Max Schuemann
SS Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AAAOAK | 29 | .174/.321/.174 | 0 | 1 | 34 | — | .167/.286/.167 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLBOakland Athle… | 459 | .220/.313/.308 | 7 | 14 | 80 | 0.8 | |
| 2025 | 28 | AAAOAK | 25 | .400/.520/.700 | 1 | 0 | 164 | — | .381/.480/.667 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLBOAK | 213 | .197/.297/.273 | 2 | 7 | 62 | 0.4 | |
| 2026 | 29 | AAAScranton/Wilk… | 225 | .263/.367/.447 | 6 | 7 | 84 | — | .227/.308/.364 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLBNYY | 87 | .194/.333/.361 | 2 | 3 | 102 | 0.5 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 30 | MLBNYY | 105 | .227/.318/.353 | 2 | 3 | 91 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 31 | MLBNYY | 116 | .221/.313/.342 | 2 | 2 | 86 | 0.0 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 389 | 340 | 87 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 75 | 14 | 25 | 11 | 256 | 340 | 374 | 714 | 118 | 318 | 19 | 8 | 322 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 31 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 355 | 346 | 701 | 115 | 316 | 23 | 16 | 323 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 251 | 219 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 46 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 320 | 402 | 416 | 817 | 96 | 393 | 18 | 9 | 369 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 243 | 201 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 50 | 14 | 34 | 2 | 224 | 350 | 363 | 713 | 139 | 270 | 21 | 10 | 326 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 41 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 268 | 286 | 554 | 143 | 222 | 39 | 15 | 260 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 367 | 290 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 50 | 84 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 290 | 423 | 438 | 861 | 148 | 376 | 23 | 14 | 381 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 433 | 350 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 87 | 14 | 20 | 9 | 277 | 406 | 429 | 835 | 151 | 341 | 20 | 14 | 373 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 65 | 52 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 269 | 406 | 442 | 849 | 173 | 394 | 29 | 17 | 376 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 459 | 396 | 87 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 47 | 119 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 220 | 313 | 308 | 621 | 88 | 292 | 26 | 10 | 284 | 80 | -11 | +2 | +2 | +5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 29 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 321 | 174 | 495 | 250 | 28 | 17 | 245 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Athletics | — | 213 | 183 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 197 | 297 | 273 | 570 | 77 | 231 | 16 | 10 | 264 | 62 | -10 | +1 | +7 | +1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 25 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 520 | 700 | 1.220 | 300 | 467 | 16 | 16 | 523 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 87 | 72 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 194 | 333 | 361 | 694 | 167 | 245 | 24 | 14 | 320 | 102 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 225 | 190 | 50 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 263 | 367 | 447 | 814 | 184 | 301 | 17 | 12 | 358 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 759 | 651 | 137 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 81 | 175 | 14 | 24 | 4 | 210 | 311 | 304 | 615 | 94 | 268 | 23 | 11 | 282 | 77 | -21 | +3 | +9 | +9 | +16 | 1.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 389 | 350 | 70 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 100 | 14 | 25 | 11 | 200 | 273 | 283 | 556 | 83 | 265 | 26 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 31 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 258 | 286 | 544 | 107 | 276 | 26 | 10 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 251 | 226 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 57 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 265 | 333 | 350 | 683 | 84 | 336 | 23 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 243 | 208 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 68 | 14 | 34 | 2 | 183 | 292 | 288 | 580 | 106 | 232 | 28 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 41 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 108 | 195 | 216 | 411 | 108 | 191 | 46 | 10 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 367 | 304 | 75 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 103 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 247 | 359 | 382 | 740 | 135 | 320 | 28 | 10 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 433 | 371 | 91 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 41 | 103 | 14 | 20 | 9 | 245 | 343 | 361 | 704 | 116 | 309 | 24 | 9 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 65 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 232 | 328 | 393 | 721 | 161 | 340 | 37 | 11 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 459 | 396 | 88 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 47 | 119 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 222 | 316 | 318 | 634 | 96 | 292 | 26 | 10 | 286 | 80 | -11 | +2 | +2 | +5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 29 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 286 | 167 | 452 | 240 | 31 | 14 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Athletics | — | 213 | 183 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 197 | 297 | 273 | 570 | 77 | 231 | 16 | 10 | 259 | 62 | -10 | +1 | +7 | +1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 25 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 381 | 480 | 667 | 1.147 | 286 | 390 | 20 | 12 | 410 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 87 | 72 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 194 | 333 | 361 | 694 | 167 | 245 | 24 | 14 | 318 | 102 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 225 | 198 | 45 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 47 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 227 | 308 | 364 | 671 | 136 | 268 | 21 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 389 | 350 | 70 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 100 | 14 | 25 | 11 | 200 | 273 | 283 | 556 | 83 | 272 | 26 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | Beloit Snappers | — | 389 | 340 | 87 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 75 | 14 | 25 | 11 | 256 | 340 | 374 | 714 | 118 | 318 | 19 | 8 | 322 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 525 | 462 | 102 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 133 | 21 | 52 | 5 | 221 | 308 | 312 | 619 | 91 | 294 | 25 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 525 | 446 | 121 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 53 | 103 | 21 | 52 | 5 | 271 | 375 | 388 | 763 | 117 | 335 | 20 | 10 | 346 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 341 | 78 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 122 | 17 | 24 | 6 | 229 | 339 | 361 | 700 | 132 | 322 | 30 | 10 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 408 | 325 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 56 | 100 | 17 | 24 | 6 | 274 | 407 | 422 | 829 | 148 | 364 | 25 | 14 | 369 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 498 | 427 | 104 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 126 | 15 | 23 | 9 | 244 | 341 | 361 | 701 | 117 | 322 | 25 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 498 | 402 | 111 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 73 | 106 | 15 | 23 | 9 | 276 | 406 | 430 | 836 | 154 | 347 | 21 | 15 | 374 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 420 | 92 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 128 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 219 | 314 | 310 | 623 | 90 | 291 | 26 | 10 | 282 | 77 | -13 | +3 | +2 | +5 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 488 | 419 | 91 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 52 | 127 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 217 | 314 | 301 | 615 | 84 | 290 | 26 | 11 | 281 | 77 | -13 | +3 | +2 | +5 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 204 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 40 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 206 | 308 | 299 | 607 | 93 | 241 | 17 | 11 | 275 | 72 | -8 | +1 | +7 | +1 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 238 | 203 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 39 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 217 | 321 | 315 | 636 | 99 | 253 | 16 | 11 | 291 | 72 | -8 | +1 | +7 | +1 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 312 | 270 | 59 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 68 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 219 | 315 | 363 | 678 | 144 | 269 | 22 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 312 | 262 | 64 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 60 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 244 | 357 | 424 | 781 | 179 | 287 | 19 | 12 | 347 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 389 | 351 | 70 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 100 | 14 | 25 | 11 | 199 | 273 | 282 | 555 | 83 | 265 | 26 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 525 | 462 | 102 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 133 | 21 | 52 | 5 | 221 | 308 | 312 | 619 | 91 | 284 | 25 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 408 | 348 | 78 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 122 | 17 | 24 | 6 | 224 | 339 | 353 | 693 | 129 | 307 | 30 | 10 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 498 | 432 | 104 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 126 | 15 | 23 | 9 | 241 | 341 | 356 | 697 | 116 | 313 | 25 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 427 | 92 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 128 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 215 | 314 | 304 | 618 | 89 | 289 | 26 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 206 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 40 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 204 | 308 | 296 | 604 | 92 | 248 | 17 | 11 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 312 | 271 | 59 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 68 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 218 | 315 | 362 | 677 | 144 | 262 | 22 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 427 | 92 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 128 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 215 | 314 | 304 | 618 | 89 | 289 | 26 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 238 | 206 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 40 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 204 | 308 | 296 | 604 | 92 | 248 | 17 | 11 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 312 | 271 | 59 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 68 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 218 | 315 | 362 | 677 | 144 | 262 | 22 | 10 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYY | 45% | 345 | 301 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 74 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 226 | 318 | 349 | 666 | 123 | 276 | 21 | 10 | 303 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -0 | +4 | +7 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYY | 45% | 105 | 92 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 318 | 353 | 672 | 127 | 275 | 22 | 10 | 305 | 91 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | NYY | 53% | 219 | 192 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 48 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 221 | 312 | 337 | 649 | 117 | 272 | 22 | 10 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | NYY | 53% | 116 | 102 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 313 | 342 | 655 | 120 | 271 | 22 | 9 | 298 | 86 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 875 | 753 | 160 | 29 | 3 | 13 | 92 | 200 | 16 | 26 | 5 | 212 | 311 | 311 | 622 | 98 | 269 | 23 | 11 | 284 | 81 | -22 | +3 | +7 | +11 | +19 | 1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 559 | 119 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 68 | 149 | 12 | 19 | 4 | 213 | 311 | 313 | 624 | 100 | 270 | 23 | 10 | 284 | 81 | -17 | +2 | +5 | +8 | +14 | 1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3311 | 2871 | 636 | 125 | 17 | 50 | 296 | 815 | 95 | 167 | 39 | 222 | 315 | 329 | 644 | 108 | 289 | 25 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -27 | +4 | +5 | +14 | +26 | 2.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 564 | 125 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 58 | 160 | 19 | 33 | 8 | 222 | 316 | 330 | 645 | 108 | 288 | 25 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -14 | +2 | +3 | +8 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 225 PAwOBA .350 → .293 (−57)K% 17.3% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.018 | ×0.982 | 17.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×0.982 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | ×0.982 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.73% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .350 → .293; ISO .184 → .147; BABIP .301 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 25 PAwOBA .510 → .410 (−99)K% 16.0% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.00% | ÷1.027 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 11.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 3.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 21.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 15.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.183 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.67% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .510 → .410; ISO .300 → .221; BABIP .467 → .390. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 29 PAwOBA .249 → .218 (−31)K% 27.6% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.59% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.24% | ÷0.952 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 12.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 25.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 104, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .249 → .218; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 433 PAwOBA .367 → .312 (−55)K% 20.1% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.09% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.09% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.10% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.005 | ×1.018 | 24.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.84% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×1.018 | 5.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.133 | ×0.970 | ×1.005 | ×1.018 | 1.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.42% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.45% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .367 → .312; ISO .151 → .120; BABIP .341 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAMidland RockHounds · 65 PAwOBA .373 → .298 (−75)K% 29.2% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.23% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.92% | ÷1.031 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 11.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 24.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.011 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 4.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.50% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .373 → .298; ISO .173 → .142; BABIP .394 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMidland RockHounds · 367 PAwOBA .376 → .323 (−53)K% 22.9% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.89% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.62% | ÷0.968 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.63% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 4.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.13% | ÷1.067 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 24.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.31% | ÷1.007 | ×0.840 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 5.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷0.931 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.88% | ÷0.793 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 113, 2B 101, 3B 86, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .376 → .323; ISO .148 → .146; BABIP .376 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 41 PAwOBA .254 → .186 (−67)K% 39.0% → 46.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.02% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 46.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.63% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 10.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 10.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 8.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.54% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .254 → .186; ISO .143 → .095; BABIP .222 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAMidland RockHounds · 251 PAwOBA .362 → .299 (−63)K% 18.3% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.33% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.16% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 6.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.79% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.21% | ÷1.096 | ×0.940 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 26.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.51% | ÷1.018 | ×0.870 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.127 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×1.012 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷0.838 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.09% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 125, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .362 → .299; ISO .096 → .084; BABIP .393 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).