAAATL 10% 221197 451013 19543 72 228305334640 106293 249 292 82 -5 +1 +1 +1 +6 0.4
ROS27 MLBATL 10% 2220 4100 250 10 200273250523 50293 239 282 74 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
FULL27 AAAATL 354309 731823 35906 154 236326337662 100318 2510 303 90 -4 +1 +0 +1 +10 0.9
TOT27 AAAATL 553486 1142736 521399 216 234320339659 105312 259 299 87 -8 +2 +1 +2 +16 1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728 MLBATL 38% 586523 1192639 501458 164 228305340645 113293 259 291 81 -13 +2 +3 +2 +17 1.1
202829 MLBATL 49% 574513 1162629 491437 154 226302337640 111292 259 289 80 -13 +1 +2 +2 +16 0.9
202930 MLBATL 55% 562502 1122528 481417 134 223300329629 106291 259 286 77 -14 +1 +1 +2 +16 0.6
203031 MLBATL 59% 551492 1092428 471407 113 222299327626 106288 259 282 74 -16 +1 +0 +2 +16 0.3
202728 MLBATL 38% 220196 441013 19543 62 224303332634 107293 259 282 74 -7 +0 +1 +1 +6 0.2
202829 MLBATL 49% 280250 551214 24704 72 220299324623 104292 259 280 72 -9 +1 +1 +1 +8 0.2
202930 MLBATL 55% 310277 621415 26784 72 224300336635 112291 258 277 70 -10 +1 +1 +1 +9 0.1
203031 MLBATL 59% 325290 641415 28834 72 221298328626 107288 269 273 67 -12 +1 +0 +1 +9 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 16231459 32073524 12840917 3313 219290326615 106286 258 273 67 -61 +1 +11 +9 +46 0.7
/ 162G 650584 12829210 511647 135 219290327617 108285 258 273 67 -24 +1 +5 +3 +18 0.3
Career 47354245 9732032189 387119949 15448 229301350651 121296 258 289 80 -109 +12 +16 +17 +134 7.1
/ 162G 650583 13428312 531657 217 230302350652 120298 258 289 80 -15 +1 +2 +2 +18 1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods 134112 36608 20290 31 3214245891.014 268364 2215 434 191 +14 +0 +4 1.8
202122 ACharleston RiverDogs 306274 8013111 28691 287 292360467827 175352 239 364 136 +13 +3 +9 2.5
202223 AAADurham Bulls 2321 5200 160 10 238273333606 95312 264 260 57 -1 +0 +1 -0.0
202223 AAMontgomery Biscuits 500430 11823615 621045 3111 274372460833 186329 2112 369 140 +23 +2 +14 4.0
202324 MLBSan Francisco Giants 131120 21502 9400 21 175233267499 92241 317 225 31 -10 +0 +3 +1 +4 -0.2
202324 AAASacramento River Cats 280221 632016 47645 73 285421466887 181370 2317 389 156 +18 +0 +8 2.6
202425 MLBSan Francisco Giants 272252 601314 13652 23 238281345626 107301 245 276 70 -9 -1 +5 +2 +8 0.4
202425 AAASacramento River Cats 181156 47916 23280 54 301391487878 186333 1513 385 153 +11 -1 +5 1.6
202526 MLBAtlanta Braves 6354 10401 7140 11 185279315594 130231 2211 264 60 -3 -0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202526 AAAGwinnett Stripers 351308 791817 34674 120 256338390728 133304 1910 325 107 +3 +2 +10 1.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 466426 912217 291192 55 214267319586 106276 266 260 57 -22 -1 +8 +5 +13 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA
61,7631610248297342+5+122.42.4
/16266464+1.9+4.70.9pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,6362533221287329+6+15-0.0-0.0
/1626641014+2.4+6.1-0.0pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Brett Wisely (OGILVIE) 27 40 40 50 50 234/320/339 105312 621 25% 9% 87 +1.3
Nolan Fontana
