Conner CapelLF Hartford Yard Goats
Age 29 L/L 6'0" / 185 lbs AA H +10%K -4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .291 / .367
PA250
HR7
SB6
K%26
BB%8
MLB%2%
BAT: -9.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: -1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-2RUNFLD: -1.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4545
PWR
4545
SPD
5555
EYE
4950
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Arb-2$0.4M
2027Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $-5M $-5M +$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201619 ROKAZL Indians 153142 24420 7291 103 .169.213.225.439 .056.209 195 .190 4 -17 +1 +0 -2 +4 -1.3
201720 ALake County Captains 492450 9016616 321384 1510 .200.259.369.628 .169.247 287 .268 63 -20 -1 +0 -5 +14 -1.3
201821 A+Palm Beach Cardinals 509456 1002237 391413 1511 .219.285.327.612 .107.295 288 .269 64 -21 -1 +0 -5 +14 -1.3
201922 AA3 teams 487460 9115110 211463 117 .198.238.300.538 .102.264 304 .231 35 -36 -1 +0 -5 +14 -2.8
202124 AAAMemphis Redbirds 407372 7913312 28983 64 .212.273.360.633 .148.252 247 .280 72 -13 -0 +0 -4 +12 -0.6
202225 AAA2 teams 468420 9314410 431003 2210 .221.298.345.644 .124.266 219 .285 77 -12 +0 +1 -5 +13 -0.3
202326 AAA2 teams 477429 921447 431324 227 .214.292.315.607 .100.293 289 .270 65 -19 +2 -3 -5 +14 -1.2
202427 AAA2 teams 416365 6515114 431102 106 .178.268.340.608 .162.206 2610 .271 66 -16 -0 -0 -4 +12 -0.9
202528 AAAGwinnett Stripers 414384 79739 251022 214 .206.258.310.568 .104.254 256 .250 50 -24 +3 +0 -4 +12 -1.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202629 AA2 teams 7770 14201 7230 14 .200.273.271.544 .071.283 309 .233 37 -6 -1 +0 -1 +2 -0.6
ROS29 MLBCOL 173156 35515 14461 53 .224.292.365.658 .141.279 278 .290 80 -4 -0 -1 -2 +5 -0.2
TOT29 MLBCOL 250226 49716 21691 67 .217.286.336.623 .119.283 288 .273 67 -9 -2 -1 -3 +7 -0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202730 MLB 9%COL 380341 7712210 34842 116 .226.300.361.660 .135.266 229 .296 85 -6 -0 -5 -4 +11 -0.5
202831 MLB 19%COL 365328 7311210 32832 95 .223.296.360.655 .137.267 239 .295 84 -7 -0 -6 -4 +10 -0.6
202932 MLB 29%COL 346310 691129 31802 74 .223.297.358.655 .135.266 239 .291 81 -7 -0 -6 -4 +10 -0.8
203033 MLB 40%COL 316283 62928 28752 54 .219.294.350.644 .131.265 249 .286 77 -8 -1 -7 -3 +9 -1.0
203134 MLB 49%COL 272244 52816 24672 43 .213.289.328.617 .115.263 259 .279 72 -9 -0 -7 -3 +8 -1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 56755140 108117637133 444143136 17387 .210.278.337.614 .126.262 258 .272 66 -218 -0 -35 -61 +161 -15.7
