Luis Robert Jr. — OGILVIE

Luis Robert Jr.CF New York Mets

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 28 R/R 6'2" / 225 lbs MLB H +5%HR +3% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 2.3 · 2027

wRC+†vL 91100vR 69

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .306 / .425

PA214

HR9

SB8

K%28

BB%8

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

51↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.9peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+0.8	$3M	-$6M
Totals		$10M		$3M	-$6M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	DSL White Sox	114	94	20	6	1	2	12	33	8	12	3	.213	.351	.362	.713	.149	.305	29	11	.318	102	+0	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.5
2018	20	A+	4 teams	287	267	53	11	2	0	10	107	7	20	4	.199	.246	.255	.501	.056	.327	37	3	.229	33	-22	+2	+0	+1	+8	-1.0
2019	21	AA	3 teams	551	512	132	24	9	24	19	167	14	36	11	.258	.303	.480	.783	.223	.331	30	3	.330	111	+7	+3	+0	+2	+16	2.8
2020	22	MLB	Chicago White Sox	227	204	46	9	0	10	20	73	1	9	2	.225	.298	.417	.714	.191	.293	32	9	.309	95	-1	+1	+3	+1	+6	1.0
2021	23	MLB	2 teams	332	306	99	23	1	12	17	72	7	8	1	.324	.373	.523	.896	.199	.388	22	5	.386	154	+20	+1	+4	+1	+9	3.6
2022	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	401	380	111	18	0	13	17	77	3	11	3	.292	.328	.442	.770	.150	.337	19	4	.334	114	+6	+1	+1	+1	+11	2.2
2023	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	595	551	143	35	1	37	30	172	12	20	4	.260	.312	.528	.840	.269	.308	29	5	.354	129	+20	+2	+9	+2	+17	5.1
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	447	414	88	19	0	14	28	148	4	23	6	.213	.269	.360	.629	.147	.292	33	6	.275	69	-16	+2	-1	+2	+13	-0.0
2025	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	431	385	86	13	0	15	40	112	2	33	8	.223	.300	.374	.674	.151	.272	26	9	.287	78	-11	+3	+5	+2	+12	1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	New York Mets	94	82	19	3	0	2	12	17	0	2	2	.232	.330	.341	.671	.110	.270	18	13	.306	92	-1	-0	+1	+0	+3	0.2
ROS	28	MLB	NYM	120	108	27	5	0	5	10	32	1	6	2	.250	.319	.435	.755	.185	.296	27	8	.324	106	+1	+0	+1	+0	+3	0.6
TOT	28	MLB	NYM	214	190	46	8	0	7	22	49	1	8	4	.242	.324	.395	.719	.153	.289	23	10	.316	100	-0	+0	+1	+1	+6	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	NYM	463	416	99	18	0	18	40	107	4	22	6	.238	.311	.411	.722	.173	.280	23	9	.322	104	+2	+2	+2	+2	+13	2.2
2028	30	MLB	NYM	451	406	96	18	0	17	39	106	3	21	5	.236	.308	.406	.714	.170	.278	24	9	.319	102	+1	+2	+1	+2	+13	1.9
2029	31	MLB	NYM	436	392	92	17	0	16	38	105	3	18	4	.235	.307	.401	.708	.166	.277	24	9	.315	99	-0	+2	+1	+2	+12	1.6
2030	32	MLB	NYM	417	375	87	16	0	15	36	102	3	15	4	.232	.304	.395	.699	.163	.275	24	9	.310	95	-2	+1	-0	+1	+12	1.2
2031	33	MLB	NYM	387	348	78	14	0	13	33	97	3	13	3	.224	.297	.376	.673	.152	.274	25	9	.304	91	-4	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.9
2032	34	MLB	NYM	342	308	68	12	0	11	29	89	2	10	2	.221	.292	.367	.659	.146	.272	26	8	.298	86	-5	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.4
2033	35	MLB	NYM	289	260	56	10	0	9	25	78	2	8	1	.215	.289	.358	.647	.142	.269	27	9	.289	80	-7	+1	-3	+1	+8	0.0
2034	36	MLB	NYM	231	209	44	8	0	7	19	65	1	6	1	.211	.279	.349	.629	.139	.266	28	8	.280	72	-7	+1	-5	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6521	5935	1425	276	14	238	462	1742	80	291	70	.240	.304	.412	.715	.172	.298	27	7	.313	98	-18	+30	+14	+23	+185	23.9
/ 162G	—			650	592	142	28	1	24	46	174	8	29	7	.240	.303	.412	.716	.172	.297	27	7	.313	98	-2	+3	+1	+2	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	DSL White Sox	114	84	26	8	1	3	22	23	8	12	3	.310	.491	.536	1.027	.226	.397	20	19	.456	207	+14	+1	—	—	+3	1.9
2018	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	140	123	30	6	1	0	8	37	6	8	2	.244	.321	.309	.630	.065	.341	26	6	.287	78	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2018	20	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	50	45	13	3	1	0	4	12	1	4	2	.289	.360	.400	.760	.111	.394	24	8	.343	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2018	20	ROK	ACL White Sox	18	18	7	2	1	0	0	3	0	3	0	.389	.389	.611	1.000	.222	.467	17	0	.433	190	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2018	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	79	74	24	2	0	2	5	13	0	5	0	.324	.367	.432	.800	.108	.373	16	6	.358	132	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2019	21	AAA	Charlotte Knights	223	202	60	10	5	16	11	55	5	7	3	.297	.349	.634	.982	.337	.324	25	5	.412	173	+18	+0	—	—	+6	2.5
2019	21	AA	Birmingham Barons	244	226	71	16	3	8	13	54	4	21	6	.314	.362	.518	.880	.204	.384	22	5	.385	153	+14	+2	—	—	+7	2.4
2019	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	84	75	34	5	3	8	4	20	5	8	2	.453	.512	.920	1.432	.467	.553	24	5	.603	320	+21	+1	—	—	+2	2.5
2020	22	MLB	Chicago White Sox	227	202	47	8	0	11	20	73	1	9	2	.233	.302	.436	.738	.203	.300	32	9	.322	105	+1	+1	+3	+1	+6	1.3
2021	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	296	275	93	22	1	13	14	61	5	6	1	.338	.381	.567	.948	.229	.394	21	5	.412	173	+25	+1	+4	+1	+8	3.9
2021	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	36	29	8	1	0	1	5	9	2	2	0	.276	.417	.414	.830	.138	.368	25	14	.382	151	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	401	380	108	18	0	12	17	77	3	11	3	.284	.320	.426	.746	.142	.329	19	4	.331	111	+5	+1	+1	+1	+11	2.1
2023	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	595	546	144	36	1	38	30	172	12	20	4	.264	.314	.542	.856	.278	.314	29	5	.368	140	+27	+2	+9	+2	+17	5.8
2024	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	425	393	88	19	0	14	28	141	2	23	6	.224	.278	.379	.657	.155	.310	33	7	.292	82	-9	+2	-1	+2	+12	0.7
2024	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	22	20	2	0	0	1	0	6	2	0	0	.100	.182	.250	.432	.150	.077	27	0	.203	13	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	431	382	85	12	0	14	40	112	2	33	8	.223	.297	.364	.661	.141	.274	26	9	.295	84	-8	+3	+5	+2	+12	1.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2375	2178	565	115	2	102	149	636	25	102	24	.259	.313	.455	.767	.195	.319	27	6	.336	115	+42	+11	+21	+9	+67	15.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Robert Jr. (OGILVIE)	28	45	55	60	40	.240/.312/.413	.174	.280	8	11	23%	9%	106	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Moore 2021 · MLB	28	45→48	52→50	53→65	45	.231/.307/.404	.173	.287	18	25	26%	7%	101	+1.8	.215/.316/.385	.170	.285	19	31	30%	10%	100	+1.7	.207/.329/.377	.170	.285	16	41	30%	12%	100	+0.9
●Wil Myers 2019 · MLB	28	47→54	57→60	54→55	50	.244/.319/.446	.202	.298	25	20	26%	10%	116	+2.8	.251/.324/.450	.199	.335	23	15	30%	10%	120	+3.1	.252/.331/.448	.196	.337	23	13	30%	10%	118	+2.0
●Randy Arozarena 2023 · MLB	28	54→56	54→55	52→55	47	.269/.341/.461	.192	.339	21	24	26%	8%	130	+3.8	.248/.343/.423	.175	.311	20	21	25%	10%	121	+3.2	.235/.343/.407	.173	.295	20	22	26%	11%	114	+3.0
✕Jake Fraley 2022 · MLB	27	46	53→55	53→55	51	.234/.321/.411	.177	.299	21	21	28%	10%	108	+2.3	.248/.334/.408	.160	.301	20	21	23%	11%	113	+2.6	.257/.332/.404	.146	.303	17	26	20%	9%	104	+1.2
✕B.J. Upton 2013 · MLB	28	48→58	55→60	58→60	50	.246/.317/.438	.192	.304	22	31	26%	9%	113	+2.6	.219/.292/.365	.146	.295	16	21	29%	9%	84	+0.6	.222/.289/.365	.143	.294	16	25	29%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Tyler Greene 2012 · MLB	28	49→51	48→50	59→55	44	.239/.309/.382	.143	.320	15	26	29%	7%	95	+1.4	.231/.286/.369	.138	.322	14	19	31%	6%	82	+0.5	.224/.268/.346	.121	.323	11	13	33%	5%	64	-0.5
●Corey Hart 2009 · MLB	27	53→56	55→60	55	45	.271/.318/.472	.201	.303	21	21	18%	6%	123	+3.3	.268/.327/.460	.192	.309	21	13	20%	7%	123	+3.3	.266/.331/.473	.207	.312	25	6	23%	8%	121	+3.2
✕Mark Mathias 2023 · MLB	28	52→46	53→50	54→50	45	.259/.328/.432	.174	.344	21	21	30%	8%	116	+2.8	.247/.328/.373	.126	.337	14	16	28%	10%	101	+1.8	.243/.338/.317	.073	.339	7	14	27%	11%	90	+0.5
●Harrison Bader 2023 · MLB	29	50→55	51→55	54→55	46	.254/.312/.415	.161	.300	18	20	22%	6%	105	+2.1	.240/.292/.372	.132	.286	15	23	21%	6%	85	+0.7	.240/.297/.372	.133	.292	15	22	23%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Jose Siri 2023 · MLB	28	47→52	53→60	58→55	37	.235/.284/.411	.176	.335	21	24	36%	6%	92	+1.2	.212/.267/.412	.200	.293	27	20	36%	6%	86	+0.8	.196/.255/.410	.214	.257	31	19	37%	6%	80	+0.2
●Nate McLouth 2009 · MLB	27	51→55	55→60	58→60	54	.261/.340/.460	.199	.284	21	22	16%	9%	128	+3.7	.242/.334/.413	.171	.267	19	18	17%	11%	114	+2.7	.223/.325/.366	.142	.250	16	16	17%	12%	93	+1.0
✕Hernán Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	51→56	48→50	55	43	.257/.293/.398	.141	.298	16	23	20%	5%	92	+1.2	.241/.284/.388	.147	.295	18	16	24%	6%	86	+0.8	.238/.283/.362	.124	.301	16	24	26%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Austin Slater 2022 · MLB	29	49→59	54→50	55	51	.246/.336/.425	.179	.317	21	20	28%	10%	118	+3.0	.253/.342/.398	.145	.339	16	18	27%	11%	113	+2.6	.250/.347/.364	.114	.347	12	14	28%	11%	104	+0.9
●Steven Souza Jr. 2016 · MLB	27	51→57	55→60	52→55	48	.255/.331/.443	.188	.331	23	22	29%	10%	121	+3.2	.246/.326/.431	.185	.332	23	14	31%	10%	115	+2.8	.241/.329/.432	.190	.320	24	13	30%	10%	113	+2.0
✕Desmond Jennings 2014 · MLB	27	51→59	49→50	58→60	53	.253/.329/.406	.154	.299	15	25	20%	9%	109	+2.4	.243/.316/.384	.141	.292	13	17	20%	9%	98	+1.6	.233/.306/.368	.136	.280	13	15	21%	9%	86	+0.4
●Will Venable 2012 · MLB	29	48→56	51→55	61→60	47	.241/.308/.410	.169	.303	18	26	26%	8%	102	+1.9	.250/.311/.412	.162	.306	16	26	23%	8%	104	+2.0	.247/.307/.401	.154	.299	16	24	22%	7%	93	+1.0
✕Chris Young 2011 · MLB	27	47→49	53→60	52→55	53	.242/.323/.426	.184	.290	20	17	24%	10%	112	+2.6	.232/.318/.408	.176	.276	19	18	22%	11%	106	+2.2	.242/.320/.420	.178	.282	20	7	21%	9%	107	+1.1
★Preston Wilson 2002 · MLB	28	51→53	59→60	52→55	47	.267/.330/.482	.215	.315	27	25	24%	8%	131	+3.9	.262/.332/.473	.211	.306	26	18	23%	9%	129	+3.7	.266/.332/.485	.218	.310	28	9	23%	8%	129	+3.0
✕Alex Call 2023 · MLB	28	47→48	51→50	49→50	53	.239/.324/.402	.163	.270	19	14	20%	10%	108	+2.3	.227/.322/.365	.138	.265	15	15	19%	11%	97	+1.5	.223/.324/.347	.125	.262	12	14	19%	12%	92	+0.8
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2012 · MLB	28	46→48	52→55	51→50	43	.238/.288/.405	.168	.283	21	14	24%	6%	93	+1.3	.237/.294/.401	.164	.283	19	8	23%	7%	94	+1.3	.226/.292/.387	.161	.270	18	3	23%	8%	86	+0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)