2019 · MLB
28 40→43 43→40 51→50 51 198/284/313 115267 1012 28% 10% 68 -0.5 202/287/326 124291 1210 32% 10% 72 -0.2 124/238/2098619210038%12%22-0.8
Hoy Park
2023 · MLB
27 41→49 47→45 53→55 48 209/284/337 128275 1516 29% 9% 73 -0.1 224/308/335 111306 1117 28% 10% 82 +0.5 227/321/32610031191927%11%83+0.4
Garrett Stubbs
2021 · MLB
28 46 44→45 54→50 47 229/290/350 121273 1217 21% 7% 79 +0.3 228/308/352 124288 1312 24% 10% 87 +0.8 220/310/331111279111023%11%81+0.1
Peter Maris
2021 · AAA
27 42→48 47→50 50 44 215/276/351 136277 149 27% 7% 73 -0.1 233/285/386 153310 189 29% 7% 86 +0.8 237/285/42118330424530%6%93+0.4
Jeff Duncan
2006 · MLB
27 45→46 42→45 53→60 46 219/283/325 106289 915 26% 8% 69 -0.4 233/299/319 86303 821 24% 7% 74 -0.1 238/309/2986030862823%7%70-0.1
Danny Mendick
2021 · MLB
27 44→49 46→45 47→50 46 221/280/349 128266 1413 23% 7% 74 -0.1 234/295/346 112291 129 23% 7% 79 +0.3 230/289/365135277151522%7%78+0.1
Steele Walker
2023 · MLB
27 43→46 47→45 47→50 44 220/270/350 130259 1512 22% 6% 71 -0.3 216/272/339 123271 1310 25% 6% 69 -0.4 162/227/2549220410026%7%26-0.7
Adam Haseley
2023 · MLB
27 42→52 41→45 54→50 43 207/259/304 97253 916 22% 5% 53 -1.5 227/276/328 101282 915 22% 6% 66 -0.6 243/290/3298630271621%5%68-0.3
Sherman Johnson
2017 · AAA
27 40→50 44→50 53→50 52 200/279/317 117243 1216 23% 10% 66 -0.6 204/276/303 99274 813 27% 9% 61 -1.0 199/272/2919227171128%9%52-0.8
LJ Talley
2023 · AAA
26 46→48 46→45 53→50 45 230/287/357 126285 1411 24% 7% 79 +0.3 221/286/341 120282 1312 25% 8% 75 -0.0 185/269/28096234111225%10%50-0.6
Kramer Robertson
2022 · AAA
27 43→51 46→45 51→55 49 216/295/344 127267 1313 24% 8% 80 +0.4 202/300/294 92268 922 26% 10% 70 -0.3 184/296/2547125172626%10%56-1.1
Drew Macias
2010 · MLB
27 46→52 43→45 45→50 52 222/300/334 111263 109 19% 9% 79 +0.3 210/290/313 103263 911 22% 8% 70 -0.3 193/285/2808724771523%9%57-0.7
Chip Ambres
2007 · MLB
27 44→49 45→50 48→50 49 217/286/342 125267 1215 23% 8% 76 +0.0 218/287/363 145270 179 25% 8% 81 +0.4 214/283/35814426017624%8%76+0.0
Mitchell Tolman
2021 · AAA
27 44→50 41→45 47→50 44 209/279/307 99301 910 32% 8% 63 -0.8 232/302/374 142298 148 25% 7% 90 +1.0 234/308/38415129514724%7%93+0.8
Charles Thomas
2006 · MLB
27 45→50 43→45 52→50 49 222/298/338 116266 1016 20% 8% 79 +0.3 222/280/311 89283 913 24% 6% 64 -0.8 221/276/2927028681124%6%53-0.9
Juan Carlos Gamboa
2019 · AAA
28 48 43→45 47→50 43 236/289/345 109300 1110 25% 6% 76 +0.1 236/300/346 110323 129 28% 8% 82 +0.5 237/305/3289232711529%8%80+0.2
Clay Dungan
2023 · AAA
27 42→52 42→45 53→55 44 207/267/308 101254 1019 23% 6% 58 -1.2 211/284/315 104289 821 28% 8% 67 -0.5 209/288/31710829882430%9%68-0.4
Andrew Aplin
2018 · AAA
27 44→54 40 52→55 50 212/286/306 94274 719 24% 9% 66 -0.6 213/278/324 111270 109 24% 8% 67 -0.5 219/280/3351162679320%7%67-0.3
Lance Zawadzki
2012 · MLB
27 45→50 42→45 54→50 41 220/264/328 107290 1016 27% 6% 61 -1.0 210/251/302 92283 815 28% 5% 49 -1.8 198/233/2636526361427%4%27-0.9
Tug Hulett
2010 · MLB
27 47→55 46→45 51→50 48 230/295/361 132288 1312 24% 8% 84 +0.6 217/285/330 113272 99 22% 8% 71 -0.3 215/283/313992697722%8%64-0.5