Trea Turner — OGILVIE

Trea TurnerSS Philadelphia Phillies

Age 33 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 9.785 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION415 act + 276 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 139133vR 117

AVG/OBP/SLG.278 / .328 / .426

PA276

HR7

SB15

K%20

BB%6

BABIP330

ISO149

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 61 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT61

Whiff%

679.2%

xwOBA

540.314

POWER51

Barrel%

356.3

Avg EV

4989.0

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE56

Chase%

7526.9%

SPEED76

Sprint

9029.9

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1294 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

414

880

—

wRC+

134

122

◀L

wOBA

361

344

◀L

ISO

170

156

◀L

BABIP

328

337

—

16.2%

18.2%

◀L

BB%

7.7%

5.5%

◀◀L

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 9.785 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$11M	+1.0	$8M	-$3M
2027	Ext	$27M	+2.9	$22M	-$3M
2028	Ext	$27M	+1.9	$13M	-$9M
2029	Ext	$27M	+1.0	$6M	-$14M
2030	Ext	$27M	+0.2	$0.6M	-$17M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$120M		$50M	-$46M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$46M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	21	A	2 teams	—	252	227	62	11	2	3	20	83	3	21	3	273	340	379	719	106	415	33	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A	2 teams	—	252	222	83	14	2	4	25	56	3	21	3	374	444	509	953	135	485	22	10	421	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA	3 teams	—	544	506	147	19	8	8	30	127	0	31	8	291	330	407	737	117	370	23	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA	3 teams	—	544	494	155	25	7	9	42	109	0	31	8	314	368	447	815	134	383	20	8	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA	2 teams	—	695	655	194	34	17	18	34	155	1	58	8	296	332	482	814	186	362	22	5	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA	2 teams	—	695	638	205	36	16	19	51	131	1	58	8	321	372	517	890	196	378	19	7	387	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	447	412	117	24	6	11	30	80	4	46	8	284	339	451	790	167	329	18	7	345	122	+11	+6	+2	+5	+13	3.8
2017	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	447	412	117	24	6	11	30	80	4	46	8	284	339	451	790	167	329	18	7	349	125	+13	+6	+2	+5	+13	3.9
2018	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	740	664	180	27	6	19	69	132	5	43	9	271	344	416	760	145	314	18	9	333	113	+11	+5	+12	+8	+21	5.8
2018	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	740	664	180	27	6	19	69	132	5	43	9	271	344	416	760	145	314	18	9	340	118	+15	+5	+12	+8	+21	6.2
2019	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	569	521	155	37	5	19	43	113	3	35	5	298	354	497	852	200	348	20	8	367	139	+25	+5	+5	+6	+16	5.8
2019	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	569	521	155	37	5	19	43	113	3	35	5	298	354	497	852	200	348	20	8	373	144	+28	+5	+5	+6	+16	6.1
2020	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	259	233	78	15	4	12	22	36	2	12	4	335	397	588	985	253	353	14	8	420	180	+23	+1	-1	+3	+7	3.4
2020	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	259	233	78	15	4	12	22	36	2	12	4	335	397	588	985	253	353	14	8	425	183	+24	+1	-1	+3	+7	3.5
2021	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	646	595	202	36	3	30	41	110	6	32	5	339	388	561	949	222	375	17	6	404	167	+49	+4	+5	+7	+18	8.5
2021	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	646	595	195	34	3	28	41	110	6	32	5	328	377	536	913	208	362	17	6	398	163	+46	+4	+5	+7	+18	8.2
2022	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	708	654	200	41	4	22	45	131	3	27	3	306	353	482	835	176	351	19	6	361	134	+27	+4	+3	+8	+20	6.4
2022	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	708	652	194	39	4	21	45	131	3	27	3	298	345	466	811	169	342	19	6	355	130	+24	+4	+3	+8	+20	6.0
2023	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	691	639	167	34	5	25	45	150	6	30	0	261	316	448	764	186	305	22	7	332	112	+9	+6	+0	+7	+20	4.3
2023	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	691	639	170	35	5	26	45	150	6	30	0	266	320	459	779	192	310	22	7	343	121	+16	+6	+0	+7	+20	5.0
2024	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	539	505	146	24	0	20	27	98	6	19	4	289	333	455	788	166	325	18	5	347	123	+14	+2	+1	+6	+15	3.9
2024	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	539	505	149	25	0	21	27	98	6	19	4	295	338	469	808	174	331	18	5	357	131	+19	+2	+1	+6	+15	4.4
2025	32	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	639	589	176	30	7	14	43	107	5	36	7	299	352	445	796	146	345	17	7	350	126	+19	+4	+15	+7	+18	6.5
2025	32	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	639	589	179	31	7	15	43	107	5	36	7	304	356	457	813	153	350	17	7	360	134	+24	+4	+15	+7	+18	7.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	33	MLB	PHI	—	415	386	91	16	0	10	25	92	2	16	2	236	286	355	641	119	283	22	6	284	75	-12	+2	+0	+4	+12	0.7
YTD	33	MLB	PHI	—	415	386	91	16	0	10	25	92	2	16	2	236	286	355	641	119	283	22	6	287	78	-10	+2	+0	+4	+12	0.9
ROS	33	MLB	PHI	100%	276	255	71	13	2	7	17	56	2	15	2	278	328	426	754	149	329	20	6	335	115	+5	+2	+0	+3	+8	1.8
ROS	33	MLB	PHI	100%	277	256	72	13	2	8	17	57	2	15	2	281	331	441	772	160	331	21	6	333	113	+4	+2	+0	+3	+8	1.8
FULL	33	MLB	PHI	—	692	642	163	29	2	18	42	149	4	31	4	254	304	389	693	136	303	22	6	304	90	-7	+5	+1	+7	+20	2.5
TOT	33	MLB	PHI	—	691	641	162	29	2	17	42	148	4	31	4	252	302	383	686	131	302	21	6	304	91	-7	+5	+1	+7	+20	2.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	PHI	100%	511	472	132	24	4	13	31	108	3	20	3	280	328	430	758	150	332	21	6	332	113	+7	+3	-4	+5	+14	2.6
2028	35	MLB	PHI	100%	454	421	113	19	3	11	27	99	3	13	2	268	317	406	723	138	325	22	6	321	104	+2	+2	-5	+5	+13	1.7
2029	36	MLB	PHI	100%	393	365	95	15	3	9	23	89	2	7	1	260	308	392	699	132	317	23	6	308	94	-3	+1	-6	+4	+11	0.8
2030	37	MLB	PHI	100%	328	304	76	12	2	7	19	77	2	3	0	250	298	372	670	122	309	23	6	295	84	-6	+1	-6	+4	+9	0.1
2027	34	MLB	PHI	100%	511	472	133	24	4	13	31	108	3	20	3	282	330	432	762	150	335	21	6	330	111	+6	+3	-4	+5	+14	2.6
2028	35	MLB	PHI	100%	454	421	114	20	3	11	27	99	3	13	2	271	319	411	730	140	327	22	6	319	102	+1	+2	-5	+5	+13	1.6
2029	36	MLB	PHI	100%	393	365	96	16	3	9	23	89	2	7	1	263	310	397	708	134	319	23	6	306	93	-3	+1	-6	+4	+11	0.7
2030	37	MLB	PHI	100%	328	304	77	12	2	7	19	77	2	3	0	253	302	375	677	122	311	23	6	293	82	-7	+1	-6	+4	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7569	6975	2023	367	62	234	500	1458	53	373	61	290	342	461	803	171	337	19	7	352	128	+236	+50	+26	+82	+214	62.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	174	32	5	20	43	125	5	32	5	290	344	461	804	170	337	19	7	352	128	+20	+4	+2	+7	+18	5.3
Career	—			—	8691	8017	2311	415	81	248	566	1751	56	448	72	288	339	453	792	165	341	20	7	345	122	+215	+61	+26	+84	+246	64.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	173	31	6	19	42	131	4	34	5	288	339	455	794	167	340	20	6	345	122	+16	+5	+2	+6	+18	4.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	21	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	216	187	69	14	2	4	24	48	3	14	3	369	449	529	978	160	478	22	11	430	187	+21	+2	—	—	+6	3.0
2014	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	36	35	14	0	0	0	1	8	0	7	0	400	417	400	817		519	22	3	371	142	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2015	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	44	40	9	1	0	1	4	12	0	2	2	225	295	325	620	100	296	27	9	284	75	-1	-0	+0	+2	+1	0.2
2015	22	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	205	188	59	7	3	3	13	41	0	14	2	314	358	431	789	117	381	20	6	345	122	+5	+2	—	—	+6	1.3
2015	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	295	266	87	17	4	5	25	56	0	15	4	327	385	477	862	150	396	19	8	377	147	+16	+1	—	—	+8	2.6
2016	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	324	307	105	14	8	13	14	59	1	33	6	342	373	567	939	225	388	18	4	407	169	+25	+4	+5	+2	+9	4.7
2016	23	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	371	331	100	22	8	6	37	72	0	25	2	302	372	471	844	169	369	19	10	370	142	+17	+4	—	—	+11	3.3
2017	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	447	412	117	24	6	11	30	80	4	46	8	284	339	451	790	167	329	18	7	349	125	+13	+6	+2	+5	+13	3.9
2018	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	740	664	180	27	6	19	69	132	5	43	9	271	344	416	760	145	314	18	9	340	118	+15	+5	+12	+8	+21	6.2
2019	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	569	521	155	37	5	19	43	113	3	35	5	298	354	497	852	200	348	20	8	373	144	+28	+5	+5	+6	+16	6.1
2020	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	259	233	78	15	4	12	22	36	2	12	4	335	397	588	985	253	353	14	8	425	183	+24	+1	-1	+3	+7	3.5
2021	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	646	595	195	34	3	28	41	110	6	32	5	328	377	536	913	208	362	17	6	398	163	+46	+4	+5	+7	+18	8.2
2022	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	708	652	194	39	4	21	45	131	3	27	3	298	345	466	811	169	342	19	6	355	130	+24	+4	+3	+8	+20	6.0
2023	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	691	639	170	35	5	26	45	150	6	30	0	266	320	459	779	192	310	22	7	343	121	+16	+6	+0	+7	+20	5.0
2024	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	539	505	149	25	0	21	27	98	6	19	4	295	338	469	808	174	331	18	5	357	131	+19	+2	+1	+6	+15	4.4
2025	32	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	639	589	179	31	7	15	43	107	5	36	7	304	356	457	813	153	350	17	7	360	134	+24	+4	+15	+7	+18	7.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	5606	5157	1531	282	48	186	383	1028	41	315	53	297	350	478	829	182	339	18	7	364	137	+234	+42	+47	+61	+159	55.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jimmy Rollinslast yr '16 career totals — 17 seasons, 10,240 PA	17	10,240	231	470	264	324	418	+85	+140	66.8	55.5
	/162	664	15	30	264	324	418	+5.5	+9.1	4.3	pk7: 44
#2José Reyeslast yr '18 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,240 PA	16	8,240	145	517	283	334	427	+83	+62	56.0	48.2
	/162	664	12	42	283	334	427	+6.7	+5.0	4.5	pk7: 40
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	8,341	254	420	289	337	457	+77	+88	58.7	47.9
	/162	664	20	33	289	337	457	+6.2	+7.0	4.7	pk7: 37
#3Ian Kinslerlast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA	14	8,299	257	243	269	337	440	+30	+66	53.0	44.3
	/162	664	21	19	269	337	440	+2.4	+5.3	4.2	pk7: 36
#4Brandon Phillipslast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,896 PA	13	7,896	210	209	276	320	422	+28	+83	41.5	36.8
	/162	664	18	18	276	320	422	+2.4	+7.0	3.5	pk7: 32
#5Rafael Furcallast yr '12 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,200 PA	13	7,200	113	314	281	346	403	+51	+30	41.2	36.6
	/162	664	10	29	281	346	403	+4.7	+2.8	3.8	pk7: 32
#6Edgar Renterialast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,671 PA	12	6,671	117	168	286	344	409	+41	+45	38.1	34.4
	/162	664	12	17	286	344	409	+4.1	+4.4	3.8	pk7: 31

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trea Turner (OGILVIE)	33	61	51	76	56	252/302/383	131	302	17	31	21%	6%	91	+2.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Coco Crisp 2011 · MLB	31	55→59	47→50	66→65	56	270/340/419	149	298	13	39	14%	10%	117	+2.9	264/326/413	149	285	14	40	12%	9%	109	+2.4	256/335/413	157	270	16	29	12%	11%	110	+2.2
●Andres Torres 2010 · MLB	32	51→57	48→60	64→55	44	246/306/411	164	328	13	22	28%	7%	101	+1.8	251/326/420	169	320	13	23	24%	10%	111	+2.5	246/331/404	158	310	11	24	22%	11%	106	+1.8
●Donzell McDonald II 2008 · AAA	33	52→62	47→50	64→65	51	252/323/401	149	306	12	34	21%	9%	105	+2.1	271/334/417	146	338	11	23	21%	8%	114	+2.7	281/345/432	151	346	10	22	20%	8%	121	+2.5
✕Freddy Guzman 2014 · AAA	33	59→68	44→45	75→70	49	285/335/409	124	329	11	69	17%	7%	112	+2.6	256/306/354	98	307	8	51	18%	7%	85	+0.7	235/294/297	62	292	2	50	19%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Eric Byrnes 2008 · MLB	32	53→57	53→60	61→60	51	270/331/453	183	288	20	30	15%	7%	122	+3.3	241/300/407	166	257	17	21	14%	7%	98	+1.6	217/270/381	163	225	17	15	13%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Justin Greene 2019 · AAA	33	58→65	47→50	59→60	45	283/335/417	134	350	14	42	23%	7%	115	+2.7	256/303/391	135	333	15	21	26%	6%	95	+1.4	283/324/407	125	371	15	21	27%	6%	102	+0.5
✕Jarrod Dyson 2018 · MLB	33	54→58	41→45	65→70	52	257/325/367	109	291	7	43	14%	7%	98	+1.6	226/304/319	93	264	8	35	17%	10%	77	+0.1	208/290/287	79	251	6	40	18%	10%	60	-0.5
●Shane Victorino 2013 · MLB	32	53→60	49→55	63→60	55	263/330/424	161	279	14	28	12%	8%	115	+2.7	257/317/390	133	285	13	21	15%	6%	101	+1.8	255/314/374	119	287	12	20	15%	5%	93	+0.6
✕Rajai Davis 2016 · MLB	35	55→64	47→50	62→70	46	270/316/421	152	313	13	37	18%	6%	108	+2.3	244/299/374	130	299	12	41	21%	7%	89	+0.9	233/291/344	111	289	10	52	22%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Gilberto Mejia 2016 · AAA	33	57→64	41→45	64→65	45	272/324/384	113	322	6	40	17%	5%	101	+1.8	248/296/341	93	294	6	30	17%	5%	78	+0.2	248/294/321	72	294	4	31	16%	5%	68	-0.2
●Ichiro Suzuki 2007 · MLB	33	66→76	42→45	62→60	52	320/367/427	107	341	9	30	9%	7%	129	+3.7	327/372/420	93	358	7	29	10%	6%	130	+3.8	335/379/423	88	366	6	29	10%	6%	121	+3.9
●Kazuo Matsui 2008 · MLB	32	55→60	42→45	61→60	49	264/314/376	112	307	7	28	16%	7%	94	+1.3	253/308/362	109	293	8	23	16%	7%	89	+0.9	238/294/332	94	276	7	20	16%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Whit Merrifield 2022 · MLB	33	58→64	46→55	57→60	48	286/330/427	141	319	12	27	15%	6%	115	+2.8	258/310/378	120	294	11	23	16%	7%	94	+1.3	248/307/358	110	284	11	24	16%	7%	85	+0.6
✕Jacoby Ellsbury 2015 · MLB	31	55→65	45→55	64→65	52	271/327/403	132	301	12	37	15%	8%	108	+2.3	257/322/370	113	294	10	26	15%	8%	97	+1.5	252/323/356	103	290	8	25	15%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Ryan Freel 2007 · MLB	31	56→59	42→45	60→65	58	268/359/383	115	316	8	39	17%	11%	116	+2.8	256/326/357	101	303	7	27	17%	8%	95	+1.4	254/316/329	75	302	3	27	16%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Alex Rios 2014 · MLB	33	54→62	51→60	58→55	47	274/315/439	165	298	18	27	15%	6%	112	+2.6	266/304/394	128	311	10	20	17%	5%	95	+1.4	264/298/375	110	315	6	16	17%	4%	84	+0.5
●Jimmy Rollins 2010 · MLB	31	53→60	51→60	62→60	53	265/319/443	179	269	17	30	10%	7%	115	+2.8	251/316/399	148	260	15	26	10%	9%	102	+1.9	248/319/391	143	257	16	27	11%	9%	97	+1.5
●Ángel Pagán 2013 · MLB	32	58→65	45→55	61→60	52	280/333/420	140	315	9	28	14%	8%	114	+2.7	284/333/402	118	325	8	20	14%	7%	109	+2.4	285/333/390	105	324	8	17	14%	7%	103	+1.6
●Dave Roberts 2005 · MLB	33	54→61	40→45	69→65	58	252/332/350	98	278	6	50	12%	10%	95	+1.4	266/340/385	119	299	7	39	12%	10%	108	+2.3	270/344/385	115	307	5	41	12%	10%	105	+1.7
✕Alexis Gomez 2011 · AAA	32	56→61	53→55	60→55	46	283/328/456	173	320	22	34	19%	6%	122	+3.3	257/303/402	145	299	15	21	19%	6%	97	+1.5	251/294/377	126	290	8	13	16%	4%	85	+0.2