Trea Turner — OGILVIE

Trea TurnerSS Philadelphia Phillies

Age 33 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs MLB HR +11%H +4% Svc 9.785 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 3.6 · 2026

wRC+†vL 125107vR 103

AVG/OBP/SLG.289 / .341 / .449

PA559

HR16

SB24

K%18

BB%6

xwOBA.288

Barrel%3.8%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

45→45

SPD

60→60

EYE

43↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.0peak

2026

Contract

CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 9.785 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$27M	+3.6	$29M	+$2M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$27M	+3.3	$27M	-$0.1M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$27M	+2.5	$21M	-$6M
2029	Ext / FA-deal	$27M	+1.7	$15M	-$12M
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$27M	+0.9	$4M	-$23M
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$27M	+0.3	$1M	-$26M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$27M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$191M		$96M	-$95M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$95M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	21	A	2 teams	252	227	67	12	2	3	20	74	3	21	3	.295	.360	.405	.765	.110	.424	29	8	.337	116	+5	+3	+0	+3	+7	1.8
2015	22	AA	3 teams	544	506	146	20	7	8	30	130	0	31	8	.289	.328	.403	.732	.115	.370	24	6	.316	100	-0	+3	+0	+2	+15	2.1
2016	23	AAA	2 teams	695	653	200	34	20	18	36	151	1	58	8	.306	.343	.502	.846	.196	.373	22	5	.359	133	+26	+8	+5	+2	+20	6.3
2017	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	447	412	116	24	7	11	30	80	4	46	8	.282	.336	.454	.790	.172	.326	18	7	.346	123	+12	+6	+2	+5	+13	3.8
2018	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	740	664	180	24	7	19	69	132	5	43	9	.271	.344	.414	.758	.143	.314	18	9	.335	114	+12	+5	+12	+8	+21	5.9
2019	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	569	521	152	34	5	16	43	113	3	35	5	.292	.349	.468	.818	.177	.345	20	8	.355	130	+19	+5	+5	+6	+16	5.2
2020	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	259	233	81	14	4	13	22	36	2	12	4	.348	.409	.609	1.018	.262	.366	14	8	.424	182	+24	+1	-1	+3	+7	3.5
2021	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	646	595	194	34	2	23	41	110	6	32	5	.326	.375	.506	.881	.180	.367	17	6	.379	149	+35	+4	+5	+7	+18	7.1
2022	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	708	654	192	39	4	20	45	131	3	27	3	.294	.342	.457	.799	.164	.338	19	6	.348	125	+20	+4	+3	+8	+20	5.6
2023	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	691	639	167	35	5	24	45	150	6	30	0	.261	.316	.444	.760	.183	.307	22	7	.332	112	+9	+6	+0	+7	+20	4.3
2024	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	539	505	149	26	0	19	27	98	6	19	4	.295	.338	.459	.798	.164	.334	18	5	.345	122	+14	+2	+1	+6	+15	3.8
2025	32	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	639	589	174	32	7	14	43	107	5	36	7	.295	.349	.445	.793	.149	.340	17	7	.343	121	+15	+4	+15	+7	+18	6.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	33	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	111	102	23	5	0	2	9	21	0	3	0	.225	.288	.333	.622	.108	.266	19	8	.279	72	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.2
ROS	33	MLB	PHI	448	412	114	20	3	12	30	83	3	21	3	.277	.330	.427	.758	.150	.320	19	7	.337	116	+8	+3	+5	+5	+13	3.4
TOT	33	MLB	PHI	559	514	137	25	3	14	39	104	3	24	3	.267	.322	.409	.731	.142	.309	19	7	.326	107	+5	+4	+5	+6	+16	3.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	34	MLB	PHI	511	469	129	23	3	13	34	78	3	23	3	.275	.328	.420	.748	.145	.301	15	7	.330	111	+6	+3	+1	+5	+14	3.1
2028	35	MLB	PHI	454	418	112	19	3	11	30	74	3	20	2	.268	.322	.407	.728	.139	.299	16	7	.322	105	+2	+3	-0	+5	+13	2.3
2029	36	MLB	PHI	393	363	94	16	2	9	25	68	2	16	1	.259	.310	.388	.699	.129	.297	17	6	.313	98	-1	+3	-2	+4	+11	1.6
2030	37	MLB	PHI	328	302	77	13	2	7	21	60	2	13	1	.255	.308	.381	.688	.126	.293	18	6	.303	90	-4	+2	-3	+4	+9	0.8
2031	38	MLB	PHI	257	238	59	10	1	5	16	49	1	9	0	.248	.298	.361	.659	.113	.289	19	6	.292	81	-5	+2	-5	+3	+7	0.2
2032	39	MLB	PHI	183	169	40	6	1	3	11	36	1	6	0	.237	.287	.337	.625	.101	.284	20	6	.280	73	-6	+1	-6	+2	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9303	8569	2443	435	85	248	618	1760	59	498	74	.285	.337	.443	.780	.157	.332	19	7	.340	118	+192	+70	+36	+91	+264	66.6
/ 162G	—			650	599	170	30	6	17	43	123	4	35	5	.284	.336	.439	.775	.155	.331	19	7	.340	118	+13	+5	+3	+6	+18	4.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	21	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	216	187	69	14	2	4	24	48	3	14	3	.369	.449	.529	.978	.160	.478	22	11	.430	187	+21	+2	—	—	+6	3.0
2014	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	36	35	14	0	0	0	1	8	0	7	0	.400	.417	.400	.817	.000	.519	22	3	.371	142	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2015	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	44	40	9	1	0	1	4	12	0	2	2	.225	.295	.325	.620	.100	.296	27	9	.284	75	-1	-0	+0	+2	+1	0.2
2015	22	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	205	188	59	7	3	3	13	41	0	14	2	.314	.358	.431	.789	.117	.381	20	6	.345	122	+5	+2	—	—	+6	1.3
2015	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	295	266	87	17	4	5	25	56	0	15	4	.327	.385	.477	.862	.150	.396	19	8	.377	147	+16	+1	—	—	+8	2.6
2016	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	324	307	105	14	8	13	14	59	1	33	6	.342	.373	.567	.939	.225	.388	18	4	.407	169	+25	+4	+5	+2	+9	4.7
2016	23	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	371	331	100	22	8	6	37	72	0	25	2	.302	.372	.471	.844	.169	.369	19	10	.370	142	+17	+4	—	—	+11	3.3
2017	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	447	412	117	24	6	11	30	80	4	46	8	.284	.339	.451	.790	.167	.329	18	7	.349	125	+13	+6	+2	+5	+13	3.9
2018	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	740	664	180	27	6	19	69	132	5	43	9	.271	.344	.416	.760	.145	.314	18	9	.340	118	+15	+5	+12	+8	+21	6.2
2019	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	569	521	155	37	5	19	43	113	3	35	5	.298	.354	.497	.852	.200	.348	20	8	.373	144	+28	+5	+5	+6	+16	6.1
2020	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	259	233	78	15	4	12	22	36	2	12	4	.335	.397	.588	.985	.253	.353	14	8	.425	183	+24	+1	-1	+3	+7	3.5
2021	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	646	595	195	34	3	28	41	110	6	32	5	.328	.377	.536	.913	.208	.362	17	6	.398	163	+46	+4	+5	+7	+18	8.2
2022	29	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	708	652	194	39	4	21	45	131	3	27	3	.298	.345	.466	.811	.169	.342	19	6	.355	130	+24	+4	+3	+8	+20	6.0
2023	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	691	639	170	35	5	26	45	150	6	30	0	.266	.320	.459	.779	.192	.310	22	7	.343	121	+16	+6	+0	+7	+20	5.0
2024	31	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	539	505	149	25	0	21	27	98	6	19	4	.295	.338	.469	.808	.174	.331	18	5	.357	131	+19	+2	+1	+6	+15	4.4
2025	32	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	639	589	179	31	7	15	43	107	5	36	7	.304	.356	.457	.813	.153	.350	17	7	.360	134	+24	+4	+15	+7	+18	7.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			5606	5157	1531	282	48	186	383	1028	41	315	53	.297	.350	.478	.829	.182	.339	18	7	.364	137	+234	+42	+47	+61	+159	55.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trea Turner (OGILVIE)	33	55	45	60	40	.276/.330/.426	.150	.303	15	27	14%	7%	116	+2.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustin Murillo 2015 · AAA	33	56→61	50	56→55	51	.279/.340/.434	.155	.301	18	27	14%	7%	121	+3.2	.265/.317/.396	.131	.287	15	21	13%	6%	102	+1.8	.258/.308/.359	.101	.283	11	18	13%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Whit Merrifield 2022 · MLB	33	56→63	46→55	57→60	48	.276/.321/.414	.138	.308	13	25	15%	6%	108	+2.3	.263/.314/.383	.120	.300	11	24	16%	7%	97	+1.5	.258/.316/.370	.112	.296	11	24	16%	7%	92	+0.9
✕Shane Victorino 2014 · MLB	33	53→60	49→55	60	52	.263/.327/.417	.154	.280	15	25	13%	7%	111	+2.5	.246/.307/.363	.117	.277	11	18	15%	6%	89	+1.0	.227/.286/.301	.075	.268	5	15	16%	6%	60	-0.3
✕Eduardo Núñez 2018 · MLB	31	57→62	49→50	55→60	46	.285/.323/.438	.152	.306	17	30	13%	5%	115	+2.8	.257/.287/.383	.126	.281	14	16	14%	4%	85	+0.7	.240/.265/.344	.104	.265	11	10	14%	3%	64	-0.4
●Lorenzo Cain 2018 · MLB	32	59→66	48→50	56→55	50	.293/.351/.438	.145	.334	15	22	17%	8%	127	+3.6	.287/.359/.406	.119	.334	11	22	16%	9%	121	+3.2	.278/.354/.389	.111	.324	11	24	16%	10%	111	+2.2
✕Julio Lugo 2008 · MLB	32	54→62	43→45	56→60	54	.261/.323/.382	.121	.288	10	29	13%	8%	100	+1.7	.252/.320/.351	.099	.296	7	21	16%	9%	92	+1.2	.257/.330/.329	.072	.313	3	18	17%	9%	87	+0.4
✕Coco Crisp 2014 · MLB	34	52→59	50	61→65	56	.261/.326/.419	.159	.272	17	33	12%	9%	111	+2.5	.240/.319/.382	.142	.260	14	19	13%	11%	99	+1.7	.223/.305/.348	.125	.247	11	15	14%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Ryan Freel 2009 · MLB	33	55→59	41→45	54→65	52	.263/.332/.371	.109	.306	7	29	16%	8%	102	+1.8	.242/.313/.339	.097	.296	7	18	19%	8%	85	+0.7	.222/.313/.264	.042	.297	0	23	22%	10%	64	-0.2
✕Dustin Martin 2017 · AAA	33	56→63	50→55	56→55	46	.278/.333/.438	.160	.341	17	25	23%	7%	120	+3.1	.251/.317/.415	.164	.319	19	24	26%	8%	108	+2.3	.227/.306/.397	.171	.287	21	26	28%	10%	102	+1.4
★Roberto Alomar 2001 · MLB	33	58→66	50	59→55	56	.291/.360/.453	.162	.310	17	29	12%	9%	134	+4.1	.292/.365/.446	.154	.317	14	22	12%	10%	134	+4.1	.280/.356/.413	.133	.306	11	18	12%	10%	117	+3.1
✕Eric Byrnes 2008 · MLB	32	52→57	53→60	60	51	.266/.326/.448	.181	.284	20	28	15%	7%	119	+3.1	.244/.303/.413	.169	.260	18	22	14%	7%	101	+1.8	.217/.270/.381	.163	.225	17	15	13%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Terry Shumpert 2002 · MLB	35	53	49→50	58→55	51	.264/.328/.427	.163	.293	14	21	16%	8%	115	+2.7	.240/.310/.389	.149	.270	14	14	16%	8%	98	+1.6	.226/.299/.358	.132	.250	13	9	15%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Andres Torres 2011 · MLB	33	50→55	51→55	60→55	49	.248/.317/.427	.179	.314	16	25	25%	9%	109	+2.4	.233/.312/.370	.137	.296	10	20	23%	10%	93	+1.3	.225/.308/.332	.107	.288	6	19	22%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Alexei Ramirez 2015 · MLB	33	55→60	43→50	53→55	45	.268/.299/.384	.115	.290	10	21	12%	4%	91	+1.1	.255/.293/.369	.114	.278	10	15	12%	5%	84	+0.6	.248/.286/.348	.100	.271	8	13	12%	5%	70	-0.3
●Demond Smith 2007 · AAA	34	56→55	49→50	55→60	48	.275/.321/.440	.164	.301	15	24	14%	6%	115	+2.7	.262/.321/.414	.152	.295	14	34	16%	7%	108	+2.3	.260/.326/.403	.144	.295	13	41	16%	7%	105	+1.7
✕Ian Desmond 2019 · MLB	33	48→58	49→60	52→55	47	.243/.305/.386	.143	.294	17	19	24%	8%	95	+1.4	.236/.298/.410	.174	.286	20	11	24%	8%	98	+1.6	.238/.295/.432	.194	.287	22	4	25%	7%	99	+1.4
✕Rafael Furcal 2011 · MLB	33	59→62	45→50	55→60	56	.284/.351/.424	.140	.315	11	19	14%	9%	122	+3.3	.254/.319/.371	.117	.277	11	16	12%	8%	95	+1.4	.241/.305/.329	.088	.262	8	14	11%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Justin Greene 2019 · AAA	33	59→66	46→50	60	45	.286/.338/.418	.132	.354	14	42	22%	7%	116	+2.8	.255/.302/.386	.131	.332	14	22	26%	6%	92	+1.2	.271/.311/.387	.116	.357	14	21	27%	6%	91	+0.3
✕Kazuo Matsui 2009 · MLB	33	57→60	43→45	59→60	52	.272/.327/.393	.121	.311	8	28	15%	8%	105	+2.1	.240/.294/.340	.100	.280	8	19	16%	7%	77	+0.1	.221/.274/.300	.079	.260	7	16	17%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Brian Roberts 2011 · MLB	33	58→63	46→50	56→60	58	.282/.358/.431	.149	.322	11	26	16%	10%	128	+3.6	.244/.310/.368	.124	.276	11	16	15%	9%	92	+1.2	.228/.293/.344	.116	.258	10	8	16%	8%	75	+0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)