César Salazar — OGILVIE

César SalazarC Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 30 L/R 5'8" / 198 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION154 act + 102 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .315 / .308

PA102

HR2

K%20

BB%10

BABIP244

ISO103

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

817.7%

xwOBA

660.327

POWER45

Avg EV

1085.7

Bat Spd

1367.3

EYE60

Chase%

9023.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

1022.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.5M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$1M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.3M
2028	Arb-3	$1M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$1M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	INTL	2 teams	—	102	90	13	0	0	4	6	38	2	0	0	144	214	278	492	133	184	37	6	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL	2 teams	—	102	91	20	4	0	4	5	24	2	0	0	220	276	396	671	176	250	24	5	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	2 teams	—	308	280	60	11	1	3	13	61	9	5	3	214	272	293	564	79	257	20	4	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	2 teams	—	308	275	71	20	1	3	18	49	9	5	3	258	325	371	695	113	297	16	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	97	83	23	5	1	1	10	23	3	2	1	277	375	398	773	120	367	24	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	97	83	23	5	1	1	10	23	3	2	1	277	375	398	773	120	367	24	10	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	INTL	3 teams	—	421	372	69	13	1	15	22	126	18	6	1	185	265	347	611	161	228	30	5	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	INTL	3 teams	—	421	366	87	23	2	12	28	98	18	6	1	238	323	410	733	172	286	23	7	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	3 teams	—	581	526	112	21	0	18	25	140	18	8	3	213	272	356	628	143	249	24	4	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	3 teams	—	581	508	130	22	0	17	43	96	18	8	3	256	336	400	735	144	279	17	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	3 teams	—	337	276	49	12	0	3	31	68	19	3	0	178	304	254	557	76	223	20	9	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	3 teams	—	337	265	54	10	0	2	42	54	19	3	0	204	353	264	617	60	248	16	12	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	3 teams	—	450	383	84	17	3	10	41	81	16	2	2	219	320	358	678	138	247	18	9	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	3 teams	—	450	369	94	19	2	8	55	69	16	2	2	255	375	382	757	127	287	15	12	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	3 teams	—	314	264	51	10	0	7	27	68	14	3	1	193	302	311	612	117	230	22	9	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	3 teams	—	314	249	57	9	0	7	42	51	14	3	1	229	370	349	720	120	259	16	13	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	HOU	—	154	129	26	3	1	1	17	33	6	6	1	202	322	264	586	62	260	21	11	271	65	-6	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.2
YTD	30	AAA	HOU	—	154	123	28	4	1	1	23	26	6	6	1	228	375	301	676	73	278	17	15	319	103	+0	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.9
ROS	30	AAA	HOU	10%	102	87	18	3	0	2	10	21	4	2	0	205	315	308	623	103	252	20	10	291	81	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
ROS	30	MLB	HOU	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		254	20	10	264	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	AAA	HOU	—	164	138	27	3	1	1	18	35	6	6	1	196	315	254	568	58	252	21	11	270	65	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
TOT	30	AAA	HOU	—	256	216	44	6	1	3	27	54	10	8	1	203	319	282	601	78	254	21	11	279	72	-8	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	HOU	33%	230	198	42	8	1	4	22	48	8	3	1	212	316	323	639	111	254	21	10	290	80	-5	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.4
2028	32	MLB	HOU	46%	205	177	37	7	1	3	19	44	7	2	1	209	310	311	621	102	253	21	9	287	78	-5	+0	-3	+4	+6	0.2
2029	33	MLB	HOU	54%	171	147	30	5	1	3	16	38	6	2	0	204	308	313	621	109	251	22	9	282	74	-5	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.0
2027	31	MLB	HOU	33%	75	65	13	3	0	1	7	16	3	1	0	200	307	292	599	92	256	21	9	266	62	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	32	MLB	HOU	46%	94	82	17	3	0	2	9	20	3	1	0	207	309	317	626	110	256	21	10	264	60	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	33	MLB	HOU	54%	92	80	17	3	0	2	9	20	3	1	0	212	315	325	640	113	253	22	10	260	57	-4	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	338	292	61	11	0	5	31	72	12	3	0	209	310	298	608	89	258	21	9	265	61	-15	+1	-1	+24	+10	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	118	21	0	10	60	138	23	6	0	210	312	301	613	91	258	21	9	265	61	-29	+1	-2	+47	+18	3.7
Career	—			—	3318	2883	588	112	9	73	242	756	124	38	13	204	294	325	619	121	246	23	7	266	62	-142	+2	-5	+59	+94	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	115	22	2	14	47	148	24	7	3	204	292	324	616	120	246	23	7	266	62	-28	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	50	44	8	0	0	3	4	13	2	0	0	182	280	386	666	205	179	26	8	301	88	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2018	22	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	52	47	12	4	0	1	1	11	0	0	0	255	271	404	675	149	306	21	2	274	68	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2019	23	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	279	248	65	16	1	3	17	41	8	5	3	262	330	371	701	109	295	15	6	311	96	-1	-0	—	—	+8	0.7
2019	23	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	29	27	6	4	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	222	276	370	646	148	316	28	3	289	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2020	24	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	97	83	23	5	1	1	10	23	3	2	1	277	375	398	773	120	367	24	10	348	125	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2021	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	122	107	26	5	1	8	9	24	4	2	1	243	325	533	858	290	234	20	7	367	139	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	25	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	96	80	19	4	0	3	9	23	5	2	0	237	351	400	751	163	286	24	9	335	115	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2021	25	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	203	179	42	14	1	1	10	51	9	2	0	235	308	341	649	106	318	25	5	290	80	-5	+0	—	—	+6	0.2
2022	26	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	66	59	12	1	0	0	5	13	1	0	0	203	277	220	497	17	255	20	8	234	37	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2022	26	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	351	307	85	17	0	16	24	58	14	8	3	277	357	489	845	212	289	17	7	368	140	+16	+0	—	—	+10	2.7
2022	26	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	164	142	33	4	0	1	14	25	3	0	0	232	314	282	596	49	269	15	9	272	66	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2023	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	19	18	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	111	158	111	269		167	32	5	132	-41	-3	+0	+1	+6	+1	0.4
2023	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	222	173	33	8	0	2	31	33	16	3	0	191	364	272	635	81	223	15	14	309	95	-1	+1	—	—	+6	0.6
2023	27	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	96	74	19	2	0	0	10	15	3	0	0	257	368	284	652	27	322	16	10	283	74	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2024	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	32	25	8	2	0	0	2	6	2	0	0	320	414	400	814	80	381	19	6	339	118	+1	+0	+2	+8	+1	1.2
2024	28	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	321	261	66	13	2	8	45	45	10	1	2	253	383	410	793	157	274	14	14	356	130	+11	-1	—	—	+9	2.0
2024	28	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	97	83	20	4	0	0	8	18	4	1	0	241	337	289	626	48	299	19	8	290	80	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	29	MLB	Houston Astros	—	16	13	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	231	375	231	606		273	12	12	303	90	-0	+0	+0	+6	+0	0.6
2025	29	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	186	150	32	6	0	5	24	32	9	2	0	213	355	353	709	140	237	17	13	325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2025	29	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	112	86	22	3	0	2	16	17	4	1	1	256	396	360	757	105	294	15	14	335	114	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	67	56	13	2	0	0	5	14	3	0	0	232	328	268	596	36	295	21	7	272	66	-3	+0	+3	+20	+2	2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	286	5	3	207	307	312	+5	+1	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	11	8	207	307	312	+11.9	+2.2	1.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
César Salazar (OGILVIE)	30	45	45	45	60	203/319/282	78	254	3	8	21%	11%	72	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gerald Laird 2010 · MLB	30	49→47	42→50	46→50	50	233/302/343	109	270	8	7	17%	8%	82	+0.5	233/297/344	111	269	9	7	17%	7%	80	+0.4	268/338/369	101	310	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.4
✕Landon Powell 2012 · MLB	30	43→41	44→50	47→30	52	216/291/324	108	267	12	5	23%	10%	72	-0.2	212/277/320	108	277	13	5	27%	8%	66	-0.6	215/271/307	92	271	13	0	25%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Johnny Monell 2016 · MLB	30	47→44	43→50	48→45	46	233/288/344	111	289	11	9	23%	7%	76	+0.1	228/277/347	119	287	13	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2	219/270/340	120	280	13	2	26%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Steve Holm 2009 · MLB	29	48	47→50	43→40	51	238/314/376	138	280	14	5	20%	8%	96	+1.5	216/280/324	108	269	9	4	22%	7%	68	-0.5	195/257/288	93	248	7	1	23%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Garrett Stubbs 2023 · MLB	30	48	48→45	53→50	55	239/325/383	144	296	16	11	24%	11%	102	+1.9	225/298/335	110	290	11	12	25%	8%	79	+0.3	217/287/307	90	281	9	11	25%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Elias Díaz 2021 · MLB	30	51→56	43→50	44→45	49	248/304/357	109	287	11	3	18%	7%	85	+0.7	219/278/353	134	251	16	2	19%	7%	75	-0.0	242/293/380	138	290	16	0	22%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Brett Nicholas 2018 · MLB	30	48→54	46→50	43→40	40	242/280/373	131	297	14	4	24%	4%	80	+0.4	224/273/355	131	282	14	5	25%	6%	72	-0.2	208/262/332	124	259	14	1	25%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Vimael Machín 2023 · MLB	29	49→54	42→50	46→50	51	238/304/348	110	281	8	3	18%	8%	84	+0.6	236/294/354	118	282	12	8	20%	7%	82	+0.5	244/298/379	135	287	16	11	20%	7%	87	+0.5
✕Juan Centeno 2021 · MLB	31	47	41→45	48→40	46	226/281/321	95	269	8	7	19%	6%	67	-0.5	235/279/347	112	289	11	5	22%	5%	72	-0.2	231/273/332	101	294	9	3	24%	5%	62	-0.4
✕Beau Taylor 2020 · MLB	30	46→45	45	47→30	51	218/309/342	124	311	12	4	31%	11%	85	+0.7	206/291/315	109	302	11	4	32%	10%	71	-0.3	188/278/270	82	276	9	0	32%	9%	52	-0.6
✕Mark Johnson 2006 · MLB	30	47	42→40	44→40	55	226/305/330	104	259	9	5	16%	10%	80	+0.4	232/307/318	86	273	7	5	16%	9%	78	+0.2	240/319/300	61	279	5	1	15%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Wiki Gonzalez 2005 · MLB	31	47	42→45	48→30	56	227/310/340	113	262	9	7	16%	10%	85	+0.7	251/302/380	129	263	14	5	11%	6%	92	+1.2	250/296/372	122	256	15	2	9%	5%	84	+0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	48	48→50	47→45	48	241/306/377	137	298	16	4	24%	8%	93	+1.3	234/292/369	135	299	15	9	26%	7%	85	+0.7	224/277/350	126	286	14	11	26%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Carlos Asuaje 2021 · MLB	29	43→53	43→45	46→45	49	211/283/320	110	258	10	6	22%	8%	69	-0.4	235/299/341	106	279	8	12	18%	7%	80	+0.4	247/313/338	91	292	3	12	15%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Russ Adams 2010 · MLB	29	46→53	44→45	47→45	47	227/279/343	116	265	11	8	19%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/349	130	253	14	8	20%	6%	71	-0.3	215/269/363	148	242	18	5	20%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Curt Casali 2019 · MLB	30	47	45→50	38→30	47	234/298/355	121	285	14	3	23%	7%	83	+0.6	239/320/398	159	300	19	5	26%	10%	105	+2.1	220/318/362	142	290	17	0	28%	11%	89	+0.4
✕Rob Johnson 2011 · MLB	29	46→52	41→45	41→50	52	222/297/331	109	271	8	5	20%	9%	77	+0.1	208/273/320	112	259	11	7	23%	7%	64	-0.8	196/251/301	105	240	11	5	23%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Austin Wynns 2022 · MLB	31	44→51	46→45	48→30	46	222/280/346	124	262	15	6	22%	6%	74	-0.1	240/303/354	114	301	12	5	23%	7%	85	+0.7	240/304/338	98	308	10	2	24%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Daniel Descalso 2017 · MLB	30	46→55	44→50	44→45	56	224/308/339	116	265	11	6	20%	11%	84	+0.6	225/324/377	152	283	15	5	24%	12%	101	+1.8	213/322/365	153	272	14	3	25%	13%	94	+0.8
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	47→45	42→30	44	215/272/352	137	271	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/379	161	275	18	6	26%	9%	88	+0.9	197/307/365	169	234	18	0	24%	13%	90	+0.3