Bo Bichette — OGILVIE

Bo BichetteSS New York Mets

Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs MLB H +5%HR +3% Svc 6.366 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 2.7 · 2027

wRC+†vL 81101vR 94

AVG/OBP/SLG.290 / .335 / .440

PA628

HR15

SB6

K%16

BB%6

xwOBA.307

Barrel%2.6%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

45→45

SPD

40→40

EYE

43↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.1peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 6.366 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

NTCOPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$42M	+2.5	$20M	-$22M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$42M	+2.7	$22M	-$20M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$42M	+2.4	$20M	-$22M
Totals		$126M		$63M	-$63M

Options · projected decision
2029	PLAYER OPT	$42.0M / $5.0M buyout	EXERCISE

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$63M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	91	84	25	6	1	3	4	24	0	3	0	.298	.330	.500	.830	.202	.367	26	4	.358	132	+3	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.8
2017	19	A	2 teams	499	463	135	32	3	11	27	109	7	22	7	.292	.340	.445	.785	.153	.359	22	5	.338	117	+10	+2	+0	+5	+14	3.1
2018	20	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	595	552	142	37	6	10	35	124	2	32	11	.257	.304	.400	.704	.143	.312	21	6	.305	92	-6	+2	+0	+6	+17	2.0
2019	21	AAA	3 teams	472	435	120	34	2	17	32	114	2	20	9	.276	.328	.480	.809	.205	.337	24	7	.349	125	+14	+0	-3	+5	+13	3.0
2020	22	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	128	123	37	10	1	5	5	27	0	4	1	.301	.328	.520	.848	.220	.352	21	4	.357	131	+5	+0	+2	+1	+4	1.2
2021	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	690	640	192	28	0	29	40	137	6	25	1	.300	.347	.480	.827	.180	.341	20	6	.362	135	+27	+5	-0	+7	+20	6.0
2022	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	697	652	194	46	1	22	41	155	2	13	8	.298	.341	.472	.813	.175	.361	22	6	.354	129	+23	-1	-1	+7	+20	4.9
2023	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	601	571	184	31	4	21	27	115	2	5	3	.322	.355	.501	.856	.179	.374	19	4	.371	142	+29	-0	+1	+6	+17	5.4
2024	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	336	311	70	17	1	4	20	64	3	5	1	.225	.278	.325	.603	.100	.269	19	6	.264	60	-15	+1	+2	+4	+10	0.1
2025	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	628	582	183	46	1	16	40	91	3	4	3	.314	.362	.479	.841	.165	.349	14	6	.362	136	+25	-0	-7	+7	+18	4.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	New York Mets	111	105	25	5	0	1	5	26	0	1	0	.238	.273	.314	.587	.076	.304	23	5	.260	57	-5	+0	+1	+0	+3	-0.1
ROS	28	MLB	NYM	517	481	136	31	1	11	29	90	2	5	1	.283	.326	.420	.746	.137	.325	17	6	.329	110	+6	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.5
TOT	28	MLB	NYM	628	586	161	36	1	12	34	116	2	6	1	.275	.317	.401	.718	.126	.323	18	5	.317	101	+0	+1	-1	+6	+18	2.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	NYM	616	574	161	36	2	13	34	78	3	4	1	.280	.324	.418	.742	.138	.303	13	6	.327	108	+6	+0	-4	+7	+17	2.7
2028	30	MLB	NYM	604	563	155	35	1	12	34	79	2	3	0	.275	.319	.405	.724	.130	.302	13	6	.324	106	+4	+1	-4	+6	+17	2.4
2029	31	MLB	NYM	589	549	150	34	1	11	33	79	2	0	0	.273	.317	.399	.716	.126	.301	13	6	.320	103	+2	+0	-5	+6	+17	2.0
2030	32	MLB	NYM	570	531	143	32	1	10	32	80	2	0	0	.269	.313	.390	.703	.121	.300	14	6	.315	99	-1	+0	-6	+6	+16	1.6
2031	33	MLB	NYM	540	503	134	30	1	9	30	79	2	0	0	.266	.310	.384	.694	.117	.298	15	6	.309	94	-3	+0	-6	+6	+15	1.2
2032	34	MLB	NYM	492	461	120	26	1	8	27	76	1	0	0	.260	.303	.373	.676	.113	.296	15	5	.302	89	-6	+0	-7	+5	+14	0.7
2033	35	MLB	NYM	436	409	104	23	1	6	23	72	1	0	0	.254	.296	.359	.655	.105	.294	17	5	.293	83	-9	+0	-7	+5	+12	0.1
2034	36	MLB	NYM	375	351	88	19	1	5	20	66	1	0	0	.251	.293	.353	.646	.103	.291	18	5	.284	75	-10	+0	-8	+4	+11	-0.4
2035	37	MLB	NYM	310	290	71	15	1	3	16	57	1	0	0	.245	.287	.334	.621	.090	.287	18	5	.274	68	-11	+0	-8	+3	+9	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9786	9125	2544	568	31	226	549	1716	44	145	46	.279	.323	.422	.745	.143	.320	18	6	.327	108	+91	+11	-63	+105	+277	42.9
/ 162G	—			650	606	169	38	2	15	36	114	3	10	3	.279	.322	.422	.744	.144	.321	18	6	.327	108	+6	+1	-4	+7	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	91	82	35	9	2	4	6	17	0	3	0	.427	.466	.732	1.198	.305	.484	19	7	.499	240	+14	+1	—	—	+3	1.8
2017	19	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	182	164	53	9	1	4	14	26	2	10	4	.323	.383	.463	.847	.140	.360	14	8	.374	144	+9	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2017	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	317	284	109	32	3	10	28	55	5	12	3	.384	.448	.623	1.071	.239	.452	17	9	.466	215	+41	+1	—	—	+9	5.2
2018	20	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	595	539	154	43	7	11	48	101	2	32	11	.286	.346	.453	.799	.167	.331	17	8	.350	126	+18	+2	—	—	+17	3.7
2019	21	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	212	196	61	18	0	11	14	50	1	4	4	.311	.360	.571	.932	.260	.368	24	7	.403	167	+16	-1	-3	+5	+6	2.3
2019	21	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	244	222	61	16	2	8	19	48	1	15	5	.275	.335	.473	.808	.198	.317	20	8	.353	128	+8	+1	—	—	+7	1.6
2019	21	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	16	11	6	2	0	0	5	3	0	1	0	.545	.688	.727	1.415	.182	.750	19	31	.605	321	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.5
2020	22	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	128	123	37	9	1	5	5	27	0	4	1	.301	.328	.512	.840	.211	.352	21	4	.367	139	+6	+0	+2	+1	+4	1.3
2021	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	690	640	191	30	1	29	40	137	6	25	1	.298	.345	.484	.830	.186	.339	20	6	.364	137	+29	+5	-0	+7	+20	6.1
2022	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	697	652	189	43	1	24	41	155	2	13	8	.290	.334	.469	.803	.179	.347	22	6	.353	129	+23	-1	-1	+7	+20	4.9
2023	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	601	571	175	30	3	20	27	115	2	5	3	.306	.340	.475	.815	.168	.355	19	4	.359	133	+22	-0	+1	+6	+17	4.8
2024	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	336	311	70	16	1	4	20	64	3	5	1	.225	.278	.322	.600	.096	.269	19	6	.271	65	-13	+1	+2	+4	+10	0.3
2025	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	628	582	181	44	1	18	40	91	3	4	3	.311	.358	.483	.841	.172	.342	14	6	.370	141	+29	-0	-7	+7	+18	4.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			3292	3075	904	190	8	111	187	639	17	60	21	.294	.338	.469	.807	.175	.339	19	6	.355	130	+112	+4	-6	+38	+93	24.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bo Bichette (OGILVIE)	28	60	45	40	35	.279/.322/.416	.136	.304	13	6	12%	6%	110	+2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hanser Alberto 2021 · MLB	28	59→63	43→45	42→50	44	.288/.314/.401	.113	.307	11	5	11%	3%	101	+1.8	.256/.285/.381	.125	.282	10	7	13%	3%	84	+0.6	.251/.271/.373	.122	.279	6	4	12%	2%	74	-0.0
●Starlin Castro 2017 · MLB	27	54→63	46→50	43→50	44	.269/.306/.401	.132	.307	14	5	18%	5%	98	+1.6	.277/.317/.418	.141	.323	16	5	19%	5%	108	+2.3	.280/.322/.425	.145	.322	17	3	18%	5%	107	+2.2
✕J.R. House 2008 · MLB	28	53→59	48→50	38→30	46	.262/.305/.406	.144	.289	15	3	15%	5%	99	+1.7	.241/.286/.360	.119	.265	13	2	14%	6%	79	+0.3	.229/.274/.330	.101	.251	11	0	14%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Ronny Paulino 2009 · MLB	28	54→64	45→50	39→40	49	.264/.316/.385	.122	.309	12	3	19%	7%	98	+1.6	.252/.308/.375	.123	.294	12	4	18%	8%	92	+1.2	.259/.306/.369	.110	.299	13	3	18%	6%	89	+0.4
●Carlos Ruiz 2007 · MLB	28	53→63	48→50	45	47	.265/.315/.417	.152	.293	15	6	16%	6%	106	+2.2	.249/.325/.384	.135	.272	12	6	13%	9%	102	+1.9	.296/.383/.445	.149	.320	13	2	11%	10%	126	+2.6
●Adam Frazier 2020 · MLB	28	55→65	46→50	43→50	52	.268/.329/.407	.139	.296	11	6	14%	7%	110	+2.4	.268/.329/.389	.121	.297	10	7	13%	7%	105	+2.1	.262/.325/.366	.104	.292	7	11	12%	7%	93	+1.2
●Martín Prado 2012 · MLB	28	56→66	46→50	37→45	51	.276/.323/.413	.137	.293	13	5	12%	6%	108	+2.3	.278/.330/.408	.130	.297	12	8	10%	7%	110	+2.4	.295/.345/.408	.113	.326	10	2	12%	6%	111	+2.5
●Michael Stefanic 2023 · MLB	27	56→64	43→40	43→45	51	.270/.335/.378	.108	.303	11	7	15%	7%	105	+2.1	.275/.351/.363	.088	.308	7	8	12%	9%	108	+2.3	.280/.363/.356	.077	.313	6	7	11%	9%	108	+1.7
●Aaron Hill 2009 · MLB	27	57→61	45→55	44→50	50	.279/.331/.410	.132	.309	11	6	14%	7%	111	+2.5	.255/.308/.426	.171	.268	21	7	14%	6%	106	+2.2	.273/.332/.428	.155	.294	16	13	13%	7%	111	+2.2
●A.J. Pierzynski 2005 · MLB	28	59→63	46→55	43→40	47	.286/.333/.430	.143	.299	12	3	9%	4%	118	+3.0	.272/.320/.422	.150	.286	18	2	12%	5%	110	+2.4	.277/.317/.414	.137	.298	16	1	13%	4%	100	+1.5
●Manny Rodriguez 2010 · AAA	28	54→64	46→55	38→50	47	.268/.309/.404	.136	.287	13	5	12%	5%	101	+1.8	.250/.294/.404	.154	.272	16	9	15%	5%	95	+1.4	.268/.306/.426	.158	.284	20	10	14%	3%	107	+1.6
✕Mike Aviles 2009 · MLB	28	54→62	47→50	49→55	45	.266/.297/.408	.142	.287	14	9	13%	4%	96	+1.5	.267/.298/.402	.135	.295	13	13	14%	4%	95	+1.4	.260/.293/.385	.125	.283	13	18	14%	4%	87	+0.7
✕T.J. Rivera 2018 · MLB	29	57→67	44→50	44→45	43	.278/.314/.399	.121	.313	12	4	16%	4%	101	+1.8	.247/.290/.371	.124	.296	12	7	20%	5%	84	+0.6	.235/.275/.369	.134	.283	16	2	23%	4%	77	+0.1
●Cesar Tapia 2010 · AAA	27	59→60	45→55	43→50	48	.287/.326/.410	.123	.304	12	5	11%	5%	109	+2.4	.265/.308/.362	.097	.288	9	6	11%	5%	89	+0.9	.262/.306/.423	.161	.278	21	11	15%	5%	104	+1.1
●J.J. Hardy 2011 · MLB	28	50→56	49→55	43→30	52	.254/.314/.404	.150	.279	17	3	16%	8%	102	+1.9	.251/.298/.413	.162	.268	20	2	15%	6%	98	+1.6	.250/.294/.416	.165	.261	22	1	14%	6%	93	+1.3
✕Jordy Mercer 2015 · MLB	28	52→58	47→50	44→45	47	.255/.307/.394	.139	.292	13	6	18%	6%	97	+1.5	.250/.309/.372	.122	.285	12	4	16%	7%	92	+1.2	.250/.320/.384	.135	.284	13	1	16%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Brayan Peña 2010 · MLB	28	53→57	47→50	43→45	48	.262/.303/.398	.135	.275	14	8	11%	5%	96	+1.5	.245/.292/.361	.116	.267	11	6	12%	6%	82	+0.5	.270/.314/.351	.081	.296	5	2	10%	6%	83	+0.3
●Bengie Molina 2002 · MLB	28	53→58	46→55	43→30	48	.263/.310/.385	.122	.274	14	3	11%	5%	96	+1.5	.258/.295/.375	.117	.267	13	2	9%	4%	87	+0.8	.281/.313/.443	.161	.281	21	0	9%	3%	108	+2.0
●Reed Johnson 2005 · MLB	28	56→66	45→50	45	45	.273/.328/.396	.123	.310	12	7	16%	5%	106	+2.2	.277/.339/.413	.136	.323	12	8	17%	6%	116	+2.8	.288/.355/.413	.125	.340	10	9	17%	6%	118	+2.0
●Shea Hillenbrand 2003 · MLB	28	55→62	49→55	43→40	44	.277/.313/.429	.152	.298	16	5	14%	4%	109	+2.4	.286/.327/.452	.166	.303	18	4	12%	4%	121	+3.2	.291/.336/.455	.165	.305	18	3	11%	4%	121	+3.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)