Adolis García
RF Philadelphia Phillies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31 | MLBTEX | 637 | .224/.287/.400 | 25 | 11 | 86 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLBTEX | 547 | .227/.274/.394 | 19 | 13 | 81 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLBPHI | 259 | .195/.273/.329 | 7 | 3 | 68 | -0.6 |
| 2027PROJ | 34 | MLBPHI | 146 | .226/.287/.400 | 5 | 3 | 89 | 0.1 |
| 2028PROJ | 35 | MLBPHI | 215 | .214/.273/.374 | 7 | 2 | 78 | -0.8 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Cuba | — | 23 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 217 | 304 | 522 | 87 | 294 | 26 | 0 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 147 | 136 | 41 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 301 | 345 | 478 | 823 | 176 | 369 | 21 | 5 | 358 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 342 | 309 | 88 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 77 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 285 | 344 | 476 | 820 | 191 | 338 | 23 | 8 | 357 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 17 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 118 | 176 | 294 | 59 | 200 | 41 | 0 | 129 | -29 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +0 | -0.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 428 | 406 | 104 | 25 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 99 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 256 | 284 | 500 | 784 | 244 | 283 | 23 | 3 | 335 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 529 | 491 | 124 | 22 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 159 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 253 | 302 | 517 | 820 | 265 | 305 | 30 | 4 | 354 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 69 | 68 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 261 | 368 | 629 | 118 | 333 | 25 | 0 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 622 | 581 | 141 | 26 | 2 | 31 | 32 | 194 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 243 | 288 | 454 | 742 | 212 | 306 | 31 | 5 | 324 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +8 | +2 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 657 | 605 | 151 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 40 | 183 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 250 | 303 | 456 | 759 | 207 | 309 | 28 | 6 | 331 | 105 | +4 | +3 | -1 | -7 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 632 | 555 | 136 | 29 | 0 | 39 | 65 | 175 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 245 | 331 | 508 | 839 | 263 | 280 | 28 | 10 | 363 | 126 | +20 | +1 | +2 | -7 | +14 | 3.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 637 | 580 | 130 | 27 | 0 | 25 | 45 | 177 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 224 | 287 | 400 | 687 | 176 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 303 | 86 | -10 | +0 | -12 | -7 | +14 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 547 | 507 | 115 | 28 | 0 | 19 | 28 | 135 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 227 | 274 | 394 | 669 | 168 | 267 | 25 | 5 | 293 | 81 | -12 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 259 | 231 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 195 | 273 | 329 | 602 | 134 | 266 | 32 | 8 | 271 | 68 | -10 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +6 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 3371 | 3076 | 720 | 153 | 8 | 148 | 231 | 955 | 32 | 77 | 21 | 234 | 294 | 433 | 728 | 199 | 285 | 28 | 7 | 319 | 102 | +7 | +7 | -3 | -32 | +73 | 5.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 147 | 138 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 290 | 377 | 666 | 123 | 339 | 27 | 3 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 342 | 319 | 75 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 95 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 235 | 276 | 361 | 636 | 125 | 301 | 28 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 17 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 118 | 176 | 294 | 59 | 200 | 41 | 0 | 126 | -29 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +0 | -0.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 428 | 409 | 84 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 131 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 205 | 230 | 399 | 628 | 193 | 245 | 31 | 3 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 529 | 498 | 93 | 17 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 208 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 187 | 230 | 380 | 610 | 193 | 256 | 39 | 3 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 622 | 581 | 140 | 27 | 2 | 29 | 32 | 194 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 241 | 286 | 444 | 730 | 203 | 306 | 31 | 5 | 317 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +8 | +2 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 657 | 607 | 150 | 35 | 5 | 25 | 38 | 183 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 247 | 298 | 445 | 743 | 198 | 309 | 28 | 6 | 324 | 105 | +4 | +3 | -1 | -7 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 632 | 555 | 134 | 30 | 0 | 36 | 65 | 175 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 241 | 327 | 490 | 818 | 249 | 280 | 28 | 10 | 355 | 126 | +20 | +1 | +2 | -7 | +14 | 3.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 637 | 582 | 129 | 28 | 0 | 23 | 43 | 177 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 222 | 282 | 388 | 670 | 167 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -10 | +0 | -12 | -7 | +14 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 547 | 508 | 115 | 29 | 0 | 18 | 27 | 135 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 226 | 272 | 390 | 662 | 163 | 267 | 25 | 5 | 288 | 81 | -12 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 259 | 231 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 195 | 273 | 329 | 602 | 134 | 266 | 32 | 8 | 268 | 68 | -10 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL MLE | Cuba | — | 23 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 217 | 304 | 522 | 87 | 294 | 26 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL RAW | Cuba | — | 23 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 217 | 304 | 522 | 87 | 294 | 26 | 0 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 489 | 457 | 111 | 28 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 134 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 243 | 282 | 374 | 656 | 131 | 317 | 27 | 4 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 489 | 445 | 129 | 34 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 108 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 290 | 344 | 476 | 821 | 187 | 348 | 22 | 7 | 357 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 445 | 426 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 138 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 202 | 226 | 390 | 615 | 188 | 247 | 31 | 2 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 445 | 423 | 106 | 26 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 106 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 251 | 278 | 487 | 765 | 236 | 280 | 24 | 3 | 327 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 598 | 564 | 105 | 19 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 235 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 186 | 229 | 376 | 604 | 190 | 259 | 39 | 3 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 598 | 559 | 141 | 26 | 8 | 32 | 22 | 176 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 252 | 297 | 499 | 797 | 247 | 309 | 29 | 4 | 345 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 622 | 581 | 140 | 27 | 2 | 29 | 32 | 194 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 241 | 286 | 444 | 730 | 203 | 307 | 31 | 5 | 317 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +8 | +2 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 622 | 581 | 141 | 26 | 2 | 31 | 32 | 194 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 243 | 288 | 454 | 742 | 212 | 306 | 31 | 5 | 324 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +8 | +2 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 657 | 607 | 150 | 35 | 5 | 25 | 38 | 183 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 247 | 298 | 445 | 743 | 198 | 309 | 28 | 6 | 324 | 105 | +4 | +3 | -1 | -7 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 657 | 605 | 151 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 40 | 183 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 250 | 303 | 456 | 759 | 207 | 309 | 28 | 6 | 331 | 105 | +4 | +3 | -1 | -7 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 632 | 555 | 134 | 30 | 0 | 36 | 65 | 175 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 241 | 327 | 490 | 818 | 249 | 280 | 28 | 10 | 355 | 126 | +20 | +1 | +2 | -7 | +14 | 3.1 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 632 | 555 | 136 | 29 | 0 | 39 | 65 | 175 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 245 | 331 | 508 | 839 | 263 | 280 | 28 | 10 | 363 | 126 | +20 | +1 | +2 | -7 | +14 | 3.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 637 | 582 | 129 | 28 | 0 | 23 | 43 | 177 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 222 | 282 | 388 | 670 | 167 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -10 | +0 | -12 | -7 | +14 | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 637 | 580 | 130 | 27 | 0 | 25 | 45 | 177 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 224 | 287 | 400 | 687 | 176 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 303 | 86 | -10 | +0 | -12 | -7 | +14 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 547 | 508 | 115 | 29 | 0 | 18 | 27 | 135 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 226 | 272 | 390 | 662 | 163 | 268 | 25 | 5 | 288 | 81 | -12 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 547 | 507 | 115 | 28 | 0 | 19 | 28 | 135 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 227 | 274 | 394 | 669 | 168 | 267 | 25 | 5 | 293 | 81 | -12 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 259 | 231 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 195 | 273 | 329 | 602 | 134 | 266 | 32 | 8 | 268 | 68 | -10 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 259 | 231 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 195 | 273 | 329 | 602 | 134 | 266 | 32 | 8 | 271 | 68 | -10 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 489 | 461 | 111 | 28 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 134 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 241 | 282 | 371 | 653 | 130 | 312 | 27 | 4 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 445 | 429 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 138 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 200 | 226 | 387 | 612 | 186 | 243 | 31 | 2 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 598 | 562 | 105 | 19 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 235 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 187 | 229 | 377 | 606 | 190 | 256 | 39 | 3 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 622 | 580 | 140 | 27 | 2 | 29 | 32 | 194 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 241 | 286 | 445 | 731 | 203 | 306 | 31 | 5 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 657 | 608 | 150 | 35 | 5 | 25 | 38 | 183 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 247 | 298 | 444 | 742 | 197 | 309 | 28 | 6 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 632 | 556 | 134 | 30 | 0 | 36 | 65 | 175 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 241 | 327 | 489 | 817 | 248 | 280 | 28 | 10 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 637 | 583 | 129 | 28 | 0 | 23 | 43 | 177 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 221 | 282 | 388 | 670 | 166 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 547 | 510 | 115 | 29 | 0 | 18 | 27 | 135 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 225 | 272 | 388 | 660 | 163 | 267 | 25 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 259 | 232 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 194 | 273 | 328 | 601 | 134 | 266 | 32 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 637 | 583 | 129 | 28 | 0 | 23 | 43 | 177 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 221 | 282 | 388 | 670 | 166 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 547 | 510 | 115 | 29 | 0 | 18 | 27 | 135 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 225 | 272 | 388 | 660 | 163 | 267 | 25 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 259 | 232 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 194 | 273 | 328 | 601 | 134 | 266 | 32 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 349 | 319 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 96 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 224 | 285 | 391 | 676 | 167 | 279 | 28 | 7 | 299 | 89 | -5 | +0 | +2 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 146 | 133 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 287 | 400 | 687 | 174 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 303 | 89 | -2 | +0 | +1 | -2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 35 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 215 | 197 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 271 | 365 | 637 | 153 | 267 | 28 | 7 | 283 | 78 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +5 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 215 | 197 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 273 | 374 | 647 | 159 | 267 | 28 | 7 | 287 | 78 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +5 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3586 | 3273 | 761 | 161 | 8 | 155 | 245 | 1016 | 34 | 79 | 22 | 233 | 293 | 429 | 721 | 196 | 284 | 28 | 7 | 317 | 87 | +1 | +7 | -7 | -34 | +78 | 4.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 137 | 29 | 1 | 28 | 44 | 184 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 231 | 290 | 425 | 715 | 194 | 282 | 28 | 7 | 317 | 87 | +0 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +14 | 0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5270 | 4864 | 1091 | 239 | 18 | 204 | 299 | 1562 | 56 | 123 | 46 | 224 | 277 | 407 | 684 | 182 | 282 | 30 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -1 | +7 | -6 | -36 | +81 | 4.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 134 | 29 | 2 | 25 | 37 | 193 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 223 | 276 | 403 | 680 | 180 | 281 | 30 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -0 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 529 PAwOBA .345 → .258 (−87)K% 30.1% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.06% | ÷0.986 | ×1.290 | — | — | 39.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.16% | ÷1.035 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 2.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.46% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 2.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.28% | ÷1.014 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 16.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.63% | ÷0.917 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.81% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.64% | ÷0.982 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 7.79% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .345 → .258; ISO .265 → .192; BABIP .305 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 428 PAwOBA .329 → .266 (−63)K% 23.1% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.13% | ÷0.975 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.27% | ÷0.960 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 2.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.26% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | ×0.954 | ×1.033 | 15.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.14% | ÷0.957 | ×0.810 | ×0.954 | ×1.033 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | ×0.954 | ×1.033 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.17% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 6.35% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 97, K 95, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .329 → .266; ISO .244 → .196; BABIP .283 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AASpringfield Cardinals · 342 PAwOBA .350 → .281 (−69)K% 22.5% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.51% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.02% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.84% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 21.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.91% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 8.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.940 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.17% | ÷1.315 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.18% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 119, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .350 → .281; ISO .191 → .133; BABIP .338 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 147 PAwOBA .350 → .298 (−52)K% 21.1% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.09% | ÷1.010 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.997 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 3.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.001 | ×0.900 | ×1.026 | ×1.048 | 23.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.48% | ÷1.021 | ×0.810 | ×1.026 | ×1.048 | 8.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.135 | ×0.810 | ×1.026 | ×1.048 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 100, 2B 104, 3B 127, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .350 → .298; ISO .176 → .140; BABIP .369 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .