Hunter RenfroeRF Kansas City Royals
Age 34 R/R 6'1" / 230 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 283 proj PA
wRC+†vL 9085vR 73
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .295 / .387
PA283
HR9
K%21
BB%8
ISO162
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.0 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +8.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.1-0.2-0.42628
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT40
Whiff%
4911.0%
xwOBA
320.288
POWER45
Barrel%
366.3
Avg EV
4088.4
Bat Spd
8074.5
EYE55
Chase%
4333.0%
SPEED50
Sprint
4027.0
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 532 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
168
364
wRC+
90
74
◀◀L
wOBA
303
281
L
ISO
157
136
L
BABIP
251
248
K%
17.3%
20.9%
◀◀L
BB%
8.9%
8.0%
L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2016
Service   10.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$0.4M
Totals $0.4M $0.0M -$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201321 AFort Wayne TinCaps 7268 9202 2321 00 132169250419 118206 443 181 -3
201321 AFort Wayne TinCaps 7266 14502 4231 00 212268379646 167293 326 284 75
201422 A+3 teams 680624 14531328 412209 114 232289426716 194306 326 307 93
201422 A+3 teams 680604 16342427 611579 114 270346487832 217319 239 364 136
201523 AA2 teams 558523 11721320 251833 51 224263390653 166297 334 281 73
201523 AA2 teams 558511 13927520 371323 51 272325462787 190325 247 342 120
201624 AAA2 teams 599576 12928320 151694 52 224249387636 163279 283 274 68
201624 AAA2 teams 599568 17637534 231204 52 310341572913 262340 204 394 159
201725 MLB2 teams 540502 13032231 311496 40 259310516826 257307 286 352 128 +17 +1 -3 -6 +15 2.4
201725 MLB2 teams 540500 13132230 331476 40 262315514829 252312 276 361 134 +21 +1 -3 -6 +15 2.8
201826 MLB2 teams 484445 11025129 311223 21 247301503804 256271 256 342 120 +11 +0 -3 -5 +14 1.6
201826 MLB2 teams 484444 10924128 321193 21 245301493794 248268 257 343 120 +11 +0 -3 -5 +14 1.7
201927 MLBSan Diego Padres 494440 9920135 461542 50 225301514815 289249 319 346 123 +13 +1 +4 -5 +14 2.7
201927 MLBSan Diego Padres 494440 9519133 461542 50 216293489782 273239 319 337 116 +9 +1 +4 -5 +14 2.3
202028 MLBTampa Bay Rays 139122 19508 14372 20 156254393647 238141 2710 290 80 -3 +0 -1 -1 +4 -0.2
202028 MLBTampa Bay Rays 139122 19508 14372 20 156254393647 238141 2710 286 77 -4 +0 -1 -1 +4 -0.2
202129 MLBBoston Red Sox 572521 12929031 441301 12 248307482789 234268 238 338 117 +11 -1 -1 -6 +16 2.0
202129 MLBBoston Red Sox 572521 13533031 441301 12 259318501819 242284 238 354 129 +19 -1 -1 -6 +16 2.8
202230 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 522474 12424130 391214 11 262323506829 245288 237 354 129 +17 -0 -5 -6 +15 2.2
202230 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 522474 12123129 391214 11 255317492809 236281 237 351 127 +16 -0 -5 -6 +15 2.0
202331 MLBCincinnati Reds 548498 11330019 441253 00 227294402695 175263 238 304 91 -5 +0 -5 -6 +16 -0.1
202331 MLBCincinnati Reds 548498 11631020 441253 00 233299416715 183270 238 316 100 -0 +0 -5 -6 +16 0.4
202432 MLBKansas City Royals 424385 9119016 36842 11 236305410715 174262 208 315 99 -0 -0 -5 -5 +12 0.2
202432 MLBKansas City Royals 424385 8818015 36842 11 229298392690 164254 208 308 94 -3 -0 -5 -5 +12 -0.1
202533 MLBKansas City Royals 10899 18600 8210 00 182243242485 61228 197 227 32 -8 +0 -3 -1 +3 -0.9
202533 MLBKansas City Royals 10899 18600 8210 00 182243242485 61228 197 224 29 -9 +0 -3 -1 +3 -1.0
▸ 2026 Season
202634 MLBKC 283256 571309 24581 21 223292379671 156259 208 305 92 -3 +0 -0 -3 +8 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735 MLBKC 100% 226204 441007 19481 10 216286368653 152250 218 293 82 -5 +0 -6 -2 +6 -0.6
202836 MLBKC 100% 169152 32705 14371 10 211281355637 145240 228 279 72 -5 +0 -6 -2 +5 -0.9
202735 MLBKC 100% 226204 441007 19481 10 216286368653 152246 218 285 76 -6 +0 -6 -2 +6 -0.8
202836 MLBKC 100% 169152 32705 14371 10 211281355637 145237 228 272 66 -6 +0 -6 -2 +5 -1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 41583778 8842034204 322101125 175 234298452750 218262 248 327 108 +39 +1 -35 -52 +118 7.3
/ 162G 650591 13932132 501584 31 235300455755 220264 248 327 108 +6 +0 -6 -8 +18 1.1
Career 64185889 136630214290 433169043 4113 232289436725 204272 267 313 98 -14 +3 -36 -69 +182 6.8
/ 162G 650596 13831129 441714 41 232289433722 201272 267 313 98 -1 +0 -4 -7 +18 0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201321 AFort Wayne TinCaps 7266 14502 4231 00 212268379646 167293 326 284 75 -2 +0 +2 0.0
201422 AASan Antonio Missions 251224 521205 25530 21 232309353662 121280 2110 299 87 -4 +0 +7 0.3
201422 A+Lake Elsinore Storm 316278 8221316 28817 93 295374565939 270359 269 404 168 +24 +1 +9 3.4
201422 INTLSurprise Saguaros 113102 29916 8232 00 284348569917 284311 207 394 159 +8 +0 +3 1.1
201523 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 9590 30526 4200 10 333362633995 300369 214 424 183 +9 +0 +3 1.2
201523 AASan Antonio Missions 463421 10922314 331123 41 259317425742 166316 247 326 107 +4 +0 +13 1.8
201624 MLBSan Diego Padres 3635 13304 150 00 3713898001.189 429346 143 508 247 +6 +0 -0 -6 +1 0.0
201624 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 563533 16334530 221154 52 306338557895 251339 204 386 154 +34 +0 +16 5.1
201725 MLBSan Diego Padres 479445 10325126 271406 30 231285467752 236275 296 328 109 +5 +1 -3 -6 +14 1.0
201725 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 6155 28714 670 10 5095578911.448 382545 1110 616 330 +16 +0 +2 1.8
201826 MLBSan Diego Padres 441403 10023126 301093 21 248305504809 256271 257 348 125 +12 +0 -3 -5 +12 1.7
201826 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 4341 9102 2100 00 220256390646 171241 235 285 77 -1 +0 +1 0.0
201927 MLBSan Diego Padres 494440 9519133 461542 50 216293489782 273239 319 337 116 +9 +1 +4 -5 +14 2.3
202028 MLBTampa Bay Rays 139122 19508 14372 20 156254393647 238141 2710 286 77 -4 +0 -1 -1 +4 -0.2
202129 MLBBoston Red Sox 572521 13533031 441301 12 259318501819 242284 238 354 129 +19 -1 -1 -6 +16 2.8
202230 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 522474 12123129 391214 11 255317492809 236281 237 351 127 +16 -0 -5 -6 +15 2.0
202331 MLBCincinnati Reds 548498 11631020 441253 00 233299416715 183270 238 316 100 -0 +0 -5 -6 +16 0.4
202432 MLBKansas City Royals 424385 8818015 36842 11 229298392690 164254 208 308 94 -3 -0 -5 -5 +12 -0.1
202533 MLBKansas City Royals 10899 18600 8210 00 182243242485 61228 197 224 29 -9 +0 -3 -1 +3 -1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 37633422 8081864192 28992623 155 236300461761 225264 258 332 112 +52 +1 -23 -47 +107 9.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA
113,72319522227287459-31+1111.011.8
/162664354-5.5+2.02.0pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons
124,40520819233295447-47-3910.110.7
/162664313-7.1-5.81.5pk7: 11
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA
114,96317933242316418-54-338.39.6
/162664244-7.3-4.41.1pk7: 11
#3Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA
83,08913019250324448-31-367.88.4
/162664284-6.7-7.81.7pk7: 9
#4Scott Hairstonlast yr '14
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA
92,62410636242297444-18-166.06.6
/162664279-4.5-4.11.5pk7: 7
#5Franmil Reyeslast yr '23
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA
62,0781086249310464-22-185.55.5
/162664352-7.1-5.71.8pk7: 6
#6Craig Monroelast yr '09
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,898 PA
82,89811419253302443-28-323.84.3
/162664264-6.5-7.40.9pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Hunter Renfroe (OGILVIE) 34 40 45 50 55 226/295/387 160259 92 21% 8% 92 +0.6
Matt McBride
2019 · MLB
34 40→50 53→55 42→40 46 215/275/393 179247 214 23% 7% 85 +0.7 222/273/412 190263 267 26% 6% 89 +1.0 191/231/41122119537027%4%68-0.1
Cody Ransom
2010 · MLB
34 41→42 52→55 49→50 46 214/281/385 171267 1911 28% 8% 85 +0.7 222/285/402 180293 228 31% 7% 91 +1.1 216/283/39918329024733%8%87+0.6
Chad Huffman
2018 · MLB
33 44→52 50→55 48→45 48 224/305/381 157268 178 23% 8% 95 +1.4 231/302/392 161291 196 26% 7% 95 +1.4 229/303/40217328623027%7%95+0.8
Mike Coolbaugh
2006 · AAA
34 43→41 53→55 53→50 42 228/277/396 168275 2210 26% 6% 86 +0.8 218/284/360 142274 179 26% 7% 79 +0.3 182/274/29511322714426%10%56-0.6
Shawn Wooten
2006 · MLB
34 45 47→50 40→30 45 230/281/360 130255 163 18% 5% 78 +0.2 213/260/307 94260 103 21% 5% 55 -1.4 196/243/262662476123%5%34-1.1
Preston Tucker
2023 · AAA
33 47→46 48→55 48→40 47 237/296/376 140273 156 20% 6% 89 +0.9 242/326/401 159297 177 23% 10% 108 +2.3 242/359/42818630019224%13%124+1.4
Scott McClain
2006 · MLB
34 43→45 58→55 45→40 45 233/287/433 199259 264 22% 6% 100 +1.7 218/274/396 178251 245 24% 7% 85 +0.7 215/275/39117624424424%7%82+0.5
Anthony Recker
2017 · MLB
33 42→48 48→55 48→45 48 212/293/354 143279 165 29% 9% 82 +0.5 207/271/347 140282 155 31% 7% 70 -0.3 185/243/32313825216133%5%50-0.8
Damon Hollins
2008 · MLB
34 46→50 54→55 45 47 240/290/418 177260 229 18% 6% 97 +1.5 211/278/362 151254 186 24% 8% 78 +0.2 180/253/31913921318225%8%52-1.1
Nick Green
2013 · MLB
34 46→47 48→50 42→45 41 231/277/377 147277 155 23% 4% 81 +0.4 208/255/324 116270 126 27% 5% 57 -1.2 168/216/247792269129%4%18-2.7
Darnell McDonald
2013 · MLB
34 43→53 48→55 43→55 49 218/287/361 143261 169 23% 8% 81 +0.4 213/272/321 108262 1011 22% 7% 63 -0.8 205/258/2878225261221%6%46-1.2
Angel Echevarria
2005 · MLB
34 50 50→45 49→30 51 254/320/414 160288 189 19% 8% 108 +2.3 237/290/376 139276 187 21% 7% 85 +0.7 225/269/33410925817020%5%61-0.3
Dustin Garneau
2021 · MLB
33 41→37 48→50 45 46 208/290/355 147272 165 29% 8% 81 +0.4 196/274/370 174253 226 31% 7% 79 +0.3 152/237/32917618024132%7%52-0.5
Chad Mottola
2007 · MLB
35 42→44 50→55 47→45 40 220/258/372 151266 187 25% 4% 71 -0.3 228/269/382 154272 189 23% 5% 79 +0.3 226/268/38716125819721%5%76+0.1
Adonis García
2019 · MLB
34 51→56 48→50 49→50 45 256/300/393 137281 169 16% 5% 94 +1.3 213/271/328 115261 1314 23% 5% 66 -0.6 180/234/2597922391624%4%30-1.4
Yuniesky Betancourt
2015 · MLB
33 44→54 51→50 45→50 44 227/263/386 158242 204 17% 4% 77 +0.1 231/275/343 112259 127 16% 5% 70 -0.3 237/256/27639257309%2%43-0.8
Russ Johnson
2007 · MLB
34 48→47 48→50 40→45 54 239/309/383 144263 166 16% 9% 95 +1.4 232/294/362 130251 148 14% 8% 83 +0.6 226/288/34411823712611%8%73-0.1
Curt Casali
2023 · MLB
34 45 49→50 48→30 53 223/325/373 151300 174 30% 12% 101 +1.8 227/321/335 108294 104 24% 11% 89 +1.0 221/323/291702875022%11%76+0.0
Charlie Culberson
2023 · MLB
34 48→49 45 47→50 44 238/287/366 127298 1213 24% 6% 81 +0.4 226/275/342 116315 1212 30% 6% 70 -0.3 182/208/2254329551439%3%11-0.8
Keith Osik
2003 · MLB
34 44 45→40 50 51 217/291/337 120248 137 18% 8% 76 +0.1 226/302/322 96271 85 18% 9% 77 +0.1 249/342/324752974016%11%92+0.6