Trevor Plouffe

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1986-06-15

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	30	MLBMIN	344	.260/.306/.420	12	1	101	0.8
2017	31	AAATB	28	.227/.370/.273	0	0	57	—	.208/.296/.250
2017	31	MLBTB	313	.198/.272/.318	9	1	65	-0.8
2018	32	AAAPHI	291	.232/.364/.468	13	3	78	—	.179/.280/.363
2019	33	No MLB games played
2020	34	No MLB games played
2021	35	No MLB games played
2022	36	No MLB games played
2023	37	No MLB games played
2024	38	No MLB games played
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2016-2018

Avg EV51

xwOBA49

Speed37

Barrel%32

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	532	466	104	18	0	13	50	78	4	8	4	223	304	345	649	122	238	15	9	290	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	524	455	112	26	4	4	58	93	4	8	5	246	337	347	684	101	298	18	11	309	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	555	497	136	37	2	9	38	89	2	12	7	274	328	410	738	137	316	16	7	319	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	272	250	64	17	3	6	14	47	0	1	1	256	295	420	715	164	290	17	5	306	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	249	227	61	17	3	3	16	43	3	4	2	269	325	410	735	141	320	17	6	324	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	477	430	112	23	5	10	34	68	2	3	6	260	318	407	725	147	284	14	7	316	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	44	41	6	1	0	2	0	14	0	0	0	146	146	317	463	171	154	32	0	185	11	-5	+0	+0	+5	+1	0.2
2010	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	445	402	98	22	4	15	27	90	6	5	5	244	301	430	731	187	278	20	6	316	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	320	286	68	18	1	8	25	71	4	3	3	238	308	392	700	154	286	22	8	309	95	-2	-1	-14	+6	+7	-0.4
2011	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	220	192	60	11	3	15	21	39	3	3	1	312	389	635	1.024	323	319	18	10	432	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	465	422	99	19	1	24	37	92	4	1	3	235	302	455	757	220	244	20	8	332	111	+6	-1	-11	+2	+10	0.5
2013	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	522	477	121	22	1	14	34	112	6	2	1	254	311	392	703	138	301	21	7	313	97	-2	+0	-1	+2	+11	1.0
2013	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	17	15	5	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	333	412	533	945	200	364	18	12	417	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	582	520	134	40	2	14	53	109	4	2	1	258	331	423	754	165	299	19	9	334	110	+7	+0	+7	+2	+13	2.9
2015	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	632	573	140	35	4	22	50	124	4	2	1	244	309	435	744	190	274	20	8	327	107	+5	+0	+6	+2	+14	2.7
2016	30	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	344	319	83	13	1	12	19	60	2	1	0	260	306	420	726	160	284	17	6	319	101	+1	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.8
2016	30	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	20	19	6	2	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	316	350	579	929	263	385	25	5	403	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	313	283	56	7	0	9	28	88	1	1	2	198	272	318	590	120	251	28	9	269	65	-13	-1	-2	+1	+7	-0.8
2017	31	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	28	22	5	1	0	0	5	5	0	0	0	227	370	273	643	45	278	18	18	300	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	291	237	55	17	0	13	47	72	2	3	0	232	364	468	832	236	268	25	16	363	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3222	2921	707	155	10	105	246	670	25	12	11	242	306	410	716	168	278	21	8	316	100	+1	-2	-18	+21	+70	7.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	19	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	532	480	95	15	0	11	36	106	4	8	4	198	260	298	558	100	221	20	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	524	468	100	24	3	3	45	132	4	8	5	214	288	297	585	83	283	25	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	555	507	136	34	2	8	28	109	2	12	7	268	309	391	700	122	311	20	5	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	272	254	62	15	3	5	10	56	0	1	1	244	273	386	659	142	283	21	4	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	249	233	58	15	3	2	10	53	3	4	2	249	289	365	653	116	309	21	4	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	477	440	108	20	5	9	24	82	2	3	6	245	288	375	663	130	271	17	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	44	41	6	1	0	2	0	14	0	0	0	146	146	317	463	171	154	32	0	185	11	-5	+0	+0	+5	+1	0.2
2010	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	445	410	91	19	4	14	19	105	6	5	5	222	267	390	657	168	255	24	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	320	286	68	18	1	8	25	71	4	3	3	238	308	392	700	154	286	22	8	309	95	-2	-1	-14	+6	+7	-0.4
