Conner Capel — OGILVIE

Conner CapelRF Hartford Yard Goats

Age 29 L/L 6'0" / 185 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION453 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP268

ISO143

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT45

Whiff%

5110.9%

xAVG

360.240

POWER45

Barrel%

102.6

Avg EV

1082.3

Bat Spd

2568.6

EYE50

Chase%

6828.1%

SPEED55

Sprint

4027.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	19	ROK	AZL Indians	—	153	138	29	5	3	0	11	20	1	10	3	210	273	290	563	80	242	13	7	253	57	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2017	20	A	Lake County Captains	—	492	439	108	22	7	22	43	108	4	15	10	246	319	478	797	232	275	22	9	345	120	+12	-1	—	—	+11	2.2
2018	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	509	439	113	23	4	7	56	102	3	15	11	257	345	376	721	118	315	20	11	321	103	+2	-1	—	—	+11	1.2
2019	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	31	30	13	5	0	2	1	6	0	1	0	433	452	800	1.252	367	500	19	3	539	251	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2019	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	368	341	79	12	1	9	23	84	2	9	4	232	284	352	636	120	280	23	6	285	79	-9	+0	—	—	+8	-0.1
2019	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	88	79	21	3	0	3	7	20	1	1	3	266	333	418	751	152	316	23	8	333	111	+1	-1	—	—	+2	0.2
2021	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	407	357	93	17	4	14	43	79	3	6	4	261	345	448	793	188	295	19	11	349	122	+11	-0	—	—	+9	2.0
2022	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	59	52	16	0	1	3	5	10	0	1	1	308	368	519	888	212	317	17	8	376	141	+3	-0	+1	-5	+1	-0.0
2022	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	409	353	93	20	3	10	53	70	3	21	9	263	364	422	786	159	304	17	13	354	126	+13	+1	—	—	+9	2.2
2023	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	86	73	19	5	0	0	12	25	1	5	3	260	372	329	701	68	396	29	14	328	108	+1	-0	-3	-5	+2	-0.5
2023	26	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	391	341	86	14	5	9	46	84	3	17	4	252	346	402	748	150	310	21	12	336	114	+6	+2	—	—	+8	1.7
2024	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	287	234	51	12	1	12	45	63	2	9	4	218	348	432	779	214	238	22	16	343	118	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2024	27	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	129	106	22	4	3	0	22	27	0	1	2	208	344	302	646	94	275	21	17	302	90	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	28	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	414	367	86	10	3	10	42	83	2	21	4	234	316	360	676	125	274	20	10	305	93	-4	+3	—	—	+9	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	145	125	35	5	1	3	17	35	1	6	4	280	371	408	779	128	360	24	12	348	121	+4	-0	-2	-10	+3	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	19	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	—	153	142	24	4	2	0	7	29	1	10	3	169	213	225	439	56	198	19	5	190	15	-16	+1	—	—	+3	-1.2
2017	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	492	451	89	16	6	15	31	148	4	15	10	197	255	359	614	162	248	30	6	263	64	-21	-1	—	—	+11	-1.2
2018	21	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	509	456	100	22	3	7	39	140	3	15	11	219	285	327	612	107	285	28	8	271	70	-18	-1	—	—	+11	-0.9
2019	22	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	31	30	10	4	0	1	1	8	0	1	0	333	355	567	922	233	435	26	3	419	170	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2019	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	368	347	66	9	1	6	17	104	2	9	4	190	232	274	506	84	247	28	5	221	36	-28	+0	—	—	+8	-2.0
2021	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	407	373	77	13	3	10	27	99	3	6	4	206	266	338	603	131	249	24	7	269	68	-15	-0	—	—	+9	-0.7
2022	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	59	52	16	0	1	3	5	10	0	1	1	308	368	519	888	212	317	17	8	383	146	+3	-0	+1	-5	+1	-0.0
2022	25	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	409	368	76	14	3	7	38	90	3	21	9	207	286	318	604	111	255	22	9	271	70	-15	+1	—	—	+9	-0.5
2023	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	86	73	19	5	0	0	12	25	1	5	3	260	372	329	701	68	396	29	14	326	107	+1	-0	-3	-5	+2	-0.6
2023	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	391	356	73	10	4	7	31	106	3	17	4	205	274	315	589	110	269	27	8	259	61	-18	+2	—	—	+8	-0.8
2024	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	287	250	43	10	1	8	30	76	2	9	4	172	266	316	582	144	200	26	10	260	62	-13	+0	—	—	+6	-0.7
2025	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	414	384	77	7	3	7	25	102	2	21	4	201	253	289	542	89	248	25	6	242	50	-25	+3	—	—	+9	-1.3
2016	19	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	—	153	142	24	4	2	0	7	29	1	10	3	169	213	225	439	56	209	19	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	AZL Indians	—	153	138	29	5	3	0	11	20	1	10	3	210	273	290	563	80	242	13	7	253	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	492	451	89	16	6	15	31	148	4	15	10	197	255	359	614	162	253	30	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A RAW	Lake County Captains	—	492	439	108	22	7	22	43	108	4	15	10	246	319	478	797	232	275	22	9	345	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	509	456	100	22	3	7	39	140	3	15	11	219	285	327	612	107	294	28	8	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	509	439	113	23	4	7	56	102	3	15	11	257	345	376	721	118	315	20	11	321	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	487	460	93	16	1	9	21	137	3	11	7	202	242	300	542	98	265	28	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	487	450	113	20	1	14	31	110	3	11	7	251	304	393	697	142	301	23	6	310	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	407	373	77	13	3	10	27	99	3	6	4	206	266	338	603	131	250	24	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	407	357	93	17	4	14	43	79	3	6	4	261	345	448	793	188	295	19	11	349	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	468	420	92	14	4	10	43	100	3	22	10	219	296	343	639	124	263	21	9	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	468	405	109	20	4	13	58	80	3	22	10	269	365	435	799	165	306	17	12	357	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	477	429	92	15	4	7	43	131	4	22	7	214	292	317	609	103	292	27	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	477	414	105	19	5	9	58	109	4	22	7	254	351	389	740	135	324	23	12	335	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	416	364	62	15	1	11	44	110	2	10	6	170	263	308	571	137	205	26	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	416	340	73	16	4	12	67	90	2	10	6	215	346	391	738	176	250	22	16	330	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	414	384	77	7	3	7	25	102	2	21	4	201	253	289	542	89	252	25	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	—	414	367	86	10	3	10	42	83	2	21	4	234	316	360	676	125	274	20	10	305	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	—	153	144	24	4	2	0	7	29	1	10	3	167	213	222	436	56	198	19	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	492	454	89	16	6	15	31	148	4	15	10	196	255	357	612	161	248	30	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	509	462	100	22	3	7	39	140	3	15	11	216	285	323	608	106	285	28	8	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	487	460	93	16	1	9	21	137	3	11	7	202	242	300	542	98	262	28	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	407	374	77	13	3	10	27	99	3	6	4	206	266	337	602	131	249	24	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	468	419	92	14	4	10	43	100	3	22	10	220	296	344	640	124	263	21	9	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	477	427	92	15	4	7	43	131	4	22	7	215	292	319	611	103	292	27	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	416	367	62	15	1	11	44	110	2	10	6	169	263	305	569	136	200	26	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	414	384	77	7	3	7	25	102	2	21	4	201	253	289	542	89	248	25	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	477	427	92	15	4	7	43	131	4	22	7	215	292	319	611	103	292	27	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	416	367	62	15	1	11	44	110	2	10	6	169	263	305	569	136	200	26	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	414	384	77	7	3	7	25	102	2	21	4	201	253	289	542	89	248	25	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	AA MLE	COL	—	453	416	89	18	2	13	29	90	3	7	4	214	270	361	631	147	241	20	6	272	70	-16	-0	+0	-5	+10	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AA RAW	COL	—	254	222	62	10	1	12	26	43	3	5	4	279	360	495	855	216	298	17	10	374	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	AAA RAW	COL	—	199	178	41	12	2	4	15	29	0	2	0	230	287	388	675	157	252	15	8	293	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	29	AA MLE	COL	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		254	20	10	285	79	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	29	AA MLE	COL	—	463	425	90	18	2	13	30	92	3	7	4	212	269	355	624	144	238	20	6	272	70	-16	-0	-0	-5	+10	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	COL	23%	380	348	77	14	2	11	27	85	2	7	3	221	281	368	649	147	255	22	7	285	79	-9	+0	-3	-4	+8	-0.9
2027	30	MLB CTX	COL	23%	86	79	19	3	1	3	6	19	1	2	1	241	302	418	720	177	270	22	7	298	79	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	231	204	54	8	2	6	23	54	2	8	5	265	345	412	757	147	329	23	10	329	63	+2	-0	-3	-11	+5	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	153	23	6	17	65	152	6	23	14	267	348	416	764	150	331	23	10	329	63	+4	-1	-8	-31	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4213	3836	784	136	29	87	308	1083	27	139	65	204	268	323	591	119	258	26	7	262	63	-6	-0	-5	-14	+12	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	120	21	4	13	48	167	4	21	10	203	267	318	585	115	257	26	7	262	63	-7	-0	-7	-17	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tommy La Stellalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,933 PA	2.9	1,933	40	5	267	337	399	+7	-9	7.2	7.2
/162	664	14	2	+2.4	-2.9	2.5	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Ramón Vázquezlast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,190 PA	3.3	2,190	22	20	255	330	352	+10	-15	4.1	4.6
/162	664	7	6	+3.0	-4.6	1.3	pk7: 5
#4Nolan Reimoldlast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,556 PA	2.3	1,556	56	18	246	323	422	-17	-27	1.6	1.9
/162	664	24	8	-7.1	-11.6	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Ben Franciscolast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,771 PA	2.7	1,771	50	30	253	323	418	-19	-29	1.7	1.7
/162	664	19	11	-7.1	-10.9	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	236	6	8	256	332	389	-3	-2	0.5	0.5
/162	664	16	22	-7.1	-4.5	1.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Conner Capel (OGILVIE)	29	45	45	55	50	217/276/360	143	254	7	6	22%	7%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕George Lombard 2005 · MLB	29	47→44	47→50	55	45	237/295/377	140	297	15	17	25%	7%	89	+0.5	224/296/372	148	312	16	23	31%	8%	88	+0.5	216/290/358	142	303	15	27	32%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Scott Heineman 2022 · MLB	29	44→54	48→45	51→50	43	222/287/367	145	284	16	16	27%	7%	84	+0.2	209/272/333	124	321	12	16	36%	7%	71	-0.8	146/205/231	85	266	7	23	45%	6%	20	-0.8
✕Jason Repko 2010 · MLB	29	45→48	46→50	55	42	225/282/358	133	283	14	22	25%	6%	80	-0.1	223/283/339	116	285	12	19	25%	7%	76	-0.4	213/279/318	104	275	11	18	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Jeff Salazar 2010 · MLB	29	47→51	44→50	57→55	50	231/296/352	122	273	11	17	20%	8%	84	+0.1	206/268/309	103	253	12	23	23%	8%	63	-1.3	191/255/282	91	235	11	25	23%	8%	51	-1.3
✕Matthew den Dekker 2017 · MLB	29	42→52	43→50	52→55	43	208/269/319	111	273	10	17	27%	7%	66	-1.1	209/257/344	135	288	13	15	31%	6%	68	-1.0	208/250/359	151	285	14	14	31%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	43→53	47→50	55→60	46	217/292/345	128	296	15	24	31%	9%	81	-0.1	231/301/365	134	317	16	28	30%	8%	89	+0.5	242/297/385	142	309	16	27	26%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Blake Gailen 2014 · AAA	29	45	46→55	53→50	46	227/277/360	133	263	13	15	20%	6%	78	-0.3	223/300/374	151	241	16	10	15%	10%	91	+0.7	215/293/360	145	233	16	9	16%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Óscar Mercado 2023 · MLB	28	44→52	47→50	53→60	48	220/285/359	139	254	14	18	20%	7%	82	-0.0	219/284/361	142	258	15	28	21%	7%	82	-0.0	208/280/338	130	242	15	36	21%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	47→45	53→55	49	218/294/356	138	264	15	16	23%	8%	84	+0.2	221/293/346	125	274	14	24	24%	8%	82	-0.0	215/286/326	111	267	12	28	23%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	37→47	53→55	54→55	46	202/280/375	174	267	22	14	33%	9%	84	+0.2	216/288/391	175	306	21	17	34%	9%	91	+0.6	206/276/393	187	291	21	20	35%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Adam Shabala 2006 · MLB	28	45→44	47→45	50	44	226/279/360	134	272	15	12	23%	6%	80	-0.2	218/288/319	101	290	9	12	26%	9%	73	-0.6	208/286/288	80	284	6	12	27%	10%	63	-0.8
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	42→38	54→55	52→50	40	221/278/398	178	293	22	16	32%	6%	88	+0.5	215/282/373	158	296	17	14	31%	8%	84	+0.1	194/268/357	163	263	17	13	32%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Anthony Seratelli 2013 · AAA	30	48	44→45	55	47	235/299/351	116	297	12	21	25%	8%	84	+0.2	230/303/345	115	300	11	19	25%	9%	84	+0.2	223/304/326	104	292	10	21	25%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Roger Bernadina 2014 · MLB	30	46→56	44→45	55→60	48	228/297/349	121	284	12	21	23%	8%	84	+0.1	215/294/334	119	305	11	18	31%	9%	80	-0.2	229/297/347	119	324	11	20	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Eric Patterson 2012 · MLB	29	44→54	45→50	61→60	46	218/272/355	137	267	11	27	23%	7%	75	-0.5	208/278/298	90	275	7	18	25%	8%	65	-1.2	193/276/241	48	267	2	20	26%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Mitch Longo 2022 · AAA	27	46→44	47→45	59→50	41	232/281/370	138	296	14	22	26%	6%	82	+0.0	223/270/359	136	292	15	14	28%	5%	76	-0.4	182/220/306	123	230	16	3	29%	4%	41	-0.7
✕Clete Thomas 2014 · MLB	30	42→52	46→45	48→55	42	211/266/339	128	287	13	13	31%	7%	70	-0.9	221/286/333	112	298	10	14	27%	8%	76	-0.4	213/279/283	70	293	2	21	26%	8%	59	-0.6
✕Sócrates Brito 2021 · MLB	28	44→54	48→50	50→55	41	223/268/371	148	291	14	13	28%	6%	78	-0.3	220/273/328	108	295	10	21	28%	6%	70	-0.9	212/265/298	85	287	8	28	27%	5%	58	-1.2
✕BJ Boyd 2022 · AAA	29	50→58	48→45	55→50	42	250/297/392	142	307	17	13	24%	5%	93	+0.8	262/320/402	140	312	14	12	20%	7%	104	+1.6	297/361/441	145	342	13	10	16%	8%	125	+1.5
✕Corey Brown 2015 · MLB	29	39→48	50→55	50	37	204/254/355	151	288	18	13	35%	6%	70	-0.9	202/253/358	156	294	19	15	36%	6%	70	-0.9	201/259/370	168	288	21	17	37%	7%	73	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps