Eddie Rosario
LF Indios de Mayaguez| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 31 | MLBATL | 516 | .255/.306/.450 | 21 | 3 | 109 | 1.0 | ||
| 2024 | 32 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 137 | .189/.243/.323 | 2 | 3 | 41 | — | .122/.143/.317 | |
| 2024 | 32 | MLBATL | 319 | .175/.217/.316 | 10 | 9 | 44 | -2.5 | ||
| 2025 | 33 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 306 | .262/.339/.393 | 5 | 14 | 78 | — | .257/.313/.390 | |
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2027PROJMLE | 35 | MLBMIL | 259 | .231/.283/.387 | 8 | 7 | 86 | 0.0 | ||
| 2028PROJ | 36 | MLBMIL | 119 | .217/.267/.360 | 3 | 2 | 75 | -0.8 | ||
Tools · Splits · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 213 | 194 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 294 | 348 | 438 | 786 | 144 | 317 | 13 | 8 | 345 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 49 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 213 | 245 | 255 | 500 | 43 | 263 | 18 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | — | 298 | 270 | 91 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 60 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 337 | 397 | 670 | 1.068 | 333 | 370 | 20 | 9 | 455 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 48 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 312 | 286 | 598 | 71 | 237 | 8 | 10 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 429 | 392 | 116 | 32 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 69 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 296 | 349 | 490 | 839 | 194 | 329 | 16 | 7 | 365 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 20 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 400 | 684 | 1.084 | 316 | 375 | 10 | 5 | 467 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 145 | 133 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 338 | 389 | 496 | 885 | 158 | 398 | 19 | 8 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 313 | 289 | 82 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 67 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 284 | 332 | 412 | 744 | 128 | 355 | 21 | 7 | 329 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 231 | 207 | 68 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 329 | 385 | 527 | 912 | 198 | 350 | 13 | 7 | 391 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 226 | 206 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 199 | 257 | 301 | 558 | 102 | 231 | 19 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 336 | 316 | 75 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 68 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 237 | 278 | 396 | 674 | 158 | 277 | 20 | 5 | 296 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 34 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 382 | 300 | 682 | 360 | 15 | 12 | 322 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 22 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 110 | 100 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 330 | 362 | 410 | 772 | 80 | 384 | 17 | 5 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 474 | 453 | 121 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 118 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 267 | 291 | 459 | 750 | 192 | 332 | 25 | 3 | 322 | 101 | +1 | -0 | +5 | -6 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 100 | 95 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 280 | 379 | 659 | 137 | 267 | 17 | 5 | 293 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 354 | 335 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 91 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 269 | 298 | 421 | 719 | 152 | 338 | 26 | 3 | 313 | 95 | -2 | +0 | +2 | -6 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 169 | 160 | 51 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 319 | 347 | 537 | 885 | 219 | 338 | 15 | 4 | 382 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 50 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 224 | 159 | 384 | 23 | 162 | 16 | 10 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 589 | 542 | 157 | 33 | 2 | 27 | 35 | 106 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 290 | 333 | 507 | 840 | 218 | 312 | 18 | 6 | 360 | 129 | +20 | -1 | -5 | -6 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 592 | 559 | 161 | 31 | 2 | 24 | 30 | 104 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 288 | 324 | 479 | 804 | 191 | 316 | 18 | 5 | 351 | 120 | +14 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 590 | 562 | 155 | 28 | 1 | 32 | 22 | 86 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 276 | 303 | 500 | 803 | 224 | 273 | 15 | 4 | 347 | 119 | +13 | +0 | -11 | -6 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 231 | 210 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 319 | 476 | 795 | 219 | 248 | 15 | 8 | 347 | 116 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 412 | 379 | 98 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 61 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 259 | 308 | 435 | 743 | 177 | 273 | 15 | 6 | 324 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -3 | -5 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 53 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 226 | 471 | 697 | 275 | 146 | 11 | 4 | 300 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 270 | 250 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 68 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 212 | 262 | 328 | 590 | 116 | 267 | 25 | 6 | 263 | 64 | -12 | +1 | -6 | -3 | +6 | -1.5 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 37 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 351 | 333 | 685 | 61 | 409 | 30 | 11 | 316 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 516 | 478 | 122 | 24 | 3 | 21 | 34 | 122 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 255 | 306 | 450 | 756 | 195 | 300 | 24 | 7 | 331 | 109 | +6 | -1 | -0 | -6 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | — | 319 | 297 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 77 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 175 | 217 | 316 | 534 | 141 | 196 | 24 | 5 | 234 | 44 | -21 | +1 | -7 | -5 | +7 | -2.5 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 42 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 150 | 190 | 425 | 615 | 275 | 138 | 21 | 5 | 261 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 95 | 87 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 207 | 266 | 276 | 542 | 69 | 250 | 17 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 152 | 128 | 40 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 33 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 312 | 401 | 492 | 894 | 180 | 375 | 22 | 12 | 384 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 154 | 139 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 216 | 278 | 302 | 580 | 86 | 274 | 21 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 4347 | 4065 | 1063 | 201 | 29 | 169 | 226 | 867 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 262 | 301 | 450 | 751 | 188 | 292 | 20 | 5 | 326 | 107 | +36 | +2 | -30 | -52 | +94 | 5.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 213 | 200 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 235 | 271 | 340 | 611 | 105 | 266 | 19 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 298 | 281 | 70 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 85 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 249 | 290 | 484 | 774 | 235 | 300 | 29 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 429 | 401 | 105 | 26 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 93 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 262 | 302 | 409 | 711 | 147 | 313 | 22 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 20 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 526 | 826 | 263 | 280 | 15 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 313 | 296 | 77 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 80 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 260 | 294 | 378 | 672 | 118 | 336 | 26 | 4 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 231 | 212 | 58 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 274 | 319 | 434 | 753 | 160 | 308 | 18 | 5 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | New Britain Rock Cats | — | 336 | 323 | 71 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 84 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 220 | 246 | 356 | 602 | 136 | 270 | 25 | 3 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 34 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 324 | 258 | 582 | 320 | 21 | 9 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 23 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 474 | 456 | 121 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 118 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 265 | 284 | 456 | 740 | 191 | 332 | 25 | 3 | 318 | 101 | +1 | -0 | +5 | -6 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2015 | 23 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 100 | 96 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 260 | 365 | 625 | 135 | 251 | 20 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 354 | 337 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 91 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 267 | 292 | 418 | 711 | 151 | 338 | 26 | 3 | 309 | 95 | -2 | +0 | +2 | -6 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 169 | 163 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 276 | 293 | 448 | 741 | 172 | 299 | 18 | 2 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 589 | 543 | 157 | 33 | 2 | 27 | 34 | 106 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 289 | 331 | 506 | 837 | 217 | 312 | 18 | 6 | 359 | 129 | +20 | -1 | -5 | -6 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 592 | 564 | 161 | 31 | 2 | 24 | 25 | 104 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 285 | 316 | 475 | 791 | 190 | 316 | 18 | 4 | 345 | 120 | +14 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 590 | 564 | 155 | 28 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 86 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 275 | 300 | 498 | 798 | 223 | 273 | 15 | 3 | 344 | 119 | +13 | +0 | -11 | -6 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 231 | 212 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 17 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 310 | 472 | 782 | 217 | 248 | 15 | 7 | 340 | 116 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 412 | 379 | 98 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 61 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 259 | 308 | 435 | 743 | 177 | 273 | 15 | 6 | 324 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -3 | -5 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 53 | 52 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 151 | 327 | 478 | 192 | 115 | 13 | 2 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 270 | 250 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 68 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 212 | 262 | 328 | 590 | 116 | 267 | 25 | 6 | 263 | 64 | -12 | +1 | -6 | -3 | +6 | -1.5 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 37 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 297 | 294 | 591 | 59 | 355 | 35 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 516 | 479 | 122 | 24 | 3 | 21 | 33 | 122 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 255 | 304 | 449 | 753 | 194 | 300 | 24 | 6 | 330 | 109 | +6 | -1 | -0 | -6 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 319 | 297 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 77 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 175 | 217 | 316 | 534 | 141 | 196 | 24 | 5 | 234 | 44 | -21 | +1 | -7 | -5 | +7 | -2.5 |
| 2024 | 32 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 42 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 122 | 143 | 317 | 460 | 195 | 125 | 26 | 2 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 152 | 136 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 257 | 313 | 390 | 703 | 132 | 312 | 26 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 262 | 247 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 50 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 235 | 270 | 344 | 614 | 109 | 272 | 19 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 262 | 241 | 67 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 37 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 278 | 328 | 402 | 731 | 124 | 307 | 14 | 7 | 323 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 326 | 80 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 99 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 245 | 287 | 475 | 762 | 230 | 297 | 29 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 346 | 312 | 100 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 32 | 64 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 321 | 386 | 619 | 1.004 | 298 | 348 | 18 | 9 | 431 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 594 | 557 | 147 | 38 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 126 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 264 | 303 | 417 | 719 | 153 | 316 | 21 | 5 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 594 | 544 | 168 | 44 | 4 | 17 | 43 | 98 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 309 | 361 | 498 | 859 | 189 | 347 | 16 | 7 | 374 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 770 | 718 | 193 | 39 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 173 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 269 | 307 | 408 | 715 | 139 | 333 | 22 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 770 | 702 | 191 | 37 | 10 | 14 | 53 | 140 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 272 | 326 | 413 | 739 | 141 | 318 | 18 | 7 | 324 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 480 | 455 | 101 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 118 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 222 | 252 | 341 | 592 | 119 | 277 | 25 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 480 | 446 | 117 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 92 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 262 | 304 | 392 | 697 | 130 | 309 | 19 | 5 | 306 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 552 | 143 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 138 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 259 | 280 | 440 | 720 | 181 | 317 | 24 | 3 | 307 | 94 | -4 | -0 | +5 | -6 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2015 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 574 | 548 | 144 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 135 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 263 | 289 | 445 | 734 | 182 | 320 | 24 | 3 | 317 | 94 | -4 | -0 | +5 | -6 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 573 | 547 | 148 | 29 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 132 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 271 | 294 | 430 | 723 | 159 | 323 | 23 | 3 | 314 | 98 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -6 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 573 | 539 | 147 | 32 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 124 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 273 | 306 | 434 | 740 | 161 | 322 | 22 | 4 | 322 | 98 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -6 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 589 | 543 | 157 | 33 | 2 | 27 | 34 | 106 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 289 | 331 | 506 | 837 | 217 | 311 | 18 | 6 | 359 | 129 | +20 | -1 | -5 | -6 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | — | 589 | 542 | 157 | 33 | 2 | 27 | 35 | 106 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 290 | 333 | 507 | 840 | 218 | 312 | 18 | 6 | 360 | 129 | +20 | -1 | -5 | -6 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 592 | 564 | 161 | 31 | 2 | 24 | 25 | 104 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 285 | 316 | 475 | 791 | 190 | 313 | 18 | 4 | 345 | 120 | +14 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | — | 592 | 559 | 161 | 31 | 2 | 24 | 30 | 104 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 288 | 324 | 479 | 804 | 191 | 316 | 18 | 5 | 351 | 120 | +14 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 590 | 564 | 155 | 28 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 86 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 275 | 300 | 498 | 798 | 223 | 272 | 15 | 3 | 344 | 119 | +13 | +0 | -11 | -6 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | — | 590 | 562 | 155 | 28 | 1 | 32 | 22 | 86 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 276 | 303 | 500 | 803 | 224 | 273 | 15 | 4 | 347 | 119 | +13 | +0 | -11 | -6 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 231 | 212 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 17 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 310 | 472 | 782 | 217 | 246 | 15 | 7 | 340 | 116 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | — | 231 | 210 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 319 | 476 | 795 | 219 | 248 | 15 | 8 | 347 | 116 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 465 | 431 | 105 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 27 | 68 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 244 | 290 | 422 | 712 | 179 | 251 | 15 | 6 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -3 | -5 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 465 | 430 | 108 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 28 | 67 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 251 | 298 | 440 | 738 | 188 | 258 | 14 | 6 | 321 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -3 | -5 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 284 | 61 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 81 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 215 | 266 | 324 | 590 | 109 | 279 | 26 | 7 | 261 | 62 | -14 | +1 | -6 | -3 | +7 | -1.7 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 307 | 283 | 62 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 79 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 219 | 273 | 329 | 602 | 110 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 269 | 62 | -14 | +1 | -6 | -3 | +7 | -1.7 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 516 | 479 | 122 | 24 | 3 | 21 | 33 | 122 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 255 | 304 | 449 | 753 | 194 | 299 | 24 | 6 | 330 | 109 | +6 | -1 | -0 | -6 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB RAW | Atlanta Braves | — | 516 | 478 | 122 | 24 | 3 | 21 | 34 | 122 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 255 | 306 | 450 | 756 | 195 | 300 | 24 | 7 | 331 | 109 | +6 | -1 | -0 | -6 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 456 | 426 | 71 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 111 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 167 | 209 | 312 | 522 | 146 | 186 | 24 | 5 | 229 | 41 | -32 | +2 | -7 | -5 | +10 | -3.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 456 | 424 | 76 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 102 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 179 | 225 | 318 | 543 | 139 | 203 | 22 | 5 | 239 | 41 | -32 | +2 | -7 | -5 | +10 | -3.3 |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 306 | 276 | 71 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 79 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 257 | 312 | 380 | 693 | 123 | 333 | 26 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 306 | 267 | 70 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 66 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 262 | 339 | 393 | 732 | 131 | 322 | 22 | 10 | 322 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 262 | 248 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 50 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 234 | 270 | 343 | 613 | 109 | 266 | 19 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 324 | 80 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 99 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 247 | 287 | 478 | 765 | 231 | 300 | 29 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 594 | 558 | 147 | 38 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 126 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 263 | 303 | 416 | 718 | 152 | 312 | 21 | 5 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 770 | 724 | 193 | 39 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 173 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 267 | 307 | 405 | 712 | 138 | 324 | 22 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 480 | 459 | 101 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 118 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 220 | 252 | 338 | 589 | 118 | 275 | 25 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 574 | 553 | 143 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 138 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 259 | 280 | 439 | 719 | 181 | 318 | 24 | 3 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 573 | 550 | 148 | 29 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 132 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 269 | 294 | 427 | 721 | 158 | 325 | 23 | 3 | 314 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 589 | 550 | 157 | 33 | 2 | 27 | 34 | 106 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 285 | 331 | 500 | 831 | 215 | 312 | 18 | 6 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 592 | 562 | 161 | 31 | 2 | 24 | 25 | 104 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 286 | 316 | 477 | 793 | 190 | 316 | 18 | 4 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 590 | 565 | 155 | 28 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 86 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 274 | 300 | 497 | 797 | 223 | 273 | 15 | 3 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 231 | 212 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 17 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 310 | 472 | 782 | 217 | 248 | 15 | 7 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 465 | 434 | 105 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 27 | 68 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 242 | 290 | 419 | 709 | 177 | 255 | 15 | 6 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 284 | 61 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 81 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 215 | 266 | 324 | 590 | 109 | 277 | 26 | 7 | 261 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | — | 516 | 477 | 122 | 24 | 3 | 21 | 33 | 122 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 256 | 304 | 451 | 755 | 195 | 300 | 24 | 6 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 456 | 430 | 71 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 111 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 165 | 209 | 309 | 519 | 144 | 188 | 24 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 306 | 281 | 71 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 79 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 253 | 312 | 374 | 686 | 121 | 312 | 26 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 456 | 430 | 71 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 111 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 165 | 209 | 309 | 519 | 144 | 188 | 24 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 33 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 306 | 281 | 71 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 79 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 253 | 312 | 374 | 686 | 121 | 312 | 26 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB MLE | MIL | 0% | 259 | 240 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 62 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 231 | 283 | 387 | 670 | 156 | 277 | 24 | 6 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 36 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 119 | 111 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 269 | 361 | 630 | 142 | 267 | 25 | 6 | 279 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -6 | -1 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 119 | 111 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 267 | 360 | 627 | 143 | 262 | 25 | 6 | 278 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -6 | -1 | +3 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4466 | 4176 | 1087 | 206 | 30 | 172 | 233 | 897 | 4 | 67 | 29 | 260 | 300 | 448 | 748 | 187 | 291 | 20 | 5 | 325 | 95 | +32 | +2 | -36 | -54 | +97 | 4.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 608 | 158 | 30 | 4 | 25 | 34 | 131 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 260 | 301 | 446 | 746 | 186 | 290 | 20 | 5 | 325 | 95 | +5 | +0 | -5 | -8 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7931 | 7441 | 1887 | 367 | 62 | 257 | 383 | 1696 | 12 | 185 | 86 | 254 | 291 | 423 | 714 | 170 | 293 | 21 | 5 | 309 | 95 | +30 | +2 | -35 | -55 | +100 | 4.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 610 | 154 | 30 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 139 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 252 | 290 | 421 | 711 | 169 | 292 | 21 | 5 | 309 | 95 | +4 | +0 | -5 | -8 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAANashville Sounds · 152 PAwOBA .382 → .308 (−74)K% 21.7% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.71% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷0.983 | ×0.930 | ×0.977 | ×0.940 | 22.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.58% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×0.940 | 9.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.49% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .382 → .308; ISO .180 → .132; BABIP .375 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASyracuse Mets · 42 PAwOBA .254 → .191 (−62)K% 21.4% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷0.968 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 3.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.942 | 2.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.942 | 2.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.942 | 6.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 4.02% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 94, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .254 → .191; ISO .275 → .204; BABIP .138 → .125. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 37 PAwOBA .308 → .244 (−64)K% 29.7% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.73% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.81% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.82% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.962 | 27.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.966 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.962 | 7.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .308 → .244; ISO .061 → .048; BABIP .409 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 53 PAwOBA .291 → .208 (−83)K% 11.3% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.32% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.77% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 2.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.89% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 7.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.039 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 3.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.89% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 6.04% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .291 → .208; ISO .275 → .186; BABIP .146 → .115. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAARochester Red Wings · 169 PAwOBA .373 → .323 (−51)K% 14.8% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.79% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.55% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 21.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.37% | ÷1.224 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 7.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.951 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 4.73% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 145, 3B 94, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .373 → .323; ISO .219 → .179; BABIP .338 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARochester Red Wings · 100 PAwOBA .285 → .256 (−29)K% 17.0% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.00% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.79% | ÷0.979 | ×0.930 | ×0.955 | ×1.048 | 20.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | ×1.048 | 2.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.28% | ÷0.932 | ×0.970 | ×0.955 | ×1.048 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.956 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 3.54% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 86, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .285 → .256; ISO .137 → .124; BABIP .267 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AANew Britain Rock Cats · 336 PAwOBA .290 → .255 (−35)K% 20.2% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.24% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.06% | ÷1.155 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.74% | ÷0.967 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×1.027 | 18.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | ×0.995 | ×1.027 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.21% | ÷1.011 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | ×1.027 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.956 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.70% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 93, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 98, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .290 → .255; ISO .158 → .134; BABIP .277 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 34 PAwOBA .314 → .258 (−56)K% 14.7% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.002 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.018 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 8.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.00% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 31.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 102, 3B 86, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .314 → .258; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .360 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .