Adam Duvall — OGILVIE

Adam DuvallLF Atlanta Braves

Age 37 R/R 6'1" / 233 lbs MLB BB -5% Svc 12.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.4 · 2026

wRC+†vL 14298vR 1

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .283 / .425

PA216

HR11

K%29

BB%7

xwOBA.284

Barrel%10.7%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

55→55

SPD

55→55

EYE

44↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.1peak

2026

Barrel%

6710.7

xwOBA

290.284

Avg EV

2186.9

Whiff%

360.125

Chase%

230.369

Speed

6628.1

Bat Spd

6072.4

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2014

Service 12.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.6M
Totals		$1M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	513	460	105	25	3	23	33	126	14	4	4	.228	.300	.446	.745	.217	.259	25	6	.319	102	+1	-1	+0	-5	+15	1.0
2012	23	A+	San Jose Giants	598	550	119	20	4	27	31	155	10	8	2	.216	.271	.415	.685	.198	.246	26	5	.291	81	-13	+1	+0	-6	+17	-0.2
2013	24	AA	2 teams	583	541	116	24	5	22	30	129	6	2	1	.214	.263	.399	.663	.185	.239	22	5	.283	75	-17	+0	+0	-6	+17	-0.6
2014	25	AAA	3 teams	526	492	108	19	2	25	27	141	6	2	1	.220	.269	.419	.687	.199	.254	27	5	.296	85	-9	+0	-2	-9	+15	-0.6
2015	26	AAA	2 teams	613	573	124	25	2	29	25	164	9	5	1	.216	.260	.419	.679	.202	.246	27	4	.291	81	-13	+1	-1	-7	+17	-0.2
2016	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	608	553	133	30	7	31	41	164	6	6	5	.241	.300	.488	.788	.248	.279	27	7	.332	112	+8	-1	+1	-7	+17	1.9
2017	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	647	587	144	39	2	28	39	170	10	5	3	.245	.303	.462	.765	.216	.290	26	6	.327	109	+6	-0	+7	-7	+18	2.5
2018	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	427	384	76	21	0	17	37	117	5	2	2	.198	.277	.385	.662	.188	.235	27	9	.284	75	-12	-0	+6	-5	+12	0.1
2019	30	AAA	2 teams	559	509	116	20	4	40	35	151	12	1	0	.228	.293	.519	.812	.291	.237	27	6	.346	123	+15	+0	+1	-6	+16	2.7
2020	31	MLB	Atlanta Braves	209	190	42	7	0	15	15	54	3	0	0	.221	.288	.495	.783	.274	.221	26	7	.337	116	+4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.8
2021	32	MLB	Atlanta Braves	555	513	115	16	2	38	35	174	4	5	0	.224	.279	.485	.764	.261	.253	31	6	.327	108	+5	+1	+4	-6	+16	2.0
2022	33	MLB	Atlanta Braves	315	287	59	15	1	11	21	101	5	0	2	.206	.272	.380	.651	.174	.271	32	7	.281	73	-9	-1	+2	+1	+9	0.2
2023	34	MLB	2 teams	382	346	84	23	2	25	25	119	6	4	0	.243	.305	.538	.843	.295	.285	31	7	.350	126	+11	+1	-3	+1	+11	2.2
2024	35	MLB	Atlanta Braves	330	303	56	10	0	12	21	99	5	0	0	.185	.249	.337	.586	.152	.228	30	6	.259	57	-16	+0	-2	-4	+9	-1.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	37	MLB	ATL	216	195	42	8	1	11	16	62	3	2	0	.215	.285	.436	.721	.221	.254	29	7	.313	98	-1	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	38	MLB	ATL	131	119	24	5	0	6	9	39	2	1	0	.202	.269	.395	.664	.193	.248	30	7	.300	88	-2	+0	-8	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7212	6602	1463	307	35	360	440	1965	106	47	21	.222	.281	.442	.723	.221	.254	27	6	.309	95	-41	+1	+6	-71	+204	10.1
/ 162G	—			650	595	132	28	3	32	40	177	10	4	2	.222	.282	.440	.723	.218	.256	27	6	.309	95	-4	+0	+1	-6	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	513	431	123	30	4	22	59	98	14	4	4	.285	.387	.527	.913	.241	.320	19	12	.395	161	+35	-1	—	—	+15	5.0
2012	23	A+	San Jose Giants	598	534	138	24	4	30	47	116	10	8	2	.258	.330	.487	.817	.228	.274	19	8	.355	130	+20	+1	—	—	+17	3.9
2013	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	430	385	96	22	4	17	35	72	5	2	1	.249	.320	.460	.780	.210	.264	17	8	.340	118	+9	+0	—	—	+12	2.1
2013	24	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	153	145	43	7	0	7	6	35	1	0	0	.297	.329	.490	.819	.193	.346	23	4	.358	132	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2014	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	77	73	14	2	0	3	3	20	1	0	0	.192	.234	.342	.576	.151	.220	26	4	.257	55	-4	+0	-2	-9	+2	-1.3
2014	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	394	359	107	21	2	27	30	82	5	2	0	.298	.360	.593	.954	.295	.320	21	8	.413	174	+33	+0	—	—	+11	4.5
2014	25	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	55	52	13	1	0	4	2	10	0	0	1	.250	.278	.500	.778	.250	.231	18	4	.332	112	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2015	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	72	64	14	2	0	5	6	26	2	0	0	.219	.306	.484	.790	.266	.273	36	8	.347	123	+2	+0	-1	-7	+2	-0.3
2015	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	541	497	131	29	2	30	31	114	7	5	1	.264	.316	.511	.827	.247	.281	21	6	.357	131	+19	+1	—	—	+15	3.6
2016	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	608	552	133	31	6	33	41	164	6	6	5	.241	.300	.498	.798	.257	.275	27	7	.342	120	+14	-1	+1	-7	+17	2.5
2017	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	647	587	146	37	3	31	39	170	10	5	3	.249	.307	.480	.787	.232	.290	26	6	.339	118	+13	-0	+7	-7	+18	3.2
2018	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	427	384	75	20	0	15	37	117	5	2	2	.195	.275	.365	.639	.169	.237	27	9	.287	78	-11	-0	+6	-5	+12	0.2
2019	30	MLB	Atlanta Braves	130	120	32	4	1	10	7	39	2	0	0	.267	.318	.567	.884	.300	.306	30	5	.379	148	+7	+0	+1	-6	+4	0.6
2019	30	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	429	369	98	20	4	32	48	86	10	1	0	.266	.365	.602	.967	.336	.261	20	11	.414	175	+36	+0	—	—	+12	5.0
2020	31	MLB	Atlanta Braves	209	190	45	8	0	16	15	54	3	0	0	.237	.303	.532	.834	.295	.240	26	7	.360	134	+8	+0	+0	-2	+6	1.2
2021	32	MLB	Atlanta Braves	555	513	117	17	2	38	35	174	4	5	0	.228	.283	.491	.774	.263	.260	31	6	.335	114	+9	+1	+4	-6	+16	2.4
2022	33	MLB	Atlanta Braves	315	287	61	16	1	12	21	101	5	0	2	.213	.278	.401	.679	.188	.278	32	7	.300	88	-4	-1	+2	+1	+9	0.7
2023	34	MLB	Boston Red Sox	353	320	79	24	2	21	22	110	6	4	0	.247	.307	.531	.839	.284	.299	31	6	.358	132	+13	+1	-3	+1	+10	2.3
2023	34	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	29	24	5	1	0	2	5	8	0	0	0	.208	.345	.500	.845	.292	.214	28	17	.370	142	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	35	MLB	Atlanta Braves	330	303	55	10	0	11	21	99	5	0	0	.182	.246	.323	.570	.142	.227	30	6	.257	55	-17	+0	-2	-4	+9	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			3723	3393	771	171	15	195	247	1074	49	22	12	.227	.289	.459	.748	.232	.267	29	7	.325	107	+30	-0	+14	-49	+105	10.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adam Duvall (OGILVIE)	37	35	55	55	40	.214/.283/.425	.211	.254	11	2	29%	7%	98	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Hessman 2015 · AAA	37	34→37	59→65	42→45	40	.203/.258/.404	.201	.247	28	4	32%	6%	81	+0.4	.211/.275/.385	.174	.258	22	6	27%	7%	82	+0.5	.191/.264/.349	.158	.229	19	3	26%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Andy Tracy 2011 · AAA	37	45→48	55	49→45	48	.237/.304/.422	.186	.281	23	6	25%	8%	104	+2.0	.228/.302/.408	.180	.293	22	7	29%	9%	100	+1.7	.201/.293/.389	.187	.258	23	6	30%	10%	89	+0.6
●Scott McClain 2008 · MLB	36	39→45	55	41→40	45	.215/.269/.394	.178	.243	24	4	24%	7%	82	+0.5	.233/.297/.412	.179	.272	23	6	23%	8%	98	+1.6	.240/.309/.430	.190	.274	25	4	22%	9%	107	+2.2
✕Chris Richard 2010 · MLB	36	44→53	55→60	48→50	45	.234/.302/.422	.188	.281	23	6	26%	7%	104	+2.0	.232/.295/.401	.169	.284	19	4	25%	7%	95	+1.4	.232/.296/.393	.161	.286	17	0	24%	7%	92	+1.0
✕Rod Barajas 2012 · MLB	36	43→47	56→60	46→30	45	.235/.282/.422	.187	.245	26	2	18%	5%	95	+1.4	.229/.297/.391	.162	.255	21	4	20%	7%	93	+1.3	.208/.287/.344	.137	.230	19	0	19%	8%	69	-0.2
✕John Lindsey 2014 · AAA	37	46→53	61→65	41→30	41	.247/.318/.465	.219	.304	30	3	29%	6%	122	+3.3	.233/.312/.433	.200	.291	27	4	29%	7%	111	+2.5	.214/.304/.419	.204	.260	28	0	29%	8%	102	+1.4
✕Darin Ruf 2023 · MLB	37	47→53	55→60	50→40	56	.242/.342/.429	.187	.302	23	5	27%	12%	121	+3.2	.226/.318/.371	.145	.301	16	6	28%	11%	97	+1.5	.176/.281/.254	.078	.266	5	0	32%	13%	49	-0.3
✕Miguel Olivo 2014 · MLB	36	42→52	54→60	39→50	38	.229/.261/.399	.170	.274	24	7	27%	4%	80	+0.4	.243/.283/.399	.156	.327	18	8	30%	5%	89	+1.0	.232/.272/.372	.140	.326	15	8	33%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Emmanuel Valdez 2015 · AAA	36	43→53	55	45→40	46	.225/.308/.413	.187	.305	24	5	33%	10%	104	+2.0	.216/.293/.345	.129	.301	15	7	31%	9%	79	+0.3	.180/.255/.223	.043	.263	6	2	31%	7%	28	-0.7
✕Jonathan Aceves 2015 · AAA	37	42	50→55	46→30	43	.220/.271/.366	.146	.261	19	4	24%	6%	76	+0.0	.238/.301/.366	.128	.285	15	3	21%	7%	88	+0.9	.243/.313/.364	.121	.289	14	1	20%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Cody Ransom 2012 · MLB	36	42→41	53→55	49→50	44	.222/.284/.400	.178	.283	21	10	29%	7%	90	+1.0	.218/.295/.400	.182	.307	22	6	34%	9%	95	+1.4	.190/.267/.353	.163	.268	20	1	35%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Mitch Moreland 2021 · MLB	35	45→55	59→60	49→40	54	.244/.321/.455	.211	.272	27	4	22%	10%	120	+3.1	.243/.309/.441	.198	.279	25	5	23%	8%	111	+2.5	.228/.289/.423	.194	.259	26	0	23%	7%	97	+0.6
✕Olmedo Saenz 2006 · MLB	35	50	58→60	42→30	50	.262/.328/.470	.208	.288	27	3	20%	8%	126	+3.5	.258/.333/.467	.209	.292	25	4	21%	8%	128	+3.6	.249/.336/.468	.219	.281	27	0	21%	9%	126	+1.0
✕Robert Saucedo 2014 · AAA	38	44→54	57→65	42→40	48	.240/.301/.432	.192	.256	27	2	20%	7%	106	+2.2	.235/.296/.399	.164	.263	22	4	20%	7%	95	+1.4	.228/.300/.380	.151	.263	21	0	22%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Brad Snyder 2017 · MLB	35	46→54	57→60	50	41	.238/.293/.426	.188	.325	26	8	34%	7%	101	+1.8	.241/.300/.428	.187	.315	24	6	30%	8%	104	+2.0	.229/.294/.434	.205	.292	26	0	30%	8%	100	+0.8
✕Tony Clark 2009 · MLB	37	45→55	55→70	47→30	54	.238/.326/.420	.182	.291	25	3	27%	11%	113	+2.6	.231/.325/.406	.175	.291	21	6	27%	12%	108	+2.3	.165/.277/.371	.205	.179	27	0	27%	13%	79	+0.0
✕Nick Hundley 2019 · MLB	35	48→45	53→55	46→40	44	.247/.297/.424	.177	.303	20	4	25%	7%	102	+1.8	.227/.279/.384	.157	.303	18	6	30%	6%	83	+0.6	.167/.203/.288	.122	.239	14	0	36%	4%	25	-0.8
●Eliezer Alfonzo 2016 · AAA	37	45→55	52→60	44→40	35	.240/.272/.398	.158	.292	22	5	27%	3%	84	+0.6	.266/.296/.456	.190	.315	27	7	25%	3%	110	+2.4	.291/.316/.504	.212	.334	33	3	23%	2%	130	+2.2
✕Adam Rosales 2019 · MLB	36	40→48	50→55	43→45	42	.212/.268/.367	.156	.271	19	6	29%	6%	75	-0.0	.203/.251/.328	.125	.275	15	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	.172/.213/.259	.088	.245	12	2	34%	4%	19	-1.9
✕Pedro Diaz 2015 · AAA	36	43→47	50	44→45	36	.228/.249/.376	.148	.265	20	4	23%	2%	69	-0.4	.231/.260/.366	.135	.276	17	4	23%	3%	70	-0.3	.239/.272/.378	.138	.283	18	0	22%	3%	74	-0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)