Elly De La Cruz — OGILVIE

Elly De La CruzSS Cincinnati Reds

Age 24 S/R 6'6" / 200 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 2.686S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION340 act + 359 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 84103vR 153

AVG/OBP/SLG.270 / .346 / .492

PA359

HR15

SB21

K%28

BB%10

BABIP348

ISO223

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

5011.0%

xwOBA

710.332

POWER55

Barrel%

7712.2

Avg EV

9092.0

Bat Spd

8474.9

EYE50

Chase%

8624.7%

SPEED60

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1512 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

461

1051

—

wRC+

140

▶▶R

wOBA

300

369

▶▶R

ISO

146

225

▶▶R

BABIP

316

360

▶R

30.6%

27.7%

▶R

BB%

6.5%

10.0%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.686 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+2.4	$19M	+$19M
2027	Arb-2	$12M	+6.0	$44M	+$33M
2028	Arb-3	$22M	+6.1	$42M	+$24M
2029	Arb-4	$33M	+6.1	$39M	+$15M
Totals		$68M		$145M	+$91M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	186	170	33	7	1	1	9	65	4	3	6	194	251	265	516	71	302	35	5	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	186	165	47	11	1	1	14	45	4	3	6	285	355	382	737	97	380	24	8	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	2 teams	—	265	252	57	13	8	6	9	104	2	10	5	226	259	413	671	187	354	39	3	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	2 teams	—	265	247	73	18	9	8	14	80	2	10	5	296	338	538	877	243	404	30	5	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	3 teams	—	614	578	133	23	9	25	33	236	1	56	10	230	273	431	704	201	339	38	5	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	3 teams	—	614	555	167	35	11	29	56	185	1	56	10	301	366	560	926	259	402	30	9	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	MLB	2 teams	—	613	554	131	25	10	21	53	204	3	46	14	236	307	431	738	195	332	33	9	317	101	+0	+4	+5	+7	+17	3.3
2023	21	MLB	2 teams	—	613	546	138	26	10	25	61	194	3	46	14	253	331	474	806	222	343	32	10	352	128	+19	+4	+5	+7	+17	5.3
2024	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	696	618	156	34	10	24	69	218	6	67	16	252	333	456	790	204	350	31	10	342	120	+16	+7	+14	+7	+20	6.6
2024	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	696	618	160	36	10	25	69	218	6	67	16	259	339	471	810	212	359	31	10	356	130	+24	+7	+14	+7	+20	7.4
2025	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	699	629	163	30	7	21	67	181	2	37	8	259	332	429	762	170	332	26	10	324	106	+5	+4	+1	+7	+20	3.8
2025	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	699	629	166	31	7	22	67	181	2	37	8	264	337	440	777	176	337	26	10	345	122	+17	+4	+1	+7	+20	5.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	MLB	CIN	—	340	303	83	15	3	15	33	97	2	14	6	274	349	492	841	218	352	29	10	364	137	+14	+0	+1	+4	+10	2.9
YTD	24	MLB	CIN	—	340	303	83	15	3	15	33	97	2	14	6	274	349	492	841	218	352	29	10	368	140	+15	+0	+1	+4	+10	3.0
ROS	24	MLB	CIN	100%	359	319	86	16	5	15	35	102	2	21	5	270	346	492	838	223	345	28	10	363	136	+14	+2	-1	+4	+10	3.1
ROS	24	MLB	CIN	100%	359	319	86	17	4	15	35	102	2	21	5	270	346	489	835	219	348	28	10	363	136	+14	+2	-1	+4	+10	3.1
FULL	24	MLB	CIN	—	699	622	169	32	7	30	68	199	4	35	11	272	347	490	838	219	350	28	10	363	136	+29	+3	+0	+7	+20	6.0
