Hoy Park — OGILVIE

Hoy ParkSS Las Vegas Aviators

Age 30 L/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .306 / .326

PA350

HR7

SB10

K%26

BB%11

ISO114

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2022

CONTACT39

Whiff%

708.9%

xwOBA

310.287

POWER50

Barrel%

457.5

Avg EV

1085.7

EYE74

Chase%

9020.6%

SPEED54

Sprint

4727.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$1M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	262	234	41	8	2	4	22	71	5	12	7	175	261	278	538	103	231	27	8	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	262	222	53	11	3	5	34	50	5	12	7	239	352	383	735	144	286	19	13	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	517	458	87	9	13	2	44	156	7	32	3	190	271	279	551	90	281	30	9	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	517	435	98	15	12	2	67	120	7	32	3	225	338	329	667	103	304	23	13	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	481	437	94	10	6	6	33	114	10	25	7	215	285	307	592	92	278	24	7	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	481	418	105	12	6	7	52	77	10	25	7	251	348	359	707	108	293	16	11	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	421	359	83	11	2	4	50	97	5	18	5	231	333	306	640	75	304	23	12	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	421	341	88	9	2	6	68	69	5	18	5	258	389	349	738	91	306	16	16	339	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	487	436	99	15	6	3	39	129	4	20	10	227	296	310	606	83	314	26	8	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	487	416	113	20	6	3	57	91	4	20	10	272	363	370	733	99	340	19	12	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	3 teams	—	443	379	90	15	3	12	51	111	5	13	5	237	336	388	723	150	300	25	12	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	3 teams	—	443	352	90	15	3	14	77	94	5	13	5	256	395	435	830	179	306	21	17	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	435	392	71	12	0	10	35	138	1	15	0	181	250	288	538	107	246	32	8	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	435	367	82	13	0	12	56	114	1	15	0	223	325	357	682	134	286	26	13	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	389	340	84	15	2	5	42	102	4	16	2	247	337	347	684	100	338	26	11	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	389	317	83	15	2	6	60	86	4	16	2	262	381	379	759	117	341	22	15	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	434	374	80	13	2	7	52	121	3	15	6	214	315	316	630	102	293	28	12	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	434	358	91	18	3	9	67	98	3	15	6	254	375	397	772	142	323	23	15	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	OAK	—	350	306	66	12	2	7	38	89	3	10	3	216	308	337	645	121	277	25	11	291	81	-8	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	OAK	33%	365	319	68	12	2	7	40	94	3	9	3	213	307	329	636	116	275	26	11	287	78	-9	+1	-4	+1	+10	-0.1
2028	32	MLB	OAK	46%	346	302	62	11	1	6	38	91	3	7	2	205	300	308	608	103	272	26	11	282	74	-10	+1	-4	+1	+10	-0.3
2029	33	MLB	OAK	54%	316	276	56	10	1	5	34	85	3	5	1	203	297	301	598	98	268	27	11	276	69	-11	+1	-5	+1	+9	-0.5
2027	31	MLB	OAK	33%	119	104	21	4	0	2	13	31	1	3	1	202	297	298	595	96	273	26	11	279	71	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	32	MLB	OAK	46%	159	140	29	5	1	3	17	42	1	3	1	207	297	321	619	114	270	26	11	274	68	-6	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.3
2029	33	MLB	OAK	54%	169	148	30	5	1	3	18	45	1	3	1	203	293	311	604	108	266	27	11	268	63	-7	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	657	571	116	21	4	13	70	171	5	11	4	203	295	322	617	119	262	26	11	276	69	-23	+1	-11	+5	+19	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	115	21	4	13	69	169	5	11	4	204	295	324	619	120	262	26	11	276	69	-23	+1	-11	+5	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	5246	4612	981	153	42	78	518	1398	56	197	54	213	300	315	615	102	285	27	10	275	69	-185	+18	-19	+19	+149	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	122	19	5	10	64	173	7	24	7	214	300	317	617	103	286	27	10	275	69	-23	+2	-2	+2	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	262	222	53	11	3	5	34	50	5	12	7	239	352	383	735	144	286	19	13	334	114	+4	-0	—	—	+7	1.1
2016	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	517	435	98	15	12	2	67	120	7	32	3	225	338	329	667	103	304	23	13	304	91	-5	+5	—	—	+15	1.5
2017	21	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	108	94	20	6	1	1	13	14	1	7	0	213	315	330	645	117	241	13	12	297	85	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2017	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	373	324	85	6	5	6	39	63	9	18	7	262	358	367	725	105	310	17	10	331	112	+5	+1	—	—	+11	1.7
2018	22	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	421	341	88	9	2	6	68	69	5	18	5	258	389	349	738	91	306	16	16	339	117	+8	+2	—	—	+12	2.2
2019	23	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	487	416	113	20	6	3	57	91	4	20	10	272	363	370	733	99	340	19	12	329	110	+6	+0	—	—	+14	2.0
2021	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	150	128	25	5	2	3	18	38	1	1	1	195	297	336	633	141	250	25	12	285	76	-4	-0	+1	+2	+4	0.2
2021	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	254	193	59	9	1	10	53	53	4	9	4	306	464	518	982	212	371	21	21	430	187	+25	+0	—	—	+7	3.3
2021	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	39	31	6	1	0	1	6	3	0	3	0	194	324	323	647	129	179	8	15	286	77	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	60	51	11	2	0	2	4	15	1	1	0	216	286	373	658	157	250	25	7	277	70	-2	+0	-5	+2	+2	-0.4
2022	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	375	316	71	11	0	10	52	99	0	14	0	225	331	354	685	130	292	26	14	311	96	-2	+3	—	—	+11	1.2
2023	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	389	317	83	15	2	6	60	86	4	16	2	262	381	379	759	117	341	22	15	345	122	+10	+2	—	—	+11	2.4
2024	28	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	434	358	91	18	3	9	67	98	3	15	6	254	375	397	772	142	323	23	15	348	124	+12	+1	—	—	+12	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	210	179	36	7	2	5	22	53	2	2	1	201	294	346	640	145	250	25	10	283	74	-6	+0	-5	+3	+6	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	692	13	12	204	295	321	+6	-7	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	13	11	204	295	321	+5.4	-6.3	0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hoy Park (OGILVIE)	30	39	50	54	74	213/306/326	113	277	7	10	26%	11%	81	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Garrett Stubbs 2022 · MLB	29	45	43→45	53→50	53	220/304/331	110	272	10	15	22%	10%	80	+0.4	227/306/347	120	292	12	12	25%	9%	85	+0.7	217/300/315	98	284	9	12	25%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Chris Herrmann 2018 · MLB	30	40→48	51→50	55→50	51	212/293/370	157	261	19	11	26%	10%	85	+0.7	229/309/385	156	308	18	6	29%	10%	96	+1.5	215/297/359	143	306	15	0	32%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Johnny Monell 2016 · MLB	30	47→44	43→50	48→45	46	233/288/344	111	289	11	9	23%	7%	76	+0.1	228/277/347	119	287	13	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2	219/270/340	120	280	13	2	26%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Beau Taylor 2020 · MLB	30	46→45	45	47→30	51	218/309/342	124	311	12	4	31%	11%	85	+0.7	206/291/315	109	302	11	4	32%	10%	71	-0.3	188/278/270	82	276	9	0	32%	9%	52	-0.6
✕Justin Leone 2008 · AAA	31	42→41	49→50	53→55	49	213/292/360	147	273	17	15	28%	9%	82	+0.5	196/273/336	140	263	16	15	30%	9%	69	-0.4	169/251/300	130	226	15	14	31%	10%	50	-1.0
✕Jonathan Davis 2022 · MLB	30	40→50	44→45	52→55	48	198/302/313	116	269	11	19	29%	9%	77	+0.1	225/308/344	119	307	11	22	28%	9%	85	+0.7	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Andy Fox 2001 · MLB	30	48→53	43→40	51→60	50	236/304/349	114	280	11	18	20%	8%	85	+0.7	234/320/340	106	283	9	22	19%	10%	89	+1.0	236/322/314	78	297	4	31	20%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	43→40	51→50	51	198/284/313	115	267	10	12	28%	10%	68	-0.5	202/287/326	124	291	12	10	32%	10%	72	-0.2	124/238/209	86	192	10	0	38%	12%	22	-0.8
✕Jace Peterson 2019 · MLB	29	46→56	42→50	53→55	57	220/314/331	111	272	8	17	21%	12%	85	+0.7	239/317/393	154	292	15	18	22%	10%	102	+1.8	243/319/402	159	297	17	19	23%	9%	101	+1.2
✕Ryan Flaherty 2017 · MLB	31	43→45	46→55	51→45	48	218/290/343	126	277	13	5	26%	9%	78	+0.2	230/305/352	122	296	13	7	25%	9%	85	+0.7	224/293/354	130	292	15	4	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Paul Bako 2002 · MLB	30	47	43→45	50→40	55	227/314/343	116	291	9	5	24%	11%	87	+0.8	229/302/336	107	283	8	4	20%	9%	80	+0.4	222/297/314	92	275	5	1	19%	9%	63	-0.3
✕Landon Powell 2012 · MLB	30	43→41	44→50	47→30	52	216/291/324	108	267	12	5	23%	10%	72	-0.2	212/277/320	108	277	13	5	27%	8%	66	-0.6	215/271/307	92	271	13	0	25%	6%	60	-0.5
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	43→45	48→50	49	213/288/334	121	268	10	13	24%	8%	74	-0.1	204/270/325	121	268	14	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Tyler Saladino 2019 · MLB	30	45→47	43→45	50→55	46	220/285/327	107	284	11	16	26%	8%	71	-0.3	219/288/382	163	284	20	14	29%	8%	87	+0.8	199/271/381	183	248	24	14	30%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Reid Brignac 2016 · MLB	30	45→51	42→50	47→50	47	220/282/321	101	275	9	6	23%	8%	68	-0.5	218/277/327	109	292	11	7	28%	7%	67	-0.5	210/271/316	106	287	11	6	29%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Sherman Johnson 2019 · AAA	29	42→52	42→50	51→50	48	205/277/309	104	273	8	12	27%	9%	63	-0.8	199/271/304	105	280	9	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	171/259/261	90	243	8	7	31%	9%	41	-1.0
●Ryan Roberts 2011 · MLB	30	47→52	45→50	52→55	50	230/298/355	125	280	12	16	22%	8%	83	+0.6	230/302/369	139	269	16	15	20%	9%	89	+1.0	227/302/364	136	262	16	13	19%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Steven Lerud 2015 · AAA	30	45→41	42→45	48→40	47	215/298/317	102	298	9	5	29%	9%	75	-0.0	217/292/296	79	308	6	5	29%	8%	66	-0.6	208/288/255	46	305	3	0	30%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Andy Burns 2022 · MLB	31	45→55	49→50	51→55	51	224/305/374	149	283	16	15	26%	10%	92	+1.2	205/274/322	117	291	12	12	31%	8%	65	-0.7	172/244/265	93	248	10	8	33%	8%	36	-1.5
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0