Julio Rodríguez

Julio RodríguezCF Seattle Mariners

Age 25 R/R 6'4" / 228 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2034 ILInjured 7-Day (D7)

2026 ROS PROJECTION378 act + 252 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 116117vR 118

AVG/OBP/SLG.279 / .340 / .467

PA252

HR10

SB11

K%22

BB%7

BABIP327

ISO188

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

4311.8%

xwOBA

850.348

POWER50

Barrel%

619.8

Avg EV

8491.4

Bat Spd

9076.2

EYE35

Chase%

5231.2%

SPEED60

Sprint

8728.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1445 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

380

1065

—

wRC+

116

112

◀L

wOBA

336

332

—

ISO

201

154

◀◀L

BABIP

302

328

▶R

23.9%

23.0%

▶R

BB%

6.3%

5.9%

◀L

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$10M	+1.4	$11M	+$1M
2027	Ext	$25M	+5.5	$41M	+$18M
2028	Ext	$25M	+5.5	$38M	+$18M
2029	Ext	$25M	+5.3	$34M	+$16M
2030	Ext	$25M	+5.1	$30M	+$14M
2031	Ext	$25M	+4.7	$26M	+$11M
2032	Ext	$25M	+4.2	$21M	+$8M
2033	Ext	$25M	+3.7	$17M	+$5M
2034	Ext	$25M	+2.7	$12M	+$1M
Totals		$210M		$230M	+$92M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	255	231	55	9	7	4	18	58	4	10	0	238	304	390	694	152	298	23	7	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	255	219	69	13	9	5	30	40	4	10	0	315	407	525	932	210	364	16	12	406	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A	3 teams	—	430	395	103	24	3	13	18	115	13	5	4	261	315	435	750	175	332	27	4	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A	3 teams	—	430	380	122	30	4	12	33	86	13	5	4	321	394	516	910	195	385	20	8	398	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	64	56	11	1	1	0	6	16	2	3	0	196	297	250	547	54	275	25	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	64	56	11	1	1	0	6	16	2	3	0	196	297	250	547	54	275	25	9	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	AA	2 teams	—	340	311	99	17	2	13	23	87	6	21	5	318	376	511	888	193	408	26	7	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	AA	2 teams	—	340	291	101	19	2	13	43	66	6	21	5	347	441	560	1.001	213	415	19	13	440	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	560	511	148	26	3	29	40	145	8	25	7	290	351	523	873	233	352	26	7	374	145	+28	+2	+4	+2	+16	5.4
2022	21	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	560	511	145	25	3	28	40	145	8	25	7	284	345	509	854	225	345	26	7	374	145	+28	+2	+4	+2	+16	5.3
2023	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	714	654	185	39	2	34	47	175	11	37	10	283	341	505	846	222	338	25	7	359	133	+27	+3	+6	+3	+20	6.0
2023	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	714	654	180	37	2	32	47	175	11	37	10	275	334	485	819	209	330	25	7	360	133	+27	+3	+6	+3	+20	6.1
2024	23	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	613	567	158	18	0	21	38	156	6	24	5	279	331	422	752	143	349	25	6	330	111	+7	+3	+6	+2	+17	3.6
2024	23	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	613	567	155	17	0	20	38	156	6	24	5	273	326	409	735	136	344	25	6	328	109	+6	+3	+6	+2	+17	3.5
2025	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	710	652	178	32	4	34	44	152	12	30	6	273	331	491	821	218	308	21	6	351	127	+21	+4	+7	+3	+20	5.5
2025	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	710	652	174	31	4	32	44	152	12	30	6	267	325	474	799	207	302	21	6	351	127	+21	+4	+7	+3	+20	5.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	SEA	—	378	344	89	15	0	14	29	79	4	12	3	259	324	424	748	166	298	21	8	327	109	+4	+1	-1	+1	+11	1.6
YTD	25	MLB	SEA	—	378	344	89	15	0	14	29	79	4	12	3	259	324	424	748	166	298	21	8	333	113	+6	+1	-1	+1	+11	1.8
ROS	25	MLB	SEA	100%	252	229	64	11	1	10	18	55	3	11	2	279	340	467	807	188	324	22	7	352	127	+8	+1	+1	+1	+7	1.9
ROS	25	MLB	SEA	100%	252	229	64	11	1	10	18	55	3	11	2	279	340	467	807	188	321	22	7	339	118	+5	+1	+1	+1	+7	1.6
FULL	25	MLB	SEA	—	630	573	153	26	1	24	47	134	7	23	5	267	330	442	772	175	309	21	7	332	112	+9	+3	+0	+2	+18	3.2
TOT	25	MLB	SEA	—	630	573	153	26	1	24	47	134	7	23	5	267	330	442	772	175	309	21	7	337	116	+12	+3	+0	+2	+18	3.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SEA	100%	660	600	169	29	2	26	47	145	8	30	6	282	342	467	809	185	328	22	7	356	130	+23	+4	+4	+2	+19	5.2
2028	27	MLB	SEA	100%	660	600	168	29	2	26	47	145	8	30	6	280	340	465	805	185	328	22	7	356	130	+23	+4	+4	+2	+19	5.2
2029	28	MLB	SEA	100%	660	599	168	29	2	26	48	146	8	28	6	280	342	466	808	185	328	22	7	355	130	+22	+3	+3	+2	+19	5.0
2030	29	MLB	SEA	100%	655	594	166	28	2	26	48	146	8	26	5	279	342	465	806	185	327	22	7	353	128	+21	+3	+2	+2	+19	4.8
2031	30	MLB	SEA	100%	642	582	161	27	2	25	47	145	8	23	5	277	339	459	798	182	326	23	7	350	126	+19	+3	+1	+2	+18	4.5
2032	31	MLB	SEA	100%	629	570	155	26	1	24	46	144	8	20	4	272	335	447	782	175	324	23	7	346	123	+16	+2	+1	+2	+18	4.0
2033	32	MLB	SEA	100%	616	559	150	25	1	23	45	144	7	16	3	268	331	440	771	172	321	23	7	340	118	+13	+2	-0	+2	+17	3.5
2034	33	MLB	SEA	100%	547	496	130	21	1	19	40	130	6	11	2	262	325	423	748	161	316	24	7	332	113	+8	+1	-1	+2	+15	2.6
2035	34	MLB	SEA	100%	499	454	116	18	1	17	36	122	6	7	1	256	319	412	730	156	309	24	7	323	105	+3	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.8
2036	35	MLB	SEA	100%	443	404	99	14	1	14	31	112	5	5	1	245	307	389	695	144	302	25	7	311	97	-2	+1	-3	+2	+13	1.0
2037	36	MLB	SEA	100%	382	348	83	11	1	12	27	99	4	2	0	239	301	379	680	141	295	26	7	300	87	-5	+0	-4	+1	+11	0.3
2038	37	MLB	SEA	100%	316	289	67	9	1	9	21	85	3	1	0	232	291	363	654	131	287	27	7	287	78	-8	+0	-5	+1	+9	-0.3
2027	26	MLB	SEA	100%	660	600	167	28	2	26	47	145	8	30	6	278	339	462	801	183	325	22	7	343	120	+15	+4	+4	+2	+19	4.4
2028	27	MLB	SEA	100%	660	600	167	28	2	26	47	145	8	30	6	278	339	462	801	183	325	22	7	343	120	+15	+4	+4	+2	+19	4.4
2029	28	MLB	SEA	100%	660	599	166	28	2	26	48	146	8	28	6	277	339	461	800	184	325	22	7	342	120	+15	+3	+3	+2	+19	4.3
2030	29	MLB	SEA	100%	655	594	164	28	2	25	48	146	8	26	5	276	338	456	795	180	324	22	7	340	118	+14	+3	+2	+2	+19	4.1
2031	30	MLB	SEA	100%	642	582	160	27	2	24	47	145	8	23	5	275	338	452	789	177	323	23	7	338	116	+12	+3	+1	+2	+18	3.7
2032	31	MLB	SEA	100%	629	570	154	26	1	23	46	144	8	20	4	270	333	440	774	170	321	23	7	334	113	+10	+2	+1	+2	+18	3.3
2033	32	MLB	SEA	100%	616	559	148	24	1	22	45	144	7	16	3	265	327	429	757	165	318	23	7	328	109	+6	+2	-0	+2	+17	2.8
2034	33	MLB	SEA	100%	547	496	130	21	1	19	40	130	6	11	2	262	325	423	748	161	313	24	7	321	103	+2	+1	-1	+2	+15	2.0
2035	34	MLB	SEA	100%	499	454	114	17	1	17	36	122	6	7	1	251	315	405	720	154	306	24	7	311	96	-2	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.3
2036	35	MLB	SEA	100%	443	404	98	14	1	14	31	112	5	5	1	243	305	386	691	144	299	25	7	300	88	-6	+1	-3	+2	+13	0.6
2037	36	MLB	SEA	100%	382	348	82	11	1	11	27	99	4	2	0	236	298	368	666	132	292	26	7	289	79	-9	+0	-4	+1	+11	-0.1
2038	37	MLB	SEA	100%	316	289	65	8	1	9	21	85	3	1	0	225	284	353	637	128	284	27	7	276	70	-11	+0	-5	+1	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	9558	8708	2333	381	27	364	670	2246	119	326	69	268	329	443	772	175	321	23	7	334	114	+149	+38	+23	+34	+271	52.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	159	26	2	25	46	153	8	22	5	269	330	446	776	177	321	24	7	334	114	+10	+2	+2	+2	+18	3.6
Career	—			—	10647	9701	2633	443	40	405	735	2522	144	365	78	271	332	451	783	179	327	24	7	340	118	+221	+42	+23	+38	+302	63.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	161	27	2	25	45	154	9	22	5	272	333	451	784	179	327	24	7	340	118	+13	+2	+1	+2	+18	3.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	255	219	69	13	9	5	30	40	4	10	0	315	407	525	932	210	364	16	12	406	169	+20	+2	—	—	+7	3.0
2019	18	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	72	65	30	6	3	2	5	10	2	0	0	462	514	738	1.252	277	528	14	7	540	271	+14	+0	—	—	+2	1.6
2019	18	A	West Virginia Power	—	295	263	77	20	1	10	20	66	9	1	3	293	363	490	854	198	353	22	7	374	144	+15	-1	—	—	+8	2.3
2019	18	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	63	52	15	4	0	0	8	10	2	4	1	288	403	365	769	77	349	16	13	351	127	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2020	19	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	64	56	11	1	1	0	6	16	2	3	0	196	297	250	547	54	275	25	9	261	58	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2021	20	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	206	174	63	11	0	7	29	37	3	16	4	362	461	546	1.007	184	431	18	14	446	199	+23	+2	—	—	+6	3.1
2021	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	134	117	38	8	2	6	14	29	3	5	1	325	410	581	992	256	390	22	10	432	189	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2022	21	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	560	511	145	25	3	28	40	145	8	25	7	284	345	509	854	225	345	26	7	374	145	+28	+2	+4	+2	+16	5.3
2023	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	714	654	180	37	2	32	47	175	11	37	10	275	334	485	819	209	330	25	7	360	133	+27	+3	+6	+3	+20	6.1
2024	23	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	613	567	155	17	0	20	38	156	6	24	5	273	326	409	735	136	344	25	6	328	109	+6	+3	+6	+2	+17	3.5
2025	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	710	652	174	31	4	32	44	152	12	30	6	267	325	474	799	207	302	21	6	351	127	+21	+4	+7	+3	+20	5.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2597	2384	654	110	9	112	169	628	37	116	28	274	332	469	801	195	328	24	7	353	128	+83	+12	+23	+9	+74	20.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Beltránlast yr '17 ROYAS×9GG×3SS×2HOF career totals — 18 seasons, 10,245 PA	18	10,245	413	282	278	352	489	-36	-13	70.2	59.6
	/162	664	27	18	278	352	489	-2.4	-0.8	4.5	pk7: 49
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons	18	10,278	398	361	271	328	450	+5	+70	57.9	45.5
	/162	664	26	23	271	328	450	+0.4	+4.6	3.7	pk7: 33
#2Ian Kinslerlast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA	14	8,299	257	243	269	337	440	+30	+66	53.0	44.3
	/162	664	21	19	269	337	440	+2.4	+5.3	4.2	pk7: 36
#3Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	15	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	41.9
	/162	664	28	12	249	337	466	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#4Torii Hunterlast yr '15 career totals — 16 seasons, 9,251 PA	16	9,251	344	185	278	332	465	-25	-22	46.3	37.8
	/162	664	25	13	278	332	465	-1.8	-1.6	3.3	pk7: 29
#5Brandon Phillipslast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,896 PA	13	7,896	210	209	276	320	422	+28	+83	41.5	36.8
	/162	664	18	18	276	320	422	+2.4	+7.0	3.5	pk7: 32
#6Mike Cameronlast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,303 PA	12	6,303	234	209	251	339	451	-1	+38	40.1	36.5
	/162	664	25	22	251	339	451	-0.1	+4.0	4.2	pk7: 33

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Julio Rodríguez (OGILVIE)	25	55	50	60	35	267/330/442	175	309	24	23	21%	7%	116	+3.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Luis Robert Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	54→57	56→60	54→60	42	274/326/471	197	341	24	19	26%	6%	126	+3.5	265/312/457	192	323	25	19	25%	5%	117	+2.9	250/299/444	193	309	26	22	28%	5%	103	+1.6
●Ramón Laureano 2020 · MLB	26	51→57	56→60	54→55	43	262/321/459	196	327	24	18	27%	6%	121	+3.2	247/324/436	189	308	22	15	26%	8%	116	+2.8	263/329/458	195	337	23	13	28%	7%	122	+2.3
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	54→55	47	263/329/457	193	325	23	24	26%	8%	123	+3.3	245/323/433	188	329	24	16	31%	10%	115	+2.7	235/325/431	197	314	26	14	32%	11%	113	+2.2
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	49→50	59→60	55→60	45	255/317/472	218	314	27	24	28%	8%	123	+3.3	253/319/455	202	313	27	31	27%	8%	119	+3.1	247/320/444	197	301	28	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Bo Bichette 2022 · MLB	24	56→62	56→60	55	45	288/333/477	190	330	24	20	21%	6%	131	+3.9	285/326/453	168	336	20	11	21%	6%	121	+3.2	288/331/441	153	329	16	5	17%	6%	116	+2.5
★Matt Kemp 2010 · MLB	25	59→65	53→65	58→55	47	293/344/473	180	348	20	28	22%	7%	133	+4.0	292/356/517	225	349	28	23	24%	9%	150	+5.2	298/367/539	241	354	32	22	24%	9%	147	+5.1
●Randy Arozarena 2021 · MLB	26	52→57	54→55	51→55	44	262/336/446	184	324	22	23	25%	6%	124	+3.4	263/342/453	190	333	21	22	26%	9%	128	+3.6	259/347/445	186	326	21	23	25%	10%	124	+3.6
★Corey Hart 2008 · MLB	26	53→56	56→65	56→55	47	272/329/478	206	310	22	23	20%	7%	128	+3.7	270/323/467	197	307	21	17	19%	6%	123	+3.3	281/345/522	241	325	30	6	23%	8%	143	+4.7
✕Corey Patterson 2005 · MLB	25	53→54	53→55	57→60	43	268/313/448	180	323	20	24	24%	6%	114	+2.7	251/293/403	152	296	18	32	21%	5%	94	+1.3	247/286/384	137	285	15	39	19%	4%	81	+0.4
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	54→60	55→50	45	256/314/439	183	307	21	23	24%	7%	112	+2.6	258/314/460	202	301	28	14	24%	7%	118	+3.0	245/301/434	189	280	27	12	23%	7%	103	+1.2
●Brandon Phillips 2008 · MLB	27	53→59	53→55	55	46	272/320/444	172	294	21	23	16%	5%	116	+2.8	269/321/441	172	287	20	21	14%	6%	116	+2.8	275/332/429	154	293	16	16	12%	7%	113	+2.9
●Carlos González 2012 · MLB	26	52→56	56→60	56→55	49	267/329/462	195	303	23	22	20%	8%	124	+3.4	253/321/436	183	301	21	20	22%	9%	115	+2.7	245/315/429	184	293	21	20	23%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Rocco Baldelli 2007 · MLB	25	57→61	54→55	55	44	289/331/479	190	325	20	14	18%	5%	130	+3.8	253/311/437	184	299	22	11	23%	6%	111	+2.5	227/295/401	173	269	24	7	25%	7%	92	+0.3
●Wil Myers 2017 · MLB	26	50→53	56→65	54→55	52	259/334/453	194	307	23	20	23%	10%	124	+3.4	255/331/469	214	324	26	19	28%	10%	127	+3.6	249/328/464	215	326	26	20	30%	10%	121	+2.7
●Carlos Gómez 2013 · MLB	27	48→58	54→60	63→65	43	250/298/431	181	291	22	38	23%	5%	104	+2.0	274/334/475	201	328	22	33	23%	6%	130	+3.8	275/339/469	194	332	21	32	23%	7%	128	+3.5
●Javier Báez 2018 · MLB	25	52→58	54→65	51→55	40	267/311/443	177	333	23	15	27%	5%	112	+2.6	270/308/495	225	335	28	14	27%	5%	125	+3.5	267/304/502	235	329	29	15	28%	4%	120	+2.5
●Ozzie Albies 2022 · MLB	25	51→59	58→60	55	48	266/319/481	215	291	25	15	19%	7%	125	+3.5	261/314/459	198	284	24	12	17%	7%	118	+3.0	255/316/425	170	273	20	12	15%	7%	107	+2.1
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	55→60	51→50	56→55	43	272/338/433	162	329	18	21	22%	6%	121	+3.2	251/311/378	127	291	13	24	18%	5%	95	+1.4	238/299/349	111	274	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
★Preston Wilson 2001 · MLB	27	51→53	59→60	54→55	46	262/329/476	214	326	27	28	28%	8%	128	+3.7	264/331/478	214	310	27	21	23%	8%	130	+3.8	265/335/486	221	302	28	18	22%	8%	130	+3.7
●Kyle Tucker 2021 · MLB	24	46→54	59→65	58→55	46	245/304/461	216	283	27	23	24%	7%	115	+2.7	264/334/486	222	280	27	20	17%	9%	133	+4.0	267/372/486	219	277	26	25	15%	14%	139	+4.0