TOT	24	MLB	CIN	—	699	622	169	31	8	30	68	199	4	35	11	272	347	492	839	220	350	28	10	363	136	+29	+3	+0	+7	+20	6.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CIN	100%	660	587	158	30	8	28	64	186	4	39	10	269	345	491	836	221	345	28	10	365	138	+28	+4	-1	+7	+19	5.8
2028	26	MLB	CIN	100%	660	586	158	30	8	28	65	186	4	39	10	270	347	491	838	222	345	28	10	366	138	+29	+4	-1	+7	+19	5.8
2029	27	MLB	CIN	100%	658	584	158	30	8	28	65	186	4	39	10	271	348	493	841	223	345	28	10	366	138	+29	+4	-1	+7	+19	5.8
2030	28	MLB	CIN	100%	645	571	153	29	8	27	65	183	4	36	9	268	347	489	835	221	345	28	10	365	138	+27	+4	-2	+7	+18	5.6
2031	29	MLB	CIN	100%	632	559	150	28	8	27	64	181	4	33	8	268	348	492	840	224	344	29	10	363	136	+26	+3	-2	+7	+18	5.3
2032	30	MLB	CIN	100%	619	549	145	27	7	26	62	178	3	29	7	264	342	481	823	217	343	29	10	361	134	+24	+3	-3	+7	+18	4.9
2033	31	MLB	CIN	100%	607	538	141	26	7	25	61	177	3	25	6	262	341	476	816	214	340	29	10	357	131	+21	+3	-4	+7	+17	4.5
2034	32	MLB	CIN	100%	595	527	136	25	7	24	60	176	3	20	5	258	337	469	806	211	337	30	10	351	127	+18	+2	-4	+6	+17	3.9
2035	33	MLB	CIN	100%	547	484	122	22	6	21	55	164	3	14	4	252	332	452	785	200	331	30	10	343	121	+13	+1	-5	+6	+15	3.1
2036	34	MLB	CIN	100%	499	444	107	18	6	18	50	153	2	9	2	241	321	430	751	189	324	31	10	333	113	+7	+1	-6	+5	+14	2.3
2037	35	MLB	CIN	100%	443	394	92	15	5	15	44	139	2	6	2	234	314	411	725	178	316	31	10	322	105	+2	+0	-6	+5	+13	1.4
2038	36	MLB	CIN	100%	382	340	77	12	4	13	37	123	2	3	1	226	306	400	706	174	307	32	10	310	95	-2	+0	-7	+4	+11	0.6
2039	37	MLB	CIN	100%	316	282	62	9	4	10	30	104	1	2	0	220	297	387	684	167	298	33	9	297	86	-5	+0	-8	+3	+9	0.0
2040	38	MLB	CIN	100%	247	221	46	6	3	7	23	83	1	1	0	208	286	357	643	149	290	34	9	285	76	-7	+0	-8	+3	+7	-0.5
2027	25	MLB	CIN	100%	660	587	160	30	8	29	64	186	4	39	10	273	348	499	847	227	348	28	10	365	137	+28	+4	-1	+7	+19	5.8
2028	26	MLB	CIN	100%	660	586	160	30	8	29	65	186	4	39	10	273	350	500	850	227	348	28	10	366	138	+29	+4	-1	+7	+19	5.8
2029	27	MLB	CIN	100%	658	584	159	30	8	29	65	186	4	39	10	272	349	500	849	228	348	28	10	366	138	+29	+4	-1	+7	+19	5.8
2030	28	MLB	CIN	100%	645	571	155	29	8	28	65	183	4	36	9	271	350	497	847	226	348	28	10	365	138	+27	+4	-2	+7	+18	5.6
2031	29	MLB	CIN	100%	632	559	152	29	8	27	64	181	4	33	8	272	351	497	848	225	348	29	10	364	136	+26	+3	-2	+7	+18	5.3
2032	30	MLB	CIN	100%	619	549	146	28	7	26	62	178	3	29	7	266	344	485	828	219	346	29	10	361	134	+24	+3	-3	+7	+18	4.9
2033	31	MLB	CIN	100%	607	538	142	27	7	25	61	177	3	25	6	264	342	480	822	216	344	29	10	357	131	+21	+3	-4	+7	+17	4.5
2034	32	MLB	CIN	100%	595	527	137	25	7	24	60	176	3	20	5	260	339	471	810	211	340	30	10	351	127	+18	+2	-4	+6	+17	4.0
2035	33	MLB	CIN	100%	547	484	122	22	6	21	55	164	3	14	4	252	332	452	785	200	335	30	10	343	121	+13	+1	-5	+6	+15	3.1
2036	34	MLB	CIN	100%	499	444	109	19	6	19	50	153	2	9	2	245	325	444	768	198	327	31	10	333	113	+8	+1	-6	+5	+14	2.3
2037	35	MLB	CIN	100%	443	394	93	15	5	16	44	139	2	6	2	236	316	421	737	185	319	31	10	322	105	+2	+0	-6	+5	+13	1.4
2038	36	MLB	CIN	100%	382	340	77	12	4	13	37	123	2	3	1	226	306	400	706	174	310	32	10	310	96	-2	+0	-7	+4	+11	0.6
2039	37	MLB	CIN	100%	316	282	62	9	4	10	30	104	1	2	0	220	297	387	684	167	301	33	9	297	86	-5	+0	-8	+3	+9	0.0
2040	38	MLB	CIN	100%	247	221	46	6	3	7	23	83	1	1	0	208	286	357	643	149	292	34	9	285	76	-7	+0	-8	+3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	9691	8620	2223	410	117	378	951	2864	52	455	111	258	335	464	799	206	340	30	10	348	124	+266	+47	-39	+106	+275	66.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	148	27	8	25	64	192	3	31	7	256	333	460	794	204	338	30	10	348	124	+18	+3	-3	+7	+18	4.5
Career	—			—	10942	9786	2464	455	139	410	1020	3329	60	535	138	252	326	452	779	201	337	30	9	338	117	+212	+52	-39	+117	+310	66.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	146	27	8	24	61	198	4	32	8	251	327	449	776	198	337	30	9	338	117	+13	+3	-2	+7	+18	4.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	186	165	47	11	1	1	14	45	4	3	6	285	355	382	737	97	380	24	8	330	110	+2	-2	—	—	+5	0.6
2021	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	210	197	53	12	7	5	10	65	1	8	5	269	308	477	785	208	372	31	5	338	117	+4	-0	—	—	+6	1.0
2021	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	55	50	20	6	2	3	4	15	1	2	0	400	455	780	1.235	380	531	27	7	524	259	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2022	20	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	207	190	58	17	3	8	16	64	0	19	2	305	359	553	912	247	420	31	8	394	160	+14	+3	—	—	+6	2.3
2022	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	306	281	85	14	6	20	24	94	1	28	4	302	359	609	968	306	389	31	8	417	177	+27	+4	—	—	+9	4.0
2022	20	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	101	84	24	4	2	1	16	27	0	9	4	286	400	417	817	131	404	27	16	366	138	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2023	21	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	427	388	91	15	7	13	35	144	2	35	8	235	301	410	711	175	336	34	8	314	99	-1	+4	+5	+7	+12	2.7
2023	21	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	186	158	47	11	3	12	26	50	1	11	6	297	400	633	1.033	335	361	27	14	440	195	+20	-0	—	—	+5	2.5
2024	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	696	618	160	36	10	25	69	218	6	67	16	259	339	471	810	212	359	31	10	356	130	+24	+7	+14	+7	+20	7.4
2025	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	699	629	166	31	7	22	67	181	2	37	8	264	337	440	777	176	337	26	10	345	122	+17	+4	+1	+7	+20	5.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1822	1635	417	82	24	60	171	543	10	139	32	255	329	445	774	190	345	30	9	342	120	+41	+15	+20	+22	+52	15.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chase Utleylast yr '18 AS×6SS×4 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,863 PA	16	7,863	259	154	275	358	465	+28	+107	67.8	60.2
	/162	664	22	13	275	358	465	+2.4	+9.1	5.7	pk7: 53
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 19 projected seasons	19	10,371	399	500	258	331	462	+92	+129	72.1	56.1
	/162	664	26	32	258	331	462	+5.9	+8.3	4.6	pk7: 40
#2Jimmy Rollinslast yr '16 career totals — 17 seasons, 10,240 PA	17	10,240	231	470	264	324	418	+85	+140	66.8	55.5
	/162	664	15	30	264	324	418	+5.5	+9.1	4.3	pk7: 44
#3José Reyeslast yr '18 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,240 PA	16	8,240	145	517	283	334	427	+83	+62	56.0	48.2
	/162	664	12	42	283	334	427	+6.7	+5.0	4.5	pk7: 40
#4Ian Kinslerlast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA	14	8,299	257	243	269	337	440	+30	+66	53.0	44.3
	/162	664	21	19	269	337	440	+2.4	+5.3	4.2	pk7: 36
#5Brandon Phillipslast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,896 PA	13	7,896	210	209	276	320	422	+28	+83	41.5	36.8
	/162	664	18	18	276	320	422	+2.4	+7.0	3.5	pk7: 32
#6Mike Cameronlast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,303 PA	12	6,303	234	209	251	339	451	-1	+38	40.1	36.5
	/162	664	25	22	251	339	451	-0.1	+4.0	4.2	pk7: 33

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elly De La Cruz (OGILVIE)	24	50	55	60	50	272/347/492	220	350	30	35	28%	10%	136	+6.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	49→50	59→60	55→60	45	255/317/472	218	314	27	24	28%	8%	123	+3.3	253/319/455	202	313	27	31	27%	8%	119	+3.1	247/320/444	197	301	28	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Julio Rodríguez 2023 · MLB	22	57→56	60	55	45	291/349/506	216	356	28	24	26%	7%	144	+4.8	280/336/479	199	339	26	26	24%	7%	132	+4.0	277/333/472	195	330	26	27	24%	6%	124	+3.8
★Matt Kemp 2010 · MLB	25	59→65	53→65	58→55	47	293/344/473	180	348	20	28	22%	7%	133	+4.0	292/356/517	225	349	28	23	24%	9%	150	+5.2	298/367/539	241	354	32	22	24%	9%	147	+5.1
●Luis Robert Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	54→57	56→60	54→60	42	274/326/471	197	341	24	19	26%	6%	126	+3.5	265/312/457	192	323	25	19	25%	5%	117	+2.9	250/299/444	193	309	26	22	28%	5%	103	+1.6
★Carlos Beltrán 2003 · MLB	26	55→61	56→65	61→60	53	278/345/483	205	311	21	26	18%	9%	136	+4.2	278/360/497	219	296	25	30	15%	11%	145	+4.9	274/372/529	255	282	31	20	16%	13%	149	+5.5
★Ronald Acuña Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	53→63	57→70	53→65	55	269/365/468	199	326	24	28	24%	12%	141	+4.5	300/389/512	212	337	26	39	18%	12%	161	+6.0	309/407/536	227	341	29	42	17%	13%	169	+5.0
●Corbin Carroll 2023 · MLB	22	49→54	58→65	62→60	46	249/327/469	221	326	23	25	30%	9%	125	+3.5	252/333/465	213	296	22	34	22%	9%	127	+3.6	249/336/472	222	286	23	37	21%	10%	126	+3.9
●B.J. Upton 2008 · MLB	23	55→60	50→60	55→60	52	268/345/422	154	340	17	31	25%	10%	121	+3.2	257/345/406	149	331	14	35	24%	12%	116	+2.8	237/314/436	198	292	23	35	26%	10%	108	+2.4
●Grady Sizemore 2009 · MLB	26	54→58	57→60	58→55	60	275/376/491	217	310	23	25	19%	13%	150	+5.2	249/335/436	187	292	20	17	21%	10%	120	+3.1	236/316/413	177	284	18	11	22%	9%	103	+1.1
●Bo Bichette 2022 · MLB	24	56→62	56→60	55	45	288/333/477	190	330	24	20	21%	6%	131	+3.9	285/326/453	168	336	20	11	21%	6%	121	+3.2	288/331/441	153	329	16	5	17%	6%	116	+2.5
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	54→60	55→50	45	256/314/439	183	307	21	23	24%	7%	112	+2.6	258/314/460	202	301	28	14	24%	7%	118	+3.0	245/301/434	189	280	27	12	23%	7%	103	+1.2
★Justin Upton 2012 · MLB	24	55→59	57→65	51→55	52	278/358/486	207	327	23	18	22%	10%	142	+4.6	270/350/457	187	324	22	13	22%	10%	131	+3.9	264/344/505	242	328	32	10	29%	10%	138	+4.6
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	54→55	47	263/329/457	193	325	23	24	26%	8%	123	+3.3	245/323/433	188	329	24	16	31%	10%	115	+2.7	235/325/431	197	314	26	14	32%	11%	113	+2.2
✕Corey Patterson 2005 · MLB	25	53→54	53→55	57→60	43	268/313/448	180	323	20	24	24%	6%	114	+2.7	251/293/403	152	296	18	32	21%	5%	94	+1.3	247/286/384	137	285	15	39	19%	4%	81	+0.4
●Michael Harris II 2023 · MLB	22	55→58	52→60	58→55	42	272/318/450	179	339	19	24	25%	6%	117	+2.9	272/311/443	171	319	20	19	21%	5%	112	+2.6	267/300/430	164	305	20	18	20%	4%	102	+1.7
★Corey Hart 2008 · MLB	26	53→56	56→65	56→55	47	272/329/478	206	310	22	23	20%	7%	128	+3.7	270/323/467	197	307	21	17	19%	6%	123	+3.3	281/345/522	241	325	30	6	23%	8%	143	+4.7
●Kyle Tucker 2022 · MLB	25	50→54	61→65	56→55	52	266/330/501	235	287	28	18	19%	9%	135	+4.2	265/345/486	221	276	27	22	15%	11%	137	+4.3	267/372/486	219	277	26	25	15%	14%	139	+4.0
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	55→60	51→50	56→55	43	272/338/433	162	329	18	21	22%	6%	121	+3.2	251/311/378	127	291	13	24	18%	5%	95	+1.4	238/299/349	111	274	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
★Yasiel Puig 2014 · MLB	23	58→63	59→60	50→55	47	294/357/510	216	346	26	20	22%	7%	149	+5.1	287/357/480	193	340	21	11	21%	9%	141	+4.5	268/338/487	219	295	29	18	20%	9%	129	+3.4
★Rickie Weeks Jr. 2008 · MLB	25	51→58	51→55	59→55	56	252/361/425	173	312	17	25	23%	12%	128	+3.7	252/353/436	184	304	20	17	22%	11%	128	+3.6	259/353/453	194	315	22	11	24%	10%	129	+4.0