Corbin Carroll — OGILVIE

Corbin CarrollRF Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 25 L/L 5'10" / 165 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 3.221 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION398 act + 265 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 108125vR 132

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .349 / .491

PA265

HR10

SB12

K%23

BB%11

BABIP304

ISO234

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

887.1%

xwOBA

840.348

POWER55

Barrel%

6810.8

Avg EV

7590.8

Bat Spd

8675.2

EYE50

Chase%

8924.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1423 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

444

979

—

wRC+

123

134

▶R

wOBA

346

361

▶R

ISO

228

247

▶R

BABIP

284

282

—

22.1%

21.5%

—

BB%

7.9%

11.7%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.221 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2029

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$6M	+1.7	$13M	+$8M
2027	Ext	$14M	+5.3	$39M	+$27M
2028	Ext	$14M	+5.3	$36M	+$25M
2029	Ext	$14M	+5.0	$32M	+$22M
2030	Ext	$14M	+4.7	$28M	+$19M
Totals		$61M		$149M	+$100M

Options · projected decision
2031	CLUB OPT	$13.9M / $0.0M buyout	EXERCISE
2032	CLUB OPT	$28.0M / $5.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	137	121	25	4	2	2	14	42	0	16	1	207	289	322	611	116	291	31	10	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	137	111	32	6	3	2	24	29	0	16	1	288	415	450	865	162	366	21	18	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	29	26	7	0	1	2	3	10	0	3	1	269	345	577	922	308	357	34	10	432	189	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	29	23	10	1	2	2	6	7	0	3	1	435	552	913	1.465	478	571	24	21	600	317	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	3 teams	—	549	485	120	27	11	22	48	163	13	33	6	247	332	485	816	237	323	30	9	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	3 teams	—	549	460	135	31	10	27	73	135	13	33	6	293	405	580	985	287	359	25	13	425	183	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	645	565	158	29	10	24	57	125	13	54	5	280	359	494	853	214	319	19	9	365	137	+27	+9	-2	-7	+18	4.6
2023	22	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	645	565	161	30	10	25	57	125	13	54	5	285	364	506	870	221	325	19	9	377	146	+34	+9	-2	-7	+18	5.3
2024	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	684	589	133	21	14	21	73	130	10	35	8	226	321	416	737	190	251	19	11	321	104	+3	+4	+5	+2	+19	3.4
2024	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	684	589	136	22	14	22	73	130	10	35	8	231	326	428	754	197	256	19	11	330	110	+8	+4	+5	+2	+19	3.9
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	642	564	143	31	17	30	67	153	7	32	6	254	340	528	868	275	294	24	10	366	138	+28	+4	+5	-7	+18	4.9
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	642	564	146	32	17	31	67	153	7	32	6	259	345	541	886	282	299	24	10	381	150	+36	+4	+5	-7	+18	5.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	ARI	—	398	345	87	19	10	13	47	91	4	10	2	252	348	478	827	226	305	23	12	354	129	+13	+1	-0	-4	+11	2.2
YTD	25	MLB	ARI	—	398	345	87	19	10	13	47	91	4	10	2	252	348	478	827	226	305	23	12	362	135	+16	+1	-0	-4	+11	2.4
ROS	25	MLB	ARI	100%	265	230	59	12	6	10	30	60	3	12	2	256	349	491	840	234	296	23	11	360	134	+10	+2	+4	-3	+8	2.1
ROS	25	MLB	ARI	100%	265	230	58	12	5	10	30	59	3	12	2	252	346	478	824	226	298	22	11	355	130	+9	+2	+4	-3	+8	1.9
FULL	25	MLB	ARI	—	663	575	145	31	15	23	77	150	7	22	4	252	347	478	826	226	301	23	12	355	130	+22	+3	+3	-7	+19	4.1
TOT	25	MLB	ARI	—	663	575	146	31	16	23	77	151	7	22	4	254	349	483	832	229	304	23	12	357	131	+23	+3	+3	-7	+19	4.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ARI	100%	660	574	145	29	14	25	74	148	7	30	5	253	345	483	828	230	294	22	11	360	134	+25	+4	+9	-7	+19	5.1
2028	27	MLB	ARI	100%	657	570	144	29	14	25	75	148	7	30	5	253	347	484	831	232	294	23	11	360	134	+25	+4	+9	-7	+19	5.1
2029	28	MLB	ARI	100%	644	558	139	28	13	24	74	146	7	28	5	249	344	475	819	226	293	23	11	359	133	+24	+4	+8	-7	+18	4.8
2030	29	MLB	ARI	100%	631	546	135	27	13	23	73	144	7	26	4	247	343	471	814	223	292	23	12	357	131	+22	+4	+7	-7	+18	4.5
2031	30	MLB	ARI	100%	618	535	131	26	12	23	71	143	7	23	4	245	341	467	808	222	290	23	11	354	129	+20	+3	+7	-7	+18	4.1
2032	31	MLB	ARI	100%	606	525	127	25	12	22	70	142	6	19	3	242	338	461	799	219	286	23	12	349	125	+17	+3	+6	-6	+17	3.7
2033	32	MLB	ARI	100%	594	515	122	24	12	21	68	141	6	16	3	237	333	452	785	216	282	24	11	342	120	+14	+2	+5	-6	+17	3.1
2034	33	MLB	ARI	100%	536	465	107	20	11	18	61	130	5	11	2	230	326	437	762	206	275	24	11	334	114	+8	+1	+3	-6	+15	2.3
2035	34	MLB	ARI	100%	488	424	94	17	10	16	56	122	5	7	1	222	320	422	742	200	267	25	11	324	106	+3	+1	+2	-5	+14	1.5
2036	35	MLB	ARI	100%	432	376	80	14	9	13	49	111	4	5	1	213	310	402	712	189	257	26	11	312	97	-1	+1	+0	-5	+12	0.7
2027	26	MLB	ARI	100%	660	574	146	29	14	26	74	148	7	30	5	254	347	490	836	235	297	22	11	355	130	+22	+4	+9	-7	+19	4.8
2028	27	MLB	ARI	100%	657	570	143	29	13	25	75	148	7	30	5	251	345	479	824	228	296	23	11	355	130	+22	+4	+9	-7	+19	4.8
2029	28	MLB	ARI	100%	644	558	140	28	13	25	74	146	7	28	5	251	346	482	828	231	295	23	11	354	129	+21	+4	+8	-7	+18	4.5
2030	29	MLB	ARI	100%	631	546	138	28	13	24	73	144	7	26	4	253	348	484	832	231	294	23	12	352	128	+20	+4	+7	-7	+18	4.3
2031	30	MLB	ARI	100%	618	535	132	27	12	23	71	143	7	23	4	247	343	471	814	224	292	23	11	349	125	+18	+3	+7	-7	+18	3.9
2032	31	MLB	ARI	100%	606	525	128	26	12	22	70	142	6	19	3	244	339	465	804	221	289	23	12	344	122	+15	+3	+6	-6	+17	3.4
2033	32	MLB	ARI	100%	594	515	123	24	12	21	68	141	6	16	3	239	334	454	789	216	284	24	11	338	117	+11	+2	+5	-6	+17	2.9
2034	33	MLB	ARI	100%	536	465	107	20	11	18	61	130	5	11	2	230	326	437	762	206	277	24	11	329	110	+6	+1	+3	-6	+15	2.1
2035	34	MLB	ARI	100%	488	424	94	17	10	16	56	122	5	7	1	222	320	422	742	200	269	25	11	319	102	+1	+1	+2	-5	+14	1.3
2036	35	MLB	ARI	100%	432	376	80	14	9	13	49	111	4	5	1	213	310	402	712	189	259	26	11	308	94	-3	+1	+0	-5	+12	0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	8217	7140	1759	347	167	305	906	1873	97	330	55	246	339	470	809	224	290	23	11	348	124	+225	+44	+72	-83	+233	50.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	138	27	13	24	72	148	8	26	4	244	339	465	804	221	287	23	11	348	124	+18	+4	+6	-7	+18	4.0
Career	—			—	8817	7668	1869	363	181	321	963	2058	107	380	62	244	336	464	800	220	290	23	11	348	124	+240	+51	+72	-85	+250	53.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	138	27	13	24	71	152	8	28	5	244	337	465	802	221	290	23	11	348	124	+18	+4	+5	-6	+18	4.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	137	111	32	6	3	2	24	29	0	16	1	288	415	450	865	162	366	21	18	383	151	+8	+3	—	—	+4	1.5
2021	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	29	23	10	1	2	2	6	7	0	3	1	435	552	913	1.465	478	571	24	21	600	317	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2022	21	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	104	27	9	2	4	8	31	3	2	1	260	330	500	830	240	333	27	7	363	136	+5	+0	+4	-6	+3	0.6
2022	21	AAA	Reno Aces	—	157	129	37	11	0	7	24	36	3	11	2	287	410	535	945	248	345	23	15	413	174	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.9
2022	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	277	227	71	11	8	16	41	68	7	20	3	313	433	643	1.076	330	379	25	15	457	208	+34	+3	—	—	+8	4.5
2023	22	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	645	565	161	30	10	25	57	125	13	54	5	285	364	506	870	221	325	19	9	377	146	+34	+9	-2	-7	+18	5.3
2024	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	684	589	136	22	14	22	73	130	10	35	8	231	326	428	754	197	256	19	11	330	110	+8	+4	+5	+2	+19	3.9
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	642	564	146	32	17	31	67	153	7	32	6	259	345	541	886	282	299	24	10	381	150	+36	+4	+5	-7	+18	5.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2086	1822	470	93	43	82	205	439	33	123	20	258	344	491	835	233	294	21	10	362	135	+83	+17	+11	-17	+59	15.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alfonso Sorianolast yr '14 career totals — 15 seasons, 8,387 PA	15	8,387	411	289	270	319	500	-54	+1	47.9	42.7
	/162	664	33	23	270	319	500	-4.2	+0.1	3.8	pk7: 37
#2Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	15	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	41.9
	/162	664	28	12	249	337	466	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	9,011	331	371	246	335	470	-97	+6	47.4	39.0
	/162	664	24	27	246	335	470	-7.1	+0.4	3.5	pk7: 31
#3Torii Hunterlast yr '15 career totals — 16 seasons, 9,251 PA	16	9,251	344	185	278	332	465	-25	-22	46.3	37.8
	/162	664	25	13	278	332	465	-1.8	-1.6	3.3	pk7: 29
#4Mike Cameronlast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,303 PA	12	6,303	234	209	251	339	451	-1	+38	40.1	36.5
	/162	664	25	22	251	339	451	-0.1	+4.0	4.2	pk7: 33
#5Brett Gardnerlast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,577 PA	13	6,577	139	272	256	341	398	-41	+49	29.8	26.6
	/162	664	14	27	256	341	398	-4.2	+4.9	3.0	pk7: 23
#6Alex Rioslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA	12	6,929	169	253	277	321	434	-57	+11	25.0	25.4
#6Alex Rioslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA	/162	664	16	24	277	321	434	-5.5	+1.0	2.4	pk7: 26

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Corbin Carroll (OGILVIE)	25	55	55	60	50	254/349/483	229	304	23	22	23%	12%	131	+4.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Grady Sizemore 2009 · MLB	26	54→58	57→60	58→55	60	275/376/491	217	310	23	25	19%	13%	150	+5.2	249/335/436	187	292	20	17	21%	10%	120	+3.1	236/316/413	177	284	18	11	22%	9%	103	+1.1
●Kyle Tucker 2022 · MLB	25	50→54	61→65	56→55	52	266/330/501	235	287	28	18	19%	9%	135	+4.2	265/345/486	221	276	27	22	15%	11%	137	+4.3	267/372/486	219	277	26	25	15%	14%	139	+4.0
●Carlos González 2012 · MLB	26	52→56	56→60	56→55	49	267/329/462	195	303	23	22	20%	8%	124	+3.4	253/321/436	183	301	21	20	22%	9%	115	+2.7	245/315/429	184	293	21	20	23%	9%	102	+1.4
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	49→50	59→60	55→60	45	255/317/472	218	314	27	24	28%	8%	123	+3.3	253/319/455	202	313	27	31	27%	8%	119	+3.1	247/320/444	197	301	28	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Wil Myers 2017 · MLB	26	50→53	56→65	54→55	52	259/334/453	194	307	23	20	23%	10%	124	+3.4	255/331/469	214	324	26	19	28%	10%	127	+3.6	249/328/464	215	326	26	20	30%	10%	121	+2.7
★Corey Hart 2008 · MLB	26	53→56	56→65	56→55	47	272/329/478	206	310	22	23	20%	7%	128	+3.7	270/323/467	197	307	21	17	19%	6%	123	+3.3	281/345/522	241	325	30	6	23%	8%	143	+4.7
●Trent Grisham 2022 · MLB	25	48→50	55→60	52→55	53	248/332/441	193	295	21	15	23%	10%	120	+3.1	211/309/381	170	267	19	12	27%	11%	96	+1.5	221/330/419	198	244	27	6	22%	13%	112	+1.6
★Carlos Beltrán 2003 · MLB	26	55→61	56→65	61→60	53	278/345/483	205	311	21	26	18%	9%	136	+4.2	278/360/497	219	296	25	30	15%	11%	145	+4.9	274/372/529	255	282	31	20	16%	13%	149	+5.5
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	54→55	47	263/329/457	193	325	23	24	26%	8%	123	+3.3	245/323/433	188	329	24	16	31%	10%	115	+2.7	235/325/431	197	314	26	14	32%	11%	113	+2.2
★Ronald Acuña Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	53→63	57→70	53→65	55	269/365/468	199	326	24	28	24%	12%	141	+4.5	300/389/512	212	337	26	39	18%	12%	161	+6.0	309/407/536	227	341	29	42	17%	13%	169	+5.0
✕Corey Patterson 2005 · MLB	25	53→54	53→55	57→60	43	268/313/448	180	323	20	24	24%	6%	114	+2.7	251/293/403	152	296	18	32	21%	5%	94	+1.3	247/286/384	137	285	15	39	19%	4%	81	+0.4
●Ramón Laureano 2020 · MLB	26	51→57	56→60	54→55	43	262/321/459	196	327	24	18	27%	6%	121	+3.2	247/324/436	189	308	22	15	26%	8%	116	+2.8	263/329/458	195	337	23	13	28%	7%	122	+2.3
●Austin Meadows 2020 · MLB	25	51→57	60→65	50→55	48	270/328/492	223	298	28	15	20%	7%	132	+4.0	246/322/456	210	281	25	8	22%	9%	121	+3.2	225/312/415	190	256	22	4	21%	10%	102	+1.0
★Justin Upton 2012 · MLB	24	55→59	57→65	51→55	52	278/358/486	207	327	23	18	22%	10%	142	+4.6	270/350/457	187	324	22	13	22%	10%	131	+3.9	264/344/505	242	328	32	10	29%	10%	138	+4.6
✕Jake Fraley 2020 · MLB	25	50	56→60	52→55	41	256/305/454	199	317	22	18	27%	5%	113	+2.6	245/325/428	183	313	22	18	27%	10%	115	+2.7	241/341/414	173	287	23	23	23%	12%	114	+1.5
★Matt Kemp 2010 · MLB	25	59→65	53→65	58→55	47	293/344/473	180	348	20	28	22%	7%	133	+4.0	292/356/517	225	349	28	23	24%	9%	150	+5.2	298/367/539	241	354	32	22	24%	9%	147	+5.1
●Luis Robert Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	54→57	56→60	54→60	42	274/326/471	197	341	24	19	26%	6%	126	+3.5	265/312/457	192	323	25	19	25%	5%	117	+2.9	250/299/444	193	309	26	22	28%	5%	103	+1.6
✕Cavan Biggio 2021 · MLB	26	48	55→60	54→50	61	241/355/432	191	304	21	16	26%	14%	128	+3.6	221/324/365	144	292	15	9	27%	12%	98	+1.6	208/324/337	128	281	13	8	28%	12%	91	+0.6
★Curtis Granderson 2008 · MLB	27	56→60	55→65	63→50	48	276/337/487	211	340	19	16	24%	8%	134	+4.1	266/340/475	209	306	22	15	20%	10%	132	+4.0	246/334/471	225	277	28	18	22%	11%	125	+3.7
●Gregory Polanco 2017 · MLB	25	52→55	50→60	53→55	51	258/321/424	166	299	16	20	20%	9%	111	+2.5	252/321/439	187	291	20	14	20%	9%	115	+2.8	248/321/437	190	287	21	13	21%	9%	108	+1.5