Luis Robert Jr. — OGILVIE

Luis Robert Jr.CF New York Mets

Age 28 R/R 6'2" / 225 lbs MLB Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 213 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 110103vR 86

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .327 / .435

PA213

HR8

SB11

K%26

BB%9

BABIP318

ISO178

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1514.9%

xwOBA

460.304

POWER55

Barrel%

589.3

Avg EV

6089.8

Bat Spd

9076.0

EYE40

Chase%

4133.5%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 950 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

242

708

—

wRC+

104

◀◀L

wOBA

321

283

◀L

ISO

164

138

◀◀L

BABIP

270

295

▶R

24.4%

29.8%

◀◀L

BB%

11.6%

6.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Ext	$2M	+2.7	$20M	+$18M
Totals		$3M		$22M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	114	94	20	6	1	2	12	33	8	12	3	213	351	362	713	149	305	29	11	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	114	84	26	8	1	3	22	23	8	12	3	310	491	536	1.027	226	397	20	19	456	207	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	4 teams	—	287	267	52	11	3	0	10	113	7	20	4	195	243	258	501	64	333	39	3	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	4 teams	—	287	260	74	13	3	2	17	65	7	20	4	285	345	381	726	96	369	23	6	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	3 teams	—	551	512	128	24	9	21	19	170	14	36	11	250	295	455	750	205	328	31	3	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	3 teams	—	551	503	165	31	11	32	28	129	14	36	11	328	380	624	1.004	296	383	23	5	429	186	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	227	204	47	8	0	11	20	73	1	9	2	230	302	431	734	201	295	32	9	314	99	-0	+1	+3	+1	+6	1.1
2020	22	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	227	202	47	8	0	11	20	73	1	9	2	233	302	436	738	203	300	32	9	322	105	+1	+1	+3	+1	+6	1.3
2021	23	MLB	2 teams	—	332	306	99	22	1	13	17	72	7	8	1	324	373	529	902	206	386	22	5	389	156	+21	+1	+4	+1	+9	3.7
2021	23	MLB	2 teams	—	332	304	101	23	1	14	19	70	7	8	1	332	385	553	937	220	392	21	6	409	171	+27	+1	+4	+1	+9	4.3
2022	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	401	380	108	18	0	12	17	77	3	11	3	284	320	426	746	142	329	19	4	322	105	+2	+1	+1	+1	+11	1.8
2022	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	401	380	108	18	0	12	17	77	3	11	3	284	320	426	746	142	329	19	4	331	111	+5	+1	+1	+1	+11	2.1
2023	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	595	551	142	35	1	37	30	172	12	20	4	258	310	526	837	269	305	29	5	352	128	+19	+2	+9	+2	+17	5.0
2023	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	595	546	144	36	1	38	30	172	12	20	4	264	314	542	856	278	314	29	5	368	140	+27	+2	+9	+2	+17	5.8
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	447	414	89	19	0	14	28	148	4	23	6	215	271	362	634	147	296	33	6	276	70	-15	+2	-1	+2	+13	0.0
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	447	413	90	19	0	15	28	147	4	23	6	218	274	373	646	155	298	33	6	288	79	-11	+2	-1	+2	+13	0.5
2025	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	431	385	85	12	0	14	40	112	2	33	8	221	297	361	658	140	271	26	9	284	76	-12	+3	+5	+2	+12	1.0
2025	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	431	382	85	12	0	14	40	112	2	33	8	223	297	364	661	141	274	26	9	295	84	-8	+3	+5	+2	+12	1.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	NYM	—	98	85	19	3	0	2	13	17	0	2	2	224	327	329	656	106	258	17	13	300	88	-1	-0	+1	+0	+3	0.2
YTD	28	MLB	NYM	—	98	85	19	3	0	2	13	17	0	2	2	224	327	329	656	106	258	17	13	304	91	-1	-0	+1	+0	+3	0.2
ROS	28	MLB	NYM	100%	213	191	49	10	0	8	19	55	1	11	3	257	327	435	762	178	316	26	9	336	115	+4	+1	+1	+1	+6	1.3
ROS	28	MLB	NYM	100%	213	191	49	10	0	8	19	55	1	11	3	257	327	435	762	178	316	26	9	330	111	+3	+1	+1	+1	+6	1.2
FULL	28	MLB	NYM	—	311	276	68	13	0	10	32	72	1	13	5	246	327	402	729	156	297	23	10	321	104	+1	+1	+1	+1	+9	1.4
TOT	28	MLB	NYM	—	311	276	68	13	0	10	32	72	1	13	5	246	327	402	729	156	297	23	10	324	106	+2	+1	+1	+1	+9	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	NYM	100%	451	404	102	21	0	16	41	118	3	22	6	252	326	423	749	171	319	26	9	335	115	+8	+2	+1	+2	+13	2.5
2028	30	MLB	NYM	100%	440	394	99	21	0	15	40	116	3	19	5	251	325	419	744	168	317	26	9	333	113	+6	+2	-0	+2	+12	2.2
2029	31	MLB	NYM	100%	425	380	96	20	0	15	39	114	3	16	4	253	327	424	751	171	315	27	9	329	110	+5	+2	-1	+2	+12	1.9
2030	32	MLB	NYM	100%	406	364	89	18	0	14	37	110	2	13	3	245	318	409	727	165	311	27	9	323	105	+2	+1	-2	+1	+12	1.5
2031	33	MLB	NYM	100%	376	337	81	16	0	12	34	104	2	9	2	240	314	395	708	154	306	28	9	315	99	-0	+1	-3	+1	+11	1.0
2032	34	MLB	NYM	100%	331	296	68	13	0	10	30	94	2	6	2	230	305	375	680	145	299	28	9	305	92	-3	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.5
2027	29	MLB	NYM	100%	451	404	102	21	0	16	41	118	3	22	6	252	326	423	749	171	318	26	9	330	111	+6	+2	+1	+2	+13	2.3
2028	30	MLB	NYM	100%	440	394	99	21	0	15	40	116	3	19	5	251	325	419	744	168	317	26	9	328	109	+4	+2	-0	+2	+12	2.0
2029	31	MLB	NYM	100%	425	380	96	20	0	15	39	114	3	16	4	253	327	424	751	171	315	27	9	324	106	+3	+2	-1	+2	+12	1.7
2030	32	MLB	NYM	100%	406	364	88	18	0	13	37	110	2	13	3	242	315	398	713	157	311	27	9	318	101	+1	+1	-2	+1	+12	1.4
2031	33	MLB	NYM	100%	376	337	81	16	0	12	34	104	2	9	2	240	314	395	708	154	306	28	9	310	96	-2	+1	-3	+1	+11	0.9
2032	34	MLB	NYM	100%	331	296	68	13	0	10	30	94	2	6	2	230	305	375	680	145	299	28	9	301	88	-4	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5017	4544	1148	234	2	191	389	1347	41	198	49	253	317	431	748	178	316	27	8	328	109	+51	+20	+14	+18	+142	25.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	148	30	0	25	50	175	5	26	6	251	314	430	744	178	314	27	8	328	109	+7	+3	+2	+2	+18	3.3
Career	—			—	6027	5479	1354	274	15	214	433	1681	74	268	67	247	311	420	731	173	315	28	7	319	102	+14	+27	+14	+22	+171	25.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	147	30	2	23	47	181	8	29	7	249	313	423	736	174	318	28	7	319	102	+2	+3	+1	+2	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	114	84	26	8	1	3	22	23	8	12	3	310	491	536	1.027	226	397	20	19	456	207	+14	+1	—	—	+3	1.9
2018	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	140	123	30	6	1	0	8	37	6	8	2	244	321	309	630	65	341	26	6	287	78	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2018	20	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	50	45	13	3	1	0	4	12	1	4	2	289	360	400	760	111	394	24	8	343	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2018	20	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	18	18	7	2	1	0	0	3	0	3	0	389	389	611	1.000	222	467	17	0	433	190	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2018	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	79	74	24	2	0	2	5	13	0	5	0	324	367	432	800	108	373	16	6	358	132	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2019	21	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	223	202	60	10	5	16	11	55	5	7	3	297	349	634	982	337	324	25	5	412	173	+18	+0	—	—	+6	2.5
2019	21	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	244	226	71	16	3	8	13	54	4	21	6	314	362	518	880	204	384	22	5	385	153	+14	+2	—	—	+7	2.4
2019	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	84	75	34	5	3	8	4	20	5	8	2	453	512	920	1.432	467	553	24	5	603	320	+21	+1	—	—	+2	2.5
2020	22	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	227	202	47	8	0	11	20	73	1	9	2	233	302	436	738	203	300	32	9	322	105	+1	+1	+3	+1	+6	1.3
2021	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	296	275	93	22	1	13	14	61	5	6	1	338	381	567	948	229	394	21	5	412	173	+25	+1	+4	+1	+8	3.9
2021	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	36	29	8	1	0	1	5	9	2	2	0	276	417	414	830	138	368	25	14	382	151	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	401	380	108	18	0	12	17	77	3	11	3	284	320	426	746	142	329	19	4	331	111	+5	+1	+1	+1	+11	2.1
2023	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	595	546	144	36	1	38	30	172	12	20	4	264	314	542	856	278	314	29	5	368	140	+27	+2	+9	+2	+17	5.8
2024	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	425	393	88	19	0	14	28	141	2	23	6	224	278	379	657	155	310	33	7	292	82	-9	+2	-1	+2	+12	0.7
2024	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	22	20	2	0	0	1	0	6	2	0	0	100	182	250	432	150	77	27	0	203	13	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	431	382	85	12	0	14	40	112	2	33	8	223	297	364	661	141	274	26	9	295	84	-8	+3	+5	+2	+12	1.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2375	2178	565	115	2	102	149	636	25	102	24	259	313	455	767	195	319	27	6	336	115	+42	+11	+21	+9	+67	15.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Coco Crisplast yr '16 career totals — 15 seasons, 6,627 PA	15	6,627	130	309	265	327	402	+4	+51	30.8	28.0
	/162	664	13	31	265	327	402	+0.4	+5.1	3.1	pk7: 25
#2Carlos Gómezlast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,227 PA	13	5,227	145	268	252	313	411	+11	+80	28.2	26.7
	/162	664	18	34	252	313	411	+1.4	+10.2	3.6	pk7: 25
#3Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#4Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	13	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
	/162	664	24	18	235	314	428	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	5,213	198	209	253	314	431	+9	+42	23.5	20.6
	/162	664	25	27	253	314	431	+1.1	+5.4	3.0	pk7: 18
#5Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#6Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	11	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
	/162	664	17	16	256	294	407	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Robert Jr. (OGILVIE)	28	45	55	60	40	246/327/402	156	297	10	13	23%	10%	106	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trevor Story 2022 · MLB	29	44→49	53→60	55	50	230/307/410	180	275	20	21	24%	9%	102	+1.9	226/295/392	166	292	19	21	28%	8%	92	+1.2	241/292/393	153	309	20	30	28%	6%	88	+0.5
✕B.J. Upton 2013 · MLB	28	46→56	57→60	57→60	49	241/310/442	201	291	24	30	26%	9%	111	+2.5	218/291/365	147	294	16	21	30%	9%	83	+0.6	226/293/371	145	300	16	25	29%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Dylan Moore 2021 · MLB	28	46→47	53→50	52→65	45	235/316/418	183	297	20	26	27%	8%	108	+2.3	217/319/392	175	287	20	31	30%	10%	103	+1.9	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Tyler Greene 2012 · MLB	28	50→53	48→50	59→55	44	244/317/394	150	330	15	26	29%	8%	102	+1.8	228/282/364	136	320	14	18	31%	6%	79	+0.3	219/264/338	119	315	12	13	33%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Brent Lillibridge 2012 · MLB	28	46→55	49→50	55→60	44	234/299/381	147	298	18	29	27%	7%	91	+1.1	218/272/347	129	294	16	25	30%	5%	71	-0.3	201/250/309	108	278	13	26	31%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Hernán Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	51→55	50→55	55	43	260/295/410	150	298	18	21	20%	5%	96	+1.5	243/287/397	154	298	19	16	24%	6%	90	+1.0	239/283/364	126	302	16	24	26%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Jose Siri 2023 · MLB	28	47→57	55→65	58→55	37	240/289/431	190	334	23	24	34%	6%	100	+1.7	213/269/423	210	291	29	19	36%	6%	90	+1.0	206/264/422	216	269	31	17	36%	6%	87	+0.5
✕Jonathan Villar 2020 · MLB	29	52→60	49→50	59→65	47	259/322/410	151	329	17	32	26%	8%	108	+2.3	247/312/390	143	317	16	26	26%	8%	98	+1.6	236/299/369	133	306	15	25	26%	8%	84	+0.4
●Randy Arozarena 2023 · MLB	28	53→57	54→55	52→55	47	264/336/457	193	330	21	24	26%	8%	126	+3.5	246/343/429	183	306	21	21	25%	10%	122	+3.3	238/346/421	183	296	22	22	26%	11%	119	+3.4
✕Desmond Jennings 2014 · MLB	27	49→59	49→50	57→60	53	246/323/405	159	288	16	24	20%	10%	107	+2.2	235/308/375	140	281	14	16	20%	9%	93	+1.3	225/299/356	131	269	13	15	21%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Keon Broxton 2018 · MLB	28	46→48	54→55	59→60	44	228/304/411	183	338	21	33	37%	9%	101	+1.8	193/265/333	140	336	17	29	44%	8%	65	-0.7	156/234/267	111	299	15	30	49%	8%	33	-1.5
✕Mark Mathias 2023 · MLB	28	52→47	54→50	54→50	46	259/331/436	177	346	22	21	30%	8%	118	+3.0	248/329/373	125	332	13	16	27%	10%	101	+1.8	251/346/325	75	342	6	14	25%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44	52→60	55→60	45	219/299/387	168	324	21	27	37%	10%	93	+1.3	222/292/401	179	318	21	15	35%	8%	94	+1.3	212/281/377	165	309	19	12	36%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Michael A. Taylor 2019 · MLB	28	48→53	49→55	56→60	42	235/289/392	156	322	16	28	31%	7%	89	+1.0	228/282/375	147	315	16	20	31%	7%	82	+0.5	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Drew Stubbs 2012 · MLB	27	50→51	47→50	59→60	47	242/315/376	134	325	15	33	29%	9%	96	+1.5	229/296/359	130	316	15	27	30%	8%	84	+0.6	227/297/360	133	323	13	24	32%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	40→41	52→55	57→55	45	217/276/382	165	258	21	26	26%	7%	82	+0.5	223/280/386	163	269	20	22	25%	6%	85	+0.7	215/273/387	171	253	20	20	23%	6%	79	+0.1
●Chris Young 2011 · MLB	27	47→49	54→60	52→55	54	242/325/430	188	289	21	18	24%	11%	115	+2.7	231/318/414	183	273	20	18	22%	11%	108	+2.3	221/310/403	183	259	19	17	22%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Cedric Mullins 2023 · MLB	28	52→54	51→55	56→60	50	260/324/425	165	297	18	27	19%	8%	112	+2.6	231/302/393	162	268	18	27	21%	9%	95	+1.4	217/294/381	164	251	19	30	22%	9%	87	+0.7
●Justin Ruggiano 2010 · MLB	28	48→58	48→60	55	39	233/287/375	141	328	16	23	33%	6%	84	+0.6	243/296/391	148	328	16	22	29%	6%	92	+1.2	267/330/463	195	326	23	22	24%	8%	122	+2.2