Julio Rodríguez

Julio RodríguezCF Seattle Mariners

Age 25 R/R 6'4" / 228 lbs MLB HR +3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 5.3 · 2027

wRC+†vL 103114vR 104

AVG/OBP/SLG.275 / .332 / .455

PA710

HR28

SB27

K%24

BB%6

xwOBA.309

Barrel%5.6%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

50→50

SPD

60→60

EYE

45↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.8peak

2026

Contract

CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$25M	+4.2	$34M	+$9M
2027	Arb-3	$25M	+5.3	$44M	+$19M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+5.3	$45M	+$20M
2029	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+5.1	$45M	+$20M
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+4.8	$43M	+$18M
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+4.4	$41M	+$16M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+4.0	$38M	+$13M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+3.5	$34M	+$9M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$25M	+2.9	$29M	+$4M
Totals		$225M		$353M	+$128M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	255	231	55	9	7	4	18	58	4	10	0	.238	.304	.390	.694	.152	.298	23	7	.297	85	-4	+2	+0	+1	+7	0.6
2019	18	A	3 teams	430	396	101	23	3	13	17	116	13	5	4	.255	.308	.427	.734	.172	.325	27	4	.310	96	-2	-1	+0	+2	+12	1.1
2020	19	INTL	Leones del Escogido	64	56	11	1	1	0	6	16	2	3	0	.196	.297	.250	.547	.054	.275	25	9	—	—	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
2021	20	AA	2 teams	340	308	95	16	2	12	26	87	6	21	5	.308	.374	.490	.864	.182	.397	26	8	.370	141	+16	+2	+0	+1	+10	2.9
2022	21	MLB	Seattle Mariners	560	511	147	25	3	28	40	145	8	25	7	.288	.349	.513	.862	.225	.351	26	7	.368	139	+25	+2	+4	+2	+16	5.0
2023	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	714	654	184	37	3	32	47	175	11	37	10	.281	.340	.494	.834	.213	.339	25	7	.355	130	+24	+3	+6	+3	+20	5.8
2024	23	MLB	Seattle Mariners	613	567	157	17	0	21	38	156	6	24	5	.277	.329	.418	.747	.141	.347	25	6	.325	107	+5	+3	+6	+2	+17	3.4
2025	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	710	652	176	30	5	31	44	152	12	30	6	.270	.328	.474	.802	.204	.308	21	6	.343	121	+17	+4	+7	+3	+20	5.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	112	98	24	3	0	1	12	27	2	2	1	.245	.339	.306	.645	.061	.329	24	11	.293	82	-2	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
ROS	25	MLB	SEA	598	540	148	22	2	20	44	142	9	25	5	.274	.339	.433	.772	.159	.332	24	7	.342	120	+13	+3	+5	+2	+17	4.1
TOT	25	MLB	SEA	710	638	172	25	2	21	56	169	11	27	6	.270	.339	.414	.753	.144	.335	24	8	.334	114	+11	+3	+4	+3	+20	4.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB	SEA	710	640	175	26	2	24	53	131	11	29	6	.273	.339	.433	.772	.159	.308	18	7	.343	121	+17	+3	+6	+3	+20	5.0
2028	27	MLB	SEA	705	635	173	25	2	24	53	130	11	29	6	.272	.339	.431	.771	.159	.308	18	8	.343	121	+17	+3	+6	+3	+20	5.0
2029	28	MLB	SEA	697	628	171	25	2	24	53	130	11	28	5	.272	.340	.433	.773	.161	.307	19	8	.342	120	+16	+4	+5	+2	+20	4.8
2030	29	MLB	SEA	685	617	167	24	2	23	53	130	10	26	4	.271	.338	.428	.766	.157	.307	19	8	.340	118	+14	+4	+5	+2	+19	4.5
2031	30	MLB	SEA	673	606	162	23	2	22	52	130	10	24	4	.267	.335	.421	.756	.153	.305	19	8	.337	116	+12	+3	+4	+2	+19	4.2
2032	31	MLB	SEA	658	592	157	22	2	21	51	130	10	20	3	.265	.334	.416	.749	.150	.304	20	8	.333	113	+10	+3	+3	+2	+19	3.7
2033	32	MLB	SEA	639	576	151	21	2	20	49	129	9	17	2	.262	.330	.410	.739	.148	.303	20	8	.329	110	+7	+3	+2	+2	+18	3.3
2034	33	MLB	SEA	609	549	142	20	2	18	46	127	9	14	1	.259	.326	.401	.727	.142	.302	21	8	.323	105	+4	+2	+1	+2	+17	2.7
2035	34	MLB	SEA	560	505	128	18	1	16	42	122	8	11	0	.253	.321	.388	.709	.135	.300	22	8	.316	100	+0	+2	+0	+2	+16	2.1
2036	35	MLB	SEA	502	453	111	15	1	13	37	114	7	9	0	.245	.312	.369	.681	.124	.298	23	7	.309	94	-3	+2	-1	+2	+14	1.4
2037	36	MLB	SEA	440	399	96	13	1	11	32	105	6	7	0	.241	.307	.361	.668	.120	.296	24	7	.299	87	-6	+1	-2	+2	+12	0.7
2038	37	MLB	SEA	374	339	78	10	1	8	27	93	5	5	0	.230	.296	.336	.633	.106	.293	25	7	.290	80	-9	+1	-4	+1	+11	0.1
2039	38	MLB	SEA	302	274	62	8	1	6	21	77	4	4	0	.226	.291	.328	.619	.102	.288	25	7	.279	72	-10	+1	-5	+1	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			11838	10728	2847	430	47	391	849	2595	182	403	73	.265	.330	.424	.753	.158	.315	22	7	.330	111	+145	+51	+49	+42	+335	63.6
/ 162G	—			650	589	157	24	3	21	47	142	10	22	4	.267	.331	.424	.756	.158	.317	22	7	.330	111	+8	+3	+3	+2	+18	3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	255	219	69	13	9	5	30	40	4	10	0	.315	.407	.525	.932	.210	.364	16	12	.406	169	+20	+2	—	—	+7	3.0
2019	18	A+	Modesto Nuts	72	65	30	6	3	2	5	10	2	0	0	.462	.514	.738	1.252	.277	.528	14	7	.540	271	+14	+0	—	—	+2	1.6
2019	18	A	West Virginia Power	295	263	77	20	1	10	20	66	9	1	3	.293	.363	.490	.854	.198	.353	22	7	.374	144	+15	-1	—	—	+8	2.3
2019	18	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	63	52	15	4	0	0	8	10	2	4	1	.288	.403	.365	.769	.077	.349	16	13	.351	127	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2020	19	INTL	Leones del Escogido	64	56	11	1	1	0	6	16	2	3	0	.196	.297	.250	.547	.054	.275	25	9	.261	58	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2021	20	AA	Arkansas Travelers	206	174	63	11	0	7	29	37	3	16	4	.362	.461	.546	1.007	.184	.431	18	14	.446	199	+23	+2	—	—	+6	3.1
2021	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	134	117	38	8	2	6	14	29	3	5	1	.325	.410	.581	.992	.256	.390	22	10	.432	189	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2022	21	MLB	Seattle Mariners	560	511	145	25	3	28	40	145	8	25	7	.284	.345	.509	.854	.225	.345	26	7	.374	145	+28	+2	+4	+2	+16	5.3
2023	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	714	654	180	37	2	32	47	175	11	37	10	.275	.334	.485	.819	.209	.330	25	7	.360	133	+27	+3	+6	+3	+20	6.1
2024	23	MLB	Seattle Mariners	613	567	155	17	0	20	38	156	6	24	5	.273	.326	.409	.735	.136	.344	25	6	.328	109	+6	+3	+6	+2	+17	3.5
2025	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	710	652	174	31	4	32	44	152	12	30	6	.267	.325	.474	.799	.207	.302	21	6	.351	127	+21	+4	+7	+3	+20	5.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2597	2384	654	110	9	112	169	628	37	116	28	.274	.332	.469	.801	.195	.328	24	7	.353	128	+83	+12	+23	+9	+74	20.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Julio Rodríguez (OGILVIE)	25	55	50	60	35	.271/.335/.430	.159	.307	24	30	18%	7%	120	+3.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Patterson 2005 · MLB	25	53→55	52→55	57→60	42	.267/.310/.443	.176	.322	19	23	23%	5%	111	+2.5	.251/.293/.406	.155	.297	18	31	22%	5%	95	+1.4	.247/.286/.384	.137	.285	15	39	19%	4%	81	+0.4
✕Rocco Baldelli 2007 · MLB	25	56→61	53→55	54→55	44	.286/.329/.469	.184	.320	20	15	18%	5%	126	+3.5	.256/.312/.441	.185	.301	22	11	23%	6%	112	+2.6	.227/.295/.401	.174	.268	24	7	25%	7%	92	+0.3
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	54→60	52→50	56→55	43	.269/.335/.437	.168	.325	19	22	23%	6%	121	+3.2	.254/.315/.386	.132	.295	14	24	19%	5%	99	+1.7	.241/.301/.348	.107	.278	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
●Luis Robert Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	56→58	53→60	51→60	44	.284/.330/.457	.173	.336	21	16	22%	6%	124	+3.4	.253/.306/.452	.199	.313	26	23	27%	6%	113	+2.6	.232/.293/.428	.196	.291	27	31	29%	7%	96	+1.2
★Matt Kemp 2010 · MLB	25	59→65	53→65	58→55	47	.294/.343/.472	.178	.350	19	27	22%	7%	132	+4.0	.284/.348/.495	.211	.342	26	24	23%	9%	141	+4.5	.286/.357/.514	.227	.342	29	22	24%	9%	137	+4.4
●Brandon Phillips 2008 · MLB	27	52→61	52→55	54→55	46	.268/.316/.434	.167	.292	21	21	17%	5%	111	+2.5	.270/.322/.442	.172	.289	20	22	14%	6%	116	+2.8	.277/.334/.429	.152	.296	16	16	12%	7%	114	+3.0
✕Peter Bourjos 2012 · MLB	25	51→55	48→55	62→60	43	.251/.300/.407	.156	.303	13	25	22%	5%	97	+1.5	.239/.297/.372	.133	.303	12	17	24%	6%	88	+0.9	.239/.281/.377	.139	.307	10	8	25%	5%	78	+0.1
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	52→60	55→50	45	.253/.312/.425	.172	.306	19	22	23%	7%	108	+2.3	.261/.317/.468	.207	.304	29	15	24%	7%	121	+3.2	.244/.300/.437	.193	.276	28	12	23%	7%	102	+1.1
●Bo Bichette 2022 · MLB	24	57→65	55→60	54→55	45	.289/.334/.477	.188	.334	23	20	21%	6%	131	+3.9	.295/.336/.465	.170	.350	20	12	21%	6%	128	+3.7	.297/.339/.452	.155	.341	16	5	17%	6%	122	+2.8
●Jeremy Peña 2023 · MLB	25	46→56	54→50	52→50	39	.241/.284/.415	.174	.290	23	13	26%	4%	94	+1.3	.263/.314/.405	.142	.312	15	15	20%	5%	103	+1.9	.274/.329/.411	.137	.319	14	17	18%	6%	107	+2.3
●Matt Murton 2006 · MLB	24	59→64	49→50	53→50	49	.292/.343/.445	.152	.329	17	16	17%	7%	125	+3.5	.284/.345/.429	.145	.316	14	9	14%	8%	121	+3.2	.275/.341/.407	.132	.305	12	6	14%	8%	111	+1.9
●Ozzie Albies 2022 · MLB	25	51→59	57→60	54→55	49	.266/.320/.473	.207	.291	24	15	18%	7%	124	+3.4	.254/.307/.447	.193	.277	23	12	18%	7%	111	+2.5	.251/.312/.418	.167	.268	20	12	15%	7%	103	+1.9
●Shane Victorino 2006 · MLB	25	51→60	51→55	56→60	47	.256/.305/.428	.172	.284	17	17	17%	6%	105	+2.1	.275/.331/.425	.150	.302	13	21	13%	6%	115	+2.7	.286/.350/.434	.149	.308	12	32	11%	8%	122	+3.3
●Javier Báez 2018 · MLB	25	53→57	53→65	51→55	40	.268/.313/.442	.174	.338	22	15	27%	5%	113	+2.6	.270/.309/.500	.230	.330	30	15	27%	5%	127	+3.6	.265/.302/.507	.242	.321	32	15	28%	4%	120	+2.5
●Bill Hall 2006 · MLB	26	53→58	51→60	52→50	45	.265/.312/.441	.175	.318	17	16	22%	6%	111	+2.5	.261/.325/.472	.211	.320	24	10	25%	9%	125	+3.5	.249/.319/.460	.211	.307	25	7	27%	9%	115	+2.4
●Howie Kendrick 2007 · MLB	24	59→64	51→55	55→50	41	.295/.329/.472	.177	.335	16	17	18%	3%	127	+3.6	.295/.328/.438	.143	.346	12	14	18%	4%	117	+2.9	.283/.327/.442	.159	.325	15	15	17%	5%	114	+2.6
●Cameron Maybin 2012 · MLB	25	54→59	45→50	59→55	47	.261/.321/.395	.134	.329	11	24	24%	8%	103	+1.9	.242/.304/.360	.118	.296	11	25	21%	8%	87	+0.8	.257/.331/.375	.118	.309	11	30	19%	9%	99	+1.4
●B.J. Upton 2010 · MLB	25	54→60	48→60	56→60	56	.262/.350/.410	.148	.332	14	34	24%	12%	119	+3.1	.245/.325/.419	.174	.312	18	34	25%	10%	111	+2.5	.243/.319/.434	.191	.304	21	35	26%	10%	108	+2.4
●Tim Anderson 2019 · MLB	26	51→61	49→55	54→55	38	.254/.284/.401	.147	.318	16	19	26%	4%	89	+1.0	.291/.322/.457	.166	.353	20	18	23%	4%	120	+3.1	.317/.344/.482	.165	.381	19	18	21%	4%	134	+3.0
●Corey Hart 2008 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	57→55	47	.267/.324/.467	.200	.308	21	24	21%	7%	124	+3.4	.269/.321/.462	.193	.306	20	17	19%	6%	121	+3.2	.266/.331/.473	.207	.312	25	6	23%	8%	121	+3.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)