/ 162G 650589 12320415 511644 2010 .209.277.333.610 .124.260 258 .272 66 -25 +0 -4 -7 +18 -1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201619 ROKAZL Indians 153138 29530 11201 103 .210.273.290.563 .080.242 137 .253 52 -8 +1 +4 -0.3
201720 ALake County Captains 492439 10822722 431084 1510 .246.319.478.797 .232.275 229 .345 122 +12 -1 +14 2.6
201821 A+Palm Beach Cardinals 509439 1132347 561023 1511 .257.345.376.721 .118.315 2011 .321 104 +2 -1 +14 1.5
201922 AAAMemphis Redbirds 3130 13502 160 10 .433.452.8001.252 .367.500 193 .539 271 +6 +0 +1 0.7
201922 AASpringfield Cardinals 368341 791219 23842 94 .232.284.352.636 .120.280 236 .285 76 -10 +0 +10 0.1
201922 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 8879 21303 7201 13 .266.333.418.751 .152.316 238 .333 113 +1 -1 +2 0.3
202124 AAAMemphis Redbirds 407357 9317414 43793 64 .261.345.448.793 .188.295 1911 .349 125 +12 -0 +12 2.3
202225 MLBOakland Athletics 5952 16013 5100 11 .308.368.519.888 .212.317 178 .376 146 +3 -0 +1 -5 +2 0.0
202225 AAALas Vegas Aviators 409353 9320310 53703 219 .263.364.422.786 .159.304 1713 .354 129 +13 +1 +12 2.6
202326 MLBOakland Athletics 8673 19500 12251 53 .260.372.329.701 .068.396 2914 .328 109 +1 -0 -3 -5 +2 -0.5
202326 AAALas Vegas Aviators 391341 861459 46843 174 .252.346.402.748 .150.310 2112 .336 116 +7 +2 +11 2.0
202427 AAALouisville Bats 287234 5112112 45632 94 .218.348.432.779 .214.238 2216 .343 121 +7 +0 +8 1.5
202427 INTLAguilas de Mexicali 129106 22430 22270 12 .208.344.302.646 .094.275 2117 .302 89 -2 -1 +4 0.1
202528 AAAGwinnett Stripers 414367 8610310 42832 214 .234.316.360.676 .125.274 2010 .305 92 -4 +3 +12 1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 145125 35513 17351 64 .280.371.408.779 .128.360 2412 .348 124 +4 -0 -2 -10 +4 -0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Conner Capel (OGILVIE) 29 45 45 55 50 .222/.291/.367 .144.278 79 26% 8% 85 +0.3
George Lombard
2005 · MLB
29 48→44 47→50 56→55 45 .236/.294/.373 .137.301 1419 26% 7% 86 +0.8 .228/.299/.388 .160.314 1822 31% 8% 92 +1.2 .220/.294/.374.154.306172732%8%85+0.4
Eli White
2023 · MLB
29 43→50 47→50 53→60 46 .217/.291/.346 .129.296 1522 31% 9% 79 +0.3 .232/.302/.374 .142.316 1728 30% 8% 91 +1.1 .234/.299/.378.144.310183129%7%87+0.4
Scott Heineman
2022 · MLB
29 45→55 49→45 50 43 .227/.290/.378 .151.289 1715 27% 7% 86 +0.8 .206/.266/.329 .123.315 1216 36% 6% 63 -0.8 .143/.203/.226.083.26272345%6%8-0.9
Jeff Salazar
2010 · MLB
29 48→51 45→50 57→55 50 .235/.300/.365 .130.275 1217 19% 8% 87 +0.8 .211/.271/.325 .114.256 1323 22% 7% 64 -0.8 .195/.259/.298.103.237132523%8%50-1.0
BJ Boyd
2022 · AAA
29 49→55 50→45 55→50 42 .248/.295/.399 .151.305 1813 25% 5% 94 +1.3 .262/.319/.406 .144.312 1512 20% 7% 105 +2.1 .296/.360/.441.145.340131016%8%128+1.8
Jeremy Hazelbaker
2017 · MLB
29 47→54 49→55 58→60 42 .233/.287/.393 .160.315 1620 30% 7% 89 +0.9 .217/.280/.374 .157.326 1619 36% 8% 81 +0.4 .191/.257/.337.146.304152140%8%57-0.6
Jason Repko
2010 · MLB
29 45→48 46→50 55 42 .225/.283/.357 .132.284 1422 26% 6% 78 +0.2 .225/.284/.349 .124.285 1419 25% 6% 76 +0.1 .216/.281/.331.115.274131825%7%67-0.2
Reid Gorecki
2009 · AAA
28 46→51 48→50 50→55 45 .231/.291/.367 .136.288 1620 26% 7% 84 +0.6 .237/.290/.358 .121.300 1019 23% 6% 80 +0.4 .230/.284/.349.119.29382023%6%72-0.2
Phillip Ervin
2020 · MLB
28 49→52 48→50 52→55 45 .242/.305/.389 .147.301 1418 24% 7% 95 +1.4 .216/.293/.350 .134.284 1415 27% 9% 81 +0.4 .163/.242/.272.109.220152132%9%36-1.2
Jason Pridie
2013 · MLB
29 47→53 44→50 54→55 44 .233/.282/.349 .117.293 1215 25% 6% 74 -0.1 .234/.281/.368 .134.297 1416 25% 6% 79 +0.3 .238/.286/.378.140.295161925%6%81+0.3
Mitch Longo
2022 · AAA
27 46→45 48→45 58→50 41 .230/.279/.372 .142.295 1520 27% 6% 79 +0.3 .224/.271/.370 .146.295 1715 29% 5% 76 +0.1 .186/.224/.319.133.23618330%4%38-0.6
Matthew den Dekker
2017 · MLB
29 44→54 44→50 52→55 44 .217/.277/.336 .119.282 1117 26% 7% 70 -0.3 .208/.257/.345 .137.283 1416 31% 6% 63 -0.8 .209/.251/.364.155.284151431%5%63-0.4
Clete Thomas
2013 · MLB
29 40→50 47→50 56→55 36 .204/.248/.342 .138.289 1521 35% 5% 59 -1.1 .217/.275/.343 .126.296 1314 29% 7% 71 -0.3 .217/.288/.332.114.292111228%9%70-0.2
Luis González
2023 · MLB
27 48→50 46→45 52→50 49 .236/.310/.364 .128.299 1418 25% 9% 91 +1.1 .235/.308/.352 .117.309 1018 25% 8% 87 +0.8 .219/.300/.302.083.28142822%9%68-0.1
Jimmy Herron
2023 · AAA
27 43→45 48→45 53→55 48 .221/.296/.363 .142.269 1616 24% 8% 85 +0.7 .221/.293/.348 .127.275 1424 24% 8% 80 +0.4 .214/.285/.324.111.265132824%8%68-0.3
Sam Hilliard
2023 · MLB
29 36→46 54→55 54→55 45 .200/.277/.375 .175.266 2314 34% 9% 81 +0.4 .214/.286/.391 .177.301 2117 34% 9% 89 +0.9 .206/.276/.397.191.290212035%9%83+0.4
Michael A. Taylor
2020 · MLB
29 46→51 49→55 55→60 41 .229/.283/.385 .156.320 1626 33% 7% 85 +0.7 .229/.285/.364 .135.306 1516 29% 7% 81 +0.4 .236/.294/.379.143.303191428%7%86+0.6
Roger Bernadina
2014 · MLB
30 47→57 45 55→60 47 .231/.299/.356 .124.286 1223 23% 8% 85 +0.7 .215/.294/.333 .118.303 1118 30% 9% 76 +0.1 .228/.296/.347.119.323122031%8%78+0.1
Brian Bogusevic
2013 · MLB
29 47→55 43→45 56→55 49 .228/.302/.341 .113.293 1022 24% 9% 82 +0.5 .247/.314/.376 .129.312 1319 24% 8% 95 +1.4 .259/.317/.387.128.326131923%7%96+1.1
Steven Duggar
2023 · MLB
29 44→54 45 59→55 42 .211/.281/.341 .129.322 1221 36% 8% 72 -0.2 .202/.282/.328 .126.339 1414 40% 10% 70 -0.3 .169/.265/.281.111.29714944%11%50-0.8