Elly De La Cruz — OGILVIE

Elly De La CruzSS Cincinnati Reds

Age 24 S/R 6'6" / 200 lbs MLB HR +9%K -4% Svc 2.686S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 7.0 · 2028

wRC+†vL 82131vR 150

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .330 / .457

PA699

HR26

SB48

K%28

BB%9

xwOBA.380

Barrel%15.9%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

55↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

6.1peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.686 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+6.5	$52M	+$51M
2027	Arb-2	$12M	+6.9	$57M	+$44M
2028	Arb-3	$23M	+7.0	$59M	+$36M
2029	Arb-4	$35M	+6.9	$60M	+$25M
Totals		$72M		$229M	+$157M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Reds	186	170	33	7	1	1	9	65	4	3	6	.194	.251	.265	.516	.071	.302	35	5	.219	26	-16	-2	+0	+2	+5	-1.0
2021	19	A	2 teams	265	252	56	13	7	6	9	107	2	10	5	.222	.255	.401	.656	.179	.355	40	3	.276	70	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2022	20	A+	3 teams	614	578	136	26	9	25	33	235	1	56	10	.235	.278	.441	.719	.206	.347	38	5	.306	92	-5	+7	+0	+7	+17	2.7
2023	21	MLB	2 teams	613	554	129	24	9	21	53	204	3	46	14	.233	.303	.422	.726	.190	.326	33	9	.311	96	-3	+4	+5	+7	+17	3.0
2024	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	696	618	159	36	13	22	69	218	6	67	16	.257	.338	.464	.802	.207	.361	31	10	.345	122	+17	+7	+14	+7	+20	6.7
2025	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	699	629	161	29	8	20	67	181	2	37	8	.256	.330	.423	.752	.167	.329	26	10	.321	104	+3	+4	+1	+7	+20	3.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	112	102	27	5	0	8	10	33	0	6	1	.265	.330	.549	.879	.284	.311	29	9	.377	147	+6	+1	+1	+1	+3	1.2
ROS	24	MLB	CIN	587	525	136	24	6	26	55	168	2	42	7	.259	.332	.476	.808	.217	.329	29	9	.353	128	+19	+6	+5	+6	+17	5.3
TOT	24	MLB	CIN	699	627	163	29	6	34	65	201	2	48	8	.260	.331	.488	.819	.228	.327	29	9	.357	131	+25	+6	+6	+7	+20	6.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB	CIN	704	628	164	29	8	31	67	155	3	51	8	.261	.335	.481	.816	.220	.296	22	10	.356	131	+24	+7	+6	+8	+20	6.6
2028	26	MLB	CIN	704	627	165	29	8	32	68	155	3	51	8	.263	.338	.488	.826	.225	.297	22	10	.358	132	+25	+7	+6	+8	+20	6.7
2029	27	MLB	CIN	699	622	162	28	8	31	69	154	3	50	8	.260	.337	.481	.818	.220	.297	22	10	.358	132	+25	+7	+6	+7	+20	6.6
2030	28	MLB	CIN	691	615	159	28	7	31	68	154	3	48	7	.259	.335	.478	.813	.220	.296	22	10	.357	131	+24	+7	+5	+7	+20	6.4
2031	29	MLB	CIN	679	603	155	27	7	30	68	153	3	46	7	.257	.335	.474	.810	.217	.295	23	10	.355	130	+23	+6	+4	+7	+19	6.1
2032	30	MLB	CIN	667	593	151	26	7	29	66	153	3	44	6	.255	.332	.469	.801	.214	.294	23	10	.352	127	+21	+6	+3	+7	+19	5.7
2033	31	MLB	CIN	652	580	146	25	7	28	65	152	2	40	5	.252	.329	.464	.793	.212	.293	23	10	.348	124	+18	+6	+2	+7	+18	5.3
2034	32	MLB	CIN	633	563	139	24	6	26	63	151	2	36	4	.247	.325	.449	.774	.202	.291	24	10	.343	121	+15	+6	+2	+7	+18	4.8
2035	33	MLB	CIN	603	536	130	22	6	24	60	148	2	32	3	.243	.321	.440	.761	.198	.290	25	10	.337	116	+11	+5	+1	+6	+17	4.1
2036	34	MLB	CIN	554	493	118	20	6	21	54	141	2	28	2	.239	.317	.432	.749	.193	.288	25	10	.330	111	+7	+5	-0	+6	+16	3.3
2037	35	MLB	CIN	496	444	103	17	5	18	48	131	1	24	1	.232	.308	.414	.723	.182	.285	26	10	.322	104	+2	+4	-2	+5	+14	2.5
2038	36	MLB	CIN	434	388	87	14	4	15	42	119	1	20	1	.224	.302	.397	.699	.173	.282	27	10	.312	97	-2	+4	-3	+5	+12	1.7
2039	37	MLB	CIN	368	329	73	12	4	12	35	105	1	17	0	.222	.299	.392	.691	.170	.278	29	10	.301	89	-5	+3	-4	+4	+10	0.9
2040	38	MLB	CIN	297	267	57	9	3	9	27	87	1	12	0	.213	.288	.371	.659	.157	.273	29	9	.290	80	-7	+2	-5	+3	+8	0.2
2041	39	MLB	CIN	222	200	40	6	2	6	20	66	0	8	0	.200	.273	.340	.613	.140	.267	30	9	.278	71	-7	+2	-7	+2	+6	-0.4
2042	40	MLB	CIN	150	136	27	4	1	4	13	45	0	6	0	.199	.268	.331	.599	.132	.264	30	9	.274	68	-5	+1	-8	+2	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			12213	10950	2686	479	142	468	1128	3247	50	774	126	.245	.319	.443	.762	.198	.304	27	9	.333	113	+177	+104	+31	+131	+346	80.4
/ 162G	—			650	583	143	25	8	25	60	173	3	41	7	.245	.319	.444	.764	.199	.304	27	9	.333	113	+9	+5	+2	+7	+18	4.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Reds	186	165	47	11	1	1	14	45	4	3	6	.285	.355	.382	.737	.097	.380	24	8	.330	110	+2	-2	—	—	+5	0.6
2021	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	210	197	53	12	7	5	10	65	1	8	5	.269	.308	.477	.785	.208	.372	31	5	.338	117	+4	-0	—	—	+6	1.0
2021	19	ROK	ACL Reds	55	50	20	6	2	3	4	15	1	2	0	.400	.455	.780	1.235	.380	.531	27	7	.524	259	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2022	20	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	207	190	58	17	3	8	16	64	0	19	2	.305	.359	.553	.912	.247	.420	31	8	.394	160	+14	+3	—	—	+6	2.3
2022	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	306	281	85	14	6	20	24	94	1	28	4	.302	.359	.609	.968	.306	.389	31	8	.417	177	+27	+4	—	—	+9	4.0
2022	20	INTL	Tigres del Licey	101	84	24	4	2	1	16	27	0	9	4	.286	.400	.417	.817	.131	.404	27	16	.366	138	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2023	21	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	427	388	91	15	7	13	35	144	2	35	8	.235	.301	.410	.711	.175	.336	34	8	.314	99	-1	+4	+5	+7	+12	2.7
2023	21	AAA	Louisville Bats	186	158	47	11	3	12	26	50	1	11	6	.297	.400	.633	1.033	.335	.361	27	14	.440	195	+20	-0	—	—	+5	2.5
2024	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	696	618	160	36	10	25	69	218	6	67	16	.259	.339	.471	.810	.212	.359	31	10	.356	130	+24	+7	+14	+7	+20	7.4
2025	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	699	629	166	31	7	22	67	181	2	37	8	.264	.337	.440	.777	.176	.337	26	10	.345	122	+17	+4	+1	+7	+20	5.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1822	1635	417	82	24	60	171	543	10	139	32	.255	.329	.445	.774	.190	.345	30	9	.342	120	+41	+15	+20	+22	+52	15.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elly De La Cruz (OGILVIE)	24	50	55	60	50	.257/.329/.473	.216	.296	31	50	22%	9%	128	+4.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	47→51	58→60	55→60	45	.247/.310/.458	.212	.304	26	24	28%	8%	116	+2.8	.250/.316/.451	.201	.310	27	31	27%	8%	117	+2.9	.248/.322/.446	.198	.304	27	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●B.J. Upton 2008 · MLB	23	55→60	49→60	56→60	51	.267/.341/.417	.150	.337	16	32	25%	10%	118	+3.0	.258/.346/.405	.147	.332	13	35	24%	12%	117	+2.9	.243/.319/.434	.191	.304	21	35	26%	10%	108	+2.4
★Trea Turner 2019 · MLB	26	57→65	50→60	67→65	50	.281/.338/.446	.165	.327	16	41	19%	8%	123	+3.3	.295/.353/.474	.179	.340	19	32	18%	8%	137	+4.3	.312/.363/.496	.184	.353	21	26	17%	7%	143	+4.2
★Matt Kemp 2010 · MLB	25	59→65	53→65	58→55	47	.294/.343/.472	.178	.350	19	27	22%	7%	132	+4.0	.284/.348/.495	.211	.342	26	24	23%	9%	141	+4.5	.286/.357/.514	.227	.342	29	22	24%	9%	137	+4.4
★Hanley Ramirez 2008 · MLB	24	59→68	52→60	61→60	50	.297/.351/.482	.186	.329	17	36	16%	7%	138	+4.4	.310/.386/.521	.211	.344	24	30	16%	10%	163	+6.1	.310/.394/.513	.203	.342	24	29	16%	11%	151	+5.8
●Julio Rodríguez 2023 · MLB	22	57→56	58→60	55	45	.286/.346/.491	.205	.353	26	24	26%	7%	139	+4.4	.279/.335/.471	.192	.340	25	26	25%	7%	130	+3.8	.275/.331/.461	.186	.329	25	27	24%	6%	120	+3.5
★Ronald Acuña Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	51→61	57→65	53→65	56	.262/.362/.463	.201	.317	25	28	24%	12%	138	+4.4	.293/.382/.498	.205	.328	26	40	18%	12%	155	+5.5	.302/.402/.523	.221	.333	28	42	17%	13%	165	+4.8
●Luis Robert Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	53→58	57→60	54→60	41	.270/.321/.470	.201	.338	24	20	27%	6%	124	+3.4	.269/.317/.463	.194	.328	25	18	25%	5%	120	+3.1	.253/.301/.449	.196	.313	26	22	28%	5%	106	+1.7
★Carlos Beltrán 2003 · MLB	26	55→61	55→65	61→60	53	.277/.343/.476	.198	.311	21	25	18%	9%	133	+4.0	.280/.360/.499	.219	.300	25	30	15%	11%	146	+4.9	.274/.372/.529	.255	.282	31	20	16%	13%	149	+5.5
●Corbin Carroll 2023 · MLB	22	50→54	58→60	61→60	47	.252/.332/.476	.224	.331	24	25	30%	9%	129	+3.7	.251/.333/.462	.211	.295	23	35	22%	9%	126	+3.5	.245/.332/.462	.217	.278	24	37	21%	10%	121	+3.5
●Grady Sizemore 2009 · MLB	26	54→58	57→60	57→55	60	.276/.376/.494	.217	.314	23	24	19%	12%	151	+5.3	.249/.339/.437	.188	.289	20	18	20%	11%	122	+3.3	.231/.312/.404	.172	.278	17	11	22%	9%	99	+0.9
✕Anthony Volpe 2023 · AAA	22	42→51	54→55	59→55	48	.223/.304/.414	.191	.270	21	29	26%	9%	102	+1.9	.225/.290/.385	.160	.283	16	24	26%	8%	89	+0.9	.225/.287/.379	.154	.282	15	22	25%	7%	82	+0.5
●Bo Bichette 2022 · MLB	24	57→65	55→60	54→55	45	.289/.334/.477	.188	.334	23	20	21%	6%	131	+3.9	.295/.336/.465	.170	.350	20	12	21%	6%	128	+3.7	.297/.339/.452	.155	.341	16	5	17%	6%	122	+2.8
●José Reyes 2007 · MLB	24	57→67	46→55	70→65	49	.281/.321/.430	.149	.302	11	47	12%	6%	111	+2.5	.285/.346/.442	.157	.308	12	48	11%	9%	124	+3.4	.285/.354/.439	.154	.307	11	51	11%	10%	118	+2.8
●Carl Crawford 2007 · MLB	25	60→65	49→55	72→65	47	.295/.333/.460	.165	.318	14	45	13%	5%	124	+3.4	.296/.340/.447	.151	.335	13	42	15%	6%	124	+3.4	.291/.346/.446	.155	.325	14	44	14%	7%	122	+3.3
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	54→60	52→50	56→55	43	.269/.335/.437	.168	.325	19	22	23%	6%	121	+3.2	.254/.315/.386	.132	.295	14	24	19%	5%	99	+1.7	.241/.301/.348	.107	.278	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
●José Ramírez 2019 · MLB	26	55→62	60→70	55→60	61	.287/.368/.522	.235	.287	25	22	11%	11%	155	+5.5	.267/.354/.519	.252	.267	30	24	14%	11%	149	+5.1	.275/.357/.508	.233	.275	27	22	12%	11%	132	+4.4
★Jimmy Rollins 2002 · MLB	23	54→60	46→60	64→60	50	.267/.316/.405	.138	.298	12	32	15%	7%	103	+1.9	.260/.316/.398	.138	.295	10	25	15%	8%	102	+1.8	.285/.339/.477	.192	.296	18	31	10%	7%	126	+4.5
●Rickie Weeks Jr. 2008 · MLB	25	51→58	51→55	59→55	55	.252/.358/.425	.173	.312	17	24	23%	11%	127	+3.6	.249/.352/.427	.178	.302	18	18	22%	11%	125	+3.5	.253/.353/.435	.182	.308	20	13	23%	10%	124	+2.8
✕Corey Patterson 2005 · MLB	25	53→55	52→55	57→60	42	.267/.310/.443	.176	.322	19	23	23%	5%	111	+2.5	.251/.293/.406	.155	.297	18	31	22%	5%	95	+1.4	.247/.286/.384	.137	.285	15	39	19%	4%	81	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)