Adam Duvall — OGILVIE

Adam DuvallLF Atlanta Braves

Age 37 R/R 6'1" / 233 lbs MLB Svc 12.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 269 proj PA

wRC+†vL 142102vR 1

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .284 / .421

PA269

HR13

K%28

BB%7

ISO206

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 65

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT45

Whiff%

2913.4%

xwOBA

390.295

POWER65

Barrel%

7712.2

Avg EV

3588.0

Bat Spd

6072.4

EYE40

Chase%

1837.9%

SPEED38

Sprint

6628.1

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024 · 330 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

123

207

—

wRC+

142

◀◀L

wOBA

371

186

◀◀L

ISO

262

076

◀◀L

BABIP

264

205

◀◀L

22.8%

34.3%

◀◀L

BB%

10.6%

3.9%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2014

Service 12.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$0.4M
Totals		$0.8M		$0.5M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	513	457	109	27	4	25	36	127	14	4	4	239	314	479	793	241	271	25	7	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	513	431	123	30	4	22	59	98	14	4	4	285	387	527	913	241	320	19	12	395	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+	San Jose Giants	—	598	551	121	21	4	28	30	155	10	8	2	220	272	425	697	205	249	26	5	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+	San Jose Giants	—	598	534	138	24	4	30	47	116	10	8	2	258	330	487	817	228	274	19	8	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA	2 teams	—	583	542	113	23	5	24	29	134	6	2	1	208	256	402	659	194	229	23	5	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA	2 teams	—	583	530	139	29	4	24	41	107	6	2	1	262	322	468	790	206	285	18	7	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA	3 teams	—	526	492	107	19	2	24	27	142	6	2	1	217	267	411	677	193	254	27	5	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA	3 teams	—	526	484	134	24	2	34	35	112	6	2	1	277	333	545	879	269	295	21	7	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA	2 teams	—	613	573	125	26	2	29	25	166	9	5	1	218	262	422	684	204	250	27	4	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA	2 teams	—	613	561	145	31	2	35	37	140	9	5	1	258	315	508	823	250	281	23	6	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	608	553	129	30	6	31	41	164	6	6	5	233	293	477	771	244	268	27	7	328	109	+6	-1	+1	-7	+17	1.8
2016	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	608	552	133	31	6	33	41	164	6	6	5	241	300	498	798	257	275	27	7	342	120	+14	-1	+1	-7	+17	2.5
2017	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	647	587	141	35	3	29	39	170	10	5	3	240	299	458	757	218	281	26	6	325	107	+5	-0	+7	-7	+18	2.4
2017	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	647	587	146	37	3	31	39	170	10	5	3	249	307	480	787	232	290	26	6	339	118	+13	-0	+7	-7	+18	3.2
2018	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	427	384	75	20	0	15	37	117	5	2	2	195	275	365	639	169	237	27	9	279	72	-14	-0	+6	-5	+12	-0.1
2018	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	427	384	75	20	0	15	37	117	5	2	2	195	275	365	639	169	237	27	9	287	78	-11	-0	+6	-5	+12	0.2
2019	30	AAA	2 teams	—	559	509	119	21	4	43	35	154	12	1	0	234	299	544	843	310	241	28	6	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA	2 teams	—	559	489	130	24	5	42	55	125	12	1	0	266	354	593	947	327	271	22	10	406	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	209	190	45	8	0	16	15	54	3	0	0	237	303	532	834	295	240	26	7	356	131	+7	+0	+0	-2	+6	1.1
2020	31	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	209	190	45	8	0	16	15	54	3	0	0	237	303	532	834	295	240	26	7	360	134	+8	+0	+0	-2	+6	1.2
2021	32	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	555	513	117	17	2	38	35	174	4	5	0	228	283	491	774	263	260	31	6	330	111	+7	+1	+4	-6	+16	2.2
2021	32	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	555	513	117	17	2	38	35	174	4	5	0	228	283	491	774	263	260	31	6	335	114	+9	+1	+4	-6	+16	2.4
2022	33	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	315	287	61	16	1	12	21	101	5	0	2	213	278	401	679	188	278	32	7	296	85	-5	-1	+2	+1	+9	0.6
2022	33	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	315	287	61	16	1	12	21	101	5	0	2	213	278	401	679	188	278	32	7	300	88	-4	-1	+2	+1	+9	0.7
2023	34	MLB	2 teams	—	382	345	79	22	2	22	26	119	6	4	0	229	294	496	790	267	273	31	7	337	116	+7	+1	-3	+1	+11	1.7
2023	34	MLB	2 teams	—	382	344	84	25	2	23	27	118	6	4	0	244	310	529	839	285	293	31	7	359	133	+14	+1	-3	+1	+11	2.5
2024	35	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	330	303	55	10	0	11	21	99	5	0	0	182	246	323	570	142	227	30	6	254	53	-18	+0	-2	-4	+9	-1.4
2024	35	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	330	303	55	10	0	11	21	99	5	0	0	182	246	323	570	142	227	30	6	257	55	-17	+0	-2	-4	+9	-1.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	37	MLB	ATL	—	269	244	54	10	1	13	19	74	4	3	1	221	288	430	719	209	255	28	7	312	97	-1	+0	+1	-3	+8	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	38	MLB	ATL	100%	179	162	34	6	1	8	12	50	3	1	0	210	277	407	684	198	245	28	7	297	85	-3	+0	-7	-2	+5	-0.7
2028	39	MLB	ATL	100%	106	97	18	3	0	4	7	30	1	0	0	186	248	340	588	155	235	28	7	281	73	-3	+0	-8	-1	+3	-1.0
2027	38	MLB	ATL	100%	179	162	34	6	1	8	12	50	3	1	0	210	277	407	684	198	245	28	7	286	77	-5	+0	-7	-2	+5	-0.9
2028	39	MLB	ATL	100%	106	97	18	3	0	4	7	30	1	0	0	186	248	340	588	155	235	28	7	271	66	-4	+0	-8	-1	+3	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4008	3652	823	180	16	207	266	1154	53	23	12	225	288	453	741	228	265	29	7	322	105	+21	-0	-1	-52	+114	8.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	134	29	3	34	43	187	9	4	2	226	289	458	747	231	265	29	7	322	105	+3	+0	-0	-8	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	7419	6789	1502	314	37	372	455	2030	109	48	22	221	281	443	724	222	254	27	6	310	96	-37	+1	-1	-73	+210	10.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	132	28	3	33	40	178	10	4	2	222	283	445	728	224	254	27	6	310	96	-3	+0	-0	-6	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	513	431	123	30	4	22	59	98	14	4	4	285	387	527	913	241	320	19	12	395	161	+35	-1	—	—	+15	5.0
2012	23	A+	San Jose Giants	—	598	534	138	24	4	30	47	116	10	8	2	258	330	487	817	228	274	19	8	355	130	+20	+1	—	—	+17	3.9
2013	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	430	385	96	22	4	17	35	72	5	2	1	249	320	460	780	210	264	17	8	340	118	+9	+0	—	—	+12	2.1
2013	24	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	153	145	43	7	0	7	6	35	1	0	0	297	329	490	819	193	346	23	4	358	132	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2014	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	77	73	14	2	0	3	3	20	1	0	0	192	234	342	576	151	220	26	4	257	55	-4	+0	-2	-9	+2	-1.3
2014	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	394	359	107	21	2	27	30	82	5	2	0	298	360	593	954	295	320	21	8	413	174	+33	+0	—	—	+11	4.5
2014	25	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	55	52	13	1	0	4	2	10	0	0	1	250	278	500	778	250	231	18	4	332	112	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2015	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	72	64	14	2	0	5	6	26	2	0	0	219	306	484	790	266	273	36	8	347	123	+2	+0	-1	-7	+2	-0.3
2015	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	541	497	131	29	2	30	31	114	7	5	1	264	316	511	827	247	281	21	6	357	131	+19	+1	—	—	+15	3.6
2016	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	608	552	133	31	6	33	41	164	6	6	5	241	300	498	798	257	275	27	7	342	120	+14	-1	+1	-7	+17	2.5
2017	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	647	587	146	37	3	31	39	170	10	5	3	249	307	480	787	232	290	26	6	339	118	+13	-0	+7	-7	+18	3.2
2018	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	427	384	75	20	0	15	37	117	5	2	2	195	275	365	639	169	237	27	9	287	78	-11	-0	+6	-5	+12	0.2
2019	30	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	130	120	32	4	1	10	7	39	2	0	0	267	318	567	884	300	306	30	5	379	148	+7	+0	+1	-6	+4	0.6
2019	30	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	429	369	98	20	4	32	48	86	10	1	0	266	365	602	967	336	261	20	11	414	175	+36	+0	—	—	+12	5.0
2020	31	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	209	190	45	8	0	16	15	54	3	0	0	237	303	532	834	295	240	26	7	360	134	+8	+0	+0	-2	+6	1.2
2021	32	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	555	513	117	17	2	38	35	174	4	5	0	228	283	491	774	263	260	31	6	335	114	+9	+1	+4	-6	+16	2.4
2022	33	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	315	287	61	16	1	12	21	101	5	0	2	213	278	401	679	188	278	32	7	300	88	-4	-1	+2	+1	+9	0.7
2023	34	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	353	320	79	24	2	21	22	110	6	4	0	247	307	531	839	284	299	31	6	358	132	+13	+1	-3	+1	+10	2.2
2023	34	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	29	24	5	1	0	2	5	8	0	0	0	208	345	500	845	292	214	28	17	370	142	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	35	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	330	303	55	10	0	11	21	99	5	0	0	182	246	323	570	142	227	30	6	257	55	-17	+0	-2	-4	+9	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3723	3393	771	171	15	195	247	1074	49	22	12	227	289	459	748	232	267	29	7	325	107	+30	-0	+14	-49	+105	10.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Russell Branyanlast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,352 PA	12	3,352	193	16	233	329	488	-25	-10	17.1	14.8
	/162	664	38	3	233	329	488	-4.9	-2.0	3.4	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	4,277	220	27	226	285	454	-50	+14	8.6	9.6
	/162	664	34	4	226	285	454	-7.7	+2.2	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	9	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
	/162	664	27	9	242	297	444	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#4Laynce Nixlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,038 PA	9	2,038	69	9	243	289	422	-13	+8	4.3	4.9
#4Laynce Nixlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,038 PA	/162	664	22	3	243	289	422	-4.1	+2.5	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adam Duvall (OGILVIE)	37	45	65	38	40	217/284/421	204	255	13	3	28%	7%	97	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Hessman 2015 · AAA	37	35→36	60→65	42→45	40	208/262/420	211	251	30	4	32%	6%	86	+0.8	215/276/396	181	260	23	6	27%	7%	86	+0.8	194/264/363	169	230	21	3	26%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Miguel Olivo 2014 · MLB	36	42→51	54→60	39→50	38	230/263/403	173	275	24	7	27%	4%	82	+0.5	243/283/390	147	330	16	8	30%	5%	86	+0.8	235/274/368	133	331	14	8	32%	4%	73	-0.1
●Scott McClain 2008 · MLB	36	39→45	55	41→40	45	214/269/391	177	242	24	4	24%	7%	82	+0.5	235/300/412	177	275	23	6	23%	8%	100	+1.7	240/309/430	190	274	25	4	22%	9%	107	+2.2
✕Rod Barajas 2012 · MLB	36	44→47	58→60	46→30	45	240/289/438	199	250	28	2	18%	5%	102	+1.9	229/298/393	164	256	21	4	20%	8%	95	+1.4	205/284/342	137	227	18	0	19%	8%	67	-0.3
✕John Lindsey 2014 · AAA	37	44→53	63→65	41→30	41	242/315/470	229	300	32	3	31%	6%	122	+3.3	226/305/411	185	289	25	4	30%	7%	102	+1.9	201/292/386	186	250	26	0	30%	8%	89	+0.7
✕Brooks Conrad 2015 · MLB	35	40→44	56→55	38→50	41	218/274/407	189	278	25	3	32%	7%	88	+0.9	194/254/316	122	264	14	6	31%	6%	56	-1.3	143/210/219	76	201	7	3	31%	6%	10	-2.3
✕Chris Richard 2010 · MLB	36	43→53	56→60	48→50	46	231/300/421	190	276	24	6	26%	7%	102	+1.9	229/292/391	162	283	18	5	25%	7%	91	+1.1	226/290/380	154	280	16	0	25%	7%	85	+0.6
✕Robert Saucedo 2014 · AAA	38	42→52	59→65	42→40	48	235/298/434	200	249	29	2	21%	7%	105	+2.1	237/300/407	170	266	23	5	21%	8%	98	+1.6	233/311/390	157	271	22	0	22%	10%	95	+0.5
✕Cody Ransom 2013 · MLB	37	43→42	54→55	46→50	43	220/291/401	181	306	23	7	34%	8%	93	+1.3	210/281/381	171	292	21	6	34%	9%	84	+0.6	175/240/334	160	226	20	1	32%	8%	53	-0.5
✕Andy Tracy 2011 · AAA	37	45→48	56→60	49→45	48	240/306/431	191	285	24	5	25%	8%	108	+2.3	227/299/405	178	298	21	8	30%	9%	98	+1.6	193/283/373	180	256	22	6	32%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Sal Fasano 2008 · MLB	36	42	52→55	44→40	37	224/282/386	162	278	21	4	28%	4%	86	+0.8	208/264/324	116	288	12	6	31%	4%	62	-0.9	184/237/270	86	271	7	4	33%	3%	34	-0.9
✕Luis Alfonso Garcia 2016 · AAA	37	47→57	56→60	44→40	51	250/314/433	183	274	26	3	20%	8%	111	+2.5	246/314/414	168	292	23	5	24%	8%	106	+2.2	250/326/427	177	302	26	1	26%	9%	112	+1.6
✕Angel Berroa 2015 · AAA	38	49→56	54→55	42→50	39	254/299/429	175	299	22	6	23%	4%	104	+2.0	240/284/389	149	283	18	8	22%	4%	87	+0.8	232/269/349	117	263	14	3	18%	3%	66	-0.2
✕Ernie Young 2006 · MLB	37	47→54	51→50	44→40	47	239/320/392	153	314	21	8	30%	9%	103	+1.9	230/302/368	138	297	17	5	27%	8%	89	+1.0	221/294/349	128	282	16	1	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Emmanuel Valdez 2015 · AAA	36	43→52	55	45→40	47	221/308/407	186	303	23	5	34%	10%	102	+1.9	214/291/334	120	299	14	7	31%	8%	76	+0.0	182/255/221	39	267	5	2	31%	7%	27	-0.7
✕Doug Mirabelli 2007 · MLB	36	44	53→50	48→30	46	228/304/398	170	292	21	5	29%	8%	98	+1.6	228/300/390	162	298	20	7	29%	8%	95	+1.4	200/276/357	157	261	24	0	32%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Robinson Chirinos 2021 · MLB	37	44→46	53→60	43→50	50	224/325/397	173	292	20	4	29%	10%	107	+2.2	216/303/369	153	294	17	5	31%	9%	90	+1.0	192/284/335	143	267	17	2	32%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Hernando Arredondo 2014 · AAA	37	47→56	50	41→50	39	245/271/399	154	277	19	6	20%	3%	84	+0.6	239/278/366	127	282	15	5	21%	4%	78	+0.2	241/283/344	103	287	12	2	20%	4%	69	-0.1
✕Adam Rosales 2019 · MLB	36	41→49	50→55	42→45	41	214/268/368	154	272	18	5	28%	6%	75	-0.0	205/253/329	124	279	14	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	175/215/264	89	251	12	2	35%	4%	20	-1.9
✕Jonathan Aceves 2015 · AAA	37	41	50→55	46→30	43	215/268/359	144	257	19	4	25%	6%	72	-0.2	235/302/361	126	284	14	4	22%	7%	87	+0.8	237/309/355	118	285	13	1	21%	8%	87	+0.4