Adam Duvall

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1988-09-04

Age (2027)38

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2022	33	MLBATL	315	.213/.278/.401	12	0	89	0.6
2023	34	AAABOS	29	.208/.345/.500	2	0	56	—	.154/.241/.308
2023	34	MLBBOS	353	.247/.307/.531	21	4	123	1.7
2024	35	MLBATL	330	.182/.246/.323	11	0	60	-1.4
2025	36	No MLB games played
2026	37	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022-2024

Barrel%77

Speed66

Bat Spd60

xwOBA39

Avg EV35

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2011	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	513	431	123	30	4	22	59	98	14	4	4	285	387	527	913	241	320	19	12	395	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+	San Jose Giants	—	598	534	138	24	4	30	47	116	10	8	2	258	330	487	817	228	274	19	8	355	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	430	385	96	22	4	17	35	72	5	2	1	249	320	460	780	210	264	17	8	340	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	153	145	43	7	0	7	6	35	1	0	0	297	329	490	819	193	346	23	4	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	77	73	14	2	0	3	3	20	1	0	0	192	234	342	576	151	220	26	4	257	65	-3	+0	-2	-9	+2	-1.3
2014	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	394	359	107	21	2	27	30	82	5	2	0	298	360	593	954	295	320	21	8	413	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	55	52	13	1	0	4	2	10	0	0	1	250	278	500	778	250	231	18	4	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	72	64	14	2	0	5	6	26	2	0	0	219	306	484	790	266	273	36	8	347	106	+1	+0	-1	-7	+2	-0.5
2015	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	541	497	131	29	2	30	31	114	7	5	1	264	316	511	827	247	281	21	6	357	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	608	552	133	31	6	33	41	164	6	6	5	241	300	498	798	257	275	27	7	342	111	+8	-1	+1	-7	+13	1.5
2017	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	647	587	146	37	3	31	39	170	10	5	3	249	307	480	787	232	290	26	6	339	109	+7	-0	+7	-7	+14	2.1
2018	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	427	384	75	20	0	15	37	117	5	2	2	195	275	365	639	169	237	27	9	287	77	-12	-0	+6	-5	+9	-0.2
2019	30	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	130	120	32	4	1	10	7	39	2	0	0	267	318	567	884	300	306	30	5	379	143	+7	+0	+1	-6	+3	0.5
2019	30	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	429	369	98	20	4	32	48	86	10	1	0	266	365	602	967	336	261	20	11	414	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	209	190	45	8	0	16	15	54	3	0	0	237	303	532	834	295	240	26	7	360	130	+7	+0	+0	-2	+5	1.0
2021	32	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	555	513	117	17	2	38	35	174	4	5	0	228	283	491	774	263	260	31	6	335	112	+8	+1	+4	-6	+12	1.9
2022	33	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	315	287	61	16	1	12	21	101	5	0	2	213	278	401	679	188	278	32	7	300	89	-4	-1	+2	+1	+7	0.6
2023	34	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	353	320	79	24	2	21	22	110	6	4	0	247	307	531	839	284	299	31	6	358	123	+10	+1	-3	+1	+8	1.7
2023	34	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	29	24	5	1	0	2	5	8	0	0	0	208	345	500	845	292	214	28	17	370	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	35	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	330	303	55	10	0	11	21	99	5	0	0	182	246	323	570	142	227	30	6	257	60	-16	+0	-2	-4	+7	-1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3723	3393	771	171	15	195	247	1074	49	22	12	227	289	459	748	232	267	29	7	325	106	+28	-0	+14	-49	+81	7.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2011	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	513	457	106	25	4	21	36	129	14	4	4	232	308	442	750	210	264	25	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	598	549	116	19	3	27	32	155	10	8	2	211	267	404	672	193	233	26	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	430	398	85	18	4	14	22	91	5	2	1	214	264	384	648	171	232	21	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	77	73	14	2	0	3	3	20	1	0	0	192	234	342	576	151	220	26	4	265	65	-3	+0	-2	-9	+2	-1.3
2014	25	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	394	367	83	15	2	19	22	106	5	2	0	226	279	433	712	207	266	27	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	72	65	14	2	0	5	5	26	2	0	0	215	292	477	769	262	273	36	7	325	106	+1	+0	-1	-7	+2	-0.5
2015	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	541	509	111	23	2	25	19	138	7	5	1	218	256	418	675	200	241	26	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	608	554	132	32	6	31	40	164	6	6	5	238	297	486	782	247	275	27	7	332	111	+8	-1	+1	-7	+13	1.5
2017	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	647	588	145	38	3	29	38	170	10	5	3	247	303	469	773	223	290	26	6	330	109	+7	-0	+7	-7	+14	2.1
2018	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	427	387	75	20	0	15	34	117	5	2	2	194	268	362	629	168	237	27	8	282	77	-12	-0	+6	-5	+9	-0.2
2019	30	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	130	120	32	4	1	10	7	39	2	0	0	267	318	567	884	300	306	30	5	379	143	+7	+0	+1	-6	+3	0.5
2019	30	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	429	389	82	16	3	29	28	109	10	1	0	211	281	491	772	280	208	25	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	209	190	45	8	0	16	15	54	3	0	0	237	303	532	834	295	240	26	7	360	130	+7	+0	+0	-2	+5	1.0
2021	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	555	514	117	17	2	38	34	174	4	5	0	228	281	490	771	263	260	31	6	333	112	+8	+1	+4	-6	+12	1.9
2022	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	315	287	61	16	1	12	21	101	5	0	2	213	278	401	679	188	278	32	7	300	89	-4	-1	+2	+1	+7	0.6
2023	34	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	353	321	77	21	2	22	21	110	6	4	0	240	299	523	822	283	299	31	6	349	123	+10	+1	-3	+1	+8	1.7
2023	34	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	29	26	4	1	0	1	3	9	0	0	0	154	241	308	549	154	160	31	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	330	303	55	10	0	11	21	99	5	0	0	182	246	323	570	142	227	30	6	257	60	-16	+0	-2	-4	+7	-1.4
2011	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	513	457	106	25	4	21	36	129	14	4	4	232	308	442	750	210	272	25	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	513	431	123	30	4	22	59	98	14	4	4	285	387	527	913	241	320	19	12	395	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	598	549	116	19	3	27	32	155	10	8	2	211	267	404	672	193	239	26	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+ RAW	San Jose Giants	—	598	534	138	24	4	30	47	116	10	8	2	258	330	487	817	228	274	19	8	355	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	583	541	114	24	5	19	30	123	6	2	1	211	260	379	639	168	236	21	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	583	530	139	29	4	24	41	107	6	2	1	262	322	468	790	206	285	18	7	345	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	526	491	109	19	2	25	28	141	6	2	1	222	272	422	694	200	258	27	5	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	526	484	134	24	2	34	35	112	6	2	1	277	333	545	879	269	295	21	7	381	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	613	574	124	25	2	29	24	164	9	5	1	216	259	418	677	202	245	27	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	613	561	145	31	2	35	37	140	9	5	1	258	315	508	823	250	281	23	6	356	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	608	554	132	32	6	31	40	164	6	6	5	238	297	486	782	247	275	27	7	332	111	+8	-1	+1	-7	+13	1.5
2016	27	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	608	552	133	31	6	33	41	164	6	6	5	241	300	498	798	257	275	27	7	342	111	+8	-1	+1	-7	+13	1.5
2017	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	647	588	145	38	3	29	38	170	10	5	3	247	303	469	773	223	290	26	6	330	109	+7	-0	+7	-7	+14	2.1
2017	28	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	647	587	146	37	3	31	39	170	10	5	3	249	307	480	787	232	290	26	6	339	109	+7	-0	+7	-7	+14	2.1
2018	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	427	387	75	20	0	15	34	117	5	2	2	194	268	362	629	168	234	27	8	282	77	-12	-0	+6	-5	+9	-0.2
2018	29	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	427	384	75	20	0	15	37	117	5	2	2	195	275	365	639	169	237	27	9	287	77	-12	-0	+6	-5	+9	-0.2
2019	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	559	509	114	20	4	39	35	148	12	1	0	224	290	509	798	285	231	26	6	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	559	489	130	24	5	42	55	125	12	1	0	266	354	593	947	327	271	22	10	406	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	209	190	45	8	0	16	15	54	3	0	0	237	303	532	834	295	240	26	7	360	130	+7	+0	+0	-2	+5	1.0
2020	31	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	209	190	45	8	0	16	15	54	3	0	0	237	303	532	834	295	240	26	7	360	130	+7	+0	+0	-2	+5	1.0
2021	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	555	514	117	17	2	38	34	174	4	5	0	228	281	490	771	263	259	31	6	333	112	+8	+1	+4	-6	+12	1.9
2021	32	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	555	513	117	17	2	38	35	174	4	5	0	228	283	491	774	263	260	31	6	335	112	+8	+1	+4	-6	+12	1.9
2022	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	315	287	61	16	1	12	21	101	5	0	2	213	278	401	679	188	278	32	7	300	89	-4	-1	+2	+1	+7	0.6
2022	33	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	315	287	61	16	1	12	21	101	5	0	2	213	278	401	679	188	278	32	7	300	89	-4	-1	+2	+1	+7	0.6
2023	34	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	382	347	80	22	2	23	24	119	6	4	0	231	292	504	796	274	271	31	6	342	118	+8	+1	-3	+1	+8	1.6
2023	34	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	382	344	84	25	2	23	27	118	6	4	0	244	310	529	839	285	293	31	7	359	118	+8	+1	-3	+1	+8	1.6
2024	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	330	303	55	10	0	11	21	99	5	0	0	182	246	323	570	142	227	30	6	257	60	-16	+0	-2	-4	+7	-1.4
2024	35	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	330	303	55	10	0	11	21	99	5	0	0	182	246	323	570	142	227	30	6	257	60	-16	+0	-2	-4	+7	-1.4
2011	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	513	458	106	25	4	21	36	129	14	4	4	231	308	441	749	210	264	25	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	598	551	116	19	3	27	32	155	10	8	2	211	267	403	670	192	233	26	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	583	542	114	24	5	19	30	123	6	2	1	210	260	378	638	168	232	21	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	526	487	109	19	2	25	28	141	6	2	1	224	272	425	697	201	258	27	5	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	613	575	124	25	2	29	24	164	9	5	1	216	259	417	676	202	245	27	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	608	557	132	32	6	31	40	164	6	6	5	237	297	483	780	246	275	27	7	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	647	594	145	38	3	29	38	170	10	5	3	244	303	465	768	221	290	26	6	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	427	385	75	20	0	15	34	117	5	2	2	195	268	364	631	169	237	27	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	559	507	114	20	4	39	35	148	12	1	0	225	290	511	800	286	231	26	6	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	209	189	45	8	0	16	15	54	3	0	0	238	303	534	837	296	240	26	7	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	32	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	555	512	117	17	2	38	34	174	4	5	0	229	281	492	773	264	260	31	6	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	33	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	315	286	61	16	1	12	21	101	5	0	2	213	278	402	680	189	278	32	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	34	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	382	349	80	22	2	23	24	119	6	4	0	229	292	501	793	272	288	31	6	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	330	301	55	10	0	11	21	99	5	0	0	183	246	326	572	143	227	30	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	330	301	55	10	0	11	21	99	5	0	0	183	246	326	572	143	227	30	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3723	3393	771	171	15	195	247	1074	49	22	12	227	289	459	748	232	267	29	7	325	96	+28	-0	+14	-49	+81	7.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	135	30	3	34	43	188	9	4	2	228	290	461	752	233	269	29	7	325	96	+5	-0	+2	-9	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6865	6291	1393	295	34	335	412	1858	101	44	21	221	280	439	719	217	255	27	6	310	96	+28	-0	+14	-49	+81	7.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	132	28	3	32	39	176	10	4	2	221	281	440	720	218	254	27	6	310	96	+5	-0	+2	-9	+14	1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 29 PAwOBA .361 → .251 (−110)K% 27.6% → 32.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.59%	÷1.023	×1.200	—	—	32.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.24%	÷0.986	×0.690	—	×0.940	11.35%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.996	×0.930	—	×0.940	10.97%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.309	×0.830	—	×0.940	3.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.905	×0.970	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	12.50%	÷1.008	×0.700	—	×0.940	8.16%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 99, 2B 162, 3B 81, K 105, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .361 → .251; ISO .292 → .192; BABIP .214 → .160. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 429 PAwOBA .402 → .327 (−75)K% 20.0% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.05%	÷0.948	×1.200	—	—	25.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.26%	÷1.047	×0.690	—	×0.962	6.50%
HBP% /PA	2.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	2.11%
Singles /BIP	14.84%	÷1.038	×0.930	×0.950	×0.962	12.16%
Doubles /BIP	7.07%	÷0.963	×0.830	×0.950	×0.962	5.57%
Triples /BIP	1.41%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×0.962	1.09%
Home runs /BIP	11.31%	÷0.899	×0.840	—	×0.962	10.16%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 90, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .402 → .327; ISO .336 → .293; BABIP .261 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAALouisville Bats · 541 PAwOBA .349 → .288 (−61)K% 21.1% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.07%	÷0.991	×1.200	—	—	25.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.36%	÷1.023	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.63%
HBP% /PA	1.29%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.22%
Singles /BIP	18.28%	÷0.999	×0.930	×0.950	×1.003	16.21%
Doubles /BIP	7.57%	÷0.975	×0.830	×0.950	×1.003	6.14%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷0.922	×0.970	×0.950	×1.003	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	7.83%	÷1.009	×0.840	—	×1.003	6.54%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .349 → .288; ISO .247 → .203; BABIP .281 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 394 PAwOBA .401 → .306 (−95)K% 20.8% → 27.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.81%	÷0.994	×1.290	—	—	27.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.61%	÷1.005	×0.710	—	×1.018	5.47%
HBP% /PA	1.27%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	1.27%
Singles /BIP	20.58%	÷1.002	×0.900	×0.960	×1.018	18.07%
Doubles /BIP	7.58%	÷1.014	×0.810	×0.960	×1.018	5.92%
Triples /BIP	0.72%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.960	×1.018	0.64%
Home runs /BIP	9.75%	÷1.045	×0.780	—	×1.018	7.41%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .401 → .306; ISO .295 → .214; BABIP .320 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 430 PAwOBA .331 → .276 (−55)K% 16.7% → 21.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.74%	÷0.969	×1.220	—	—	21.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.67%	÷1.036	×0.700	—	×0.998	5.17%
HBP% /PA	1.16%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.99%
Singles /BIP	16.93%	÷1.018	×0.970	×0.966	×0.998	15.55%
Doubles /BIP	7.03%	÷1.030	×0.860	×0.966	×0.998	5.66%
Triples /BIP	1.28%	÷1.011	×0.950	×0.966	×0.998	1.16%
Home runs /BIP	5.43%	÷0.934	×0.780	—	×0.998	4.53%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 102, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .331 → .276; ISO .210 → .175; BABIP .264 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+San Jose Giants · 598 PAwOBA .349 → .285 (−63)K% 19.4% → 26.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.40%	÷1.001	×1.340	—	—	25.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.86%	÷1.047	×0.710	—	×0.988	5.26%
HBP% /PA	1.67%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	1.31%
Singles /BIP	19.14%	÷0.994	×0.910	×0.957	×0.988	16.56%
Doubles /BIP	5.74%	÷0.926	×0.820	×0.957	×0.988	4.80%
Triples /BIP	0.96%	÷0.900	×0.760	×0.957	×0.988	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	7.18%	÷0.984	×0.920	—	×0.988	6.63%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 99, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .349 → .285; ISO .228 → .198; BABIP .274 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAugusta GreenJackets · 513 PAwOBA .386 → .319 (−67)K% 19.1% → 25.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.10%	÷1.017	×1.340	—	—	25.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.72%	÷0.996	×0.660	—	×0.990	7.03%
HBP% /PA	2.73%	—	×0.770	—	×0.990	2.08%
Singles /BIP	20.12%	÷1.070	×0.920	×0.966	×0.990	16.55%
Doubles /BIP	9.01%	÷0.943	×0.820	×0.966	×0.990	7.49%
Triples /BIP	1.20%	÷0.971	×0.940	×0.966	×0.990	1.11%
Home runs /BIP	6.61%	÷0.863	×0.820	—	×0.990	6.21%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 114, 2B 89, 3B 94, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .386 → .319; ISO .241 → .222; BABIP .320 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .