Sean BouchardRF Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 30 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA
wRC+†vL 4849vR 53
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .281 / .327
PA350
HR9
SB9
K%32
BB%10
ISO140
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT30
Whiff%
3113.1%
xwOBA
190.272
POWER35
Barrel%
356.2
Avg EV
4889.0
Bat Spd
6472.8
EYE60
Chase%
7626.6%
SPEED45
Sprint
3626.8
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 181 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
86
95
wRC+
48
54
R
wOBA
248
255
R
ISO
079
113
▶▶R
BABIP
271
264
K%
32.6%
33.7%
L
BB%
9.3%
11.6%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-2$0.2M
2027Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $0.0M $-3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201822 AAsheville Tourists 515475 872029 291737 229 183241291531 107263 346 233 37
201822 AAsheville Tourists 515463 11934214 411287 229 257327430757 173323 258 334 114
201923 A+Lancaster JetHawks 391355 631817 271523 84 177242293535 115279 397 236 39
201923 A+Lancaster JetHawks 391349 10228213 331023 84 292358496854 203372 268 370 142
202125 AAHartford Yard Goats 381353 7323313 221254 84 207261399661 193276 336 281 73
202125 AAHartford Yard Goats 381342 9130314 331014 84 266338494832 228336 279 363 136
202226 AAA2 teams 409343 7515416 561165 122 219337426762 207273 2814 331 112
202226 AAA2 teams 409334 10021623 65955 122 2994216051.026 305348 2316 437 193
202327 INTL4 teams 239205 43808 30753 81 210319366685 156285 3113 298 86
202327 INTL4 teams 239201 4410010 34623 81 219340418758 199262 2614 340 118
202428 AAA2 teams 316279 581538 28966 92 208294369663 161282 309 290 80
202428 AAA2 teams 316270 7519612 37806 92 278377526903 248350 2512 391 158
202529 AAA2 teams 373326 46726 411595 113 141247230477 89247 4311 226 31
202529 AAA2 teams 373310 6811310 571185 113 219349371720 152317 3215 330 111
▸ 2026 Season
202630 MLBCOL 350307 581129 351135 92 189282326608 137262 3210 278 71 -11 +1 -1 -4 +10 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731 MLBCOL 27% 336295 551029 341104 72 186279325605 139258 3310 274 68 -12 +1 -4 -4 +10 -0.9
202731 MLBCOL 27% 9282 17313 9301 21 207293378672 171279 3310 283 75 -3 +0 -1 -1 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 413351 7918212 531294 73 225333390724 165313 3113 320 103 +1 +0 -5 -15 +12 -0.8
/ 162G 650552 12428319 832036 115 225332389721 165312 3113 320 103 +2 +0 -8 -24 +18 -1.2
Career 33102938 5581271985 302111942 9429 190275333608 143269 349 269 64 -134 +7 -9 -35 +94 -7.8
/ 162G 650577 11025417 592208 186 191275336611 146270 349 269 64 -26 +1 -2 -7 +18 -1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201822 AAsheville Tourists 515463 11934214 411287 229 257327430757 173323 258 334 114 +8 +1 +15 2.4
201923 A+Lancaster JetHawks 391349 10228213 331023 84 292358496854 203372 268 370 142 +18 +0 +11 3.0
202125 AAHartford Yard Goats 381342 9130314 331014 84 266338494832 228336 279 363 136 +15 +0 +11 2.7
202226 MLBColorado Rockies 9774 22603 21251 00 297458500958 203404 2622 424 182 +9 +0 -1 -4 +3 0.7
202226 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 312260 7815620 44704 122 3004096351.044 335333 2214 441 196 +34 +2 +9 4.5
202327 MLBColorado Rockies 4338 12204 4140 01 3163816841.065 368381 339 444 198 +5 -0 +1 -3 +1 0.4
202327 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 7154 12201 17140 50 222408315723 93282 2024 347 124 +2 +1 +2 0.5
202327 A+Spokane Indians 1918 6201 051 00 333368611980 278417 260 426 184 +2 +0 +1 0.2
202327 INTLNaranjeros de Hermosillo 10691 14404 13292 30 154274330603 176172 2712 278 71 -4 +1 +3 0.0
202428 MLBColorado Rockies 10891 17701 12332 40 187295297592 110271 3111 269 64 -4 +1 -3 -3 +3 -0.7
202428 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 208179 5812611 25474 52 3244186421.061 318388 2312 455 206 +25 +0 +6 3.2
202529 MLBColorado Rockies 7366 11011 7270 11 167247242489 76263 3710 229 34 -5 -0 -2 -4 +2 -1.0
202529 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 300244 571129 50915 102 234375406780 172331 3017 354 129 +10 +1 +8 2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 321269 621519 44993 52 230345394739 164321 3114 330 111 +4 +0 -4 -14 +9 -0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
340588207317339-4-50.20.3
/1626641413-7.1-7.80.3pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Sean Bouchard (OGILVIE) 30 30 35 45 60 188/281/327 139262 99 32% 10% 71 -0.2
David Matranga
2007 · AAA
30 37 45 47→50 42 193/259/309 116250 139 28% 6% 56 -1.3 213/284/337 124283 1411 28% 7% 73 -0.1 212/294/33412228413928%8%75+0.0
Justin Leone
2007 · MLB
30 41 47→50 43→55 46 210/282/340 130272 156 28% 8% 73 -0.1 204/283/350 146267 1616 29% 9% 77 +0.1 187/272/333146244161929%10%67-0.4
Jaylin Davis
2023 · MLB
29 39→45 48→50 44→45 41 200/272/339 139292 167 36% 8% 69 -0.4 206/284/353 147310 178 36% 8% 79 +0.3 175/274/33616126319338%10%67-0.3
Zack Short
2023 · MLB
28 37→38 46→50 46→45 51 190/285/315 126261 139 31% 11% 69 -0.4 190/284/317 127263 1410 31% 11% 69 -0.4 173/272/29912623415831%11%58-0.7
Brandon Hicks
2016 · MLB
30 37→41 46→50 46→50 41 185/262/309 123286 145 38% 8% 57 -1.2 196/262/312 116334 1310 42% 7% 57 -1.2 165/231/25894300121246%7%28-1.7
Webster Rivas
2021 · AAA
30 44 44→45 48→40 43 222/274/335 113279 126 25% 6% 68 -0.5 220/294/317 97294 94 26% 9% 72 -0.2 212/297/295822867126%10%65-0.3
Ryan Cordell
2021 · MLB
29 42 45→50 49→50 41 213/268/337 124286 1311 30% 6% 66 -0.6 208/271/377 169328 2214 41% 7% 79 +0.3 153/218/323171234271847%6%41-0.9
Brandon Macias
2019 · AAA
30 39→49 46→40 44→45 40 204/262/330 126271 157 30% 6% 63 -0.9 216/271/319 103292 118 29% 5% 63 -0.9 199/255/265662708228%5%40-1.0
Michael Pérez
2023 · MLB
30 33 49→50 45→40 46 184/255/323 140226 184 28% 8% 58 -1.2 193/267/322 129258 164 30% 8% 63 -0.8 168/248/28211422714032%8%43-0.9
Brett Carroll
2013 · MLB
30 42→45 48→55 47→50 43 215/278/354 140275 1511 28% 7% 76 +0.0 206/271/344 138287 1710 33% 7% 70 -0.3 181/260/337157237231134%8%60-0.5
Matt Skole
2019 · AAA
30 35→40 46→50 46→40 43 188/251/315 127246 144 30% 7% 53 -1.5 199/271/328 129281 155 32% 9% 66 -0.6 180/265/31012925316034%10%59-0.9
Eric Stamets
2022 · MLB
30 36→46 43→45 54→50 41 184/246/294 109250 1113 30% 6% 46 -2.0 193/261/313 120273 1313 33% 6% 58 -1.2 153/230/258105221121635%6%28-1.2
Josh Prince
2018 · AA
30 44→49 43→40 50→60 43 217/274/327 110290 1115 28% 7% 66 -0.6 231/299/344 113331 1114 31% 8% 81 +0.4 233/308/333101337101531%10%79+0.2
Antonio Perez
2009 · MLB
29 41 44→45 45→55 44 204/280/325 120279 119 30% 8% 69 -0.4 209/267/319 110254 1012 21% 7% 61 -1.0 166/222/2457920141019%6%22-0.9
Tyler Saladino
2019 · MLB
30 45→47 43→45 50→55 46 220/285/327 107284 1116 26% 8% 71 -0.3 219/288/382 163284 2014 29% 8% 87 +0.8 199/271/381183248241430%8%76+0.1
Adam Fox
2011 · AAA
29 39→44 47→50 49→45 40 202/251/335 133253 169 27% 5% 59 -1.1 204/249/337 133259 149 26% 5% 58 -1.2 184/221/32714322414625%4%39-1.1
D.J. Peterson
2022 · AAA
30 42→46 47→55 50→40 38 212/264/344 132290 1511 32% 5% 67 -0.5 203/278/360 157286 197 34% 8% 77 +0.1 165/252/32115622321135%8%54-0.9
Jonathan Davis
2022 · MLB
30 40→50 44→45 52→55 48 198/302/313 116269 1119 29% 9% 77 +0.1 225/308/344 119307 1122 28% 9% 85 +0.7 224/306/341117313112229%9%81+0.2
Brandon Larson
2005 · MLB
29 42 47→50 46→45 52 212/300/344 133268 159 26% 10% 82 +0.5 229/286/389 160293 206 28% 6% 88 +0.9 222/268/38115928022429%5%75+0.0
Clint Coulter
2023 · AAA
30 42 52→50 43→40 40 221/279/389 168272 215 27% 5% 85 +0.7 222/289/359 137266 149 22% 6% 82 +0.5 204/282/32211924111920%6%66-0.3