Conner Capel
RF Hartford Yard Goats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 416 | .215/.346/.391 | 12 | 10 | 71 | — | .172/.266/.316 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAAATL | 414 | .234/.316/.360 | 10 | 21 | 49 | — | .198/.251/.286 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA/AACOL | 468 | .251/.320/.436 | 16 | 8 | 64 | — | .209/.261/.350 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 30 | MLBCOL | 3 | .245/.299/.418 | 0 | 0 | 87 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 31 | MLBCOL | 58 | .240/.295/.407 | 2 | 1 | 84 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 153 | 138 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 210 | 273 | 290 | 563 | 80 | 242 | 13 | 7 | 253 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 492 | 439 | 108 | 22 | 7 | 22 | 43 | 108 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 246 | 319 | 478 | 797 | 232 | 275 | 22 | 9 | 345 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 509 | 439 | 113 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 56 | 102 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 257 | 345 | 376 | 721 | 118 | 315 | 20 | 11 | 321 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 31 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 433 | 452 | 800 | 1.252 | 367 | 500 | 19 | 3 | 539 | 183 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 368 | 341 | 79 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 84 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 232 | 284 | 352 | 636 | 120 | 280 | 23 | 6 | 285 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 88 | 79 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 266 | 333 | 418 | 751 | 152 | 316 | 23 | 8 | 333 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 407 | 357 | 93 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 79 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 261 | 345 | 448 | 793 | 188 | 295 | 19 | 11 | 349 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 59 | 52 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 308 | 368 | 519 | 888 | 212 | 317 | 17 | 8 | 376 | 149 | +3 | -0 | +1 | -5 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 409 | 353 | 93 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 53 | 70 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 263 | 364 | 422 | 786 | 159 | 304 | 17 | 13 | 354 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 86 | 73 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 260 | 372 | 329 | 701 | 68 | 396 | 29 | 14 | 328 | 107 | +1 | -0 | -3 | -5 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 391 | 341 | 86 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 84 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 252 | 346 | 402 | 748 | 150 | 310 | 21 | 12 | 336 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 287 | 234 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 63 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 218 | 348 | 432 | 779 | 214 | 238 | 22 | 16 | 343 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 129 | 106 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 208 | 344 | 302 | 646 | 94 | 275 | 21 | 17 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 414 | 367 | 86 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 83 | 2 | 21 | 4 | 234 | 316 | 360 | 676 | 125 | 274 | 20 | 10 | 305 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 214 | 193 | 42 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 218 | 271 | 368 | 639 | 150 | 237 | 14 | 7 | 278 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 254 | 222 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 43 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 279 | 360 | 495 | 855 | 216 | 298 | 17 | 10 | 374 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 145 | 125 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 280 | 371 | 408 | 779 | 128 | 360 | 24 | 12 | 348 | 121 | +4 | -0 | -2 | -10 | +3 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 153 | 142 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 169 | 213 | 225 | 439 | 56 | 199 | 19 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 492 | 450 | 90 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 148 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 200 | 259 | 362 | 621 | 162 | 256 | 30 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 509 | 455 | 103 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 140 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 226 | 293 | 341 | 634 | 114 | 293 | 28 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 31 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 367 | 387 | 700 | 1.087 | 333 | 458 | 26 | 3 | 439 | 183 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 368 | 347 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 104 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 193 | 235 | 277 | 512 | 84 | 251 | 28 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 407 | 371 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 99 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 218 | 280 | 361 | 642 | 143 | 261 | 24 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 59 | 52 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 308 | 368 | 519 | 888 | 212 | 317 | 17 | 8 | 388 | 149 | +3 | -0 | +1 | -5 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 409 | 368 | 83 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 83 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 226 | 303 | 342 | 646 | 117 | 273 | 20 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 86 | 73 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 260 | 372 | 329 | 701 | 68 | 396 | 29 | 14 | 326 | 107 | +1 | -0 | -3 | -5 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 391 | 357 | 78 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 99 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 218 | 285 | 322 | 607 | 104 | 285 | 25 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 287 | 250 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 76 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 172 | 266 | 316 | 582 | 144 | 201 | 26 | 10 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 414 | 384 | 76 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 102 | 2 | 21 | 4 | 198 | 251 | 286 | 537 | 89 | 247 | 25 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 214 | 200 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 185 | 224 | 305 | 529 | 120 | 203 | 17 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 254 | 232 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 228 | 292 | 388 | 680 | 159 | 254 | 21 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 153 | 142 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 169 | 213 | 225 | 439 | 56 | 209 | 19 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians | — | 153 | 138 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 210 | 273 | 290 | 563 | 80 | 242 | 13 | 7 | 253 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 492 | 450 | 90 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 148 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 200 | 259 | 362 | 621 | 162 | 258 | 30 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 492 | 439 | 108 | 22 | 7 | 22 | 43 | 108 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 246 | 319 | 478 | 797 | 232 | 275 | 22 | 9 | 345 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 509 | 455 | 103 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 140 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 226 | 293 | 341 | 634 | 114 | 305 | 28 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 509 | 439 | 113 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 56 | 102 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 257 | 345 | 376 | 721 | 118 | 315 | 20 | 11 | 321 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 487 | 459 | 95 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 137 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 207 | 248 | 312 | 559 | 105 | 270 | 28 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 487 | 450 | 113 | 20 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 110 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 251 | 304 | 393 | 697 | 142 | 301 | 23 | 6 | 310 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 407 | 371 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 99 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 218 | 280 | 361 | 642 | 143 | 264 | 24 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 407 | 357 | 93 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 79 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 261 | 345 | 448 | 793 | 188 | 295 | 19 | 11 | 349 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 420 | 99 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 93 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 236 | 311 | 364 | 675 | 129 | 279 | 20 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 468 | 405 | 109 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 58 | 80 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 269 | 365 | 435 | 799 | 165 | 306 | 17 | 12 | 357 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 477 | 430 | 97 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 124 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 226 | 300 | 323 | 624 | 98 | 303 | 26 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 477 | 414 | 105 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 58 | 109 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 254 | 351 | 389 | 740 | 135 | 324 | 23 | 12 | 335 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 364 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 44 | 110 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 173 | 266 | 319 | 585 | 146 | 206 | 26 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 416 | 340 | 73 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 67 | 90 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 215 | 346 | 391 | 738 | 176 | 250 | 22 | 16 | 330 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 414 | 384 | 76 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 102 | 2 | 21 | 4 | 198 | 251 | 286 | 537 | 89 | 248 | 25 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 414 | 367 | 86 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 83 | 2 | 21 | 4 | 234 | 316 | 360 | 676 | 125 | 274 | 20 | 10 | 305 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 432 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 90 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 208 | 261 | 350 | 611 | 141 | 234 | 19 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 468 | 415 | 104 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 74 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 251 | 320 | 436 | 756 | 186 | 268 | 16 | 9 | 330 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 153 | 144 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 167 | 213 | 222 | 436 | 56 | 199 | 19 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 492 | 453 | 90 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 148 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 199 | 259 | 360 | 619 | 161 | 256 | 30 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 509 | 461 | 103 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 140 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 223 | 293 | 336 | 629 | 113 | 293 | 28 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 487 | 459 | 95 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 137 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 207 | 248 | 312 | 559 | 105 | 267 | 28 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 407 | 372 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 99 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 218 | 280 | 360 | 641 | 142 | 261 | 24 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 419 | 99 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 93 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 236 | 311 | 365 | 676 | 129 | 279 | 20 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 477 | 428 | 97 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 124 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 227 | 300 | 325 | 625 | 98 | 305 | 26 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 367 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 44 | 110 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 172 | 266 | 316 | 582 | 144 | 201 | 26 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 414 | 384 | 76 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 102 | 2 | 21 | 4 | 198 | 251 | 286 | 537 | 89 | 247 | 25 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 434 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 90 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 207 | 261 | 348 | 609 | 141 | 231 | 19 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 367 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 44 | 110 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 172 | 266 | 316 | 582 | 144 | 201 | 26 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 414 | 384 | 76 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 102 | 2 | 21 | 4 | 198 | 251 | 286 | 537 | 89 | 247 | 25 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 434 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 90 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 207 | 261 | 348 | 609 | 141 | 231 | 19 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 2% | 380 | 350 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 83 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 231 | 287 | 384 | 671 | 153 | 269 | 22 | 7 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +8 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 299 | 418 | 717 | 173 | 283 | 33 | 0 | 315 | 87 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | COL | 23% | 254 | 234 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 57 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 283 | 375 | 658 | 148 | 267 | 22 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -5 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | COL | 23% | 58 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 295 | 407 | 702 | 167 | 280 | 22 | 7 | 309 | 84 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 203 | 179 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 48 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 263 | 343 | 397 | 740 | 134 | 328 | 24 | 10 | 337 | 68 | +3 | -0 | -3 | -11 | +4 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 573 | 150 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 67 | 154 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 262 | 342 | 394 | 736 | 133 | 328 | 24 | 10 | 337 | 68 | +8 | -1 | -9 | -34 | +14 | -2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4700 | 4284 | 905 | 161 | 34 | 102 | 339 | 1163 | 30 | 148 | 68 | 211 | 274 | 336 | 610 | 125 | 263 | 25 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -4 | +0 | -6 | -15 | +12 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 125 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 161 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 211 | 274 | 336 | 610 | 125 | 263 | 25 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -4 | +0 | -7 | -17 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAHartford Yard Goats · 254 PAwOBA .366 → .294 (−72)K% 16.9% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 6.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.957 | ×0.958 | 19.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.957 | ×0.958 | 4.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.957 | ×0.958 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 5.01% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .366 → .294; ISO .216 → .167; BABIP .298 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 214 PAwOBA .273 → .224 (−49)K% 14.5% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×0.982 | 12.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.982 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×0.982 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.70% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .273 → .224; ISO .150 → .119; BABIP .237 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 414 PAwOBA .299 → .241 (−59)K% 20.0% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.05% | ÷0.976 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.140 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.18% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×0.992 | 20.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.52% | ÷1.162 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×0.992 | 2.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.992 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.52% | ÷0.961 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.54% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 94, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 95, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .299 → .241; ISO .125 → .095; BABIP .274 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALouisville Bats · 287 PAwOBA .340 → .261 (−79)K% 22.0% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.95% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.68% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.20% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 13.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 5.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.44% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .340 → .261; ISO .214 → .153; BABIP .238 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 391 PAwOBA .328 → .272 (−56)K% 21.5% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.48% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.57% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 21.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 4.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.95% | ÷1.133 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.50% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.51% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .328 → .272; ISO .150 → .115; BABIP .310 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 409 PAwOBA .345 → .285 (−60)K% 17.1% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.11% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.96% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.20% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×0.981 | ×1.033 | 20.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×1.033 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×1.033 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .345 → .285; ISO .159 → .120; BABIP .304 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 407 PAwOBA .342 → .280 (−62)K% 19.4% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.41% | ÷0.955 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.32% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.86% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.965 | ×1.048 | 19.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×0.965 | ×1.048 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×1.048 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.04% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.89% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .342 → .280; ISO .188 → .147; BABIP .295 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AASpringfield Cardinals · 368 PAwOBA .279 → .227 (−51)K% 22.8% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.83% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.18% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 20.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.67% | ÷1.070 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 3.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷1.108 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.50% | ÷1.108 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.63% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 122, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .279 → .227; ISO .120 → .087; BABIP .280 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .