Dane Myers — OGILVIE

Dane MyersCF Cincinnati Reds

Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 2.215S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION137 act + 205 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 133110vR 52

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .330 / .383

PA205

HR5

SB8

K%24

BB%9

BABIP326

ISO126

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

817.8%

xwOBA

600.320

POWER50

Barrel%

528.5

Avg EV

6990.4

Bat Spd

5271.6

EYE55

Chase%

9021.6%

SPEED60

Sprint

5527.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 484 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

206

278

—

wRC+

123

◀◀L

wOBA

346

263

◀◀L

ISO

166

070

◀◀L

BABIP

331

300

◀L

22.3%

27.0%

◀◀L

BB%

8.7%

7.6%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.215 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.7	$3M	+$3M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+1.2	$9M	+$7M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.7M
2029	Arb-4	$3M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$16M	+$10M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	25	AA	3 teams	—	179	159	40	8	1	4	11	62	5	5	1	252	320	390	710	138	375	35	6	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	3 teams	—	179	154	45	9	1	4	16	48	5	5	1	292	377	442	819	149	390	27	9	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	2 teams	—	488	457	101	16	2	25	17	172	9	21	5	221	263	429	692	208	289	35	3	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	2 teams	—	488	450	120	21	2	25	24	133	9	21	5	267	317	489	806	222	322	27	5	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	4 teams	—	597	539	150	20	3	15	40	136	12	30	6	278	342	410	752	132	343	23	7	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	4 teams	—	597	520	157	19	3	17	59	115	12	30	6	302	386	448	834	146	355	19	10	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	3 teams	—	264	237	57	12	1	7	20	89	5	12	2	241	313	388	701	148	350	34	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	3 teams	—	264	229	59	11	2	7	28	81	5	12	2	258	351	415	766	157	364	31	11	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	348	320	75	10	0	6	25	82	2	18	5	234	294	322	616	88	296	24	7	282	74	-10	+2	-1	+1	+10	0.2
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	348	319	74	10	0	6	26	81	2	18	5	232	294	320	614	88	292	23	7	280	72	-11	+2	-1	+1	+10	0.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	CIN	—	137	117	30	6	0	3	17	35	2	5	0	256	360	385	745	128	338	26	12	334	114	+2	+1	+1	+0	+4	0.8
YTD	30	MLB	CIN	—	137	117	30	6	0	3	17	35	2	5	0	256	360	385	745	128	338	26	12	338	117	+3	+1	+1	+0	+4	0.9
ROS	30	MLB	CIN	100%	205	183	47	8	0	5	18	50	2	8	1	257	330	383	713	126	327	24	9	324	106	+1	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.9
ROS	30	MLB	CIN	100%	205	183	47	8	0	5	18	50	2	8	1	257	330	383	713	126	330	24	9	318	102	+0	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.8
FULL	30	MLB	CIN	—	342	300	77	14	0	8	35	85	4	13	1	257	342	383	726	127	330	25	10	325	107	+3	+2	+1	+1	+10	1.7
TOT	30	MLB	CIN	—	342	300	77	14	0	8	35	85	4	13	1	257	342	383	726	127	330	25	10	328	109	+4	+2	+1	+1	+10	1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	CIN	92%	347	309	78	13	1	8	31	86	4	12	2	252	328	379	707	126	324	25	9	319	103	+1	+2	-3	+1	+10	1.1
2028	32	MLB	CIN	92%	328	292	73	12	1	7	29	83	4	10	2	250	326	370	696	120	321	25	9	314	98	-1	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.8
2029	33	MLB	CIN	92%	298	267	65	10	1	6	26	77	3	7	1	243	318	356	673	112	316	26	9	306	93	-2	+1	-4	+1	+8	0.4
2030	34	MLB	CIN	88%	255	228	53	8	0	5	22	67	3	4	1	232	308	333	642	101	310	26	9	297	86	-4	+0	-5	+1	+7	-0.0
2031	35	MLB	CIN	83%	204	182	41	6	0	4	18	55	2	2	0	225	302	324	626	99	303	27	9	287	78	-5	+0	-5	+1	+6	-0.4
2027	31	MLB	CIN	92%	319	283	74	13	1	8	29	79	4	11	2	261	339	399	738	138	327	25	9	314	99	-1	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.9
2028	32	MLB	CIN	92%	302	269	68	11	1	7	27	76	3	9	2	253	328	379	707	126	324	25	9	308	94	-2	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.6
2029	33	MLB	CIN	92%	274	245	61	10	1	6	24	71	3	6	1	249	324	371	695	122	319	26	9	301	89	-3	+1	-4	+1	+8	0.2
2030	34	MLB	CIN	88%	223	199	47	7	0	5	20	59	2	4	1	236	312	347	659	111	313	26	9	292	82	-5	+0	-4	+1	+6	-0.1
2031	35	MLB	CIN	83%	169	150	34	5	0	3	15	46	2	2	0	227	305	320	625	93	305	27	9	282	74	-5	+0	-4	+1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2003	1798	446	73	4	44	166	513	21	63	14	248	319	367	685	118	321	26	8	302	89	-25	+7	-18	+6	+57	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	144	24	1	14	54	166	7	20	5	247	318	364	682	117	319	26	8	302	89	-8	+2	-6	+2	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	3513	3173	780	123	10	92	257	959	51	129	26	246	313	378	690	132	321	27	7	307	93	-26	+15	-20	+9	+100	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	145	23	2	17	48	177	9	24	5	247	314	380	694	133	322	27	7	307	93	-5	+3	-4	+2	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	104	97	27	5	1	3	4	27	1	0	1	278	314	443	757	165	353	26	4	328	109	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2021	25	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	15	12	4	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	333	467	667	1.133	333	300	7	20	485	229	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2021	25	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	60	45	14	3	0	0	9	20	4	5	0	311	466	378	843	67	519	33	15	384	152	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2022	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	46	43	11	3	0	0	1	15	2	1	1	256	304	326	630	70	393	33	2	288	79	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	442	407	109	18	2	25	23	118	7	20	4	268	318	506	824	238	315	27	5	356	131	+15	+2	—	—	+13	3.1
2023	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	70	67	18	3	0	1	2	19	0	1	1	269	290	358	648	90	354	27	3	286	77	-2	-0	-1	+2	+2	0.2
2023	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	223	192	65	8	1	8	23	43	5	6	2	339	423	516	938	177	396	19	10	411	173	+18	+0	—	—	+6	2.6
2023	27	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	215	182	53	6	2	7	27	37	5	14	1	291	397	462	859	170	331	17	13	383	151	+12	+2	—	—	+6	2.1
2023	27	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	89	79	21	2	0	1	7	16	2	9	2	266	341	329	670	63	317	18	8	307	93	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	28	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	108	95	25	6	1	3	8	36	3	4	1	263	340	442	782	179	379	33	7	342	120	+2	+0	+0	-3	+3	0.3
2024	28	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	121	105	26	5	0	3	14	34	2	4	0	248	347	381	728	133	338	28	12	332	112	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	28	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	35	29	8	0	1	1	6	11	0	4	1	276	400	448	848	172	412	31	17	380	149	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	29	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	333	307	72	10	0	6	23	77	2	18	5	235	292	326	618	91	293	23	7	281	73	-10	+2	-1	+1	+9	0.2
2025	29	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	15	12	2	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	167	333	167	500		250	27	20	260	57	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	511	469	115	19	1	10	33	132	5	23	7	245	302	354	656	109	317	26	6	294	83	-10	+2	-1	+1	+14	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	2,278	49	75	249	317	366	-1	-1	5.8	5.7
	/162	664	14	22	249	317	366	-0.4	-0.4	1.7	pk7: 6
#2Miguel Cairolast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,217 PA	12	3,217	32	98	259	312	359	-9	+1	4.6	5.2
	/162	664	7	20	259	312	359	-1.9	+0.2	1.0	pk7: 6
#3Luis Matoslast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,740 PA	6	1,740	30	71	258	315	379	+1	+1	4.6	4.6
#3Luis Matoslast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,740 PA	/162	664	11	27	258	315	379	+0.4	+0.2	1.7	pk7: 5
#4Leury Garcíalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,387 PA	9	2,387	34	63	253	293	351	+5	+10	3.1	4.3
	/162	664	9	18	253	293	351	+1.4	+2.7	0.9	pk7: 6
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Luis Rivaslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,279 PA	7	2,279	33	81	257	303	376	-0	-5	3.8	3.8
#6Luis Rivaslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,279 PA	/162	664	10	24	257	303	376	-0.0	-1.4	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dane Myers (OGILVIE)	30	50	50	60	55	257/342/383	127	330	8	13	25%	10%	109	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→53	50	56→55	43	238/303/396	159	315	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.5	224/272/345	121	325	12	14	33%	5%	70	-0.3	219/262/322	103	328	9	10	35%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Cameron Maybin 2017 · MLB	30	56→60	42→50	53→55	52	269/333/381	112	321	9	20	19%	9%	105	+2.1	251/329/377	126	310	12	25	21%	10%	102	+1.9	244/329/374	130	306	12	27	23%	11%	99	+1.1
✕Jonathan Villar 2021 · MLB	30	51→60	47→50	58→65	48	252/319/387	135	321	15	34	25%	9%	100	+1.7	242/303/389	147	311	16	21	26%	8%	95	+1.4	238/299/388	150	305	17	20	26%	8%	89	+0.7
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→54	45→50	53→55	54	255/333/381	126	315	11	18	22%	10%	105	+2.1	236/306/347	111	297	10	16	22%	9%	85	+0.7	221/291/320	99	280	9	15	23%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Jon Berti 2020 · MLB	30	54→63	46→45	60	48	261/330/398	137	325	13	32	23%	8%	108	+2.3	247/336/366	119	318	11	30	23%	11%	102	+1.9	270/339/373	102	338	9	39	21%	9%	102	+1.0
✕Drew Stubbs 2015 · MLB	30	48→51	47→50	57→60	44	235/297/374	138	322	15	24	30%	8%	88	+0.9	222/299/354	132	324	14	22	33%	9%	84	+0.6	204/290/316	112	307	12	23	34%	10%	68	-0.2
●Eduardo Núñez 2017 · MLB	30	56→61	49→50	58→60	46	282/322/431	150	309	16	32	15%	5%	113	+2.6	271/303/404	133	296	14	22	13%	4%	98	+1.6	263/290/383	120	286	12	18	13%	3%	85	+0.4
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	52→57	43→45	60→65	45	244/333/363	119	323	10	34	26%	7%	102	+1.8	226/314/349	123	299	10	35	26%	7%	90	+1.0	218/308/337	119	293	9	40	27%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Alejandro De Aza 2014 · MLB	30	55→61	46→50	52→55	49	267/328/403	136	320	13	21	20%	8%	108	+2.3	249/317/389	140	312	12	15	23%	8%	100	+1.7	241/315/378	137	306	11	14	23%	8%	92	+0.7
✕Trevor Story 2023 · MLB	30	43→49	53→60	55	48	226/300/405	179	279	21	20	27%	9%	98	+1.6	233/294/394	161	303	19	24	28%	7%	92	+1.2	241/292/393	153	309	20	30	28%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Eric Campbell 2016 · MLB	29	52→57	44→45	49→50	55	251/340/370	119	306	10	14	20%	10%	105	+2.1	241/327/351	110	299	9	12	21%	10%	95	+1.4	233/322/348	115	288	10	9	21%	10%	90	+0.7
●Harrison Bader 2023 · MLB	29	50→56	49→55	55	46	253/308/405	152	298	17	21	21%	6%	101	+1.8	239/292/372	133	285	15	23	21%	6%	85	+0.7	242/304/399	157	300	20	16	25%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Andrew Stevenson 2023 · MLB	29	52→59	47→50	59→60	42	254/305/402	147	325	13	24	25%	6%	98	+1.6	255/308/393	138	329	13	36	25%	6%	97	+1.5	266/320/399	133	345	13	48	25%	6%	98	+1.0
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→47	52→50	57→65	52	222/331/394	172	292	19	35	29%	11%	109	+2.4	216/319/391	175	291	18	32	30%	11%	103	+1.9	201/303/378	176	270	20	37	31%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Hernán Pérez 2021 · MLB	30	46→55	50→55	52→55	43	238/282/393	155	288	19	16	25%	6%	86	+0.8	240/286/377	137	303	16	20	26%	6%	84	+0.6	239/283/364	126	302	16	24	26%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Niko Goodrum 2022 · MLB	30	45→54	49→55	53→55	46	224/298/374	150	315	16	19	32%	9%	89	+1.0	229/321/362	133	325	14	15	31%	12%	95	+1.4	235/336/360	125	330	13	14	29%	13%	98	+0.6
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Jace Peterson 2020 · MLB	30	47→57	47→50	56→55	51	234/304/379	145	280	13	19	21%	9%	92	+1.2	240/323/396	156	299	17	17	24%	11%	105	+2.1	227/319/357	130	289	14	20	25%	11%	89	+0.6
●Fred Lewis 2011 · MLB	30	55→60	46→50	54→55	51	264/339/415	151	332	10	19	22%	9%	115	+2.8	253/327/401	148	324	13	18	24%	9%	107	+2.2	252/327/399	147	327	13	19	25%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Garrett Stubbs 2023 · MLB	30	48	48→45	53→50	55	239/325/383	144	296	16	11	24%	11%	102	+1.9	225/298/335	110	290	11	12	25%	8%	79	+0.3	217/287/307	90	281	9	11	25%	7%	65	-0.2