Casey McGehee

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1982-10-12

Age (2027)44

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	31	MLBMIA	691	.287/.358/.357	4	4	109	2.9
2015	32	AAASF	46	.357/.400/.571	2	0	111	—	.302/.333/.488
2015	32	MLBMIA	258	.198/.264/.274	2	1	60	-0.8
2016	33	AAADET	480	.317/.374/.443	6	6	81	—	.260/.299/.353
2016	33	MLBDET	96	.228/.260/.239	0	0	45	-0.0
2017	34	No MLB games played
2018	35	No MLB games played
2019	36	No MLB games played
2020	37	No MLB games played
2021	38	No MLB games played
2022	39	No MLB games played
2023	40	No MLB games played
2024	41	No MLB games played
2025	42	No MLB games played
2026	43	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.1

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2016

Avg EV47

Speed26

xwOBA22

Barrel%13

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	22	AA	West Tenn Diamond Jaxx	—	505	455	135	31	1	8	43	64	1	2	2	297	359	422	781	125	326	13	9	346	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	546	497	139	28	1	11	41	70	3	0	3	280	338	406	745	127	305	13	8	331	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	57	52	9	2	0	1	3	10	1	0	1	173	232	269	501	96	190	18	5	226	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	429	384	105	26	2	9	40	73	0	1	2	273	342	422	764	148	313	17	9	338	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	25	24	4	1	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	167	167	208	375	42	235	32	0	160	-6	-3	+0	+2	+2	+1	0.1
2008	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	550	497	147	30	0	12	40	89	3	0	3	296	352	429	780	133	333	16	7	343	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	394	355	107	20	1	16	34	67	1	0	2	301	364	499	863	197	330	17	9	377	139	+18	-1	-7	+1	+9	2.1
2010	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	670	610	174	38	1	23	50	102	2	1	1	285	341	464	805	179	306	15	7	352	123	+18	-0	-2	+2	+15	3.3
2011	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	600	546	122	24	2	13	45	104	1	0	3	223	284	346	630	123	249	17	8	281	74	-18	-1	+9	+2	+13	0.5
2012	29	MLB	New York Yankees	—	352	318	69	16	1	9	29	70	2	1	1	217	287	358	645	142	248	20	8	288	79	-9	-0	+1	-7	+8	-0.7
2012	29	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	27	25	9	3	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	360	407	480	887	120	429	15	7	395	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	691	616	177	29	1	4	67	102	1	4	2	287	358	357	715	70	335	15	10	324	109	+8	+0	+3	+2	+15	2.9
2015	32	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	258	237	47	12	0	2	21	50	0	1	1	198	264	274	538	76	243	19	8	248	60	-12	-0	-2	+1	+6	-0.8
2015	32	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	46	42	15	3	0	2	3	5	0	0	0	357	400	571	971	214	361	11	7	416	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	96	92	21	1	0	0	3	14	1	0	0	228	260	239	500	11	269	15	3	231	45	-6	+0	+2	+2	+2	-0.0
2016	33	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	480	438	139	37	0	6	38	73	2	6	3	317	374	443	817	126	368	15	8	364	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3086	2798	721	141	6	67	249	517	8	7	10	258	320	384	704	127	291	17	8	314	99	-5	-3	+6	+7	+67	7.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	22	AA MLE	West Tenn Diamond Jaxx	—	505	471	135	31	1	7	27	78	1	2	2	287	327	401	728	115	322	15	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	546	507	129	24	1	9	31	90	3	0	3	254	301	359	660	105	289	16	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	57	53	9	2	0	1	2	13	1	0	1	170	214	264	478	94	176	23	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	429	400	100	25	2	7	24	89	0	1	2	250	292	375	667	125	295	21	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	25	24	4	1	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	167	167	208	375	42	235	32	0	160	-6	-3	+0	+2	+2	+1	0.1
2008	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	550	508	130	25	0	9	29	115	3	0	3	256	300	358	658	102	300	21	5	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	394	357	107	20	1	16	32	67	1	0	2	300	359	496	855	196	330	17	8	373	139	+18	-1	-7	+1	+9	2.1
2010	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	670	615	177	41	1	22	45	102	2	1	1	288	338	465	803	177	306	15	7	349	123	+18	-0	-2	+2	+15	3.3
2011	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	600	550	123	26	2	12	41	104	1	0	3	224	279	344	622	120	249	17	7	278	74	-18	-1	+9	+2	+13	0.5
2012	29	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	352	318	68	16	1	8	29	70	2	1	1	214	284	346	630	132	248	20	8	286	79	-9	-0	+1	-7	+8	-0.7
2012	29	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	27	26	7	2	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	269	296	346	642	77	367	22	4	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	691	619	182	32	1	4	64	102	1	4	2	294	361	368	729	74	335	15	9	330	109	+8	+0	+3	+2	+15	2.9
2015	32	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	258	237	49	13	0	2	21	50	0	1	1	207	271	287	558	80	243	19	8	256	60	-12	-0	-2	+1	+6	-0.8
2015	32	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	46	43	13	2	0	2	2	6	0	0	0	302	333	488	822	186	293	13	4	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	96	92	21	1	0	0	3	14	1	0	0	228	260	239	500	11	269	15	3	234	45	-6	+0	+2	+2	+2	-0.0
2016	33	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	480	453	118	27	0	5	23	87	2	6	3	260	299	353	652	93	309	18	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA MLE	West Tenn Diamond Jaxx	—	505	471	135	31	1	7	27	78	1	2	2	287	327	401	728	115	327	15	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA RAW	West Tenn Diamond Jaxx	—	505	455	135	31	1	8	43	64	1	2	2	297	359	422	781	125	326	13	9	346	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	546	507	129	24	1	9	31	90	3	0	3	254	301	359	660	105	291	16	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	—	546	497	139	28	1	11	41	70	3	0	3	280	338	406	745	127	305	13	8	331	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	486	453	108	27	2	8	26	102	1	1	3	238	281	360	641	121	287	21	5	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	486	436	114	28	2	10	43	83	1	1	3	261	329	404	733	142	298	17	9	324	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	575	532	134	26	0	9	29	123	3	0	3	252	294	352	646	100	304	21	5	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	575	521	151	31	0	12	40	97	3	0	3	290	344	418	762	129	329	17	7	335	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	394	357	107	20	1	16	32	67	1	0	2	300	359	496	855	196	327	17	8	373	139	+18	-1	-7	+1	+9	2.1
2009	26	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	394	355	107	20	1	16	34	67	1	0	2	301	364	499	863	197	330	17	9	377	139	+18	-1	-7	+1	+9	2.1
2010	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	670	615	177	41	1	22	45	102	2	1	1	288	338	465	803	177	311	15	7	349	123	+18	-0	-2	+2	+15	3.3
2010	27	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	670	610	174	38	1	23	50	102	2	1	1	285	341	464	805	179	306	15	7	352	123	+18	-0	-2	+2	+15	3.3
2011	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	600	550	123	26	2	12	41	104	1	0	3	224	279	344	622	120	251	17	7	278	74	-18	-1	+9	+2	+13	0.5
2011	28	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	600	546	122	24	2	13	45	104	1	0	3	223	284	346	630	123	249	17	8	281	74	-18	-1	+9	+2	+13	0.5
2012	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	379	344	75	18	1	8	30	76	2	1	1	218	285	346	631	128	255	20	8	287	80	-9	-0	+1	-7	+8	-0.7
2012	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	379	343	78	19	1	9	31	74	2	1	1	227	295	367	663	140	262	20	8	296	80	-9	-0	+1	-7	+8	-0.7
2014	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	691	619	182	32	1	4	64	102	1	4	2	294	361	368	729	74	342	15	9	330	109	+8	+0	+3	+2	+15	2.9
2014	31	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	691	616	177	29	1	4	67	102	1	4	2	287	358	357	715	70	335	15	10	324	109	+8	+0	+3	+2	+15	2.9
2015	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	304	280	61	15	0	4	23	56	0	1	1	218	277	314	592	96	258	18	8	268	67	-12	-0	-2	+1	+7	-0.7
2015	32	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	304	279	62	15	0	4	24	55	0	1	1	222	284	319	603	97	262	18	8	274	67	-12	-0	-2	+1	+7	-0.7
2016	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	576	545	139	28	0	5	26	101	3	6	3	255	293	334	627	79	304	18	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	576	530	160	38	0	6	41	87	3	6	3	302	355	408	763	106	351	15	7	342	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	22	AA MLE	West Tenn Diamond Jaxx	—	505	472	135	31	1	7	27	78	1	2	2	286	327	400	727	114	322	15	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	546	507	129	24	1	9	31	90	3	0	3	254	301	359	660	105	289	16	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	486	456	108	27	2	8	26	102	1	1	3	237	281	357	639	121	281	21	5	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	575	538	134	26	0	9	29	123	3	0	3	249	294	348	642	99	297	21	5	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	394	358	107	20	1	16	32	67	1	0	2	299	359	494	853	196	330	17	8	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	670	618	177	41	1	22	45	102	2	1	1	286	338	463	801	176	306	15	7	349	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	600	553	123	26	2	12	41	104	1	0	3	222	279	342	620	119	249	17	7	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	379	344	75	18	1	8	30	76	2	1	1	218	285	346	631	128	256	20	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	31	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	691	621	182	32	1	4	64	102	1	4	2	293	361	367	728	74	335	15	9	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	32	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	304	278	61	15	0	4	23	56	0	1	1	219	277	317	594	97	251	18	8	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	576	542	139	28	0	5	26	101	3	6	3	256	293	336	628	79	302	18	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3086	2798	721	141	6	67	249	517	8	7	10	258	320	384	704	127	291	17	8	314	92	-5	-3	+6	+7	+67	7.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	152	30	1	14	52	109	2	1	2	258	320	384	704	126	292	17	8	314	92	-1	-1	+1	+1	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5726	5273	1370	288	10	104	374	1001	18	16	24	260	311	377	688	118	299	17	7	305	92	-5	-3	+6	+7	+67	7.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	156	33	1	12	42	114	2	2	3	260	311	379	690	119	300	18	6	305	92	-1	-1	+1	+1	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 480 PAwOBA .354 → .288 (−66)K% 15.2% → 18.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.21%	÷1.009	×1.200	—	—	18.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.29%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.71%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.37%
Singles /BIP	26.30%	÷1.001	×0.930	×1.015	×0.940	23.30%
Doubles /BIP	10.14%	÷1.092	×0.830	×1.015	×0.940	7.35%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.015	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.64%	÷0.899	×0.840	—	×0.940	1.44%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .354 → .288; ISO .126 → .098; BABIP .368 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAASacramento River Cats · 46 PAwOBA .414 → .332 (−82)K% 10.9% → 13.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.87%	÷1.047	×1.290	—	—	13.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.52%	÷0.960	×0.710	—	×0.942	4.55%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.03%	÷1.003	×0.900	—	×0.942	22.84%
Doubles /BIP	8.11%	÷1.024	×0.810	—	×0.942	6.04%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.925	×0.810	—	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.41%	÷0.982	×0.780	—	×0.942	4.04%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 85, K 109, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .414 → .332; ISO .214 → .163; BABIP .361 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 ACharleston RiverDogs · 27 PAwOBA .385 → .303 (−82)K% 14.8% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.81%	÷0.974	×1.340	—	—	20.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.41%	÷1.032	×0.660	—	×0.940	4.45%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷0.954	×0.920	—	×0.940	25.89%
Doubles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.020	×0.820	—	×0.940	10.79%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.142	×0.820	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 91, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .385 → .303; ISO .120 → .088; BABIP .429 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAIowa Cubs · 550 PAwOBA .340 → .290 (−50)K% 16.2% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.18%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	20.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.27%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.018	5.26%
HBP% /PA	0.55%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.54%
Singles /BIP	25.74%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.015	×1.018	23.92%
Doubles /BIP	7.35%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.015	×1.018	6.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.015	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.34%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .340 → .290; ISO .133 → .107; BABIP .333 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AATennessee Smokies · 429 PAwOBA .328 → .293 (−35)K% 17.0% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.02%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	20.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.16%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.998	5.54%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.86%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.038	×0.998	20.84%
Doubles /BIP	8.36%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.038	×0.998	7.88%
Triples /BIP	0.64%	÷1.000	×0.880	×1.038	×0.998	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	2.89%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	2.31%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .328 → .293; ISO .148 → .132; BABIP .313 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAAIowa Cubs · 57 PAwOBA .224 → .193 (−32)K% 17.5% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.54%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	22.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.033	3.86%
HBP% /PA	1.75%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	1.78%
Singles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.025	×1.033	13.61%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.025	×1.033	4.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.025	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.38%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.033	1.92%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .224 → .193; ISO .096 → .077; BABIP .190 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAAIowa Cubs · 546 PAwOBA .325 → .289 (−36)K% 12.8% → 16.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.82%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	16.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.51%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.048	5.59%
HBP% /PA	0.55%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.56%
Singles /BIP	23.19%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.033	×1.048	22.59%
Doubles /BIP	6.56%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.033	×1.048	5.75%
Triples /BIP	0.23%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.033	×1.048	0.21%
Home runs /BIP	2.58%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.048	2.11%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .325 → .289; ISO .127 → .106; BABIP .305 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AAWest Tenn Diamond Jaxx · 505 PAwOBA .338 → .319 (−19)K% 12.7% → 15.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.67%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	15.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.52%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.027	5.25%
HBP% /PA	0.20%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	0.17%
Singles /BIP	24.30%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.027	24.10%
Doubles /BIP	7.93%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.050	×1.027	7.78%
Triples /BIP	0.26%	÷1.000	×0.880	×1.050	×1.027	0.24%
Home runs /BIP	2.05%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	1.68%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .338 → .319; ISO .125 → .117; BABIP .326 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).