Jose Siri

CF Los Angeles Angels
Age 32 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs MLB K +5%HR +4% Svc 3.331 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202429INTLGigantes del …59.260/.362/.40019116—
202429MLBTB448.187/.256/.3661814720.9
202530AAA/INTL2 orgs41.184/.225/.316129—.100/.100/.150
202530MLBNYM36.062/.167/.12502-10-0.4
202631AAALAA140.288/.355/.5045475—.217/.268/.364
202631MLBLAA251.241/.297/.417109930.6
2027PROJ32MLBLAA203.216/.274/.405914880.7
2028PROJ82% MLB33MLBLAA144.208/.265/.3886781-0.0
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.331First FA2030
2027Arb-1$0.6M2028Arb-2$0.7M2029Ext$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Barrel%90
Speed90
Bat Spd57
xwOBA39
Avg EV34
Form.219/.274/.401 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .216/.272/.404
CompsDylan Moore (age 31) · George Lombard (age 31) · Reggie Abercrombie (age 32)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 9188vR 77
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .274 / .405
PA203
HR9
SB14
K%33
BB%6
BABIP276
ISO194
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +3.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +2.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.30.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT30
xAVG
100.202
POWER60
Barrel%
9014.4
Avg EV
3487.9
Bat Spd
5772.1
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
9030.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%32%▲31% over 71 PA (60d) · proj 32%
BB%6%·6% over 71 PA (60d) · proj 6%
ISO.182·.167 over 66 AB (60d) · proj .188
HR/BB7.1%·6.8% over 44 BBE (60d) · proj 7.1%
BABIP.280·.317 over 41 BIP (60d) · proj .279
SLASH.219/.274/.401·proj .216/.272/.404
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 471 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
112
359
—
wRC+
85
63
◀◀L
wOBA
294
262
◀L
ISO
204
164
◀◀L
BABIP
259
251
◀L
K%
33.9%
38.4%
◀L
BB%
8.9%
7.0%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2021
Service   3.331 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$0.6M+0.3$1M+$0.6M
2028Arb-2$0.7M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.6M $1M +$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201318 ROKDSL Reds — 265238 721095 18575 1710 303364483847 181379 227 368 44 — — — — — —
201419 ROKAZL Reds — 172157 39642 12352 122 248310376686 127308 207 306 34 — — — — — —
201520 ROKBillings Mustangs — 181176 43793 4650 112 244261438699 193370 362 300 0 — — — — — —
201621 ADayton Dragons — 8783 12300 2340 32 145165181345 36240 392 154 -42 — — — — — —
201621 ROKBillings Mustangs — 255241 7712810 8663 174 320349560909 241404 263 390 51 — — — — — —
201722 ADayton Dragons — 552498 146241124 331306 4612 293345530875 237349 246 371 72 — — — — — —
201722 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 8478 25612 3251 113 321354500854 179442 304 367 134 — — — — — —
201823 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 283253 588912 24913 145 229304474778 245301 328 336 70 — — — — — —
201823 A+Daytona Tortugas — 126119 31921 4320 91 261285395680 134341 253 292 40 — — — — — —
201823 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 143131 36723 8393 133 275331427758 153367 276 335 113 — — — — — —
201924 AAALouisville Bats — 112102 19410 9390 52 186252245497 59302 358 229 -1 — — — — — —
201924 AAChattanooga Lookouts — 405366 9215111 331261 216 251315388703 137349 318 312 48 — — — — — —
201924 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 125112 22416 10341 40 196268411679 214216 278 295 86 — — — — — —
202025 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 122110 31703 12340 73 282352427780 145384 2810 349 122 — — — — — —
202126 MLBHouston Astros — 4946 14014 1172 31 304347609956 304400 352 413 168 +4 +0 -0 -6 +1 -0.1
202126 AAASugar Land Skeeters — 397362 11529416 261225 243 318372552924 235436 317 399 102 — — — — — —
202126 INTLDominican Republic — 10999 23322 8261 63 232294364657 131296 247 294 85 — — — — — —
202227 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 325301 641327 201083 142 213269339607 126305 336 273 70 -11 +2 +12 +2 +7 1.1
202227 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys — 7871 21329 6200 20 2963517751.125 479279 268 466 131 — — — — — —
202227 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 8573 23612 9191 92 315393507900 192404 2211 390 150 — — — — — —
202328 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 364338 7513225 201302 123 222269494764 272269 365 327 109 +4 +1 +8 +1 +8 2.4
202328 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 5239 9002 11121 52 231412385796 154280 2321 364 132 — — — — — —
202429 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 448402 7516118 311707 147 187256366621 179261 387 274 72 -15 +0 +12 +2 +10 0.9
202429 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 5950 13401 7161 91 260362400762 140353 2712 340 116 — — — — — —
202530 MLBNew York Mets — 3632 2200 4170 20 62167125292 62133 4711 149 -10 -5 +0 -1 +0 +1 -0.4
202530 AAASyracuse Mets — 2020 4101 0100 00 200200400600 200333 500 259 -14 — — — — — —
202530 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 2118 3100 250 20 167250222472 56214 2410 214 31 — — — — — —
202631 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 251228 5510010 15803 91 241297417713 175324 326 311 93 -2 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.6
202631 AAASalt Lake Bees — 140125 36635 11372 40 288355504859 216369 268 371 75 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 14731347 28554664 9152217 5414 212270403673 192287 356 295 85 -25 +5 +31 +1 +32 4.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201318 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 265243 46652 13695 1710 189245280525 91252 265 233 44 — — — — — —
201419 ROK MLEAZL Reds — 172161 29431 8502 122 180228261489 81256 295 219 34 — — — — — —
201520 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs — 181178 26452 2940 112 146156258414 112282 521 168 0 — — — — — —
201621 A MLEDayton Dragons — 8784 8200 1470 32 95106119225 24213 541 106 -42 — — — — — —
201621 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs — 255244 50756 5953 174 205230348579 143296 372 244 51 — — — — — —
201722 A MLEDayton Dragons — 552511 11719816 201796 4612 229266391658 162298 324 275 72 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 283260 487710 171083 145 185243381624 196259 386 271 70 — — — — — —
201823 A+ MLEDaytona Tortugas — 126120 24711 3440 91 200220300520 100297 352 227 40 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 112106 16310 5490 52 151189198387 47264 444 167 -1 — — — — — —
201924 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts — 405375 731018 241591 216 195245291536 96304 396 239 48 — — — — — —
202126 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 4946 14014 1172 31 304347609956 304400 352 417 168 +4 +0 -0 -6 +1 -0.1
202126 AAA MLESugar Land Skeeters — 397369 9725312 191465 243 263308444752 182390 375 319 102 — — — — — —
202227 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 325301 631327 201083 142 209265336601 126305 336 272 70 -11 +2 +12 +2 +7 1.1
202227 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 7873 17227 4240 20 233273603875 370241 315 362 131 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 364338 7513226 201302 123 222269503772 281269 365 330 109 +4 +1 +8 +1 +8 2.4
202429 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 448404 7516119 311707 147 186256371627 186261 387 275 72 -15 +0 +12 +2 +10 0.9
202530 MLB MLENew York Mets — 3632 2200 4170 20 62167125292 62133 4711 153 -10 -5 +0 -1 +0 +1 -0.4
202530 AAA MLESyracuse Mets — 2020 2100 0120 00 100100150250 50281 600 147 -14 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 251230 5510010 13803 91 239289413702 174324 325 306 93 -2 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.6
202631 AAA MLESalt Lake Bees — 140129 28433 7442 40 217268364632 147302 315 279 75 — — — — — —
201318 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 265243 46652 13695 1710 189245280525 91254 265 233 44 — — — — — —
201318 ROK RAWDSL Reds — 265238 721095 18575 1710 303364483847 181379 227 368 44 — — — — — —
201419 ROK MLEAZL Reds — 172161 29431 8502 122 180228261489 81255 295 219 34 — — — — — —
201419 ROK RAWAZL Reds — 172157 39642 12352 122 248310376686 127308 207 306 34 — — — — — —
201520 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs — 181178 26452 2940 112 146156258414 112293 521 168 0 — — — — — —
201520 ROK RAWBillings Mustangs — 181176 43793 4650 112 244261438699 193370 362 300 0 — — — — — —
201621 ROK MLE2 teams — 342328 58956 61423 206 177199290488 113286 422 209 28 — — — — — —
201621 ROK RAW2 teams — 342324 8915810 101003 206 275303463766 188366 293 330 28 — — — — — —
201722 A MLE2 teams — 636588 13321918 242077 5715 226265384649 158311 334 275 72 — — — — — —
201722 A RAW2 teams — 636576 171301226 361557 5715 297346526872 229361 246 370 72 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLE3 teams — 552512 99181215 272056 369 193242363605 170282 375 257 60 — — — — — —
201823 AA RAW3 teams — 552503 125241316 361626 369 249306443750 195329 297 326 60 — — — — — —
201924 AA MLE3 teams — 642596 11016210 362582 308 185233268502 84300 406 223 37 — — — — — —
201924 AA RAW3 teams — 642580 13323317 521992 308 229295367662 138314 318 294 37 — — — — — —
202025 INTL MLEGigantes del Cibao — 122110 31703 12340 73 282352427780 145384 2810 — — — — — — — —
202025 INTL RAWGigantes del Cibao — 122110 31703 12340 73 282352427780 145384 2810 349 122 — — — — — —
202126 AAA MLE3 teams — 555519 13731519 242038 337 264307453760 189393 374 330 109 — — — — — —
202126 AAA RAW3 teams — 555507 15232722 351658 337 300354521875 221402 306 380 109 — — — — — —
202227 MLB MLE3 teams — 488451 9819517 301604 254 217272395667 177293 336 290 82 -10 +3 +12 +2 +11 1.8
202227 MLB RAW3 teams — 488445 10822518 351474 254 243303436739 193319 307 324 82 -10 +3 +12 +2 +11 1.8
202328 MLB MLE2 teams — 416385 8515229 231493 175 221270496766 275267 366 330 109 +5 +1 +8 +1 +9 2.5
202328 MLB RAW2 teams — 416377 8413227 311423 175 223287483770 260270 347 332 109 +5 +1 +8 +1 +9 2.5
202429 MLB MLE2 teams — 507457 8519121 351928 238 186256370626 184257 387 275 72 -17 +1 +12 +2 +11 1.0
202429 MLB RAW2 teams — 507452 8820119 381868 238 195268369637 175274 377 281 72 -17 +1 +12 +2 +11 1.0
202530 MLB MLE3 teams — 7770 7401 6400 40 100171200371 100200 528 151 -12 -10 +1 -1 +0 +2 -0.9
202530 MLB RAW3 teams — 7770 9401 6320 40 129197229426 100211 428 195 -12 -10 +1 -1 +0 +2 -0.9
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 391359 8415313 201245 131 234284401685 167317 325 296 87 -6 +2 +0 +1 +8 0.6
202631 MLB RAW2 teams — 391353 9116315 261175 131 258318448765 190341 307 332 87 -6 +2 +0 +1 +8 0.6
201318 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 265245 46652 13695 1710 188245278523 90252 265 233 44 — — — — — —
201419 ROK MLEAZL Reds — 172160 29431 8502 122 181228263491 81256 295 219 34 — — — — — —
201520 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs — 181177 26452 2940 112 147156260415 113282 521 168 0 — — — — — —
201621 ROK MLE2 teams — 342330 58956 61423 206 176199288487 112275 422 209 28 — — — — — —
201722 A MLE2 teams — 636600 13321918 242077 5715 222265377642 155298 334 275 72 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLE3 teams — 552514 99181215 272056 369 193242362604 169271 375 257 60 — — — — — —
201924 AA MLE3 teams — 642599 11016210 362582 308 184233267501 83295 406 223 37 — — — — — —
202126 AAA MLE3 teams — 555518 13731519 242038 337 264307454760 189391 374 330 109 — — — — — —
202227 MLB MLE3 teams — 488451 9819517 301604 254 217272395667 177292 336 290 82 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLE2 teams — 416387 8515229 231493 175 220270494764 274269 366 330 109 — — — — — —
202429 MLB MLE2 teams — 507459 8519121 351928 238 185256368624 183261 387 275 72 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLE3 teams — 7771 7401 6400 40 99171197368 99186 528 151 -12 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 391363 8415313 201245 131 231284397681 165316 325 296 87 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202429 MLB MLE2 teams — 507459 8519121 351928 238 185256368624 183261 387 275 72 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLE3 teams — 7771 7401 6400 40 99171197368 99186 528 151 -12 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 391363 8415313 201245 131 231284397681 165316 325 296 87 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202732 MLB MLELAA 100% 313287 6311213 191024 223 216274404679 188279 336 298 88 -4 +3 +4 +1 +7 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202732 MLB CTXLAA 100% 203186 41719 12663 142 216274405679 189276 336 298 88 -3 +2 +2 +1 +4 0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202833 MLB MLELAA 82% 176161 34617 11582 91 209266387653 178271 336 288 81 -4 +1 -2 +1 +4 -0.0
202833 MLB CTXLAA 82% 144132 28416 9482 71 208265388653 179270 336 288 81 -3 +1 -2 +1 +3 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 16171479 31358770 10057019 6115 212270402672 191286 356 294 64 -29 +6 +30 +1 +35 4.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650595 12623328 402298 256 212271402672 190287 356 294 64 -12 +2 +12 +1 +14 1.8
Career— MLE — 57255304 110320159173 289205158 32883 208257366623 158298 365 262 64 -32 +9 +32 +2 +40 5.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650602 12623720 332337 379 209259370629 161300 365 262 64 -11 +3 +11 +1 +14 1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 140 PAwOBA .364 → .279 (−85)K% 26.4% → 31.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.43%÷1.000×1.200——31.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.86%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9625.22%
HBP% /PA1.43%—×0.940—×0.9621.29%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.930×0.950×0.96221.25%
Doubles /BIP6.82%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×0.9625.17%
Triples /BIP3.41%÷1.000×0.970×0.950×0.9623.02%
Home runs /BIP5.68%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9623.83%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .364 → .279; ISO .216 → .157; BABIP .369 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASyracuse Mets · 20 PAwOBA .250 → .147 (−104)K% 50.0% → 61.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA50.00%÷0.981×1.200——61.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.005×0.690—×0.9720.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9720.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.975×0.930—×0.97218.54%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.022×0.830—×0.9727.90%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.959×0.970—×0.9720.00%
Home runs /BIP10.00%÷1.167×0.700—×0.9725.83%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 95, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .250 → .147; ISO .200 → .099; BABIP .333 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 78 PAwOBA .457 → .362 (−96)K% 25.6% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.64%÷0.986×1.200——31.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.69%÷0.953×0.690—×1.0035.59%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP13.73%÷0.982×0.930×0.950×1.00312.38%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷0.952×0.830×0.950×1.0034.88%
Triples /BIP3.92%÷0.900×0.970×0.950×1.0034.03%
Home runs /BIP17.65%÷0.917×0.700—×1.00313.51%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 97, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .457 → .362; ISO .479 → .371; BABIP .279 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAASugar Land Skeeters · 397 PAwOBA .391 → .319 (−72)K% 30.7% → 36.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.73%÷1.002×1.200——36.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.55%÷0.975×0.690—×1.0184.72%
HBP% /PA1.26%—×0.940—×1.0181.21%
Singles /BIP27.50%÷1.023×0.930×0.991×1.01825.21%
Doubles /BIP12.08%÷0.923×0.830×0.991×1.01810.95%
Triples /BIP1.67%÷1.150×0.920×0.991×1.0181.34%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷0.935×0.700—×1.0185.08%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 105, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .391 → .319; ISO .235 → .181; BABIP .436 → .390. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 405 PAwOBA .306 → .239 (−67)K% 31.1% → 39.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.11%÷0.967×1.220——39.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.15%÷0.949×0.680—×1.0125.91%
HBP% /PA0.25%—×0.840—×1.0120.21%
Singles /BIP27.08%÷0.974×0.920×0.950×1.01224.58%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.160×0.910×0.950×1.0124.71%
Triples /BIP0.42%÷0.900×0.880×0.950×1.0120.39%
Home runs /BIP4.58%÷0.979×0.800—×1.0123.79%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 95, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 93, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .306 → .239; ISO .137 → .102; BABIP .349 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAALouisville Bats · 112 PAwOBA .220 → .167 (−52)K% 34.8% → 43.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.82%÷0.960×1.200——43.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.14%÷1.151×0.690—×1.0484.49%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0480.00%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.018×0.930×0.950×1.04820.22%
Doubles /BIP6.35%÷1.082×0.830×0.950×1.0484.85%
Triples /BIP1.59%÷1.150×0.970×0.950×1.0481.33%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.957×0.840—×1.0480.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 92, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .220 → .167; ISO .059 → .043; BABIP .302 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 283 PAwOBA .330 → .271 (−59)K% 32.2% → 38.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.16%÷1.030×1.220——38.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.48%÷0.967×0.680—×1.0276.13%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.840—×1.0270.91%
Singles /BIP17.90%÷1.023×0.920×0.950×1.02715.70%
Doubles /BIP4.94%÷1.039×0.910×0.950×1.0274.22%
Triples /BIP5.56%÷1.006×0.880×0.950×1.0274.74%
Home runs /BIP7.41%÷0.909×0.800—×1.0276.69%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 105, 2B 108, 3B 101, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .330 → .271; ISO .245 → .207; BABIP .301 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Daytona Tortugas · 126 PAwOBA .289 → .227 (−62)K% 25.4% → 34.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.40%÷1.035×1.420——34.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.17%÷0.994×0.750—×0.9982.39%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.930—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP21.84%÷1.006×0.920×0.980×0.99819.54%
Doubles /BIP10.34%÷1.088×0.960×0.980×0.9988.93%
Triples /BIP2.30%÷1.047×0.810×0.980×0.9981.74%
Home runs /BIP1.15%÷1.058×0.880—×0.9980.95%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 118, 3B 109, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .289 → .227; ISO .134 → .101; BABIP .341 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .