Jonny DeLuca
RF Tampa Bay Rays| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAATB | 25 | .300/.440/.650 | 2 | 1 | 138 | — | .238/.360/.429 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBTB | 362 | .217/.278/.331 | 6 | 16 | 69 | -0.3 | |
| 2025 | 27 | AAATB | 56 | .120/.214/.140 | 0 | 0 | -14 | — | .115/.179/.135 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBTB | 59 | .333/.356/.456 | 0 | 6 | 117 | 0.5 | |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBTB | 370 | .266/.300/.429 | 11 | 17 | 103 | 0.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBTB | 240 | .236/.287/.367 | 5 | 15 | 82 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 30 | MLBTB | 203 | .234/.283/.360 | 4 | 11 | 79 | -0.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Mota | — | 114 | 99 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 273 | 351 | 384 | 735 | 111 | 277 | 6 | 7 | 325 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 182 | 164 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 232 | 308 | 421 | 728 | 189 | 254 | 19 | 8 | 324 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 255 | 223 | 64 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 48 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 287 | 376 | 592 | 968 | 305 | 306 | 19 | 12 | 418 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 119 | 104 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 298 | 365 | 606 | 971 | 308 | 293 | 14 | 7 | 404 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 321 | 277 | 68 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 37 | 56 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 245 | 345 | 516 | 861 | 271 | 244 | 17 | 12 | 374 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 45 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 311 | 429 | 740 | 167 | 281 | 18 | 7 | 328 | 109 | +1 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 184 | 157 | 48 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 306 | 401 | 548 | 949 | 242 | 333 | 16 | 11 | 411 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 142 | 122 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 279 | 380 | 590 | 970 | 311 | 279 | 18 | 10 | 421 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 362 | 332 | 72 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 77 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 217 | 278 | 331 | 609 | 114 | 265 | 21 | 7 | 274 | 69 | -13 | +1 | +6 | -4 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 25 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 440 | 650 | 1.090 | 350 | 235 | 4 | 16 | 467 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 59 | 57 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 333 | 356 | 456 | 812 | 123 | 432 | 22 | 3 | 358 | 117 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 56 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 214 | 140 | 354 | 20 | 154 | 20 | 9 | 179 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 370 | 350 | 93 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 78 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 266 | 300 | 429 | 728 | 163 | 314 | 21 | 5 | 319 | 103 | +1 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 562 | 455 | 1.017 | 91 | 444 | 12 | 25 | 470 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 836 | 781 | 195 | 38 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 176 | 4 | 40 | 12 | 250 | 295 | 389 | 684 | 140 | 300 | 21 | 6 | 303 | 91 | -9 | +3 | +7 | -12 | +18 | 0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers Mota | — | 114 | 102 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 206 | 270 | 284 | 555 | 78 | 206 | 9 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 182 | 169 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 183 | 242 | 331 | 573 | 148 | 218 | 26 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 255 | 233 | 51 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 64 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 219 | 286 | 446 | 733 | 227 | 248 | 25 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 119 | 106 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 274 | 330 | 538 | 868 | 264 | 271 | 18 | 5 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 321 | 289 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 69 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 187 | 263 | 384 | 647 | 197 | 194 | 21 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 45 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 311 | 429 | 740 | 167 | 281 | 18 | 7 | 330 | 109 | +1 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 184 | 163 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 270 | 346 | 460 | 806 | 190 | 302 | 19 | 8 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 142 | 126 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 222 | 310 | 444 | 754 | 222 | 243 | 22 | 7 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 362 | 333 | 71 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 77 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 213 | 272 | 327 | 600 | 114 | 265 | 21 | 6 | 271 | 69 | -13 | +1 | +6 | -4 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 25 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 360 | 429 | 789 | 190 | 211 | 4 | 12 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 59 | 57 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 333 | 356 | 456 | 812 | 123 | 432 | 22 | 3 | 342 | 117 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 56 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 179 | 135 | 313 | 19 | 143 | 21 | 5 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 370 | 350 | 93 | 25 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 78 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 266 | 300 | 431 | 731 | 166 | 314 | 21 | 5 | 320 | 103 | +1 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 500 | 417 | 917 | 83 | 399 | 12 | 19 | 399 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers Mota | — | 114 | 102 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 206 | 270 | 284 | 555 | 78 | 213 | 9 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers Mota | — | 114 | 99 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 273 | 351 | 384 | 735 | 111 | 277 | 6 | 7 | 325 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 402 | 83 | 16 | 4 | 18 | 31 | 111 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 206 | 270 | 400 | 671 | 194 | 238 | 25 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 437 | 387 | 102 | 23 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 83 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 264 | 348 | 519 | 867 | 256 | 284 | 19 | 11 | 379 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 395 | 85 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 31 | 90 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 215 | 286 | 433 | 719 | 218 | 225 | 20 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 440 | 381 | 99 | 22 | 5 | 25 | 45 | 73 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 260 | 350 | 541 | 891 | 281 | 258 | 17 | 10 | 382 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 371 | 331 | 84 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 74 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 254 | 331 | 453 | 784 | 199 | 286 | 20 | 8 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 371 | 321 | 93 | 22 | 2 | 19 | 38 | 63 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 290 | 382 | 548 | 930 | 259 | 307 | 17 | 10 | 405 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 387 | 354 | 77 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 78 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 218 | 281 | 345 | 625 | 127 | 257 | 20 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -12 | +1 | +6 | -4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 387 | 352 | 78 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 78 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 222 | 288 | 349 | 638 | 128 | 263 | 20 | 7 | 287 | 74 | -12 | +1 | +6 | -4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 115 | 109 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 220 | 261 | 294 | 554 | 73 | 286 | 22 | 4 | 247 | 53 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 115 | 107 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 234 | 287 | 308 | 595 | 75 | 301 | 21 | 6 | 271 | 53 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 386 | 362 | 96 | 25 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 80 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 265 | 305 | 425 | 731 | 160 | 314 | 21 | 5 | 323 | 105 | +2 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 386 | 361 | 97 | 25 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 80 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 269 | 311 | 429 | 740 | 161 | 319 | 21 | 5 | 325 | 105 | +2 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers Mota | — | 114 | 104 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 202 | 270 | 279 | 549 | 77 | 206 | 9 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 399 | 83 | 16 | 4 | 18 | 31 | 111 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 208 | 270 | 404 | 674 | 195 | 236 | 25 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 398 | 85 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 31 | 90 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 214 | 286 | 430 | 715 | 216 | 215 | 20 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 371 | 330 | 84 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 74 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 255 | 331 | 455 | 785 | 200 | 277 | 20 | 8 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 387 | 353 | 77 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 78 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 218 | 281 | 346 | 626 | 127 | 262 | 20 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 115 | 108 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 222 | 261 | 296 | 557 | 74 | 291 | 22 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 386 | 362 | 96 | 25 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 80 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 265 | 305 | 425 | 731 | 160 | 318 | 21 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 387 | 353 | 77 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 78 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 218 | 281 | 346 | 626 | 127 | 262 | 20 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 115 | 108 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 222 | 261 | 296 | 557 | 74 | 291 | 22 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 386 | 362 | 96 | 25 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 80 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 265 | 305 | 425 | 731 | 160 | 318 | 21 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | TB | 100% | 323 | 299 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 68 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 235 | 285 | 368 | 653 | 133 | 277 | 21 | 6 | 290 | 82 | -7 | +3 | +2 | -3 | +7 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | TB | 100% | 240 | 223 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 50 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 236 | 287 | 367 | 654 | 131 | 280 | 21 | 6 | 291 | 82 | -5 | +2 | +2 | -3 | +5 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | TB | 82% | 248 | 230 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 53 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 232 | 281 | 360 | 642 | 129 | 276 | 21 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -6 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | TB | 82% | 203 | 188 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 234 | 283 | 360 | 643 | 126 | 279 | 21 | 6 | 286 | 79 | -5 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1039 | 969 | 239 | 47 | 8 | 23 | 58 | 219 | 5 | 51 | 14 | 247 | 293 | 383 | 676 | 136 | 297 | 21 | 6 | 300 | 87 | -14 | +5 | +7 | -14 | +23 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 606 | 149 | 29 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 137 | 3 | 32 | 9 | 246 | 291 | 380 | 671 | 134 | 296 | 21 | 6 | 300 | 87 | -9 | +3 | +4 | -9 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2738 | 2508 | 576 | 119 | 20 | 83 | 175 | 571 | 35 | 127 | 21 | 230 | 289 | 392 | 682 | 163 | 264 | 21 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -20 | +7 | +8 | -17 | +29 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 137 | 28 | 5 | 20 | 42 | 136 | 8 | 30 | 5 | 230 | 290 | 395 | 685 | 165 | 265 | 21 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -10 | +4 | +4 | -8 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAADurham Bulls · 16 PAwOBA .460 → .399 (−62)K% 12.5% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 17.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 5.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 30.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 9.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .460 → .399; ISO .091 → .083; BABIP .444 → .399. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAADurham Bulls · 56 PAwOBA .175 → .147 (−28)K% 19.6% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.64% | ÷1.057 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.93% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.82% | ÷0.956 | ×0.930 | ×0.966 | ×1.003 | 12.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×1.003 | 2.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.380 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 91, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 111, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .175 → .147; ISO .020 → .017; BABIP .154 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAADurham Bulls · 25 PAwOBA .455 → .372 (−83)K% 4.0% → 4.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.014 | ×1.200 | — | — | 4.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 11.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 15.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 7.07% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .455 → .372; ISO .350 → .256; BABIP .235 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 184 PAwOBA .403 → .346 (−57)K% 15.8% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.76% | ÷1.003 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.87% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.31% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×1.033 | 19.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.16% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.033 | 8.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.033 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.47% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.93% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .403 → .346; ISO .242 → .195; BABIP .333 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AATulsa Drillers · 142 PAwOBA .409 → .330 (−79)K% 18.3% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.31% | ÷1.023 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.86% | ÷0.973 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.23% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 3.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 15.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.942 | ×0.840 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 7.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.980 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.42% | ÷1.083 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 7.68% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .409 → .330; ISO .311 → .238; BABIP .279 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Great Lakes Loons · 321 PAwOBA .364 → .285 (−79)K% 17.4% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.45% | ÷1.033 | ×1.270 | — | — | 21.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.90% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.03% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 11.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 5.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.14% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 6.36% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .364 → .285; ISO .271 → .212; BABIP .244 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AATulsa Drillers · 119 PAwOBA .399 → .353 (−46)K% 14.3% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.971 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.72% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.52% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.39% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 18.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.75% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 4.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 2.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.05% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.56% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 91, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .399 → .353; ISO .308 → .260; BABIP .293 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 255 PAwOBA .405 → .311 (−94)K% 18.8% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.82% | ÷1.015 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 8.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.57% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×0.990 | 14.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.71% | ÷1.166 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | ×0.990 | 6.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.71% | ÷0.960 | ×0.910 | ×0.959 | ×0.990 | 1.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.965 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 7.04% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 93, 2B 133, 3B 92, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .405 → .311; ISO .305 → .233; BABIP .306 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).