Zack Gelof2B Athletics
Age 26 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)
2026 ROS PROJECTION301 act + 200 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 4160vR 109
AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .317 / .448
PA200
HR8
SB8
K%29
BB%8
BABIP320
ISO199
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +13.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+14BATRUN: +4.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +14.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +3.40+3.4WAR
0.01.42.81.42.32.1+$26M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT30
Whiff%
3013.2%
xwOBA
180.271
POWER50
Barrel%
538.6
Avg EV
4889.0
Bat Spd
7574.0
EYE50
Chase%
9023.6%
SPEED55
Sprint
8428.8
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 648 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
151
497
wRC+
19
80
▶▶R
wOBA
211
290
▶▶R
ISO
090
158
▶▶R
BABIP
228
318
▶▶R
K%
40.4%
34.8%
R
BB%
9.9%
6.0%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-1$0.5M+1.4$11M+$10M
2027Arb-2$8M+2.3$17M+$10M
2028Arb-3$12M+2.1$14M+$5M
Totals $20M $42M +$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202121 AStockton Ports 145131 32714 12471 112 244312405717 160346 328 310 95
202121 AStockton Ports 145124 37817 19361 112 298396548944 250366 2513 410 172
202222 AA3 teams 529481 10616226 441892 143 220288424713 204299 368 307 93
202222 AA3 teams 529468 12320221 571412 143 263345449794 186331 2711 352 128
202323 AAA2 teams 608548 13934224 521895 347 254324454778 201341 319 334 114
202323 AAA2 teams 608533 15241226 671685 347 285370516886 231370 2811 387 155
202424 MLBOakland Athletics 547497 10821218 381884 253 217278376655 159304 347 283 75 -15 +4 +2 +2 +15 0.8
202424 MLBOakland Athletics 547497 10520217 381884 253 211273362635 151296 347 281 73 -17 +4 +2 +2 +15 0.7
202525 AAA2 teams 314276 511209 331120 132 185272326598 141264 3611 263 60
202525 AAA2 teams 314268 6113014 411000 132 228330433763 205297 3213 335 115
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD26 MLBOAK 301272 7614114 23714 111 279344493837 213332 248 360 134 +12 +2 +0 +1 +9 2.3
YTD26 MLBOAK 301268 7714115 27694 111 287361515876 228337 239 382 151 +17 +2 +0 +1 +9 2.9
ROS26 MLBOAK 100% 200180 451018 16582 81 249317448765 199312 298 328 109 +2 +1 +1 +1 +6 1.0
ROS26 MLBOAK 100% 201181 44918 16582 81 243312436748 193309 298 318 101 +0 +1 +1 +1 +6 0.9
FULL26 MLBOAK 502453 12023222 391296 192 265331470802 205323 268 343 121 +12 +3 +1 +2 +14 3.2
TOT26 MLBOAK 501452 12124222 391296 192 267334475809 208327 268 347 124 +14 +3 +1 +2 +14 3.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBOAK 82% 428386 9320117 351244 173 241311430741 189309 298 327 108 +4 +2 +1 +2 +12 2.2
202828 MLBOAK 82% 428385 9220116 361254 173 239311421731 182309 298 326 108 +4 +2 +0 +2 +12 2.0
202929 MLBOAK 82% 419377 9019116 351234 152 239310422732 183308 298 324 106 +3 +2 -0 +1 +12 1.9
203030 MLBOAK 82% 412370 8719115 351224 132 235308414722 178306 308 321 104 +2 +2 -1 +1 +12 1.6
203131 MLBOAK 82% 397357 8318114 331194 112 232305406711 174303 308 317 100 +0 +1 -2 +1 +11 1.3
203232 MLBOAK 82% 378340 7716113 321153 91 226299394693 168299 308 310 96 -2 +1 -2 +1 +11 0.9
203333 MLBOAK 82% 348313 7014112 291073 61 224296390685 166293 318 302 89 -4 +1 -3 +1 +10 0.5
203434 MLBOAK 77% 304274 5912110 25962 41 215286376662 161285 328 292 82 -6 +0 -4 +1 +9 -0.0
203535 MLBOAK 73% 252227 46908 21812 20 203276348624 145275 328 281 73 -8 +0 -5 +1 +7 -0.4
202727 MLBOAK 82% 351316 7516113 291023 142 237307418725 180306 298 317 100 +0 +2 +1 +1 +10 1.5
202828 MLBOAK 82% 351316 7516113 291023 142 237307418725 180306 298 316 100 -0 +2 +0 +1 +10 1.4
202929 MLBOAK 82% 344309 7416113 291013 122 239311424735 184305 298 314 98 -1 +2 -0 +1 +10 1.2
203030 MLBOAK 82% 338304 7115112 281003 112 234304408712 174303 308 311 96 -1 +1 -1 +1 +10 1.0
203131 MLBOAK 82% 326293 6814112 27983 91 232303410713 177300 308 307 93 -3 +1 -1 +1 +9 0.8
203232 MLBOAK 82% 310278 6313111 26943 71 227300399699 173296 308 301 88 -4 +1 -2 +1 +9 0.5
203333 MLBOAK 82% 285257 5812110 24882 51 226297397694 171290 318 293 82 -6 +1 -3 +1 +8 0.1
203434 MLBOAK 77% 236213 45908 19742 31 211282366648 155282 318 283 75 -7 +0 -3 +1 +7 -0.2
203535 MLBOAK 73% 184166 33606 15591 20 199269343613 145273 328 272 66 -7 +0 -4 +1 +5 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 38743492 79916911139 313119232 12520 229298403701 174302 318 304 91 -39 +17 -5 +16 +110 10.0
/ 162G 650586 13428223 532005 213 229298401699 172302 318 304 91 -7 +3 -1 +3 +18 1.7
Career 57095142 117824716210 476179544 19933 229300406706 177305 318 310 95 -31 +27 -9 +20 +162 17.3
/ 162G 650585 13428224 542045 234 229300407707 178305 318 310 95 -4 +3 -1 +2 +18 2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202121 AStockton Ports 145124 37817 19361 112 298396548944 250366 2513 410 172 +12 +1 +4 1.8
202222 AAALas Vegas Aviators 3835 9105 3110 10 2573167141.030 457211 298 434 190 +4 +0 +1 0.5
202222 AAMidland RockHounds 402354 9616213 471100 92 271357438794 167358 2712 354 129 +13 +1 +11 2.6
202222 INTLMesa Solar Sox 8979 18303 7202 41 228307380687 152263 228 307 93 -1 +0 +3 0.2
202323 MLBOakland Athletics 300270 7220114 26823 142 267338504841 237331 279 368 139 +13 +2 +3 +2 +8 2.9
202323 AAALas Vegas Aviators 308263 8021112 41862 205 304402529930 224410 2813 407 169 +24 +2 +9 3.6
202424 MLBOakland Athletics 547497 10520217 381884 253 211273362635 151296 347 281 73 -17 +4 +2 +2 +15 0.7
202525 MLBAthletics 10192 16302 7460 12 174232272504 98311 467 226 31 -8 -1 +2 +1 +3 -0.3
202525 AAALas Vegas Aviators 213176 4510012 34540 120 256376517893 261292 2516 387 154 +13 +2 +6 2.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 948859 19343333 713167 407 225289397686 172309 337 302 90 -11 +5 +7 +5 +27 3.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chris Younglast yr '18
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA
135,316191142235314428-0+321.320.7
/1626642418-0.0+0.42.7pk7: 20
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA
104,42417870230288422+16+3215.215.0
/1626642711+2.4+4.92.3pk7: 15
#3Kevin Pillarlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA
114,353114108256294407+9+1612.612.4
/1626641716+1.4+2.51.9pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons
124,269154142231297407+15+2313.112.1
/1626642422+2.4+3.62.0pk7: 11
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#5Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA
112,8717942226302380+10+168.18.5
/1626641810+2.3+3.71.9pk7: 9
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Zack Gelof (OGILVIE) 26 30 50 55 50 267/334/475 208327 2219 26% 8% 124 +3.4
Trevor Story
2019 · MLB
26 44→49 57→60 53→55 45 232/298/434 201292 2417 29% 8% 105 +2.1 241/312/434 193297 2221 26% 9% 111 +2.5 234/312/421187284212325%9%104+1.7
Peyton Burdick
2023 · MLB
26 35→32 51→55 50 44 187/277/350 163274 1912 37% 9% 75 -0.0 186/266/343 157299 1912 42% 8% 69 -0.4 165/248/320156268211244%8%53-1.0
Stone Garrett
2023 · MLB
27 38→37 56→55 53→50 35 214/252/400 187277 2517 33% 4% 77 +0.1 219/282/362 143318 1610 34% 7% 79 +0.3 222/301/34111833712534%9%79+0.1
Justin Maxwell
2009 · MLB
25 42→44 54→60 55→60 44 221/289/403 182280 2323 30% 8% 93 +1.3 218/297/368 150319 1729 34% 9% 87 +0.8 223/297/433210304271734%9%101+0.9
Nick Hundley
2010 · MLB
26 42→46 51→55 48→40 46 222/280/383 161266 195 25% 7% 84 +0.6 240/302/397 157301 164 24% 8% 96 +1.5 241/291/40916829818125%6%89+0.5
Kevin Smith
2022 · MLB
26 38→43 54→55 53→50 40 206/264/388 182272 2217 33% 7% 79 +0.3 206/253/347 141293 1715 35% 5% 63 -0.9 197/240/321124286161536%5%48-1.2
Michael Helman
2023 · AAA
27 40→41 52→55 57→55 45 217/276/382 165258 2126 26% 7% 82 +0.5 223/280/386 163269 2022 25% 6% 85 +0.7 215/273/387171253202023%6%79+0.1
Chris Young
2010 · MLB
26 45→49 54→60 51→55 51 234/311/430 196283 2115 25% 10% 108 +2.3 238/324/422 184283 2019 22% 11% 112 +2.6 236/326/419183275212122%11%109+2.2
Stuart Fairchild
2022 · MLB
26 44→42 51→50 51→55 46 225/296/386 161279 1812 26% 8% 91 +1.1 222/301/376 154297 1717 30% 7% 92 +1.2 220/316/365145284152626%9%92+0.7
Andrew Navigato
2023 · AA
25 40→38 51→60 49→50 42 213/277/371 158262 2014 27% 6% 80 +0.4 223/279/416 193277 2415 28% 6% 92 +1.2 217/275/424208268261730%6%89+0.7
Jake Rogers
2021 · MLB
26 38→40 52→60 49→45 43 202/278/367 165273 215 33% 8% 79 +0.3 237/301/444 207322 277 33% 8% 108 +2.3 221/284/43521428029232%7%97+0.7
Blake Tekotte
2012 · MLB
25 44→48 53→55 53→55 44 228/293/405 176290 2124 29% 8% 95 +1.4 199/253/331 132275 1316 31% 6% 59 -1.1 189/253/30511625691028%6%49-0.9
Josh VanMeter
2021 · MLB
26 44→47 53→55 50 48 228/296/403 176270 2015 24% 8% 96 +1.5 218/309/381 163277 189 26% 11% 95 +1.4 205/310/36315726018727%13%89+0.4
Jonny DeLuca
2023 · AA
25 40→38 58→60 56→55 46 219/283/421 202243 2615 23% 7% 95 +1.4 228/293/391 163266 1819 21% 7% 92 +1.2 228/294/377150266162321%7%85+0.3
Sean Bouchard
2023 · MLB
27 43→41 54→55 52→50 50 221/307/408 188288 2113 30% 10% 102 +1.8 208/299/363 155294 1715 32% 10% 87 +0.8 177/275/304127268131636%10%59-0.5
Drew Ellis
2022 · MLB
26 39→37 55 45→40 48 212/303/403 192269 233 30% 10% 99 +1.7 199/289/371 172258 196 29% 10% 85 +0.7 181/276/34516323019629%11%71-0.2
Kyle Datres
2023 · AA
27 41→40 50 56→55 43 212/287/361 149289 1823 32% 8% 82 +0.5 205/283/343 138285 1721 32% 8% 76 +0.0 187/271/314127259162133%9%61-0.4
Korey Lee
2023 · MLB
25 39→44 52→50 52→50 39 209/261/373 164281 2111 33% 6% 73 -0.1 212/254/333 121296 1412 32% 5% 59 -1.1 208/257/348140277171131%5%62-0.5
Rylan Bannon
2023 · MLB
27 37→42 49→50 52→50 48 196/278/340 144250 1812 29% 9% 72 -0.2 207/297/365 158271 1913 29% 11% 87 +0.8 195/295/355161251201230%12%82+0.4
Ryan Cordell
2018 · AAA
26 41→42 50 51→50 40 214/262/365 151274 1814 29% 6% 71 -0.3 204/254/325 121278 1312 30% 6% 57 -1.2 179/233/303124254151335%6%41-1.0