Corbin Carroll — OGILVIE

Corbin CarrollRF Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 26 L/L 5'10" / 165 lbs MLB HR -11% Svc 3.221 · Ctrl thru 2031

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 117127vR 130

AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .344 / .502

PA648

HR25

SB41

K%22

BB%10

BABIP302

ISO243

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr━ post-control+$61M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

906.1%

xAVG

480.250

POWER55

Barrel%

7011.2

Avg EV

7891.0

Bat Spd

8675.2

EYE50

Chase%

9020.7%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.7

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%25%▼▼26% over 99 PA (45d) · proj 22%

BB%10%·9% over 159 PA (60d) · proj 10%

ISO.217▼.196 over 138 AB (60d) · proj .235

HR/BB5.0%▼3.8% over 105 BBE (60d) · proj 6.2%

BABIP.284·.267 over 101 BIP (60d) · proj .286

SLASH.233/.316/.450▼▼proj .248/.332/.483

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1423 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

444

979

—

wRC+

120

130

▶R

wOBA

346

361

▶R

ISO

228

247

▶R

BABIP

284

282

—

22.1%

21.5%

—

BB%

7.9%

11.7%

▶▶R

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.221 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027ROS	Ext	$14M	+4.6	$55M	+$41M
2028	Ext	$16M	+4.1	$43M	+$28M
2029	Ext	$18M	+3.8	$35M	+$20M
2030	Ext	$20M	+3.4	$27M	+$12M
Totals		$67M		$159M	+$102M

Options · projected decision
2031	CLUB OPT	$22.4M / $0.0M buyout	EXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	137	111	32	6	3	2	24	29	0	16	1	288	415	450	865	162	366	21	18	383	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	29	23	10	1	2	2	6	7	0	3	1	435	552	913	1.465	478	571	24	21	600	199	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	104	27	9	2	4	8	31	3	2	1	260	330	500	830	240	333	27	7	363	123	+3	+0	+4	-6	+2	0.4
2022	21	AAA	Reno Aces	—	157	129	37	11	0	7	24	36	3	11	2	287	410	535	945	248	345	23	15	413	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	277	227	71	11	8	16	41	68	7	20	3	313	433	643	1.076	330	379	25	15	457	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	645	565	161	30	10	25	57	125	13	54	5	285	364	506	870	221	325	19	9	377	135	+27	+9	-2	-7	+14	4.2
2024	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	684	589	136	22	14	22	73	130	10	35	8	231	326	428	754	197	256	19	11	330	104	+3	+4	+5	+2	+15	3.0
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	642	564	146	32	17	31	67	153	7	32	6	259	345	541	886	282	299	24	10	381	134	+26	+4	+5	-7	+14	4.3
2026	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	671	582	139	33	17	22	73	151	8	21	3	239	332	467	799	229	281	23	11	347	111	+8	+3	-0	-7	+15	1.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2757	2404	609	126	60	104	278	590	41	144	23	253	341	485	826	232	291	21	10	358	129	+94	+20	+11	-24	+60	16.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	137	121	25	4	2	2	14	42	0	16	1	207	289	322	611	116	290	31	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	29	25	8	1	1	2	4	10	0	3	1	320	414	680	1.094	360	470	34	14	462	199	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	115	104	26	8	2	4	8	31	3	2	1	250	322	481	803	231	333	27	7	350	123	+3	+0	+4	-6	+2	0.4
2022	21	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	157	136	33	10	0	5	17	43	3	11	2	243	340	426	766	184	316	27	11	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	277	241	65	10	9	12	27	82	7	20	3	270	360	535	895	266	350	30	10	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	645	566	157	27	8	26	56	125	13	54	5	277	356	491	847	214	325	19	9	368	135	+27	+9	-2	-7	+14	4.2
2024	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	684	589	132	20	11	23	73	130	10	35	8	224	320	413	733	188	256	19	11	322	104	+3	+4	+5	+2	+15	3.0
2025	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	642	568	141	28	14	33	63	153	7	32	6	248	331	521	852	273	299	24	10	367	134	+26	+4	+5	-7	+14	4.3
2026	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	671	586	133	29	14	23	69	151	8	21	3	227	317	442	759	215	281	23	10	332	111	+8	+3	-0	-7	+15	1.9
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	137	121	25	4	2	2	14	42	0	16	1	207	289	322	611	116	291	31	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	137	111	32	6	3	2	24	29	0	16	1	288	415	450	865	162	366	21	18	383	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	29	25	8	1	1	2	4	10	0	3	1	320	414	680	1.094	360	462	34	14	462	199	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	—	29	23	10	1	2	2	6	7	0	3	1	435	552	913	1.465	478	571	24	21	600	199	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	549	481	125	28	10	22	52	156	13	33	6	260	348	497	845	237	337	28	9	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	549	460	135	31	10	27	73	135	13	33	6	293	405	580	985	287	359	25	13	425	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	645	566	157	27	8	26	56	125	13	54	5	277	356	491	847	214	313	19	9	368	135	+27	+9	-2	-7	+14	4.2
2023	22	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	645	565	161	30	10	25	57	125	13	54	5	285	364	506	870	221	325	19	9	377	135	+27	+9	-2	-7	+14	4.2
2024	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	684	589	132	20	11	23	73	130	10	35	8	224	320	413	733	188	245	19	11	322	104	+3	+4	+5	+2	+15	3.0
2024	23	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	684	589	136	22	14	22	73	130	10	35	8	231	326	428	754	197	256	19	11	330	104	+3	+4	+5	+2	+15	3.0
2025	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	642	568	141	28	14	33	63	153	7	32	6	248	331	521	852	273	280	24	10	367	134	+26	+4	+5	-7	+14	4.3
2025	24	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	642	564	146	32	17	31	67	153	7	32	6	259	345	541	886	282	299	24	10	381	134	+26	+4	+5	-7	+14	4.3
2026	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	671	586	133	29	14	23	69	151	8	21	3	227	317	442	759	215	262	23	10	332	111	+8	+3	-0	-7	+15	1.9
2026	25	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	671	582	139	33	17	22	73	151	8	21	3	239	332	467	799	229	281	23	11	347	111	+8	+3	-0	-7	+15	1.9
2019	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	137	122	25	4	2	2	14	42	0	16	1	205	289	320	609	115	290	31	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	29	25	8	1	1	2	4	10	0	3	1	320	414	680	1.094	360	470	34	14	462	199	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	549	479	125	28	10	22	52	156	13	33	6	261	348	499	847	238	337	28	9	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	645	571	157	27	8	26	56	125	13	54	5	275	356	487	843	212	325	19	9	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	684	596	132	20	11	23	73	130	10	35	8	221	320	408	728	186	256	19	11	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	642	567	141	28	14	33	63	153	7	32	6	249	331	522	853	273	299	24	10	367	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	671	589	133	29	14	23	69	151	8	21	3	226	317	440	756	214	281	23	10	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	684	596	132	20	11	23	73	130	10	35	8	221	320	408	728	186	256	19	11	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	642	567	141	28	14	33	63	153	7	32	6	249	331	522	853	273	299	24	10	367	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	671	589	133	29	14	23	69	151	8	21	3	226	317	440	756	214	281	23	10	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	100%	638	560	139	27	13	26	65	143	8	41	7	249	335	483	818	234	286	22	10	356	127	+21	+5	+7	-7	+14	4.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	648	569	147	31	16	25	66	145	8	41	7	258	344	502	846	244	302	22	10	367	127	+21	+5	+8	-7	+14	4.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	100%	648	569	140	27	13	26	66	146	8	41	7	247	334	480	814	233	285	23	10	355	126	+20	+5	+8	-7	+14	4.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	ARI	100%	644	566	139	27	13	26	66	147	7	37	6	245	332	475	807	230	283	23	10	352	124	+19	+5	+7	-7	+14	3.8
2030	29	MLB MLE	ARI	100%	632	556	135	26	13	25	64	146	7	32	5	242	328	468	797	226	282	23	10	348	121	+16	+4	+6	-7	+14	3.4
2031	30	MLB MLE	ARI	100%	619	544	130	25	12	24	63	145	7	27	5	238	324	459	783	221	279	23	10	342	118	+13	+3	+5	-7	+13	2.9
2032	31	MLB MLE	ARI	100%	607	535	125	24	12	22	61	144	6	19	4	233	318	448	766	215	274	24	10	336	113	+10	+2	+4	-7	+13	2.3
2033	32	MLB MLE	ARI	100%	594	524	118	22	11	21	59	144	6	13	3	226	311	433	744	206	268	24	10	327	107	+5	+1	+3	-6	+13	1.7
2034	33	MLB MLE	ARI	100%	552	488	107	19	11	19	54	137	5	6	2	218	302	414	716	196	260	25	10	315	100	-0	+0	+2	-6	+12	0.9
2035	34	MLB MLE	ARI	100%	504	447	93	16	10	16	48	129	4	2	1	207	290	392	683	185	250	26	10	302	90	-6	+0	+1	-5	+11	0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	648	569	146	31	16	25	66	146	8	41	7	257	342	499	842	242	301	23	10	365	126	+20	+5	+8	-7	+14	4.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	644	566	143	30	16	24	66	147	7	37	6	255	340	494	834	239	300	23	10	362	124	+19	+5	+7	-7	+14	3.8
2030	29	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	632	556	140	29	16	23	64	146	7	32	5	252	337	487	824	235	298	23	10	358	121	+16	+4	+6	-7	+14	3.4
2031	30	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	619	544	134	28	15	22	63	145	7	27	5	248	333	478	811	230	294	23	10	353	118	+13	+3	+5	-7	+13	2.9
2032	31	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	607	535	130	27	15	21	61	144	6	19	4	242	327	466	793	224	290	24	10	346	113	+10	+2	+4	-7	+13	2.3
2033	32	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	594	524	123	25	14	20	59	144	6	13	3	235	319	451	770	215	283	24	10	336	107	+5	+1	+3	-6	+13	1.7
2034	33	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	552	488	111	22	13	18	54	137	5	6	2	226	309	432	741	205	275	25	10	325	100	-0	+0	+2	-6	+12	0.9
2035	34	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	504	447	97	18	12	15	48	129	4	2	1	216	298	409	707	194	264	26	10	311	90	-6	+0	+1	-5	+11	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7557	6633	1633	336	177	272	759	1728	91	321	56	246	332	473	805	227	291	23	10	350	117	+171	+42	+47	-76	+164	35.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	140	29	15	23	65	149	8	28	5	245	331	469	800	224	290	23	10	350	117	+15	+4	+4	-7	+14	3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	8805	7734	1849	351	168	336	878	2050	109	412	70	239	325	458	783	219	280	23	10	342	117	+192	+47	+55	-83	+178	39.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	136	26	12	25	65	151	8	30	5	238	325	457	782	219	278	23	10	342	117	+15	+4	+4	-7	+14	3.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	12.5	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	42.0
/162	664	28	12	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	12.4	8,205	309	362	242	324	465	-88	+5	37.2	32.4
/162	664	25	29	-7.1	+0.4	3.0	pk7: 28
#2Justin Uptonlast yr '22 AS×4SS×2 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,649 PA	11.5	7,649	325	151	261	342	469	-82	-91	29.7	27.0
/162	664	28	13	-7.1	-7.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#3Brett Gardnerlast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,577 PA	9.9	6,577	139	272	256	341	398	-41	+49	29.8	26.6
/162	664	14	27	-4.2	+4.9	3.0	pk7: 23
#4Alex Rioslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA	10.4	6,929	169	253	277	321	434	-57	+11	25.0	25.4
/162	664	16	24	-5.5	+1.0	2.4	pk7: 26
#5Yasiel Puiglast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,376 PA	5.1	3,376	132	79	277	348	475	-36	-12	17.1	17.1
/162	664	26	16	-7.1	-2.3	3.4	pk7: 17
#6Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
/162	664	20	24	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Corbin Carroll (OGILVIE)	26	55	55	60	50	246/332/479	232	286	26	41	22%	10%	127	+3.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2024 · MLB	26	49→50	60	58→60	44	257/317/477	219	320	29	28	29%	8%	121	+2.9	246/316/437	191	304	25	34	27%	9%	112	+2.2	238/315/421	183	295	25	40	27%	9%	108	+1.8
●Carlos Gómez 2014 · MLB	28	52→58	56→60	65	43	268/318/470	203	319	23	38	24%	6%	120	+2.8	265/327/443	178	324	19	28	23%	7%	116	+2.5	255/321/419	164	317	18	26	24%	7%	109	+1.8
●Grady Sizemore 2009 · MLB	26	53→58	57→60	58→55	57	270/362/483	213	303	23	25	19%	11%	138	+4.1	247/329/433	186	288	20	17	21%	10%	115	+2.4	235/314/412	177	282	18	11	22%	9%	105	+0.9
●Jacoby Ellsbury 2012 · MLB	28	58→68	54→55	59→65	51	296/350/481	186	311	20	35	13%	7%	133	+3.7	279/331/426	147	308	15	33	14%	7%	114	+2.3	268/325/387	119	306	10	38	15%	7%	103	+1.5
✕Josh Lowe 2024 · MLB	26	54→57	53→55	60	43	263/316/444	181	352	19	30	30%	7%	113	+2.3	236/292/396	160	315	18	27	30%	7%	93	+0.8	218/279/368	151	289	18	26	30%	7%	82	+0.0
★Carlos Beltrán 2004 · MLB	27	56→60	58→65	64→60	56	289/361/501	213	312	24	32	16%	10%	141	+4.3	268/349/495	227	279	27	26	15%	11%	136	+3.9	270/357/520	250	276	31	20	16%	12%	146	+5.1
✕B.J. Upton 2012 · MLB	27	47→57	52→60	58→60	52	240/320/418	178	298	19	34	26%	10%	108	+1.9	223/293/390	167	288	20	24	28%	9%	92	+0.7	225/287/370	145	297	17	25	29%	8%	85	+0.2
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	53→59	55→60	54→55	48	269/334/463	193	330	23	24	25%	8%	124	+3.1	247/325/432	185	333	24	16	31%	10%	114	+2.3	235/324/427	192	316	26	14	32%	11%	113	+1.9
●Carlos González 2012 · MLB	26	55→60	58→65	55	47	285/338/498	213	322	26	22	20%	7%	133	+3.7	273/330/476	203	322	24	20	22%	8%	126	+3.2	260/317/451	191	299	24	2	21%	7%	117	+2.5
★Preston Wilson 2001 · MLB	27	51→52	59→60	54→55	46	262/328/476	214	325	27	28	28%	8%	125	+3.2	263/328/476	213	308	27	21	23%	8%	125	+3.2	264/331/484	220	301	28	18	22%	8%	129	+3.3
●Kyle Tucker 2024 · MLB	27	50→53	60→65	56→55	56	266/338/492	225	271	28	23	15%	10%	132	+3.6	262/355/475	213	274	26	20	15%	12%	134	+3.8	253/357/451	198	268	24	18	16%	13%	131	+3.1
★Alfonso Soriano 2003 · MLB	27	54→56	58→70	56→60	40	282/318/494	212	320	26	33	21%	4%	126	+3.2	281/320/503	222	307	29	25	19%	4%	129	+3.4	275/321/533	257	298	34	27	20%	5%	137	+4.6
✕Cedric Mullins 2022 · MLB	27	51→55	52→55	56→60	49	258/320/434	176	293	19	25	19%	8%	112	+2.2	247/311/412	165	285	18	27	20%	8%	103	+1.6	234/301/390	156	268	18	31	20%	8%	95	+0.9
★Bobby Witt Jr. 2024 · MLB	24	50→60	58→65	60	44	264/309/471	207	294	25	33	20%	6%	116	+2.5	296/347/514	218	327	24	31	17%	7%	141	+4.3	300/356/513	212	333	23	34	17%	7%	144	+5.1
●Corey Hart 2008 · MLB	26	53→56	56→65	56→55	46	273/329/481	207	312	22	23	20%	6%	126	+3.2	269/320/463	194	306	20	17	19%	6%	119	+2.7	276/338/504	227	322	28	6	23%	7%	136	+3.9
✕Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	53→60	49→50	62→60	46	259/323/418	158	325	15	33	24%	7%	109	+2.0	262/323/386	124	312	11	32	19%	7%	101	+1.4	258/314/387	129	298	10	28	16%	6%	98	+1.0
●Wil Myers 2017 · MLB	26	50→54	54→60	54→55	52	255/329/439	183	305	22	20	23%	10%	116	+2.5	250/324/451	201	320	24	19	28%	10%	118	+2.6	244/321/445	201	321	24	20	30%	10%	115	+2.1
★Ronald Acuña Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	53→63	56→70	53→65	54	267/359/465	198	323	24	28	24%	11%	133	+3.7	298/385/509	211	334	26	39	18%	11%	152	+5.1	307/402/532	225	338	29	42	17%	13%	165	+4.6
★Randy Arozarena 2021 · MLB	26	53→59	54→55	51→55	45	267/343/451	184	328	22	23	25%	7%	125	+3.2	263/341/449	186	334	21	22	26%	8%	123	+3.0	247/350/436	189	305	22	23	25%	10%	125	+3.5
✕Corey Patterson 2005 · MLB	25	52→54	53→55	57→60	41	266/306/445	179	320	20	24	24%	5%	109	+2.0	249/287/401	152	293	18	32	21%	4%	91	+0.7	246/281/382	136	283	15	39	19%	4%	85	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps