Michael Harris II
CF Atlanta Braves| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAAATL | 26 | .435/.500/.565 | 1 | 0 | 179 | — | .400/.423/.520 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLBATL | 470 | .264/.306/.418 | 16 | 10 | 101 | 1.8 | |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBATL | 641 | .249/.271/.409 | 20 | 20 | 84 | 1.0 | |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBATL | 621 | .294/.323/.491 | 26 | 12 | 125 | 3.8 | |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBATL | 568 | .279/.307/.471 | 24 | 14 | 115 | 3.0 | |
| 2028PROJ | 27 | MLBATL | 580 | .278/.306/.469 | 24 | 13 | 115 | 2.9 | |
| 2029PROJ | 28 | MLBATL | 561 | .276/.304/.464 | 23 | 11 | 113 | 2.6 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 18 | A | Rome Braves | — | 93 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 183 | 272 | 232 | 503 | 49 | 246 | 24 | 10 | 237 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | — | 119 | 109 | 38 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 349 | 403 | 514 | 917 | 165 | 414 | 17 | 8 | 405 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 420 | 374 | 110 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 76 | 7 | 27 | 4 | 294 | 365 | 436 | 801 | 142 | 349 | 18 | 8 | 356 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 441 | 414 | 123 | 27 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 107 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 297 | 339 | 514 | 853 | 217 | 361 | 24 | 5 | 373 | 138 | +20 | +3 | +5 | +2 | +10 | 4.1 |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 196 | 174 | 53 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 305 | 376 | 506 | 882 | 201 | 364 | 20 | 9 | 385 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 539 | 505 | 148 | 33 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 101 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 293 | 333 | 477 | 810 | 184 | 334 | 19 | 5 | 354 | 125 | +16 | +2 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 470 | 440 | 116 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 94 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 264 | 306 | 418 | 724 | 155 | 300 | 20 | 5 | 320 | 101 | +1 | -0 | +5 | +2 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 26 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 435 | 500 | 565 | 1.065 | 130 | 474 | 12 | 12 | 474 | 179 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 641 | 611 | 152 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 128 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 249 | 271 | 409 | 681 | 160 | 281 | 20 | 2 | 294 | 84 | -12 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 621 | 591 | 174 | 36 | 1 | 26 | 23 | 119 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 294 | 323 | 491 | 814 | 196 | 330 | 19 | 4 | 354 | 125 | +19 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 3.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2712 | 2561 | 713 | 136 | 16 | 99 | 108 | 549 | 19 | 82 | 21 | 278 | 312 | 460 | 772 | 182 | 318 | 20 | 4 | 337 | 114 | +46 | +8 | +21 | +10 | +59 | 14.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 18 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 93 | 85 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 153 | 217 | 188 | 406 | 35 | 229 | 31 | 6 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 119 | 112 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 259 | 303 | 384 | 686 | 125 | 335 | 24 | 5 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 420 | 386 | 103 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 107 | 7 | 27 | 4 | 267 | 320 | 396 | 716 | 130 | 341 | 25 | 5 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 441 | 414 | 123 | 27 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 107 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 297 | 339 | 514 | 853 | 217 | 361 | 24 | 5 | 373 | 138 | +20 | +3 | +5 | +2 | +10 | 4.1 |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 196 | 179 | 50 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 279 | 335 | 453 | 788 | 173 | 355 | 24 | 6 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 539 | 506 | 148 | 33 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 101 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 292 | 331 | 476 | 807 | 184 | 334 | 19 | 4 | 353 | 125 | +16 | +2 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 470 | 441 | 116 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 94 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 263 | 304 | 417 | 721 | 154 | 300 | 20 | 5 | 318 | 101 | +1 | -0 | +5 | +2 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 26 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 423 | 520 | 943 | 120 | 468 | 15 | 4 | 433 | 179 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 641 | 612 | 152 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 128 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 248 | 270 | 408 | 678 | 160 | 281 | 20 | 2 | 293 | 84 | -12 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 621 | 592 | 174 | 36 | 1 | 26 | 22 | 119 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 294 | 321 | 490 | 811 | 196 | 330 | 19 | 4 | 353 | 125 | +19 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 3.8 |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 212 | 197 | 43 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 58 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 218 | 270 | 310 | 580 | 91 | 297 | 27 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 212 | 191 | 53 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 277 | 346 | 393 | 739 | 115 | 345 | 20 | 8 | 331 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 420 | 386 | 103 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 107 | 7 | 27 | 4 | 267 | 320 | 396 | 716 | 130 | 348 | 25 | 5 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ RAW | Rome Braves | — | 420 | 374 | 110 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 76 | 7 | 27 | 4 | 294 | 365 | 436 | 801 | 142 | 349 | 18 | 8 | 356 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 637 | 593 | 173 | 42 | 5 | 23 | 33 | 155 | 8 | 31 | 5 | 292 | 338 | 496 | 833 | 204 | 360 | 24 | 5 | 365 | 133 | +25 | +4 | +5 | +2 | +14 | 5.2 |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 637 | 588 | 176 | 43 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 146 | 8 | 31 | 5 | 299 | 350 | 512 | 862 | 213 | 362 | 23 | 6 | 376 | 133 | +25 | +4 | +5 | +2 | +14 | 5.2 |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 539 | 506 | 148 | 33 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 101 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 292 | 331 | 476 | 807 | 184 | 333 | 19 | 4 | 353 | 125 | +16 | +2 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB RAW | Atlanta Braves | — | 539 | 505 | 148 | 33 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 101 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 293 | 333 | 477 | 810 | 184 | 334 | 19 | 5 | 354 | 125 | +16 | +2 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 496 | 466 | 126 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 98 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 270 | 310 | 423 | 733 | 152 | 308 | 20 | 5 | 324 | 106 | +3 | -0 | +5 | +2 | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 496 | 463 | 126 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 97 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 272 | 316 | 425 | 742 | 153 | 310 | 20 | 5 | 328 | 106 | +3 | -0 | +5 | +2 | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 641 | 612 | 152 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 128 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 248 | 270 | 408 | 678 | 160 | 280 | 20 | 2 | 293 | 84 | -12 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB RAW | Atlanta Braves | — | 641 | 611 | 152 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 128 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 249 | 271 | 409 | 681 | 160 | 281 | 20 | 2 | 294 | 84 | -12 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 621 | 592 | 174 | 36 | 1 | 26 | 22 | 119 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 294 | 321 | 490 | 811 | 196 | 329 | 19 | 4 | 353 | 125 | +19 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB RAW | Atlanta Braves | — | 621 | 591 | 174 | 36 | 1 | 26 | 23 | 119 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 294 | 323 | 491 | 814 | 196 | 330 | 19 | 4 | 354 | 125 | +19 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 3.8 |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 212 | 196 | 43 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 58 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 219 | 270 | 311 | 581 | 92 | 289 | 27 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 420 | 387 | 103 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 107 | 7 | 27 | 4 | 266 | 320 | 395 | 715 | 129 | 341 | 25 | 5 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 637 | 591 | 173 | 42 | 5 | 23 | 33 | 155 | 8 | 31 | 5 | 293 | 338 | 497 | 835 | 205 | 359 | 24 | 5 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 539 | 505 | 148 | 33 | 3 | 18 | 24 | 101 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 293 | 331 | 477 | 808 | 184 | 334 | 19 | 4 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 496 | 466 | 126 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 98 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 270 | 310 | 423 | 733 | 152 | 309 | 20 | 5 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 641 | 618 | 152 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 128 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 246 | 270 | 405 | 674 | 159 | 281 | 20 | 2 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 621 | 592 | 174 | 36 | 1 | 26 | 22 | 119 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 294 | 321 | 490 | 811 | 196 | 330 | 19 | 4 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 496 | 466 | 126 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 98 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 270 | 310 | 423 | 733 | 152 | 309 | 20 | 5 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 641 | 618 | 152 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 128 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 246 | 270 | 405 | 674 | 159 | 281 | 20 | 2 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 621 | 592 | 174 | 36 | 1 | 26 | 22 | 119 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 294 | 321 | 490 | 811 | 196 | 330 | 19 | 4 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | ATL | 100% | 595 | 566 | 159 | 29 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 116 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 279 | 307 | 471 | 778 | 192 | 309 | 19 | 4 | 339 | 115 | +11 | +2 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | ATL | 100% | 568 | 541 | 150 | 27 | 2 | 24 | 20 | 111 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 279 | 307 | 471 | 778 | 192 | 309 | 20 | 4 | 339 | 115 | +10 | +2 | +3 | +2 | +12 | 3.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 100% | 580 | 553 | 153 | 28 | 2 | 24 | 20 | 114 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 278 | 306 | 469 | 775 | 191 | 309 | 20 | 3 | 337 | 115 | +10 | +1 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 2.9 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 100% | 561 | 535 | 148 | 27 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 112 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 276 | 304 | 464 | 769 | 188 | 308 | 20 | 3 | 335 | 113 | +9 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | ATL | 100% | 545 | 519 | 143 | 26 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 110 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 274 | 302 | 459 | 761 | 185 | 307 | 20 | 3 | 331 | 110 | +7 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 2.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | ATL | 100% | 530 | 505 | 138 | 25 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 109 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 271 | 298 | 451 | 750 | 180 | 306 | 21 | 3 | 327 | 107 | +5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB MLE | ATL | 100% | 515 | 492 | 133 | 24 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 108 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 293 | 442 | 735 | 175 | 303 | 21 | 3 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +11 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB MLE | ATL | 100% | 501 | 479 | 125 | 22 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 107 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 286 | 429 | 715 | 167 | 299 | 21 | 3 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB MLE | ATL | 100% | 445 | 428 | 108 | 19 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 98 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 254 | 278 | 412 | 690 | 158 | 293 | 22 | 3 | 302 | 90 | -5 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB MLE | ATL | 100% | 386 | 372 | 92 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 88 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 267 | 392 | 660 | 147 | 286 | 23 | 3 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 100% | 580 | 553 | 153 | 28 | 2 | 24 | 20 | 114 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 278 | 306 | 469 | 775 | 191 | 309 | 20 | 3 | 337 | 115 | +10 | +1 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 2.9 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 100% | 561 | 535 | 148 | 27 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 112 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 276 | 304 | 464 | 769 | 188 | 308 | 20 | 3 | 335 | 113 | +9 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | ATL | 100% | 545 | 519 | 143 | 26 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 110 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 274 | 302 | 459 | 761 | 185 | 307 | 20 | 3 | 331 | 110 | +7 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 2.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | ATL | 100% | 530 | 505 | 138 | 25 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 109 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 271 | 298 | 451 | 750 | 180 | 306 | 21 | 3 | 327 | 107 | +5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB CTX | ATL | 100% | 515 | 492 | 133 | 24 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 108 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 293 | 442 | 735 | 175 | 303 | 21 | 3 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +11 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB CTX | ATL | 100% | 501 | 479 | 125 | 22 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 107 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 286 | 429 | 715 | 167 | 299 | 21 | 3 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB CTX | ATL | 100% | 445 | 428 | 108 | 19 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 98 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 254 | 278 | 412 | 690 | 158 | 293 | 22 | 3 | 302 | 90 | -5 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB CTX | ATL | 100% | 386 | 372 | 92 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 88 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 267 | 392 | 660 | 147 | 286 | 23 | 3 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 6775 | 6444 | 1753 | 322 | 30 | 255 | 241 | 1395 | 30 | 127 | 34 | 272 | 301 | 450 | 751 | 178 | 310 | 21 | 4 | 327 | 107 | +63 | +12 | +22 | +25 | +147 | 27.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 618 | 168 | 31 | 3 | 24 | 23 | 134 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 272 | 301 | 448 | 749 | 176 | 310 | 21 | 4 | 327 | 107 | +6 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8197 | 7776 | 2109 | 393 | 40 | 293 | 305 | 1723 | 44 | 187 | 46 | 271 | 303 | 445 | 748 | 174 | 313 | 21 | 4 | 326 | 107 | +73 | +13 | +24 | +27 | +159 | 30.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 617 | 167 | 31 | 3 | 23 | 24 | 137 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 271 | 301 | 442 | 744 | 172 | 312 | 21 | 4 | 326 | 107 | +6 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 26 PAwOBA .452 → .433 (−20)K% 11.5% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.54% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 45.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 45.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .452 → .433; ISO .130 → .103; BABIP .474 → .468. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMississippi Braves · 196 PAwOBA .378 → .347 (−31)K% 19.9% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.67% | ÷0.985 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 6.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 21.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.85% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 11.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.927 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .378 → .347; ISO .201 → .189; BABIP .364 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Rome Braves · 420 PAwOBA .346 → .311 (−35)K% 18.1% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.10% | ÷0.957 | ×1.350 | — | — | 25.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.38% | ÷0.991 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.83% | ÷1.001 | ×0.910 | ×1.049 | ×1.042 | 24.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.72% | ÷0.982 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×1.042 | 8.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.049 | ×1.042 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷0.864 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 2.35% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 91, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .346 → .311; ISO .142 → .130; BABIP .349 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Braves · 119 PAwOBA .394 → .291 (−103)K% 16.8% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 4.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 25.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 1.79% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .394 → .291; ISO .165 → .118; BABIP .414 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ARome Braves · 93 PAwOBA .234 → .192 (−43)K% 23.7% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.66% | ÷1.001 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷0.982 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.050 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.050 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 19.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.080 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.050 | 2.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.851 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .234 → .192; ISO .049 → .038; BABIP .246 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).