Corbin Carroll — OGILVIE

Corbin CarrollRF Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 25 L/L 5'10" / 165 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 5.6 · 2026

wRC+†vL 121149vR 147

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .341 / .490

PA642

HR28

SB36

K%22

BB%10

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

59↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

5.1peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$11M	+5.6	$45M	+$34M
2027	Arb-3	$13M	+5.6	$46M	+$34M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$15M	+5.6	$48M	+$33M
2029	Ext / FA-deal	$29M	+5.4	$47M	+$19M
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$29M	+5.0	$45M	+$16M
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$28M	+4.7	$44M	+$16M
Totals		$123M		$274M	+$151M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	137	121	25	4	2	2	14	42	0	16	1	.207	.289	.322	.611	.116	.291	31	10	.273	67	-5	+3	+0	-1	+4	0.0
2021	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	29	25	8	1	1	2	4	10	0	3	1	.320	.414	.680	1.094	.360	.462	34	14	.455	206	+3	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.4
2022	21	AA	3 teams	549	482	121	27	10	23	51	165	13	33	6	.251	.339	.492	.831	.241	.330	30	9	.357	131	+19	+4	+4	-6	+16	3.8
2023	22	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	645	565	157	28	9	24	57	125	13	54	5	.278	.357	.487	.844	.209	.317	19	9	.362	135	+26	+9	-2	-7	+18	4.4
2024	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	684	589	129	20	11	22	73	130	10	35	8	.219	.315	.402	.718	.183	.240	19	11	.311	96	-3	+4	+5	+2	+19	2.8
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	642	564	142	32	11	33	67	153	7	32	6	.252	.339	.523	.862	.271	.285	24	10	.361	134	+25	+4	+5	-7	+18	4.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	96	81	24	6	4	3	14	25	0	4	0	.296	.400	.580	.980	.284	.389	26	15	.413	175	+8	+1	-0	-1	+3	1.0
ROS	25	MLB	ARI	546	475	125	25	11	23	60	123	6	32	4	.263	.353	.507	.860	.244	.306	23	11	.374	144	+27	+5	+2	-6	+15	4.5
TOT	25	MLB	ARI	642	556	149	31	15	26	74	148	6	36	4	.268	.360	.518	.878	.250	.319	23	12	.380	149	+35	+6	+2	-7	+18	5.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB	ARI	642	558	147	29	13	27	72	112	7	38	5	.263	.355	.507	.862	.244	.283	17	11	.375	145	+33	+6	+3	-7	+18	5.4
2028	27	MLB	ARI	637	553	146	29	13	27	72	112	7	37	5	.264	.356	.510	.866	.246	.283	18	11	.376	146	+33	+5	+3	-7	+18	5.3
2029	28	MLB	ARI	629	545	144	28	13	27	72	112	7	36	4	.264	.357	.512	.869	.248	.283	18	11	.374	145	+32	+6	+2	-7	+18	5.2
2030	29	MLB	ARI	617	535	140	28	12	26	71	112	6	34	4	.262	.355	.505	.859	.243	.282	18	12	.372	143	+30	+5	+1	-7	+17	4.9
2031	30	MLB	ARI	605	524	136	27	12	25	70	111	6	32	3	.260	.353	.500	.853	.240	.281	18	12	.369	141	+28	+5	+1	-6	+17	4.5
2032	31	MLB	ARI	590	511	131	26	12	24	68	111	6	28	2	.256	.350	.495	.846	.239	.279	19	12	.365	138	+25	+5	-0	-6	+17	4.1
2033	32	MLB	ARI	571	495	123	24	11	22	65	111	6	25	1	.248	.343	.475	.818	.226	.278	19	11	.361	134	+22	+5	-1	-6	+16	3.6
2034	33	MLB	ARI	541	469	116	23	10	21	62	108	5	22	0	.247	.341	.473	.815	.226	.276	20	11	.355	130	+18	+4	-2	-6	+15	3.1
2035	34	MLB	ARI	493	429	104	20	10	18	56	103	5	18	0	.242	.337	.462	.798	.219	.274	21	11	.348	124	+13	+4	-3	-5	+14	2.4
2036	35	MLB	ARI	437	381	89	17	8	15	49	96	4	15	0	.234	.327	.438	.766	.205	.272	22	11	.339	118	+9	+3	-4	-5	+12	1.6
2037	36	MLB	ARI	376	328	74	14	7	12	42	86	3	13	0	.226	.319	.421	.740	.195	.268	23	11	.330	110	+4	+3	-5	-4	+11	0.9
2038	37	MLB	ARI	311	271	59	11	6	9	34	74	3	10	0	.218	.312	.402	.714	.185	.264	24	11	.319	102	+1	+2	-6	-3	+9	0.3
2039	38	MLB	ARI	241	211	45	8	5	7	26	60	2	7	0	.213	.305	.398	.704	.185	.259	25	11	.307	93	-2	+1	-7	-3	+7	-0.3
2040	39	MLB	ARI	167	147	29	5	3	4	17	42	1	4	0	.197	.285	.354	.639	.156	.253	25	10	.295	84	-3	+1	-8	-2	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10089	8778	2190	426	190	393	1102	2098	117	524	55	.249	.341	.476	.817	.226	.283	21	11	.354	129	+336	+83	-9	-98	+286	60.9
/ 162G	—			650	566	140	27	12	25	71	135	8	34	4	.247	.340	.470	.810	.223	.280	21	11	.354	129	+22	+5	-1	-6	+18	3.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	137	111	32	6	3	2	24	29	0	16	1	.288	.415	.450	.865	.162	.366	21	18	.383	151	+8	+3	—	—	+4	1.5
2021	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	29	23	10	1	2	2	6	7	0	3	1	.435	.552	.913	1.465	.478	.571	24	21	.600	317	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2022	21	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	115	104	27	9	2	4	8	31	3	2	1	.260	.330	.500	.830	.240	.333	27	7	.363	136	+5	+0	+4	-6	+3	0.6
2022	21	AAA	Reno Aces	157	129	37	11	0	7	24	36	3	11	2	.287	.410	.535	.945	.248	.345	23	15	.413	174	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.9
2022	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	277	227	71	11	8	16	41	68	7	20	3	.313	.433	.643	1.076	.330	.379	25	15	.457	208	+34	+3	—	—	+8	4.5
2023	22	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	645	565	161	30	10	25	57	125	13	54	5	.285	.364	.506	.870	.221	.325	19	9	.377	146	+34	+9	-2	-7	+18	5.3
2024	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	684	589	136	22	14	22	73	130	10	35	8	.231	.326	.428	.754	.197	.256	19	11	.330	110	+8	+4	+5	+2	+19	3.9
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	642	564	146	32	17	31	67	153	7	32	6	.259	.345	.541	.886	.282	.299	24	10	.381	150	+36	+4	+5	-7	+18	5.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2086	1822	470	93	43	82	205	439	33	123	20	.258	.344	.491	.835	.233	.294	21	10	.362	135	+83	+17	+11	-17	+59	15.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Corbin Carroll (OGILVIE)	25	55	55	60	50	.261/.351/.503	.242	.283	27	38	18%	11%	144	+5.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Grady Sizemore 2009 · MLB	26	54→58	57→60	57→55	60	.276/.376/.494	.217	.314	23	24	19%	12%	151	+5.3	.249/.339/.437	.188	.289	20	18	20%	11%	122	+3.3	.231/.312/.404	.172	.278	17	11	22%	9%	99	+0.9
★Kyle Tucker 2022 · MLB	25	49→55	61→65	56→55	51	.261/.325/.493	.232	.285	29	19	20%	8%	131	+3.9	.270/.347/.500	.230	.280	29	21	16%	11%	141	+4.6	.277/.380/.508	.231	.285	28	25	15%	14%	146	+4.4
★Ronald Acuña Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	51→61	57→65	53→65	56	.262/.362/.463	.201	.317	25	28	24%	12%	138	+4.4	.293/.382/.498	.205	.328	26	40	18%	12%	155	+5.5	.302/.402/.523	.221	.333	28	42	17%	13%	165	+4.8
●Carlos González 2012 · MLB	26	57→63	58→65	56→55	49	.292/.352/.504	.211	.335	24	22	20%	8%	144	+4.8	.282/.347/.491	.209	.334	25	20	22%	9%	139	+4.4	.266/.329/.467	.201	.306	25	2	21%	8%	117	+2.8
★Carlos Beltrán 2004 · MLB	27	57→61	57→65	64→60	56	.290/.363/.503	.213	.316	24	31	17%	10%	148	+5.1	.272/.359/.501	.229	.285	27	27	15%	12%	146	+4.9	.274/.372/.529	.255	.282	31	20	16%	13%	149	+5.5
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	47→51	58→60	55→60	45	.247/.310/.458	.212	.304	26	24	28%	8%	116	+2.8	.250/.316/.451	.201	.310	27	31	27%	8%	117	+2.9	.248/.322/.446	.198	.304	27	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
★Alfonso Soriano 2003 · MLB	27	54→57	58→70	56→60	41	.280/.316/.488	.208	.318	25	33	21%	4%	127	+3.6	.283/.326/.506	.223	.311	28	26	19%	5%	135	+4.2	.279/.332/.539	.261	.303	34	27	20%	6%	139	+5.0
●José Ramírez 2019 · MLB	26	55→62	60→70	55→60	61	.287/.368/.522	.235	.287	25	22	11%	11%	155	+5.5	.267/.354/.519	.252	.267	30	24	14%	11%	149	+5.1	.275/.357/.508	.233	.275	27	22	12%	11%	132	+4.4
★Matt Kemp 2010 · MLB	25	59→65	53→65	58→55	47	.294/.343/.472	.178	.350	19	27	22%	7%	132	+4.0	.284/.348/.495	.211	.342	26	24	23%	9%	141	+4.5	.286/.357/.514	.227	.342	29	22	24%	9%	137	+4.4
★Mookie Betts 2019 · MLB	26	57→63	60→65	57→55	59	.296/.372/.524	.228	.302	26	23	13%	10%	157	+5.7	.285/.378/.510	.225	.301	26	18	15%	12%	156	+5.6	.285/.373/.529	.244	.294	29	14	15%	11%	156	+5.8
●Corey Hart 2008 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	57→55	47	.267/.324/.467	.200	.308	21	24	21%	7%	124	+3.4	.269/.321/.462	.193	.306	20	17	19%	6%	121	+3.2	.266/.331/.473	.207	.312	25	6	23%	8%	121	+3.2
●Fernando Tatis Jr. 2023 · MLB	24	50→54	70	55	52	.273/.355/.557	.284	.316	39	23	27%	11%	160	+5.9	.268/.339/.480	.212	.308	27	23	22%	9%	134	+4.1	.267/.346/.461	.194	.306	24	25	21%	10%	125	+3.4
★Preston Wilson 2001 · MLB	27	51→53	59→60	53→55	46	.262/.329/.475	.213	.325	26	27	28%	8%	128	+3.7	.264/.331/.478	.214	.311	27	22	23%	8%	130	+3.8	.265/.335/.486	.221	.302	28	18	22%	8%	130	+3.7
★Andrew McCutchen 2012 · MLB	25	55→65	52→60	56→55	59	.273/.358/.455	.182	.304	17	23	16%	11%	134	+4.1	.305/.390/.515	.210	.346	23	20	18%	11%	162	+6.0	.319/.406/.541	.223	.360	25	20	17%	12%	165	+6.9
●Nate McLouth 2009 · MLB	27	51→55	55→60	58→60	54	.261/.340/.460	.199	.284	21	22	16%	9%	128	+3.7	.242/.334/.413	.171	.267	19	18	17%	11%	114	+2.7	.223/.325/.366	.142	.250	16	16	17%	12%	93	+1.0
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	51→57	56→60	53→55	46	.260/.323/.454	.194	.317	23	23	26%	8%	120	+3.1	.250/.327/.433	.183	.337	23	17	31%	9%	116	+2.8	.240/.329/.428	.189	.325	25	14	32%	11%	113	+2.2
●Cody Bellinger 2020 · MLB	25	52→58	66→70	54→50	58	.280/.369/.549	.268	.311	34	14	22%	12%	163	+6.1	.237/.319/.441	.204	.268	26	12	22%	11%	115	+2.8	.281/.343/.473	.191	.300	24	14	15%	8%	127	+3.5
●Bo Bichette 2022 · MLB	24	57→65	55→60	54→55	45	.289/.334/.477	.188	.334	23	20	21%	6%	131	+3.9	.295/.336/.465	.170	.350	20	12	21%	6%	128	+3.7	.297/.339/.452	.155	.341	16	5	17%	6%	122	+2.8
★Hanley Ramirez 2008 · MLB	24	59→68	52→60	61→60	50	.297/.351/.482	.186	.329	17	36	16%	7%	138	+4.4	.310/.386/.521	.211	.344	24	30	16%	10%	163	+6.1	.310/.394/.513	.203	.342	24	29	16%	11%	151	+5.8
●Austin Meadows 2020 · MLB	25	51→56	58→65	51→55	48	.268/.324/.477	.209	.299	25	15	20%	7%	127	+3.6	.249/.324/.459	.210	.286	25	9	22%	9%	121	+3.2	.224/.311/.410	.186	.254	22	4	21%	10%	98	+0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)