2011	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	220	198	51	9	2	11	15	49	3	3	1	258	319	490	809	232	278	22	7	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	465	422	99	19	1	24	37	92	4	1	3	235	302	455	757	220	244	20	8	332	111	+6	-1	-11	+2	+10	0.5
2013	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	522	478	121	22	1	14	33	112	6	2	1	253	309	391	701	138	301	21	6	311	97	-2	+0	-1	+2	+11	1.0
2013	27	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	17	16	5	0	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	312	353	500	853	188	323	24	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	582	522	134	40	2	14	51	109	4	2	1	257	328	421	749	165	299	19	9	331	110	+7	+0	+7	+2	+13	2.9
2015	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	632	573	140	35	4	22	50	124	4	2	1	244	309	435	744	190	274	20	8	326	107	+5	+0	+6	+2	+14	2.7
2016	30	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	344	319	83	13	1	12	19	60	2	1	0	260	306	420	726	160	284	17	6	318	101	+1	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.8
2016	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	20	19	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	263	300	474	774	211	317	30	5	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	313	285	55	7	0	9	26	88	1	1	2	193	263	312	575	119	251	28	8	265	65	-13	-1	-2	+1	+7	-0.8
2017	31	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	28	24	5	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	208	296	250	546	42	239	21	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	291	251	45	13	0	11	33	90	2	3	0	179	280	363	642	183	215	31	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	532	480	95	15	0	11	36	106	4	8	4	198	260	298	558	100	227	20	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	—	532	466	104	18	0	13	50	78	4	8	4	223	304	345	649	122	238	15	9	290	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	524	468	100	24	3	3	45	132	4	8	5	214	288	297	585	83	287	25	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+ RAW	Fort Myers Miracle	—	524	455	112	26	4	4	58	93	4	8	5	246	337	347	684	101	298	18	11	309	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	555	507	136	34	2	8	28	109	2	12	7	268	309	391	700	122	326	20	5	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA RAW	New Britain Rock Cats	—	555	497	136	37	2	9	38	89	2	12	7	274	328	410	738	137	316	16	7	319	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	521	487	122	31	6	8	20	109	3	5	3	251	284	388	672	138	306	21	4	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	521	477	125	34	6	9	30	90	3	5	3	262	310	415	725	153	304	17	6	315	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	477	440	108	20	5	9	24	82	2	3	6	245	288	375	663	130	278	17	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	—	477	430	112	23	5	10	34	68	2	3	6	260	318	407	725	147	284	14	7	316	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	489	451	97	20	4	16	19	119	6	5	5	215	256	384	640	169	254	24	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	489	443	104	23	4	17	27	104	6	5	5	235	288	420	708	185	268	21	6	305	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	540	484	119	27	3	19	40	120	7	6	4	246	313	432	744	186	285	22	7	324	106	+4	-0	-14	+6	+12	0.7
2011	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	540	478	128	29	4	23	46	110	7	6	4	268	341	490	830	222	299	20	9	359	106	+4	-0	-14	+6	+12	0.7
2012	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	465	422	99	19	1	24	37	92	4	1	3	235	302	455	757	220	244	20	8	332	111	+6	-1	-11	+2	+10	0.5
2012	26	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	465	422	99	19	1	24	37	92	4	1	3	235	302	455	757	220	244	20	8	332	111	+6	-1	-11	+2	+10	0.5
2013	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	539	494	126	22	1	15	34	116	6	2	1	255	311	395	706	140	302	22	6	312	97	-2	+0	-1	+2	+12	1.1
2013	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	539	492	126	22	1	15	36	115	6	2	1	256	315	396	711	140	303	21	7	316	97	-2	+0	-1	+2	+12	1.1
2014	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	582	522	134	40	2	14	51	109	4	2	1	257	328	421	749	165	297	19	9	331	110	+7	+0	+7	+2	+13	2.9
2014	28	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	582	520	134	40	2	14	53	109	4	2	1	258	331	423	754	165	299	19	9	334	110	+7	+0	+7	+2	+13	2.9
2015	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	632	573	140	35	4	22	50	124	4	2	1	244	309	435	744	190	274	20	8	326	107	+5	+0	+6	+2	+14	2.7
2015	29	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	632	573	140	35	4	22	50	124	4	2	1	244	309	435	744	190	274	20	8	327	107	+5	+0	+6	+2	+14	2.7
2016	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	364	338	88	14	1	13	20	66	2	1	0	260	306	423	729	163	286	18	5	317	101	+0	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.8
2016	30	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	364	338	89	15	1	13	20	65	2	1	0	263	308	429	737	166	289	18	5	323	101	+0	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.8
2017	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	341	309	60	8	0	9	29	94	1	1	2	194	265	307	573	113	245	28	9	264	64	-14	-1	-2	+1	+7	-0.9
2017	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	341	305	61	8	0	9	33	93	1	1	2	200	280	315	595	115	254	27	10	271	64	-14	-1	-2	+1	+7	-0.9
2018	32	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	291	251	45	13	0	11	33	90	2	3	0	179	280	363	642	183	219	31	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	291	237	55	17	0	13	47	72	2	3	0	232	364	468	832	236	268	25	16	363	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	532	487	95	15	0	11	36	106	4	8	4	195	260	294	553	99	221	20	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	524	470	100	24	3	3	45	132	4	8	5	213	288	296	584	83	283	25	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA MLE	New Britain Rock Cats	—	555	520	136	34	2	8	28	109	2	12	7	262	309	381	690	119	311	20	5	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	521	493	122	31	6	8	20	109	3	5	3	247	284	383	668	136	295	21	4	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	477	448	108	20	5	9	24	82	2	3	6	241	288	368	656	127	271	17	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	489	461	97	20	4	16	19	119	6	5	5	210	256	375	632	165	246	24	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	540	488	119	27	3	19	40	120	7	6	4	244	313	428	741	184	283	22	7	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	465	421	99	19	1	24	37	92	4	1	3	235	302	456	758	221	244	20	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	539	494	126	22	1	15	34	116	6	2	1	255	311	395	706	140	302	22	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	582	522	134	40	2	14	51	109	4	2	1	257	328	421	749	165	299	19	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	632	573	140	35	4	22	50	124	4	2	1	244	309	435	744	190	274	20	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	364	339	88	14	1	13	20	66	2	1	0	260	306	422	727	162	286	18	5	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	341	308	60	8	0	9	29	94	1	1	2	195	265	308	574	114	250	28	9	264	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	291	254	45	13	0	11	33	90	2	3	0	177	280	358	638	181	215	31	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3222	2921	707	155	10	105	246	670	25	12	11	242	306	410	716	168	278	21	8	316	87	+1	-2	-18	+21	+70	7.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	142	31	2	21	50	135	5	2	2	241	306	407	713	166	276	21	8	316	87	+0	-0	-4	+4	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6852	6226	1469	322	32	182	466	1468	51	59	42	236	295	386	680	150	278	21	7	297	87	+1	-2	-18	+21	+70	7.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	140	31	3	17	44	139	5	6	4	237	296	386	682	149	279	21	7	297	87	+0	-0	-4	+4	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 291 PAwOBA .360 → .284 (−76)K% 24.7% → 30.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.74%	÷0.962	×1.200	—	—	30.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.15%	÷0.932	×0.690	—	×0.952	11.38%
HBP% /PA	0.69%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.62%
Singles /BIP	15.15%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.950	×0.952	12.75%
Doubles /BIP	10.30%	÷0.971	×0.830	×0.950	×0.952	7.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.950	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.88%	÷0.954	×0.840	—	×0.952	6.60%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .360 → .284; ISO .236 → .195; BABIP .268 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAADurham Bulls · 28 PAwOBA .304 → .252 (−52)K% 17.9% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.86%	÷1.027	×1.200	—	—	20.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.86%	÷0.993	×0.690	—	×0.962	11.94%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷1.025	×0.930	—	×0.962	20.54%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.008	×0.830	—	×0.962	4.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.022	×0.970	—	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.049	×0.840	—	×0.962	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 105, 2B 102, 3B 104, K 105, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .304 → .252; ISO .045 → .040; BABIP .278 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAARochester Red Wings · 20 PAwOBA .391 → .304 (−88)K% 25.0% → 29.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷1.007	×1.200	—	—	29.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷0.968	×0.690	—	×0.972	3.47%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷0.953	×0.930	—	×0.972	20.34%
Doubles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.224	×0.830	—	×0.972	9.42%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.971	×0.970	—	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷0.951	×0.840	—	×0.972	6.13%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 145, 3B 94, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .391 → .304; ISO .263 → .195; BABIP .385 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARochester Red Wings · 17 PAwOBA .406 → .346 (−60)K% 17.6% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷0.987	×1.200	—	—	21.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.76%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×1.003	7.94%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.040	×0.930	—	×1.003	29.89%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.977	×0.830	—	×1.003	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.33%	÷0.938	×0.840	—	×1.003	7.49%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 108, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .406 → .346; ISO .200 → .180; BABIP .364 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAARochester Red Wings · 220 PAwOBA .426 → .347 (−79)K% 17.7% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.73%	÷0.950	×1.200	—	—	22.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.55%	÷1.024	×0.690	—	×1.033	6.65%
HBP% /PA	1.36%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.32%
Singles /BIP	20.26%	÷0.980	×0.930	×0.950	×1.033	18.87%
Doubles /BIP	7.19%	÷1.004	×0.830	×0.950	×1.033	5.83%
Triples /BIP	1.96%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×1.033	1.62%
Home runs /BIP	9.80%	÷1.150	×0.840	—	×1.033	7.40%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .426 → .347; ISO .323 → .249; BABIP .319 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAARochester Red Wings · 445 PAwOBA .309 → .278 (−31)K% 20.2% → 23.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.22%	÷1.025	×1.200	—	—	23.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.07%	÷1.055	×0.690	—	×1.048	4.16%
HBP% /PA	1.35%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.33%
Singles /BIP	18.27%	÷1.011	×0.930	×0.976	×1.048	17.18%
Doubles /BIP	7.05%	÷1.009	×0.830	×0.976	×1.048	5.93%
Triples /BIP	1.28%	÷0.903	×0.970	×0.976	×1.048	1.41%
Home runs /BIP	4.81%	÷0.944	×0.840	—	×1.048	4.48%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 81, K 105, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .309 → .278; ISO .187 → .174; BABIP .278 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAARochester Red Wings · 477 PAwOBA .311 → .287 (−24)K% 14.3% → 17.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.26%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	17.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.92%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.01%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.41%
Singles /BIP	20.44%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.000	×1.050	19.96%
Doubles /BIP	6.35%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.000	×1.050	5.54%
Triples /BIP	1.38%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.000	×1.050	1.41%
Home runs /BIP	2.76%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.44%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .311 → .287; ISO .147 → .135; BABIP .284 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAARochester Red Wings · 272 PAwOBA .301 → .283 (−18)K% 17.3% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.28%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	20.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.15%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.050	3.73%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.72%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.034	×1.050	18.89%
Doubles /BIP	8.37%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.034	×1.050	7.54%
Triples /BIP	1.48%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.034	×1.050	1.56%
Home runs /BIP	2.96%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.61%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .301 → .283; ISO .164 → .152; BABIP .290 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).