Hoy Park
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 26 | AAAPIT | 375 | .225/.331/.354 | 10 | 14 | 51 | — | .186/.258/.277 | |
| 2022 | 26 | MLBPIT | 60 | .216/.286/.373 | 2 | 1 | 76 | -0.4 | ||
| 2023 | 27 | AAAATL | 389 | .262/.381/.379 | 6 | 16 | 84 | — | .235/.326/.324 | |
| 2024 | 28 | AAAOAK | 434 | .254/.375/.397 | 9 | 15 | 80 | — | .222/.312/.322 | |
| 2025 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | — | 262 | 222 | 53 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 50 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 239 | 352 | 383 | 735 | 144 | 286 | 19 | 13 | 334 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 517 | 435 | 98 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 67 | 120 | 7 | 32 | 3 | 225 | 338 | 329 | 667 | 103 | 304 | 23 | 13 | 304 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 108 | 94 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 213 | 315 | 330 | 645 | 117 | 241 | 13 | 12 | 297 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 373 | 324 | 85 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 63 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 262 | 358 | 367 | 725 | 105 | 310 | 17 | 10 | 331 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | — | 421 | 341 | 88 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 68 | 69 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 258 | 389 | 349 | 738 | 91 | 306 | 16 | 16 | 339 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 487 | 416 | 113 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 57 | 91 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 272 | 363 | 370 | 733 | 99 | 340 | 19 | 12 | 329 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 150 | 128 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 297 | 336 | 633 | 141 | 250 | 25 | 12 | 285 | 77 | -4 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 254 | 193 | 59 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 53 | 53 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 306 | 464 | 518 | 982 | 212 | 371 | 21 | 21 | 430 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 39 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 194 | 324 | 323 | 647 | 129 | 179 | 8 | 15 | 286 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 60 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 286 | 373 | 658 | 157 | 250 | 25 | 7 | 277 | 76 | -2 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 375 | 316 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 52 | 99 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 225 | 331 | 354 | 685 | 130 | 292 | 26 | 14 | 311 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 389 | 317 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 86 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 262 | 381 | 379 | 759 | 117 | 341 | 22 | 15 | 345 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 434 | 358 | 91 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 67 | 98 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 254 | 375 | 397 | 772 | 142 | 323 | 23 | 15 | 348 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 210 | 179 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 201 | 294 | 346 | 640 | 145 | 250 | 25 | 10 | 283 | 77 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 262 | 234 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 71 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 175 | 261 | 278 | 538 | 103 | 231 | 27 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 517 | 456 | 89 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 46 | 158 | 7 | 32 | 3 | 195 | 279 | 285 | 564 | 90 | 281 | 31 | 9 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 108 | 97 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 175 | 259 | 278 | 538 | 103 | 208 | 19 | 9 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 373 | 338 | 78 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 88 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 231 | 301 | 320 | 621 | 89 | 296 | 24 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 421 | 358 | 83 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 51 | 98 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 232 | 336 | 304 | 640 | 73 | 296 | 23 | 12 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 487 | 434 | 106 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 116 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 244 | 315 | 329 | 645 | 85 | 317 | 24 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 150 | 130 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 291 | 331 | 621 | 138 | 250 | 25 | 11 | 283 | 77 | -4 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 254 | 213 | 59 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 66 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 277 | 384 | 427 | 811 | 150 | 354 | 26 | 13 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 39 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 182 | 270 | 303 | 573 | 121 | 166 | 10 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 60 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 286 | 373 | 658 | 157 | 250 | 25 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -2 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 375 | 339 | 63 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 121 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 186 | 258 | 277 | 535 | 91 | 259 | 32 | 9 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 389 | 340 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 103 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 235 | 326 | 324 | 650 | 88 | 319 | 26 | 11 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 434 | 379 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 115 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 222 | 312 | 322 | 634 | 100 | 293 | 26 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 262 | 234 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 71 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 175 | 261 | 278 | 538 | 103 | 231 | 27 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Yankees | — | 262 | 222 | 53 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 50 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 239 | 352 | 383 | 735 | 144 | 286 | 19 | 13 | 334 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 517 | 456 | 89 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 46 | 158 | 7 | 32 | 3 | 195 | 279 | 285 | 564 | 90 | 291 | 31 | 9 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 517 | 435 | 98 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 67 | 120 | 7 | 32 | 3 | 225 | 338 | 329 | 667 | 103 | 304 | 23 | 13 | 304 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 481 | 435 | 95 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 109 | 10 | 25 | 7 | 218 | 292 | 310 | 602 | 92 | 278 | 23 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 481 | 418 | 105 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 77 | 10 | 25 | 7 | 251 | 348 | 359 | 707 | 108 | 293 | 16 | 11 | 324 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 421 | 358 | 83 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 51 | 98 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 232 | 336 | 304 | 640 | 73 | 306 | 23 | 12 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | Tampa Tarpons | — | 421 | 341 | 88 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 68 | 69 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 258 | 389 | 349 | 738 | 91 | 306 | 16 | 16 | 339 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 487 | 434 | 106 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 116 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 244 | 315 | 329 | 645 | 85 | 325 | 24 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 487 | 416 | 113 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 57 | 91 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 272 | 363 | 370 | 733 | 99 | 340 | 19 | 12 | 329 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 443 | 377 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 53 | 108 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 239 | 340 | 382 | 722 | 143 | 302 | 24 | 12 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 443 | 352 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 77 | 94 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 256 | 395 | 435 | 830 | 179 | 306 | 21 | 17 | 368 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 435 | 390 | 74 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 136 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 190 | 262 | 290 | 551 | 100 | 261 | 31 | 9 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 435 | 367 | 82 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 56 | 114 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 223 | 325 | 357 | 682 | 134 | 286 | 26 | 13 | 306 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 389 | 340 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 103 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 235 | 326 | 324 | 650 | 88 | 325 | 26 | 11 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 389 | 317 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 86 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 262 | 381 | 379 | 759 | 117 | 341 | 22 | 15 | 345 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 434 | 379 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 115 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 222 | 312 | 322 | 634 | 100 | 299 | 26 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 434 | 358 | 91 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 67 | 98 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 254 | 375 | 397 | 772 | 142 | 323 | 23 | 15 | 348 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 262 | 233 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 71 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 176 | 261 | 279 | 540 | 103 | 231 | 27 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 517 | 459 | 89 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 46 | 158 | 7 | 32 | 3 | 194 | 279 | 283 | 562 | 89 | 281 | 31 | 9 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 481 | 433 | 95 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 109 | 10 | 25 | 7 | 219 | 292 | 312 | 603 | 92 | 276 | 23 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 421 | 362 | 83 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 51 | 98 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 229 | 336 | 301 | 637 | 72 | 296 | 23 | 12 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 487 | 439 | 106 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 116 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 241 | 315 | 326 | 641 | 84 | 317 | 24 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 443 | 382 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 53 | 108 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 236 | 340 | 377 | 717 | 141 | 302 | 24 | 12 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 435 | 394 | 74 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 136 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 188 | 262 | 287 | 548 | 99 | 258 | 31 | 9 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 389 | 340 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 103 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 235 | 326 | 324 | 650 | 88 | 319 | 26 | 11 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 434 | 381 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 115 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 220 | 312 | 320 | 633 | 100 | 293 | 26 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 434 | 381 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 115 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 220 | 312 | 320 | 633 | 100 | 293 | 26 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 210 | 179 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 201 | 294 | 346 | 640 | 145 | 250 | 25 | 10 | 283 | 73 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 554 | 111 | 22 | 6 | 15 | 68 | 164 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 200 | 293 | 343 | 636 | 143 | 250 | 25 | 10 | 283 | 73 | -17 | +0 | -15 | +10 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3869 | 3403 | 742 | 110 | 36 | 49 | 374 | 1014 | 44 | 166 | 45 | 218 | 304 | 315 | 618 | 97 | 294 | 26 | 10 | 276 | 73 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 572 | 124 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 63 | 170 | 7 | 28 | 8 | 217 | 302 | 311 | 613 | 94 | 292 | 26 | 10 | 276 | 73 | -17 | +0 | -15 | +10 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 434 PAwOBA .341 → .286 (−55)K% 22.6% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.58% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.21% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 10.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.46% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×0.992 | 22.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.92% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×0.992 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×0.992 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.46% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.40% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 104, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .341 → .286; ISO .142 → .109; BABIP .323 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 389 PAwOBA .337 → .292 (−45)K% 22.1% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.11% | ÷1.005 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.42% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.97% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×1.003 | 24.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×1.003 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.003 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.60% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.85% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 100, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .337 → .292; ISO .117 → .099; BABIP .341 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 375 PAwOBA .303 → .243 (−60)K% 26.4% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.40% | ÷0.982 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.058 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.04% | ÷1.087 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×1.018 | 20.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.07% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.018 | 4.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.61% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.24% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 96, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .303 → .243; ISO .130 → .100; BABIP .292 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 254 PAwOBA .420 → .358 (−62)K% 20.9% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.87% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.69% | ÷1.100 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 12.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.86% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×1.033 | 27.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.43% | ÷0.986 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×1.033 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.914 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×1.033 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.71% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .420 → .358; ISO .212 → .169; BABIP .371 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AASomerset Patriots · 39 PAwOBA .287 → .248 (−39)K% 7.7% → 9.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 9.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 10.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.008 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 13.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.905 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 3.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.053 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.64% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .287 → .248; ISO .129 → .115; BABIP .179 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AATrenton Thunder · 487 PAwOBA .323 → .282 (−41)K% 18.7% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.69% | ÷0.956 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.70% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.85% | ÷0.984 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 24.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷1.040 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷0.937 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 1.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.77% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 87, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .323 → .282; ISO .099 → .086; BABIP .340 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Tampa Tarpons · 421 PAwOBA .333 → .289 (−44)K% 16.4% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.39% | ÷1.004 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.15% | ÷1.015 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 12.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.10% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 24.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.31% | ÷0.891 | ×0.960 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 3.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷0.983 | ×0.810 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.21% | ÷1.205 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.63% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 101, 2B 78, 3B 97, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .333 → .289; ISO .091 → .078; BABIP .306 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ACharleston RiverDogs · 373 PAwOBA .323 → .274 (−49)K% 16.9% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.89% | ÷0.958 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.46% | ÷1.051 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.41% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.05% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.015 | 25.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.30% | ÷1.010 | ×0.820 | ×1.006 | ×1.015 | 1.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.006 | ×1.015 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.30% | ÷0.945 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .323 → .274; ISO .105 → .094; BABIP .310 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).