Saul Soto

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1978-08-11

Age (2027)48

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2020

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2018	39	INTLCaneros de lo…	236	.287/.398/.436	6	1	136	—
2019	40	AAA/INTL2 orgs	792	.269/.385/.449	30	4	86	—	.192/.265/.317
2020	41	INTLCaneros de lo…	134	.153/.254/.237	2	0	44	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	26	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	348	291	85	24	1	9	45	40	2	1	1	292	391	474	865	182	305	11	13	374	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	360	328	108	19	0	17	26	51	4	1	4	329	385	543	928	213	347	14	7	406	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	408	364	116	32	0	25	37	59	5	2	3	319	389	613	1.002	294	324	14	9	431	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	379	336	95	20	0	11	40	56	1	3	1	283	361	440	801	158	310	15	11	357	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	459	396	145	23	0	27	58	65	3	1	2	366	451	629	1.080	263	387	14	13	467	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	352	306	92	22	0	9	40	45	3	2	4	301	387	461	848	160	328	13	11	376	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	201	165	51	10	0	8	31	25	3	0	0	309	427	515	942	206	321	12	15	414	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	316	267	75	18	0	13	40	39	5	4	2	281	385	494	879	213	283	12	13	385	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	268	216	56	6	0	10	41	37	2	2	2	259	382	426	808	167	260	14	15	354	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	464	381	117	20	1	23	76	76	4	4	3	307	427	546	973	239	330	16	16	425	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	256	210	53	11	0	12	42	57	1	1	0	252	379	476	856	224	285	22	16	376	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	349	301	86	17	0	18	45	69	2	0	0	286	382	522	904	236	316	20	13	396	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	224	177	31	3	0	7	39	48	1	0	0	175	327	311	638	136	194	21	17	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	456	387	117	19	1	14	54	74	6	1	2	302	396	465	861	163	337	16	12	378	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	195	171	36	5	0	3	22	36	0	1	0	211	301	292	593	82	248	18	11	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	464	362	120	20	0	23	90	60	4	2	1	331	469	577	1.047	246	338	13	19	450	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	272	227	52	14	0	11	44	45	0	1	0	229	354	436	790	207	238	17	16	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	439	360	108	24	0	10	68	59	5	2	0	300	418	450	868	150	331	13	15	387	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	256	230	60	11	0	6	24	48	0	0	0	261	331	387	718	126	307	19	9	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	468	386	128	27	0	11	78	58	0	0	1	332	444	487	931	155	364	12	17	413	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	270	237	68	16	0	3	28	40	3	1	0	287	369	392	762	105	332	15	10	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	39	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	236	195	56	11	0	6	34	30	2	1	0	287	398	436	834	149	307	13	14	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	40	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	514	436	117	24	0	22	72	98	2	3	0	268	375	475	849	206	297	19	14	375	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	40	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	278	225	61	5	0	8	48	48	2	1	1	271	404	400	804	129	308	17	17	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	41	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	134	118	18	4	0	2	16	25	0	0	0	153	254	237	491	85	176	19	12	234	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	26	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	348	306	82	22	1	7	30	48	2	1	1	268	337	415	752	147	280	14	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	360	336	92	15	0	12	18	61	4	1	4	274	318	426	744	152	302	17	5	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	408	377	97	26	0	17	24	71	5	2	3	257	310	462	772	204	274	17	6	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	379	350	85	17	0	8	26	67	1	3	1	243	297	360	657	117	277	18	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	459	421	130	20	0	19	33	78	3	1	2	309	363	492	855	183	338	17	7	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	352	322	79	18	0	5	24	55	3	2	4	245	304	348	652	102	279	16	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	316	284	62	14	0	8	23	51	5	4	2	218	288	352	641	134	235	16	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	464	410	99	16	1	13	47	97	4	4	3	241	325	380	706	139	279	21	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	349	320	73	14	0	13	26	85	2	0	0	228	290	394	684	166	269	24	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	456	410	99	15	1	10	31	94	6	1	2	241	304	356	660	115	276	21	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	464	397	99	16	0	11	55	80	4	2	1	249	346	373	719	123	274	17	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	439	387	89	19	0	6	41	75	5	2	0	230	312	326	637	96	262	17	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	468	418	108	22	0	7	46	72	0	0	1	258	332	361	693	103	292	15	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	40	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	514	464	89	19	0	13	44	125	2	3	0	192	265	317	582	125	227	24	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	348	306	82	22	1	7	30	48	2	1	1	268	337	415	752	147	291	14	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AAA RAW	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	348	291	85	24	1	9	45	40	2	1	1	292	391	474	865	182	305	11	13	374	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	360	336	92	15	0	12	18	61	4	1	4	274	318	426	744	152	302	17	5	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA RAW	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	360	328	108	19	0	17	26	51	4	1	4	329	385	543	928	213	347	14	7	406	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	408	377	97	26	0	17	24	71	5	2	3	257	310	462	772	204	276	17	6	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA RAW	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	408	364	116	32	0	25	37	59	5	2	3	319	389	613	1.002	294	324	14	9	431	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	379	350	85	17	0	8	26	67	1	3	1	243	297	360	657	117	278	18	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	379	336	95	20	0	11	40	56	1	3	1	283	361	440	801	158	310	15	11	357	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	459	421	130	20	0	19	33	78	3	1	2	309	363	492	855	183	342	17	7	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	459	396	145	23	0	27	58	65	3	1	2	366	451	629	1.080	263	387	14	13	467	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	553	504	124	28	0	8	38	86	6	2	4	246	307	349	656	103	281	16	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	553	471	143	32	0	17	71	70	6	2	4	304	401	480	881	176	326	13	13	390	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	584	522	117	27	0	15	42	93	7	6	4	224	291	362	653	138	239	16	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	584	483	131	24	0	23	81	76	7	6	4	271	384	464	847	193	273	13	14	370	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	720	636	153	24	1	21	73	150	5	5	3	241	324	381	704	140	280	21	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	720	591	170	31	1	35	118	133	5	5	3	288	410	521	932	234	315	18	16	408	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	573	519	121	24	0	22	43	140	3	0	0	233	296	407	702	173	275	24	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	573	478	117	20	0	25	84	117	3	0	0	245	361	444	805	199	271	20	15	355	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	651	590	141	22	1	14	44	135	6	2	2	239	298	351	649	112	283	21	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	651	558	153	24	1	17	76	110	6	2	2	274	367	412	779	138	310	17	12	347	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	736	635	158	26	0	17	88	127	4	3	1	249	344	370	714	121	282	17	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	736	589	172	34	0	34	134	105	4	3	1	292	426	523	949	231	301	14	18	414	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	695	617	141	30	0	9	65	119	5	2	0	229	307	321	628	92	267	17	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	695	590	168	35	0	16	92	107	5	2	0	285	386	425	811	141	322	15	13	363	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	738	657	171	34	0	12	72	114	3	1	1	260	336	367	703	107	296	15	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	738	623	196	43	0	14	106	98	3	1	1	315	417	451	868	136	352	13	14	388	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	39	INTL MLE	Caneros de los Mochis	—	236	195	56	11	0	6	34	30	2	1	0	287	398	436	834	149	307	13	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	39	INTL RAW	Caneros de los Mochis	—	236	195	56	11	0	6	34	30	2	1	0	287	398	436	834	149	307	13	14	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	40	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	792	713	137	29	0	20	68	193	4	4	1	192	266	317	583	125	231	24	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	40	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	792	661	178	29	0	30	120	146	4	4	1	269	385	449	834	180	301	18	15	371	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	41	INTL MLE	Caneros de los Mochis	—	134	118	18	4	0	2	16	25	0	0	0	153	254	237	491	85	176	19	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	41	INTL RAW	Caneros de los Mochis	—	134	118	18	4	0	2	16	25	0	0	0	153	254	237	491	85	176	19	12	234	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	348	313	82	22	1	7	30	48	2	1	1	262	337	406	743	144	280	14	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	360	335	92	15	0	12	18	61	4	1	4	275	318	427	745	152	302	17	5	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	408	376	97	26	0	17	24	71	5	2	3	258	310	463	773	205	274	17	6	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	379	349	85	17	0	8	26	67	1	3	1	244	297	361	658	117	277	18	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	459	420	130	20	0	19	33	78	3	1	2	310	363	493	856	183	338	17	7	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	553	504	124	28	0	8	38	86	6	2	4	246	307	349	656	103	279	16	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	584	530	117	27	0	15	42	93	7	6	4	221	291	357	647	136	235	16	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	720	636	153	24	1	21	73	150	5	5	3	241	324	381	704	140	279	21	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	573	522	121	24	0	22	43	140	3	0	0	232	296	404	700	172	269	24	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	651	596	141	22	1	14	44	135	6	2	2	237	298	347	646	111	276	21	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	736	638	158	26	0	17	88	127	4	3	1	248	344	368	712	121	274	17	12	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	695	620	141	30	0	9	65	119	5	2	0	227	307	319	626	92	262	17	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	738	657	171	34	0	12	72	114	3	1	1	260	336	367	703	107	292	15	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	40	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	792	714	137	29	0	20	68	193	4	4	1	192	266	317	583	125	227	24	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	8366	7496	1823	359	3	209	714	1537	60	34	27	243	314	376	690	132	277	18	9	291	83	-171	-4	+0	+149	+181	15.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	141	28	0	16	55	119	5	3	2	242	313	373	686	131	276	18	8	291	83	-13	-0	+0	+12	+14	1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 514 PAwOBA .368 → .258 (−109)K% 19.1% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.07%	÷0.936	×1.200	—	—	24.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.01%	÷1.051	×0.690	—	×0.940	8.65%
HBP% /PA	0.39%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.34%
Singles /BIP	21.01%	÷1.050	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	16.61%
Doubles /BIP	7.10%	÷0.954	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	5.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.065	×0.920	×0.950	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.51%	÷1.115	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.84%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 110, 2B 91, 3B 113, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 41 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (13.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .368 → .258; ISO .206 → .134; BABIP .297 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 468 PAwOBA .405 → .311 (−94)K% 12.4% → 15.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.39%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	15.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.03%	÷1.059	×0.690	—	×0.940	9.82%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.44%	÷1.026	×0.930	×0.971	×0.940	22.70%
Doubles /BIP	8.23%	÷1.008	×0.830	×0.971	×0.940	6.19%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.971	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.35%	÷1.050	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.10%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .405 → .311; ISO .155 → .113; BABIP .364 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 439 PAwOBA .381 → .284 (−97)K% 13.4% → 17.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.44%	÷0.941	×1.200	—	—	17.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.26%	÷1.053	×0.690	—	×0.940	9.40%
HBP% /PA	1.14%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.01%
Singles /BIP	24.58%	÷1.053	×0.930	×0.989	×0.940	20.18%
Doubles /BIP	7.97%	÷1.035	×0.830	×0.989	×0.940	5.94%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.989	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.32%	÷1.236	×0.700	—	×0.940	1.77%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .381 → .284; ISO .150 → .099; BABIP .331 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 464 PAwOBA .444 → .325 (−120)K% 12.9% → 17.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.93%	÷0.903	×1.200	—	—	17.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.32%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×0.940	11.91%
HBP% /PA	0.86%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.76%
Singles /BIP	25.50%	÷1.007	×0.930	×1.004	×0.940	22.21%
Doubles /BIP	6.62%	÷1.046	×0.830	×1.004	×0.940	4.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.004	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.62%	÷1.488	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.37%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .444 → .325; ISO .246 → .135; BABIP .338 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAAcereros del Norte · 456 PAwOBA .370 → .292 (−78)K% 16.2% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.23%	÷0.939	×1.200	—	—	20.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.75%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×0.940	6.75%
HBP% /PA	1.32%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.16%
Singles /BIP	26.52%	÷1.019	×0.930	×0.985	×0.940	22.42%
Doubles /BIP	6.07%	÷0.995	×0.830	×0.985	×0.940	4.69%
Triples /BIP	0.32%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.985	×0.940	0.24%
Home runs /BIP	4.47%	÷0.952	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.09%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .370 → .292; ISO .163 → .121; BABIP .337 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAAcereros del Norte · 349 PAwOBA .385 → .301 (−84)K% 19.8% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.77%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	24.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.32%	÷1.066	×0.690	—	×0.940	7.49%
HBP% /PA	0.57%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.51%
Singles /BIP	21.98%	÷1.004	×0.930	×1.010	×0.940	19.33%
Doubles /BIP	7.33%	÷0.942	×0.830	×1.010	×0.940	6.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.066	×0.920	×1.010	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.76%	÷0.901	×0.700	—	×0.940	5.66%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .385 → .301; ISO .236 → .181; BABIP .316 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAAcereros del Norte · 464 PAwOBA .414 → .315 (−99)K% 16.4% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.38%	÷0.946	×1.200	—	—	20.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.30%	÷0.982	×0.690	—	×0.940	10.11%
HBP% /PA	0.86%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.76%
Singles /BIP	23.93%	÷0.994	×0.930	×1.033	×0.940	21.73%
Doubles /BIP	6.56%	÷1.062	×0.830	×1.033	×0.940	4.98%
Triples /BIP	0.33%	÷1.100	×0.920	×1.033	×0.940	0.27%
Home runs /BIP	7.54%	÷1.173	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.23%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 99, 2B 112, 3B 120, K 89, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .414 → .315; ISO .239 → .151; BABIP .330 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAAcereros del Norte · 316 PAwOBA .377 → .286 (−92)K% 12.3% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.34%	÷0.928	×1.200	—	—	15.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.03%	÷1.083	×0.690	—	×0.942	7.22%
HBP% /PA	1.58%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	1.40%
Singles /BIP	19.30%	÷0.996	×0.930	×1.001	×0.942	16.98%
Doubles /BIP	7.89%	÷1.016	×0.830	×1.001	×0.942	6.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.001	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.70%	÷1.126	×0.700	—	×0.942	3.34%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 86, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .377 → .286; ISO .213 → .144; BABIP .283 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .