Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 32 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 7.547 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION204 act + 318 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 134120vR 85

AVG/OBP/SLG.265 / .314 / .412

PA318

HR8

K%18

BB%6

BABIP302

ISO146

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

768.3%

xwOBA

550.314

POWER45

Barrel%

376.6

Avg EV

3688.0

Bat Spd

4470.7

EYE40

Chase%

5331.2%

SPEED50

Sprint

2226.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 1099 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

329

770

—

wRC+

138

◀◀L

wOBA

366

301

◀◀L

ISO

160

164

—

BABIP

339

260

◀◀L

13.4%

17.3%

◀◀L

BB%

6.7%

4.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 7.547 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$6M	—	—	—
Totals		$6M		$0.0M	-$6M

Options · projected decision
2027	CLUB OPT	$14.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	CLUB OPT	$14.0M / $5.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	23	AA	3 teams	—	335	317	59	12	0	4	11	74	3	5	2	186	221	262	482	76	226	22	3	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA	3 teams	—	335	315	77	18	0	8	13	54	3	5	2	244	281	378	659	133	268	16	4	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB	3 teams	—	484	457	126	17	1	17	14	110	6	5	5	276	306	429	735	153	324	23	3	315	99	-0	-1	-3	+5	+14	1.5
2018	24	MLB	3 teams	—	484	455	132	19	1	18	16	101	6	5	5	290	323	455	778	165	333	21	3	339	118	+10	-1	-3	+5	+14	2.5
2019	25	MLB	2 teams	—	473	438	115	30	2	23	22	116	8	6	6	263	310	498	808	235	304	25	5	344	121	+11	-1	-3	-5	+13	1.6
2019	25	MLB	2 teams	—	473	437	121	32	2	24	23	109	8	6	6	277	325	524	849	247	315	23	5	366	138	+21	-1	-3	-5	+13	2.5
2020	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	224	208	64	14	0	11	14	48	0	3	1	308	351	534	885	226	351	21	6	378	147	+12	+0	-1	-2	+6	1.6
2020	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	224	208	64	14	0	11	14	48	0	3	1	308	351	534	885	226	351	21	6	384	152	+13	+0	-1	-2	+6	1.7
2021	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	541	500	137	28	2	21	32	102	2	1	3	274	320	464	784	190	303	19	6	336	115	+9	-1	-4	-6	+15	1.5
2021	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	541	500	138	28	2	21	32	102	2	1	3	276	322	466	788	190	305	19	6	343	120	+12	-1	-4	-6	+15	1.8
2022	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	493	454	131	32	1	5	31	83	6	3	4	289	342	396	739	108	342	17	6	326	108	+4	-1	-4	-5	+14	0.8
2022	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	493	453	132	32	1	5	31	83	6	3	4	291	344	400	744	108	346	17	6	333	113	+7	-1	-4	-5	+14	1.1
2023	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	551	141	34	2	23	33	103	6	5	0	256	305	450	755	194	276	17	6	327	108	+5	+1	+1	-6	+17	1.8
2023	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	551	144	35	2	24	33	103	6	5	0	261	310	463	773	201	282	17	6	339	118	+12	+1	+1	-6	+17	2.5
2024	30	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	553	513	140	21	2	17	29	101	6	7	1	273	319	421	740	148	307	18	5	323	106	+4	+1	-0	-6	+16	1.4
2024	30	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	553	513	143	22	2	18	29	101	6	7	1	279	325	435	760	156	313	18	5	335	114	+9	+1	-0	-6	+16	2.0
2025	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	546	500	121	23	2	18	31	76	6	10	4	242	294	404	698	162	248	14	6	304	91	-6	+0	-4	-6	+15	0.0
2025	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	546	500	124	24	2	19	31	76	6	10	4	248	300	418	718	170	254	14	6	313	98	-1	+0	-4	-6	+15	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	32	MLB	ARI	—	204	187	39	9	0	2	11	42	2	1	0	209	260	289	549	80	252	21	5	244	45	-13	+0	-1	-2	+6	-1.0
YTD	32	MLB	ARI	—	204	187	40	9	0	2	11	39	2	1	0	214	265	294	559	80	253	19	5	251	50	-12	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.8
ROS	32	MLB	ARI	100%	318	294	78	17	1	8	18	56	3	4	1	265	314	412	726	146	300	18	6	322	105	+2	+0	+2	-3	+9	0.9
ROS	32	MLB	ARI	100%	318	294	79	17	1	8	18	56	3	4	1	269	317	415	732	146	303	18	6	318	101	+0	+0	+2	-3	+9	0.8
FULL	32	MLB	ARI	—	522	481	118	26	1	10	29	98	5	5	1	245	295	366	661	121	285	19	6	289	79	-12	+1	+1	-6	+15	-0.2
TOT	32	MLB	ARI	—	522	481	117	26	1	10	29	98	5	5	1	243	293	364	657	121	282	19	6	291	81	-11	+1	+1	-6	+15	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	ARI	100%	492	457	120	25	1	12	27	88	5	5	1	263	311	400	711	138	299	18	5	317	100	+0	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.8
2028	34	MLB	ARI	100%	445	414	105	21	1	11	24	83	4	3	1	254	301	389	690	135	291	19	5	305	92	-4	+0	-3	-5	+13	0.1
2029	35	MLB	ARI	100%	390	362	89	17	1	9	21	75	4	2	0	246	295	373	668	127	282	19	5	293	82	-8	+0	-4	-4	+11	-0.4
2027	33	MLB	ARI	100%	492	457	121	25	1	13	27	88	5	5	1	265	313	409	722	144	302	18	5	312	97	-2	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.6
2028	34	MLB	ARI	100%	445	414	106	21	1	11	24	83	4	3	1	256	303	391	694	135	294	19	5	301	88	-6	+0	-3	-5	+13	-0.1
2029	35	MLB	ARI	100%	390	362	89	17	1	9	21	75	4	2	0	246	295	373	668	127	285	19	5	288	79	-9	+0	-4	-4	+11	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5200	4815	1297	262	15	170	289	960	49	50	22	269	317	436	753	167	303	18	6	329	110	+57	+1	-25	-49	+147	13.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	162	33	2	21	36	120	6	6	3	269	317	435	752	166	303	18	6	329	110	+7	+0	-3	-6	+18	1.7
Career	—			—	5886	5465	1426	291	16	179	307	1115	59	59	29	261	307	418	726	157	296	19	5	316	100	+0	+0	-25	-53	+167	9.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	158	32	2	20	34	123	7	7	3	262	309	421	730	159	296	19	5	316	100	+0	+0	-3	-6	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	185	170	41	10	0	4	10	30	2	2	0	241	291	371	662	129	266	16	5	292	82	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2017	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	69	66	13	1	0	1	2	13	0	1	0	197	221	258	478	61	226	19	3	213	21	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2017	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	81	79	23	7	0	3	1	11	1	2	2	291	309	494	802	203	308	14	1	351	127	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2018	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	263	249	70	8	0	11	9	59	2	1	2	281	312	446	757	165	326	22	3	331	112	+3	-1	-3	+5	+7	1.3
2018	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	156	147	43	8	0	5	4	34	3	3	2	293	325	449	774	156	345	22	3	339	117	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2018	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	65	59	19	3	1	2	3	8	1	1	1	322	365	508	874	186	333	12	5	373	143	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2019	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	343	314	87	19	2	20	20	86	5	6	4	277	330	541	872	264	318	25	6	375	145	+17	-0	-3	-5	+10	1.9
2019	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	130	123	34	13	0	4	3	23	3	0	2	276	310	480	790	203	309	18	2	344	121	+3	-1	—	—	+4	0.6
2020	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	224	208	64	14	0	11	14	48	0	3	1	308	351	534	885	226	351	21	6	384	152	+13	+0	-1	-2	+6	1.7
2021	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	541	500	138	28	2	21	32	102	2	1	3	276	322	466	788	190	305	19	6	343	120	+12	-1	-4	-6	+15	1.8
2022	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	493	453	132	32	1	5	31	83	6	3	4	291	344	400	744	108	346	17	6	333	113	+7	-1	-4	-5	+14	1.1
2023	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	592	551	144	35	2	24	33	103	6	5	0	261	310	463	773	201	282	17	6	339	118	+12	+1	+1	-6	+17	2.5
2024	30	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	553	513	143	22	2	18	29	101	6	7	1	279	325	435	760	156	313	18	5	335	114	+9	+1	-0	-6	+16	2.0
2025	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	546	500	124	24	2	19	31	76	6	10	4	248	300	418	718	170	254	14	6	313	98	-1	+0	-4	-6	+15	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3555	3288	902	182	11	129	199	658	33	36	19	274	322	454	776	180	305	19	6	340	118	+73	-0	-18	-31	+101	12.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jose Guillenlast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,969 PA	11	4,969	183	26	272	327	452	-50	-51	14.1	15.0
	/162	664	24	3	272	327	452	-6.6	-6.8	1.9	pk7: 16
#2Josh Reddicklast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA	13	4,879	146	61	262	321	426	-52	-8	13.1	13.0
	/162	664	20	8	262	321	426	-7.1	-1.1	1.8	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	5,589	179	54	267	312	431	-60	-28	13.4	12.8
	/162	664	21	6	267	312	431	-7.1	-3.4	1.6	pk7: 12
#3Ryan Ludwicklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,938 PA	11	3,938	150	17	261	330	451	-42	-34	11.8	12.7
	/162	664	25	3	261	330	451	-7.0	-5.8	2.0	pk7: 14
#4Juan Riveralast yr '12 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,739 PA	10	3,739	130	17	274	324	443	-42	-22	9.5	10.4
	/162	664	23	3	274	324	443	-7.5	-3.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#5Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#6Avisaíl Garcíalast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,298 PA	13	4,298	140	51	263	316	417	-43	-35	6.6	8.0
	/162	664	22	8	263	316	417	-6.7	-5.4	1.0	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (OGILVIE)	32	55	45	50	40	243/293/364	121	282	10	5	19%	6%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Don Kelly 2012 · MLB	32	51→59	48→45	53→55	47	253/298/390	136	272	16	12	14%	5%	92	+1.2	228/300/339	111	256	12	11	16%	9%	80	+0.4	219/306/300	82	252	8	12	16%	11%	69	-0.1
✕Gordon Beckham 2019 · MLB	32	49→56	45→50	47→45	49	242/301/370	128	276	13	8	18%	7%	89	+0.9	237/294/384	147	294	15	10	24%	6%	89	+1.0	224/279/392	167	293	16	8	28%	5%	84	+0.2
✕Kevin Pillar 2021 · MLB	32	51→60	51→55	50→55	43	258/296/427	169	281	18	13	16%	4%	102	+1.8	243/291/428	185	272	24	9	20%	5%	100	+1.7	233/278/428	194	258	27	8	22%	4%	94	+0.5
✕Issmael Salas 2014 · AAA	32	48→50	49→50	48→50	44	241/290/394	152	279	16	7	20%	6%	90	+1.0	244/286/358	114	280	12	6	17%	5%	79	+0.3	248/293/374	126	273	14	5	15%	5%	86	+0.5
✕Corban Joseph 2021 · MLB	32	53→57	47→50	48→45	48	261/309/403	142	287	13	5	15%	6%	100	+1.7	243/298/367	124	283	12	8	18%	7%	86	+0.8	260/319/364	103	294	9	0	14%	8%	91	+0.2
✕J.C. Linares 2017 · AAA	32	47→52	50→55	51→40	47	240/306/396	156	288	17	9	23%	7%	98	+1.6	229/291/373	144	265	16	10	20%	7%	85	+0.7	214/289/367	153	224	20	3	16%	9%	82	+0.1
✕Andy Phillips 2009 · MLB	32	52→55	48→55	44→40	49	259/312/398	140	287	16	5	16%	7%	100	+1.7	252/300/384	132	284	15	7	17%	6%	92	+1.2	268/304/378	110	299	13	2	15%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Kyle Farmer 2023 · MLB	32	50→55	47→50	41→45	45	251/310/384	133	284	15	5	18%	5%	97	+1.5	237/301/376	139	281	15	5	21%	6%	91	+1.1	223/288/357	134	268	15	3	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Tsuyoshi Shinjo 2003 · MLB	31	50→54	47→50	47→45	49	247/303/384	137	266	14	8	14%	6%	93	+1.3	231/289/354	123	250	13	8	14%	7%	79	+0.3	188/234/240	51	202	5	0	10%	5%	20	-0.8
✕Abraham Valencia 2012 · AAA	32	49→53	47→55	48→45	44	244/301/378	134	270	15	8	16%	4%	92	+1.2	249/304/397	148	286	19	4	20%	4%	98	+1.6	253/311/389	136	293	18	2	20%	4%	94	+0.7
✕Jeff Bailey 2011 · MLB	32	46→49	47→55	49→45	47	228/304/364	137	281	14	5	24%	8%	89	+1.0	215/287/338	123	279	12	8	26%	7%	75	-0.0	198/277/319	121	257	11	7	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Brandon Guyer 2018 · MLB	32	52→57	46→55	48→55	48	251/347/387	136	295	13	9	19%	7%	115	+2.7	224/314/371	147	266	15	6	21%	7%	96	+1.5	190/286/348	159	209	19	2	20%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Adonis García 2017 · MLB	32	54→56	47→50	45→50	42	267/300/402	135	301	15	6	17%	4%	96	+1.5	241/284/365	124	275	14	11	18%	4%	80	+0.4	207/253/301	94	239	12	15	19%	4%	49	-0.7
✕Clint Barmes 2011 · MLB	32	46→56	48→55	44→50	48	233/291/379	146	259	16	10	18%	6%	87	+0.8	228/284/346	118	268	12	4	19%	6%	76	+0.0	221/276/322	101	273	7	1	20%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Luis Fonseca 2016 · AAA	31	52→62	47→50	48→45	42	257/294/396	139	307	15	10	22%	5%	92	+1.2	238/267/358	120	297	14	8	24%	4%	71	-0.3	241/268/356	115	299	14	6	24%	3%	69	-0.2
✕Matt Szczur 2021 · MLB	32	46→56	48→45	44→55	47	230/290/373	143	280	15	8	24%	8%	85	+0.7	214/260/369	155	283	19	9	31%	6%	72	-0.2	146/180/303	157	174	24	0	34%	4%	17	-0.7
✕Matt Hague 2018 · MLB	32	53→63	43→50	48→45	48	259/313/366	107	293	10	8	16%	6%	92	+1.2	232/300/332	100	275	9	8	18%	8%	78	+0.2	212/311/269	57	256	2	0	16%	13%	67	-0.2
●Raul Gonzalez 2006 · MLB	32	51→61	48→45	43→50	50	253/306/398	145	280	15	7	16%	7%	98	+1.6	259/312/379	120	295	11	6	16%	7%	95	+1.4	289/345/400	111	326	11	5	14%	7%	109	+1.3
✕Lew Ford 2009 · MLB	32	48→58	44→50	49→50	49	234/303/355	121	281	11	13	21%	8%	85	+0.7	234/302/378	144	261	14	12	16%	8%	92	+1.2	273/320/457	184	298	21	8	16%	6%	116	+1.0
✕Emil Brown 2009 · MLB	34	51→58	47→50	48→50	50	254/311/389	135	282	15	10	16%	7%	98	+1.6	235/289/366	131	278	14	8	20%	7%	82	+0.5	220/269/332	112	272	10	3	22%	6%	62	-0.5