Blake Tekotte
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 26 | AAACWS | 338 | .236/.321/.389 | 4 | 12 | 62 | — | .203/.270/.334 | |
| 2013 | 26 | MLBCWS | 36 | .226/.314/.355 | 1 | 1 | 87 | 0.3 | ||
| 2014 | 27 | AAAARI | 340 | .249/.323/.439 | 11 | 1 | 43 | — | .174/.234/.294 | |
| 2015 | 28 | AABOS | 185 | .275/.366/.425 | 3 | 4 | 77 | — | .228/.295/.329 | |
| 2016 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 610 | 530 | 137 | 24 | 5 | 13 | 68 | 97 | 4 | 30 | 12 | 258 | 347 | 396 | 743 | 138 | 292 | 16 | 11 | 332 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 301 | 268 | 67 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 63 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 250 | 326 | 444 | 770 | 194 | 291 | 21 | 9 | 337 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 241 | 203 | 63 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 46 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 310 | 419 | 522 | 941 | 212 | 369 | 19 | 15 | 416 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 40 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 263 | 265 | 528 | 88 | 462 | 52 | 10 | 233 | 46 | -3 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 498 | 414 | 118 | 27 | 2 | 19 | 67 | 108 | 8 | 36 | 12 | 285 | 395 | 498 | 892 | 213 | 343 | 22 | 13 | 388 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 15 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 133 | 133 | 267 | 182 | 27 | 0 | 121 | -32 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +0 | -0.6 | |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 347 | 321 | 78 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 92 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 243 | 285 | 402 | 687 | 159 | 312 | 27 | 5 | 298 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 36 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 226 | 314 | 355 | 669 | 129 | 273 | 25 | 8 | 298 | 87 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 338 | 296 | 70 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 74 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 236 | 321 | 389 | 710 | 152 | 300 | 22 | 9 | 315 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 340 | 301 | 75 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 89 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 249 | 323 | 439 | 762 | 189 | 314 | 26 | 9 | 332 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 185 | 160 | 44 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 275 | 366 | 425 | 791 | 150 | 318 | 16 | 10 | 352 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 91 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 188 | 261 | 275 | 536 | 88 | 304 | 37 | 8 | 240 | 49 | -6 | -1 | -1 | -1 | +2 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 610 | 553 | 116 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 132 | 4 | 30 | 12 | 210 | 274 | 313 | 587 | 103 | 249 | 22 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 301 | 277 | 63 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 77 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 227 | 282 | 394 | 675 | 166 | 280 | 26 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 241 | 214 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 62 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 252 | 336 | 439 | 775 | 187 | 318 | 26 | 10 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 40 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 263 | 265 | 528 | 88 | 462 | 52 | 10 | 237 | 46 | -3 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 498 | 439 | 100 | 21 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 139 | 8 | 36 | 12 | 228 | 307 | 408 | 714 | 180 | 280 | 28 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 15 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 133 | 133 | 267 | 182 | 27 | 0 | 122 | -32 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +0 | -0.6 | |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 347 | 327 | 60 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 121 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 183 | 215 | 291 | 505 | 107 | 261 | 35 | 3 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 36 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 226 | 314 | 355 | 669 | 129 | 273 | 25 | 8 | 296 | 87 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 338 | 305 | 62 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 87 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 203 | 270 | 334 | 605 | 131 | 258 | 26 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 340 | 310 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 119 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 174 | 234 | 294 | 527 | 119 | 243 | 35 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 185 | 167 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 228 | 295 | 329 | 624 | 102 | 277 | 19 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 610 | 553 | 116 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 132 | 4 | 30 | 12 | 210 | 274 | 313 | 587 | 103 | 255 | 22 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 610 | 530 | 137 | 24 | 5 | 13 | 68 | 97 | 4 | 30 | 12 | 258 | 347 | 396 | 743 | 138 | 292 | 16 | 11 | 332 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 490 | 118 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 43 | 139 | 6 | 28 | 17 | 241 | 310 | 422 | 732 | 182 | 299 | 26 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 542 | 471 | 130 | 25 | 8 | 18 | 62 | 109 | 6 | 28 | 17 | 276 | 367 | 478 | 845 | 202 | 325 | 20 | 11 | 372 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 538 | 473 | 106 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 46 | 160 | 8 | 38 | 13 | 224 | 304 | 397 | 701 | 173 | 296 | 30 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 538 | 448 | 124 | 28 | 3 | 19 | 71 | 129 | 8 | 38 | 13 | 277 | 385 | 480 | 865 | 203 | 348 | 24 | 13 | 377 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 342 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 125 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 181 | 211 | 284 | 495 | 102 | 264 | 35 | 3 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 362 | 336 | 80 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 96 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 238 | 279 | 390 | 669 | 152 | 306 | 27 | 5 | 291 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 374 | 336 | 69 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 96 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 205 | 274 | 336 | 611 | 131 | 269 | 26 | 7 | 264 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 374 | 327 | 77 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 83 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 235 | 321 | 385 | 706 | 150 | 298 | 22 | 9 | 313 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 340 | 310 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 119 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 174 | 234 | 294 | 527 | 119 | 251 | 35 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | Reno Aces | — | 340 | 301 | 75 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 89 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 249 | 323 | 439 | 762 | 189 | 314 | 26 | 9 | 332 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 185 | 167 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 228 | 295 | 329 | 624 | 102 | 277 | 19 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 185 | 160 | 44 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 275 | 366 | 425 | 791 | 150 | 318 | 16 | 10 | 352 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 610 | 556 | 116 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 132 | 4 | 30 | 12 | 209 | 274 | 311 | 585 | 103 | 249 | 22 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 488 | 118 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 43 | 139 | 6 | 28 | 17 | 242 | 310 | 424 | 734 | 182 | 297 | 26 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 538 | 479 | 106 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 46 | 160 | 8 | 38 | 13 | 221 | 304 | 392 | 696 | 171 | 293 | 30 | 9 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 346 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 125 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 179 | 211 | 280 | 492 | 101 | 258 | 35 | 3 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 374 | 339 | 69 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 96 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 204 | 274 | 333 | 608 | 130 | 259 | 26 | 7 | 264 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 340 | 313 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 119 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 173 | 234 | 291 | 524 | 118 | 243 | 35 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 185 | 167 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 228 | 295 | 329 | 624 | 102 | 277 | 19 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 91 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 188 | 261 | 275 | 536 | 88 | 304 | 37 | 8 | 240 | 69 | -6 | -1 | -1 | -1 | +2 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 571 | 107 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 243 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 187 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 86 | 305 | 37 | 8 | 240 | 69 | -40 | -6 | -7 | -4 | +14 | -4.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2951 | 2671 | 563 | 121 | 21 | 66 | 202 | 807 | 35 | 124 | 65 | 211 | 275 | 346 | 621 | 135 | 274 | 27 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -6 | -1 | -1 | -1 | +2 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 125 | 27 | 5 | 15 | 44 | 178 | 8 | 27 | 14 | 213 | 276 | 352 | 628 | 139 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -40 | -6 | -7 | -4 | +14 | -4.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 185 PAwOBA .345 → .282 (−63)K% 15.7% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.68% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.73% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 6.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.14% | ÷0.970 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 20.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.87% | ÷1.026 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 5.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 1.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.29% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 1.74% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .345 → .282; ISO .150 → .117; BABIP .318 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAReno Aces · 340 PAwOBA .326 → .232 (−95)K% 26.2% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.18% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 35.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.53% | ÷1.049 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.81% | ÷1.047 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 16.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.43% | ÷1.047 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.116 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 3.64% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 109, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .326 → .232; ISO .189 → .125; BABIP .314 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAACharlotte Knights · 338 PAwOBA .306 → .260 (−47)K% 21.9% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.89% | ÷1.023 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.58% | ÷0.939 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.22% | ÷1.004 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 14.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.16% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 9.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷0.972 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.59% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .306 → .260; ISO .152 → .131; BABIP .300 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAATucson Padres · 347 PAwOBA .291 → .219 (−71)K% 26.5% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.51% | ÷0.979 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.19% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 3.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.52% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 17.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.73% | ÷1.013 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 6.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.93% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 3.01% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .291 → .219; ISO .159 → .113; BABIP .312 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AASan Antonio Missions · 498 PAwOBA .380 → .304 (−75)K% 21.7% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.69% | ÷0.950 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.45% | ÷1.128 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.88% | ÷1.069 | ×0.920 | ×0.954 | ×1.012 | 19.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.037 | ×0.840 | ×0.954 | ×1.012 | 6.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.954 | ×1.012 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.21% | ÷0.889 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.66% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 114, 2B 107, 3B 80, K 90, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .380 → .304; ISO .213 → .189; BABIP .343 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AASan Antonio Missions · 301 PAwOBA .327 → .296 (−31)K% 20.9% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.93% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.97% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.49% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 20.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.90% | ÷0.927 | ×0.840 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 3.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.41% | ÷1.129 | ×0.940 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 2.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.869 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 4.61% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 91, 2B 85, 3B 126, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .327 → .296; ISO .194 → .176; BABIP .291 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 241 PAwOBA .405 → .336 (−69)K% 19.1% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.09% | ÷0.986 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.94% | ÷1.017 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 10.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.57% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 20.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.83% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 8.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.10% | ÷0.845 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 5.54% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 102, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .405 → .336; ISO .212 → .199; BABIP .369 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 610 PAwOBA .324 → .260 (−64)K% 15.9% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.66% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | — | 19.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | — | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | — | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.40% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .324 → .260; ISO .138 → .110; BABIP .292 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).